HALKTV — Gizem Cetin ile Parantez
20260806 140000 UTC
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[00:00:00] You can receive instant the carelessness and rudeness after it was delivered regarding that matter. notifications to us. I had mentioned
[00:00:02] about power outages.
[00:00:11] Turkey's energy warehouse. Orbus.
[00:00:27] Dear viewers, our clock shows 5 PM. We continue
[00:00:30] where we left off, and we will start with the agenda of politics
[00:00:34] again. The deputies who left the Republican People's Party,
[00:00:37] the process of establishing the new party. In fact, the wave of resignations
[00:00:41] continues on the CHP side, and participation in the new party
[00:00:45] continues to come. In Izmir, there was almost a show of force
[00:00:49] in this regard. Aziz Kocaoğlu, who served as Metropolitan
[00:00:52] Municipality Mayor for 15 years, joined the new party,
[00:00:56] but he also had two other important names with him.
[00:01:00] One of them was the former CHP General Secretary Kamil Okyay
[00:01:04] Sındır, and the other was the former Bornova Municipality Mayor
[00:01:08] Olgun
[00:01:08] Atilla.
[00:01:16] The experienced name of Izmir politics.
[00:01:19] He served as Metropolitan Municipality Mayor for 15 years in the city.
[00:01:23] Since the March 19th process, he had not
[00:01:26] left his party CHP alone.
[00:01:30] "He is also a new party member. Turkey is going through
[00:01:33] a very big bottleneck, we will overcome
[00:01:37] this. Those who believe in Atatürk's principles
[00:01:41] and revolutions, those who prioritize
[00:01:44] their country and nation above their own personal
[00:01:47] interests." After the Absolute Nullity decision in CHP,
[00:01:51] participations in the new party founded by Özgür Özel continue.
[00:01:54] In Izmir, there was almost a show of force. Former Izmir
[00:01:58] Metropolitan Municipality Mayor'.
[00:02:30] We must thank both of them on behalf of Izmir and our
[00:02:33] country. Three names signed the membership form for the New
[00:02:37] Party at the ceremony in Bornova. Many party members were also
[00:02:40] there. A message of unity, struggle,
[00:02:43] and power was given. The new party was established
[00:02:47] by the nation. We were part of
[00:02:50] a political formation that came
[00:02:52] together with the will of the nation
[00:02:56] and the demand of the nation, very soon.
[00:03:08] 28 of the 30 districts in Izmir
[00:03:10] were CHP members. 20 district municipality mayors
[00:03:14] had announced that they would join the new party. Karabağlar
[00:03:17] Municipality Mayor Helil Kınay was also one of the mayors
[00:03:21] who wore the new party badge.
[00:03:28] Now, we had a somewhat interesting Tuesday this week. As you know, the New Party
[00:03:32] held its first public group meeting, Özgür Özel spoke,
[00:03:35] and at 1:30 PM, Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu was
[00:03:38] at the rostrum of the CHP. He held his first group meeting
[00:03:42] after a long break, but after that speech,
[00:03:46] it seems that the flags of rebellion have been
[00:03:49] fully raised in the CHP, because there are some deputies
[00:03:53] who remained in the CHP, but among them, a large majority
[00:03:56] actually remained to quickly take the CHP
[00:04:00] to the congress, according to the allegations.
[00:04:03] There are also some statements, as you know,
[00:04:07] the group meeting held, the speech made there, and the fact
[00:04:10] that the congress process was not mentioned
[00:04:12] at all, this raised the flag of rebellion
[00:04:16] among the CHP deputies.
[00:04:19] So far, we have not made any calls
[00:04:22] for resignation, but we are aware of more than
[00:04:26] 700,000 resignations. Now.
[00:04:30] "It's time, to all my friends
[00:04:33] with whom I had the honor and pride
[00:04:36] of being a member in the past, I am calling out
[00:04:40] to this new generation of politics, to the new party,
[00:04:43] with the invitation we made, get rid
[00:04:47] of the coup plotters, the nullifiers,
[00:04:50] the junta members, welcome
[00:04:52] to our new party." Özgür Özel invited the deputies
[00:04:56] who remained in the CHP to the new party with these words.
[00:05:14] This party is, of course,
[00:05:17] of course, the new party
[00:05:19] of the Republican People's Party members
[00:05:23] from whom we separated with tears.
[00:05:25] Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu, who was appointed as the CHP general chairman with
[00:05:29] the nullity decision, did not mention the congress issue at all
[00:05:32] in his 40-minute speech at the parliamentary group meeting
[00:05:36] after 1009 days. This situation allegedly disturbed some deputies
[00:05:39] who remained in the CHP on the condition
[00:05:42] that the party be taken to the congress as soon as possible
[00:05:45] and described themselves as the 3rd way. "I invite
[00:05:49] everyone who says 'I will be in the future
[00:05:52] of the country,' all democrats of Turkey,
[00:05:56] to the new politics of the new party." A deputy
[00:05:59] who stated that the current Nullity administration of the CHP
[00:06:02] presented an image of avoiding the congress, expressed
[00:06:06] his reaction with the words, "CHP is playing the role assigned
[00:06:08] by the Palace. You cannot escape the label of acting
[00:06:12] with the Palace in this way." And the party needs to be taken
[00:06:15] to the congress as soon as possible. He stated that the court brought
[00:06:18] this administration to power
[00:06:21] to take the party to the congress. Another deputy, recalling
[00:06:25] Kılıçdaroğlu's words, who came to the CHP by court
[00:06:28] decision, "We have nothing to do with money, land, we challenge
[00:06:32] the Palace entourage everywhere," said that it was learned that
[00:06:35] he commented, "If you throw your friend, with whom you walked
[00:06:39] together, before the government's judiciary, the public will take
[00:06:46] note of this and declare you untrustworthy." Dear viewers, in Tuzla,
[00:06:49] in Tuzla, Istanbul, the reaction to Eren Ali Bingöl
[00:06:52] continues. He himself had said, "Support me," if you remember.
[00:06:56] AKP members had said, "You are our leader's trust,"
[00:06:59] and they had supported him. But there were events
[00:07:03] in Tuzla and a reaction to Eren Ali Bingöl
[00:07:05] at the New Party Istanbul Provincial
[00:07:08] Presidency.
[00:07:19] AKP's fresh transfer, Eren Ali Bingöl, was protested
[00:07:22] in Tuzla. IBB does not stand behind
[00:07:25] thieves, corrupt people, and villains, brother.
[00:07:29] The will of the nation was usurped,
[00:07:32] bought in Tuzla.
[00:07:36] He is trying to involve
[00:07:38] citizens in the transfer and treason.
[00:08:12] I say we will solve the problems together, God willing. I don't
[00:08:16] like to talk too much, I will just say this much: I'm coming
[00:08:20] from the other neighborhood. Why did you, the mayor of Tuzla,
[00:08:23] try to legalize these 154 illegal villas,
[00:08:27] why did you try to legitimize your 4 commercial
[00:08:30] vehicles? What is the share of these 154 villas
[00:08:34] in your transfer? Explain this to the public,
[00:08:37] I will support you. He walked
[00:08:40] with slogans.
[00:09:12] with slogans.
[00:09:13] he walked.
[00:09:21] So, what's happening in the Middle East? We will see if the knot in the
[00:09:24] Strait of Hormuz is really being untied.
[00:09:28] Statements from Iran indicate that the final details
[00:09:31] of the agreement reached with Oman are being worked on.
[00:09:35] So, it seems like it's just around the corner.
[00:09:38] The United States, especially Donald Trump,
[00:09:42] when we look at it from Trump's perspective,
[00:09:44] we see a more silent attitude and stance compared
[00:09:48] to previous processes. Let's watch the latest developments
[00:09:51] in the Middle East, then we'll discuss.
[00:09:54] Iran announced that they have reached the end of their talks
[00:09:58] with Oman to regulate the passage through
[00:10:00] the Strait of Hormuz.
[00:10:03] Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Ismail Bekaii stated
[00:10:07] that they agreed on a traffic route
[00:10:10] that will ensure safe passage for commercial ships through
[00:10:14] Hormuz. He stated that a joint statement, whose final
[00:10:18] reviews are currently being made, will be published
[00:10:21] if third parties do not interfere.
[00:10:23] Bekaii's seemingly optimistic words do not indicate
[00:10:27] that the problem has been completely resolved,
[00:10:30] as Behnam Saidi, a member of the Iranian Parliament's
[00:10:33] National Security Commission, stated that the agreement with
[00:10:37] Oman does not mean the opening of the Strait of Hormuz.
[00:10:40] He threw the ball to Washington by arguing that Hormuz
[00:10:44] would definitely not be opened without the lifting
[00:10:47] of the American threat
[00:10:50] and blockade against Iran. Donald Trump, President of the United
[00:10:53] States, who had previously stated that if Hormuz
[00:10:57] was not opened as soon as possible, they would hit Iran
[00:11:00] very hard, reiterated his words, where optimism and threat
[00:11:04] intertwined regarding Iran. He stated that he preferred
[00:11:07] to make an agreement with Tehran, but if diplomacy failed,
[00:11:10] the use of force was an option.
[00:11:13] In a social media message he shared, Trump denied
[00:11:17] the allegations that the American army was experiencing
[00:11:20] serious ammunition shortages. He wrote that they had
[00:11:24] a very large amount of ammunition, especially in certain
[00:11:27] types. Trump also threatened to prosecute those who made
[00:11:31] these allegations.
[00:11:34] The American press had previously claimed that Trump had strongly
[00:11:37] criticized Defense Secretary Pete Hexet for allegedly
[00:11:40] being misled about America's dwindling ammunition.
[00:11:44] It was also claimed that the President's trust
[00:11:47] in the Defense Secretary had been shaken due to the prolonged
[00:11:50] war and high costs.
[00:11:52] The White House,
[00:11:55] making a statement about the news, rejected the allegations
[00:11:59] as fictional and "100%
[00:12:25] I want to ask, this is a topic we've talked about a lot,
[00:12:28] have we finally reached the end? With great hope, like the whole
[00:12:32] world, is Hormuz really opening? Oman and
[00:12:34] Iran are on the verge of an agreement, but where does
[00:12:38] America stand in this? Before we get to America, there are conditions
[00:12:42] for this agreement. Iran still says that for America to be able
[00:12:45] to come, my condition must be met. Let me elaborate
[00:12:48] on that. Trump started an endless war, he came saying
[00:12:51] he wouldn't do it, but it seems to me it will last much
[00:12:55] longer. Now, what did Iran and Oman agree on? They agreed
[00:12:58] on a mechanism to control
[00:13:01] the traffic from the Gulf,
[00:13:05] because Iran says we will definitely not return
[00:13:08] to February 28th, before America's attacks on Israel.
[00:13:12] This traffic needs to be controlled and it wants to have some control.
[00:13:15] Since it's not left to it alone, they say they agreed with Oman
[00:13:19] on the other shore. So, this is
[00:13:22] a development that is reaching its culmination.
[00:13:33] Iran will control, and Oman will control what comes out
[00:13:36] of the Gulf, as far as we can hear, and it is said
[00:13:39] that for it to reach its culmination, the coordinates must be determined
[00:13:42] geographically, and these lines must be established.
[00:13:46] However, other things are also coming, for example, there will be
[00:13:50] a mine clearance process between them. Iran wants
[00:13:54] to charge a service fee for mine clearance,
[00:13:57] not a transit fee as before, but America was strongly
[00:14:01] opposed to this. It is said that there are still
[00:14:04] some issues regarding this, and they will be resolved,
[00:14:07] if the information we have is correct. But Iran's
[00:14:11] main condition is this: After these news came out,
[00:14:15] it was said in Iran, "Don't conclude
[00:14:18] from this that we agreed with Oman
[00:14:21] that the Gulf will open, because the blockade applied
[00:14:25] by the United States to our ports
[00:14:28] must also be lifted." Now, what does this refer
[00:14:31] to? In mid-June, there was an agreement
[00:14:35] that there would be no free passage for 60 days,
[00:14:38] and everything would go well in the Gulf. This is a reference
[00:14:42] to that non-existent memorandum of understanding,
[00:14:45] because there were mutual steps required there.
[00:14:48] The ball is in the United
[00:14:51] States' court, if you want me to leave it there,
[00:14:55] but there is no sound from there yet. There are about 90 days,
[00:14:59] 3 months, until the November elections.
[00:15:01] I saw one thing, Işın, the US Treasury Secretary said
[00:15:05] that an agreement for Hormuz could be reached today or tomorrow.
[00:15:09] Yes, there is such an expectation. Of course, the markets are
[00:15:13] also heavily affected. When Trump says he will hit,
[00:15:16] cut, hang, it jumps, as you know, they want
[00:15:20] to keep this somewhat balanced. Let me share a poll. I referred
[00:15:24] to the November elections, I said there are 90 days.
[00:15:27] Of course, polls are being conducted on how the public feels
[00:15:31] about this process. First of all, 58-60% of the public
[00:15:34] says that this will increase prices, there will be no
[00:15:38] decrease. This is not true, saying "I will end the war,
[00:15:41] prices will get better," these are not true. And half of the public
[00:15:45] says that this will drag on, meaning this instability
[00:15:48] will not improve for at least a year. These are, of course,
[00:15:51] expectations that affect the entire market
[00:15:54] logic. Now let's quickly turn to Europe, because actually,
[00:15:58] since the beginning of the war, we have seen a European
[00:16:01] community that has opposed the war. At the same time,
[00:16:05] this was also brought up at the NATO summit. And their most
[00:16:08] important complaint is actually this Hormuz knot. Of course,
[00:16:12] they also want this to be resolved. From time to time, some actors
[00:16:16] had also expressed their desire to play a role. How is this
[00:16:19] stage evaluated in Europe, Hüseyin?
[00:16:22] Europe does not find this stage acceptable, Gizem,
[00:16:26] because the problem still exists. Ship passage
[00:16:29] through the Strait of Hormuz is still not
[00:16:32] smooth. What they say is very true,
[00:16:35] there is a problem. The parties that
[00:16:38] created the problem still have no solution.
[00:16:41] Because there is no solution, neither the United States
[00:16:45] nor Iran can come together at the point where they say,
[00:16:49] "If we do this, we will solve this knot."
[00:16:51] Europeans want the Strait of Hormuz to be opened as soon
[00:16:55] as possible, because yes, we are at the beginning
[00:16:58] of August, but after September-October, Europe's energy needs will increase.
[00:17:01] This increase in need means the danger
[00:17:04] of energy flow to Europe stopping
[00:17:08] due to Hormuz. Therefore, from Europe's perspective,
[00:17:11] if the Hormuz knot drags on for a long
[00:17:15] time, as Işın said, it will really be a very
[00:17:18] bad winter. Energy prices are already at astronomical
[00:17:21] levels, and there is already a very serious decrease in the
[00:17:24] number of ships that can reach Europe from China.
[00:17:28] Many products are now impossible to find in Europe
[00:17:31] if they are of Chinese origin. This means that if this
[00:17:34] peace agreement, consensus, or mutual
[00:17:38] "being on the same page" does not happen, very serious
[00:17:42] alarm bells will ring for Europe. So what is Europe
[00:17:45] doing to avert this danger? Nothing. It has
[00:17:49] no trump card
[00:17:52] that can force the parties to agree. Or
[00:17:55] there is no power that can convince Donald Trump,
[00:17:59] or there is no leverage
[00:18:02] that can keep Iran at the table. Because Europe is probably
[00:18:06] experiencing its most stagnant and ineffective
[00:18:09] periods in its history. So much so that it has difficulty
[00:18:13] solving its own internal problems. But we need to talk a little
[00:18:17] bit about the issue between America and Iran. Now,
[00:18:20] US Vice President JD Vance has recently started to speak
[00:18:23] differently from the administration regarding Iran. That's
[00:18:27] why what he says makes more sense to me. He says
[00:18:31] that they will use diplomacy to agree with Iran,
[00:18:34] and they will also use war. They will also use the military
[00:18:38] option. But when journalists ask
[00:18:42] him what he prefers, he mostly talks
[00:18:45] about dialogue and diplomacy. Donald Trump, on the other
[00:18:48] hand, claims that they will use military methods if necessary.
[00:18:52] Every Friday, Donald Trump enters the weekend saying,
[00:18:55] "I will hit Iran, destroy it, tear it apart."
[00:18:58] On Monday, we see a calm weekend. On Monday,
[00:19:02] Donald Trump tells a new lie and says that Qatar has reached,
[00:19:06] Saudi Arabia has reached. Or
[00:19:09] other people have contacted me, we are on the verge
[00:19:13] of an agreement. Donald Trump's credibility is also seriously
[00:19:17] questioned by Americans at this point. I will not
[00:19:20] go into the agreement between Iran and Oman,
[00:19:24] because Işın said what needed to be said. The agreement
[00:19:27] does not include the expectations of the Americans.
[00:19:31] We also have to say this now. I'm sure you'll agree.
[00:19:34] Even if there were an agreement, there is no guarantee
[00:19:37] how long it would last. So, Donald Trump started
[00:19:41] a war that he can no longer end,
[00:19:44] and what Iran will do is no longer predictable.
[00:19:48] How long can the whole region and the whole world
[00:19:52] bear this economic pressure
[00:19:55] and crisis? I don't have the answer to that. But for
[00:19:59] the world, if it continues in autumn, it will be a serious
[00:20:01] problem. But the Republicans want it
[00:20:05] to end as soon as possible, because there are midterm
[00:20:09] elections. The ineffectiveness and bad economy that brought
[00:20:12] down Biden, now Donald Trump
[00:20:49] The progressive wing of the Democratic Party in Michigan
[00:20:53] showed its strength. While candidates supported
[00:20:56] by the party leadership lost, three progressive candidates
[00:20:59] won the primary. Climate activist Will Lawrence and
[00:21:02] Detroit labor rights advocate Donovan Mackin were selected
[00:21:06] as candidates for the House of Representatives. Both advocate
[00:21:09] for universal healthcare, strong unions, higher
[00:21:12] wealth taxes, and an end to military aid to Israel
[00:21:16] due to the Gaza war. They defend.
[00:21:25] but the biggest victory of the night was won by 41-year-old
[00:21:28] doctor Abdul Elsayed, who won the Senate primary.
[00:21:32] He is
[00:21:34] the US-born son of an Egyptian immigrant family and
[00:21:38] former Detroit health director. If he wins in November,
[00:21:41] he will be the first Muslim senator
[00:21:45] in US history.
[00:21:47] will be.
[00:22:23] Progressive figures of the Democratic Party such as Bernie Sanders,
[00:22:26] Alexandra Ocasio-Cortez, and Elizabeth Warren
[00:22:30] supported his campaign.
[00:22:32] While
[00:22:37] pro-Israel lobby groups spent tens of millions
[00:22:39] of dollars to support his rival, Elsayed won the primary
[00:22:43] with the support of tens of thousands of small donors
[00:22:47] and thousands of volunteers.
[00:22:54] Republicans are disturbed by this rise. US President
[00:22:57] Donald Trump described Elsayed as a threat
[00:23:00] to the American way of life.
[00:23:02] Vice President
[00:23:07] JD Vance, on the other hand, targeted
[00:23:11] Elsayed's name, which reveals his Arab and Muslim identity,
[00:23:14] saying, "God forbid, we don't want to see a president
[00:23:18] Elsayed in 3 years." i think that you want to use my whole name
[00:23:21] against me, mike, listen man, if you can't say the name, it'sman, keep the name out your
[00:23:25] damn
[00:23:26] mouth,
[00:23:40] development, and there are important statements from Özgür Özel.
[00:23:43] He said, "We have no effort to sign the proposal."
[00:23:46] Why did he say this? As you know, the framework law
[00:23:50] was submitted to the Grand National Assembly of Turkey yesterday,
[00:23:53] and the new party had not signed it. So, there are statements
[00:23:57] he made regarding this issue. As you know, the bill reached
[00:24:00] the Grand National Assembly of Turkey with the signatures
[00:24:04] of nearly 360 deputies. After the proposal reached
[00:24:07] us, it was submitted to the Parliament Speaker's
[00:24:11] Office. We had already explained the carelessness and rudeness.
[00:24:14] Yesterday, they held a large meeting in three sessions.
[00:24:18] It is necessary to see that acting carelessly and
[00:24:21] keeping it hidden from the public.
[00:24:25] We held a meeting with our friends who served in the commission.
[00:24:28] We will state our evaluations regarding the proposal.
[00:24:31] In general, we are faced with a careless,
[00:24:33] poorly prepared, and open to technical
[00:24:37] criticism proposal, he says. Actually, for the framework
[00:24:41] law presented. We made technical
[00:24:44] and political evaluations. In the process, our friends
[00:24:47] in the commission will provide the necessary contributions.
[00:24:51] When it comes to the General Assembly, we will continue in accordance
[00:24:53] with the attitude we have adopted since day one, but he said
[00:24:57] we have no effort to sign it. There is also
[00:25:01] a statement he made regarding the memorandums. We had also
[00:25:05] broadcast it in our news today. Now, finally,
[00:25:07] another memorandum had come to the parliament for Özgür Özel
[00:25:11] and Veli Ağababa to lift their immunity.
[00:25:15] This is the 61st memorandum and he mentioned the 62nd.
[00:25:19] What has not been done in the history of the parliament is being done,
[00:25:23] in a way that has not happened in the history of the parliament,
[00:25:26] so there is an emphasis on secrecy. As you know, there were discussions on this issue in the Parliament
[00:25:30] and in the General Assembly today. He also emphasized this.
[00:25:34] The Parliament Speaker also says that he stated this
[00:25:37] in his meeting with Tekim Bingöl and says that a reputational
[00:25:41] assassination is being carried out to provide a political
[00:26:04] you made a long evaluation. What will be the new party's
[00:26:08] stance during the General Assembly and commission stages?
[00:26:11] Friends, as I explained
[00:26:14] yesterday, this bill,
[00:26:18] which was signed by almost
[00:26:20] 360 deputies, was submitted
[00:26:24] to the Parliament Speaker's Office approximately
[00:26:28] 20-25 minutes after it was delivered to us. On that matter.
[00:26:46] in the presence of the academician,
[00:26:50] they held a large three-session meeting all day long,
[00:26:53] ending in the evening. This sensitive issue
[00:26:57] being handled in this manner, being handled
[00:27:00] carelessly by the party group for a long time,
[00:27:03] the text being kept from party
[00:27:06] groups, parliamentary correspondents, and therefore
[00:27:09] from the knowledge of the public,
[00:27:12] must be seen. Firstly, this. Then today,
[00:27:15] we held a meeting with our friends who served
[00:27:19] in the commission, as well as the esteemed members
[00:27:21] of the Constitutional and Justice commissions. Our friends will
[00:27:25] tomorrow, at the commission stage,
[00:27:28] state their evaluations, criticisms,
[00:27:31] and suggestions regarding the draft
[00:27:35] and the proposal. In general,
[00:27:38] as all professors
[00:27:42] and academics have also evaluated,
[00:27:45] it must be said that we are faced
[00:27:49] with a careless, poorly prepared proposal
[00:27:53] that is open to many technical
[00:27:56] criticisms. In general, as the Republican People's
[00:28:00] Party, we naturally handle the issue technically.
[00:28:04] Thank you as the new party. As the new party,
[00:28:08] we made the technical evaluation and
[00:28:11] the political evaluation consecutively
[00:28:14] and intertwined. In the next process,
[00:28:18] our friends in the commission will provide
[00:28:21] the necessary criticisms, suggestions,
[00:28:24] and contributions. Then, when it comes to the General
[00:28:27] As a new party, we will act
[00:28:30] in accordance with our general attitude
[00:28:33] that we have adopted since the first day,
[00:28:36] in accordance with our principled stance, but from now on, we have no intention
[00:28:40] or effort to go and sign the bill. In the commission,
[00:28:43] we will say our word as a new party before the records
[00:28:47] and before history. Will it be on Monday,
[00:28:50] will it be on Sunday, will it be on Tuesday,
[00:28:54] we will also participate in the General Assembly stage
[00:28:57] when it comes, and may we ask the color of your vote,
[00:29:01] sir? Yes, will the new party say no?
[00:29:05] The new party will contribute to the legislation
[00:29:08] of this article more accurately,
[00:29:10] especially in accordance
[00:29:13] with Article 6 of the commission report.
[00:29:15] The 7th part
[00:29:18] so basically, if you are going to solve
[00:29:22] such a permanent and important problem in a country, you need to take steps
[00:29:26] to eliminate the causes that create the problem.
[00:29:29] In this regard, there will be necessary efforts
[00:29:33] for the new warnings, suggestions, reminders,
[00:29:37] proposals, and offers to express the attitudes of other
[00:29:39] parties on this issue clearly once again for the future,
[00:29:42] but this issue has been approached
[00:29:44] from the past to resolve it
[00:29:48] in the parliament. Now, before this hot development,
[00:29:51] I want to go back to where we left off. Hüseyin Günay is also with us
[00:29:54] from London with Işın. Let's remind you again that the Democratic
[00:29:58] Party in the US
[00:30:01] changed the balance of power
[00:30:16] what does it tell Trump? It tells Trump a lot.
[00:30:19] That's my opinion, but I might have gotten a little too excited.
[00:30:22] Michigan is important. In Michigan,
[00:30:26] actually, it's a swing state, meaning its preferences
[00:30:29] can change. In the last elections,
[00:30:33] Trump got the majority, but for example,
[00:30:36] he always elected senators from the Democrats.
[00:30:39] Now, the Democratic Party held a primary here,
[00:30:43] one for the House of Representatives and one for the Senate.
[00:30:46] The candidates supported by the Democratic Party
[00:30:50] leadership, who we know practice more centrist politics,
[00:30:54] meaning traditional Democratic politics,
[00:30:57] lost. Who won? The progressive
[00:31:00] group, or those close to the Democratic
[00:31:04] Socialists. Candidates who articulated
[00:31:08] the same demands as them won. This is important.
[00:31:11] Especially, there is one among them, if he enters the Senate,
[00:31:15] he will be the first Muslim senator of the United States.
[00:31:18] We are talking about a man who was born in the United States
[00:31:22] to an Egyptian immigrant family and became a doctor.
[00:31:25] Abdel El-Sayed, to be exact,
[00:31:28] Abdurrahman el, even Muhammad Abdurrahman El-Sayed.
[00:31:32] Now, this, of course, if you look at his name,
[00:31:35] it's a very important thing for America.
[00:31:39] For example, America, when John F.
[00:31:42] Kennedy's presidency was being discussed
[00:31:45] because of his devout Catholicism, people were asking if a Catholic
[00:31:49] could be president. Now, they might send
[00:31:52] a Muslim to the Senate for the first time.
[00:31:55] And we had a report that J.D.
[00:31:59] Vance didn't even want to think about someone
[00:32:01] like that becoming president because the constitution
[00:32:05] allows it. This is, of course,
[00:32:08] due to fear politics, like "oh no, the Muslims are coming."
[00:32:12] Trump was also worried, but they are also using this
[00:32:15] as campaign material. Throughout Abdul El-Sayed's campaign,
[00:32:19] they used his name and origin against him,
[00:32:23] but he didn't care. When they attacked him
[00:32:26] for being an immigrant, he said that's what the United
[00:32:30] States is all about. He actually highlighted
[00:32:33] his immigrant status, but he didn't do it
[00:32:36] as identity politics. What do all these candidates
[00:32:39] propose? In the United States,
[00:32:43] what they call "socialism and communism are coming"
[00:32:46] is what we used to know in Turkey as a social welfare
[00:32:50] state, a social state. So they want what European-style
[00:32:53] social democratic or rather,
[00:32:56] social democratic parties want. What are these?
[00:33:00] Workers' rights, union rights, health insurance for everyone,
[00:33:04] more taxes, especially wealth tax proposals,
[00:33:07] and a very clear foreign policy that says "let's not give
[00:33:11] our money to Israel."
[00:33:15] in this sense. This is an indicator
[00:33:19] because actually, there have been democratic socialists
[00:33:23] for a long time, and they are expanding.
[00:33:26] If we remember Zohran Mamdani in New York,
[00:33:30] the mayor of New York is on the same line. They already support each other.
[00:33:33] From this perspective,
[00:33:53] Donald Trump in a very difficult situation, because Donald Trump
[00:33:57] won Michigan in the previous elections, he took it from the Democrats.
[00:34:00] He took it by saying, "I will end the wars in the Middle East.
[00:34:04] Biden is not doing anything about Israel and Gaza.
[00:34:08] I will create a humanitarian situation there."
[00:34:11] He made this claim. He even went to Michigan
[00:34:13] and held a rally with the Muslim mayor there.
[00:34:17] The Muslims there believed that Donald Trump
[00:34:21] would stop Israel and voted for Trump.
[00:34:24] Of course, at this point, we saw that none
[00:34:28] of these were valid. Therefore, Donald Trump
[00:34:32] losing Michigan will also show everyone
[00:34:36] that he did not keep his promises.
[00:34:40] Secondly, Abdurrahman Muhammad
[00:34:42] Saet came out with a promise.
[00:34:46] He said things that Americans were not very accustomed to hearing
[00:34:50] until today. Zohran Mamdani also said
[00:34:53] similar things, but he was able to express
[00:34:56] them in a much simpler language. He said workers should earn
[00:35:00] better wages. Michigan is a working-class city,
[00:35:04] a city with a very dense Muslim population,
[00:35:07] and at the same time, it's a state that borders
[00:35:11] the four Great Lakes of the United States. In this sense,
[00:35:14] it's a state that can accommodate many non-American,
[00:35:17] meaning non-white American, immigrants, Middle Easterners,
[00:35:21] Europeans, and an Arab population. It has a large population of 10 million.
[00:35:24] Donald Trump losing such a large place,
[00:35:27] meaning someone from Donald Trump's party losing,
[00:35:30] will point to this: firstly,
[00:35:34] Democrats are reaching the point where they can elect
[00:35:37] a state senator with their progressive rhetoric
[00:35:41] within themselves. The fact that a Muslim senator
[00:35:44] will join the Senate for the first time
[00:35:48] is also meaningful, and for Donald Trump,
[00:35:51] if El-Sayed is elected, it will show that the fear
[00:35:54] psychology he created did not find a response.
[00:35:58] Donald Trump uses the word "communist"
[00:36:01] as an insult. He used it the same way
[00:36:04] for this person. J.D. Vance even held
[00:36:08] a special press conference to explain how dangerous
[00:36:12] El-Sayed was, but he couldn't
[00:36:15] pronounce his name properly, so El-Sayed later
[00:36:18] came out and said, "They should first learn
[00:36:22] how to pronounce my name. They have no right
[00:36:24] to criticize me when they can't
[00:36:28] even pronounce someone else's name." In other words,
[00:36:31] the representatives of White America
[00:36:34] are encountering a political understanding
[00:36:38] they haven't seen before. They are seeing people who criticize Israel
[00:36:42] going to the Senate. They are witnessing
[00:36:46] the relationship of young people with a society that marginalizes them.
[00:36:49] Therefore, it poses a serious threat to the traditional
[00:36:52] American political understanding. But it should also
[00:36:55] be noted that
[00:36:58] the most powerful figure representing the progressive wing
[00:37:01] within the Democratic Party right now,
[00:37:04] but other progressives in other states have not been elected.
[00:37:08] When we look at it from this side, it's too early
[00:37:12] to say anything. By the way, Abdurrahman Muhammed
[00:37:16] El-Sayed won the election by only 1%.
[00:37:20] So it's not certain whether he will go to the Senate
[00:37:23] in November. But they are very important
[00:37:28] because they enabled fair discourses to be expressed
[00:37:31] in America before. Michigan
[00:37:34] was very much mentioned with Gaza
[00:37:38] and the Israel genocide in the last one and a half
[00:37:41] to two years. It seems that Michigan
[00:37:44] is a swing state, a state where both Republicans
[00:37:48] and Democrats vote. With this,
[00:37:52] it doesn't seem possible for Donald Trump
[00:37:55] to win a senator and the state assembly from there.
[00:37:58] The polls also indicate this. Thank you very much, Hüseyin.
[00:38:02] May I add a small note because I got excited?
[00:38:05] But here, whether this team wins or not, this team is growing,
[00:38:09] these discourses are mainstreaming, which is very new for America,
[00:38:12] and this discourse has a young base.
[00:38:16] There was another very interesting break.
[00:38:19] Trump came with the promise of ending the war in the Middle East,
[00:38:23] but he dragged it into an endless war. We call his base "MAGA."
[00:38:26] A serious break had started within that base,
[00:38:30] sometimes we reported it. Now, one of their prominent figures is still Tucker Carlson,
[00:38:34] but beside him, Marjorie Taylor Greene,
[00:38:37] Hüseyin will probably say, was in the House of Representatives,
[00:38:41] right? She resigned.
[00:38:44] That team is now forming
[00:38:47] a new movement with a new discourse,
[00:38:50] and believe it or not, just like democratic socialists
[00:38:53] use rhetoric similar to European social
[00:38:57] democratic parties, they also resemble the rhetoric
[00:39:00] of Christian Democrats in Europe. And actually,
[00:39:03] both of them, for example, have the same rhetoric:
[00:39:07] "Our children... don't spend that money there,
[00:39:10] let it go to our children. We must guarantee
[00:39:13] our children's future." A very interesting
[00:39:16] undercurrent is coming. I think thank you very much
[00:39:20] to our foreign news editor Işın El, who was with us,
[00:39:23] and also our representative from Europe, Hüseyin Günay.
[00:39:40] continues to rise. Both "is the war ending?"
[00:39:42] and "will Hormuz open?" These positive expectations
[00:39:46] benefited gold this week.
[00:39:49] Today, the stock market also recovered to 13,773 levels.
[00:39:52] We also said yesterday that it's progressing step by step,
[00:39:56] but the rise in gold seems to have suppressed
[00:39:59] its rise a bit. We will ask the expert
[00:40:03] in a moment. The Euro is above 55.
[00:40:06] Gold in grams rose to 6,534.
[00:40:09] Yesterday, we were talking about 6,400.
[00:40:12] We are seeing a rapid climb and rise
[00:40:15] in the gold front. And in terms of ounces,
[00:40:18] 5,000 dollars has started to be mentioned again.
[00:40:22] Let's also say this. And oil,
[00:40:26] there is a slight increase in oil today,
[00:40:29] we see 80 dollars. Even if the war
[00:40:33] is said to be over now, experts were saying
[00:40:36] that the rapid withdrawal in oil would not happen
[00:40:39] and would take time.
[00:40:55] because gold was the star of this week again.
[00:40:59] After a long time, we started to see a rapid rise.
[00:41:03] I am curious about your expectations, and of course, let's talk
[00:41:07] about the effects of the war, the interest rate decision
[00:41:10] from the United States, and the $5,000 levels
[00:41:13] have started to be mentioned again in terms of ounces.
[00:41:17] Do you agree? Well,
[00:41:20] gold is an interesting investment instrument.
[00:41:24] It is simultaneously preferred as a safe haven
[00:41:27] in times of market turmoil, fear, and anxiety,
[00:41:30] but on the other hand, it can also be preferred
[00:41:34] in periods when risk appetite increases,
[00:41:38] and people turn to more speculative assets,
[00:41:41] like cryptocurrencies or, more commonly,
[00:41:45] silver. It is not easy for market
[00:41:48] professionals to determine which of these two
[00:41:51] predominates at any given time, but sometimes you can see it more
[00:41:54] easily when you compare it with other market data
[00:41:57] from the results. Our guests were talking about
[00:42:01] geopolitical developments earlier, and gold has a serious
[00:42:05] relationship with them recently. Secondly,
[00:42:08] as you mentioned, the developments of the American
[00:42:12] Central Bank in the last week. I will make an assessment
[00:42:15] by combining these two. The risks regarding the Gulf region
[00:42:19] have decreased. The decreasing risks
[00:42:22] have caused a shift towards assets other than the dollar,
[00:42:25] which is the safest haven, in all other American stocks,
[00:42:29] silver, and many other places. So the value of the American
[00:42:33] dollar fell, but starting from the euro,
[00:42:36] including gold, American stocks, European stocks,
[00:42:40] created a general optimism. We see the effect of this
[00:42:43] on gold prices in terms of ounces.
[00:42:47] Secondly, there were some concerns
[00:42:50] regarding America's own monetary policy.
[00:42:54] It was related to the attitude of the newly elected
[00:42:57] Central Bank president, but he emphasized more decisively
[00:43:01] that this will not cause a worrying situation
[00:43:05] in the upcoming period. This stability
[00:43:08] was a good development for gold. If I come to your question,
[00:43:12] I do not expect 5,000-plus levels for gold
[00:43:16] in the foreseeable future, unless a big shock occurs. I would like to emphasize,
[00:43:20] as always, that gold is an investment
[00:43:23] tool that generates returns in the long term.
[00:43:27] So, I would not advise buying it this week and selling
[00:43:30] it for profit next week, or if you cannot get a loan
[00:43:34] from the bank, borrowing in gold from your neighbors
[00:43:37] or friends, or saying, "I will buy a car next month,
[00:43:41] but I don't want the money to be idle, so I will park it
[00:43:44] in gold for a while." We especially request
[00:43:47] that you do not do this, and those who did
[00:43:51] suffered significant financial damages in the last few months.
[00:43:54] But although it is not negative, I think the current prices
[00:43:58] for gold are not places where those who hold it
[00:44:02] for the long term should use it for buying or selling.
[00:44:05] But I openly say that I do not expect
[00:44:09] a price like $5,000 under normal circumstances
[00:44:13] in the short term. Okay,
[00:44:15] if we talk about it in terms of grams,
[00:44:19] because you said that there are already
[00:44:23] those who have losses in the recent period,
[00:44:25] investors are anxious,
[00:44:27] because it rose a lot, and there are those who bought
[00:44:30] above the current level during that rise.
[00:44:33] So, at least, what is your expectation
[00:44:36] for the gram in terms of grams until the end of the year,
[00:44:40] if no extraordinary conditions occur in the coming period?
[00:44:43] Here, too, since I do not expect
[00:44:47] an explosion in the price of gold in terms of ounces
[00:44:51] under normal circumstances, the only reason for the increase
[00:44:54] in the value of gram gold will be the depreciation
[00:44:58] of the Turkish Lira. So,
[00:45:00] the Turkish Lira is constantly losing value. In the recent period,
[00:45:03] the pressure on the exchange rate has increased a little more,
[00:45:05] but it continues to be maintained in a controlled
[00:45:08] manner. I expect the dollar
[00:45:12] rate to go up by roughly 10%
[00:45:15] against the Turkish Lira in the remaining 5 months
[00:45:19] of the year. I think a similar 10%
[00:45:22] return will also be reflected in the gram price of gold
[00:45:25] under normal conditions. Okay, let me ask about silver too,
[00:45:28] because the movement in silver is faster than gold.
[00:45:32] We talked about the same thing when it was rising
[00:45:34] in recent months. And today,
[00:45:38] for example, if we look at it as a percentage,
[00:45:42] the movement and value gain in silver also increased today.
[00:45:45] What is your expectation for silver? It's very important
[00:45:49] that you emphasize the difference between the two,
[00:45:52] because if gold is a bicycle, silver is a bicycle
[00:45:55] going downhill. So when it gains a lot of momentum,
[00:45:59] it goes very well, but if it encounters
[00:46:02] an obstacle, it can't brake, and unpleasant situations
[00:46:06] occur. We saw it drop from $125
[00:46:10] to $55. I think it's in a similar
[00:46:13] movement. I think $60
[00:46:16] per ounce for silver is a reasonable value.
[00:46:20] There were more frightening scenarios about it going
[00:46:23] below $50, which I didn't expect.
[00:46:26] And the prices above $70 reached in the previous rally
[00:46:30] are not realistic for silver in my opinion.
[00:46:33] So, if you ask me, I think the market
[00:46:36] has reached where it should be after the big movement
[00:46:40] of the last year. These are not points
[00:46:44] where we can say "it's cheap, buy it"
[00:46:47] or "it's expensive, sell it immediately."
[00:46:51] For people who don't want to invest in interest
[00:46:55] in the long term, or don't want to get involved
[00:46:58] in more complex areas like American stocks,
[00:47:01] they are good instruments to hold
[00:47:04] for the long term. But we never recommend
[00:47:08] buying them and selling them for profit
[00:47:11] next week, and I would like to make it clear
[00:47:14] that I do not recommend it at these prices.
[00:47:18] You briefly drew attention to it,
[00:47:22] I would like to ask about dollar and euro,
[00:47:26] both as a parity and the dollar and euro themselves.
[00:47:29] Here, we see that the euro attracts more attention.
[00:47:32] Yes, there is a dollar that is suppressed,
[00:47:36] and it continues its rise step by step.
[00:47:40] Year-end dollar expectations have also started to be discussed,
[00:47:43] and it is being talked about more that it cannot
[00:47:47] and should not be kept at these levels.
[00:47:50] What do you say? That's right,
[00:47:54] the Turkish Lira will continue to depreciate steadily.
[00:47:57] The important thing here is whether there will be an exchange
[00:48:00] rate shock, whether the dollar
[00:48:03] rate will explode. When we look at it,
[00:48:07] on the one hand, we have a foreign trade deficit.
[00:48:10] This year, the very optimistic atmosphere
[00:48:13] in tourism also ended,
[00:48:17] and it was reflected in the data for the first time
[00:48:21] due to Turkey becoming
[00:48:23] more expensive, and some geopolitical
[00:48:26] risks should be added to this. Therefore, there is a need for foreign
[00:48:30] currency, and the exchange rate needs to go up a little faster, but the Central Bank
[00:48:34] does not allow this within the framework
[00:48:38] of fighting inflation. So then we ask,
[00:48:41] does it have the power not to allow this? Yes, it does.
[00:48:45] The current Central Bank reserves are sufficient
[00:48:48] to do this. But in the coming months,
[00:48:51] I think they can loosen the valve a little more there too.
[00:48:55] But loosening it is also something like
[00:48:58] not being perceived as a big shock.
[00:49:02] For example, if the Turkish Lira depreciates by roughly
[00:49:05] 1.5% each month, this could approach 2%,
[00:49:08] but we do not expect a big change here.
[00:49:21] because the rise in the Euro
[00:49:23] is quite remarkable today. We are above 55.
[00:49:27] That's right. As I mentioned earlier,
[00:49:30] when the dollar depreciated in global markets
[00:49:34] due to the factors I mentioned,
[00:49:37] the euro gained value,
[00:54:56] against inflation entered its 8th month. According
[00:54:59] to Discar's calculations, the 7-month erosion in the
[00:55:03] minimum wage reached 5,576 liras. The pension of
[00:55:07] retirees, who received a raise in July at the inflation difference
[00:55:10] rate, which was 23,552 liras, eroded by 419
[00:55:14] liras in the very first month. So, what do citizens
[00:55:17] feel the most erosion in their pockets? We asked
[00:55:21] the public. There is no area where we don't feel the erosion
[00:55:24] in our pockets. From the water we just drank
[00:55:26] to the bus we took, our salary has eroded by approximately
[00:55:30] 30-40% with real numbers since January. The minimum
[00:55:33] wage and pension are not enough, including rent. Rents
[00:55:37] in Istanbul average 50,000. I'm thinking about buying this,
[00:55:40] even thinking five times to buy it. It's very difficult.
[00:55:44] You have to cut down on all areas except for the
[00:55:47] necessity of continuing to eat and drink. Salaries have
[00:55:51] eroded quite a bit against inflation, and we are also
[00:55:54] watching. Oh, look, I'm walking
[00:55:56] home from the road. There's no money. I've given
[00:56:00] up on food, for example. I've given up on the meat
[00:56:03] aisle because meat is too expensive. We're more for
[00:56:07] chicken, but these days, we're going to skip chicken.
[00:56:10] We used to eat three meals a day, but now we've reduced
[00:56:14] it to two, by necessity. People walk around hungry.
[00:56:17] Those who are full live with their debts. We live
[00:56:21] with these cards, look. There's no product we don't
[00:56:24] struggle with against inflation because your salaries don't
[00:56:28] rise at that rate, and all products are highly
[00:56:30] priced. How will these people make ends meet? Rent, bills,
[00:56:34] food, clothing. Buying a house has become a dream.
[00:56:37] Buying a car has become a dream. People can't even
[00:56:40] dream of buying a house or a car anymore. I'm
[00:56:44] a very old AK Party member. Since the presidential
[00:56:48] system came, and all power was gathered in one person,
[00:56:51] the dollar started to rise, the euro started to rise,
[00:56:55] gold started to rise. The euro has exceeded 50. There's
[00:56:58] a country called Papua New Guinea, a tribal country.
[00:57:02] People live in the forests, they don't have clothes,
[00:57:06] they walk around with spears. Their currency is 10 times
[00:57:09] ours, you know? Do I have to give money to my child?
[00:57:13] The child will start working at 18. For example, I need
[00:57:16] to give money to my wife, I need to pay my rent.
[00:57:20] If one of these is missing, then there's trouble at
[00:57:24] home. People need to live well. I don't want to eat
[00:57:27] onion and bread, brother. I want to eat meat, I want
[00:57:30] to be able to buy a car.
[00:57:57] Halktv.com has been renewed. The Halk news
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[00:58:27] Many things will happen, it will be a hopeful beginning for Hakan,
[00:58:31] the biggest dreams will come true,
[00:58:35] who knows, maybe someone
[00:58:38] will become the star of the national team,
[00:58:42] another will save a loved one's life,
[00:58:45] perhaps a project someone
[00:58:56] made. Come on, this Eid, without saying much or
[00:59:00] little, donate to Darüşşafaka so our children can have a bright future with education.
[00:59:18] Efforts for a full consensus between the parties
[00:59:21] on the Framework Law in Parliament continue.
[00:59:25] The stance the New Party would take on this was
[00:59:28] being discussed since yesterday. The statement
[00:59:31] came from the most authorized source, General President
[00:59:35] Özgür Özel. He said, "We have no effort
[00:59:38] to sign this proposal." The citizen's
[00:59:41] priority, however, is the struggle for survival. The
[00:59:44] citizen is striving to stay on their feet and
[00:59:48] alive. Today, we say
[01:00:06] effort and begin. The historic bill came to
[01:00:10] parliament, 360 deputies signed it. Since yesterday,
[01:00:13] it was wondered what the New Party's
[01:00:18] attitude and stance would be. So,
[01:00:22] the statement regarding that came from New Party
[01:00:25] General President Özgür Özel. He said
[01:00:28] there are some technical
[01:00:31] points to criticize. He said this
[01:00:33] is a very open proposal
[01:00:37] to criticism, and he added
[01:00:41] by saying that
[01:00:44] they have no effort to sign this
[01:00:48] bill. What is the New Party's
[01:00:52] stance in the General Assembly and committee
[01:00:55] stage? The bill was submitted to the
[01:00:58] Parliament Speaker's Office approximately 20-25 minutes