IRINN — broadcast
20260808 003000 UTC
437 transcript segments
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[00:00:23] At 4 o'clock, the president said, "We are not looking for
[00:00:26] expansionism, but the Zionists are looking for
[00:00:30] something very big." Dr. Pezeshkian, on a television program,
[00:00:34] comparing Iran's and Israel's approaches towards the countries in the region,
[00:00:37] added, "We have common borders with neighboring countries
[00:00:41] and must live together. But the Zionist regime,
[00:00:44] which does not have borders with many Islamic countries,
[00:00:48] is thinking of aggression and seizing their
[00:00:51] land."
[00:00:54] For a human's ignorance, it is enough that they do not know their
[00:00:57] power. They wanted to completely disarm us.
[00:01:01] Well, if they disarm us, they will
[00:01:04] come like Gaza and plow all our water and soil
[00:01:08] and we won't be able to do anything.
[00:01:11] Is that right? We should do that?
[00:01:14] Accept that they come and take all our military authority and defensive power
[00:01:18] from us, and we bow our heads to them? We will
[00:01:21] not. But we will not attack other countries. We are not looking for
[00:01:24] land, I don't know, seizing land
[00:01:28] and reports.
[00:01:41] The comprehensive legal report on American aggression and crimes with the Zionist regime in
[00:01:45] Iran has been finalized and registered at the United Nations.
[00:01:48] According to the Judiciary, Branch 55
[00:01:51] of International Affairs of Tehran's Judiciary is the authority
[00:01:55] to handle the complaints of the Iranian people against America and
[00:01:59] the regime.
[00:02:02] The legal follow-up of the recent American-Zionist aggressions against
[00:02:05] Iran has entered a new phase. One is the level of
[00:02:09] domestic courts, and the other is foreign courts,
[00:02:12] which, within the framework of the principle of universal jurisdiction,
[00:02:16] we can pursue. From registering complaints and
[00:02:19] lawsuits by the people against America and the Zionist regime, this
[00:02:23] power of attorney that we give for legal follow-up regarding the damages
[00:02:26] inflicted on the country and on us against
[00:02:30] criminal Israel
[00:02:33] and terrorist America,
[00:02:36] we will complain so that the documentation of damages and finalization
[00:02:39] of cases can be presented in domestic and international forums.
[00:02:43] In this legal battle system, we have so far
[00:02:46] received more than 5 million powers of attorney from the people. Branch
[00:02:50] 55, special crimes of international
[00:02:53] affairs, has been dedicated to this matter. As
[00:02:57] not abandoning the criminals is also the Imam's demand.
[00:03:03] The follow-up of
[00:03:06] this
[00:03:09] issue and referral to international, legal, and
[00:03:13] domestic courts must be pursued. The criminals
[00:03:16] must be held accountable and punished for their criminal
[00:03:20] acts. Based on this, the Legal and International Affairs
[00:03:24] Department of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the Center of Lawyers of the Judiciary
[00:03:27] have launched joint collaborations
[00:03:31] based on a memorandum of understanding. Documentation must be done at three
[00:03:34] levels. At the level of damages to
[00:03:38] government facilities, public damages,
[00:03:40] and private damages. According to Mr. Gharibabadi,
[00:03:44] forming a joint team to compile a comprehensive legal report
[00:03:48] as an official document presentable at the United Nations is another program
[00:03:51] pursued in this memorandum of understanding. We
[00:03:55] presented the war report as a
[00:03:58] preliminary document in more than 10...
[00:04:13] in a government building in Jakarta, the capital of Indonesia.
[00:04:17] So far, more than 100 firefighters have been
[00:04:20] dispatched to control the fire. Published images show
[00:04:24] that the flames have spread from the eleventh to
[00:04:27] the sixteenth floor of the building.
[00:04:30] So far, no report on the cause of this fire, possible
[00:04:34] casualties, and the extent of
[00:04:36] damages
[00:04:38] has been released.
[00:04:42] Shahab News Agency announced with published images that an 80-year-old
[00:04:46] man with American citizenship was beaten
[00:04:49] during a raid by the occupying regime's soldiers on
[00:04:52] a village north of Ramallah and was injured by a sound
[00:04:56] bomb. According to this report,
[00:05:00] this individual suffered a head injury and had several
[00:05:03] bruises on his body.
[00:05:07] شده
[00:05:12] The US Senate
[00:05:14] passed a bill for extensive sanctions on Russian
[00:05:18] energy with an overwhelming majority. This
[00:05:21] bill, which was approved with 86 votes in favor and 11
[00:05:25] against, aims to penalize major buyers
[00:05:29] of Russian oil and gas, impose new sanctions
[00:05:32] against officials of that country, and levy tariffs on large
[00:05:35] importers of Russian energy. It was drafted and sent to the US House
[00:05:39] of Representatives for review.
[00:05:46] The US Army's Cyber Warfare Unit confirmed the deaths of at least
[00:05:50] 5 of its personnel due to suicide.
[00:05:53] Bloomberg attributed the cause of suicide among the personnel of the
[00:05:57] Army's Cyber Warfare Unit to the war with Iran and other
[00:06:01] foreign conflicts, as well as the pressure from competition in the field of
[00:06:05] artificial intelligence. These suicides have raised concerns among
[00:06:08] officials and lawmakers about the mental health of personnel
[00:06:12] and their well-being. In this regard, the Commander of Cyber Command,
[00:06:16] the US Army's Cyber Warfare Unit, has warned
[00:06:18] that without providing an $11 million
[00:06:22] budget for studying and improving the mental state of forces,
[00:06:25] job burnout and a decrease in operational
[00:06:28] capability will increase. General Josh Rad also
[00:06:32] said that the army is struggling
[00:06:35] with a suicide rate of 23 people per
[00:06:39] 100,000, which is almost twice the average suicide rate in the entire
[00:06:42] US population.
[00:06:45] The US President,
[00:06:48] continuing his trade war, threatened Switzerland with
[00:06:52] trade restrictions. Donald
[00:06:55] Trump, in his latest interview, referring to the fact that the US
[00:06:58] has a trade deficit of about 39 billion dollars
[00:07:02] with Switzerland, said, "I can eliminate
[00:07:05] this deficit with one signature, and Switzerland will
[00:07:09] no longer be a top country." Trump further
[00:07:13] threatened to ban the import of Swiss watches and goods
[00:07:16] so that Switzerland would turn from a privileged country into a country with
[00:07:20] serious problems. The US President
[00:07:23] had previously threatened other European countries, Canada, Greenland, and China
[00:07:27] with heavy trade tariffs.
[00:07:29] سنگین تهدید کرده
[00:10:59] Hello, I am John Mearsheimer, a university professor
[00:11:02] and also an international relations theorist.
[00:11:05] This time, I want to talk about the war with Iran.
[00:11:09] I want to argue that it's time for Trump to end
[00:11:13] this war. He should also reach an agreement
[00:11:16] with the Iranians and end the war,
[00:11:20] meaning he should practically accept defeat and admit that Iran
[00:11:23] won this war and we lost.
[00:11:27] I want to first, in fact, go over the goals that America
[00:11:31] set for itself at the beginning of the war. Then we will see how
[00:11:35] we failed in achieving any of these goals.
[00:11:39] And I will explain how terribly
[00:11:42] we performed in pursuing these goals.
[00:11:45] And then I will go over the military strategies that
[00:11:49] we employed to achieve those goals. My
[00:11:52] main point is that none of those strategies that we
[00:11:55] used were able to achieve our initial
[00:11:58] goals. I want to explain in more detail
[00:12:02] what each of these strategies was and
[00:12:06] why they failed. As we
[00:12:09] proceed, it will become quite clear that there were
[00:12:12] 5 possible strategies before America. Among these five
[00:12:16] cases, America has only implemented three
[00:12:20] in practice. Regarding the other two, I must say
[00:12:24] he didn't go for them at all. I will talk about the three strategies
[00:12:27] he implemented and the reason for their failure.
[00:12:30] Then we will discuss the two strategies that
[00:12:34] were not implemented at all, and I will say
[00:12:37] why America abandoned them. The point
[00:12:41] you should always keep in mind is that I
[00:12:45] constantly refer to the relationship that exists between
[00:12:48] the goals we had and the strategies we chose
[00:12:52] to achieve them, or now
[00:12:55] did. Very well, let's go to the main
[00:12:58] thing.
[00:13:01] In fact, the goals. When the war started, America and
[00:13:04] consequently Israel pursued four goals. The first goal
[00:13:08] was regime change in Tehran. The second
[00:13:11] goal was to eliminate Iran's capability,
[00:13:14] in a way, for uranium enrichment, and
[00:13:18] the third goal was to destroy Iran's long-range ballistic
[00:13:21] missile program. The fourth goal was that Iran...
[00:13:32] The very important point is that, in my opinion, regime change was the most
[00:13:36] important of all, because if, in fact,
[00:13:39] regime change did not happen, there was practically no way to achieve
[00:13:43] those other three goals. So regime
[00:13:46] change was the first priority, but those other three goals were
[00:13:50] also very vital, although in my opinion, they
[00:13:53] fell under the same first goal.
[00:13:57] Now, the question that arises here is, what
[00:14:00] is our current situation regarding those goals today?
[00:14:04] Let me examine the discussion
[00:14:08] from two different angles. First,
[00:14:11] if we only focus and look at those four goals themselves,
[00:14:15] we must say that none of them were achieved.
[00:14:18] None have been achieved, and there is no sign
[00:14:22] that they will be achieved soon.
[00:14:26] Well, besides that, I must say
[00:14:29] that we are now, in fact,
[00:14:32] in a situation and a period of time
[00:14:36] where, before the actual
[00:14:39] war, I must say that on February
[00:14:43] 27th, meaning one
[00:14:46] day before the start of the war,
[00:14:49] we didn't have it. Now Iran controls
[00:14:52] the Strait of Hormuz, I must say, and as I
[00:14:56] am talking to you now, that is, at this very
[00:14:59] moment, it has prevented maritime traffic into and
[00:15:03] out of this strait. On the other
[00:15:06] hand, on February 27th, that is, the same
[00:15:09] day before the war, America had a strong alliance
[00:15:13] with the Persian Gulf littoral countries
[00:15:16] in the region, and had established several
[00:15:19] important military bases there.
[00:15:23] But today, I must say that either those
[00:15:27] bases have been severely damaged, or they
[00:15:30] can be said to be completely destroyed, and those alliances
[00:15:34] that America had with the Arab countries in the region...
[00:15:41] Worst of all, the global economy is in a very
[00:15:44] dangerous situation due to the blockade
[00:15:46] of the Strait of Hormuz,
[00:15:50] soon, the possibility of a major
[00:15:53] global recession is very serious. So, not
[00:15:57] only have we not achieved any of the four initial goals,
[00:16:00] but today we are facing new and serious
[00:16:03] problems that, one day before the war,
[00:16:07] that is, on February 27th, can be said
[00:16:10] to have not existed at all.
[00:16:13] Well, now let's look at the situation from
[00:16:16] another angle. If you examine
[00:16:20] the memorandum of understanding that Trump signed with
[00:16:23] the Iranians on June 17th of this year,
[00:16:26] the same memorandum of understanding that was drafted to end
[00:16:30] the war, we see that this document
[00:16:33] is practically a surrender document.
[00:16:38] I must say that Trump has retreated
[00:16:41] on all points of contention between Iran and America.
[00:16:45] The structure of the memorandum of understanding
[00:16:48] is such that first, a ceasefire
[00:16:52] is established, conflicts end, and
[00:16:55] the Strait of Hormuz is reopened. In addition,
[00:16:59] Iranians are allowed to sell their oil
[00:17:02] in free markets,
[00:17:05] something that did not exist
[00:17:08] at all before the signing of the June
[00:17:12] 17th memorandum of understanding, and
[00:17:14] they will no longer worry about US
[00:17:18] sanctions. This was the first part
[00:17:21] of the agreement: ceasefire and reopening of the Strait.
[00:17:25] After a 60-day period was envisioned
[00:17:28] for negotiations, during which they were supposed
[00:17:32] to reach a conclusion on the nuclear issue, it was very
[00:17:36] clear that Iran would retain its capability for
[00:17:40] nuclear enrichment, while this
[00:17:44] issue completely contradicted one of the initial
[00:17:47] goals of the war. It was also
[00:17:50] clear that the US had to return
[00:17:54] all of Iran's blocked assets
[00:17:56] and pay compensation for all
[00:18:00] the damages inflicted on Iran in this war,
[00:18:03] and indeed, the damages were
[00:18:06] very heavy, and therefore, a huge
[00:18:10] amount must be paid to Iran.
[00:18:12] In addition to these matters, Iranians
[00:18:16] could freely
[00:18:18] sell their oil
[00:18:22] in the global market. So if
[00:18:24] you look at the memorandum of understanding, you will see
[00:18:28] that America has given in on all
[00:18:32] key points, and practically
[00:18:35] Iran was the winner of the field.
[00:18:39] This means that in terms of the goals we had
[00:18:42] in mind at the beginning of the war and were cultivating
[00:18:45] in our thoughts, we did not achieve
[00:18:48] any of them, and after
[00:18:51] the start of the war, our situation, I must say,
[00:18:54] became much worse. Now, I must say that
[00:18:58] the fundamental question is, what
[00:19:01] exactly happened? We had various
[00:19:05] military strategies in
[00:19:11] The question is, what exactly were those strategies
[00:19:14] and why did they fail? Well, let me
[00:19:18] proceed with the discussion by saying that there were 5
[00:19:22] important potential strategies available to America.
[00:19:25] Then I will explain what happened and analyze
[00:19:29] why these strategies did not achieve
[00:19:32] their goals. These five strategies
[00:19:36] were: The first three were actually
[00:19:39] related to the air force,
[00:19:43] the fourth to the navy, and
[00:19:46] the fifth to the ground forces or land
[00:19:50] armies. In the air force
[00:19:52] section, the first strategy is
[00:19:56] a technique called, or what
[00:19:59] I call, selective air
[00:20:02] campaign, meaning a strategic bombing
[00:20:06] campaign. During this campaign, some
[00:20:09] targets are not bombed. In other words,
[00:20:13] targets are, in fact, selectively
[00:20:16] bombed. A selective air
[00:20:19] campaign means that we bomb a limited
[00:20:23] number of military targets, non-military targets, and
[00:20:26] non-military infrastructure, but we fundamentally refrain
[00:20:30] from widespread attacks on non-military
[00:20:33] infrastructure and also
[00:20:37] Iran's oil facilities.
[00:20:40] When I say non-military infrastructure, I mean avoiding
[00:20:44] hitting bridges, power plants,
[00:20:47] and also of course
[00:20:51] oil and gas facilities
[00:20:54] inside Iran. This approach is called a selective
[00:20:57] air campaign, or in other words, a selective
[00:21:01] strategic bombing
[00:21:04] campaign. I compare this to a non-selective
[00:21:07] air campaign. In a non-selective air
[00:21:11] campaign, the US and Israel do not only attack
[00:21:14] the targets I mentioned, but rather
[00:21:18] go after non-military infrastructure,
[00:21:21] power plants, bridges, and also
[00:21:24] oil facilities, meaning they practically
[00:21:27] bomb all possible targets
[00:21:31] in Iran. This is a non-selective air
[00:21:35] campaign, in contrast
[00:21:37] to a selective air campaign.
[00:21:41] And the third strategy is an approach that
[00:21:44] I call a retaliatory
[00:21:48] campaign. This can be a type
[00:21:52] of air campaign, but on a very small scale, meaning one side
[00:21:55] attacks the other, the other side responds,
[00:21:58] and then the first side responds again. This is called
[00:22:02] retaliation, which is much more limited
[00:22:05] and smaller than the two types of
[00:22:08] air campaigns, selective and non-selective. This
[00:22:11] was the three strategies related to the air force.
[00:22:15] However, the strategy that relates
[00:22:19] to the navy is a naval
[00:22:22] blockade, meaning Iran is blockaded by
[00:22:26] the US Navy. And the last option
[00:22:29] is related to the army, which is practically a ground
[00:22:32] attack, meaning an attack on Iranian soil.
[00:22:36] America can try to seize one or two
[00:22:40] Iranian islands in the Persian Gulf,
[00:22:43] or attack the main Iranian territory, or
[00:22:47] focus on the areas that Iran controls around the Strait of Hormuz
[00:22:50] to reopen the Strait with ground forces.
[00:22:54] These were the five strategies that were available
[00:22:57] to America. Very well.
[00:23:01] Now let's move on to when and where America employed
[00:23:04] each of these strategies. Then we will
[00:23:07] analyze this approach and I will
[00:23:11] try to explain why these
[00:23:14] strategies could not
[00:23:17] achieve the goals that America pursued
[00:23:21] at the beginning of the war, meaning February 28th.
[00:23:24] To review the story,
[00:23:27] on February 28th, America starts air
[00:23:31] attacks that continue until April 8th,
[00:23:35] forming a 40-day war. It uses
[00:23:39] a selective air campaign. They start
[00:23:42] the work with a shock attack and,
[00:23:45] in fact, a shock and
[00:23:48] awe campaign,
[00:23:51] the goal of which was to assassinate the leaders
[00:23:54] and officials of the Iranian regime. In fact, America and Israel succeeded
[00:23:58] in this and assassinated the leaders and officials
[00:24:02] of Iran. All of this happened within the framework
[00:24:05] of that same selective air campaign.
[00:24:09] It is very important to know that America and
[00:24:13] Israel did not extensively attack military
[00:24:16] targets, power plants, bridges.
[00:24:20] In fact, civilian bridges or Iranian oil and gas
[00:24:24] facilities. So it's not a non-selective
[00:24:28] campaign, but rather a selective campaign that lasted
[00:24:31] 40 days. Eventually, a ceasefire
[00:24:34] is established. But the very important point
[00:24:38] is that just before the ceasefire on April 8th,
[00:24:42] Trump said that he would send Iran back
[00:24:45] to the Stone Age. On April 7th, meaning one day
[00:24:49] before tonight, an entire civilization will be destroyed,
[00:24:53] or tonight, an entire civilization
[00:24:55] goes.
[00:24:58] The thing is, during those 40 days of war,
[00:25:01] Trump was slowly thinking that maybe it would be better
[00:25:05] to move from a selective campaign to a non-selective
[00:25:09] campaign.
[00:25:11] On April 7th, he said this, but the next day, April 8th,
[00:25:14] he suddenly retreated, something we witnessed
[00:25:18] several times, and said
[00:25:24] it was time to start negotiations. You
[00:25:27] remember that J.D. Vance went to Islamabad to talk
[00:25:31] with the Iranians. On April 11th and
[00:25:34] 12th, negotiations to end the war
[00:25:38] came about. Remember that the ceasefire
[00:25:42] started on April 8th, the bombing,
[00:25:45] in fact, the 40-day bombing, ended. On April
[00:25:49] 11th and 12th, the Vice President negotiates
[00:25:52] with the Iranians, but it does not lead to
[00:25:56] a result, and the negotiations
[00:25:59] fail, although, in fact,
[00:26:03] the ceasefire itself is still in effect.
[00:26:06] This is a very important point. But
[00:26:10] what we do on April 13th, the next day, is that
[00:26:13] we decide to impose a naval blockade against
[00:26:17] Iran. From April 13th to
[00:26:20] June 17th, America blockades the Strait of Hormuz,
[00:26:23] which practically means a naval blockade
[00:26:26] of Iran. Then on June
[00:26:30] 17th, America signs that memorandum of
[00:26:33] understanding that I mentioned earlier, and as
[00:26:36] I said, this memorandum of understanding was practically a surrender
[00:26:39] document. This action proves that the blockade did not
[00:26:43] work. So on June
[00:26:46] 17th, we sign the memorandum of understanding with the Iranians,
[00:26:49] and it seems that we are ending the war.
[00:26:53] But in early July, America
[00:26:56] decides to violate the memorandum of understanding.
[00:26:59] Very important.
[00:27:06] During the 60-day negotiation period,
[00:27:09] Iran controls the Strait of Hormuz. So from
[00:27:12] June 17th, a 60-day period begins
[00:27:16] during which both sides must negotiate and resolve
[00:27:20] all issues. During these 60 days,
[00:27:23] the memorandum of understanding explicitly states that Iran has control
[00:27:26] over the Strait of Hormuz. But America
[00:27:30] decides in early July to violate
[00:27:32] this agreement and, in cooperation with Oman,
[00:27:36] create a channel for ships to pass through the Strait of Hormuz
[00:27:39] that is not under Iranian control,
[00:27:43] but rather in its own hands. Iranians say such
[00:27:46] an action is unacceptable and start targeting
[00:27:50] ships passing through that channel.
[00:27:53] Naturally, America retaliates, and then Iran
[00:27:57] responds again. America retaliates again. This
[00:28:00] becomes the same retaliatory campaign.
[00:28:04] So what happened? First, we had
[00:28:06] a 40-day selective air
[00:28:10] campaign. It ended.
[00:28:13] Then we went for a naval blockade. Now
[00:28:16] we have entered into retaliatory attacks.
[00:28:20] The retaliatory campaign
[00:28:23] can be said to have started on July 7th and seems to last
[00:28:27] until July 31st. The ceasefire is
[00:28:30] over, remember that.
[00:28:33] The ceasefire was from April 8th, and practically between Iran and America,
[00:28:37] Iran and Israel, and Arab countries with Iran, a ceasefire
[00:28:40] was in effect. This ceasefire lasted from April 8th to
[00:28:44] July 7th, which is the start of the retaliatory campaign.
[00:28:47] The retaliatory campaign
[00:28:50] lasted from July 7th to July 31st.
[00:28:54] In my opinion, until last Friday,
[00:28:57] during this period, Iranians and Americans
[00:29:01] almost more. Trump
[00:29:06] refer
[00:29:10] again begins to to a non-selective air
[00:29:14] campaign and again talks about returning Iranians
[00:29:18] to the Stone Age. On August 1st
[00:29:21] and 2nd, people thought that Trump might start
[00:29:25] this non-selective campaign, but
[00:29:28] in the end, on August 1st, he said
[00:29:31] he wouldn't do it and would return to negotiations.