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20261104 010000 UTC
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[00:00:19] (♪) (♪)
[00:00:23] >> Announcer: THIS IS A CBC NEWS
[00:00:26] SPECIAL PRESENTATION. (♪) >> Adrienne: IT IS ELECTION
[00:00:29] NIGHT IN THE UNITED STATES AND A
[00:00:31] CHANCE FOR AMERICANS TO TRY TO HELP TO DETERMINE HOW THE NEXT
[00:00:35] TWO YEARS OF DONALD TRUMP'S PRESIDENCY MIGHT PLAY OUT.
[00:00:39] >> IT'S A MESS RIGHT NOW AND WE NEED TO GET THESE PEOPLE OUT OF
[00:00:43] OFFICE. >> EVERYTHING THAT TRUMP STANDS FOR IS WHAT WE CARE ABOUT AND
[00:00:46] WHAT MATTERS. >> WE NEED TO SUPPORT DEMOCRACY
[00:00:49] IN AMERICA. >> Adrienne: TONIGHT VOTERS WILL ELECT A NEW HOUSE OF
[00:00:53] REPRESENTATIVES AND RESHAPE THE SENATE. TWO CHAMBERS THAT IF LEFT IN
[00:00:57] REPUBLICAN HANDS COULD MAKE ACHIEVING TRUMP'S AGENDA
[00:01:00] RELATIVELY EASY. IF NOT -- >> BEGINNING ON DAY ONE IN A NEW
[00:01:04] CONGRESS WE'RE GOING TO HOLD THE CROOKS ACCOUNTABLE.
[00:01:06] >> WHEN THIGH COME TO TAKE OUR TAX DOLLARS TO MAKE WAR, WE
[00:01:10] WON'T BACK DOWN! (♪)
[00:01:13] >> Adrienne: AND THIS TIME THE STATESIDE ELECTIONS HAVE A WHOLE
[00:01:16] NEW MEANING RIGHT HERE IN
[00:01:18] CANADA, BECAUSE -- >> O CANADA.
[00:01:22] >> President Trump: CANADA HAS BEEN RIPPING US OFF. >> Adrienne: YEAH, THAT AND THIS. >> President Trump: THEY'LL END
[00:01:26] UP BEING THE 51ST STATE. >> Adrienne: AND ALSO THIS --
[00:01:30] >> MANY CANADIANS ARE LIKE GET
[00:01:32] THE HELL OUT OF OUR COUNTRY. >> Adrienne: AND LOTS OF TARIFFS
[00:01:35] BUT TONIGHT THE VOTERS GET TO DECIDE IF THEY'RE STILL BEHIND
[00:01:38] THE M.A.G.A. MOVEMENT OR IF THEY
[00:01:40] JUST WANT TO MOVE ON.
[00:01:43] >> DON'T MOVE!
[00:01:48] >> Adrienne: SO WILL THE DEMOCRATS TAKE CONGRESS?
[00:01:50] CAN THE REPUBLICANS PULL OFF A
[00:01:52] SURPRISE TRUMP TRIFECTA? WHAT DOES IT ALL MEAN FOR YOU
[00:01:56] AND CANADA AT LARGE? IT IS TIME TO FIND OUT.
[00:01:59] THIS IS "AMERICA VOTES."
[00:02:07] >>> HELLO AND WELCOME TO OUR SPECIAL COVERAGE OF THE 2026
[00:02:10] MIDTERM ELECTIONS AND I'M ADRIENNE ARSENAULT. LET'S TALK NUMBERS AND TONIGHT
[00:02:14] ALL 435 SEATS IN THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES ARE UP FOR
[00:02:17] GRABBINGS, ALONG WITH 35 SENATE SEATS, THAT'S MORE THAN
[00:02:21] ONE-THIRD OF THE SENATE. ALREADY POLLS HAVE BEGUN CLOSING
[00:02:25] IN 19 SENATE RACES AND 266 HOUSE RACES.
[00:02:29] SOME JUST MOMENTS AGO. WE WILL GET TO SOME EARLY
[00:02:32] RESULTS IN JUST A MOMENT, BUT, FIRST -- A LITTLE INTRODUCTION
[00:02:35] TO OUR TEAM HERE. AND I'M JOINED TONIGHT BY PAUL
[00:02:39] HUNTER, BETWEEN US, WHAT, 437 YEARS OF COVERING THE UNITED STATES?
[00:02:42] AND ALSO JOINING US ON THE DESK THE MOST RECENT FORMER
[00:02:45] AMBASSADOR TO THE UNITED STATES,
[00:02:48] KIRSTEN HILLMAN AND BESIDE HER
[00:02:50] THE DIRECTOR FOR VICE-PRESIDENT
[00:02:53] KAMALA HARRIS, AND A FORMER
[00:02:56] PRESS ADVISOR TO THE THEN HOUSE SPEAKER JOHN BOEHNER.
[00:02:59] SO WE'LL SEE A LOT OF YOU AND I'M SO HAPPY TO SEE YOUR PHONES
[00:03:02] AND NOTEBOOKS BECAUSE I KNOW
[00:03:03] THAT YOU'LL WORK YOUR YOUR SOURS
[00:03:08] AND CONTACTS TONIGHT. ONE THING YOU THAT WILL SEE A
[00:03:10] LOT OF, CAST YOUR EYES TO THE
[00:03:13] BOTTOM OF THE SCREEN, REAL-TIME RESULTS BY THE ASSOCIATED PRESS.
[00:03:16] THE A.P. HAS BEEN THE COLLECTOR
[00:03:18] OF THIS DATA FOR 180 YEARS AND
[00:03:21] THAT BAR SHOWS YOU THE NUMBER OF CANDIDATES WHO ARE ELECTED IN
[00:03:24] BOTH THE HOUSE AND THE SENATE RACES.
[00:03:26] AND HOW MANY SEATS EACH PARTY NEEDS TO SECURE A MAJORITY.
[00:03:30] ON THE ASSOCIATED PRESS, THAT IS WHERE ALL OF TONIGHT'S
[00:03:34] PROJECTIONS WILL BE COMING FROM.
[00:03:35] THE TEAM THERE USES A SIMILAR PROCESS AS CBC NEWS WHEN IT
[00:03:39] WHICHS TO READING RESULTS AND THEY HAVE THE EXPERTISE
[00:03:42] NECESSARY TO MAKE THOSE PROJECTIONS.
[00:03:46] SO WHEN IT COMES TO RESULTS, IT'S DAVID COCHRANE WHO IS GOING
[00:03:49] TO BE YOUR GUY ALL NIGHT LONG, MAYBE INTO THE MORNING, BREAKING
[00:03:53] DOWN THE KEY RACES AND HOW THINGS ARE SHAPING UP. SO ALREADY I KNOW THAT YOU'VE
[00:03:56] GOT SOMETHING FOR US. WHAT DO YOU HAVE? >> Reporter: YEAH, LOOK, THIS
[00:04:00] YEAR BEGAN WITH THE DEMOCRATS WITH A PRETTY GOOD CHANCE OF
[00:04:02] TAKING THE HOUSE BUT REALLY NO CHANCE OF GETTING CONTROL OF THE SENATE.
[00:04:05] WHAT A DIFFERENCE THAT 11 MONTHS AND 3 DAYS CAN MAKE.
[00:04:09] AND THERE'S 435 SEATS UP FOR GRABS IN THE HOUSE OF
[00:04:11] REPRESENTATIVES AND YOU NEED 218 FOR CONTROL AND THE DEMOCRATS
[00:04:15] WON 215 LAST TIME AND THE MAGIC NUMBER IS THREE.
[00:04:19] AND RIGHT NOW THE DEMOCRATS ALREADY ARE PLUS 19 IN THE VOTES
[00:04:23] THAT ARE BEING COUNTED. LET'S SHOW YOU SOME OF THE
[00:04:25] REASONS WHY THEY HAVE THAT LEAD. AND THIS IS INDIANA'S FIFTH
[00:04:29] DISTRICT, NORTH OF INDIANAPOLIS.
[00:04:31] AND THE REPUBLICAN VICTORIA
[00:04:34] SPARSE WON BY 18 PERCENTAGE POINTS IN 2024, AND HERE WITH
[00:04:38] 61% OF THE VOTES COUNTED SHE IS
[00:04:40] 11 POINTS DOWN BEHIND J.D. FORD RUNNING FOR THE DEMOCRATS.
[00:04:43] WE HAVE A SIMILAR STORY UNFOLDS IN FLORIDA AND WE'LL SHOW YOU
[00:04:47] FOUR DISTRICTS, WHICH WERE GERRYMANDERED -- REDISTRICTING
[00:04:50] HAPPENED IN FLORIDA TO MAKE IT EASIER FOR THE REPUBLICAN.
[00:04:53] WELL, HERE IN FLORIDA, A 44.2%
[00:04:58] OF THE VOTE WITH 99% OF THE VOTES IN AND THAT'S STILL A
[00:05:02] REPUBLICAN SEAT AT THIS POINT. BUT WHAT IS INTERESTING IT THAT
[00:05:05] THEY WON IT BY NINE POINTS IN
[00:05:08] FLORIDA AND 13 POINTS OVERALL. AND FLORIDA REDISTRICTED TO HELP THE REPUBLICANS TO MAKE IT
[00:05:12] HARDER FOR THE DEMOCRATS AND HERE YOU HAVE WITH 91% OF THE
[00:05:15] VOTES COUNTED A SIX-POINT LEAD FOR KATHY CASTER FROM THE
[00:05:19] DEMOCRATS.
[00:05:20] IN FLORIDA, 22, A DISTRICT THAT
[00:05:23] DONALD TRUMP WON BY 10 POINTS IN THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION WITH
[00:05:26] 94% OF THE VOTE IN, YOU HAVE A
[00:05:28] FIVE-POINT LEAD FOR THE
[00:05:30] DEMOCRAT, AND IN FLORIDA, 27, A SEAT THAT THE DEMOCRATS --
[00:05:34] SORRY, THE REPUBLICANS -- EXCUSE
[00:05:36] ME -- WON BY 21 POINTS IN 2024.
[00:05:40] THERE YOU HAVE NECK-AND-NECK.
[00:05:46] 50/50 WITH 90% OF THE VOTE IN.
[00:05:50] SO THE SHIFT IN MOOD AS PRICES
[00:05:52] WENT UP AND POTUS WENT DOWN, THINGS HAVE SLID BLEW AT LEAST IN THE HOUSE.
[00:05:56] AND WE'LL MOVE TO THE SENATE WHERE YOU NEED 51 FOR CONTROL
[00:05:59] AND SO THE MAGIC NUMBER FOR THE DEMOCRATS IS FOUR.
[00:06:02] AND STICKING WITH FLORIDA LOOK AT THIS. IN A STATE THAT DONALD TRUMP WON
[00:06:05] BY 13, IN A SENATE SEAT WHERE THE DEMOCRATS WERE CONSIDERED TO
[00:06:08] KIND OF HAVE NO HOPE, ANGIE NIXON, AND CONTROVERSIAL BECAUSE
[00:06:12] SHE'S A MEMBER OF THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIALISTS FOR AMERICA AND SEEN
[00:06:15] AS MAYBE A MISTAKE PICK IN THIS
[00:06:18] STATE, RIGHT NOW LESS THAN ONE FULL PERCENTAGE POINT BEHIND
[00:06:21] WITH 88% OF THE VOTES COUNTED. SO THAT'S ONE SEAT AND WE
[00:06:25] WEREN'T EXPECTING IT TO BE IN PLAY.
[00:06:27] AND THIS IS GEORGIA, WHERE A YEAR AGO THEY THOUGHT THAT IT
[00:06:31] MIGHT BE THE MOST VULNERABLE DEMOCRAT IN THE SENATE.
[00:06:34] AND THE ASSOCIATED PRESS HAS ALREADY PROJECTED HIM TO BE
[00:06:37] ELECTED.
[00:06:39] 64.5% OF THE VOTE TO 35% FOR MIKE COLLINS WITH NEARLY HALF OF
[00:06:42] THE VOTES COUNTED. SO IF YOU'RE A DEMOCRAT THIS IS
[00:06:45] NOT A BAD START WITH VOTE SHARE AND SEAT.
[00:06:47] AND LET'S LOOK AT OTHER SEATS, NORTH CAROLINA, ROY COOPER, A
[00:06:51] TWO-TERM GOVERNOR IN THAT STATE HAS NEVER LOST AN ELECTION.
[00:06:54] AND WHEN HE'S PUT HIS NAME ON THE BALLOT IN NORTH CAROLINA,
[00:06:57] THIS IS A SEAT WHERE THOM TILLIS
[00:06:59] WAS THE INCUMBENT REPUBLICAN SENATOR AND DIDN'T QUITE FALL IN
[00:07:03] LINE WITH THE M.A.G.A. WING WITH
[00:07:08] DONALD TRUMP AND DECIDED TO RETIRE INSTEAD OF FACING A
[00:07:12] CHALLENGE. AND THIS ONE THAT THE REPUBLICANS ARE EXPECTED TO FLIP.
[00:07:15] AND LET'S MOVE TO OHIO ANOTHER
[00:07:18] SEAT, THIS WAS J.D. VANCE'S SENATE SEAT AND HE HAD TO LEAVE
[00:07:21] THAT TO BECOME VICE-PRESIDENT. AND SHERROD BROWN IS LOOKING TO
[00:07:24] RETURN TO THE SENATE, WITH A
[00:07:25] GOOD START, WITH 28% OF VOTES
[00:07:28] COUNTED HE HAS A 24-POINT LEAD
[00:07:31] OVER JON HUSTED WHO HAS BEEN
[00:07:35] PRAISED AS A CANDIDATE AND HE'S TRAILING FOR THE REPUBLICANS IN OHIO.
[00:07:39] LET'S GO TO THE NEXT SEAT, MAINE, WHERE SUSAN COLLINS IS
[00:07:42] HOPING FOR TARIFF RELIEF ON THINGS LIKE CONCRETE AND ROAD
[00:07:45] SALT CAN HELP HER FROM THE CHALLENGE PRESENTED BY THE
[00:07:48] DEMOCRAT TROY JACKSON WITH A BACKGROUND IN THE LABOUR MOVEMENT AND THE LOGGING
[00:07:52] INDUSTRY IN MAINE. SHE'S BEEN THERE FOR DECADES. THIS MAY BE HER TOUGHEST
[00:07:56] CHALLENGE YET. AND MOVING ON TO TEXAS, THE
[00:07:58] DREAM OF DEMOCRATS.
[00:08:01] IT'S ONLY 6% OF THE VOTES,
[00:08:04] DEMOCRATS, IF YOU'RE WATCHING BUT THAT'S A GOOD START FOR
[00:08:07] JAMES TALARICO AND 72% TO
[00:08:11] PAXTON'S 25%.
[00:08:12] AND J JOHN CORNYN AND FORCED OUT
[00:08:17] IN A PRIMARY, WILL IT COST HIM A SEAT? WE'LL SEE.
[00:08:20] A SURGE IN EARLY VOTING AND ESPECIALLY AMONGST THE LATINO VOTERS.
[00:08:23] AND, FINALLY, MICHIGAN. THE DEMOCRATS -- THEY NEED TO
[00:08:27] HOLD HERE AND ABDUL El-SAYED RUNNING AGAINST MIKE ROGERS AND
[00:08:31] MIKE ROGERS STARTED THIS CAMPAIGN AS A TARIFF SUPPORTING
[00:08:34] TRUMP LOYALIST AND HE ENDED THIS CAMPAIGN WITH A BOTTLE OF THAT'S
[00:08:37] BLUE IN HIS HAND AND SAYING THAT CANADA IS NOT OUR ENEMY.
[00:08:41] ABDUL El-SAYED, A CURVEBALL IN
[00:08:43] THE FINAL DAYS WITH HIS COMPETITOR IN THE NOMINATION
[00:08:47] ENDORSING MIKE ROGERS BUT HE'S SEEN A SURGE IN FUNDRAISING AS A RESULT OF THAT.
[00:08:51] IF THE DEMOCRATS GET THE FOUR SEATS THEY NEED THIS IS WHERE
[00:08:54] WE'LL SEE THE RESULTS BECAUSE,
[00:08:56] ADRIENNE, THIS LOOKS LIKE VERY EARLY -- REAL GOOD MOVEMENT FOR
[00:09:00] THE DEMOCRATS. THESE ARE EARLY RESULTS, BUT IF
[00:09:02] YOU JUST SEE THE SHIFTS IN THE
[00:09:04] VOTES, IT IS A BIG MOVEMENT OF
[00:09:07] THE VOTE SHARE AND RIGHT NOW THEY'RE PLUS 26 IN THE HOUSE IN
[00:09:10] EARLY COUNTING. >> Adrienne: OKAY, WE'LL SEE IF THAT STORY HOLDS.
[00:09:14] DAVID, THANK YOU. PAUL, IF WE PULL BACK, WHAT ARE
[00:09:17] THE AMERICANS TRYING TO WEIGH TONIGHT? >> Reporter: I JUST WANT TO
[00:09:20] LISTEN TO DAVID COCHRANE DO THAT ALL OVER AGAIN.
[00:09:24] >> Adrienne: LISTEN TO YOU TOO. >> Reporter: I'LL KEEP IT SIMPLE.
[00:09:26] AT THE END OF THE DAY THIS IS --
[00:09:29] THE QUESTION IS TO REBUKE OR TO
[00:09:32] REINFORCE THE POLICIES, THE ACTIONS, THE LEADERSHIP OF
[00:09:35] DONALD TRUMP, RIGHT?
[00:09:36] I MEAN, FAMOUSLY THE PRESIDENT'S
[00:09:39] NAME IS NOT ON THE BALLOT IN THE MIDTERMS AND FAMOUSLY DONALD
[00:09:43] TRUMP SAID TO IMAGINE HIS NAME ON THE BALLOT THIS TIME.
[00:09:45] AND IT'S HARD TO IMAGINE ANYONE WHO ISN'T DOING THAT AS THEY
[00:09:48] CAST THEIR BALLOTS TODAY AND IN EARLY VOTING. WHY?
[00:09:52] BECAUSE OF THE NUMBER ONE ISSUE -- AFFORDABILITY.
[00:09:55] AND, YOU KNOW, STUFF COSTS MORE. AND THAT AFFECTS EVERYBODY,
[00:09:59] RIGHT? AND SO, YOU KNOW, WHEN STUFF
[00:10:02] COSTS MORE, PEOPLE GET ANGRY AND
[00:10:04] PEOPLE WANT TO BLAME WHO'S IN
[00:10:07] POWER. AND WHY DOES THE STUFF COST MORE?
[00:10:11] BECAUSE OF TRUMP AND HE EFFECTIVELY TARIFFED THE WORLD AND PRICES WENT UP.
[00:10:15] HE STARTED THE WAR IN IRAN AND PRICES WENT UP FURTHER.
[00:10:18] THIS IS A CHANCE TO SAY THUMBS UP OR THUMBS DOWN ON ALL OF
[00:10:22] THAT. FINALLY AFTER ALL OF THE TALK, NOT TO OVERSTATE IT, BUT IT'S
[00:10:25] THE MOMENT OF TRUTH. >> Adrienne: IT IS. VOTE LIKE HIS NAME IS ON THE
[00:10:29] BALLOT, THAT MAY WORK OUT FOR
[00:10:30] HIM OR IT MAY BE A VERY -- >> Reporter: AT THE END OF THE
[00:10:34] DAY, VOTERS WHO SUPPORT BOTH PARTIES ARE PROBABLY THINKING
[00:10:37] THAT AND THAT MAY -- AS WE HAVE HEARD FROM THE EARLY NUMBERS
[00:10:40] FROM DAVID, UM, BACKFIRE ON
[00:10:42] DONALD TRUMP.
[00:10:44] >> Adrienne: SO WE HAVE TEAMS IN THE MOST CONSEQUENTIAL RACES
[00:10:47] ACROSS THE U.S. AND THE CHIEF POLITICAL CORRESPONDENT ROSEMARY
[00:10:50] BARTON IS IN OTTAWA AND TACKLING THE STAKES IN THIS COUNTRY AND
[00:10:54] WE'LL HEAD TO A WATCH PARTY IN CANADA WHERE THE RACES ARE
[00:10:58] WATCHED EXTREMELY CLOSELY. BUT, FIRST, WHY DON'T WE GO TO
[00:11:01] PAY A VISIT TO DAVID COMMON -- AND THERE'S KATIE SIMPSON IN
[00:11:05] TEXAS AND WE'LL CONNECT WITH KATIE SIMPSON BUT I THINK THAT
[00:11:08] WE WANT TO SEE DAVID COMMON IN
[00:11:11] DETROIT, AND BECAUSE WE JUST SPOKE ABOUT ABDUL El-SAYED.
[00:11:14] THERE YOU ARE, SIR. YOU ARE IN MOTOR CITY.
[00:11:17] HOW MUCH HAVE THE TALKS OF TARIFFS DRIVEN THE VOTE THERE,
[00:11:20] FROM WHAT YOU CAN TELL, DAVID? >> Reporter: IT'S QUITE SOMETHING, ADRIENNE.
[00:11:24] NOT THAT MANY MONTHS AGO, MOST
[00:11:26] AMERICANS AND MOST MICHIGANANERS
[00:11:33] DIDN'T KNOW WHAT THE EFFECT WOULD BE AND NOW IT DIRECTLY
[00:11:37] COSTS TO COST OF LIVING WHICH IS THE TOP OF THE BALLOT QUESTION
[00:11:39] IN THIS STATE AND IN SO MANY
[00:11:42] OTHER STATES THAT MANY AMERICAN VOTERS -- THOSE WHO MIGHT HAVE
[00:11:45] SUPPORTED DONALD TRUMP IN THE PAST, LOOK AT THEIR GAS TANK,
[00:11:49] LOOK AT PUSHING A GROCERY CART DOWN THE AISLE AND THEY SAY IT'S
[00:11:53] COSTING ME MORE AND HE SAID THAT IT WAS GOING TO COST LESS.
[00:11:55] AND THAT HAS DRIVEN A LOT OF THE
[00:11:58] DEMOCRATIC SUPPORT, CERTAINLY IN THIS STATE.
[00:12:01] MICHIGAN -- THE PARTY GETTING STARTED HERE AT THE DEMOCRATIC
[00:12:04] PARTY HEADQUARTERS WITH PEOPLE
[00:12:07] OF MANY FAITHS AND MANY BACKGROUNDS AND FROM MANY PARTS
[00:12:10] OF THE STATE COMING IN AND EXPECTING A VERY GOOD NIGHT FOR THE DEMOCRATS.
[00:12:14] THIS IS A DIFFERENT, THIS STATE. WHILE THERE'S NO INCUMBENT, THEY
[00:12:18] NEED TO HOLD. AND IF THEY DON'T, THAT'S A MARKER OF A BAD NIGHT FOR THEM
[00:12:21] BECAUSE A REPUBLICAN SENATOR IS
[00:12:24] NOT WON HERE SINCE 1994.
[00:12:28] ABDUL El-SAYED HAS HAD, AS COCHRANE WAS MENTIONING A VERY
[00:12:31] CONSEQUENTIAL AND AT TIMES CONTROVERSIAL CAMPAIGN -- NO QUESTION ABOUT THAT.
[00:12:35] HE'S SEEN THAT LAST-MINUTE ENDORSEMENT OF HIS RIVAL BY A
[00:12:38] FELLOW DEMOCRAT, THE PERSON WHO RAN AGAINST HIM FOR THE SENATE
[00:12:42] NOMINATION AND LOST. AND THE MIDDLE EAST HAS COME UP
[00:12:46] REPEATEDLY.
[00:12:47] TARIFFS HAVE COME UP REPEATEDLY.
[00:12:50] THAT LA BLAT BLUE IN A
[00:12:54] COMMERCIAL HAS COME UP NUMEROUS TIMES NOW.
[00:12:56] AND POLLS ARE SCHEDULED TO BE
[00:12:59] CLOSED, BUT CLOSE TO 30% OF THE
[00:13:01] ELIGIBLE VOTERS ALREADY VOTED, EITHER BY MAIL-IN OR EARLY VOTING.
[00:13:05] SO THEY HAVE INDICATED MUCH MORE
[00:13:07] THAN THEY HAVE IN THE LAST
[00:13:09] MIDTERM VOTE THEIR WILLINGNESS AND ENTHUSIASM ABOUT VOTING.
[00:13:12] THAT COULD BE A HARBINGER AGAINST THE PRESIDENT AND HIS
[00:13:16] PARTY AS IT VERY OFTEN IS IN MIDTERM CAMPAIGNS.
[00:13:20] WHAT HAS BEEN A DEFINING ISSUE THOUGH CONTINUES TO BE TARIFFS.
[00:13:23] LOOK AT THOSE AUTO COMPANIES -- THE DETROIT BIG THREE WHO ARE
[00:13:27] HEADQUARTERED JUST AROUND ME. I'M ABOUT A KILOMETRE AWAY FROM
[00:13:31] DETROIT AS I TALK TO YOU RIGHT NOW AND THEY'VE BEEN HEMORRHAGING MONEY.
[00:13:34] SO IT'S GOING TO BE A CONTROVERSIAL NIGHT AND AS I
[00:13:37] WRAP UP, ADRIENNE, SO GLAD THAT YOU HAVE PAUL HUNTER THERE -- I
[00:13:41] REMEMBER HIM FROM THE FIRST TRUMP WIN. I REMEMBER HIM FROM THE FIRST
[00:13:45] OBAMA WIN, OUT IN STREETS AND ALL OF THE EXCITEMENT.
[00:13:47] BUT YOU DO HAVE TO ASK HIM -- BECAUSE I THINK THAT HE WAS THERE DURING THE GEORGE
[00:13:51] WASHINGTON WIN -- ASK HIM ABOUT
[00:13:53] THE QUAINT WHITE HOUSE BACK THEN.
[00:13:57] >> Adrienne: OH, DAVID, IT'S SO EARLY FOR THE DAVID COMMON-NESS
[00:14:00] TO BE EMERGING AND I THINK YOU HAVE BEEN UP FOR 47 HOURS.
[00:14:04] ALL RIGHT, THAT IS DAVID COMMON IN DETROIT.
[00:14:06] SO YOU GOT A SNEAK PEEK OF KATIE
[00:14:09] SIMPSON EARLIER WHO IS IN AUSTIN, TEXAS.
[00:14:11] LET'S GO BACK TO SEE KATIE AND SHE'S AT A JAMES TALARICO WATCH
[00:14:15] PARTY. HOW ARE YOU, KATIE? >> Reporter: ADRIENNE, YOU KNOW,
[00:14:18] OF ALL OF THE TIME THAT I'VE COVERED POLITICS, I HAVE NEVER
[00:14:21] IN MY LIFE MET A GROUP OF VOTERS
[00:14:25] MORE NERVOUS TO FEEL EXCITED.
[00:14:28] MORE AFRAID TO BE EMBRACING WHAT LOOKS TO BE A POSITIVE NIGHT.
[00:14:31] AND THAT IS BECAUSE SO MANY
[00:14:34] TIMES IN THE PAST DEMOCRATS HAVE
[00:14:36] HAD THEIR HEARTS BROKEN BY CANDIDATES, AND THINKING THEY
[00:14:39] CAN GET ACROSS THE LINE HERE IN TEXAS AND THEN JUST FALLING SHORT.
[00:14:43] AND THERE IS -- IF EVERYTHING IS BIGGER IN TEXAS, THAT GOES FOR
[00:14:47] THE ANXIETY TOO. THE DEMOCRATS ARE LOOKING AT THE
[00:14:49] POLLS AND HEADING INTO THE FINAL DAYS OF THIS CAMPAIGN IN THE
[00:14:53] RACE FOR SENATE. AND IT IS NECK-AND-NECK WITH
[00:14:56] SOME POLLS EVEN GIVING THE DEMOCRAT JAMES TALARICO A BIT OF
[00:14:59] AN EDGE IN THIS CAMPAIGN. HOWEVER, BECAUSE TEXAS IS A
[00:15:03] REPUBLICAN STRONGHOLD, DONALD TRUMP WON THIS STATE BY 14
[00:15:07] POINTS BACK IN 2024.
[00:15:09] AND THAT THEY'RE TOO NERVOUS TO
[00:15:13] TO TRY TO EMBRACE OR RELAX AND THAT'S WHAT WE HAVE SEEN OVER
[00:15:15] THE PAST COUPLE DAYS HERE IN TEXAS. NOW WE'RE AT A WATCH PARTY RIGHT
[00:15:19] NOW FOR TEXAS DEMOCRATS AND IT'S SLOWLY STARTING TO FILL UP.
[00:15:22] AND SOME INITIAL RESULTS ARE
[00:15:24] COMING IN JUST AFTER 7:00
[00:15:26] EASTERN TIMES WHEN THE POLLS OFFICIALLY CLOSED AND YOU HEARD
[00:15:30] THOSE INITIAL CHEERS. WE SHOULD GET RESULTS RELATIVELY QUICKLY IN TEXAS.
[00:15:33] THEY DON'T HAVE A LOT OF MAIL-IN BALLOTS SO THAT DOESN'T TAKE A
[00:15:37] LONG TIME TO COUNT BECAUSE YOU HAVE TO HAVE A SPECIFIC REASON
[00:15:40] TO CAST A MAIL-IN BALLOT IN TEXAS.
[00:15:42] SO BY MIDNIGHT WE SHOULD HAVE A LARGE BULK OF THE RESULTS IN AND
[00:15:46] A BETTER IDEA OF WHICH WAY THIS IS GOING TO GO.
[00:15:49] JAMES TALARICO, A MODERATE DEMOCRAT, WHO HAS SLOWLY AND
[00:15:53] CONSISTENTLY BUILT MOMENTUM THROUGHOUT THIS CAMPAIGN, HE'S
[00:15:56] TRIED TO REACH OUT TO MORE CONSERVATIVE VOTERS IN THIS
[00:15:59] STATE BY TAPPING INTO HIS DEEP ROOTS AND HIS CHRISTIAN FAITH.
[00:16:02] THAT IS SOMETHING THAT HE'S TRYING TO LEAN OVER TO ACROSS
[00:16:06] THE AISLES AND THE REPUBLICANS TO TRY TO CONNECT AND RELATE WITH THEM.
[00:16:09] HE'S UP AGAINST KEN PAXTON WHO
[00:16:11] IS A DEEPLY CONTROVERSIAL FIGURE IN TEXAS.
[00:16:14] HE WAS ENDORSED DIE DONALD BY DP
[00:16:19] THOUGH HE'S BEEN INDICTED AND GOT A PLEA DEAL.
[00:16:22] HE HAS A NUMBER OF PERSONAL
[00:16:24] SCANDALS THAT HAVE PLAYED OUT PUBLICLY. [Cheers and Applause]
[00:16:27] SO WE'RE GETTING SOME APPLAUSE HERE BECAUSE SOME INITIAL
[00:16:30] RESULTS ARE IN FROM TEXAS, AND
[00:16:33] AN AMERICAN NETWORK IS SHOWING
[00:16:34] ABOUT 13% OF THE VOTES IN IN
[00:16:37] TEXAS AND JAMES TALARICO HAS AN INITIAL EARLY LEAD.
[00:16:40] NOW A MOMENT -- A WORD OF
[00:16:42] CAUTION -- BECAUSE THE EARLY
[00:16:44] VOTE OFTEN INCLUDES THE ADVANCED
[00:16:47] VOTING AND PERHAPS THERE'S A
[00:16:50] SKEW TOWARD DEMOCRAT, BECAUSE THERE WAS SO MUCH ENTHUSIASM IN THIS RACE.
[00:16:54] AND IT COULD CHANGE OVER THE COURSE OF THE NIGHT AND THAT'S
[00:16:57] THE ONLY WARNING THAT I WANT TO PUT OUT THERE. PEOPLE MIGHT BE VERY EXCITED
[00:17:00] RIGHT NOW AND THAT COULD CHANGE. AND IT'S PROBABLY GOING TO BE A
[00:17:03] LONG NIGHT HERE IN TEXAS, ADRIENNE, BUT WE'LL CONTINUE TO WATCH IT.
[00:17:06] >> Adrienne: I WILL HOLD YOU TO THE NOTION THAT THERE WILL BE
[00:17:09] EARLY RESULTS IN TEXAS AND BY
[00:17:11] MMIDNIGHT.
[00:17:14] ALL RIGHT, KATIE SIMPSON IN
[00:17:16] AUSTIN, TEXAS.
[00:17:18] SO ROSEMARY BARTON IS IN OTTAWA.
[00:17:21] AND QUIET AND CALM OTTAWA WATCHING HERE.
[00:17:24] ROSIE, WHAT IS YOUR SENSE OF WHAT COULD CHANGE FOR CANADA
[00:17:27] TONIGHT DEPENDING ON THE RESULT? >> Rosemary: I MEAN, LISTEN, I DON'T THINK THAT CANADIANS WHO
[00:17:31] PAY ATTENTION TO MIDTERMS HAVE
[00:17:33] EVER SEEN CANADA MENTIONED AS MANY TIMES DURING THIS
[00:17:37] MIDTERMS -- THIS TIME AROUND. EITHER BY PRESIDENT TRUMP, BY
[00:17:40] FORMER PRESIDENT OBAMA, BY A
[00:17:43] MULTITUDE OF CANDIDATES. AND FOR VARIOUS REASONS.
[00:17:47] EITHER TO POINT THE FINGER AT
[00:17:49] CANADA, OR TO POINT TO THE
[00:17:51] ISSUES OF TARIFFS AND TRADE.
[00:17:53] IT IS PERHAPS THE FIRST MIDTERM
[00:17:56] ELECTION EVER WHERE THE U.S.
[00:17:58] AMBASSADOR TO CANADA PETE
[00:18:00] HOEKSTRA HAS ACCUSED CANADIAN POLITICIANS OF MEDDLING IN THE ELECTIONS.
[00:18:04] THE U.S. EMBASSY RELEASING A FACT SHEET OF ALL OF THE
[00:18:08] INSTANCES WHERE CANADIAN POLITICIANS TRIED TO INFLUENCE
[00:18:10] THE OUTCOME HERE TONIGHT. THAT'S SOMETHING THAT THE PRIME
[00:18:13] MINISTER OBVIOUSLY REBUKED VERY, VERY STRONGLY.
[00:18:16] IN SOME WAYS CANADA WAS ON THE BALLOT IN SOME OF THESE PLACES,
[00:18:20] AND CERTAINLY WHERE DAVID COMMON IS IN MICHIGAN. AND CERTAINLY IN MAINE.
[00:18:24] AND WHERE THE REPUBLICAN
[00:18:26] CANDIDATE SUSAN COLI COLLINS HAO
[00:18:30] BEG PRESIDENT TRUMP TO REMOVE TARIFFS OFF KEY THINGS THAT MAINE NEEDS.
[00:18:34] AND THE QUESTION FOR CANADIAN OFFICIALS TONIGHT AS THEY WATCH
[00:18:37] THINGS UNFOLD IS IF EITHER THE
[00:18:40] SENATE OR THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES GOES TO THE
[00:18:43] DEMOCRATS, WHAT HAPPENS.
[00:18:45] IF BOTH OF THEM GO TO THE
[00:18:48] DEMOCRATS, DOES ANYTHING MATERIALLY CHANGE? BECAUSE DONALD TRUMP IS
[00:18:52] COMMITTED TO TARIFFS.
[00:18:54] AND IT IS NOT CLEAR THAT THAT
[00:18:57] SIMPLE CHANGE -- OR THAT BIG CHANGE -- WOULD ACTUALLY CHANGE
[00:19:01] HOW DONALD TRUMP APPROACHES CANADA.
[00:19:03] BUT WE KNOW THAT THEY HAD A PHONE CALL, RIGHT, AND THE PRIME
[00:19:06] MINISTER AND THE PRESIDENT OVER THE WEEKEND. AND THE PRIME MINISTER WAS ASKED
[00:19:10] ABOUT IT JUST TODAY. HE SAID THAT PROGRESS IS BEING
[00:19:13] MADE, THAT NEGOTIATIONS HAVE INTENSIFIED. WHETHER THAT WAS BECAUSE OF THE
[00:19:17] MIDTERMS OR WHETHER THAT WAS BECAUSE DONALD TRUMP IS GETTING
[00:19:19] THE MESSAGE IS KIND OF UNCLEAR. >> Adrienne: YEAH, WE ALSO KNOW
[00:19:23] THAT THE U.S. PRESIDENT IS PROBABLY GETTING A BRAND-NEW
[00:19:26] VETO SHARPIE STANDING BY THAT HE
[00:19:28] MAY GET A LOT OF USE OUT OF.
[00:19:32] ROSIE, THANK YOU VERY MUCH. AND HERE'S A CHANCE FOR US TO HAVE A CHAT WITH OUR PANEL
[00:19:35] BECAUSE I CAN FEEL YOU GUYS BOUNCING OUT OF YOUR SEATS HERE.
[00:19:38] [LAUGHTER] AMBASSADOR HILLMAN, I AM CURIOUS
[00:19:42] IF THERE IS A SENSE OF WHETHER
[00:19:44] CANADA MAY HAVE HAD MORE
[00:19:46] LEVERAGE GOING INTO THE
[00:19:49] MIDTERMS, OR WILL STILL HAVE SOME LEVERAGE COMING OUT OF IT?
[00:19:53] IS THERE GOING TO BE A CHANGE IN THAT LEVERAGE AT ALL, DEPENDING
[00:19:56] ON WHAT HAPPENS? >> YOU KNOW, I THINK THAT
[00:20:00] THERE'S GOING TO BE A LEGACY
[00:20:02] FROM THE DEGREE TO WHICH TARIFFS
[00:20:04] ARE BEING DISCUSSED IN THIS NEGOTIATION -- IN THIS ELECTION.
[00:20:07] AND I THINK THAT WHAT WE'RE GOING TO SEE IS THE FACT AS
[00:20:11] FOLKS HAVE BEEN SAYING THAT THE TARIFFS HAVE BEEN SO CLOSELY
[00:20:14] LINKED TO THE COST OF LIVING. THAT CONVERSATION ISN'T GOING TO
[00:20:17] END AT THE END OF THE ELECTION. THAT'S A CONVERSATION THAT AMERICANS ARE GOING TO CONTINUE
[00:20:21] TO HAVE. AND THE DEMOCRATS HAVE ALREADY
[00:20:24] SAID THEY'RE GOING TO PUT FORWARD THE LEGISLATION ON TARIFFS.
[00:20:27] SO THEY'LL KEEP THAT CONVERSATION GOING AND THAT'S GOOD FOR CANADA AND THAT'S GOOD
[00:20:31] FOR CANADA GENERALLY AND IT'S GOOD FOR CANADA AT THE NEGOTIATING TABLE, BECAUSE IT'S
[00:20:34] WHAT WE HAVE BEEN SAYING FOR TWO YEARS. AND NOW, YOU KNOW, MANY
[00:20:38] AMERICANS HAD UNDERSTOOD THAT BEFORE, BUT NOW IT'S BEING
[00:20:41] DISCUSSED OPENLY AND FORCEFUL HE AND SO I THINK THAT A GOOD
[00:20:45] THING.
[00:20:46] WHETHER IT LEADS TO A CONCLUSION
[00:20:50] QUICKLY OR IT WILL CONTINUE TO TAKE TIME, IT REMAINS TO BE SEEN.
[00:20:53] BUT THE DEGREE TO WHICH AMERICANS ARE MAKING THIS
[00:20:55] CONNECTION IS HELPFUL. >> Adrienne: JUST ONE QUICK
[00:20:59] THOUGHT TO YOU, ASHLEY. WHAT SPECIFICALLY ARE YOU GOING
[00:21:01] TO BE LOOKING AT -- IT'S EARLY, RIGHT? SO WHAT ARE THE EARLY THING US
[00:21:05] THAT LOCK AT FOR A MEASURE OF SUCCESS OR FAILURE? >> THERE'S THREE THINGS THAT I
[00:21:09] LOOK AT AND ONE IS THE BLACK VOTER TURNOUT.
[00:21:12] IT'S BEEN RECORD TURNOUT EARLY
[00:21:14] VOTE, MORE THAN -- WELL, 160,000
[00:21:17] MORE BLACK AMERICANS HAVE BEEN VOTING THIS CYCLE.
[00:21:20] AND PRIMARILY BECAUSE THEY'VE BEEN MORE DEVASTATED BY THIS
[00:21:24] PARTICULAR ECONOMY AND DONALD TRUMP HAS BEEN VERY INTENTIONAL
[00:21:27] ABOUT UNDERMINING BLACK ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL POWER FROM, YOU
[00:21:30] KNOW, 600,000 BLACK WOMEN BEING
[00:21:32] OUT OF A JOB TO THE UNDERMINING
[00:21:35] OF THE VOTING RIGHTS ACT.
[00:21:37] SO THEY'VE HAVE BEEN AGGRIEVED
[00:21:40] BY THIS PRESIDENT SO THEY'RE TURNING OUT. AND THAT MAKES A DIFFERENCE IN TEXAS AND OHIO AND MICHIGAN.
[00:21:44] AND THE OTHER THING THAT I'M LOOKING AT IS WHETHER OR NOT THE
[00:21:47] SOUTH WILL RISE AGAIN. YOU KNOW, WE HAVE SOME
[00:21:50] INCREDIBLE CANDIDATES FROM GEORGIA, TO NORTH CAROLINA, AND
[00:21:53] THE GOVERNOR IS EXCEPTIONAL, TO
[00:21:56] TEXAS, MISSISSIPPI, PICK IT, CHOOSE IT, YOU SEE THE DEMOCRATS
[00:22:00] NOW VOTING IN HIGHER NUMBERS IN THE SOUTH.
[00:22:02] AND WHO IS TO BLAME FOR THAT? DONALD TRUMP AND HIS POLICIES.
[00:22:05] HIS POLICIES HAVE DISPROPORTIONATELY IMPACTED THESE RED STATES.
[00:22:09] SO NOW THEY'RE VULNERABLE. SO THE QUESTION FOR ME IS NOT JUST TONIGHT BUT IT'S LONG
[00:22:13] TERM -- THE IMPLICATIONS FOR 2028. AND THE THIRD THING THAT I'M
[00:22:16] LOOKING FOR IS THIS ISSUE OF CORRUPTION. AND I THINK THAT YOU GOT TO IT
[00:22:19] AND YOU SPOKE TO IT, AMBASSADOR,
[00:22:20] AND THAT'S AROUND PEOPLE FEELING
[00:22:23] LIKE SOMEHOW THAT THE PRESIDENT
[00:22:26] WHO HAS MADE TWO PLUS BILLION DOLLARS OFF OF THE OFFICE AND
[00:22:29] HIS RICH BUDDIES ARE MAKING A FORTUNE AT THEIR EXPENSE.
[00:22:32] AND THAT EXTENDS FROM EVERYTHING FROM THE TARIFFS TO THE DATA CENTRES.
[00:22:36] I MEAN, PEOPLE ARE SEEING THESE THINGS POP UP IN THEIR LIVES.
[00:22:39] AND NOW 88% OF THE AMERICAN PUBLIC HAVE CONCERNS ABOUT
[00:22:43] CORRUPTION AND ARE TYING IT BACK TO THEIR POCKETBOOKS.
[00:22:45] AND IT'S ACTUALLY HIGH ARE THAN THE ECONOMY. SO THOSE ARE THE THREE THINGS
[00:22:49] THAT I'M LOOKING AT. >> Adrienne: OKAY, THAT'S A LOT.
[00:22:52] AND, MAURA, I WAS THINKING OF YOU WHEN WE LOOKED AT FLORIDA AND THE EARLY RESULTS THERE.
[00:22:56] AS A REPUBLICAN IS THAT A STATE THAT YOU'RE LOOKING AT VERY
[00:22:59] CAREFULLY TO GIVE YOU A SIGN WHAT IS IN THE WIND? >> I THINK THAT I'M LOOKING AT
[00:23:03] IT WITH THE POTENTIAL REALIGNMENT AND FUTURE.
[00:23:06] DONALD TRUMP OBVIOUSLY WENT IN THERE AND TRIED TO PLAY WITH THE
[00:23:10] REDISTRICTING AND WE'RE SEE SOMETHING OF THESE RACES THAT
[00:23:12] ARE BACKFIRING ON THAT ALREADY.
[00:23:14] SOME OF THE RACES THAT ARE, YOU
[00:23:18] KNOW, AND IF THE REPUBLICANS
[00:23:19] DON'T WIN THOSE, THAT WERE
[00:23:22] PURPOSEFULLY DESIGNED TO GET A REPUBLICAN WIN, THAT'S DAMAGING
[00:23:26] TO THE PRESIDENT. AND THIS IS AN OPPORTUNITY TO REMEMBER THAT REDISTRICTING IS
[00:23:29] NOT SOMETHING THAT THEY WOULD HAVE SUPPORTED. SO I LOOK AT IT AS AN
[00:23:33] OPPORTUNITY TO DO A REASSIGN LENT AND THIS FAILED AND DONALD
[00:23:36] TRUMP CHOSE TO DO THIS AND YOU AS REPUBLICAN NEED TO TAKE BACK
[00:23:39] YOUR OWN PRINCIPLES AND VALUES AND REAFFIRM THEM TO YOUR CONSTITUENTS.
[00:23:42] OR YOUR HOPEFUL CONSTITUENTS IN 2028.
[00:23:45] BECAUSE BEING SILENT ON AN ISSUE
[00:23:47] AS IMPORTANT AS THAT, AS I THINK
[00:23:50] IS AN ABDICATION OF YOUR PRINCIPLES, BUT ALSO THINGS THAT
[00:23:54] WE STAND FOR IN AMERICA. >> Adrienne: SO WE'RE GOING TO HAVING A CONVERSATION WITH YOU
[00:23:58] ABOUT DISTANCING LATER ON TONIGHT, IF SOME OF THESE RESULTS HOLD.
[00:24:01] I WANT TO GO TO A GUEST THAT WE HAVE THE LINE IF I MAY.
[00:24:04] THE FORMER DEPUTY PRIME MINISTER
[00:24:06] CHRYSTIA FREELAND IS JOINING US FROM SAN FRANCISCO.
[00:24:09] YOU WERE IN THE THICK OF IT DURING THE NEGOTIATIONS OF CUSMA.
[00:24:13] THANK YOU FOR SPENDING SOME TIME WITH US TONIGHT.
[00:24:16] I SUSPECT THAT YOU HAVE MORE FREEDOM TO TALK THAN YOU USED
[00:24:20] TO, SO WHAT IS YOUR INSTINCT
[00:24:22] ABOUT WHAT MIGHT BE IN CANADA'S
[00:24:24] BEST INTEREST TONIGHT?
[00:24:26] >> WELL, I VERY MUCH AGREE WITH
[00:24:30] WHAT KIERSTEN, AND AMBASSADOR
[00:24:32] HILLMAN SAID, HI, KIERSTEN, NICE TO SEE YOU.
[00:24:35] AND WE WERE IN THE THICK OF IT TOGETHER.
[00:24:37] I REALLY BELIEVE THAT CANADA IS
[00:24:40] ON THE BALLOT TONIGHT IN THE
[00:24:41] UNITED STATES. TARIFFS AGAINST CANADA ARE ON
[00:24:45] THE BALLOT. AND AMERINS DON'T LIKE THEM.
[00:24:48] THERE'S ACTUALLY AN ASTONISHING
[00:24:50] POLL THAT SHOWS THAT AMERICANS
[00:24:53] ARE MORE SUPPORTIVE OF CANADA'S
[00:24:57] RETALIATORY TARIFFS AGAINST THE UNITED STATES THAN ON THE U.S.
[00:25:00] TARIFFS THAT WERE PUT IN PLACE AGAINST CANADA IN THE FIRST PLACE. AMAZING.
[00:25:04] AND THE AMERICANS DON'T LIKE THE TARIFFS BECAUSE THEY KNOW THAT
[00:25:07] THEY ARE INCREASING THE PRICES AND THEY ARE INCREASING
[00:25:10] INFLATION AND THEY ARE HURTING BUSINESSES AND THEY ARE HURT BE
[00:25:14] JOBS. AMERICANS MORE BROADLY DO NOT
[00:25:17] LIKE SEEING THE PRESIDENT FIGHTING WITH CANADA.
[00:25:20] THEY ACTUALLY KNOW THAT IT'S A WIN-WIN RELATIONSHIP. AND I THINK THAT WE'RE SEEING
[00:25:24] THAT THE AMERICANS THINK THAT IT'S JUST ABSURD TO BE BEATING
[00:25:27] UP ON CANADA. ONE OF OBAMA'S BEST LINES IN ONE
[00:25:30] OF THE PRECAMPAIGN RALLIES WAS
[00:25:32] WHEN HE MADE FUN OF THIS ATTACK ON CANADA.
[00:25:35] SO I THINK THAT CANADA IS ON THE BALLOT TONIGHT.
[00:25:38] AND IF WE SEE AMERICANS SAYING
[00:25:41] THAT WE DON'T LIKE THIS POLICY
[00:25:43] TOWARDS CANADA, I THINK THAT STRENGTHENS CANADA'S HAND AND
[00:25:47] IT'S GOING TO STRENGTHEN CANADA'S HAND BECAUSE PEOPLE
[00:25:50] WILL BE ELECTED TO THE HOUSE AND
[00:25:52] THE SENATE IN PART BY SAYING THAT THIS TREATMENT OF CANADA IS WRONG.
[00:25:56] AND WHAT I ALSO EXPECT IS THAT
[00:25:59] WE COULD SEE REPUBLICANS STARTING TO BREAK WITH THE PARTY
[00:26:03] LINE. WE HAVE SEEN SUSAN COLLINS
[00:26:06] ALREADY BASICALLY BEGGING THE
[00:26:07] PRESIDENT TO LET UP ON CANADA.
[00:26:10] WHAT KIERSTEN WILL REMEMBER IS,
[00:26:12] LIKE, REMEMBER THAT WE HAD A BIG FIGHT WITH THE UNITED STATES IN
[00:26:16] THE FIRST TRUMP ADMINISTRATION.
[00:26:18] THE PRESIDENT CALLED ME A NASTY
[00:26:20] WOMAN AND HE SAID THAT I WAS TOXIC, ETC., ETC.
[00:26:23] BUT WE GOT A DEAL IN THE END. AND THE REASON THAT WE GOT A
[00:26:27] DEAL WAS REGULAR AMERICANS WERE
[00:26:29] ON OUR SIDE, AND AT THE END OF
[00:26:32] THE DAY, SENIOR REPUBLICANS --
[00:26:34] PEOPLE LIKE CHUCK GRASSLEY, PEOPLE LIKE PAUL RYAN, PEOPLE
[00:26:38] EVEN LIKE MITCH McCONNELL WERE ON OUR SIDE.
[00:26:42] I THINK THAT IF THERE IS A STRONG -- WHAT I WOULD CALL A
[00:26:46] PRO-CANADA VOTE IN THESE MIDTERMS -- WE'RE GOING TO SEE
[00:26:49] MORE VOICES LIKE THAT APPLYING PRESSURE ON THE WHITE HOUSE. THAT'S GOOD FOR CANADIANS.
[00:26:53] ALSO GOOD FOR AMERICANS, BY THE WAY. >> Adrienne: AND THE TIMING OF
[00:26:56] THIS MIGHT BE INTERESTING AND WE HAVE SEEN SO MUCH SIGNALLING
[00:27:00] FROM THE WHITE HOUSE EVEN TODAY -- A DEAL IS COMING, IT'S COMING.
[00:27:03] IN YOUR EXPERIENCE OF HAVING NEGOTIATED A DEAL WITH DONALD
[00:27:06] TRUMP, HOW REAL DOES THATOPTTIST
[00:27:12] OPTIMISM FEEL OR DOES THAT FEEL
[00:27:15] PERFORMATIVE TO YOU? >> LOOK, IT'S IMPOSSIBLE TO JUDGE. I THINK THOUGH THAT WE SHOULD
[00:27:19] UNDERSTAND THAT THIS IS A CRITICAL VOTE FOR THE PRESIDENT.
[00:27:22] AND EVERYTHING THAT HE IS SAYING
[00:27:24] BETWEEN -- YOU KNOW, UP UNTIL
[00:27:27] EVERY BALLOT IS CAST IS ABOUT
[00:27:30] TRYING TO DO BETTER IN THE MIDTERMS.
[00:27:33] I ACTUALLY THOUGH TAKE THOSE COMMENTS AS A GOOD SIGN, BECAUSE
[00:27:37] WHAT THAT SAYS TO ME IS THAT THE
[00:27:38] WHITE HOUSE IS RECOGNISING THIS
[00:27:41] FIGHT WITH CANADA IS A POLITICAL LOSER.
[00:27:44] AND I THINK THAT THE WHITE HOUSE HAS BEEN TRYING DESPERATELY --
[00:27:48] AND I THINK PROBABLY
[00:27:50] UNEFFECTIVELY TO SIGNAL BEFORE THE MIDTERMS, IT'S OKAY, DON'T
[00:27:58] THEY HAVE TO SAY THAT. >> Adrienne: OKAY, ALL RIGHT, THANK YOU.
[00:28:01] FORMER DEPUTY PRIME MINISTER CHRYSTIA FREELAND, REALLY NICE TO SEE YOU AGAIN.
[00:28:05] THANK YOU VERY MUCH. AND LET'S SPIN OVER TO DAVID
[00:28:07] COCHRANE WITH MORE NUMBERS. >> David: ADRIENNE, WE HAVE A
[00:28:10] GOOD START IF YOU'RE A DEMOCRAT RIGHT NOW AND WE TOLD YOU AT THE
[00:28:13] BEGINNING THEY NEEDED TO FLIP FOUR SEATS TO TAKE CONTROL OF
[00:28:16] THE SENATE AND RIGHT NOW LEADING IN SEVEN REPUBLICAN SEATS AND HAVE FLIPPED ONE.
[00:28:19] STARTING WITH NORTH CAROLINA. AS WE TOLD YOU THAT ROY COOPER,
[00:28:23] THE FORMER GOVERNOR WHO NEVER LOST AN ELECTION IN THAT STATE
[00:28:26] AND HIS WINNING STREAK IS CONTINUING AND HE HAS NEARLY 67%
[00:28:30] OF THE VOTES CAST. AND SIMILAR STORIES IN OTHER KEY STATES.
[00:28:33] LOOK AT THIS, KANSAS HASN'T
[00:28:36] VOTED DEMOCRAT SINCE 1932 WHEN
[00:28:39] HERBERT HOOVER WAS PUTTING TARIFFING ON THE WORLD ECONOMY.
[00:28:42] AND ADAM HAMILTON HAS A 17-POINT LEAD OVER ROGER MARSHALL WITH
[00:28:45] 12% OF THE VOTES IN. AND TEXAS IT CONTINUES TO BE A
[00:28:48] GOOD NIGHT FOR JAMES TALARICO --
[00:28:51] BETO O'ROURKE HAD TO WALK SO JAMES TALARICO COULD RUN.
[00:28:55] 23% OF THE VOTE IN AND 60% GOING
[00:28:58] FOR JAMES TALARICO.
[00:29:00] SOUTH CAROLINA -- LINDSEY
[00:29:02] GRAHAM'S OLD SEAT AND HIS SISTER DARLENE GRAHAM IS RUNNING FOR
[00:29:05] THE REPUBLICANS AND A
[00:29:07] PAEDIATRICIAN WITH 51.5% OF THE
[00:29:10] VOTE, WHICH 35% OF THE VOTE IS COUNTED AND IN OHIO, J.D.
[00:29:14] VANCE'S OLD SEAT, S SHERROD BRON
[00:29:19] WITH 34% OF THE VOTE IN, AND 420
[00:29:22] MILLION DOLLARS AMERICAN SPENT ON ADVERTISING IN THAT SENATE RACE.
[00:29:26] FEDERAL ELECTIONS IN CANADA COST ABOUT $40 MILLION, SO, ADRIENNE,
[00:29:30] THAT'S THE STATE OF THE SENATE. AND DEMS PLUS SEVEN AND IN THE
[00:29:34] HOUSE RIGHT NOW AND COUNTING, PLUS 47 IN THE HOUSE.
[00:29:37] THEY ONLY NEED THREE TO FLIP IT.
[00:29:39] THOSE AREN'T FINAL BUT THAT'S WHERE WE ARE IN THE EARLY
[00:29:43] BALLOTS BEING COUNTED.
[00:29:50] COMBINATION -- I'M NOT SURE WHAT IS HAPPENING. SOMETHING IS HAPPENING OVER HERE.
[00:29:53] LISTEN, MORE ON WHERE THE RESULTS STAND SOON AND IT IS
[00:29:56] ABOUT 8:30, SO THE POLLS ARE
[00:29:58] CLOSED IN ALL OF THE 31 STATES
[00:30:01] AND ABOUT TO CLOSE IN ARKANSAS. WE'RE GOING TO TAKE A QUICK
[00:30:04] BREAK AND AFTER THE BREAK IAN HANOMANSING IS MORE WITH SOME OF THE OTHER NEWS OF THE DAY
[00:30:08] BECAUSE THERE'S OTHER THINGS HAPPENING HERE TOO.
[00:32:51] (♪)
[00:32:52] (♪)
[00:32:55] >> Ian: WE'LL RETURN TO OUR U.S. MIDTERM ELECTION SPECIAL IN A
[00:32:58] FEW MINUTES, BUT FIRST SOME OTHER NEWS, BEGINNING WITH A
[00:33:01] SUSPECTED BEAR ATTACK HERE IN BRITISH COLUMBIA. A WOMAN WAS FOUND DEAD NEAR A
[00:33:04] TRAIL IN BELLA COOLA. HER DAUGHTER IS STILL MISSING.
[00:33:07] WE SPOKE WITH THE FAMILY WHO FEAR THEY HAVE LOST THEM BOTH.
[00:33:11] >> THEY WERE TWO PEAS IN A POD
[00:33:14] AND WHEN JENNY HIKED SHE WAS BESIDE HER. >> Reporter: 48-YEAR-OLD
[00:33:18] JENNIFER BALCAROS AND HER
[00:33:21] DAUGHTER SAILOR REID WENT FOR A
[00:33:22] WALK IN BELLA COOLA ON SATURDAY
[00:33:26] AND THEY NEVER RETURNED HOME. THEY ARE BELIEVED TO BE THE VICTIMS OF A GRIZZLY BEAR
[00:33:30] ATTACK. >> THEY HAVE CONFIRMED THE
[00:33:33] REMAINS OF OUR SISTER JENNY, AND
[00:33:40] AT THIS POINT IN TIME IT'S NOT BELIEVED THAT SAILOR HAS
[00:33:44] SURVIVED EITHER. >> Reporter: BELLA COOLA IS A
[00:33:47] SMALL COMMUNITY ON B.C.'S CENTRAL COAST.
[00:33:50] ABOUT 11 HOURS FROM VANCOUVER.
[00:33:53] RCMP AND SEARCH-AND-RESCUE TEAMS
[00:33:56] LOCATED THE REMAINS ON MONDAY.
[00:33:58] THE SEARCH FOR REID CONTINUES. >> THERE WAS EVIDENCE TO SUGGEST
[00:34:02] A BEAR MAY HAVE BEEN INVOLVED.
[00:34:04] THE PUBLIC IS URGED TO AVOID THE
[00:34:07] AREA UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE DUE TO THE DANGER. >> Reporter: IT WAS JUST ONE
[00:34:10] YEAR AGO THAT A SIMILAR INCIDENT SHOOK THE COMMUNITY.
[00:34:13] WHEN A GRIZZLY BEAR ATTACKED AROUND 20 ELEMENTARY SCHOOL
[00:34:16] STUDENTS AND THEIR TEACHERS, LEAVING AN ADULT AND THREE
[00:34:20] CHILDREN BADLY INJURED. THE BEAR IN THAT ATTACK WAS
[00:34:23] NEVER FOUND. THIS TIME OF YEAR ACROSS B.C.,
[00:34:27] EXPERTS ARE URGING EXTRA CAUTION.
[00:34:30] >> WELL, AS BEARS GET READY FOR
[00:34:32] HIBERNATION, PEOPLE SHOULD BE CAUTIOUS AND THE BEST WAY TO BE
[00:34:36] CAUTIOUS IS TO TRAVEL IN GROUPS,
[00:34:38] KEEP YOUR DOG ON LEASH AND TO
[00:34:41] CARRY BEAR SPRAY THAT TIME. >> Reporter: THE FAMILY SAYS THAT THE AREA WHERE THE PAIR
[00:34:44] WERE HIKING WAS NOT REMOTE. AND MAKING THE TRAGEDY EVEN
[00:34:47] HARDER TO UNDERSTAND.
[00:34:50] >> BOTH JEN AND SAILOR WERE VIBRANT AND FULL OF LIFE AND
[00:34:54] THEY HADN'T BEEN IN THIS COMMUNITY LONG.
[00:34:56] THEY WERE LIVING -- IT'S
[00:35:01] UNTHINKABLE. >> Reporter: THE B.C. CONSERVATION OFFICER SERVICE SAYS THAT EFFORTS TO TRAP THE
[00:35:05] BEAR OR THE BEARS ARE ONGOING.
[00:35:08] MICHELE GASOOB, CBC NEWS,
[00:35:11] VANCOUVER. >> Ian: PRIME MINISTER MARK CARNEY SAYS THAT RUSSIA WILL NOT
[00:35:14] BE ALLOWED TO COMPETE AT NEXT MONTH'S WORLD JUNIORS HOCKEY
[00:35:18] TOURNAMENT IN ALBERTA. >> Rt. Hon. Mark Carney: WELL,
[00:35:21] RUSSIA AND BELARUS ARE
[00:35:24] SUPPORTING THIS HORRIFIC WAR IN UKRAINE AND AS LONG AS THAT'S
[00:35:27] GOING ON, THERE WILL BE NONE OF
[00:35:30] THOSE ATHLETES COMPETING FOR
[00:35:32] THEIR COUNTRIES IN CANADA. >> Ian: CARNEY'S COMMENTS COME
[00:35:35] AFTER A RULING CLEARED THE WAY FOR RUSSIAN ATHLETES TO TAKE
[00:35:38] PART IN THE INTERNATIONAL HOCKEY TOURNAMENTS, INCLUDING THE WORLD
[00:35:42] SEWN YOURS. A GROWING NUMBER OF EUROPEAN
[00:35:44] COUNTRIES, INCLUDING SWEDEN AND NORWAY AND FINLAND, HAVE
[00:35:48] ANNOUNCED THEY WILL NOT PLAY AGAINST THE RUSSIAN TEAMS.
[00:35:50] >>> MARK CARNEY MADE THOSE COMMENTS ON THE ISLAND OF
[00:35:53] ANTIGUA WHILE ATTENDING A COMMONWEALTH GATHERING WHERE HE
[00:35:56] PUSHED FOR EXPANDED TRADE WITH THE CARIBBEAN NATIONS.
[00:35:59] BUT AS DAVID THURTON SHOWS US,
[00:36:02] DONALD TRUMP'S TARIFFS STILL LOOM LARGE. >> Reporter: THE U.S. ISN'T PART
[00:36:06] OF THE COMMONWEALTH BUT AS LEADERS GATHERED, DONALD TRUMP
[00:36:10] WAS THE ELEPHANT IN THE ROOM.
[00:36:12] >> WE GATHER AT A TIME WHEN GLOBAL POWER REMAINS UNEQUAL,
[00:36:16] NATIONAL INTERESTS COMPETES.
[00:36:20] >> Reporter: ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA, THEY PLAYED HOST TO THE
[00:36:23] COMMONWEALTH HEADS OF GOVERNMENT MEETING.
[00:36:25] A FORUM FOR LARGE ECONOMIES -- >> Rt. Hon. Mark Carney:
[00:36:28] SHIFTING TO MUCH OF A RESULTS FOCUS. >> Reporter: AND SMALLER ONES --
[00:36:32] >> Rt. Hon. Mark Carney: WE ALL KNOW HOW MUCH THE WORLD HAS CHANGED.
[00:36:36] >> Reporter: ALL DEALING WITH TRUMP'S PUNISHING TARIFFS BY SEEKING NEW TRADING PARTNERS.
[00:36:40] >> WHY WOULDN'T YOU TURN TO THE GLOBAL SOUTH, WHY WOULDN'T YOU
[00:36:43] GO TO OTHER COUNTRIES PART OF
[00:36:46] THE COMMONWEALTH AND WHY WOULDN'T YOU GO TO THE CARIBBEAN?
[00:36:49] THAT'S STILL A SIGNIFICANT PLAYER.
[00:36:51] >> THERE'S A TRILLION DOLLARS OF TRADE.
[00:36:54] >> Reporter: BUT IT WAS OVERSHADOWED BY DEMANDS FOR AN
[00:36:58] APOLOGY AND REPARATIONS OVER
[00:37:00] BRITAIN'S ROLE IN THE
[00:37:04] TRANSATLANTIC SLAVE TRADE. >> THE KING SHOULD APOLOGISE THOUGH HE HIMSELF WAS NOT PART
[00:37:07] OF THAT. >> Reporter: KING CHARLES STOPPED SHORT OF SAYING SORRY.
[00:37:11] >> THE TRANSATLANTIC SLAVE TRADE
[00:37:15] STILL CASTS A SHADOW OVER THESE
[00:37:17] ISLANDS AND OTHER MEMBERS OF OUR COMMONWEALTH.
[00:37:20] AS I'VE SAID BEFORE, THAT
[00:37:24] SHAMEFUL CHAPTER OF HISTORY IS
[00:37:25] ONE THAT FILLS MY HEART WITH SORROW.
[00:37:29] >> Reporter: FOR COMMONWEALTH NATIONS, THERE'S HARD WORK AHEAD
[00:37:33] GRAPPLING WITH THE GLOBAL POWERS OF THE PAST AND THE PRESENT.
[00:37:36] ON THAT FRONT, MARK CARNEY HAD AN UPDATE ON THE TRADE
[00:37:39] NEGOTIATIONS WITH THE U.S. >> Rt. Hon. Mark Carney: WE'VE MADE PROGRESS BUT WE HAVEN'T FINISHED.
[00:37:42] IF I WERE TO PARAPHRASE IT, IT'D
[00:37:48] THEY'RE OFFERING MORE. >> Reporter: THE PRIME
[00:37:51] MINISTER'S GLOBAL AGENDA IS UP
[00:37:52] AGAINST HIS DOMESTIC ONE, WITH
[00:37:55] CARNEY SPENDING 24 HOURS ON THIS CARIBBEAN ISLAND BEFORE HEADING
[00:37:59] BACK TO OTTAWA AHEAD OF THURSDAY'S FEDERAL BUDGET.
[00:38:02] DAVID THURTON, CBC NEWS, SAINT
[00:38:06] JOHN'S ANTIGUA. >> Ian: NEW LIFE ON THE
[00:38:09] TERRIFYING MOMENTS BEFORE THAT DEADLY PLANE CRASH IN FLORIDA ON
[00:38:12] SUNDAY. INVESTIGATORS NOW SAY THAT PARTS OF THE JET'S ELEVATOR THAT
[00:38:16] CONTROLS THE PLANE'S MOVEMENTS UP AND DOWN WERE FOUND MORE THAN
[00:38:20] SIX KILOMETRES FROM THE CRASH SITE. THIS DISCOVERY IS SUPPORTING THE
[00:38:23] THEORY THAT KEY PARTS OF THE PLANE WERE TORN APART IN MID
[00:38:27] AIR. ALL NINE PEOPLE ABOARD WERE KILLED.
[00:38:30] >>> WELL, THAT'S IT FROM US AND I'M IAN HANOMANSING IN VANCOUVER.
[00:38:34] AFTER THE BREAK WE'LL TAKE YOU BACK TO OUR U.S. MIDTERM
[00:38:37] ELECTION SPECIAL WITH ADRIENNE. >> Annou
[00:41:47] (♪) >> Adrienne: WELCOME BACK TO
[00:41:51] "AMERICA VOTES." >>> WELL, THE POLLS HAVE NOW
[00:41:53] CLOSED IN ALL OR PART OF 32 STATES AND WASHINGTON, D.C., AND WE WANT TO INTRODUCE TO YOU
[00:41:57] SOMETHING THAT WE CALL THE THERMOMETER AND IT WILL HELP US
[00:42:01] TO TAKE A TEMPERATURE CHECK OF HOW THE RACES ARE SHAPING UP THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT.
[00:42:05] HAVE A LOOK AT THIS, THIS IS THE LAY OF THE LAND FOR BOTH THE
[00:42:08] SENATE AND THE HOUSE. KEEP AN EYE ON THAT AND KEEP AN
[00:42:11] EYE ON THE BOTTOM OF YOUR SCREEN AND ALWAYS KEEP AN EAR OUT FOR
[00:42:14] DAVID COCHRANE WHO HAS THE LATEST IN THE NUMBERS. DAVID? >> David: WE'LL TAKE A LOOK AT
[00:42:18] THE HOUSE. LOOK, RIGHT NOW WE HAVE ONLY
[00:42:20] PROJECTED ELECTED 43 DEMOCRATS AND 19 REPUBLICANS.
[00:42:23] WE TOLD YOU AT THE BEGINNING OF THE SHOW THAT DEMOCRATS NEED TO
[00:42:26] BE PLUS 3 IN TERMS OF FLIPS. RIGHT NOW IN THE COUNTING, ALL
[00:42:30] OF THESE GREY DOTS ARE STILL BEING COUNTED BUT WE CAN TELL
[00:42:33] YOU THAT THE DEMOCRATS ARE PLUS
[00:42:36] 54 IN THE COUNTING THAT POINT. LET'S SHOW YOU WHERE THEY'RE LEADING.
[00:42:39] IN NORTH CAROLINA, IN THE 11TH
[00:42:42] DISTRICT WITH 75% OF THE VOTES
[00:42:44] IN THE DEMOCRATIC CANADA IS
[00:42:47] LEADING 76% TO 37%. AND THE REPUBLICANS WON THAT BY
[00:42:51] 13 POINTS IN 2024.
[00:42:53] IN NEW JERSEY 7, A DISTRICT THAT
[00:42:55] YOU MAY KNOW ABOUT BECAUSE
[00:42:58] THOMAS KEAN, THE CONGRESSMAN
[00:43:00] DISAPPEARED FOR A LONG TIME FROM THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES WHILE RECEIVING MEDICAL TREATMENT.
[00:43:04] THIS IS ONE THAT THE REPUBLICANS
[00:43:06] WON BY FIVE, WITH 27% OF VOTE IN
[00:43:09] IT'S A 30-POINT LEAD FOR THE
[00:43:12] DEMOCRAT, REBECCA BENNETT. AND INDIANA 5 THAT WE SHOWED
[00:43:16] YOU, NORTH OF INDIANAPOLIS WITH 74% OF THE VOTE IN, IT IS
[00:43:19] TIGHTENING THERE AND IT'S DOWN TO SINGLE DIGITS AND AN EIGHT-POINT LEAD FOR THE
[00:43:23] DEMOCRAT, BUT, AGAIN, THE REPUBLICANS WON THIS BY 18
[00:43:26] POINTS IN 2024. SO THAT'S THE STATE OF THE HOUSE.
[00:43:29] NOW TO THE SENATE. WE ALREADY TOLD YOU THAT THE
[00:43:33] DEMOCRATS HAVE FLIPPED NORTH CAROLINA. AND THEY ARE LEADING IN SIX OTHER SEATS.
[00:43:37] WE HAVE A COUNT HERE THOUGH --
[00:43:39] THIS IS THE REPUBLICAN HOLD IN
[00:43:41] FLORIDA THAT WE TOLD YOU EARLIER THAT WAS VERY CLOSE AND THE
[00:43:44] REPUBLICANS HELD ON TO THIS 50.8%.
[00:43:47] BUT WHAT IS IMPORTANT HERE IS THE MARGIN.
[00:43:50] DONALD TRUMP WON THIS SEAT BY 13 POINTS IN THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION.
[00:43:53] SO THAT GIVES YOU A SENSE OF WHAT IS HAPPENING TO THE VOTE SHARES RIGHT ACROSS THE EARLY
[00:43:57] RESULTS. NOW WE GO TO TEXAS WHERE JAMES
[00:44:00] TALARICO HOLDS ON TO A LEAD WITH
[00:44:02] 29% OF THE VOTE IN AND HE HAS
[00:44:05] 58.6% OF THE VOTE OVER REPUBLICAN KEN PAXTON. AND IN KANSAS, AGAIN, A SEAT
[00:44:09] THAT HAS NOT VOTED DEMOCRAT SINCE THE 1930s WITH 18% OF
[00:44:12] THE VOTE COUNTED AND ADAM HAMILTON, LOOK AT THAT FOLKS, HE
[00:44:16] HAS A 62% TO 35% LEAD OVER THE
[00:44:20] REPUBLICAN ROGER MARSHALL. SO, ADRIENNE, THE NUMBERS KEEP
[00:44:23] COMING IN AND IT'S NOW PLUS 58
[00:44:28] FOR THE DEMOCRATS AND PLUS SEVEN
[00:44:32] FOR THEM IN THE SENATE. >> Adrienne: PAUL, WHAT IS
[00:44:35] RATTLING AROUND IN THERE? >> Paul: WE HEAR EARLY RESULTS
[00:44:38] AND THIS AND THAT AND HANG ON WE HAVE A LONG NIGHT AHEAD OF US
[00:44:42] AND I THINK BACK TO 2016 AND I
[00:44:45] WAS IN DONALD TRUMP HEADQUARTERS AND IT WAS A VERY DIFFERENT CIRCUMSTANCE, OBVIOUSLY.
[00:44:48] BUT ON THAT NIGHT EVERYONE THOUGHT THAT HILLARY CLINTON
[00:44:52] WOULD WIN AND TRUMP WOULD LOSE
[00:44:56] AND THEN THESE NUMBERS STARTED COMING IN. AND I KEPT SAYING, YOU KNOW,
[00:45:00] EARLY, EARLY, EARLY, DON'T THINK
[00:45:02] THAT THIS IS INDICATIVE OF ANYTHING BUT THEN IT KEPT
[00:45:05] GROWING AND GROWING AND GROWING. IT'S LIKE YOU TAKE A STEP BACK
[00:45:09] AND THE ANSWER WAS IN FRONT OF US ALL OF THE TIME.
[00:45:12] THE LESSON FOR THIS IS THAT YOU NEVER KNOW. AND WE SAY THAT EARLY NUMBERS
[00:45:15] ARE EARLY NUMBERS, DON'T COUNT THEM, YOU KNOW -- DON'T THINK
[00:45:19] THAT THEY'RE GOING TO MEAN WHAT WE THINK THAT THEY MIGHT MEAN BUT SOMETIMES THEY DO.
[00:45:22] AND THAT WAS THE CASE IN 2016. AND SO YOU NEVER KNOW.
[00:45:26] I MEAN, THAT'S WHAT WAVES ARE. WAVES HAPPEN EVERYWHERE AND YOU
[00:45:29] SEE IT -- WE'RE TALKING ABOUT THE SOUTH, YOU KNOW, AND YOU
[00:45:32] WERE TALKING OFF-CAMERA, I THINK SOUTH CAROLINA, RIGHT?
[00:45:36] AND MAYBE IT'S ALL THERE. WE'LL SEE AS THE NIGHT
[00:45:38] PROGRESSES BUT EARLY NUMBERS CAN SOMETIMES MEAN SOMETHING. >> Adrienne: I QUITE LOVE
[00:45:42] SOMETHING ABOUT PAUL HUNTER WHICH IS WHENEVER WE DO AN ELECTION THAT PAUL MAKES THE
[00:45:46] POINT THAT AS YOU HEAD INTO ELECTION NIGHT COVERAGE YOU HAVE
[00:45:48] NO IDEA WHAT'S GOING TO HAPPEN. BUT THE MOMENT THAT IT'S OVER
[00:45:51] THE ANSWER IS, WELL, OF COURSE THAT WAS GOING TO HAPPEN AND IT
[00:45:54] WAS RIGHT THERE IN FRONT OF YOU. WE WILL SEE. LET'S HEAD OUT TO THE FIELD NOW.
[00:45:58] AND WILLY LOWRY IS IN DES MOINES, IOWA, AT A REPUBLICAN
[00:46:01] WATCH PARTY. KATIE SIMPSON IS IN AUSTIN,
[00:46:05] TEXAS, AT A JAMES TALARICO WATCH
[00:46:06] PARTY.
[00:46:10] WILLY, YOU'RE IN A STATE WHERE
[00:46:13] SIX MONTHS AGO NO ONE WOULD HAVE GIVEN A SECOND LOOK IN TERMS OF
[00:46:16] IT BEING IN PLAY.
[00:46:18] WHAT WHA IS THE FEELING THERE?
[00:46:21] >> Reporter: I WOULDN'T DESCRIBE IT AS -- I BUMPED INTO A YOUNG REPUBLICAN, SOMEONE THAT I MET
[00:46:25] ON A PREVIOUS REPORTING TRIP
[00:46:27] HERE WHO HAD DESCRIBED HIMSELF
[00:46:29] AS A REGAN AND NOT A TRUMP
[00:46:33] LOYALIST BY ANY MEANS, BUT STILL A FAITHFUL REPUBLICAN. HE SAID THAT HE WAS CONFIDENT
[00:46:37] THAT THE PARTY WAS GOING TO
[00:46:39] PERFORM WELL HERE ACROSS THE STATE ALL DOWN THE BALLOT.
[00:46:42] BUT I SPOKE TO OTHERS WHO SAID THAT THEY THOUGHT THAT AT THIS
[00:46:45] POINT THAT IT WAS A COIN TOSS.
[00:46:47] THAT IT REALLY WAS 50/50.
[00:46:49] AS PEOPLE HAD GATHERED BEHIND MD
[00:46:54] MORE ATTENTION TO THE DISPLAY
[00:46:55] SCREENS SHOWING RESULTS.
[00:46:58] BUT CERTAINLY LOTS OF
[00:47:02] ANTICIPATION AND A FAIR AMOUNT OF ANXIETY. >> Adrienne: YEAH, NO DOUBT.
[00:47:06] KATIE SIMPSON, I MEAN, NO DEMOCRATIC SENATOR ELECTED IN
[00:47:10] TEXAS SINCE 1988, THAT'S THE YEAR BEFORE TALARICO WAS BORN.
[00:47:13] YOU KNOW, WE OFTEN HEAR THAT THE DEMOCRATS FEEL LIKE THEY'RE SO
[00:47:17] CLOSE IN TEXAS. WHY DO THEY THINK THAT IT IS
[00:47:19] DIFFERENT THIS TIME?
[00:47:22] >> Reporter: IT'S A COMBINATION OF FACTORS, ADRIENNE.
[00:47:25] ONE, IT'S FRUSTRATION WITH DONALD TRUMP. THE COST OF LIVING.
[00:47:29] THE PRICE OF GAS. A LOT OF POLICIES AND
[00:47:32] PARTICULARLY IN RURAL COMMUNITIES THAT A LOT OF PEOPLE
[00:47:35] IN TEXAS DON'T LIKE. THINK OF DATA CENTRES.
[00:47:38] THOSE ARE SOME OF THE FRUSTRATING ISSUES THAT ARE SORT
[00:47:41] OF COMING UP WHERE THE PEOPLE ARE NOT HAPPY WITH THE POLICIES
[00:47:45] OF DONALD TRUMP. THAT'S ONE FACTOR HERE.
[00:47:47] AND THE OTHER FACTOR COMES DOWN TO THE TWO CANDIDATES IN THIS RACE.
[00:47:51] JAMES TALARICO WHO IS A MODERATE DEMOCRAT, AND WHO IS
[00:47:55] CONSISTENTLY AND SLOWLY GAINING MOMENTUM THROUGHOUT THIS
[00:47:59] CAMPAIGN, HE'S DONE A VERY LARGE NUMBER IN TERMS OF FUNDRAISING
[00:48:03] IN THIS STATE. AND HE'S BEEN ABLE TO RESONATE
[00:48:06] WITH THE MESSAGE OF ON
[00:48:09] AFFORDABILITY, THAT THE BIGGER PICTURE DEMOCRATIC ISSUES.
[00:48:11] SO YOU'VE GOT A CANDIDATE FOR
[00:48:14] THE DEMOCRATS THAT IS MODERATE
[00:48:16] AND ALSO DEEPLY RELIGIOUS AND HE
[00:48:19] TALKS ABOUT HIS CHRISTIAN FAITH QUITE OFTEN.
[00:48:21] AND WE WENT TO HIS CONCERT AND
[00:48:26] HE WAS TELLING BIBLE STORIES AT
[00:48:28] THE CONCERT IN A AUSTIN.
[00:48:31] SO HE'S STARTING TO RESONATE WITH VOTERS.
[00:48:33] THEN YOU HAVE KEN PAXTON AND
[00:48:37] DONALD TRUMP DIDN'T LIKE JOHN
[00:48:40] CORNYN WHO DIDN'T THINK THAT HE WAS LOYAL ENOUGH.
[00:48:43] SO DONALD TRUMP ENCOURAGED KEN PAXTON TO CHALLENGE HIM AND
[00:48:47] ULTIMATELY KEN PAXTON WON THE NOMINATION AND HE'S RUNNING IN THIS RACE.
[00:48:51] HE'S A CANDIDATE THAT I HAVE SAID A NUMBER OF TIMES OVER THE
[00:48:54] PAST FEW DAYS THAT COMES WITH A LOT OF BAGGAGE.
[00:48:57] HE'S BEEN IMPEACHED AND INDICTED
[00:48:59] AND A NUMBER OF SCANDALS INVOLVING HIS PERSONAL LIFE.
[00:49:02] AND HE STILL BECAME THE NOMINEE AND HE'S STILL OUT CAMPAIGNING.
[00:49:06] NOW THE EARLY RESULTS ARE SHOWING THAT JAMES TALARICO HAS
[00:49:08] A LEAD OF ABOUT HALF A MILLION VOTES AT THIS POINT.
[00:49:12] BUT WHEN I TALK TO PEOPLE IN
[00:49:14] THIS ROOM WHILE THEY ARE EXCITED
[00:49:16] AND OPTIMISTIC, THEY'VE SEEN THIS MOVIE BEFORE, WHERE THE
[00:49:20] DEMOCRAT GETS OUT TO AN EARLY
[00:49:22] LEAD AND THEN IT SLOWLY, SLOWLY
[00:49:24] DWINDLES UNTIL THE REPUBLICANS HOLD ON AND THEY MAINTAIN THE
[00:49:28] CONTROL OF TEXAS.
[00:49:29] >> Adrienne: YEP, LISTEN, KATIE,
[00:49:32] AND WILLR AND PAUL ARE PART OF
[00:49:35] THIS TWO BLOCKS IN THE WHITE HOUSE PODCAST.
[00:49:41] HAS A QUESTION FOR YOU. >> Paul: IT'S YOUR PODCAST PAL,
[00:49:45] PAUL. HOW'S IT GOING?
[00:49:47] LOOK, LET'S BE HONEST, THIS IS A BLATANT PROMO FOR THE PODCAST
[00:49:51] AND WE HAVE AN EARLY VERSION TOMORROW.
[00:49:55] AND I HAVE A QUESTION FOR BOTH OF YOU TONIGHT. DONALD TRUMP SAYS THAT HIS NAME
[00:49:58] IS ON THE BALLOT, RIGHT, AND WE WERE MAKING THIS POINT EARLIER.
[00:50:01] BUT AT THE END OF THE DAY THE VOTERS HAVE TO THINK WHAT
[00:50:05] MATTERS TO THEM. YOU HAVE BEEN IN TEXAS AND IOWA, BOTH OF YOU, SO, I MEAN, I WANT
[00:50:09] TO HEAR FROM BOTH OF YOU ON THIS.
[00:50:11] AND KATIE, WE'LL START WITH YOU, WHAT MATTERS TO THE VOTERS THAT
[00:50:15] YOU HAVE SPOKEN WITH WHERE YOU ARE?
[00:50:19] >> Reporter: AFFORDABILITY. THE COST OF LIVING. AND, PAUL, YOU KNOW WHAT WAS
[00:50:22] REALLY INTERESTING TODAY -- WE
[00:50:24] WENT TO P TWO DIFFERENT POLLING
[00:50:27] STATIONS IN AUSTIN AND BASICALLY EVERYONE THAT WE SPOKE TO VOTED
[00:50:31] FOR TALARICO AND AUSTIN IS PROGRESSIVE AND ON THE TALARICO'S HOME TURF AND THAT'S
[00:50:35] NOT SURPRISING. BUT WHAT SURPRISED ME IS THAT A NUMBER OF PEOPLE THAT WE SPOKE
[00:50:39] WITH SAY THAT I NORMALLY DON'T
[00:50:40] VOTE IN THE MIDTERMS, BUT I'M SO
[00:50:43] FRUSTRATED WITH WHAT IT IS GOING
[00:50:45] WITH THE STATE OF THE COUNTRY THAT I CAME OUT TO VOTE.
[00:50:49] AND ANOTHER PERSON WHO DOESN'T VOTE AND NECESSARILY VOTE FOR
[00:50:52] DEMOCRAT AND SAYING THAT I'M VOTING FOR TALARICO BECAUSE I'M
[00:50:55] FRUSTRATED WITH THE COST OF LIVING AND REALLY THE STATE OF DEMOCRACY IN AMERICA.
[00:50:59] AND THAT CAME UP MORE OFTEN THAN I WAS EXPECTING.
[00:51:02] THE THING IS WHEN AMERICANS RE-ELECTED DONALD TRUMP BACK IN
[00:51:05] 2024, IT'S NOT LIKE THEY DIDN'T KNOW WHAT THEY WERE GETTING AND THEY SAW WHAT HAPPENED IN HIS
[00:51:09] FIRST STORM AND THEY SAW JANUARY 6TH AND IF YOU TAKE A LOOK AT
[00:51:13] PAST BEHAVIOUR AS A PREDICTION
[00:51:14] FOR FUTURE BEHAVIOUR, THE SEEDS ARE THERE.
[00:51:18] AND SO IT WAS SUPER INTERESTING TO HEAR THAT PEOPLE DON'T
[00:51:21] NECESSARILY COME OUT IN MIDTERM
[00:51:23] ELECTIONS WERE COMING OUT TODAY. >> Paul: REALLY WHAT IS DRIVING
[00:51:26] THE VOTES IN IOWA?
[00:51:30] >> Reporter: I WILL BORROW A LINE YOU THAT LIKE TO USE ON THE PODCAST, AT THE END OF THE DAY
[00:51:34] IT COMES DOWN TO PEOPLE'S
[00:51:36] POCKETBOOKS AND THEIR WALLETS.
[00:51:38] EVERYBODY TO A P TH PERSON THATE
[00:51:42] HAVE SPOKEN TO IS AFFORDABILITY AND THE COST OF GROCERIES AND THE COST OF HOUSING IS REALLY
[00:51:46] THE ISSUE THAT IS DRIVING THEIR VOTE, WHETHER THEY ARE DEMOCRATS
[00:51:49] OR REPUBLICANS. HERE IN IOWA, IT IS A FARMING
[00:51:53] STATE, AND THE PRICE OF DIESEL
[00:51:56] IS REALLY FRONT AND CENTRE FOR A LOT OF FOLKS.
[00:52:00] >> Adrienne: ALL RIGHT, WILLY AND KATIE AND PAUL, JUST SAVE
[00:52:03] SOME OF THAT STUFF FOR THE PODCAST TOMORROW.
[00:52:07] >> Paul: AVAILABLE ON YouTube. >> Adrienne: THERE WE GO.
[00:52:10] ALL RIGHT, IN SPITE OF HIS COMMENTS THE U.S. PRESIDENT
[00:52:13] ISN'T TECHNICALLY ON THE BALLOT TONIGHT BUT MANY ARGUE THAT HE'S
[00:52:16] THE CENTRAL FACTOR IN THIS ELECTION. (♪)
[00:52:20] ♪ ON THE FUN TO STAY AT THE YMCA
[00:52:24] >> Adrienne: THE FIRST TWO YEARS OF DONALD TRUMP'S CURRENT
[00:52:27] MANDATE HAVE PROVED INCREDIBLY DIVISIVE.
[00:52:30] STILL, HE HAS SPENT THE LAST FEW WEEKS ON THE CAMPAIGN TRAIL
[00:52:33] STUMPING FOR REPUBLICANS AND
[00:52:34] MAKING A REPEATED REQUEST TO HIS LOYALISTS -- HOPING TO PUSH THEM
[00:52:38] TO THE POLLS. >> President Trump: DO ME A
[00:52:41] FAVOUR, PRETEND -- PRETEND THAT I'M RUNNING. PRETEND THAT I'M ON THE BALLOT.
[00:52:45] BECAUSE IF YOU GET OUT AND WE'RE GOING TO WIN BIG.
[00:52:48] >> Adrienne: BUT OUTSIDE OF HIS TIGHT KNIT CIRCLE OF ARDENT
[00:52:52] SUPPORTERS, TRUMP HAS A SERIOUS POPULARITY PROBLEM.
[00:52:56] >> THE TRUMP ERA, AMERICAN IS
[00:53:00] NOT WHO WE ARE, WE ARE BETTER THAN THAT. >> Adrienne: TAKE A LOOK AT HIS
[00:53:03] APPROVAL RATING SINCE INAUGURATION DATE.
[00:53:07] WITH THE POLLS ANALYSED BY "THE NEW YORK TIMES".
[00:53:09] HE WAS AT 52% IN JANUARY 2025.
[00:53:12] AND SINCE THEN HE SLIPPED DOWN,
[00:53:15] DOWN, DOWN TO ABOUT 37%.
[00:53:17] AS OF OCTOBER 29TH.
[00:53:20] THAT IS LOWER EVEN THAN HIS
[00:53:23] LOWEST POINT DURING HIS FIRST POINT AND LOWER THAN JOE BIDEN
[00:53:26] AND LOWER THAN BARACK OBAMA AND
[00:53:29] LOWER THAN GEORGE W. BUSH.
[00:53:32] AND PLENTY OF GRIEVANCES. >> GAS PRICES AND FOOD AND RENT,
[00:53:35] PEOPLE ARE SUFFERING. >> WE'RE FIGHTING A WAR INORTH
[00:53:38] COUNTRY AND OUR FUEL PRICES ARE THROUGH THE ROOF, THE HEALTHCARE
[00:53:42] PRICES HAVE WENT HIGHER, NOT LOWER.
[00:53:44] >> PEOPLE ARE TIRED OF SEEING
[00:53:46] ALL OF THE NEGATIVITY, AND THE EMBARRASSMENT.
[00:53:49] >> Adrienne: BUT TRUMP'S BASE HASN'T ABANDONED HIM.
[00:53:52] MANY VOTERS STILL SUPPORT HIS POLICIES.
[00:53:55] >> HE'S DONE EVERYTHING THAT HE'S SAID THAT HE WILL DO AND HE'S ABSOLUTELY THE BEST
[00:53:59] PRESIDENT THAT I'VE EVER EXPERIENCED. I MEAN, HE'S INCREDIBLE.
[00:54:03] >> DONALD TRUMP, YOU KNOW, HE'S MORE LIKE US, YOU KNOW, HE'S A
[00:54:06] REAL GUY, YOU KNOW, THAT IS JUST TRYING TO MAKE THE COUNTRY A BETTER PLACE.
[00:54:10] >> Adrienne: AND HIS RALLIES STILL DRAW A CROWD, EVEN IF MORE
[00:54:13] PROTESTERS SEEM TO ATTEND. >> President Trump: THESE ARE PAID PROTESTERS AND THEY'RE PAID
[00:54:16] BY ENEMIES OF OUR NATION. >> Adrienne: SHOWING UP IS
[00:54:20] IMPORTANT IN ANY ELECTION. TONIGHT WE FIND OUT IF TRUMP'S
[00:54:24] PLEAS TO IMAGINE THAT HE'S ON
[00:54:26] THE BALLOT PAY OFF, OR BACKFIRE.
[00:54:30] (♪) ALL RIGHT, SO WE'RE APPROACHING
[00:54:34] 9:00, AND ALREADY SOME POLLS HAVE CLOSED AND WE'RE SEEING A PATTERN HERE.
[00:54:37] WHAT ARE YOU HEARING FROM YOUR REPUBLICAN FRIENDS?
[00:54:41] >> FOLKS ARE PESSIMISTIC AND THERE'S A LOT OF FOCUS ON
[00:54:44] WHETHER DARLENE GRAHAM AND YOU HAD MENTIONED SOUTH CAROLINA, IF SHE LOSES AND IT INDICATES
[00:54:47] POORLY FOR THE REPUBLICANS TO BE ABLE TO HOLD ON TO THE SENATE.
[00:54:50] AND I THINK THAT IT REQUIRES A
[00:54:52] LOOK AT THE TURNOUT AS WELL.
[00:54:55] AND YOUR PRELUDE VIDEO ABOUT TRUMP AND HIS IMPACT ON THE BALLOT, YOU KNOW, IF YOU
[00:54:59] REMEMBER IN 2018, THAT'S ONE OF OUR HIGHEST IN THE UNITED STATES
[00:55:03] A TURNOUT FOR A MIDTERM, AND IT WAS JUST OVER 50% JUST ROUGHLY.
[00:55:07] SO, YES, THERE'S AN IMPACT AND,
[00:55:09] YOU KNOW, THERE'S A TURNOUT BUMP THAT USUALLY HAPPENS, WE'VE HAD
[00:55:12] EXPERIENCE WITH THAT BUT NOT IN THE WAY THAT HE WOULD HAVE LIKED.
[00:55:16] >> Adrienne: OKAY, AND, ASHLEY, YOU HAVE BEEN WORKING THE PHONES TOO.
[00:55:19] WHAT HAVE YOU BEEN HEARING? >> OVERWHELMINGLY OPTIMISTIC IN
[00:55:22] MY HOME STATE OF TEXAS.
[00:55:24] EARLY VOTE NUMBERS FAR
[00:55:26] SURPASSING 2018, MORE THAN 1.2 MILLION VOTERS HAVE VOTED NOW
[00:55:30] AND I THINK THIS IS WHAT'S REALLY CONCERNING THE REPUBLICANS IS THAT THE
[00:55:34] DEMOCRATS ARE VOTING AT
[00:55:36] PRESIDENTIAL LEVELS IN A MIDTERM ELECTION.
[00:55:38] AND IN PLACES LIKE TEXAS, ONE
[00:55:40] THING THAT I WANTED TO ADD TO WHAT KATIE SAID IS THAT WHAT YOU
[00:55:44] ARE SEEING IS THE LATINO VOTERS ALONG THE BORDER NOW SHIFTING
[00:55:48] OVER TO VOTE DEMOCRAT BECAUSE OF THE IMMIGRATION ISSUE.
[00:55:51] THE I.C.E. RAIDS AND DEPORTING THEIR FAMILY MEMBERS, THAT'S
[00:55:54] GOING TO PLAY OUT IN OTHER PLACES ACROSS THE COUNTRY AS WELL.
[00:55:57] OHIO IS ONE OF THEM. FLORIDA AND OTHER PLACES.
[00:56:01] >> Adrienne: VERY, VERY BRIEFLY, THE NEXT RACE IN PARTICULAR THAT YOU ARE WATCHING FOR AS A REPUBLICAN?
[00:56:05] >> AS A REPUBLICAN I'M KEEPING MY EYES ON SOUTH CAROLINA, BUT ALSO OHIO.
[00:56:08] I'M VERY CURIOUS, THERE ARE SOME MODERATE MEMBERS WHO I WOULDN'T
[00:56:11] HAVE THOUGHT THAT MAYBE EVEN A FEW MONTHS AGO -- THAT MIGHT
[00:56:15] TURN AROUND A COUPLE SEATS THAT I'M REALLY KEEPING AN EYE ON.
[00:56:18] >> Adrienne: ALL RIGHT, THANK YOU VERY MUCH. WE HAVE CONTINUING COVERAGE OF THE U.S. MIDTERMS.
[00:56:22] YOU CAN HEAD OVER TO CBC NEWS
[00:56:24] NETWORK OR WHEREVER YOU STREAM
[00:56:27] CBC NEWS AND TIME NOW FOR A QUICK BREAK. KEEP YOUR EYE ON THAT SCREEN AND
[00:56:31] YOU WILL SEE A QR CODE AND IF
[00:56:34] YOU SCAN IT YOU WILL FOLLOW UP WITH LIVE RESULTS.
[00:56:37] WE WILL BACK IN A FEW MOMENTS GO.
[00:56:40] REFRESH THOSE SNACKS.
[01:00:26] >> Adrienne: GOOD EVENING, AND IF YOU ARE JUST JOINING US WELCOME TO "AMERICA VOTES,"
[01:00:29] TONIGHT WE HAVE SPECIAL COVERAGE OF THE 2026 MIDTERM ELECTIONS.
[01:00:33] POLLS ARE NOW CLOSED IN 41 STATES AS WELL AS WASHINGTON,
[01:00:37] D.C.. AMONG THOSE THAT JUST CLOSED,
[01:00:39] THE REMAINDER OF MICHIGAN AND
[01:00:42] TEXAS AND MINNESOTA, ALL KEY BATTLEGROUND STATES TO SHAPE
[01:00:46] CONGRESS. FIRST AN INTRODUCTION TO THE TEAM THAT WE HAVE HERE.
[01:00:48] PAUL HUNTER IS HERE ALL NIGHT, PROBABLY INTO THE MORNING, WITH
[01:00:51] ALL OF THE ANALYSIS. AND ON THE OTHER SIDE OF THE
[01:00:55] DESK, THE FORMER AMBASSADOR OF
[01:00:56] CANADA TO THE UNITED STATES,