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[00:00:20] Welcome to
[00:00:20] in Channel's business global with me Juliana Olayinka reporting from just outside
[00:00:24] the palace of Westminster in Central London where global power
[00:00:28] policy and markets intercept. Coming up today's
[00:00:31] show, Kemy Vedenop puts tax and growth at the heart of her pitch
[00:00:35] to Britain, pledging to abolish inheritance tax on family homes
[00:00:39] and
[00:00:40] a arguing that economic growth would be the central organizing
[00:00:43] principle
[00:00:44] of of the future conservative government, we hear from the party leader
[00:00:48] following her closing speech in Birmingham, and oil
[00:00:52] remains around $100 a barrel, inflationary pressures are
[00:00:55] building and the prospect of further interest rate rises is back in
[00:00:59] focus. Investment strategists Susanna Streeter tells me what
[00:01:03] this means for Nigeria, Britain and the wider global
[00:01:06] economy. Then later, new home for African and Black cinema
[00:01:10] opens its
[00:01:11] of doors in London. Mo Abudu brings ebony life place from Lagos
[00:01:15] to the British capital, creating a new platform for African film,
[00:01:19] food, fashion, art and music. But first, Britain's
[00:01:22] conservatives have ended their party conference in Birmingham with
[00:01:26] of a clear message, the party wants to fight the next election on the...
[00:01:30] economy. Kemmy Vedenock used her closing speech to promise a
[00:01:34] smaller state, lower taxes and
[00:01:36] a renewed focus on economic growth. She pledged to abolish
[00:01:40] inheritance tax on family homes alongside plans to cut
[00:01:43] employers national insurance for younger
[00:01:46] of workers, as the party tries to tackle rising youth unemployment. But this was
[00:01:50] about more than individual tax cuts. After losing power in
[00:01:54] 2024. Vedenok is trying to rebuild the
[00:01:57] conservatives economic identity. and convinced voters that the
[00:02:01] party once again has a credible alternative to labor and
[00:02:05] the timing is significant. Prime Minister Andy Burnham's government delivers its
[00:02:09] budget at the end of this month under pressure to strengthen growth while
[00:02:13] keeping the public finances under control, so the battle over
[00:02:17] Britain's economic direction is beginning to take shape. Here is some
[00:02:21] of what Kemy Vedenock told delegates in Birmingham.
[00:02:24] Conference, there is a fight
[00:02:28] coming in British politics. A
[00:02:31] fight that we have not seen in this country for
[00:02:35] more than half a century, it will be a
[00:02:39] battle for the soul of this
[00:02:42] nation, a battle of ideas, a
[00:02:46] of battle that goes to the very core of who we
[00:02:50] of are and what kind of country we want to
[00:02:54] be. On one side, we have a
[00:02:58] government that wants to wind the clock to the failed
[00:03:02] ideas
[00:03:02] of the past, they believe economic growth
[00:03:06] is created by politicians, they think
[00:03:10] government knows
[00:03:12] of best, they think that your income, your
[00:03:16] pension and your savings are theirs to
[00:03:19] take and then hand out as they see
[00:03:22] fit, they believe that what they are doing
[00:03:26] is compassionate, but we know that these are...
[00:03:30] ideas will make every single
[00:03:32] of person in this country
[00:03:34] poorer,
[00:03:46] in your taxes will be higher,
[00:03:50] your bills will go up, you will find it
[00:03:53] in harder
[00:03:53] of and harder to make ends meet, just because these ideas are
[00:03:57] delivered on tik tok doesn't make them any less dangerous than
[00:04:00] they have always
[00:04:01] been,
[00:04:06] of
[00:04:10] on the other side
[00:04:11] of the battle is us,
[00:04:15] a renewed conservative party, fighting again for the belief that
[00:04:19] what people earn belongs to them, not
[00:04:23] a government.
[00:04:24] of
[00:04:31] of that the collective
[00:04:33] of wisdom of people in our country is greater than the
[00:04:36] central planning of bureaucrats and politicians, that
[00:04:40] spending money we don't have on things we cannot afford
[00:04:44] is not kind, it is
[00:04:46] reckless.
[00:04:57] this is
[00:04:57] a critical
[00:04:58] of moment, the world is... becoming more
[00:05:01] dangerous, western
[00:05:04] of economies are becoming more
[00:05:05] of fragile. We are running out of
[00:05:08] money and running out of time to put it.
[00:05:12] right, Conference, we have a fight on our hands
[00:05:16] and we need to be ready. No one else is going to solve these
[00:05:20] problems. No one else is going to deliver a stronger economy
[00:05:23] and a stronger
[00:05:25] country.
[00:05:30] Conference, the fundamental problem we have right now is
[00:05:34] that our country is running out of money.
[00:05:38] Almost every other problem flows from this.
[00:05:42] "Our national debt currently stands at nearly 3 trillion
[00:05:46] pounds and we are adding more than 100
[00:05:49] billion every year, every year.
[00:05:53] Last year, four in every five pounds
[00:05:56] borrowed by the government was spent on debt interest
[00:06:00] alone. That's like taking out second
[00:06:04] mortgage just to pay the interest on your first
[00:06:08] mortgage. This is crazy, unless we start
[00:06:11] creating more. value, unless we start growing our economy, something
[00:06:15] is going to break, that is why growing the
[00:06:19] economy will be the central organizing
[00:06:23] principle the next conservative
[00:06:25] government.
[00:06:36] we know that a stronger country is built a
[00:06:40] stronger economy, the two... hand in hand,
[00:06:44] there is no national security without economic
[00:06:47] security, and there is no economic security
[00:06:51] without national security. We cannot have one without the
[00:06:54] other. Labor, don't
[00:06:56] understand
[00:07:03] this. They see no need to fix the public finances. I'm not even sure they know
[00:07:07] what is going wrong, because if they did, they would be making
[00:07:11] tough decisions. to bring spending down, instead they're
[00:07:15] making lots of promises, promises need to be paid
[00:07:18] for, more government costs more
[00:07:22] money, it means higher taxes and higher
[00:07:25] borrowing, higher taxes and higher borrowing that will weaken
[00:07:29] business, weaken investment, weaken hiring, and
[00:07:33] then that will lower growth, then what will they do, they'll put up your taxes
[00:07:37] again, this is the tax doom loop that is making us all poorer
[00:07:41] round and round go, that is the wrong way. Conference, let
[00:07:45] me show you the right way. Staying
[00:07:49] with Britain's economy and artificial intelligence is beginning to reshape not
[00:07:52] only how companies operate, but how many people they employ.
[00:07:56] HSBC is reportedly planning significant cuts across its
[00:08:00] UK wealth management business as it expands its use of AI
[00:08:04] and digital services. Around half of management and specialist roles
[00:08:08] could be affected, while financial advisor positions could be reduced.
[00:08:12] by as much as 70%. the bank says customers are
[00:08:16] increasingly managing their finances digitally. for years, the
[00:08:20] promise of AI had centered on productivity and
[00:08:22] efficiency. what is becoming clearer is what those gains
[00:08:26] could mean for employment, including highly skilled and
[00:08:30] well-paid jobs and HSBC may just be early
[00:08:34] indication of much wider shift. and technology is
[00:08:38] not the only force reshaping the global economy. oil is back above
[00:08:41] $100. putting energy prices firmly back at the center
[00:08:45] the global economic outlook. Oil prices have also been
[00:08:49] driving the economic agenda this week, trading above $100 a barrel
[00:08:52] as tensions in the Middle East continue to affect global energy
[00:08:56] markets. That brings inflation and interest rates firmly back
[00:09:00] into focus. For Nigeria, higher crude prices can boost
[00:09:03] export earnings and government revenues, but they can also increase
[00:09:07] costs across the economy, and with global borrowing costs still
[00:09:11] high, the... look remains finally balanced, so what does all
[00:09:15] of this mean for the global economy as we head towards the end the
[00:09:19] year? earlier I spoke with Susanna Streeter, chief investment
[00:09:22] strategist at Wealth Club. If the energy crunch
[00:09:26] continues as it appears to be doing so with
[00:09:29] oil really staying stubly around that $100
[00:09:33] a barrel mark, it does present inflation reconcerns
[00:09:37] for many economies because of course the real worry for
[00:09:41] central bankers. and for governments around the world is that
[00:09:45] the energy prices will be passed on uh through to
[00:09:49] higher prices of goods and services across economies
[00:09:52] and then that will add to um inflationary
[00:09:56] pressures, and already consumers have
[00:09:59] been having to deal with with high energy prices and there
[00:10:03] have been such high hopes that actually the war in the middle
[00:10:07] east would have been resolved by now, particularly ahead
[00:10:11] the US mid- elections, but certainly that does not seem to
[00:10:15] be the case. President Trump has already indicated uh that the
[00:10:18] war is likely to continue, well past that date, and so we're
[00:10:22] kind of bedding in for the longer term, and that... is why what you are
[00:10:26] seeing on financial markets is - a pricing
[00:10:30] of multiple interest rate hikes from the federal reserve, the bank of england,
[00:10:33] others, we've had uh certainly hike from
[00:10:37] India's central bank as well today for the first time since 2023,
[00:10:41] because so many economies are facing uh these
[00:10:45] inflationary pressures. yeah, obviously it's a double edge
[00:10:48] sword, isn't it? what you are seeing is the oil majors really
[00:10:52] reaping the benefits of these higher prices we've heard from Shell this
[00:10:56] week uh because it's a ramping up production and its
[00:11:00] margins uh it's benefiting from much more a
[00:11:03] profitable margins as result particularly in
[00:11:07] its refining business with um diesel in short
[00:11:10] supply around the world so on one hand the all majors are
[00:11:14] reaping rewards and that actually to some extent can help um
[00:11:18] with the government finances due to the tax take depending of
[00:11:21] course on the level of tax so they all just
[00:11:25] pay, but on the other hand, it means that those consumers and
[00:11:29] businesses so highly relient on energy
[00:11:32] supplies are really feeling the squeeze, and the
[00:11:36] question is how much of that tax revenue uh that
[00:11:40] is being redirected
[00:11:43] potentially to offset the squeeze for consumers and
[00:11:47] businesses, because it will mean that they will spend less money
[00:11:51] in other parts the economy, so you could see slow down due to
[00:11:55] dip in consumer spending, so certainly there is a really big
[00:11:58] balancing act going on right now. yes,
[00:12:01] it is looking like that, although it's not absolutely
[00:12:05] certain. at the moment what you are seeing is that actually
[00:12:09] businesses have been absorbing quite a lot the higher energy costs. the
[00:12:12] question is, how long can they continue to do so before they
[00:12:16] start passing on those costs to consumers and that's
[00:12:20] what bank of England policy makers are keeping a really close eye
[00:12:24] on, which is... for the moment rates were kept on hold, but
[00:12:28] now markets are pricing in and the 90% chance that
[00:12:31] rates will be highed in November and
[00:12:35] multiple further rate hikes are priced in by the
[00:12:39] markets right now, however much is going to depend on what happens
[00:12:43] in the labour market, because what central bankers will also be watching
[00:12:47] for is whether these high energy costs will
[00:12:51] end up kind of translating through to higher wages if cost.
[00:12:55] going up elsewhere, consumers and workers may feel that they need to
[00:12:59] bargain for higher wages and then you can see kind of energy
[00:13:02] price spiral emerging the market, but the labor market
[00:13:06] is weakening slightly in the United Kingdom, we're seeing fewer
[00:13:10] vacancies and there are more job losses on the cars for
[00:13:14] your mail is one the employers which has uh recently
[00:13:18] said it's going to be acting a number of positions and if there are fewer
[00:13:22] vacancies available there's less bargaining power. for employees
[00:13:26] and that could keep a lid a
[00:13:30] price spiral emerging, which in turn then could stop
[00:13:33] interest rates rising quite as quickly, if the essentially if the economy is not
[00:13:37] moving so fast, if employers aren't taking on more workers, if workers
[00:13:41] aren't being paid more and this economy is is sluggish,
[00:13:45] it may mean that actually inflation won't take off in the same way,
[00:13:49] which could mean we won't see quite as many interest rate
[00:13:52] hikes, but we just have to see how emerges and filters through the
[00:13:56] economy, I do think we have to really keep an eye on geopolitical
[00:14:00] fracture, high inflation and possibility
[00:14:04] that the exuberant bubble of AI
[00:14:07] investment could not necessarily pop, there
[00:14:11] could be quite a correction ahead, the valuations
[00:14:15] baked in are pretty eye watering, that's not to say some the
[00:14:19] the major players don't have very deep cash pockets and
[00:14:22] actually the valuations of... heading when you look at the revenues that they're
[00:14:26] making right now, but the landscape is being priced for winners
[00:14:30] right across the board and we know and history has told us in the
[00:14:34] past that losers as well as winners
[00:14:38] will litter the landscape ahead, so I think there may be a correction of
[00:14:41] sorts, geopolitical fractures want to to keep an eye on, we
[00:14:45] aren't yet certainly anywhere near it seems resolution in terms
[00:14:49] the energy crunch, companies are continuing to battle with
[00:14:53] higher prices economies as well and we've also got
[00:14:57] concerns about government debt piles and high borrowing costs.
[00:15:01] still to come on channel's business global, new home for African and black cinema opens
[00:15:05] its doors in London. brings eveny life place from
[00:15:08] Lagos to the British capital, creating a new platform for African
[00:15:12] film, food, fashion, art and music, and Kenya confirms
[00:15:16] its first ever Ebola case and death after infected passenger
[00:15:20] traveled from the Democratic Republic of Congo through Uganda and into
[00:15:24] na We look at the growing concern over the virus crossing
[00:15:28] borders undetected. All of this after the break. Do stay
[00:15:31] with us.
[00:15:36] The day begins with news. gathering and research, we need to confirm the
[00:15:39] story,
[00:15:43] directors as well as policy makers, from the business
[00:15:47] districts to the corporate, the policy, actions and even
[00:15:50] inactions of both the fiscal and the money
[00:15:53] authorities make impact. 90% of Nigeria's
[00:15:57] economy is an informal sector, just like this market, and take
[00:16:01] for example, they're impacted by government policies like inflation
[00:16:05] rates, prices, Keep going
[00:16:08] up, well trading
[00:16:12] is fast and mostly virtual, get the top stories that set your
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[00:17:08] 'Hello and welcome
[00:17:10] to one to one. Our guest today
[00:17:14] is quite the remarkable individual, and I know
[00:17:18] I'm putting you the incredibly difficult
[00:17:20] position. The tourism was so alien, people
[00:17:24] that were crazy. The world has
[00:17:28] always recognized the creative genus of langerance.
[00:17:31] What has it meant to you
[00:17:34] personally?'
[00:17:38] game-changing discussions on the big ideas that
[00:17:41] shape our thinking. we've been very focused on trying to
[00:17:45] accomplish something that is typically not done. you have to be deliberate,
[00:17:49] that's the point i'm making. it appears that things have gotten worse. so what
[00:17:53] happened? how did we get here? let people think, let people be
[00:17:57] bold, and the country can
[00:17:59] change. this is one to
[00:18:03] one.
[00:18:12] Welcome back to Channel's Business Global with me Juliana Olayinka reporting from just
[00:18:16] outside the palace of Westminster in Central London where global power,
[00:18:20] policy and markets intersect. Kenya has confirmed its
[00:18:23] first ever case of Ebola and its first death from the disease. The Kenyan
[00:18:27] citizen had been living in the Democratic Republic of Congo where he had
[00:18:31] already fallen ill. He traveled by road to Kampala before
[00:18:35] boarding a commercial flight to Nairobi. last Saturday. He was
[00:18:38] admitted to hospital after arriving in Kenya and died on Monday
[00:18:42] night. Tests confirmed the Bundebugio strain of
[00:18:45] abola, the same strain behind the outbreak in the DRC. That
[00:18:49] outbreak is now the worst in the country's history with more than 8,000
[00:18:53] confirmed cases and more than 4,000 deaths. Kengan
[00:18:57] authorities have now identified 57 contacts linked
[00:19:01] to the case, including people who traveled on the same
[00:19:04] flight. 10 have been placed in quarantine. as officials
[00:19:08] intensify surveillance and contact tracing. The
[00:19:12] case is particularly significant because the infected passenger
[00:19:15] crossed borders and passed through international airports before the
[00:19:19] virus was detected, highlighting the challenge of containing
[00:19:23] bowl a highly connected region. When Channel's Business
[00:19:27] Global spoke with the who spokesperson Dr. Margaret Harris
[00:19:30] august, she warned us about precisely this risk,
[00:19:34] virus capable of travelling undetected. This week it
[00:19:38] reached Nairobi, so it's very, very serious, there's no doubt about
[00:19:41] it, and I think the seriousness was reflected right from the start when Dr.
[00:19:45] Tabros took the unusual step of declaring it as a public health
[00:19:49] emergency of international concern, actually
[00:19:53] almost the day they learn that that this was happening,
[00:19:57] and the reason it was taken seriously then and still needs to be taken
[00:20:01] even more seriously is because this is area that's just
[00:20:05] riven by conflict where you've got numbers of people this
[00:20:08] place, they are starving, they are suffering all kinds of other
[00:20:12] diseases, and meanwile the health system's been utterly disrupted, so you've
[00:20:16] got people ever greater need of all kinds of
[00:20:19] healthcare and fewer and fewer people are able to deliver it, so that's a
[00:20:23] perfect storm, that's a perfect recipe for something
[00:20:27] like bowler to take hold, and clearly it took hold
[00:20:30] a good six months, good f months before the
[00:20:34] world even knew it was happening, and this is the...
[00:20:38] problem and when you look at the genetic sequencing the
[00:20:41] different people the strains that people have had,
[00:20:45] it's very clear that also there's a lot of hidden transmission
[00:20:49] indeed. very good strong risk that it will do
[00:20:53] so because again it's crossed um
[00:20:57] provincial borders, it's gone to six different provinces already from
[00:21:01] starting in one. now the epicenter is still ituri
[00:21:05] which is but that borders Uganda and we saw it
[00:21:08] cross that border. now a sense the world was lucky it went to Uganda
[00:21:12] first because that's got a very strong health system, very good
[00:21:16] surveillance, great experience with Ebola so they were able. to shut it
[00:21:20] down, but there are other countries that don't have the
[00:21:23] Ugandan advantage, and indeed
[00:21:26] there's South Sudan bordering,
[00:21:30] there are quite a lot of different countries bordering all those parts the
[00:21:34] Democratic Republic of Congo, so that and also it's a very busy
[00:21:38] area, there's massive cross-border travel,
[00:21:42] and most of it informal travel, it's not
[00:21:46] at major formal posts that are being monitored,
[00:21:50] lot of
[00:21:50] it is just crossing river, crossing through the
[00:21:54] jungle, so it's it's a lot of it's kind of
[00:21:58] invisible travel and invisible travel, and this
[00:22:02] this virus loves to travel invisibly, and the important thing is also
[00:22:06] to freshen up the training so that your healthcare workers can
[00:22:09] identify someone who potentially has ebola
[00:22:12] immediately, so ensure that they're isolated, strengthen your
[00:22:16] surveillance so that you are watching, so you know again,
[00:22:20] um who may be coming in, who may be somebody that you're concerned
[00:22:24] about, um, in make sure that you got
[00:22:27] the test, bundibucho virus, the test is different from the
[00:22:31] normal ebola test, now that test is available, there are
[00:22:35] three versions of it, i think or two versions that have been licensed by the
[00:22:39] world health organization, make sure you've got that test in your laboratories,
[00:22:43] make sure your laboratory staff have got the ability to do that
[00:22:47] test, and um do inform your
[00:22:50] population that there is ebola and that it is
[00:22:53] treatable and it will people will survive
[00:22:57] if they come to treatment, but make sure they want to identify
[00:23:00] themselves, not just because you uh want to
[00:23:04] make sure you catch every case, but also so that you save every life.
[00:23:08] new home for African and black cinema and culture has opened here in
[00:23:11] London. eboney life place at London brings together film, food, fashion,
[00:23:15] art and music with a 160 seat
[00:23:18] auditorium. dedicated exclusively to African and black
[00:23:22] cinema. The venue is the latest venture from Nigerian media
[00:23:26] entrepreneur Mo Abudu who launched the first Ebby Life Place in
[00:23:30] Lagos in 2019. The London Opening creates a new
[00:23:33] platform for African and Black creative talent in one the world's most
[00:23:37] important cultural capitals while strengthening the creative links
[00:23:41] between Lagos and London. Channel's Business Global was there as the doors
[00:23:45] opened. It's really good to see every Live place opening in the heart of
[00:23:49] my constituency. here in Wandsworth, um, it's
[00:23:52] really vital that we are showcasing African, Nigerian
[00:23:56] stories, film, art, music, culture, we
[00:24:00] know that the vibrancy the Nigerian diospora here in
[00:24:04] London, now knowing that they've got somewhere that can come, enjoy all of that
[00:24:08] is so so vital,
[00:24:09] and it's about having that little piece of Lagos right in the heart of London.
[00:24:13] I think for us, this project is an expression of
[00:24:17] what the values we continue to advance. that the great and
[00:24:21] good coming out of Nigeria that needs to be empowered, empowering
[00:24:25] them means we're able to raise their voices and to be able to achieve that you need
[00:24:28] capital, you need finance and you need belief more importantly, so where we see
[00:24:32] our people who have excelled and continue to do well and
[00:24:36] able to come to the UK then we
[00:24:38] are able to put capital behind their business to support them and for them to
[00:24:42] grow, so the collaboration between what more represents,
[00:24:45] credibility over the years and of course for feedbank UK being
[00:24:49] focused on giving real value for our clients and customers, it's an
[00:24:53] opportunity we didn't want to miss and so we were able to support this particular
[00:24:56] project. thinking partners and understand vision that isn't theirs
[00:25:00] can sometimes be difficult. for these two men that you see standing right here,
[00:25:04] reached out, i pitched, i'm going to pitch in, but nonetheless,
[00:25:08] you know, they support lots of great initiatives and they found it within them
[00:25:12] to say they wanted to be a part of this, and i'm so grateful to nuvan, to
[00:25:16] flutter wave, to fidbank UK for making today. is that
[00:25:20] reality? because without their support this project may have been delayed
[00:25:24] by months and months. it's obvious isn't it? yeah, she's built an
[00:25:27] amazing brand, she's a treb in africa entertainment,
[00:25:31] culture, filmmaking, just name it, so to
[00:25:35] be a fan is very hard, so i'm happy to be here supporting - our dream, our
[00:25:38] vision, and we just you do payment and banking
[00:25:42] and for us seeing somebody embodies what we stand for, africa
[00:25:46] to the world is so cute what we do, so i'm here to be here.
[00:26:18] has built credibility over the years, she's accomplished so much,
[00:26:22] and for feedback, he's also pursuing that same trajectory to amplify the
[00:26:26] voices and capability of
[00:26:28] what our people can do, given the right support, so for this
[00:26:32] for us this alignment is really a match made in heaven to
[00:26:35] continue to amplify that story telling and that voices and continue to
[00:26:39] empower people. well sadly that's all we have time for today, but as always do get
[00:26:43] in touch with your comments and suggestions. i'll see you at the same
[00:26:47] time next week for more in-depth business analysis on channel's
[00:26:51] business global.
[00:26:52] goodbye.
[00:30:04] Hello and welcome to foreign dispatches, the program that takes you around the world in
[00:30:08] 25 minutes. I'm Amaratchi Upani. On the
[00:30:12] program this
[00:30:12] week,
[00:30:17] hundreds of thousands take to the streets across France as a student led
[00:30:21] protest over conditions in schools grows into a nationwide
[00:30:24] movement. An Israel marks three years since the October 7
[00:30:28] attacks with memorials held across the country as questions over.
[00:30:32] security, accountability and the consequences the war
[00:30:36] continue. Let's begin
[00:30:39] in France, where student lead protest over conditions in schools
[00:30:43] has grown into a nationwide movement involving parents,
[00:30:47] teachers, university students and trade unions. Hundreds of
[00:30:50] thousands of people have taken to the streets demanding more teachers, better
[00:30:54] school buildings and greater investment in public
[00:30:57] education.