{"name":"Apprised AI Disagreement Index","source":"https://apprised.news/index/disagreement","as_of":"2026-09-11","index":15,"matched_pairs":101,"disagreements":[{"date":"2026-09-11","event":"Myanmar junta's President U Min Aung Hlaing begins visit to Cambodia; separately, Myanmar's Wa State tin mega-mine restarts operations, ramping up exports to China","claude_call":"Developing","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["BBC Burmese (bbc.co.uk)","Frontier Myanmar (frontiermyanmar.net)"],"overlap":6,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-09-11"},{"date":"2026-09-10","event":"Trump warned Iran 'not to get cute' over activity at 'Pickaxe Mountain,' a suspected nuclear facility, and said the US may strike it; CNN reported a surge in construction at the site.","claude_call":"Contested","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["France24","CNN","Times of Israel","WSJ (via Telegraph)","TASS (tass.com)","Mirror (UK)"],"overlap":2,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-09-10"},{"date":"2026-09-04","event":"Iran retaliates by striking U.S. military targets in Kuwait and UAE, including satellite communications infrastructure and aircraft hangars, following the Kuhak wedding strike.","claude_call":"Consensus","kimi_call":"Contested","outlets":["Mehr News (mehrnews.com — peripheral corpus items)","via BBC Bengali live coverage","Euronews (euronews.com)","France24 (france24.com)","BBC Hausa/Swahili services","The Daily Star Bangladesh (thedailystar.net)"],"overlap":3,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-09-04"},{"date":"2026-09-03","event":"US strikes on southern Iran killed 18 people including 4 at a wedding ceremony in Sirik, Hormozgan; Iran retaliated with missiles and drones against US regional bases.","claude_call":"Contested","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["IRNA","Mehr News","Reuters (via Al-Monitor, Military Times)","BBC Persian","Middle East Eye","CGTN"],"overlap":3,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-09-03"},{"date":"2026-09-02","event":"U.S. airstrikes on Iran resumed on September 1-2, targeting IRGC facilities in multiple provinces including Chabahar, Khuzestan, and Hormozgan","claude_call":"Contested","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["Mehr News Agency (en.mehrnews.com)","IRNA (irna.ir)","AP (apnews.com)","Reuters via al-monitor.com","El País (elpais.com)","Khaleej Times (khaleejtimes.com)"],"overlap":5,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-09-02"},{"date":"2026-08-29","event":"Trump announces a US-Venezuela oil deal covering claimed majority control of 65 billion barrels of proven reserves","claude_call":"Contested","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["NPR (npr.org)","BBC (bbc.com)","Reuters via BBC Arabic","Rappler (rappler.com)","Tempo English (en.tempo.co)","Korea Times (koreatimes.co.kr — context only)"],"overlap":6,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-08-29"},{"date":"2026-08-29","event":"Nepal-China border floods: death toll exceeds 550 with nearly 2,000 missing, but Tibet-side figures remain opaque","claude_call":"Contested","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["New York Times (nytimes.com)","Der Spiegel (spiegel.de)","RTÉ (rte.ie)","Global Times (globaltimes.cn)","Xinhua via news.cn","Kathmandu Post (kathmandupost.com)"],"overlap":5,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-08-29"},{"date":"2026-08-27","event":"Qatar PM visits Tehran seeking to revive US-Iran diplomacy after ceasefire collapse; Iran accuses US of blocking Oman-Hormuz deal","claude_call":"Contested","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["Al Jazeera","BBC (Arabic, Persian, Swahili)","IRNA","Mehr News","Khaleej Times","TRT World"],"overlap":3,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-08-27"},{"date":"2026-08-27","event":"South Korea announces tougher enforcement against Chinese fishing vessels near the Northern Limit Line","claude_call":"Developing","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["Korea Times","Global Times","Xinhua"],"overlap":2,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-08-27"},{"date":"2026-08-25","event":"Pakistan Army Chief Field Marshal Asim Munir visited Tehran, held talks with Iranian leadership on de-escalation and Hormuz reopening, reportedly after a call with Trump","claude_call":"Contested","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["Reuters (via Straits Times straitstimes.com)","CNBC (cnbc.com)","Jerusalem Post (jpost.com)","NDTV (ndtv.com)","IRNA (irna.ir)","Ariana News (ariananews.af)"],"overlap":5,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-08-25"},{"date":"2026-08-23","event":"Canada announces 50 percent retaliatory tariffs after U.S.-Canada trade talks collapse","claude_call":"Contested","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["NYT (nytimes.com)","DW (dw.com)","CBC (cbc.ca)","NBC News (nbcnews.com)","NDTV (ndtv.com)","Spiegel (spiegel.de)"],"overlap":3,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-08-23"},{"date":"2026-08-20","event":"UAE suspends all trade and financial transactions with Iran after ballistic missiles target Gulf shipping; Iran denies firing","claude_call":"Contested","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["IRNA (irna.ir)","BBC (Amharic, Bengali, Somali, Urdu feeds)","Anadolu Agency (aa.com.tr)","Al-Asharq Al-Awsat (aawsat.com)"],"overlap":8,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-08-20"},{"date":"2026-08-19","event":"UAE claims Iran fired two ballistic missiles at its territory on August 18; Iran flatly denies any launch occurred; UAE suspends all trade with Tehran.","claude_call":"Contested","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["Mehr News (mehrnews.com)","Khaleej Times (khaleejtimes.com)","WAM-adjacent coverage via BBC Somali/Urdu/Swahili/Hausa","BBC (bbc.co.uk — Persian, Urdu, Somali, Swahili editions)","Reuters (cited by Mehr News)"],"overlap":2,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-08-19"},{"date":"2026-08-17","event":"Trump orders Pentagon to scale back U.S.–South Korea Ulchi Freedom Shield exercises, citing Seoul's refusal to join Iran denuclearization and his 'good relationship' with Kim Jong-un","claude_call":"Consensus","kimi_call":"Developing","outlets":["BBC","CBC","DW","AP","TASS","Yonhap"],"overlap":6,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-08-17"},{"date":"2026-08-12","event":"Russia uses North Korean ballistic missiles in a strike killing at least 7 in Zaporizhzhia; Ukraine's Zelensky states Russia is preparing a new mobilization wave after September 20","claude_call":"Contested","kimi_call":"Consensus","outlets":["NK News (nknews.org)","Ukrainska Pravda (pravda.com.ua)","TASS (tass.ru)","RIA Novosti (ria.ru)","SVT (svt.se — Swedish public broadcaster)","Sputnik (sputnikglobe.com)"],"overlap":2,"brief_url":"https://apprised.news/desk/world/2026-08-12"}],"days":23,"window_days":30,"gated":true,"median_token_overlap":5,"high_confidence_share":90,"methodology":"Over events both models rated, the share where the published Claude editor and the independent Kimi read assigned a different certainty call. Events are paired only on >=2 shared distinctive terms (generic geopolitics vocabulary stopworded), labels collapsed to settled vs unsettled. The headline is a 30-day window rate, shown only at >=12 matched pairs. The disagreements list is the specific heuristically-matched pairs that differed; each brief_url links to that day's World brief where both models' calls render.","series":[{"date":"2026-08-12","matched":5,"disagree":1},{"date":"2026-08-14","matched":2,"disagree":0},{"date":"2026-08-15","matched":5,"disagree":0},{"date":"2026-08-16","matched":4,"disagree":0},{"date":"2026-08-17","matched":2,"disagree":1},{"date":"2026-08-19","matched":4,"disagree":1},{"date":"2026-08-20","matched":5,"disagree":1},{"date":"2026-08-21","matched":4,"disagree":0},{"date":"2026-08-22","matched":6,"disagree":0},{"date":"2026-08-23","matched":5,"disagree":1},{"date":"2026-08-25","matched":6,"disagree":1},{"date":"2026-08-27","matched":5,"disagree":2},{"date":"2026-08-28","matched":6,"disagree":0},{"date":"2026-08-29","matched":4,"disagree":2},{"date":"2026-09-02","matched":4,"disagree":1},{"date":"2026-09-03","matched":3,"disagree":1},{"date":"2026-09-04","matched":7,"disagree":1},{"date":"2026-09-05","matched":4,"disagree":0},{"date":"2026-09-06","matched":4,"disagree":0},{"date":"2026-09-07","matched":3,"disagree":0},{"date":"2026-09-09","matched":5,"disagree":0},{"date":"2026-09-10","matched":3,"disagree":1},{"date":"2026-09-11","matched":5,"disagree":1}]}