{"name":"Apprised AI Disagreement Index","source":"https://apprised.news/index/disagreement","as_of":"2026-06-10","index":41,"matched_pairs":34,"disagreements":[{"date":"2026-06-09","event":"Israel and Iran exchanged missile strikes before agreeing to pause; Trump warned Netanyahu he 'may be on his own' against Iran","claude_call":"Contested","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["irna.ir","en.mehrnews.com","Jerusalem Post","Times of Israel","Khaleej Times","rt.com"],"overlap":3,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-06-09"},{"date":"2026-06-07","event":"Sudan: drone strike kills 11 civilians at a market in North Kordofan's Abu Zaimah","claude_call":"Developing","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["aljazeera.net"],"overlap":3,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-06-07"},{"date":"2026-06-04","event":"Israel and Lebanon agree to conditional ceasefire contingent on Hezbollah cessation of fire and withdrawal south of the Litani River","claude_call":"Contested","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["al-monitor.com","pbs.org","bbc.co.uk","en.irna.ir","mehrnews.com","thehindu.com"],"overlap":3,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-06-04"},{"date":"2026-06-04","event":"North Korea unveils new nuclear fuel facility, Kim Jong Un pledges 'exponential' expansion of nuclear arsenal","claude_call":"Developing","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["france24.com","nknews.org","dailynk.com","en.yna.co.kr"],"overlap":5,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-06-04"},{"date":"2026-06-04","event":"Iran-U.S. nuclear talks: Trump claims preliminary agreement on joint uranium removal; Tehran says no breakthrough","claude_call":"Contested","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["tass.com","timesofindia.indiatimes.com","financialpost.com","nytimes.com"],"overlap":2,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-06-04"},{"date":"2026-06-02","event":"Trump declared a partial Lebanon ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah; fighting continued and Netanyahu distanced himself from ceasefire framing","claude_call":"Contested","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["NYT (nytimes.com)","NPR (npr.org)","Irish Times (irishtimes.com)","Khaleej Times (khaleejtimes.com)","Kathmandu Post (kathmandupost.com)","IRNA (irna.ir)"],"overlap":4,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-06-02"},{"date":"2026-06-01","event":"Colombia first-round presidential election: far-right Espriella (~44%) and Petro-backed Cepeda advance to June 21 runoff; Petro disputes preliminary count","claude_call":"Contested","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["NBC News","PBS","elpais.com","euronews.com","en.mercopress.com","bbc.com (Spanish service)"],"overlap":5,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-06-01"},{"date":"2026-05-31","event":"Colombia holds first-round presidential election pitting leftist legacy against far-right outsider and traditional conservative","claude_call":"Developing","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["nytimes.com","aljazeera.com","eltiempo.com (Colombia)","latercera.com (Chile)","investing.com"],"overlap":2,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-05-31"},{"date":"2026-05-29","event":"Trump administration announces framework for a U.S.-Iran nuclear and security agreement while Iranian officials dispute finalization","claude_call":"Contested","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["BBC (Persian/Urdu/Hindi services)","OANN","NHK","Tasnim (tasnimnews.com)","IRNA (irna.ir)","Hankyoreh (hani.co.kr)"],"overlap":2,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-05-29"},{"date":"2026-05-29","event":"BelPol investigation finds Belarus operates more than 100 KGB officers in approximately 40 countries, with tasks spanning disinformation, sanctions evasion, and opposition surveillance","claude_call":"Developing","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["Euromaidan Press (euromaidanpress.com)","Belta (eng.belta.by)"],"overlap":2,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-05-29"},{"date":"2026-05-28","event":"A tentative 60-day US-Iran ceasefire extension is reported as agreed by US officials, pending Trump's approval, while Iran simultaneously fires a ballistic missile at Kuwait and drones toward the Strait of Hormuz","claude_call":"Contested","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["presstv.ir","nytimes.com","euronews.com","cbsnews.com","theguardian.com","warontherocks.com"],"overlap":5,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-05-28"},{"date":"2026-05-28","event":"Netanyahu orders Israeli forces to expand Gaza territorial control to 70%, up from the current estimated 64%, while Israel declares southern Lebanon a 'combat zone' and strikes kill a family of six near Sidon","claude_call":"Contested","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["al-monitor.com","timesofisrael.com","trtworld.com","longwarjournal.org"],"overlap":7,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-05-28"},{"date":"2026-05-27","event":"Dutch frigate De Ruyter conducted freedom-of-navigation operation through the Paracel Islands in the South China Sea; China claims it 'drove away' the vessel","claude_call":"Contested","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["Global Times (globaltimes.cn — referenced via Straits Times reporting of PLA statement)","PLA Southern Theater Command statement","Straits Times (straitstimes.com)","Liberty Times (news.ltn.com.tw)","The Diplomat (thediplomat.com — for context on PLAN carrier group deployment)"],"overlap":2,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-05-27"},{"date":"2026-05-26","event":"U.S. Central Command struck Iranian missile launch sites and boats attempting to lay mines in southern Iran while Iranian negotiators were meeting Qatari mediators in Doha","claude_call":"Consensus","kimi_call":"Contested","outlets":["en.mehrnews.com","en.irna.ir","iranintl.com","theguardian.com","nytimes.com","kyivpost.com"],"overlap":2,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-05-26"}],"days":12,"window_days":30,"gated":true,"median_token_overlap":5,"high_confidence_share":74,"methodology":"Over events both models rated, the share where the published Claude editor and the independent Kimi read assigned a different certainty call. Events are paired only on >=2 shared distinctive terms (generic geopolitics vocabulary stopworded), labels collapsed to settled vs unsettled. The headline is a 30-day window rate, shown only at >=12 matched pairs. The disagreements list is the specific heuristically-matched pairs that differed; each brief_url links to that day's World brief where both models' calls render.","series":[{"date":"2026-05-26","matched":3,"disagree":1},{"date":"2026-05-27","matched":3,"disagree":1},{"date":"2026-05-28","matched":5,"disagree":2},{"date":"2026-05-29","matched":4,"disagree":2},{"date":"2026-05-30","matched":1,"disagree":0},{"date":"2026-05-31","matched":3,"disagree":1},{"date":"2026-06-01","matched":3,"disagree":1},{"date":"2026-06-02","matched":2,"disagree":1},{"date":"2026-06-04","matched":4,"disagree":3},{"date":"2026-06-07","matched":1,"disagree":1},{"date":"2026-06-09","matched":4,"disagree":1},{"date":"2026-06-10","matched":1,"disagree":0}]}