ESPRESO — broadcast
20260920 213000 UTC
348 transcript segments
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Machine transcription. Treat it as a searchable index of what was broadcast, not a verbatim quotation record.

[00:09:40] Espresso together with the charitable. Fund "Man and Law" ask to join
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[00:09:47] of the 109th separate brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. We are fighting
[00:09:51] in the Pokrovsk direction. To effectively destroy the enemy, military
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[00:10:30] Thank you for your understanding, glory to Ukraine.
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[00:14:55] deferral from mobilization, you need to register it.
[00:14:58] You can do this in two ways: through the Reserve++
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[00:15:05] center. If you chose the Reserve Plus application,
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[00:15:11] Next, request a deferral and specify the reason. The system
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[00:15:18] not enough, you will receive a corresponding notification and will
[00:15:22] need to submit documents through the Administrative Services Center. You
[00:15:26] must apply in person: bring your passport, identification
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[00:15:40] the right, confirm it with documents.
[00:16:04] Hello, this is the "Eastern Shield" program, and today we are talking about...
[00:16:08] The counteroffensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Donetsk region. The
[00:16:11] Russian 20th and 25th armies are under threat of destruction.
[00:16:15] Warsaw in three days. Moscow threatens to destroy the Polish
[00:16:19] state, after it takes
[00:16:22] Tokmachka. NATO must close the sky over Lviv.
[00:16:26] Poland is actively lobbying for such a proposal. The Yamal
[00:16:29] cross in the throat of the Kremlin. Ukraine is preparing for
[00:16:33] a strategic operation that will turn the tide
[00:16:36] of the war.
[00:16:39] Warsaw in 2-3 days. Nikolai
[00:16:43] Patrushev, assistant to the Russian dictator, who became
[00:16:46] a real star in 2018
[00:16:50] after smuggling 400 kg of cocaine
[00:16:53] from Argentina, threatens to wipe Warsaw
[00:16:57] off the face of the earth. And why, for the fifth year, can
[00:17:00] they not cope with Kyiv, which they also
[00:17:03] planned to take in two or three days. Well, of course.
[00:17:08] because they haven't started seriously yet.
[00:17:11] In the event of Poland entering the war against Russia, our country
[00:17:15] will use its entire arsenal of forces and means, and Polish
[00:17:19] statehood will cease to exist in two or three days. At the same time, during the SMO,
[00:17:22] the Russian army obviously does not use its full
[00:17:25] potential. Nikolai Patrushev, ex-head of the FSB,
[00:17:28] assistant to the head of the Kremlin, Vladimir Putin. We believe,
[00:17:32] and why not believe? Little Tokmachka, don't
[00:17:36] lie. If seriously, it's one
[00:17:39] thing when some Russian propagandist talks about the omnipotent
[00:17:43] Russian army, which has not yet started,
[00:17:45] but when such nonsense is uttered by a career Chekist
[00:17:49] and that too during the Ukrainian counteroffensive in the north
[00:17:53] of Donetsk region, then this, then this is to
[00:17:56] our advantage. The visions that periodically
[00:18:00] appear in their heads definitely do not
[00:18:02] intersect with the realities of the war, and they
[00:18:05] are such: Ukraine first struck at
[00:18:09] a distance of more than 3000 km, and this time not
[00:18:13] just anywhere, but right near the solar
[00:18:16] plexus of the Russian state, near
[00:18:18] the famous Yamal cross.
[00:18:22] On September 9, 2026, the defense forces conducted
[00:18:26] an unprecedented operation, delivering
[00:18:29] a synchronized strike on two strategic enterprises,
[00:18:33] the gas condensate industry of Russia in the Yamal-Nenets
[00:18:36] Autonomous Okrug. The Novy Urengoy andurovsky gas condensate
[00:18:40] plants, with capacities of
[00:18:44] 19 and 13 million tons of raw materials per year,
[00:18:47] respectively, were hit. This attack became an absolute record
[00:18:51] in range for the entire period of the full-scale war.
[00:18:54] FP-1 drones covered more than 300 km
[00:18:58] from the Ukrainian border. The myth of
[00:19:01] the strategic rear of the Russian Federation has long
[00:19:04] been debunked. It's not just for nothing that Beijing at the beginning
[00:19:07] of September asked Kyiv not to strike
[00:19:10] Vladivostok during the economic forum, which was attended
[00:19:14] by the Vice Premier of the State Council
[00:19:17] of the PRC. They know what
[00:19:19] we can do, they know this in Moscow too, back
[00:19:23] in spring, ex-Defense Minister Shoigu complained that
[00:19:26] the Urals were already under threat, so this time the Kremlin
[00:19:30] panicked for another reason: the strike
[00:19:34] landed just a few kilometers from the strategic...
[00:19:37] Yamal cross. The Yamal cross is a unique
[00:19:41] gas transportation hub located in the frozen tundra
[00:19:44] near the village of Pangody in the Yamal-Nenets
[00:19:48] Autonomous Okrug. This is not just a crossroads, but a strategic
[00:19:51] geographical point where 17 main high-pressure
[00:19:54] gas pipelines converge into one super-powerful
[00:19:58] node. From space, the object resembles a clearly
[00:20:01] defined geometric cross in the middle of the tundra. Through this
[00:20:05] small patch of land, up to 85%
[00:20:07] of all natural gas produced
[00:20:11] in the Russian Federation is transported. So
[00:20:14] far, this is just target practice, a reconnaissance in force. So
[00:20:18] don't expect Ukraine to destroy it tomorrow.
[00:20:22] Pipes are hard to damage, they are deep underground, and they can be repaired
[00:20:26] quite quickly.
[00:20:29] But our planners in the General Staff know exactly
[00:20:32] what to hit. The gas preparation and de-ethanization
[00:20:35] plants that feed this hub, the
[00:20:39] compressor stations, the cryogenic units.
[00:20:42] To restore operation, it will take three to five years, and Russia will
[00:20:46] not be able to rebuild some facilities at all
[00:20:50] under sanctions. In August 2021,
[00:20:53] even before the full-scale sanctions, only one de-ethanization
[00:20:57] unit for condensate burned
[00:21:00] down at the Novy Urengoy plant. It took Gazprom 3 years
[00:21:04] to rebuild it. The destruction of key technological nodes
[00:21:07] of the Yamal cross will cause a cumulative
[00:21:10] effect. Since Russia will not be able to quickly repair the plants,
[00:21:14] it will have to conserve or simply burn
[00:21:17] the gas in the air at the wells themselves.
[00:21:20] and this will lead to irreversible damage to
[00:21:23] wells in permafrost and, moreover, this
[00:21:27] gas is the basic raw material for giant
[00:21:30] chemical plants that produce ammonia and nitric
[00:21:34] acid. Without nitric acid, Russian industry will not
[00:21:37] be able to produce gunpowder, explosives, artillery
[00:21:41] shells, and rocket fuel. The shutdown of this
[00:21:44] hub could lead to disruptions in the operation of the largest
[00:21:47] thermal power plants that provide energy to
[00:21:51] industrial enterprises in the Urals, Volga region, and
[00:21:54] Moscow, and this, in turn, could significantly
[00:21:57] complicate the work of Russian heavy
[00:21:59] industry, including enterprises that produce tanks and
[00:22:03] armored vehicles. Driven into the throat of the Kremlin,
[00:22:06] the Yamal cross would mean the end
[00:22:09] of the war, but we are still severely lacking resources for
[00:22:13] this action, to destroy such a huge
[00:22:16] infrastructure with drones alone is very difficult, we need to wait
[00:22:20] for ballistics, the war for the sky became the key
[00:22:24] battle of this war, both for
[00:22:26] Ukraine and for
[00:22:28] Russia.
[00:22:32] Unable to protect its Siberia, the Kremlin
[00:22:36] switched to pure terrorism. Russians began
[00:22:39] systematically hitting large food warehouses,
[00:22:43] civilian hubs, and fuel infrastructure deep
[00:22:46] inside Ukraine. This week they even started
[00:22:50] in Kyiv. Why is this terror? In Kyiv,
[00:22:54] there are almost half a thousand gas stations, about a thousand supermarkets,
[00:22:57] almost 2,000 pharmacies. Kyiv residents will not
[00:23:00] be left without fuel, without food, without medicines.
[00:23:04] These attacks do not achieve any military goal, it's
[00:23:07] just intimidation.
[00:23:10] As was the destruction of a gas station right at the border crossing with
[00:23:14] Poland, 800 meters from the border.
[00:23:17] Obviously, having received information that a special train
[00:23:21] with European politicians, who
[00:23:24] would be returning from the Yalta conference, would be passing
[00:23:28] through it, a decision was made to strike
[00:23:31] the checkpoint, this is a deliberate action, because the Russians
[00:23:34] even published a video of them hunting for this
[00:23:38] train. These drone attacks are blind terror against
[00:23:42] the Ukrainian civilian population and a dangerous
[00:23:44] escalation of Putin's war. Russia is becoming
[00:23:47] increasingly unprincipled and playing with
[00:23:51] fire on the border of the European Union and NATO, Robin
[00:23:54] Wagener, Bundestag deputy. The coming weeks and months could
[00:23:57] be a period of very intense Russian actions.
[00:24:00] Warsaw is not going to watch silently. Poland's security
[00:24:04] is undergoing direct and unprincipled provocations right at
[00:24:08] our doorstep. Donald Tusk, Prime Minister
[00:24:11] of Poland. Putin's terror is knocking at NATO's door.
[00:24:15] Russian barbarians are at your gates, dear partners.
[00:24:18] We need immediate steps, a full embargo, and
[00:24:22] immediate assistance in closing the sky, including jet
[00:24:26] interceptors. Andriy Sybiha, Minister of Foreign Affairs
[00:24:29] of Ukraine. The Ukrainian minister's statement
[00:24:33] was quickly reacted to by his Polish colleague. Radosław
[00:24:36] Sikorski proposed closing the sky over
[00:24:39] the western regions of Ukraine. According to
[00:24:42] the Polish minister. If we could create a no-fly
[00:24:46] zone and protect the western regions of Ukraine.
[00:24:50] And, say, allow Ukraine to reopen the airport in Lviv, we
[00:24:53] would be doing a service to both Ukraine and ourselves. Radosław
[00:24:57] Sikorski, Minister of Foreign Affairs of Poland.
[00:25:01] Moreover, the Kremlin is only going to raise the degree
[00:25:04] of air terror, Dmitry Peskov said this cynically
[00:25:08] and publicly, after the attack on the border.
[00:25:11] On September 15, 2026,
[00:25:14] NATO fighters for the first time shot down a Russian drone in
[00:25:18] Lithuanian airspace. The UAV crossed the Lithuanian border
[00:25:22] from Belarus and moved west towards
[00:25:25] the Trakai district. It was shot down by Italian fighters from
[00:25:29] the air base in Šiauliai, who are carrying out an air policing
[00:25:33] mission. Well, I want to express satisfaction that
[00:25:37] the military quickly reacted and detected it? Allies
[00:25:40] took to the air and in this case our Italian partners
[00:25:44] shot down the drone without posing any danger to
[00:25:47] buildings, or, most importantly, to
[00:25:50] human lives, and this is exactly the example that shows that if we
[00:25:54] really want to, we can, and the further we go, the
[00:25:57] more we will improve our detection capabilities
[00:26:01] and take very quick action to protect
[00:26:04] our people. I suggest
[00:26:07] focusing on why such drones
[00:26:09] fly in, and why my
[00:26:12] country, Lithuania,
[00:26:15] also, Latvia, Poland, Estonia,
[00:26:18] why they suffer from such flights? This
[00:26:22] is, in my opinion, Russian aggression, this
[00:26:25] is part of the presence
[00:26:28] of Russian aggression. The entire territory of Ukraine, and not just
[00:26:31] Kyiv. can be in the affected area, if old
[00:26:35] piston Shaheds could be shot down for a whole
[00:26:39] minute, then for high-speed jet
[00:26:42] ones we only have 6 seconds,
[00:26:45] that's why the effectiveness of drone air defense has dropped from
[00:26:48] 95% to 60, but if someone
[00:26:52] thinks this is Armageddon, then no, the worst-case scenario
[00:26:56] has already been thwarted by the defense forces. In the
[00:26:59] autumn, the enemy planned to put terror on an assembly line. Russian
[00:27:03] factories were supposed to produce hundreds of cheaper
[00:27:06] and simplified modifications of heavy aviation missiles
[00:27:10] X-1001 and X-59 every month. Front-line
[00:27:13] fighters Su-34 and the newest
[00:27:16] Su-57 were planned to be adapted
[00:27:19] for massive launches to overload
[00:27:22] Ukrainian air defense with strikes from different directions. The key
[00:27:26] element of this plan was to be the Avitek plant in Kirov,
[00:27:30] which is part of the Almaz- Antey concern. It was here, deep
[00:27:33] in the rear, that additional production
[00:27:36] lines for assembling aviation components,
[00:27:39] engines and catapult systems, but on July
[00:27:42] 24th, Flamingo, having overcome more than 1200
[00:27:45] km, struck the enterprise and destroyed
[00:27:49] the main assembly and tool shops with
[00:27:52] unique equipment. As a result, the scaling
[00:27:56] of the Russian Federation's missile program may be postponed by at least
[00:28:00] a year. But what to do with the existing threat? Shooting down
[00:28:03] aircraft is extremely expensive, and the missiles for this, although not as
[00:28:07] scarce as for patriots, are also not
[00:28:10] endless. The second jet
[00:28:14] interceptor has already undergone testing, but it is important not
[00:28:17] to repeat the mistake of creating countermeasures against
[00:28:20] gasoline Shaheds. All resources were then thrown into the production
[00:28:24] of interceptors, and the production of their own
[00:28:27] anti-aircraft missile systems was not taken care of,
[00:28:30] cheap, mass-produced and...
[00:28:32] active. Any defense
[00:28:35] works best in a complex, when it is deep and has different
[00:28:39] echelons. We hope that conclusions have been drawn. In
[00:28:42] Poland at the defense exhibition in Kielce, the Koral
[00:28:46] air defense system became a real sensation. It was shown
[00:28:50] for the first time. The missile was developed at the state Kyiv
[00:28:54] Design Bureau Luch. The creators of the famous Neptune.
[00:28:57] The weight of the missile is 450 kg, of which 36
[00:29:01] is accounted for by the warhead. Koral has an inertial navigation
[00:29:05] system, radio correction and an active radar homing
[00:29:09] head. That is, the missile does not just receive commands from
[00:29:12] the ground, it detects the target itself and aims at it.
[00:29:16] The development of the air defense system began back in 2016, and
[00:29:19] in 2021 its readiness was estimated at
[00:29:23] 70%. The version of Koral currently presented in Poland
[00:29:26] has been significantly updated. At the same time, unlike the
[00:29:30] Pak-3 MSI, which destroys the target
[00:29:33] with a direct kinetic strike. Koral uses a proximity fuse
[00:29:36] and hits the target with a cloud of high-density
[00:29:39] fragments. Such a design is simpler and cheaper, and
[00:29:43] therefore it can be launched into mass production faster without
[00:29:47] dependence on scarce components. There were many
[00:29:51] other top presentations of Ukrainian manufacturers at the exhibition, and more on them later, but
[00:29:54] now about Koral, about
[00:29:57] Ukrainian ballistics and Ukrainian anti-ballistics, about
[00:30:01] jet Shaheds. We are talking with Anatoliy
[00:30:04] Khrapchynsky, who returned from Kielce from the international
[00:30:07] exhibition of the defense industry. Anatoliy
[00:30:11] Khrapchynsky, aviation expert, former officer
[00:30:14] of the Air Force of Ukraine, director of development of the defense
[00:30:18] enterprise. Mr. Anatoliy, greetings to you. You were in
[00:30:21] that photo from the exhibition in Kielce, radiating such joy
[00:30:25] sitting at the controls of an F-35,
[00:30:28] that it was immediately clear that there are no former Air Force officers.
[00:30:31] Please tell me, how fundamentally different is this from the F16s that we have, and do we
[00:30:35] have such an ambition or dream, in principle,
[00:30:38] to ever get such machines, because the Poles, it seems, have
[00:30:42] F-35s. The Poles have F-35s, actually, compared to
[00:30:46] the F-16, the F-16 for me.