{"name":"Apprised AI Disagreement Index","source":"https://apprised.news/index/disagreement","as_of":"2026-10-26","index":17,"matched_pairs":114,"disagreements":[{"date":"2026-10-26","event":"Trump signals either new strikes on Iran or a deal","claude_call":"Developing","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["bbc.co.uk","khaleejtimes.com","thehindu.com"],"overlap":2,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-10-26"},{"date":"2026-10-24","event":"U.S. intelligence memo warns Iranian plots to kill Americans have reached 'advanced stages'; Trump floats renewed strikes","claude_call":"Contested","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["The Hill","CBS News","Iran International","Press TV"],"overlap":5,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-10-24"},{"date":"2026-10-24","event":"Mass shooting at a funeral in a Karak, Jordan church","claude_call":"Developing","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["The Kathmandu Post (via wire)","Anadolu-sourced wire echoes","National Post"],"overlap":4,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-10-24"},{"date":"2026-10-23","event":"Iran threatens to target U.S.-linked oil facilities, data centers, and AI infrastructure if the U.S. launches further military strikes, as Brent crude exceeds $113/barrel","claude_call":"Contested","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["Press TV (presstv.co.uk)","IRNA (irna.ir)","Iran International (iranintl.com)","TRT World (trtworld.com)","Bloomberg (via CoinDesk)","CNBC"],"overlap":4,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-10-23"},{"date":"2026-10-22","event":"Russia's Kosmos 2612 satellite conducted a multi-day proximity operation against a U.S.-registered commercial radar satellite (ICEYE) supporting Ukrainian military intelligence","claude_call":"Developing","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["SOFREP (sofrep.com)","Air and Space Forces Magazine (airandspaceforces.com)","TASS (tass.ru)","RIA Novosti (ria.ru)"],"overlap":7,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-10-22"},{"date":"2026-10-21","event":"Trump administration bans DeepSeek AI from all federal agencies, ordering removal within 60 days","claude_call":"Consensus","kimi_call":"Contested","outlets":["Global Times","New York Times","CSO Online"],"overlap":3,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-10-21"},{"date":"2026-10-20","event":"Lavrov visits Tehran; Araghchi declares Iran-Russia cooperation 'closer than at any point in history'; Pakistani Army Chief Munir arrives next day","claude_call":"Contested","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["IRNA","Mehr News","RIA Novosti","BBC Persian","BBC Hindi","Axios"],"overlap":4,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-10-20"},{"date":"2026-10-17","event":"Iran conditions Hormuz Strait reopening on U.S. military withdrawal from the region, while CENTCOM claims blockade has cost Iran $25 billion in oil revenue since July","claude_call":"Contested","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["Press TV (presstv.co.uk)","IRNA (irna.ir)","The Hill (thehill.com)","BBC Swahili","BBC Hausa","BBC Somali"],"overlap":5,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-10-17"},{"date":"2026-10-17","event":"North Korea tests 'Zam-2.0' AI-equipped high-speed torpedo; no images released","claude_call":"Contested","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["KCNA Watch (via NK News / nknews.org)","Yonhap (en.yna.co.kr)","Straits Times (straitstimes.com)","Korea Times (koreatimes.co.kr)","G1 Globo (g1.globo.com)","Asharq Al-Awsat (aawsat.com)"],"overlap":7,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-10-17"},{"date":"2026-10-16","event":"Pakistan's parliament approves emergency rule in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa over opposition objections","claude_call":"Developing","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["BBC Pashto","Dawn"],"overlap":8,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-10-16"},{"date":"2026-10-14","event":"Russia strikes Kyiv's CHP-4 power plant with ballistic missiles; Zelensky says no allied warning received for second consecutive night despite Trump's claimed 'energy ceasefire'","claude_call":"Contested","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["Ukrainska Pravda (pravda.com.ua)","Kyiv Post (kyivpost.com)","Euronews (euronews.com)","BBC Ukrainian (bbc.com)","TASS (tass.com)","RIA Novosti (ria.ru)"],"overlap":3,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-10-14"},{"date":"2026-10-13","event":"Pakistan's federal government imposed emergency rule and governor's rule in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa; PTI leaders including Chief Minister Sohail Afridi reportedly arrested","claude_call":"Contested","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["Dawn (dawn.com)","ARY News (arynews.tv)","BBC (Pashto and Urdu services)"],"overlap":6,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-10-13"},{"date":"2026-10-10","event":"Saudi-led coalition destroys 136 Houthi military targets in large-scale Yemen operation; Houthi drone kills 3 at Riyadh airport","claude_call":"Contested","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["Khaleej Times","BBC Persian","BBC Somali (Somali-language reporting)","Mehr News"],"overlap":7,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-10-10"},{"date":"2026-10-08","event":"U.S. formally accuses Zhao Fugang, director of a Chinese state agency's office in Fiji's capital Suva, of paying bribes to advance Beijing's interests in the Pacific nation","claude_call":"Developing","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["Hong Kong Free Press","Global Times","China Daily","Reuters","AFP (implicit via cross-source count)"],"overlap":9,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-10-08"},{"date":"2026-10-08","event":"UK-Israel diplomatic standoff: Britain threatens to expel one Israeli diplomat for every diplomat expelled from the British consulate Israel is moving to close","claude_call":"Contested","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["Jerusalem Post","Ynet"],"overlap":3,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-10-08"}],"days":28,"window_days":30,"gated":true,"median_token_overlap":5,"high_confidence_share":90,"methodology":"Over events both models rated, the share where the published Claude editor and the independent Kimi read assigned a different certainty call. Events are paired only on >=2 shared distinctive terms (generic geopolitics vocabulary stopworded), labels collapsed to settled vs unsettled. The headline is a 30-day window rate, shown only at >=12 matched pairs. The disagreements list is the specific heuristically-matched pairs that differed; each brief_url links to that day's World brief where both models' calls render.","series":[{"date":"2026-09-27","matched":3,"disagree":0},{"date":"2026-09-28","matched":4,"disagree":1},{"date":"2026-09-29","matched":5,"disagree":1},{"date":"2026-09-30","matched":2,"disagree":0},{"date":"2026-10-02","matched":5,"disagree":1},{"date":"2026-10-03","matched":4,"disagree":1},{"date":"2026-10-04","matched":3,"disagree":0},{"date":"2026-10-06","matched":5,"disagree":0},{"date":"2026-10-07","matched":2,"disagree":0},{"date":"2026-10-08","matched":4,"disagree":2},{"date":"2026-10-09","matched":3,"disagree":0},{"date":"2026-10-10","matched":7,"disagree":1},{"date":"2026-10-11","matched":3,"disagree":0},{"date":"2026-10-12","matched":5,"disagree":0},{"date":"2026-10-13","matched":5,"disagree":1},{"date":"2026-10-14","matched":4,"disagree":1},{"date":"2026-10-15","matched":6,"disagree":0},{"date":"2026-10-16","matched":3,"disagree":1},{"date":"2026-10-17","matched":4,"disagree":2},{"date":"2026-10-18","matched":5,"disagree":0},{"date":"2026-10-19","matched":5,"disagree":0},{"date":"2026-10-20","matched":4,"disagree":1},{"date":"2026-10-21","matched":5,"disagree":1},{"date":"2026-10-22","matched":4,"disagree":1},{"date":"2026-10-23","matched":3,"disagree":1},{"date":"2026-10-24","matched":4,"disagree":2},{"date":"2026-10-25","matched":2,"disagree":0},{"date":"2026-10-26","matched":5,"disagree":1}]}