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20261104 020000 UTC
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[00:00:26] >> Adrienne: GOOD EVENING, AND IF YOU ARE JUST JOINING US WELCOME TO "AMERICA VOTES,"
[00:00:29] TONIGHT WE HAVE SPECIAL COVERAGE OF THE 2026 MIDTERM ELECTIONS.
[00:00:33] POLLS ARE NOW CLOSED IN 41 STATES AS WELL AS WASHINGTON,
[00:00:37] D.C.. AMONG THOSE THAT JUST CLOSED,
[00:00:39] THE REMAINDER OF MICHIGAN AND
[00:00:42] TEXAS AND MINNESOTA, ALL KEY BATTLEGROUND STATES TO SHAPE
[00:00:46] CONGRESS. FIRST AN INTRODUCTION TO THE TEAM THAT WE HAVE HERE.
[00:00:48] PAUL HUNTER IS HERE ALL NIGHT, PROBABLY INTO THE MORNING, WITH
[00:00:51] ALL OF THE ANALYSIS. AND ON THE OTHER SIDE OF THE
[00:00:55] DESK, THE FORMER AMBASSADOR OF
[00:00:56] CANADA TO THE UNITED STATES,
[00:00:59] KIRSTEN HILLMAN ASHLEY AYTIEN,
[00:01:06] AND MURRAH GILLESPIE, WORKED
[00:01:09] WITH THE HOUSE SPEAKER JOHN
[00:01:12] BOEHNER AND THEY HAVE WORKED THE PHONES AND WE'RE THE
[00:01:15] BENEFICIARIES OF THEIR INTEL AND THERE'S MORE TO COME. AND THEN YOU GET DOWN TO THE
[00:01:18] NUMBERS AND THAT'S WHERE DAVID COCHRANE IS SLIDING IN WITH ALL
[00:01:21] OF THE WORDS AND ALL OF THE NUMBERS THAT MATTER.
[00:01:23] AND YOU HAVE SOME MORE? >> David: YEAH, WE ACTUALLY HAVE
[00:01:27] OUR FIRST PROJECTED FLIP IN THE
[00:01:30] HOHOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES AND LIKE WHEN ROY COOPER WON NORTH
[00:01:34] CAROLINA, THIS TOO IS A NORTH CAROLINA SEAT.
[00:01:36] WE HAVE JAMIE -- OH, THAT IS
[00:01:41] NORTH CAROLINA 1, WHICH IS ALSO A DEMOCRAT SEAT RIGHT NOW WITH
[00:01:45] 58% AT 57.7% FOR DON DAVIS. THIS IS INTERESTING, BECAUSE
[00:01:48] THIS IS ONE OF THE DISTRICTS THAT THEY GERRYMANDERED IT AND
[00:01:52] THERE'S BEEN A LOT OF REDISTRICTING AND ENTHUSIASM AND EMBRACE OF IT IN THE UNITED
[00:01:56] STATES TO TRY TO STOP DON DAVIS
[00:01:58] FROM GETTING IN BUT NOW HE HAS AN EARLY LEAD. BUT THIS IS THE FIRST FLIP OF
[00:02:02] THE NIGHT IN THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES.
[00:02:04] A FARMER THAT IS FAMOUS FOR HIS
[00:02:08] GRASS-FED BEEF WILL ALSO BE FAMOUS FOR THE FIRST DEMOCRAT TO
[00:02:10] FLIP A SEAT WITH 85% IN.
[00:02:12] AND HE HAS A 21 PERCENTAGE POINT LEAD.
[00:02:16] THAT IS ONE TO THE MAGIC NUMBER OF THREE THAT DEMOCRATS NEED TO
[00:02:19] FLIP THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES. ALL RIGHT WE'LL HAVE A LOOK AT
[00:02:22] THE SENATE RIGHT NOW WHERE WE TOLD YOU THAT THE MAGIC NUMBER IS FOUR.
[00:02:25] NORTH CAROLINA IS ALREADY IN THE DEMOCRAT COLUMN AND HERE'S
[00:02:28] MICHIGAN, WHICH WE'RE HOPING TO KEEP IN THE DEMOCRAT COLUMN WITH 13% OF THE VOTE IN.
[00:02:32] AND ABDUL El-SAYED HAS A 12-POINT LEAD OVER CHALLENGER MIKE ROGERS.
[00:02:36] FROM MICHIGAN, WE'RE GOING TO GO TO MAINE AND ANOTHER BORDER STATE AFFECTED BY TARIFFS AND
[00:02:40] LOOK AT THIS, NOW ONLY 4% OF THE
[00:02:43] VOTES, AND SO EVERYONE SETTLE
[00:02:45] DOWN, THIS IS NO WAY DONE BUT TROY JACKSON WITH A 15-POINT
[00:02:48] LEAD OVER SUSAN COLLINS IN EARLY VOTING. AND OFF TO OHIO WE GO.
[00:02:52] WHERE SHERROD BROWN'S LEAD IS
[00:02:55] TIGHTENING AS MORE RESULT COMES IN.
[00:02:57] HE HAD A 25-POINT LEAD AND NOW A
[00:03:00] 9-POINT LEAD OVER JON HUSTED WITH HALF OF THE VOTES IN AT
[00:03:04] 45%. AND SUCCESS IS ONE TO WATCH AND
[00:03:07] THIS IS LINDSEY GRAHAM'S OLD
[00:03:09] SEAT BEFORE HIS UNTIMELY PASSING.
[00:03:12] AND ANNIE EDWARDS, A PAEDIATRICIAN HAS A LEAD OVER
[00:03:15] LINDSEY GRAHAM'S SISTER APPOINTED TO SEAT AND DECIDED TO
[00:03:19] RUN AGAIN. THAT WILL BE SOMETHING IF THAT FLIPS AND SO WATCH THAT.
[00:03:23] AND FINALLY WE'LL CHECK IN ON
[00:03:25] TEXAS WITH 40% THE VOTE COUNTED AND JAMES TALARICO'S LEAD IS
[00:03:28] HOLDING. NOT JUST BY A LITTLE BIT BUT BY A LOT. 20 POINTS.
[00:03:32] AND AS KATIE SIMPSON HAS BEEN TELLING US THAT THE DEMOCRATS
[00:03:36] HAVE SEEN THIS BEFORE AND THE MARGIN SHRINKS DOWN UNTIL IT
[00:03:39] FLIPS. AND ADRIENNE, WE SAID THAT THE
[00:03:42] DEMOCRATS NEED TO BE PLUS THREE
[00:03:43] AND THEY HAVE ONE LOCKED IN AND
[00:03:46] LEADING WITH PLUS 57 IN THE COUNTING RIGHT NOW -- PLUS 8 IN THE SENATE.
[00:03:50] THEY ONLY NEED FOUR. SO THEY'RE WAY AHEAD OF SCHEDULE
[00:03:52] WITH LOTS OF A PASS TO VICTORY
[00:03:57] AS 9:00 ROLLS AROUND.
[00:03:59] >> Adrienne: AND SO MANY EYES ON TEXAS AND MICHIGAN AND SOUTH
[00:04:02] CAROLINA AND THOSE WILL MATTER A LOT.
[00:04:04] WE HAVE TEAMS IN OF THE MOST OF THE CONSEQUENTIAL RACES THAT WE
[00:04:08] HAVE BEEN TALKING ABOUT ACROSS THE UNITED STATES.
[00:04:10] CHIEF POLITICAL CORRESPONDENT ROSEMARY BARTON IS ALSO IN OTTAWA.
[00:04:14] SHE IS SORT OF TACKLING THE STAKES IN THIS COUNTRY.
[00:04:17] AND DAVID COMMON, HE'S IN DETROIT, MICHIGAN, AT THIS WATCH
[00:04:21] PARTY FOR ABDUL El-SAYED, TALK
[00:04:25] TO ME, DAVID, ABOUT WHAT PEOPLE
[00:04:27] TELL YOU AS THESE NUMBERS COME?
[00:04:30] >> David: WELL, PEOPLE ARE VERY EXCITED COMING INTO THIS ROOM
[00:04:32] AND WE HAD PETE BUTIEG SPEAKING
[00:04:41] AND WE SAW IN THE CAROLINAS THAT FLIP OF A SEAT, THE FIRST OF
[00:04:45] FOUR TO CONTROL THE SENATE. AND SEEING THAT MOMENTUM AND
[00:04:48] IT'S ENCOURAGING. BUT AS DAVID COCHRANE CAUTIONS
[00:04:52] US, THESE ARE VERY EARLY NUMBERS. WHEN YOU LOOK AT MICHIGAN IN
[00:04:55] PARTICULAR, JUST TWO YEARS AGO BY MIDNIGHT LOCAL TIME THEY HAD
[00:04:59] ONLY COUNTED 46% OF THE VOTE. NOT ENOUGH TO MAKE A PROJECTION
[00:05:02] AT THAT POINT. AND COULD IT BE SOMETHING
[00:05:05] SIMILAR AND MIGHT WE LOOK AT TOMORROW MORNING OR BEYOND TO GET A MICHIGAN RESULT?
[00:05:09] QUITE POSSIBLY. IT DEPENDS ON HOW TIGHT THINGS
[00:05:12] ARE AND THE MOST RECENT POLLING
[00:05:14] SUGGESTED THAT THERE WAS SOME
[00:05:16] DISTANCE BETWEEN ABDUL
[00:05:20] El-SAYED AND SOME OF THE DISTANCE WAS STARTING TO GROW.
[00:05:24] BUT UP TO THAT POINT IT WAS VERY, VERY TIGHT AND THIS WAS BEFORE THE NOVEMBER SURPRISE AND
[00:05:27] THAT ENDORSEMENT BY HALEY STEVENS, THE DEMOCRATIC
[00:05:31] CONGRESSWOMAN WHO WENT COMPLETELY AGAINST HER OWN PARTY
[00:05:35] IS NOW -- IN FACT, A PERSONNA
[00:05:40] NON GRATA AFTER ENDORSING MIKE ROGERS.
[00:05:43] SO A LOT OF EXCITEMENT IN THIS ROOM, NO QUESTION. AND IT'S CURIOUS BECAUSE
[00:05:47] NORMALLY A GOVERNOR RACE WOULD BE AT THE TOP OF A TICKET. IT WOULD BE ONE THAT MOST PEOPLE
[00:05:51] ARE WATCHING. BECAUSE OF ABDUL El-SAYED AND BECAUSE OF THE CONTROVERSY AND
[00:05:54] THE EXCITEMENT, ALL DEPENDS ON WHERE YOU STAND POLITICALLY, HOW
[00:05:58] YOU LOOK AT THESE CANDIDATES,
[00:06:00] BECAUSE OF HIM THE SENATE RACE
[00:06:03] REALLY IS, ADRIENNE, THE ONE
[00:06:05] THAT IS TAKING TOP PROMINENCE
[00:06:08] HERE. SO WHAT ARE ON THE BUTTONS HERE?
[00:06:11] THEY'RE ALL TALKING ABOUT ABDUL El-SAYED AND EVERY TIME THAT
[00:06:14] HIS NAME IS MENTIONED THE CHEERING GOES UP IN THIS ROOM.
[00:06:18] >> Adrienne: THAT MAKES SENSE GIVEN WHERE YOU ARE. DAVID COMMON, THANK YOU VERY
[00:06:20] MUCH IN DETROIT, MICHIGAN.
[00:06:22] >>> SO KATIE NICHOLSON IS IN
[00:06:26] COLUMBUS, OHIO. SUCH AN IMPORTANT STATE RIGHT
[00:06:28] NOW AND YOU'RE WITH VIVEK
[00:06:33] RAMASWAMY HEADQUARTERS AND WHAT IS THE FEELING THERE, BECAUSE OHIO IS SUCH A BIG DEAL RIGHT
[00:06:37] NOW. >> Reporter: IT IS. YOU KNOW, ADRIENNE, THEY HAVE
[00:06:40] BEEN BLASTING THE MUSIC HERE AND TRYING TO KEEP A PARTY ATMOSPHERE.
[00:06:43] AND THEY HAVE STOPPED WATCHING
[00:06:46] THE FOX NEWS FEED ABOUT AN HOUR
[00:06:47] AGO AND HAVE JUST BEEN PLAYING TRUMP'S FAVOURITE SONGS.
[00:06:51] A LOT OF COUNTRY. AND THE WINE AND THE BEER HAVE BEEN FLOWING.
[00:06:54] AND FOR THE MOST PART PEOPLE HAVE BEEN REALLY BEEN
[00:06:58] CONGREGATED AND A LOT OF FURROWED BROWS AS OF LATE AND
[00:07:01] PEOPLE STARING AT THEIR PHONES AND LOOKING CONCERNED.
[00:07:04] BUT, AGAIN, THE PLACE IS
[00:07:06] CONTINUING TO FILL UP, WHICH YOU HAVE BEEN TO ENOUGH OF THESE
[00:07:10] THINGS AND THAT IS A SIGN THAT THERE'S SOME CONFIDENCE HERE.
[00:07:12] OF COURSE, THE EARLY NUMBERS AND
[00:07:14] PUT THE DEMOCRATS WAY OUT AHEAD,
[00:07:16] INCLUDING S SHERROD BROWN AND AY
[00:07:21] ACTON AND THAT WAS EXPECTED.
[00:07:26] AND 1.7 BILLION OHIOANS CAME OUT
[00:07:29] EARLY OR VOTED EARLY FOR THESE MIDTERMS.
[00:07:32] IT WAS WELL KNOWN THAT IS HOW IT
[00:07:34] IS IN THE MODERN ERA -- EARLY
[00:07:39] VOTES SKEW AS THE RESULT COMES OUT.
[00:07:42] AND WE'RE SEEING A TIGHTENING IN THE RACE THAT IS REFLECTIVE OF
[00:07:45] THE POLLS THAT WE SAW. NOT QUITE AS TIGHT YET BUT AS
[00:07:48] MORE AND MORE OF THE REPUBLICANS
[00:07:50] WHO TEND TO BE THE DAY OF VOTERS AND THOSE VOTES START TO BE
[00:07:54] REFLECTED IN THE COUNTS, WE ARE
[00:07:56] SEEING A TIGHTENING OF THOSE RACES.
[00:07:59] BUT ONE THING TO NOTE, IF AMY
[00:08:03] ACTON WERE TO HOLD ON TO THIS
[00:08:06] SEAT SHE'D BE THE FIRST FEMALE
[00:08:08] GOVERNOR OF OHIO.
[00:08:10] AND IN NO SMALL PART, PERHAPS,
[00:08:13] TO A MASSIVE MISFIRE BY THE RAMASWAMY CAMPAIGN.
[00:08:16] IT'S SOMETHING THAT WE HAVE BEEN HEARING ABOUT HERE ON THE GROUND
[00:08:19] IN OHIO. PEOPLE, VOTERS REALLY TURNED OFF
[00:08:22] BY THE NEGATIVITY IN THE ADS
[00:08:25] THEY HEARD IN PARTICULAR, THE ATTACK AD THAT THE RAMASWAMY
[00:08:28] CAMPAIGN DID PUT OUT IN WHICH
[00:08:30] THEY FOUND AMY ACTON'S MOTHER
[00:08:32] AND HAD HER BASICALLY SAY THAT HER DAUGHTER WAS A LIAR.
[00:08:36] AND OF COURSE, IT ALL EMERGED
[00:08:38] AND AMY ACTON'S STORY THAT SHE
[00:08:41] WAS SEXUALLY ABUSED BY HER
[00:08:43] STEP-FATHER AND HADN'T SPOKEN TO HER MOTHER SINCE 1978.
[00:08:47] THAT HAD WIDESPREAD CONDEMNATION FROM THE GOP AS WELL, AND SO
[00:08:51] THAT'S REALLY SORT OF BEEN
[00:08:54] REFLECTED IN WHAT WE HAVE HEARD FROM PEOPLE HERE THAT REALLY
[00:08:57] TURNED THEM OFF VOTING FOR A
[00:09:00] RAMASWAMY TICKET. SO FASCINATING TO SEE THAT PLAY OUT.
[00:09:03] AND ALSO TO SEE WHETHER OR NOT THIS RED WALL THAT HAS BEEN HERE
[00:09:07] IN OHIO FOR THE LAST 10 YEARS STARTS TO SHOW SIGNS OF FATIGUE.
[00:09:11] WE HAVE HEARD A LOT TODAY OF THE PEOPLE WHO ARE CRAVING CHANGE,
[00:09:15] WANTING A BLUE WAVE. SO WE'LL SEE IF THAT ACTUALLY
[00:09:19] MATERIALIZES. >> Adrienne: OKAY, LISTEN, THANK YOU VERY MUCH, KATIE.
[00:09:22] YOU KNOW, YOU TALKED ABOUT TURNOUT AND I THINK THAT AT THE END OF THE DAY THIS IS GOING TO
[00:09:26] BE A HUGE STORY WITH THE NUMBERS ACTUALLY LOOK LIKE.
[00:09:29] SPEAKING OF NUMBERS, KEEP AN EYE -- AGAIN, I WANT TO KEEP
[00:09:33] DRAWING YOUR ATTENTION TO THE BOTTOM OF THE SCREEN HERE AND IT'S LIKE A DASHBOARD IF YOU
[00:09:36] WILL AND IT WILL SHOW YOU THE STATE OF PLAY RIGHT NOW IN BOTH
[00:09:39] THE HOUSE AND THE SENATE.
[00:09:41] IF YOU ARE WONDERING WHERE THE AMERICANS ARE AT, THAT BAR WILL
[00:09:44] ALWAYS BE THERE FOR YOU. AND SO WE KNOW THIS BATTLE
[00:09:48] TONIGHT IS ALL ABOUT CONTROL OF THE U.S. CONGRESS.
[00:09:51] AGAIN, MADE UP BY THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES AND THE SENATE.
[00:09:54] SO WHY DON'T WE ZOOM IN AND TAKE A LOOK AT EXACTLY WHAT IS AT
[00:09:57] STAKE. (♪)
[00:10:00] CONGRESS HOUSED HERE ON CAPITOL
[00:10:02] HILL IS MADE UP OF TWO CHAMBERS -- THE HOUSE OF
[00:10:05] REPRESENTATIVES AND THE SENATE. THEY HAVE THE LEGISLATIVE BRANCH
[00:10:08] OF THE U.S. GOVERNMENT, BOTH REQUIRED TO SIGN OFF ON A BILL
[00:10:11] FOR IT TO BECOME LAW. CONTROL THEM -- AND YOU HAVE
[00:10:14] MUCH MORE SAY IN THE POLITICAL DIRECTION OF THE COUNTRY. >> President Trump: WE'RE GOING
[00:10:18] TO WIN THE REPUBLICAN HOUSE AND WE'RE GOING TO WIN THE
[00:10:21] REPUBLICAN SENATE IN RECORD NUMBERS.
[00:10:24] >> THIS ELECTION CAN BE AN INFLECTION POINT.
[00:10:27] THIS ELECTION CAN BE A COURSE CORRECTION.
[00:10:30] >> Adrienne: THERE ARE 435 SEATS IN THE HOUSE AND EVERY ONE OF
[00:10:33] THEM IS UP FOR GRABS TONIGHT.
[00:10:36] GOING INTO THIS ELECTION THE REPUBLICANS HELD A MAJORITY.
[00:10:40] 220 SEATS, ONE IN 2024, AND
[00:10:44] COMPARED TO 214 FOR THE DEMOCRATS.
[00:10:47] TO WIN TONIGHT THE DEMOCRATS NEED TO KEEP WHAT THEY WON THEN
[00:10:51] AND GAIN AT LEAST THREE ADDITIONAL SEATS. SO LET'S SWITCH OVER TO THE
[00:10:54] SENATE NOW. AND ALSO HELD BY THE REPUBLICANS HEADING INTO THIS VOTE.
[00:10:58] AND THERE ARE 100 SEATS IN
[00:11:00] THERE, BUT SENATORS SERVE LONGER
[00:11:03] TERM, SO ONLY 35 ARE UP FOR ELECTION TONIGHT.
[00:11:06] OF THOSE, 22 WERE HELD BY REPUBLICANS.
[00:11:09] AND THE RACE FOR BOTH PARTIES
[00:11:11] HAS BEEN INTERESTING.
[00:11:14] >> IT'S MY FIRST TIME RALLY. >> Adrienne: REPUBLICANS HAVE
[00:11:17] FOUND THEMSELVES FIGHTING FOR EVERY LAST VOTE IN SOME TRADITIONALLY RED-LEANING
[00:11:21] STATES. >> President Trump: THE PEOPLE OF KANSAS ARE GOING TO RE-ELECT
[00:11:24] A GREAT -- A TRULY GREAT PERSON.
[00:11:27] >> Adrienne: LIKE KANSAS AND MAINE, WHILE THE DEMOCRATS WERE
[00:11:30] RALLYING TO TROY TO KEEP SOME OF THE STATES THEY HELD LIKE MINNESOTA.
[00:11:33] AND MICHIGAN.
[00:11:36] >> SHOULDN'T BE THIS HARD TO AFFORD A BAG OF GROCERIES AND
[00:11:40] NOT BE THIS HARD TO FILL UP YOUR TANK. >> Adrienne: SO, PAUL, WE KNOW
[00:11:43] FROM THE WHITE HOUSE POOL REPORT THAT PRESIDENT TRUMP IS IN THE
[00:11:47] EAST ROOM WITH SOME OF HIS CABINET MINISTERS.
[00:11:51] CABINET MEMBERS. AND ADVISORS.
[00:11:54] PROBABLY A LOT OF DIET COKE RIGHT NOW.
[00:11:56] WHAT DO YOU THINK THAT IS HAPPENING IN THERE? >> Paul: I THINK THAT THEY'RE
[00:12:00] NOT ENTIRELY SURPRISED. I THINK THAT TRUMP HAS BEEN
[00:12:03] HINTING FOR A FEW DAYS NOW, THOUGH WE ALWAYS THINK THAT
[00:12:06] TRUMP IS ALL ABOUT WINNING, THERE'S WENT HINTS COMING FROM
[00:12:10] THE WHITE HOUSE AND THEY WERE EXPECTING THIS, EVEN FROM TRUMP
[00:12:13] HIMSELF AND CALLING HIMSELF THE VETO KING AND ANTICIPATING WHAT
[00:12:16] WOULD HAPPEN. YOU KNOW, LOOK AT HIS CLOSING ARGUMENT IN FRONT OF THE
[00:12:20] REFLECTING POOL THE OTHER DAY
[00:12:21] AND TALKING ABOUT ALGAE AND
[00:12:25] GRANITE, INSTEAD OF MAKING A
[00:12:28] PITCH TO VOTE FOR HIM. >> Adrienne: SAYING THAT WE GAVE IT A SHOT.
[00:12:31] >> Paul: EXACTLY. AND PRESIDENTIAL PARTIES, THEY TEND TO LOSE DURING THE MIDTERMS.
[00:12:35] BUT I WAS THINKING THAT THERE
[00:12:37] WAS A WORLD IN WHICH TRUMP 1.0
[00:12:41] WAS RE-ELECTED.
[00:12:43] BUT THEN CAME COVID, RIGHT, AND STUFF HAPPENS SOMETIMES AND
[00:12:47] WE'VE SEEN IT A VARIETY OF TIMES. WHOEVER IS IN CHARGE PAYS THE
[00:12:50] PRICE FOR THAT. BUT THIS TIME AROUND, WE WERE TALKING ABOUT THIS EARLIER THAT
[00:12:54] ALL OF THESE SELF-INFLICTED THINGS. THAT TRUMP HAS BROUGHT THIS ON
[00:12:57] HIMSELF AND WE TALKED ABOUT TARIFFS AND WE TALKED ABOUT AFFORDABILITY AND WE TALKED
[00:13:00] ABOUT THE WAR IN IRAN AND THE IMPACT AND ALL OF THAT.
[00:13:03] BUT THE I.C.E. RAIDS, I THINK
[00:13:06] THAT, YOU KNOW, I WAS IN SOUTH
[00:13:08] TEXAS A WEEK OR SO AGO WHERE THE
[00:13:12] LATINO VOTE IS VERY STRONG. AND I CHATTED WITH A GUY WHO IS
[00:13:15] A CONSTRUCTION BUILDER, VOTED
[00:13:18] FOR TRUMP IN 2016 AND VOTED FOR TRUMP IN 2020 AND VOTED FOR
[00:13:22] TRUMP IN 2024 AND VOTING DEMOCRAT THIS TIME. WHY?
[00:13:26] BECAUSE HIS EMPLOYEES WHO ARE
[00:13:29] HISPANIC DOCUMENTED AND LEGAL
[00:13:31] WERE PICKED UP BY I.C.E. AGENTS
[00:13:33] ON THE WAY TO WORK AND NOW THEY
[00:13:35] STAY HOME SO NOW HE IS VOTING DEMOCRAT AND HE'S NOT ALONE IN
[00:13:39] SOUTH TEXAS. >> Adrienne: IT'S INTERESTING TO SEE IF THE PEOPLE WHO WOULD ONCE
[00:13:43] VOTE REPUBLICAN FOR TRUMP DID THAT OR JUST SAID I'M OUT, I'M
[00:13:46] JUST NOT VOTING.
[00:13:47] >> Paul: SORE STAYEDOR STAYED H.
[00:13:53] >> AND WE WIN NO MATTER WHAT. THAT'S WHAT THIS COMES DOWN TO
[00:13:56] IS SO MUCH BETRAYAL, SO MANY --
[00:13:58] SO MANY VOTERS FEELING BETRAYAL. NO MATTER YOUR POLITICAL STRIPE,
[00:14:02] WHAT STATE YOU'RE IN, AND SO I THINK THAT IS WHAT IS GOING TO
[00:14:05] DRIVE THE TURNOUT AND THAT'S THE RESULTS THAT WE'RE SEEING RIGHT
[00:14:08] NOW. >> IT'S IMPORTANT TO REMEMBER THAT IT'S NOT JUST ONE SIDE HURT
[00:14:12] BY THESE POLICIES. MANY REPUBLICANS AS YOU POINT
[00:14:15] OUT AND I KNOW PEOPLE WHO HAVE
[00:14:18] VOTED DEMOCRAT OR STAYING HOME
[00:14:20] OR NOT CHOOSING ON THE BALLOT. I KNOW IN TEXAS SEVERAL PEOPLE
[00:14:23] WHEN ARE VOTING BUT THEY'RE OPTING TO NOT VOTE IN THE
[00:14:26] TALARICO VERSUS KEN PAXTON. SO I THINK THAT TO TASHA'S POINT
[00:14:30] THAT IS A BENEFIT TO TALARICO. BUT THERE ARE PLENTY OF REPUBLICANS WHO WILL VOTE FOR
[00:14:34] HIM TONIGHT BECAUSE OF THE FACT THAT THEY FEEL AS THOUGH THE
[00:14:37] POLICIES OF THIS TRUMP ADMINISTRATION HAVE HURT THEM,
[00:14:40] AND I DO THINK THIS IS WHERE
[00:14:42] IT'S -- THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION
[00:14:44] ENTIRELY IN TERMS WHAT THEY PUT FORWARD AND THE FAILURE OF MANY
[00:14:48] IN THE REPUBLICAN PARTY ON THE PARTY THAT I BELONG TO THAT HAVE
[00:14:52] NOT STOPPED OR STEPPED IN TO COUNTER IT.
[00:14:54] SOME HAVE CAME OUT AND SAID THINGS TO TRY TO DIAL BACK SOME OF THE THINGS THAT THE PRESIDENT
[00:14:58] HAS DONE, BUT NOT ENOUGH. >> CAN I ADD ONE LAYER THOUGH IN TEXAS?
[00:15:02] I'M A TEXAN AND THAT'S MY HOME STATE. AND I NEVER IN MY LIFETIME HAVE
[00:15:06] SEEN A REPUBLICAN GOVERNOR ANDA
[00:15:10] REPUBLICAN PRESIDENT UNDERWATER IN THAT STATE SO THERE'S A LOT
[00:15:12] OF PEOPLE PISSED OFF IN THAT STATE, HOW THE REPUBLICANS HAVE
[00:15:16] NOT JUST GOVERNED THE COUNTRY BUT GOVERNING THAT STATE.
[00:15:20] >> Adrienne: AND YOU SAY NOT VOTING AT THE SENATE LEVEL BUT
[00:15:23] VOTING DOWN BALLOT. THE DOWN BALLOT RACES MATTER AND
[00:15:26] THEY MATTER TO THIS COUNTRY IN PARTICULAR?
[00:15:29] >> SO GOVERNORS MATTER A LOT TO
[00:15:32] US.
[00:15:34] WE HAVE ESSENTIALLY -- GOVERNORS
[00:15:37] ARE THE FOLKS WHO ARE PUTTING IN PLACE THE REGULATIONS IN THE
[00:15:40] STATES AND IN THE CITIES AND IN THE REGIONS WHERE CANADIANS ARE
[00:15:44] DOING BUSINESS. BUT ALSO GOVERNORS REALLY MATTER
[00:15:47] BECAUSE MANY OF THEM TEND TO BE QUITE CONNECTED TO THE LEADER, TO THE PRESIDENT.
[00:15:50] SO WE OFTEN GO TO GOVERNORS WHO
[00:15:54] WE KNOW THAT ARE CLOSE TO PRESIDENT BIDEN OR CLOSE TO
[00:15:58] PRESIDENT OBAMA OR CLOSE TO PRESIDENT TRUMP TO GET A FEEL FOR THINGS.
[00:16:01] WHAT ARE THEY SAYING TO YOU? AND WE KNOW WHAT THEY'RE SAYING
[00:16:04] TO US AND IF THEY'RE ALLIES BECAUSE THEY VALUE THE RELATIONSHIP WITH CANADA AND
[00:16:07] BECAUSE WE HAVE A MILITARY BASE THERE AND WE HAVE CANADIANS
[00:16:11] STATIONED IN THEIR STATE OR BUSINESS OR -- YOU KNOW,
[00:16:15] WHATEVER THE RELATIONSHIP MIGHT BE. AND THEN YOU BUILD THAT RELATIONSHIP.
[00:16:18] YOU BUILD THAT TRUST. AND YOU GET INFORMATION AND
[00:16:21] ADVICE AND THEN ALSO, QUITE
[00:16:23] FRANKLY, YOU CAN HELP TO GET
[00:16:25] YOUR MESSAGE INTO THE
[00:16:28] ADMINISTRATION VIA THESE TRUSTED ADVISORS.
[00:16:30] AND IT'S NOT ABOUT, YOU KNOW,
[00:16:34] GETTING THEM TO SAY SOMETHING THEY DON'T BELIEVE. THEY BELIEVE AND THEY SHARE THE
[00:16:38] SAME VIEWS AND THEY HAVE THE SAME POLICIES AS WE DO AND THEY
[00:16:41] WANT THE SAME THINGS, BUT THE MESSAGE IS GOING TO BE STRONGER, OBVIOUSLY, COMING FROM AN
[00:16:44] AMERICAN TO AN AMERICAN LEADER. AND IT WILL BE STRONGER COMING
[00:16:47] FROM A TRUSTED ALLY WHO COULD
[00:16:49] SAY, LISTEN, BOSS, YOU KNOW, I
[00:16:51] UNDERSTAND WHERE YOU'RE COMING
[00:16:53] FROM BUT THIS IS HOW IT'S AFFECTING OUR STATE.
[00:16:57] >> Adrienne: THE NEXT TWO STATES THAT YOU'RE LOOKING AT? >> I'M EXCITED ABOUT WHAT IS
[00:17:00] HAPPENING IN GEORGIA RIGHT NOW. THIS IS UNBELIEVABLE AND I DON'T
[00:17:03] KNOW IF WE'RE CALLING IT YET BUT THE PREDICTIONS IS THAT KEISHA
[00:17:06] LANCE-BOTTOM IS NOW GOING TO BE THE NEXT GOVERNOR OF GEORGIA,
[00:17:09] MAKING HISTORY AS FIRST WOMAN, FIRST BLACK WOMAN, TO MANAGE THAT STATE.
[00:17:13] SO I'M EXCITED ABOUT THAT. >> AND LOOKING AT OHIO AND I'M
[00:17:16] CURIOUS WHAT HAPPENS WITH VIVEK
[00:17:20] RAMASWAMY AND AMY ACTON AND HOW
[00:17:24] POORLY HE DOES. AND I'M HEARING THAT THINGS ARE NOT GOING WELL AND I HEAR FROM
[00:17:28] FOLKS ON THE GROUND WHO HAVE BEEN PRETTY -- SAID THAT THE
[00:17:31] WORD THAT I GOT IS NOT GOOD.
[00:17:34] >> Paul: TIME FOR A QUICKIE AND
[00:17:36] BACK TO TEXAS FOR A SECOND, I
[00:17:38] WAS TALKING TO THOSE RUNNING FOR
[00:17:42] TEXAS, AND POLITICS 101.
[00:17:45] VOTERS DON'T LIKE TO BE LLOYD TO
[00:17:47] AND THAT'S NOT JUST LATINOS OR
[00:17:50] BLACK AMERICANS AND IT'S EVERYBODY. >> WE SAW THAT -- I WOULD SAY
[00:17:53] THAT IT DIDN'T WORK WHEN BIDEN-HARRIS TICKET TOLD US THAT
[00:17:56] THE ECONOMY WAS DOING BETTER AND PEOPLE FELT THEY WERE BEING
[00:18:00] GASLIT. AND TRUMP CALLED HIM OUT FOR THAT AND THEN IS DOING THE VERY
[00:18:03] SAME THING, AND GASLIGHTING IN
[00:18:06] THIS YEAR AND SHORT-TERM PAINS FOR LONG-TERM GAINS AND PEOPLE
[00:18:09] HAVE NOT SEEN THEM. AND PEOPLE ARE FED UP.
[00:18:12] AND RANCHERS IN OKLAHOMA ARE FED
[00:18:15] UP AND THEY CAN'T AFFORD LIFE. AND PEOPLE WHO HAVE BEEN HIS
[00:18:18] BREAD AND BUTTER --
[00:18:21] >> Paul: A BEDROCK. >> THEY ARE FURIOUS AND THEY'RE NOT GOING TO CONTINUE TO STAND FOR IT.
[00:18:25] THEY HAVE HIT A BREAKING POINT AND THEY CAN'T HOLD ON TO HIM
[00:18:28] ANY LONGER. >> Adrienne: THIS IS INTERESTING, PARTICULARLY COMING
[00:18:31] FROM A REPUBLICAN, THIS IS FASCINATING.
[00:18:33] AND A LOT OF PEOPLE ARE CONCERNED WHAT HAPPENS IN MAINE.
[00:18:37] SO MIKE CRAWLEY IS IN BANGOR, MAINE.
[00:18:39] AND SUSAN COLLINS' HEADQUARTERS, HI, MIKE?
[00:18:43] >> Reporter: HI, ADRIENNE. LOOK, IT SEEMS THAT THIS ELECTION IS REALLY GOING TO COME
[00:18:47] DOWN TO THE QUESTION OF WHETHER
[00:18:49] THE VOTERS OF MAINE REWARD THE
[00:18:52] REPUBLICAN INCUMBENT SUSAN COLLINS FOR THE TIMES THAT SHE
[00:18:55] HAS STOOD UP TO DONALD TRUMP, OR PUNISH HER FOR NOT DOING THAT
[00:18:59] OFTEN ENOUGH.
[00:19:01] THIS RACE ON PAPER OUGHT TO BE
[00:19:04] ONE OF THE EASIEST STATES FOR
[00:19:07] THE DEMOCRATS TO FLIP.
[00:19:09] IT'S THE ONLY STATE IN WHICH
[00:19:12] THERE'S A REPUBLICAN SENATOR,
[00:19:15] INCUMBENT IS UP FOR ELECTION THIS CYCLE, IN WHICH KAMALA
[00:19:18] HARRIS ACTUALLY WON THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION IN 2024.
[00:19:21] BUT SUSAN COLLINS, SHE IS A POLITICAL SURVIVOR.
[00:19:25] THE DEFINITION OF A POLITICAL SURVIVOR.
[00:19:28] SHE HAS WON FIVE STRAIGHT ELECTIONS IN THIS STATE.
[00:19:31] SHE'S BEEN THE SENATOR FOR 30
[00:19:34] YEARS, AND SHE'S DONE THAT BY
[00:19:36] ATTRACTING DEMOCRATS TO VOTE FOR HER.
[00:19:39] BASICALLY ON THE IDEA THAT SHE
[00:19:41] GETS RESULTS FOR THE STATE.
[00:19:44] HER OPPONENT TROY JACKSON, HE IS
[00:19:47] IN MANY WAYS AN OUTSIDER.
[00:19:49] HE IS A FORMER LOGGER WHO TURNED POLITICIAN.
[00:19:52] AND IF HE WINS THIS SENATE RACE
[00:19:56] HE'S GOING TO BECOME THE ONLY
[00:19:58] SITTING U.S. SENATOR WHO DOESN'T
[00:20:00] HAVE A FOUR-YEAR COLLEGE DEGREE. ADRIENNE?
[00:20:04] >> Adrienne: ALL RIGHT, MIKE CRAWLEY, THANK YOU VERY MUCH.
[00:20:07] I JUST WANT TO ASK THE QUESTION
[00:20:09] OF AMBASSADOR HILLMAN MORE. SUSAN COLLINS IS AN EXAMPLE OF
[00:20:13] SOMEONE THAT YOU HAVE WORKED WITH VERY CLOSELY.
[00:20:15] >> VERY CLOSELY.
[00:20:17] SUSAN COLLINS NEVER MISSED AN
[00:20:20] EVENT THAT WAS DEALING WITH THE
[00:20:23] CANADA-U.S. RELATIONSHIP -- HONESTLY, SHE NEVER DID.
[00:20:26] ONE OF OUR STAUNCHEST SUPPORTERS THROUGH MY ENTIRE TENURE IN
[00:20:30] WASHINGTON. AND, YOU KNOW, THERE'S NOT A LOT
[00:20:33] OF MYSTERY TO THIS, AND MAINE
[00:20:36] EXPORTS MORE TO CANADA THAN THE NEXT 16 COUNTRIES THAT IT
[00:20:40] EXPORTS TO COMBINED. MAINE IMPORTS ENERGY AND OIL AND
[00:20:43] ELECTRICITY AND WOOD AND LUMBER THAT THEY TRANSFORM INTO PRODUCTS.
[00:20:47] THEY ARE DEEPLY INTEGRATED WITH THE NEW BRUNSWICK ECONOMY.
[00:20:50] BUT ALSO THERE'S A CULTURAL AND
[00:20:52] AN HISTORICAL FRIENDSHIP BETWEEN
[00:20:55] SUSAN COLI COLLINS AND HER CANAN
[00:21:00] FRIENDS AND ALLIES. SHE IS SOMEONE WHO DURING THE
[00:21:03] FIRST NAFTA NEGOTIATIONS, WE
[00:21:04] WOULD CHECK IN EVERY -- I DON'T
[00:21:07] KNOW -- MONTH LET'S SAY. AND WE WOULD TALK ABOUT WHERE
[00:21:11] CANADA FELT THAT THINGS WERE AT AND SHE WOULD TALK ABOUT WHERE
[00:21:14] SHE THOUGHT THAT THE THINGS WERE AT. WHERE THE REPUBLICAN WAS TELLING
[00:21:17] HER AND WHAT THE PRESIDENT AND THE ADMINISTRATION WAS SAYING. AND WE WOULD SHARE INFORMATION
[00:21:21] AND TRY TO MAKE SURE THAT OUR
[00:21:23] JOINT GOALS -- WHERE WE HAD THEM
[00:21:26] AND WE WERE MOSTLY ALIGNED -- WERE GETTING THE BEST FOR US.
[00:21:29] AND SHE IS ONE OF THE FOUR REPUBLICANS WHO VOTED IN 2025,
[00:21:31] THE SECOND TRUMP ADMINISTRATION,
[00:21:33] ON A DEMOCRATIC RESOLUTION TO
[00:21:36] REMOVE -- REMEMBER THOSE BORDER TARIFFS, THE FENTANYL TARIFFS
[00:21:39] THAT WE WERE SUFFERING? SHE'S ONE OF THE FOUR REPUBLICANS THAT VOTED WITH
[00:21:43] DEMOCRATS TO HAVE THOSE REMOVED IN A RESOLUTION.
[00:21:46] SO SHE'S -- SHE IS A REPUBLICAN,
[00:21:49] AND SHE IS A VERY STRONG ALLY OF CANADA.
[00:21:53] >> Paul: TERM LIMITS 30 YEARS AGO. [LAUGHTER]
[00:21:56] >> Adrienne: ALL RIGHT, LET'S WIGGLE OVER TO OTTAWA WHERE
[00:21:59] ROSEMARY BARTON IS STANDING BY LISTENING. ROSIE, YOU HAVE HEARD -- YOU
[00:22:03] HAVE HEARD THE AMBASSADOR AND YOU HAVE SEEN THE RESULTS, YOU
[00:22:06] HAVE HEARD THE FORMER DEPUTY PRIME MINISTER CHRYSTIA FREELAND. WHAT ARE YOU THINKING ABOUT
[00:22:09] RIGHT NOW? >> Rosemary: YEAH, YOU KNOW, I DON'T THINK THAT ANYONE HERE
[00:22:13] WOULD OPENLY SAY IN GOVERNMENT THAT THEY'RE HOPING THAT THE
[00:22:17] DEMOCRATS WIN BOTH HOUSES, RIGHT? I MEAN, THAT WOULD BE -- THAT
[00:22:20] WOULD BE MADNESS TO SAY THAT. BUT I THINK THAT THEY ARE HOPING
[00:22:24] THAT THE DEMOCRATS WILL BE ABLE TO HOLD ONE OF THE HOUSES AND
[00:22:28] WILL BE ABLE TO ACT AS A BIT OF A CHECK AND BALANCE ON PRESIDENT
[00:22:31] TRUMP. FOR SURE, HE CAN STILL PUT IN
[00:22:34] PLACE ALL SORTS OF EXECUTIVE ORDERS, THAT'S WHAT HE DOES WITH
[00:22:37] THE TARIFFS AND HE CAN VETO LEGISLATION.
[00:22:40] BUT THERE HAS BEEN NO CHECK-AND-BALANCE.
[00:22:42] SO I THINK THIS ALLOWS HIM TO BE A LITTLE BIT HOPEFUL ABOUT HOW
[00:22:46] THE CANADA-U.S. RELATIONSHIP IMPROVES, WHERE IT GOES FROM
[00:22:50] HERE. I DO KNOW THOUGH THAT SOME OF THE PEOPLE THAT I HAVE BEEN
[00:22:53] SPEAKING TO OVER THE PAST NUMBER OF DAYS ARE CONCERNED ABOUT THE
[00:22:57] LAME DUCK CONGRESS, RIGHT? THE PRESIDENT BETWEEN TONIGHT
[00:22:59] AND JANUARY, WHEN THESE NEW PEOPLE ARRIVE IN WASHINGTON.
[00:23:03] AND WHAT DONALD TRUMP MIGHT TRY TO DO OVER THOSE NEXT COUPLE OF
[00:23:07] MONTHS. WHAT KIND OF ACTIONS THAT HE
[00:23:09] COULD TAKE TO MAKE THINGS WORSE
[00:23:13] FOR CANADA AND FOR OTHER COUNTRIES. AND ALSO WHETHER, YOU KNOW, HE
[00:23:17] BECOMES VERY DISTRACTED WITH THAT.
[00:23:19] WHETHER IT BE, UM, APPOINTMENTS
[00:23:21] OR OTHER THINGS THAT HE'S TRYING
[00:23:24] TO GET DONE WITH THE LEGISLATIVE BODIES THAT HE HAS IN PLACE.
[00:23:27] AND SO TRADE SUDDENLY BECOMES SORT OF A NON-ISSUE FOR HIM.
[00:23:31] I'M NOT SURE THAT'S A REAL CONCERN BECAUSE THE PRIME
[00:23:34] MINISTER AND THE PRESIDENT ARE SPEAKING AGAIN AND THEY'RE
[00:23:37] SPEAKING IN A REAL WAY ABOUT TRYING TO GET A DEAL.
[00:23:41] AND, CERTAINLY, CANADA IS
[00:23:42] INTERESTED IN AVOIDING THE
[00:23:45] INCREASE OF TARIFFS ON THE AUTO
[00:23:47] SECTOR ON JANUARY 1ST. SO THERE'S SOME MOTIVATION HERE
[00:23:50] FOR THE CANADIAN GOVERNMENT TO KEEP THOSE TALKS GOING.
[00:23:53] BUT THERE'S A LOT AT PLAY AND,
[00:23:56] FRANKLY, NO ONE REALLY KNOWS HOW DONALD TRUMP WILL REACT TO WHATEVER WE SEE TONIGHT.
[00:24:00] IT COULD BE ANGER AND IT COULD
[00:24:01] BE A CHANGE IN HIS APPROACH.
[00:24:05] IT COULD BE CHAOS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF MONTHS. I THINK THAT THOSE ARE ALL
[00:24:09] THINGS THAT CANADIAN GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS ARE PREPARING FOR ON
[00:24:11] ALL FRONTS. >> Adrienne: YEAH, DOES A LAME DUCK BITE?
[00:24:15] >> Rosemary: THAT'S RIGHT. >> Adrienne: I THINK THAT IS THE QUESTION THAT A LOT OF PEOPLE
[00:24:18] WHO HAVE BEEN BITTEN BEFORE
[00:24:21] THINK ABOUT AND FLINCH IN ANN TESPATION, AS YOU SAY,
[00:24:24] REGARDLESS OF THE OUTCOME TONIGHT AND IT'S TOO EARLY TO
[00:24:26] DETERMINE THAT. ROSEMARY BARTON IN OTTAWA. THANK YOU.
[00:24:30] AND IT'S THAT TIME OF NIGHT AS SO MANY MORE POLLS HAVE CLOSED
[00:24:33] AND WE HAVE MORE NUMBERS AND DAVID COCHRANE HAS MORE RESULTS, SIR?
[00:24:37] >> David: WE WILL GIVE AN UPDATE ON THE SENATE.
[00:24:39] AND WE GOT FIRST RESULTS FROM SOME CO RACES.
[00:24:42] WE'LL START IN NEBRASKA WHICH IS INTERESTING BECAUSE THAT'S AN
[00:24:46] INDEPENDENT IN DAN OSBORNE WHO
[00:24:48] HAS A 20-POINT LEAD OVER THE
[00:24:50] REPUBLICANS WITH 24% OF THE VOTES BEING COUNTED.
[00:24:53] AND THE DEMOCRAT IN THIS STATE STOOD DOWN, BECAUSE THEY FELT
[00:24:56] THAT DAN OSBORNE WHO SAID THAT THEY WON'T CAUCUS WITH ANYBODY
[00:25:00] HAD A BETTER CHANCE OF DEFEATING THE REPUBLICAN. AND SO FAR IN EARLY VOTING THAT
[00:25:03] IS WHERE ON THE GOING. LET'S GO TO KANSAS THAT LAST
[00:25:07] VOTED DEMOCRAT IN 1932, ADAM HAM
[00:25:12] HAMILTON HAS 67% OF THE VOTE AND
[00:25:15] HAMILTON IS A METHODIST PASTOR
[00:25:20] AND HIS CHURCH WAS A REGULAR POLLING STATION AND THEY
[00:25:24] COULDN'T VOTE THERE THIS TIME BECAUSE IT'S HIS FORMER PLACE OF
[00:25:26] WORK AND IT WOULD BE DEEMED UNFAIR.
[00:25:29] AND WE HAVE RESULTS FROM IOWA,
[00:25:31] WHERE JOSH TUREK HAS A 62% TO
[00:25:35] 35% LEAD, FUEL AND FERTILIZER IS KILLING THE ECONOMY THERE.
[00:25:39] POTENTIALLY KILLING THE REPUBLICANS' CHANCES.
[00:25:42] AND SOUTH CAROLINA, WITH 78% OF THE VOTE IN, ANNIE ANDREWS
[00:25:46] CONTINUES TO HOLD A LEAD OVER DARLENE GRAHAM, THE SISTER OF
[00:25:50] THE LATE LINDSEY GRAHAM, A SEVEN-POINT LEAD FOR THE
[00:25:54] DEMOCRATS IN WHAT WOULD BE -- I
[00:25:56] WOULD SAY IT'S A SURPRISING FLIP IF IT HAPPENS THAT WAY.
[00:26:00] AND WITH THE MATH, THE DEMOCRATS NEEDED TO BE PLUS THREE IN THE
[00:26:03] HOUSE AND THEY'RE NOW PLUS 58
[00:26:06] AND COUNTING AND THEY NEEDED TO
[00:26:09] BE PLUS 4 IN THE SENATE AND THEY ARE PLUS 6.
[00:26:12] >> Adrienne: I HEARD THE AIR GO OUT IN A BALLOON WHEN YOU LOOKED AT SOUTH CAROLINA.
[00:26:16] STILL EARLY. I WANT TO SPEAK TO THE FORMER
[00:26:20] ALBERTA PREMIER AND FEDERAL CABINET MINISTER JASON KENNEY
[00:26:24] WHO HAS BEEN WAITING TO TALK TO US IN CALGARY TONIGHT.
[00:26:27] MR. KENNEY, AS YOU HAVE BEEN LISTENING THERE AS A CANADIAN,
[00:26:29] AND AS AN ALBERTAN IN
[00:26:32] PARTICULAR, HOW ARE YOU FEELING ABOUT WHAT YOU ARE SEEING?
[00:26:35] >> WELL, A LITTLE BIT HOPEFUL FROM A CANADIAN PERSPECTIVE
[00:26:38] BECAUSE THIS DOES APPEAR TO BE IN PART -- I MEAN, THERE'S A LOT
[00:26:41] OF THINGS GOING ON HERE OBVIOUSLY.
[00:26:44] BUT WE CAN SEE PRETTY PLAINLY AT LEAST IN THE NORTHERN BORDER
[00:26:48] STATES, THOSE MOST CLOSELY INTEGRATED WITH CANADA
[00:26:51] ECONOMICALLY AND MOST FAMILIAR WITH CANADA, THERE WAS A
[00:26:54] SIGNIFICANT PUSHBACK, AMONGST THE REPUBLICAN VOTERS AND
[00:26:58] CANDIDATES AGAINST THE TRUMP TARIFFS.
[00:27:00] AND MORE BROADLY HIS BIZARRE POLITICAL WAR AGAINST CANADA.
[00:27:04] SO, YOU KNOW, I HAVE LONG
[00:27:07] MAINTAINED THAT PATIENCE IS THE
[00:27:09] BEST STRATEGY FOR CANADA IN THIS
[00:27:11] CONTEXT, RATHER THAN PANICKING AND SIGNING -- YOU KNOW, AND
[00:27:15] MASSIVELY DOWNGRADING NAFTA OR CUSMA.
[00:27:19] BUT THAT AMERICAN VOTERS ULTIMATELY WOULD BE OUR SIDE.
[00:27:22] AT THE VERY LEAST OUT OF SELF-PRESERVATION BECAUSE
[00:27:26] THEY'RE FOCUSED ON THE COST OF LIVING AND THE TARIFFS ARE
[00:27:29] INFLATIONARY, THAT'S A BIG DRIVING FACTOR HERE TONIGHT.
[00:27:32] AND I CAN'T SEE THAT AS ANYTHING
[00:27:34] BUT A POSITIVE SIGN FOR HOPEFULLY NORMALIZING THE TRADE
[00:27:38] RELATIONSHIP. >> Adrienne: SO REGARDLESS OF
[00:27:40] WHATOUT WHAT OUTCOME THAT WE SEE TONIGHT, WHAT SHOULD THE
[00:27:44] CANADIAN GOVERNMENT DO MOVING FORWARD TO GET A DEAL WITH THE U.S.? IS IT JUST WHAT YOU HAVE BEEN
[00:27:48] TALKING ABOUT BEFORE -- PATIENCE? OR IS THERE SOMETHING ELSE THAT
[00:27:52] THEY SHOULD DO AT THIS POINT?
[00:27:54] >> I THINK THEY SHOULD WAIT AND LET THE DUST SETTLE.
[00:27:57] I THINK THAT WE KNOW THAT THIS PRESIDENT IS UNPREDICTABLE AND
[00:28:00] CAN BE CAPRICIOUS, AND Y I DON'T
[00:28:04] THINK THAT WE WANT TO BE PLAYING
[00:28:08] INTO THIS OR DOING A VICTORY LAP
[00:28:10] IF HE HAS A HUMILIATING DEFEAT
[00:28:13] FOR HIS PARTY TONIGHT. SO I THINK WE SHOULD BATTEN DOWN
[00:28:16] THE HATCHES AND GET THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE WEEKS. THIS NEW CONGRESS WON'T BE SWORN
[00:28:20] IN UNTIL THE THIRD WEEK OF JANUARY.
[00:28:21] AND SO I DO THINK THAT TIME IS
[00:28:24] IN OUR HAND. CONGRESS HAS LIMITED POWERS TO
[00:28:28] IMPAIR THE PRESIDENT'S TRADE AGENDA, BUT LET'S NOT FORGET
[00:28:31] THAT THERE ARE MULTIPLE LEGAL CHALLENGES BEFORE THE U.S.
[00:28:34] COURTS AND SO FAR WE'VE BEEN WINNING ALMOST ALL OF THEM.
[00:28:37] BECAUSE THE BASIC CONSTITUTIONAL PRINCIPLE IS THAT TARIFFS ARE
[00:28:41] TAXES AND TAXES ARE AN EXCLUSIVELY CONGRESSIONAL POWER.
[00:28:44] SO WE CONTINUE TO LET THAT PLAY OUT.
[00:28:46] AND IT DOES APPEAR THAT SOME OF
[00:28:48] THE GROWN-UPS IN THE ROOM,
[00:28:51] INCLUDING JAIMESON GREER AND USTR HAVE HAD RENEWED
[00:28:54] CONVERSATIONS. SO WE'LL SEE WHERE THAT GOES. BUT I DO NOT ANTICIPATE THAT THE
[00:28:58] PRESIDENT IS GOING TO BE IN A TERRIBLY GOOD MOOD IN THE NEXT
[00:29:02] WEEK OR SO. >> Paul: JASON, PAUL HUNTER
[00:29:06] HERE, LONG TIME NO TALK, GOOD TO SEE YOU AGAIN.
[00:29:09] WOULD YOU GO BIG PICTURE ON THE CANADA-U.S. RELATIONSHIP.
[00:29:12] LONG TERM AND WITH PATIENCE -- WHATEVER, DO YOU SEE A RETURN TO
[00:29:15] THE RELATIONSHIP THAT ONCE WAS
[00:29:18] EVER, IF I CAN PUT IT THAT WAY?
[00:29:23] >> WELL, I -- I DO THINK THAT --
[00:29:27] WHEN DONALD TRUMP LEAVES THE WHITE HOUSE WE CAN HOPEFULLY PUT
[00:29:30] A PERIOD BEHIND -- ALL OF THE
[00:29:33] STRANGE, UM, CAPRICIOUS ATTACKS ON OUR SOVEREIGNTY AND THE
[00:29:36] MOCKING OF OUR INDEPENDENCE. AND THE IMPLICIT -- AND
[00:29:40] SOMETIMES EXPLICIT POLITICAL AND STRATEGIC ATTACKS.
[00:29:43] AND GET BACK TO NORMAL TRADE POLICY.
[00:29:45] I'M NOT SURE THAT WE'LL EVER GET BACK TO AN AGREEMENT THAT IS
[00:29:49] GOOD AS THE ORIGINAL NAFTA OR
[00:29:52] THE ORIGINAL CUSMA BECAUSE THE
[00:29:53] DEMOCRATS THAT WE KNOW ARE AS
[00:29:56] PROTECTIONIST AS TRUMP ON MANY ISSUES. BUT ON THE OTHER HAND, ONE OF
[00:30:00] THE MESSAGES HERE TONIGHT IS THAT VOTERS DON'T LIKE THE IMPACT OF TARIFFS.
[00:30:04] SO I THINK WE'RE GOING TO MAKE MORE PROGRESS. PAUL, IF YOU DON'T MIND ME
[00:30:07] MAKING A KIND OF A SEPARATE
[00:30:10] POINT -- ABOUT OUR OWN DOMESTIC POLITICS -- I HAVE BEEN
[00:30:13] STRUGGLING WITH THE IMPACT OF
[00:30:16] M.A.G.A. IN THE UNITED STATES ON
[00:30:18] THE CANADIAN CONSERVATIVE MOVEMENT IN OUR OWN COUNTRY.
[00:30:22] WITH NOT A FEW PEOPLE, INCLUDING THE SO-CALLED INFLUENCER, RIGHT,
[00:30:26] AND SOME ELECTED PEOPLE, TRYING TO EMULATE THE STYLE AND THE
[00:30:29] TONE OF M.A.G.A. IN SOME RESPECTS.
[00:30:32] I THINK THAT A LOT OF THE ALBERTA SEPARATIST MOVEMENT WAS
[00:30:35] IN PART INSPIRED BY THAT, AND
[00:30:38] NORM BREAKING AND BURN IT DOWN
[00:30:41] KIND OF RIGHT-WING POPULISM. I THINK THAT TONIGHT SENDS A
[00:30:44] VERY STRONG MESSAGE. THERE IS NO -- THAT EVEN THE
[00:30:47] AMERICANS ARE TIRED OF THAT. AND THAT THOSE ON THE CANADIAN
[00:30:50] RIGHT WHO THINK THIS IS A POLITICAL PATH TO EMULATE
[00:30:54] COULDN'T BE MORE WRONG. >> Adrienne: WELL. >> Paul: WOW.
[00:30:58] >> Adrienne: THANK YOU VERY MUCH, THANK YOU VERY MUCH, MR. KENNEY. AND IT'S INTERESTING ABOUT
[00:31:01] TRUST, EH, IT TAKES SO LONG TO BUILD AND A SECOND TO LOSE.
[00:31:05] AND DO YOU EVER REALLY GET IT BACK, YOU KNOW, IN A PERSONAL RELATIONSHIP OR A POLITICAL ONE?
[00:31:09] IT'S REALLY HARD TO SAY. THAT IS JASON KENNEY JOINING US
[00:31:12] LIVE FROM CALGARY. THANK YOU. AFTER THE BREAK, IAN HANOMANSING
[00:31:15] IS HERE WITH SOME OF THE OTHER NEWS THAT WE ARE FOLLOWING TONIGHT BECAUSE, AGAIN, OTHER
[00:31:19] THINGS ARE HAPPENING.
[00:31:20] COWAN KEEP AN EYE ON THE BOTTOME
[00:31:25] SCREEN FOR THAT QR CODE. IT WIL
[00:34:05] (♪)
[00:34:09] >> Ian: WE WILL RETURN TO OUR U.S. MIDTERM ELECTION SPECIAL IN
[00:34:12] A FEW MINUTES, BUT FIRST SOME OTHER NEWS, BEGINNING WITH A
[00:34:15] SUSPECTED BEAR ATTACK HERE IN BRITISH COLUMBIA.
[00:34:17] A WOMAN WAS FOUND DEAD NEAR A TRAIL IN BELLA COOLA AND HER
[00:34:21] DAUGHTER IS STILL MISSING. MICHELE GASOOB SPOKE WITH THE
[00:34:24] FAMILY WHO FEAR THEY HAVE LOST
[00:34:26] THEM BOTH.
[00:34:32] >> THEY WERE TWO PEAS IN A POD AND WHEN JENNY HIKED SHE WAS BESIDE HER. >> Reporter: 48-YEAR-OLD JENNIFER BALCAROS AND HER
[00:34:35] DAUGHTER SAILOR REID WENT FOR A WALK JUST MINUTES FROM THEIR
[00:34:38] HOME IN BELLA COOLA ON SATURDAY.
[00:34:40] THEY NEVER RETURNED HOME.
[00:34:42] AND THE PAIR ARE NOW BELIEVED TO BE THE VICTIMS OF A GRIZZLY BEAR
[00:34:46] ATTACK. >> THEY HAVE CONFIRMED THE REMAINS OF OUR SISTER JENNY, AND
[00:34:49] AT THIS POINT IN TIME IT'S NOT
[00:34:58] BELIEVED THAT SAILOR HAS
[00:35:00] SURVIVED EITHER. >> Reporter: BELLA COOLA IS A SMALL COMMUNITY ON B.C.'S CENTRAL COAST.
[00:35:04] ABOUT 11 HOURS FROM VANCOUVER.
[00:35:05] RCMP AND SEARCH-AND-RESCUE TEAMS
[00:35:09] LOCATED THE REMAINS ON MONDAY.
[00:35:12] THE SEARCH FOR REID CONTINUES.
[00:35:14] >> THERE WAS EVIDENCE TO SUGGEST
[00:35:16] A BEAR MAY HAVE BEEN INVOLVED.
[00:35:20] THE PUBLIC IS URGED TO AVOID THE AREA UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE DUE TO THE DANGER.
[00:35:23] >> Reporter: IT WAS JUST ONE YEAR AGO THAT A SIMILAR INCIDENT
[00:35:26] SHOOK THE COMMUNITY.
[00:35:31] WHEN A GRIZZLY BEAR ATTACKED AROUND 20 ELEMENTARY SCHOOL STUDENTS AND THEIR TEACHERS, LEAVING AN ADULT AND THREE
[00:35:33] CHILDREN BADLY INJURED. THE BEAR IN THAT ATTACK WAS
[00:35:37] NEVER FOUND.
[00:35:41] THIS TIME OF YEAR ACROSS B.C., EXPERTS ARE URGING EXTRA CAUTION.
[00:35:44] >> WELL, AS BEARS GET READY FOR
[00:35:45] HIBERNATION, PEOPLE SHOULD BE CAUTIOUS.
[00:35:49] AND THE BEST WAY TO BE CAUTIOUS IS TO TRAVEL IN GROUPS,
[00:35:53] KEEP YOUR DOG ON LEASH AND TO
[00:35:56] CARRY BEAR SPRAY AT THIS TIME. >> Reporter: THE FAMILY SAYS THAT THE AREA WHERE THE PAIR
[00:35:59] WERE HIKING WAS NOT REMOTE. MAKING THE TRAGEDY EVEN HARDER
[00:36:02] TO UNDERSTAND.
[00:36:05] >> BOTH JEN AND SELAH WERE
[00:36:09] VIBRANT AND FULL OF LIFE AND THEY HADN'T BEEN IN THIS COMMUNITY LONG. THEY WERE LIVING -- IT'S
[00:36:12] UNTHINKABLE.
[00:36:16] >> Reporter: THE B.C. CONSERVATION OFFICER SERVICE SAYS THAT EFFORTS TO TRAP THE
[00:36:19] BEAR OR THE BEARS ARE ONGOING.
[00:36:24] MICHELE GASOOB, CBC NEWS, VANCOUVER. >> Ian: PRIME MINISTER MARK
[00:36:26] CARNEY SAYS THAT RUSSIA WILL NOT BE ALLOWED TO COMPETE AT NEXT MONTH'S WORLD JUNIORS HOCKEY
[00:36:30] TOURNAMENT IN ALBERTA.
[00:36:32] >> Rt. Hon. Mark Carney: WELL,
[00:36:36] RUSSIA AND BELLA RUSSIA ARE
[00:36:40] SUPPORTING THIS HORRIFIC WAR IN UKRAINE AND AS LONG AS THAT'S GOING ON, THERE WILL BE NONE OF THOSE ATHLETES COMPETING FOR
[00:36:43] THEIR COUNTRIES IN CANADA. >> Ian: CARNEY'S COMMENTS COME
[00:36:46] AFTER A RULING CLEARED THE WAY FOR RUSSIAN ATHLETES TO TAKE
[00:36:50] PART IN THE INTERNATIONAL HOCKEY
[00:36:54] TOURNAMENTS, INCLUDING THE WORLD SEWN YOURS. A GROWING NUMBER OF EUROPEAN
[00:36:57] COUNTRIES, INCLUDING SWEDEN AND NORWAY AND FINLAND, HAVE ANNOUNCED THEY WILL NOT PLAY
[00:37:01] AGAINST THE RUSSIAN TEAMS.
[00:37:04] >>> MARK CARNEY MADE THOSE COMMENTS ON THE ISLAND OF ANTIGUA WHILE ATTENDING A
[00:37:08] COMMONWEALTH GATHERING WHERE HE PUSHED FOR EXPANDED TRADE WITH
[00:37:11] THE CARIBBEAN NATIONS. BUT AS DAVID THURTON SHOWS US, DONALD TRUMP'S TARIFFS STILL
[00:37:15] LOOM LARGE.
[00:37:20] >> Reporter:THE UNITED STATES
[00:37:21] IS NOT PART OF THE COMMONWEALTH,
[00:37:25] BUT AS LEADERS GATHERED, DONALD TRUMP WAS THE ELEPHANT IN THE ROOM. >> WE GATHER AT A TIME WHEN
[00:37:28] GLOBAL POWER REMAINS UNEQUAL, NATIONAL INTERESTS COMPETES.
[00:37:31] >> Reporter: ANTIGUA AND
[00:37:35] BARBUDA, A TWIN ISLAND CARIBBEAN STATE PLAYED HOST TO THE
[00:37:39] COMMONWEALTH HEADS OF GOVERNMENT MEETING. A FORUM FOR LARGE ECONOMIES --
[00:37:43] SHIFTING THIS ORGINISATION TO
[00:37:44] MUCH MORE OF A RESULTS FOCUS. >> Reporter: AND SMALLER ONES --
[00:37:48] >> Rt. Hon. Mark Carney: WE ALL KNOW HOW MUCH THE WORLD HAS CHANGED. >> Reporter: ALL DEALING WITH TRUMP'S PUNISHING TARIFFS BY
[00:37:51] SEEKING NEW TRADING PARTNERS. >> WHY WOULDN'T YOU TURN TO THE
[00:37:55] GLOBAL SOUTH, WHY WOULDN'T YOU
[00:37:59] GO TO OTHER COUNTRIES THAT ARE PART OF THE COMMONWEALTH?
[00:38:02] WHY WOULDN'T YOU GO TO THE CARIBBEAN? THAT'S STILL A SIGNIFICANT PLAYER.
[00:38:06] >> THERE'S A TRILLION DOLLARS OF TRADE. >> Reporter:BUT CALLS FOR
[00:38:08] CLOSER COOPERATION WERE
[00:38:11] OVERSHADOWED BY RENEWED DEMANDS
[00:38:13] FOR AN APOLOGY, AND REPARATIONS
[00:38:17] OVER BRITAIN'S ROLE IN THE TRANSATLANTIC SLAVE TRADE.
[00:38:20] >> NO DOUBT THAT THE KING SHOULD APOLOGISE FOR THAT, THOUGH HE
[00:38:24] HIMSELF WAS NOT PART OF THAT. >> Reporter: KING CHARLES
[00:38:27] STOPPED SHORT OF SAYING SORRY. >> THE TRANSATLANTIC SLAVE TRADE STILL CASTS A SHADOW OVER THESE ISLANDS AND OTHER MEMBERS OF OUR
[00:38:31] COMMONWEALTH.
[00:38:35] AS I'VE SAID BEFORE, THAT
[00:38:36] SHAMEFUL CHAPTER OF HISTORY IS ONE THAT FILLS MY HEART WITH
[00:38:40] SORROW. >> Reporter: FOR COMMONWEALTH
[00:38:44] NATIONS, THERE'S HARD WORK AHEAD GRAPPLING WITH THE GLOBAL POWERS
[00:38:47] OF THE PAST AND THE PRESENT.
[00:38:50] ON THAT FRONT, MARK CARNEY HAD AN UPDATE ON THE TRADE NEGOTIATIONS WITH THE U.S.
[00:38:53] >> Rt. Hon. Mark Carney: WE'VE MADE PROGRESS BUT WE HAVEN'T
[00:38:54] FINISHED.
[00:38:57] IF I WERE TO PARAPHRASE IT, IT'S -- THEY'RE ASKING LESS AND
[00:39:00] THEY'RE OFFERING MORE. >> Reporter: THE PRIME
[00:39:03] MINISTER'S GLOBAL AGENDA IS UP AGAINST HIS DOMESTIC ONE, WITH
[00:39:07] CARNEY SPENDING 24 HOURS ON THIS CARIBBEAN ISLAND BEFORE HEADING
[00:39:11] BACK TO OTTAWA AHEAD OF
[00:39:12] THURSDAY'S FEDERAL BUDGET.
[00:39:16] DAVID THURTON, CBC NEWS, SAINT
[00:39:20] JOHNS, ANTIGUA.
[00:39:22] >> Ian: NEW EVIDENCE IS SHEDDING LIGHT ON THE TERRIFYING MOMENTS BEFORE THAT
[00:39:25] DEADLY PLANE CRASH IN FLORIDA ON SUNDAY. INVESTIGATORS NOW SAY THAT PARTS
[00:39:29] OF THE JET'S ELEVATOR THAT CONTROLS THE PLANE'S MOVEMENTS UP AND DOWN WERE FOUND MORE THAN
[00:39:33] SIX KILOMETRES FROM THE CRASH SITE. THIS DISCOVERY IS SUPPORTING THE
[00:39:36] THEORY THAT KEY PARTS OF THE
[00:39:48] BACK TO OUR U.S. MIDTERM ELECTION SPECIAL WITH ADRIENNE. (♪)
[00:39:54] >> Annou
[00:43:00] (♪)
[00:43:03] >> Adrienne: WELCOME BACK TO "AMERICA VOTES," WELL, THE POLLS
[00:43:06] ARE NOW CLOSED IN 41 STATES AS WELL AS WASHINGTON, D.C..
[00:43:10] LET'S LOOK AT SOMETHING THAT WE ARE CALLING THE THERMOMETER
[00:43:14] FITTINGLY AND TO TAKE A TEMPERATURE CHECK OF HOW THE RACES ARE SHAPING UP.
[00:43:18] AND THE HOUSE, 91, AND THE
[00:43:20] DEMOCRATS SO FAR, AND 50 PER THE
[00:43:23] FOR THEREPUBLICANS.
[00:43:27] AND TO THE SENATE, 36 FOR REPUBLICANS AND THOSE NUMBERS
[00:43:30] ARE MOVING ALL OF THE TIME. DAVID COCHRANE IS CHASING THEM LIKE BUTTERFLIES.
[00:43:34] [LAUGHTER] >> David: THEY'RE CHANGING ALL OF THE TIME AND WE'RE AT 92 IN
[00:43:38] THE HOUSE AND WE'LL HAVE TO SEE
[00:43:40] WHAT IS HAPPENING THERE BUT
[00:43:42] WE'LL LOOK AT THE SENATE FOR THE DEMOCRATS TO GAIN CONTROL THEY
[00:43:46] NEEDED FOUR. AND THEY FLIPPED ONE SEAT IN NORTH CAROLINA AND THEY'RE LEADING IN A WHOLE BUNCH OF
[00:43:49] OTHERS. LET'S START IN SOUTH CAROLINA,
[00:43:51] WHERE WITH 82% OF VOTE ALREADY
[00:43:54] COUNT EXCLUDE ANNIE ANDREWS IS LEADING BY FIVE PERCENTAGE
[00:43:58] POINTS OVER DARLENE GRAHAM, THE SISTER OF THE LATE LINDSEY
[00:44:02] GRAHAM AND THIS WAS HIS SEAT, OF COURSE, AND THIS ONE A SURPRISE WIN FOR THE DEMOCRATS SHOULD
[00:44:05] THESE RESULTS HOLD OVER THE
[00:44:07] FINAL 18% OF THE VOTES TO BE COUNTED.
[00:44:10] AND OHIO, THAT IS TIGHTENING AND
[00:44:12] TIGHTENING,ING SHERROD BROWN AND
[00:44:16] IT'S NOW 2.5 PERCENTAGE POINTS WITH 62% OF VOTE COUNTED.
[00:44:20] THIS IS A SPECIAL ELECTION TO
[00:44:23] REPLACE J.D. VANCE WHO LEFT THE SENATE TO GO TO THE WHITE HOUSE AS VICE-PRESIDENT.
[00:44:26] IN TEXAS, IT CONTINUES TO BE A
[00:44:28] GOOD NIGHT FOR THE DEMOCRATS,
[00:44:31] 53% OF VOTE IN AND JAMES
[00:44:32] TALARICO STILL WITH A 20-POINT
[00:44:35] LEAD OVER KEN PACKTON.
[00:44:37] AND THE GOVERNOR GREG ABBOTT OF
[00:44:40] TEXAS IS ALSO LOSING IN THIS RACE. AND LET'S GO TO KANSAS NOW WHERE
[00:44:43] THE LEAD REMAINS 18 POINTS FOR
[00:44:45] ADAM HAMILTON OVER ROGER
[00:44:48] MARSHALL, WITH 53% OF THE VOTE REPORTING.
[00:44:51] AND NOT GONE DEMOCRAT SINCE THE GREAT DEPRESSION. AND NEBRASKA IS THE NEXT UP FOR
[00:44:55] BIDS AND LOOK AT THAT, THE INDEPENDENT DAN OSBORNE WITH A
[00:44:58] QUARTER OF THE VOTE IN WITH AN
[00:45:00] 18-POINT LEAD OVER PETE RICKETTS
[00:45:02] AND THE DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE
[00:45:06] STEPPED ASIDE TO HELP THE INDEPENDENT TO WIN. AND NOW IN IOWA WHERE THE
[00:45:09] TARIFFS AND THE WAR WITH IRAN
[00:45:12] ARE DRIVING UP THE FUEL AND THE VOTE SHARE.
[00:45:15] AND JOSH TUREK HAS 60% OF THE
[00:45:19] VOTE WITH 24% OF THE VOTES
[00:45:21] COUNTED AND LEADING ASHLEY HINSON RIGHT NOW.
[00:45:24] AND WE'LL LOOK AT MAINE AND TROY
[00:45:28] JACKSON, 11% OF THE VOTE, AND
[00:45:31] JACKSON, 56.2, AND COLLINS 49.8%
[00:45:35] AND THAT MAY TAKE WEEKS TO GET
[00:45:37] RESOLVED BECAUSE OF THE BALLOTING STRUCTURE IN MAINE.
[00:45:40] BUT RIGHT NOW, ADRIENNE, THE DEMANDS NEEDED TO BE ACCOMPLICE
[00:45:43] THREE IN THE HOUSE AND THEY'RE PLUS 56 IN THE COUNTING THAT WE
[00:45:47] HAVE RIGHT NOW AND THEY NEEDED FOUR IN THE SENATE AND THEY ARE
[00:45:50] PLUS SIX. >> Adrienne: HOW IS THAT LANDING
[00:45:52] WITH YOU, ASHLEY? >> LISTEN, THIS IS MUSIC TO MY
[00:45:56] EARS.
[00:45:57] [LAUGHTER]
[00:46:03] AND I CAN BARELY CONTAIN MYSELF. WHAT I AM HEARING FROM THE FOLKS
[00:46:06] ON THE GROUND IS THAT JAMES
[00:46:08] TALARICO IS FAR OUTPACING PAXTON
[00:46:11] BY MORE THAN DOUBLE DIGITS.
[00:46:14] AND HARRIS COUNTY AND TARRANT COUNTY WHEN THE REPUBLICANS WERE
[00:46:17] HOLDING OUT HOPE FOR, AND IN HIDALGO COUNTY.
[00:46:20] >> Adrienne: WHAT IS THE RELEVANCE OF THOSE COUNTY?
[00:46:24] >> HARRIS COUNTY IS OVERWHELMINGLY BLACK POPULATION.
[00:46:26] AND HIDALGO IS LATINO AND
[00:46:28] TARRANT COUNTY IS THE HOME OF JAMES TALARICO BUT REPUBLICANS
[00:46:32] WERE HOLDING ON TO IT AND IT'S AUSTIN AND TEXAS AND THE REALITY
[00:46:36] IS THAT I'M HEARING IS THAT THEY
[00:46:39] SAID THAT THE REPUBLICANS STAYED HOME AND THEY DID NOT COME OUT AND VOTE. SO IT'S GOING TO BE POTENTIALLY
[00:46:43] A BLOWOUT FOR THEM. AND SO PEOPLE ARE FEELING
[00:46:47] INCREDIBLY OPTIMISTIC ON THE GROUND IN TEXAS ABOUT PROSPECTS.
[00:46:50] >> THAT'S BEEN A CONCERN FOR THE REPUBLICANS GOING INTO THIS IS
[00:46:54] THE POOR CANDIDATE SELECTION,
[00:46:56] ESPECIALLY IN TEXAS. THAT DETERRED PEOPLE FROM
[00:46:59] WANTING TO SHOW UP BECAUSE THEY WERE FRUSTRATED BY POLICIES AND
[00:47:02] WHILE THEY STILL MAINTAIN THEY WANT TO BE REPUBLICAN, THEY
[00:47:05] DON'T WANT TO BE PART OF ELECTING SOMEONE LIKE KEN PAXTON.
[00:47:09] >> Adrienne: BUT THAT'S A MESSAGE TO THE DEMOCRATS THOUGH, RIGHT, THAT THEY'RE NOT SO
[00:47:12] EASILY ACQUIRED AS VOTERS. THEY'RE JUST GOING TO PARK THEIR VOTE.
[00:47:16] WITH THE NOTION -- >> OH, ABSOLUTELY.
[00:47:19] OH, YEAH.
[00:47:21] >> THE WHOLE MOTIVATION IS NOT
[00:47:23] TO GO OUT AND TO VOTE AGAINST
[00:47:26] DEMOCRATS, AND AS WE FLUSH OUT AFTER THIS NIGHT IT WILL BE A
[00:47:29] BIG TALKING POINT.
[00:47:31] >> I THINK PEOPLE ARE VOTING FOR JAMES TALARICO AND NOT JUST
[00:47:35] DONALD TRUMP BUT THAT'S DYNAMIC AND THE CONCERN FOR DEMOCRATS IS
[00:47:39] HOW MANY PEOPLE DO YOU HOLD ONCE TRUMP IS GONE, YOU KNOW, GOING
[00:47:42] INTO 2028. WILL THESE PEOPLE SWING BACK
[00:47:46] REPUBLICAN AND CAN WE HOLD ON TO THEM. AND THOSE WHO DIDN'T VOTE WILL
[00:47:49] COME OUT GAIN AGAIN BECAUSE THE
[00:47:53] WILL BE A FRESH SLATE TO VOTE FOR. >> THAT'S THE HOPE FOR THE REPUBLICANS IS TO HAVE SOMEONE
[00:47:57] TO VOTE FOR AND THAT THEY CAN
[00:47:59] PUT THEIR BACKING BEHIND. >> Adrienne: AMBASSADOR, WHAT
[00:48:02] STRIKES YOU WHAT YOU ARE LOOKING AT HERE? >> THE ISSUE OF WHO IS VOTING
[00:48:06] AND WHO IS STAYING HOME -- IT REMINDS ME OF ONE OF THE FIRST
[00:48:10] EXPERIENCES I HAD WHEN I WENT TO WASHINGTON IN 2018.
[00:48:12] I WENT TO NEBRASKA.
[00:48:17] AND NEBRASKA, THE NUMBER ONE
[00:48:19] EXPORT IS FARM MACHINERY BY A LONG SHOT. AND THERE'S COMPANIES IN
[00:48:23] NEBRASKA THAT SELL 50%, 60% OF
[00:48:26] WHAT THEY PRODUCE TO CANADA. SO THIS IS A GOOD PLACE TO GO
[00:48:29] AND VERY, VERY HIGH TRUMP SUPPORTER BUT THE PRESIDENT IS
[00:48:33] GOING TO WHIP UP NAFTA AND IT'S GOING TO BE BAD FOR BUSINESS IN NEBRASKA. SO I WENT.
[00:48:37] AND I SAT AROUND SORT OF THE SHOP FLOOR AND THE BOARDROOM
[00:48:41] TABLES WITH PEOPLE AT SOME OF THESE COMPANIES. AND THEY WERE VERY SOPHISTICATED
[00:48:45] PEOPLE, AND THEY KNEW THEIR BUSINESS VERY WELL. AND THEY SAID THAT WE UNDERSTAND
[00:48:49] THAT TRADE WITH CANADA IS ESSENTIAL TO OUR SURVIVAL.
[00:48:52] AND WE UNDERSTAND THAT IF NAFTA
[00:48:54] IS RIPPED UP AND PEOPLE GET UNSETTLED THAT PEOPLE WILL LOSE
[00:48:58] JOBS OR WORSE. BUT HERE'S THE THING -- WE'RE REPUBLICANS.
[00:49:01] BECAUSE WHAT I SAID TO THEM IS CAN YOU VOICE YOUR CONCERN, CAN
[00:49:04] YOU -- CAN YOU MAYBE TALK ABOUT HOW THESE POLICIES DON'T WORK
[00:49:08] FOR YOU AND YOU MAY CHOOSE ANOTHER PATH?
[00:49:11] AND IT WAS A REALLY IMPORTANT LEARNING LESSON FOR ME AS A CANADIAN, TO BE HONEST, BECAUSE
[00:49:15] I THINK THAT IN CANADA THAT'S OFTEN HOW PEOPLE, YOU KNOW,
[00:49:19] PEOPLE ARE LESS TIED TO THE
[00:49:21] IDENTITY OF ONE PARTY OR ANOTHER OVERALL IS MY IMPRESSION.
[00:49:25] AND THESE FOLKS SAID TO ME WE'RE NEVER NOT GOING TO VOTE FOR
[00:49:28] TRUMP. WE'RE NEVER NOT GOING TO VOTE FOR TRUMP.
[00:49:31] SO THE FACT THAT NEBRASKA IS IN PLAY RIGHT NOW, I THINK THAT IT
[00:49:34] IS REALLY INTERESTING. BECAUSE I LEFT THERE THINKING
[00:49:38] WHAT ARE WE TO DO, WHAT ARE WE TO DO? >> Adrienne: I BET YOU THAT WANT
[00:49:41] TO GET ON THE PHONE AND TALK TO THOSE FOLKS RIGHT NOW?
[00:49:45] BEFORE WE GO, I HAVE A QUESTION FOR MR. HUNTER HERE, BECAUSE I
[00:49:48] KNOW THAT YOU'RE LOOKING UP WHAT
[00:49:50] IS HAPPENING ON TRUTH SOCIAL.
[00:49:53] >> Paul: YEAH, TRUMP -- I THINK IT'S CLEAR THAT HE'S WATCHING
[00:49:56] FOX NEWS AND HE IS SAYING THEY'RE PAYING ATTACH ATTENTION
[00:50:00] TO THE DUMBACRATS AS HE CALLS
[00:50:04] THEM AND LET'S NOT FORGET THAT WE STILL HAVE TWO YEARS OF
[00:50:07] DONALD TRUMP UNLEASHED. WILL THE LAME DUCK -- WHAT WAS
[00:50:11] YOUR GREAT LINE? >> Adrienne: DOES A LAME DUCK BITE.
[00:50:14] >> Paul: DOES A LAME DUCK BITE. TRUMP -- HE DOES THIS A LOT, OBVIOUSLY.
[00:50:18] BUT YOU CAN ALMOST FEEL HIM
[00:50:21] SEETHING -- EVEN THOUGH WE WERE TALKING ABOUT HOW I DON'T THINK THAT IT'S A SURPRISE TO DONALD
[00:50:24] TRUMP WHAT IS HAPPENING AND THEY HAVE NUMBERS ABOVE AND BEYOND
[00:50:27] THE POLLS THAT WE SEE AND THE HEADLINES, BUT, YEAH, HE'S NOT A
[00:50:31] HAPPY CAMPER RIGHT NOW. >> Adrienne: A LONG NIGHT AHEAD POTENTIALLY.
[00:50:35] AND LET'S STAY IN THIS COUNTRY AND WE'LL GO TO DEMOCRATS ABROAD
[00:50:38] AT A WATCH PARTY THERE IN
[00:50:40] MONTRÉAL WHERE SARAH LEAVITT IS.
[00:50:54] HERE IS WATCHING THESE MIDTERMS.
[00:50:56] AND AS THESE EARLY RESULTS ROLL
[00:50:59] IN, AND THERE'S EXCITEMENT AMONG THIS CROWD.
[00:51:02] A LOT OF DUAL CITIZENSHIPS HERE,
[00:51:06] BUT ALSO FRIENDS AND MOSTLY CANADIANS WHO HAVE COME ALONG
[00:51:09] AND THEY ARE WATCHING THIS WITH
[00:51:11] A LOT OF -- I WOULD SAY
[00:51:14] INTREPIDATION, BUT POTENTIAL EXCITEMENT AS WELL.
[00:51:17] AND I'M WITH THE CHAIR OF THE
[00:51:20] QUÉBEC CHAPTER, DAVE
[00:51:27] SCHLENBERG, AND I WILL HAVE HIM COME IN. AND THERE'S A LOT OF CONTEXT, AS
[00:51:31] A DUAL CITIZEN, WHAT -- WHAT FOR YOU HAS BEEN THE MOST IMPORTANT
[00:51:35] PART OF WATCHING THESE MIDTERMS
[00:51:36] AND WATCHING THE RESULTS ROLL
[00:51:40] IN? >> FIRST OF ALL AS AN AMERICAN
[00:51:43] DECISION, DECISIONS THAT ARE BEING MADE IN THE UNITED STATES
[00:51:45] AFFECT US, THOUGH WE LIVE IN CANADA AND THEY AFFECT OUR
[00:51:48] FAMILIES AND THEY AFFECT OUR RIGHTS AND AFFECT OUR TIES WITH CANADA.
[00:51:52] SO OUR RIGHT TO VOTE AND OUR VOTING IN THE U.S. ELECTIONS IS
[00:51:55] OUR WAY OF CONTINUING TO HAVE A VOICE.
[00:51:57] NOW HAVING SET THIS UP AND THIS IS A GREAT EXAMPLE OF THE
[00:52:00] TURNOUT THAT WE'VE HAD -- WE NEVER HAD A TURNOUT AS BIG AS
[00:52:04] THIS IN OVER SIX YEARS.
[00:52:06] THIS IS A TESTIMONY TO THE
[00:52:10] ANGHANGSTIS LIVING AND HALF OF M
[00:52:15] HERE IS CANADIANS SUPPORTING AMERICANS. THAT'S WHAT I SAID IN MY SPEECH
[00:52:18] AT THE BEGINNING THAT WE FEEL FOR THEM AND WE KNOW WHAT IS
[00:52:21] GOING ON AND WE UNDERSTAND WHAT IS HAPPENING ACROSS THE BORDER IS AFFECTING THEM.
[00:52:24] AND THEY WANT TO SEE WHAT IS GOING TO HAPPEN NEXT AND THEY'RE SUPPORTING US AND THEY'RE BY OUR
[00:52:28] SIDE. SO IT MEANS A LOT TO US. >> Reporter: ALL RIGHT THANK YOU
[00:52:32] VERY MUCH FOR THAT. AND, ADRIENNE, I'M IN ONE ROOM
[00:52:35] RIGHT NOW BUT THIS IS ACTUALLY A
[00:52:37] DOWNTOWN BAR, A POPULAR SPOT.
[00:52:39] THE DEMOCRATS ABROAD HAVE TAKEN OVER THE WHOLE SECOND FLOOR.
[00:52:43] I DID LOOK TO SEE IF THERE WERE
[00:53:16] COCHRANE BECAUSE WE HAVE A BIT OF CHANGE. >> David: WE HAVE ANOTHER FLIP
[00:53:19] IN THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES WHERE NEW JERSEY 7 HAS GONE FROM REPUBLICAN TO DEMOCRAT.
[00:53:23] LOOK AT THAT LEAD THAT REBECCA
[00:53:25] BENNETT HAS, 68.5% OF THE VOTE
[00:53:29] WITH 65% OF THE POLLS OR VOTES REPORTING.
[00:53:32] AND THOMAS KEAN, HE MADE NEWS BY
[00:53:35] JUST DISAPPEARING FROM -- FROM
[00:53:38] CONGRESS FOR MONTHS AT A TIME AS HE WAS SEEKING MEDICAL TREATMENT.
[00:53:42] BUT THIS, ADRIENNE, COMBINED WITH THE NORTH CAROLINA FLIP AND
[00:53:45] IN NORTH CAROLINA 11, TO USE THE BINGO TERM THAT MY GRANDMOTHER
[00:53:48] TAUGHT ME, THEY'RE ON THE HITCH AND ONE NUMBER AWAY FROM A WIN.
[00:53:52] AND THEY FLIPPED TWO OF THE THREE THAT THEY NEEDED TO GET CONTROL.
[00:53:55] AND SO ONE MORE FLIP, IF THEY HOLD EVERYTHING AND THEY'RE AT
[00:53:59] THE MAGIC 218 THAT THEY NEED. WHEN YOU LOOK AT WHERE THE COUNT
[00:54:02] IS AT THIS PARTICULAR POINT, THEY'RE PLUS 55 IN THE HOUSE AND
[00:54:06] THEY ARE PLUS SIX IN THE SENATE.
[00:54:08] SO AS THINGS ARE RIGHT NOW, THE DEMOCRATS ARE ON COURSE TO FLIP
[00:54:12] BOTH HOUSES. >> Adrienne: STATUS OF FLIPPING
[00:54:14] IN THE SENATE IS STILL NOT THERE?
[00:54:18] >> David: THERE'S ONLY ONE SEAT PROJECTED, RIGHT. AND THAT IS NORTH CAROLINA.
[00:54:22] SO IT'S THE TAR HEELS WERE THE FIRST IN THE HOUSE AND THE FIRST
[00:54:25] IN THE SENATE AND NOW WE HAVE NEW JERSEY COMING IN AS WELL.
[00:54:27] BUT THEY'RE LEADING IN SIX AND SOME OF THE LEADS ARE TIGHTENING
[00:54:31] AND SOME EXPANDING BUT IT'S STILL TOO EARLY IN THE COUNT.
[00:54:34] BUT YOU ESSENTIALLY DO HAVE ON IT'S A GOOD NIGHT FOR THE DEMOCRATS RIGHT NOW.
[00:54:37] AND IT LOOKS LIKE THEY'RE ON TRACK FOR A VICTORY AND IT'S
[00:54:40] VERY PROMISING IN THE HOUSE. AND SOME OF THESE ARE VERY FAR
[00:54:43] ADVANCED IN THE COUNT, BUT NOT QUITE PROJECTED YET BY THE
[00:54:46] ASSOCIATED PRESS. BUT YOU'RE LOOKING AT A PLUS 54
[00:54:49] IN THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES. AND YOU ONLY NEED TO BE PLUS
[00:54:52] THREE. THAT'S A PRETTY BIG MARGIN OF
[00:54:55] ERROR THAT THE DEMOCRATS HAVE AVAILABLE RIGHT NOW.
[00:54:57] >> Adrienne: SO FAR.
[00:55:00] SO I'M CURIOUS, THERE'S THE NUMBERS THAT WE SEE AND THEN
[00:55:04] THERE'S TEXT MESSAGES THAT YOU
[00:55:05] ARE GETTING, ASHLEY, WHAT IS THE
[00:55:08] STORY THAT YOU ARE GETTING ON YOUR PHONE?
[00:55:10] >> WELL, I JUST GOT THAT
[00:55:13] CONGRESSMAN FROM HOUSTON, TEXAS,
[00:55:15] IS CALLING TEXAS FOR TALARICO.
[00:55:18] AND, YOU KNOW, ONE OF THE OTHER
[00:55:20] THINGS THAT MAURA AND I WERE TALKING ABOUT THIS A FEW SECONDS
[00:55:24] AGO -- WHAT IS ALSO CONSISTENT TONIGHT THAT WE HAVE SEEN OVER
[00:55:26] THE LAST TWO CYCLES IS THE LIMITATIONS OF MONEY.
[00:55:29] AND YOU ARE LOOKING AT TEXAS, WHERE ABBOTT, THE GOVERNOR,
[00:55:33] MIGHT GO DOWN AND WAS SITTING ON
[00:55:35] A $90 MILLION COFFER.
[00:55:37] WE WERE OUTSPENT BY ELON MUSK IN
[00:55:40] THE STATE OF TEXAS BY HALF A BILLION DOLLARS THAT THEY THREW
[00:55:43] INTO TEXAS AT THE LAST MOMENT.
[00:55:45] SO IT'S, AGAIN, IT REINFORCES
[00:55:47] THAT PEOPLE POWER IS WHAT ACTUALLY WINS THESE ELECTIONS.
[00:55:50] IF YOU CAN GO OUT AND YOU CAN DRIVE PEOPLE AND TURN THEM OUT
[00:55:54] TO THE POLLS, THAT IS WHAT MATTERS.
[00:55:56] THERE ARE STILL LIMITATIONS TO MONEY. I KNOW THAT WE SORT OF LOOK AT
[00:56:00] THE POLLING AND LOOK AT WHO IS
[00:56:03] RAISING MONEY AND HOW MUCH MONEY IS GOING WHERE AND WE THINK THAT
[00:56:07] IS AN INDICATION OF WHAT THE OUTCOME WOULD BE, AND CLEARLY
[00:56:10] NOT IN TEXAS. >> Adrienne: MORE FROM NEW
[00:56:12] JERSEY? >> AND THE SEAT THAT TOM CANE IS
[00:56:15] PROJECTED TO HAVE LOST IS TENDING TO FLIP, DEPENDING ON
[00:56:19] THE POLITICAL CYCLE. SO IT'S NOT SUPER SURPRISING.
[00:56:21] BUT I WOULD SAY THAT I THINK
[00:56:23] THAT NEW JERSEY IS A NO-NONSENSE
[00:56:27] STATE, AND THEY WANT PEOPLE TO DO THEIR JOB. I THINK THAT ACROSS THE BOARD
[00:56:30] WHAT WE HAVE SEEN FROM THE ELECTORATE IS THE FRUSTRATION.
[00:56:34] NOT NECESSARILY JUST WITH DONALD TRUMP BUT THERE'S A FRUSTRATION
[00:56:42] WE'LL BE BACK IN A FEW MINUTES. KEEP Y
[01:00:19] (♪)
[01:00:21] (♪)
[01:00:25] >> Adrienne: WELL, GOOD EVENING, IF YOU ARE JUST JOINING US,
[01:00:28] WELCOME TO "AMERICA VOTES" AND WE HAVE SPECIAL COVERAGE OF THE
[01:00:32] UNITED STATES MIDTERM ELECTIONS. THE POLLS ARE CLOSED IN 46
[01:00:35] STATES AND SOME KEY RACES ARE GETTING READY TO HEAT UP.
[01:00:38] AN INTRODUCTION TO MY TEAM AND I'M JOINED TONIGHT BY PAUL
[01:00:41] HUNTER WITH HIS WEALTH OF EXPERIENCE, ALL THINGS WASHINGTON, YOU WILL BE HERE
[01:00:45] THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT. I HATE TO SAY IT MAYBE IN THE MORNING.
[01:00:48] AND ALSO JOINING US ON THE DESK IS THE MOST RECENT FORMER CANADIAN AMBASSADOR TO THE
[01:00:51] UNITED STATES, KIRSTEN HILLMAN. AND WE HAVE FORMER
[01:00:55] COMMUNICATIONS DIRECTOR FOR VICE-PRESIDENT KAMALA HARRIS,
[01:00:57] AND SO MANY OTHERS,SH