BELARUSTV — broadcast
20260911 104000 UTC
256 transcript segments
Google Cloud Speech-to-Text API (Chirp) + Gemini 2.5 Flash Non-Thinking
Data courtesy of The GDELT Project (https://www.gdeltproject.org/), from the Internet Archive TV News Archive.
Machine transcription. Treat it as a searchable index of what was broadcast, not a verbatim quotation record.

[00:00:00] a patriotic
[00:00:01] car rally took place in the country.
[00:00:11] Belarus - on the world
[00:00:13] stage,
[00:00:16] hospitable and
[00:00:17] friendly.
[00:00:22] Initiative and
[00:00:24] creative.
[00:00:28] Business and industrial.
[00:00:33] Intellectual and
[00:00:35] technological,
[00:00:39] picturesque,
[00:00:40] monumental,
[00:00:45] sports and
[00:00:46] festival.
[00:00:50] We show Belarus daily,
[00:00:54] 24/7, with open access worldwide.
[00:00:57] Russian
[00:01:01] Federation. CIS countries, Baltic states and
[00:01:05] Europe. Central Asia,
[00:01:08] Transcaucasia, Middle East. Countries of
[00:01:11] Latin America and the USA.
[00:01:15] Southeast Asia and Australia.
[00:01:18] Countries of the African continent.
[00:01:22] Satellite broadcasting.
[00:01:25] Cable networks,
[00:01:27] video services. Mobile applications,
[00:01:31] online streaming, instructions and setup parameters
[00:01:35] are available on the
[00:01:37] TV channel's website. Belarus
[00:01:40] 24, bringing Belarus closer.
[00:02:09] By 2040, global energy will change
[00:02:12] as profoundly as during the post-war restructuring of the
[00:02:15] mid-20th century, warns leading research
[00:02:19] fellow of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Shamil Yanikeev, who points to the
[00:02:22] destruction of the unipolar energy order
[00:02:25] of 1991-2014. It began with the use
[00:02:30] of the dollar system for foreign policy pressure and
[00:02:33] technological competition, the Ukrainian conflict made these
[00:02:37] contradictions public, the crisis in the Strait of Hormuz and
[00:02:40] the escalation of confrontation between the US and Israel with Iran
[00:02:44] accelerated these processes. Based on reports and statements
[00:02:47] from IMF representatives, the final configuration of the world economy
[00:02:51] is moving towards a three-block structure. The block of the US
[00:02:55] and its allies, the block of China and its allies, and the third -
[00:02:58] a non-Western contour. Intermediary countries maintaining
[00:03:02] inter-block ties, energy ceases to be a
[00:03:05] neutral commodity, turning into a battlefield, a weapon
[00:03:09] and a prize. The first process of global energy
[00:03:12] restructuring is the transition to a low-carbon economy,
[00:03:16] proceeding unevenly, accompanied by
[00:03:18] setbacks, a slowdown in moving away from coal, and a renaissance of nuclear
[00:03:22] generation. The situation with nuclear energy, unfortunately,
[00:03:26] is sad: in 1990, a third of energy...
[00:03:41] And looking back, we can say that it was a mistake: we gave up a reliable and affordable energy source
[00:03:44] that also guarantees low emissions. It's time to change
[00:03:48] the situation. The full tragedy was revealed in the summer
[00:03:50] of 2026. The anomalous drying up of Europe's main waterways
[00:03:54] paralyzed the delivery of coal to German power plants in the required volumes, due to a lack
[00:03:57] of precipitation. The water level in reservoirs dropped, power generation at hydroelectric power plants
[00:04:00] in the Alpine region and Scandinavia, which feed the
[00:04:04] pan-European network, decreased to critical
[00:04:06] minimums. Paradoxically, extreme heat reduced
[00:04:10] the efficiency of solar panels. At temperatures above
[00:04:13] 25°, their efficiency drops by
[00:04:16] 5% for every degree. The situation
[00:04:19] was exacerbated by periods of dark calm, when solar and
[00:04:22] wind generation simultaneously dropped to almost
[00:04:25] zero. Yes, nuclear power plants also have to
[00:04:29] reduce power or even shut down during
[00:04:32] extreme heat, this was observed in Europe in France, Switzerland,
[00:04:36] Romania and Hungary, however, if we compare
[00:04:39] the scale, the consequences of the weather for nuclear power plants
[00:04:43] are incomparably smaller, their reliability for the power system is
[00:04:46] many times higher than that of thermal power plants,
[00:04:49] hydroelectric power plants or renewable energy
[00:04:52] sources. 30 heads of state, including
[00:04:55] the United States, China, Japan, France, Great Britain, who
[00:04:59] pledged to triple nuclear capacity by
[00:05:01] 2050, this was an important statement and promise
[00:05:05] from heads of state, plus many statements, especially in
[00:05:08] Europe, that countries are announcing new nuclear
[00:05:11] programs or changing their minds. We think, for example, of
[00:05:15] Belgium. It changed its law. They had a law on phasing out
[00:05:18] nuclear energy and now the Belgian government is investing
[00:05:22] funds to buy out all nuclear power plants from
[00:05:25] ENGIE. We also see signs in Italy, where there was a referendum
[00:05:29] against nuclear energy, and now the government is announcing a
[00:05:33] new law to return to nuclear energy.
[00:05:36] So, the second process is the securitization of energy
[00:05:40] flows. Due to wars and trade conflicts. Supplies of raw materials become
[00:05:43] an instrument of strategic coercion, and the price factor
[00:05:47] fades into the background. We see this happening
[00:05:50] differently. Europe, trying to pressure Russia by refusing its
[00:05:54] energy resources, harms itself, buying them
[00:05:57] more expensively, despite all the disadvantages, it buys,
[00:06:00] because such is the agenda. Price is no longer the main factor
[00:06:04] in decision-making. The third process of global order
[00:06:07] transformation is the fragmentation of the international monetary and financial
[00:06:11] architecture, as a result of which settlements for energy carriers
[00:06:14] for the first time in half a century go beyond the dollar
[00:06:18] contour. China consistently uses its status as the largest
[00:06:21] importer of hydrocarbons for the internationalization of its
[00:06:25] currency in energy deals. According to official
[00:06:28] reports from the People's Bank of China, the share of the yuan in trade
[00:06:31] financing has more than doubled. I think that
[00:06:35] the dominance of the dollar actually began to gradually decline back
[00:06:39] in 2015, when China realized that it
[00:06:43] could not peg its currency to the dollar as rigidly as before, they
[00:06:46] had problems with attacks on exchange rates then they had to spend
[00:06:50] a trillion dollars from their reserves. The Asian bloc
[00:06:53] accounts for half of the entire dollar bloc, so as China
[00:06:57] separates, the entire Asian region will follow,
[00:07:01] and China is actively working in this direction. Returning to
[00:07:04] the issue of sanctions against Russia, they understand that
[00:07:07] if it hasn't come yet, it will soon come to their
[00:07:10] stage. India, seeking to protect its economy
[00:07:14] from price volatility and sanctions pressure,
[00:07:17] has set precedents for settlements in alternative currencies,
[00:07:20] an oil pact with the UAE, supplies from Russia, to all
[00:07:24] this, the expansion of BRICS accelerated the creation of independent
[00:07:27] cross-border payment gateways and platforms for settlements
[00:07:31] in national currencies. The fourth process is the so-called
[00:07:34] last wave of decolonization, countries of
[00:07:37] the global South are going on the offensive, demanding
[00:07:40] reparations, revision of rights to... resources and redistribution
[00:07:44] of climate finance, the Caribbean Community's plan for compensation
[00:07:48] payments, the nationalization of lithium deposits in Chile and
[00:07:51] Bolivia, as well as attempts by African and Latin American countries
[00:07:55] to coordinate prices and quotas for the extraction of cobalt, copper and
[00:07:58] lithium form a single trend, former peripheries
[00:08:01] strive to dictate terms to the developed economies
[00:08:05] of the West themselves. The last wave of decolonization acts as
[00:08:09] a powerful brake on the global energy transition, but... temporarily
[00:08:12] is the main accelerator of world restructuring, it deprives
[00:08:16] Western economies of a cheap resource base, making
[00:08:19] energy security a matter of harsh
[00:08:22] political bargaining, forcing the world to seek
[00:08:26] a new balance of power. At the same time, sea straits have once again
[00:08:29] become an instrument of strategic coercion. Through
[00:08:32] Hormuz passes 20% of the world's oil
[00:08:36] traffic, through Malacca up to 80% of China's
[00:08:39] oil imports. Control over these narrow
[00:08:43] passages allows for managing the political loyalty of importers, imposing
[00:08:46] restrictions comparable to a physical blockade.
[00:08:50] The escalation of the US-Iranian confrontation and the de facto
[00:08:53] closure of the Strait of Hormuz surpassed the oil shocks
[00:08:56] of the seventies of the last century in terms of the scale of supply
[00:09:00] disruptions. The response to the southern vulnerability was
[00:09:03] a reorientation to the northern sea route as a hedging
[00:09:06] tool. For China, it solves the Malacca dilemma, and for
[00:09:10] Japan and South Korea, it gives access to.
[00:09:22] China is betting on this route, hoping to build international
[00:09:26] trade with access to Europe and Russia, thereby reducing
[00:09:29] the importance of traditional routes through the Middle East and the Panama
[00:09:32] Canal. Here's what's really important: the Suez
[00:09:36] Canal and the Strait of Hormuz will not disappear, but they will lose some of their
[00:09:39] importance, as will the Panama Canal. For both Russia
[00:09:43] and China, the Northern Sea Route has turned the Arctic into an arena
[00:09:46] of competition, where icebreaker technologies and
[00:09:49] ports, not just the navy, are decisive. Joint
[00:09:52] projects for gas extraction and liquefaction in the Arctic
[00:09:55] zone, the construction of a complex for processing
[00:09:59] ethane-containing gas in the Baltics, the development
[00:10:02] of the Zashuland coal deposit in the Zabaykalsky
[00:10:05] Krai, are also developing. Russia also remains one of
[00:10:08] the leading coal suppliers to the Chinese market.
[00:10:12] interested in stable, economically sound supplies and
[00:10:16] the development of transport infrastructure,
[00:10:19] ready for cooperation in the electric power industry in terms of
[00:10:22] mutual supplies, cross-border.
[00:10:55] the reality of consumers, that is, based on the example of Hormuz and
[00:10:58] the Arctic, major players decide which of the small ones can
[00:11:02] pass, and for whom the path is closed, and woe to him who
[00:11:05] is not friends with the master of the mountain. The true reason lies in the
[00:11:09] long-term strategic understanding of what is now
[00:11:12] little talked about: global oil demand, after decades
[00:11:15] of continuous growth, will likely reach its peak and plateau,
[00:11:19] and at least, will no longer grow as fast as
[00:11:23] before, and if that's the case, world oil production
[00:11:26] will indeed peak due to maximum demand, then such
[00:11:30] a cartel as OPEC will be in huge trouble, because
[00:11:33] the only way to keep export volumes constant in a
[00:11:37] shrinking market is by definition to increase
[00:11:40] its share, increasing market share requires competition
[00:11:44] with neighbors, and the best positions for fighting for market share in
[00:11:48] the global oil market are held precisely by producers in the Persian
[00:11:52] Gulf, because they have the lowest production costs,
[00:11:55] and this is precisely the moment when you don't want to bind yourself
[00:11:59] with the restrictions of such an organization as OPEC. In
[00:12:02] my opinion, the current decision of the UAE only anticipated
[00:12:06] what would have happened anyway, perhaps in 5 or
[00:12:10] 10 years. Traditional international energy institutions
[00:12:13] are losing their ability to regulate the global market. Western structures,
[00:12:17] such as the International Energy Agency, are losing
[00:12:20] legitimacy due to ignoring the interests of growing economies, such as
[00:12:24] China and. classic oil cartels are collapsing
[00:12:28] due to internal division. Producers in the Persian Gulf with
[00:12:31] low production costs no longer want to limit
[00:12:34] production to support countries with high
[00:12:37] costs. The demonstrative withdrawal of the UAE from
[00:12:40] OPEC Plus for the sake of increasing its own
[00:12:43] oil sales, undermines the very mechanism of collective price
[00:12:46] management, creating risks of price wars and reduced
[00:12:50] revenues for traditional exporters. The merger
[00:12:53] of artificial intelligence and... energy accelerates the transition from the petrodollar
[00:12:57] era to the electrodollar, in which the main
[00:13:00] measure of a state's economic and political power
[00:13:03] becomes accessible electricity. The growth
[00:13:06] in energy consumption of digital infrastructure outpaces
[00:13:09] global rates and forces technological
[00:13:12] companies to seek guaranteed sources of continuous
[00:13:15] power, since renewable energy does not
[00:13:19] provide a stable base load, and gas resources
[00:13:22] are limited by export competition, the key
[00:13:25] solution becomes nuclear generation. At
[00:13:28] the moment, the consensus is that next year there will be a
[00:13:32] significant electricity deficit, that is, this is
[00:13:35] a question of the near future. If I'm not mistaken, the average estimate
[00:13:39] of analysts closely following the AI field is that in
[00:13:42] 2027, the power deficit for AI chips
[00:13:46] will be at least 15 GW. This is probably a quite
[00:13:49] obvious scenario, because the production rates of AI chips are growing
[00:13:53] incredibly fast, by about 40-50% per
[00:13:57] year. The return of atom transforms nuclear technologies into
[00:14:00] the main instrument of long-term geopolitical influence.
[00:14:04] The largest importers are developing internal nuclear generation
[00:14:08] to protect against possible blockades. A clear example is China,
[00:14:11] striving to reduce dependence on sea imports. Beijing approved
[00:14:15] the large-scale construction of dozens of new reactors,
[00:14:18] planning to double the share of nuclear generation in its
[00:14:21] energy balance to 10% by
[00:14:25] 2035. In turn, exporting countries
[00:14:28] through reactor supplies, specific fuel and
[00:14:31] long-term operation tie importers to themselves
[00:14:35] for decades to come, creating technological and
[00:14:39] political dependence. The undisputed
[00:14:41] leader of this nuclear diplomacy is the Russian state corporation
[00:14:45] Rosatom, whose portfolio of foreign orders exceeded
[00:14:48] 200 billion dollars. Today, the company is building
[00:14:52] more than two dozen power units in nine countries
[00:14:55] around the world, including strategic facilities such as the
[00:14:59] Akkuyu NPP in Turkey, the El Dabaa NPP in Egypt and
[00:15:02] the Rooppur NPP in Bangladesh, which guarantees
[00:15:05] technological presence and influence on the economies of these
[00:15:09] states for 60-80 years
[00:15:11] ahead, but the new global energy order
[00:15:14] will not be predetermined by technologies, they
[00:15:17] are appearing before our eyes, it is unlikely that within the period
[00:15:21] under consideration they will be able to make a breakthrough or a leap that will change
[00:15:25] everything, the main question will be the quality of political
[00:15:28] decisions, how far in the desire to conquer or
[00:15:32] lead the new, brave world, the powerful of this world
[00:15:36] will be ready to go.
[00:20:54] In Spanish Ceuta, 42 makeshift migrant
[00:20:58] dwellings burned down, the European Commission.