IRINN — broadcast
20261102 160000 UTC
458 transcript segments
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[00:00:00] The streets are holy. This. Death to the
[00:00:02] hypocrites.
[00:00:05] Hypocrites. Death to the hypocrites.
[00:00:08] God bless all of you. God bless all of you. Now I want to invite
[00:00:12] you to watch these images.
[00:00:14] The images speak for themselves. I will
[00:00:18] not talk about them at all. I just ask you,
[00:00:22] dear boys and girls, dear guests, that we are all
[00:00:25] guests of our martyr tonight. Please pay
[00:00:29] attention to these images, and if your eyes
[00:00:33] fill with tears and your heart is transformed, do
[00:00:37] not deprive us of your good prayers. Ya Ali Madad. Please
[00:00:40] watch, kids. Hello.
[00:00:43] Hello. How are you?
[00:00:47] How are you? Thank God. Please
[00:00:51] sit down. On the occasion of Students'
[00:00:54] Day, we have guests.
[00:00:58] Invite them. Yes, they want to
[00:01:01] talk to you. You all know
[00:01:04] them. Should I tell them to come?
[00:01:07] Yes, kids, be respectful.
[00:01:11] Kids, hello. Hello.
[00:01:14] Hello, hello, hello. Are you good?
[00:01:17] Yes, they have energy in the morning. God bless them. Yes.
[00:01:20] God bless them. They had their head and feet stew. On the occasion of Students'
[00:01:24] Day, November 4th,
[00:01:26] we have a question for you.
[00:01:37] Read it. The most
[00:01:40] honest sentence to the
[00:01:43] Supreme Leader of
[00:01:46] the Revolution. Yes, who volunteers?
[00:01:49] Come here. You come. It's
[00:01:52] that the Leader of the Revolution should take
[00:01:55] revenge for our martyred leader from America and Israel
[00:01:59] as soon as possible. What a beautiful sentence. I will
[00:02:02] fight the enemies to the death for
[00:02:05] Iran.
[00:02:07] My sentence is that he should
[00:02:11] take revenge for these children
[00:02:14] whose blood was shed, 168 children. Who should take
[00:02:18] revenge? To whom do you say, Mr. Seyyed Mojtaba Khamenei, I just want to
[00:02:21] tell Mr. Seyyed Mojtaba, the destruction of Israel and America.
[00:02:25] Why? Because we have grudges against them. Now, maybe someone will see
[00:02:29] it and say.
[00:02:42] It's true that we are children, but we see these wars and these events that happen. What do you want to
[00:02:45] tell Mr. Mojtaba? Protect
[00:02:49] yourself.
[00:02:49] I promise Mr. Mojtaba that
[00:02:54] I will fight for my country until the
[00:02:58] end of my life. Why do you make this promise
[00:03:01] to him? Because we children must
[00:03:05] study. Mr. Khamenei himself said, I promise to study or
[00:03:09] become a scientist and with the years that we build, we can defeat America and Israel.
[00:03:13] Well done, become a scientist. What do you want to invent? For example,
[00:03:16] missiles, weapons of war. What good
[00:03:20] will it do us to destroy
[00:03:21] America and Israel?
[00:03:24] Mr. Hadi, you tell us. Sir, I only have
[00:03:28] one heartfelt wish, and that is for them to pray
[00:03:31] for us so that we are always under the shade of the Quran.
[00:03:35] The most
[00:03:38] honest sentence to the Supreme Leader of the Revolution. Well, you
[00:03:42] tell us, Alireza. We have made a covenant with you
[00:03:45] to remain loyal to this country and this revolution until the
[00:03:49] end, and even to be martyred for this revolution.
[00:03:52] Well, Mr. Mojtaba, what do you want to say?
[00:03:56] I love you very much. Do you love
[00:04:00] them, kids? Have you ever thought
[00:04:04] about writing a letter to our dear
[00:04:07] leader?
[00:04:09] Yes, yes. Who has thought
[00:04:12] about it?
[00:04:15] For example, have you thought about it yourself? We wrote it and
[00:04:18] mailed it. What did you write in the
[00:04:21] letter? We wrote to the leader that
[00:04:24] we love him very much. Did you write it yourself?
[00:04:28] Yes. Why did you write
[00:04:31] the letter? I
[00:04:35] felt that it would be great
[00:04:39] to have a way to communicate between me and Mr. Agha. Then I saw that, for example, you can't
[00:04:42] call, you can't send
[00:04:45] voice messages, you can't send photos, because they might not reach him. I saw
[00:04:49] that sending a letter is better. What was the result? I don't
[00:04:52] know. Now, you
[00:04:55] know he's very busy. So, did you
[00:04:59] have it for him to read? Yes, and you were also
[00:05:03] following up to see if your letter reached him or not?
[00:05:06] Yes, I was praying. What were you
[00:05:09] praying for? For it to reach him.
[00:05:14] Let's do
[00:05:14] something else.
[00:05:18] In the name of God, hello. Sir, I am Alireza
[00:05:22] Bakhshi. I am 10
[00:05:26] years old and I live in Tehran. Is that
[00:05:29] right? Yes, come
[00:05:31] on, read it. Give
[00:05:33] it to me, I'll hold it for you.
[00:05:36] Honestly, I don't know if my letter will reach you or
[00:05:40] not. I wish I could talk to you in person. Honestly,
[00:05:43] we are very
[00:05:47] grateful for your guidance. We are indebted
[00:05:49] to you. This money is also to thank
[00:05:53] you and to help the fighters of Islam. Your
[00:05:57] friends, your friends, Bakhshi, this
[00:06:00] color 23645.
[00:06:03] P.S. Happy birthday
[00:06:05] with research. Clap, kids.
[00:06:08] For.
[00:06:42] Don't say it until I bring the
[00:06:45] microphone. Keep your
[00:06:47] eyes closed.
[00:06:50] Yes, Alireza, start reading from here. No, no, open
[00:06:54] your eyes, I'll hold it. Read from here, I'll hold it for
[00:06:57] you, my dear. My dear friend, Mr. Ali.
[00:07:01] In the name of Allah, the Most Gracious, the Most Merciful. My dear friend, Mr. Alireza
[00:07:04] Bakhshi, peace, mercy, and blessings of God be upon
[00:07:08] you. Thank you for your
[00:07:11] kind attention. Of course. The birthday of this servant is in the month of Esfand.
[00:07:14] In return, I also present a gift,
[00:07:18] albeit humble, in return for your generosity. Please accept
[00:07:22] my greetings to your family members. Seyyed Mojtaba
[00:07:25] Khamenei, October 19, 2024. P.S. We have a lot of readability.
[00:07:48] Very
[00:07:49] auspicious.
[00:07:54] You made
[00:07:55] us cry.
[00:08:00] Alireza, did you see what happened?
[00:08:04] It reached
[00:08:05] Mr. Agha.
[00:08:09] He's crying tears of joy, kids.
[00:08:20] You said your prayer was that you
[00:08:22] would think.
[00:08:27] My dear, I didn't. Happy
[00:08:30] birthday. So, now what do
[00:08:34] you want to tell Mr. Agha? I love you very
[00:08:36] much. Thank you for
[00:08:39] answering my letter. Besides this, I also sent
[00:08:43] a gift for you, and it will be presented
[00:08:46] to you, God willing. Oh, my dear. A smile
[00:08:49] appeared. Well, kids,
[00:08:52] how are you? We're good. How are you?
[00:08:56] Why were you
[00:08:59] crying? I felt how much the leader cares
[00:09:03] about us and especially about children
[00:09:06] of our age, even though he was very busy, but when the letter
[00:09:09] reached him.
[00:09:19] And Mr. Agha, with all the work he had, he was
[00:09:23] busy, but he sat down and read Alireza's letter. Yes.
[00:09:26] Well, Mr. Alireza Khanan.
[00:09:30] Let's go see another great person
[00:09:34] together. Let's go see
[00:09:36] him. You've become Mr. Agha's friend.
[00:09:40] And your letter was also noticed by him. We should also
[00:09:44] be acknowledged. Let's go, I've come
[00:09:48] to a party to see him. Look, his friends are
[00:09:52] following him from there.
[00:09:57] Hello. Hello, how are you?
[00:09:59] How are you? Are you well, are you healthy?
[00:10:03] God willing. We were with the children today and some things
[00:10:06] happened. Alireza, tell
[00:10:09] your mother yourself what happened. Tell them what happened.
[00:10:12] First, I had given a letter
[00:10:16] to Mr. Agha.
[00:10:17] Well, Mr. Agha answered me.
[00:11:25] He wrote whatever was in his heart in the letter. They told me that I was indebted
[00:11:29] for this letter, but to those people who I thought would deliver the letter
[00:11:33] to Mr. Agha, I put the travel check with that
[00:11:36] letter in an envelope and took it to the place where I thought that well,
[00:11:39] we would send other gifts for the resistance front and the office
[00:11:43] and so on. I gave this to them too. They also said
[00:11:46] hello to you and said that Alireza, please convey
[00:11:49] his greetings to you. Thank
[00:11:52] you, sir. May God protect you, God willing. Mr. Agha's
[00:11:55] birthday is also in Esfand. Yes, we also thought it was in Shahrivar.
[00:11:59] You had given the gift earlier, right?
[00:12:03] Because in social media, they said that Mr. Agha's birthday is in Shahrivar. Yes, with
[00:12:06] his own blessed handwriting, you can see for yourselves.
[00:12:25] I invite Mr. Alireza Bakhshi, along with his dear
[00:12:47] mother, Ms. Gribanani, to come to the
[00:12:51] stage. Please send that beautiful and special Salawat.
[00:12:55] Oh God, bless Muhammad
[00:12:58] and the family of Muhammad
[00:13:02] and hasten
[00:13:03] his reappearance.
[00:13:11] Yes, we will continue the program, "At the Time of Iran," with you.
[00:13:14] We will continue to review the midterm
[00:13:17] elections of the United States of America. Mr. Hooshmand, you were mentioning a part that has
[00:13:21] been done. A supplementary explanation from the beginning.
[00:13:29] We explained the structure, and considering that the election
[00:13:32] day in America is always Tuesday, and it's a working
[00:13:36] day, that's why, according to the law, from
[00:13:39] about a month and a half in some states and in some states up to
[00:13:43] a month, early voting or absentee
[00:13:46] voting takes place, and people can either
[00:13:50] vote earlier than the scheduled time before
[00:13:54] election day, at the polling stations,
[00:13:57] or they can send their ballot by
[00:14:01] mail. And according to the
[00:14:04] statistics published so far, about 54 million people have
[00:14:08] participated in the elections, and usually, it's like this:
[00:14:12] until the day before election day, usually half of the voters
[00:14:15] participate, and the other half of the voters usually participate
[00:14:19] on election day itself. The election has been held.
[00:14:22] All
[00:14:25] if I'm not mistaken, 10-110 million are supposed to vote. This is an estimated
[00:14:29] turnout if it's like previous periods. But
[00:14:31] probably, based on our estimates, in the
[00:14:35] states that have voted so far, the turnout in
[00:14:39] this year's elections will likely be higher.
[00:14:42] Yes, well, that's why, Mr. Amin, let me ask you, Mr. Abbasi, that some
[00:14:46] people say that multiple factors
[00:14:49] no longer affect the elections. Part of it is that, hey, half of the people have already
[00:14:52] voted in America. Yes, exactly. Now, nearly 54 million have
[00:14:56] voted, and a large number have decided whom to vote for. A
[00:14:59] PEW survey in 2024 had found
[00:15:02] that 95% of Americans said that they basically make their decision
[00:15:06] about whom to vote for a week before the election. So, effectively, 5%
[00:15:10] are left who haven't decided which candidate to vote
[00:15:13] for, and effectively, the window to influence the American elections has closed, whether
[00:15:17] by Democrats or Republicans. Even this last-minute withdrawal of this candidate, for example,
[00:15:20] who suddenly withdrew, the rival of Al-Sayyid in the primary elections for
[00:15:24] Nafas Khan, basically because it was 24 hours before the election, it didn't
[00:15:28] really affect the electoral atmosphere of Michigan. And well,
[00:15:31] this 24 hours now, we actually have two more,
[00:15:35] the House of Representatives and the Senate. Yes, what is the situation
[00:15:39] of these two now in terms of predictions and
[00:15:42] election estimates for the House of Representatives? Almost all estimates say that the Democrats
[00:15:46] will win the elections. That is, even Fox News, which is a Republican media outlet, the estimate
[00:15:50] it published in recent days, for example, says at least 2019 seats
[00:15:54] that they need to gain a majority will be won by the Democrats. That is, out of
[00:15:57] 435, almost 219 of them are predicted by almost
[00:16:01] everyone to be in favor of the Democrats. Betting
[00:16:05] agencies, for example, the two famous ones, Carb.
[00:16:07] And then, for example, such betting agencies also now give 90-95%
[00:16:11] and Play Market 90-95% chance of victory to the
[00:16:14] Democrats. They give 5% chance, for example, now
[00:16:18] to the Republicans for victory. But the Senate
[00:16:21] is a very close race, with eight competitive states, from
[00:16:25] Kansas and, in a way, conservative states like Nebraska, to
[00:16:28] states like Maine, Texas, and Alaska.
[00:16:31] Well, there's a concern, a discussion
[00:16:35] about the Israeli elections as well. This was that
[00:16:38] all the polls, now that you're saying the polls
[00:16:42] say the House of Representatives is almost
[00:16:45] a question related to the Senate, which we will
[00:16:49] delve into now. You will certainly discuss it with statistics,
[00:16:52] charts, and images, but there was a discussion
[00:16:56] in the Israeli elections, which was that many
[00:17:00] or most of the polls that we saw in the Israeli elections
[00:17:03] were saying that, at least, they weren't saying.
[00:17:37] And a point about the polls themselves, for example,
[00:17:40] Netanyahu's coalition was at 51, now it's 54,
[00:17:44] which means a difference of 3. The biggest party,
[00:17:48] meaning Netanyahu, won the most votes in most
[00:17:51] polls. How many? 27, if
[00:17:55] yes, but the Yasha party
[00:17:58] in the polls got more votes.
[00:18:01] But if we look at the overall polls,
[00:18:04] it was almost correct in what way in Israel? Because
[00:18:08] they have a threshold issue. If you get less than one percent
[00:18:11] of the votes, you don't get in. If you remember, in that program we had,
[00:18:15] we were talking about that if they don't get enough votes, some of
[00:18:19] those votes are wasted, some go to others through a process whose
[00:18:22] explanation is beyond this. And because it was divided, it went to the Arabs.
[00:18:26] For example, according to the polls, if turnout reaches a certain
[00:18:30] percentage, which we also said in the program, Arabs can get 18 seats,
[00:18:33] and they got 19 seats. And this is the point: when polls
[00:18:37] are very close, sometimes the margin of error,
[00:18:41] the difference, reaches, for example, 3%, 4%,
[00:18:43] 5%. Good polls have a 4% margin of error.
[00:18:47] When it says 4% in America, it's about
[00:18:50] 39%, meaning that the poll itself,
[00:18:54] what it's predicting, is within its margin of error. So, basically,
[00:18:57] in these places where the races are very close,
[00:19:00] this error naturally occurs.
[00:19:04] So, let's get into all aspects. Now, Mr. Hooshmand,
[00:19:09] yes, the analyses that are done and the prediction
[00:19:12] models based on polls exist. Well, in
[00:19:16] America, we have various companies and institutions that
[00:19:20] conduct polls. The important point is that
[00:19:23] when looking at which institution conducted
[00:19:27] this poll and what its rating is, the higher their rating,
[00:19:30] the more credible it is. But usually, this margin
[00:19:33] of error that polls have is, for example, between
[00:19:37] 2 and 14 percent. This is when the election is
[00:19:40] close, meaning for example, if
[00:19:43] in the state of Maine, we see that in the average of polls, Mr.
[00:19:47] Troy Jackson is, for example, about 2 percent ahead.
[00:19:51] This shows that in
[00:19:54] yes, yes, he's competing with Susan Collins. This shows us that this is within
[00:19:58] the margin of error of the polls. When
[00:20:01] can we say that a candidate is leading and their victory can
[00:20:05] be serious? When, for example, the difference between two candidates
[00:20:09] is above 45, it becomes a safe margin.
[00:20:13] Now, for example, in states like Georgia and North Carolina, we know
[00:20:17] that Mr. Jon Ossoff in Georgia is more than
[00:20:20] 8% ahead, and Mr. Roy Cooper in North Carolina
[00:20:23] is more than 9%. We are sure that these two Democrats will definitely
[00:20:27] win in these two duels. Here, the polls show us this.
[00:20:30] If the difference is more than 45% in the polls, then
[00:20:34] we can say with a higher degree of confidence that the situation has gone
[00:20:38] in favor of one side. The probability is higher, it's not
[00:20:41] definite. One point is about
[00:20:44] the average of the polls. That is, now, for example, in some states, the average is still
[00:20:47] 3.5%, but well, some states.
[00:21:26] it makes a difference with what margin the Democrats win in the House of Representatives.
[00:21:29] Does it make a difference, for example, if they get 220 seats or
[00:21:33] 260 seats? If it's very close, similar to what the
[00:21:36] Republicans currently have, 218 to 217, approximately, then
[00:21:39] if, for example, two Republicans
[00:21:43] align with the Democrats, the Republicans cannot carry out their legislation.
[00:21:47] If it's very close, this risk exists for the party.
[00:21:50] But if the difference is significant, this risk decreases, and the political message
[00:21:54] that is naturally being conveyed is that well, an "blue tsunami" has
[00:21:57] come, meaning the Democrats have been able to achieve a decisive victory, and
[00:22:01] well, this is very important for Trump and his government. How is it now? Now, I want to wait one
[00:22:05] minute for the representatives, and then we'll get to the Senate. Regarding the representatives,
[00:22:08] can we also give an opinion on the margin of victory
[00:22:12] for the Democrats according to the predictions? Yes, look, for the Democrats to
[00:22:15] be able to win the majority of the House of Representatives, they need to win 218 seats.
[00:22:19] The higher this number goes, meaning
[00:22:22] if it's around 220
[00:22:26] or a little more than 220, then it's a close victory.
[00:22:29] But if a "blue wave" is to happen, it should be between
[00:22:33] 220 and 230. If it's above
[00:22:36] 240, then a "blue tsunami"
[00:22:39] has practically happened, similar to what happened in
[00:22:43] 2018 in the midterm elections of Trump's first administration, and
[00:22:46] the Democrats had 241 seats. Why? Because
[00:22:52] in some areas, we see that conservative
[00:22:56] Democrats sometimes disagree with some issues of the Democratic
[00:23:00] Party. They oppose it. In these cases,
[00:23:03] they vote with the Republicans. So, it's in the best interest of the Democratic
[00:23:07] Party for its peace of mind in passing legislation and advancing
[00:23:11] matters to be able to have a majority of over 230.
[00:23:14] CNN's current estimate is
[00:23:17] 232. Election expert
[00:23:41] we said that in the electoral districts, the Republicans intentionally
[00:23:44] drew the state maps in such a way that they would win more seats
[00:23:47] in some states. Well, this was met with resistance, and now
[00:23:51] the estimates are that the Democrats can win more than 230 seats.
[00:23:55] Now, there was a concern, Wahid, do you remember, that in the American elections, Trump
[00:23:59] might, for example, bring in, what do I know, the ICE police? The same thing that was being
[00:24:02] said about Netanyahu. Can you say now, in
[00:24:06] these, what do I know, 54 million people who
[00:24:09] voted, have there been any reports of this issue,
[00:24:12] that there were pressures or not? This is not very serious.
[00:24:16] We had a few reports that the government had tried
[00:24:20] to do these things, and even close some
[00:24:23] polling stations. But for example, in
[00:24:26] Alaska, a judge stopped the implementation of this order.
[00:24:30] That is, the government has made its effort, and it will
[00:24:33] make this effort on election day as well. But there are some legal obstacles
[00:24:37] that can prevent these. But this really shows
[00:24:41] itself when the election is very close. For example, in
[00:24:45] the state of Texas, where the governor of the state is also a Republican,
[00:24:48] they made this effort. For example, in areas
[00:24:51] and districts where there was competition and the Democrats
[00:24:55] had the majority, meaning the population of that city was composed
[00:24:59] of Democrats, they had closed about 90 polling
[00:25:02] stations. Then the Democrats are forced to leave their
[00:25:06] own county and go, for example, to the
[00:25:09] county seat, and since this distance is far,
[00:25:13] some people hope that, for example, they will not participate in the next
[00:25:16] election. That is, there are some actions of this kind that
[00:25:20] show themselves on election day. Sometimes we might not have had
[00:25:24] an example or a sign before, but the government
[00:25:27] tries to lower Democratic participation with these actions.
[00:25:31] But if a blue wave has happened,
[00:25:34] then these hundreds of thousands of votes no longer have an effect.
[00:25:38] This Alaska case that you mentioned is also very interesting. It will probably
[00:25:41] be one of the states that will cause a lot of controversy after the election,
[00:25:45] and Trump will probably complain. There are two candidates with the same
[00:25:49] name, Dan Sullivan. One is independent, one is
[00:25:52] Republican. Then the Democratic candidate is Ms. Mary Peltola. She is now ahead
[00:25:56] in the polls. But a large number of people go to the polls and mistakenly,
[00:25:59] for example, confuse these Sullivans. And Trump brought
[00:26:05] this independent candidate so that many people at the polls would make such a mistake. This will probably
[00:26:09] be one of the states that will cause controversy. You talked about the law regarding
[00:26:12] independents. What role do independents play in this game? How many
[00:26:16] are there? Are they significant or not? Look, when
[00:26:19] we say a senator, a politician in America
[00:26:23] is independent, they were usually previously a member of one of the parties,
[00:26:27] meaning they were either Republican or Democrat.
[00:26:30] They had differences on some issues.
[00:26:32] Or they see that their constituency and district's
[00:26:36] people have become inclined to another party. Here, they become, so to speak,
[00:26:39] independent and have a state of independence from
[00:26:43] that party. Now, in the Senate, we have two independent
[00:26:46] senators: Senator Bernie Sanders from Vermont and Senator
[00:26:50] Angus King. So, out of 100, we have two independents. The other 98
[00:26:54] are divided. These two are practically Democrats because
[00:26:58] all alliances are with Democrats, and everyone knows that these two are Democrats.
[00:27:01] So, there is not much credibility to the term "independent." A miracle
[00:27:05] might happen. Of course, it's really a miracle that in the state of Nebraska,
[00:27:08] the candidate who is currently leading in the polls is an independent candidate. Why? Because
[00:27:12] the Democratic candidate withdrew in favor of this Don Osborne, who is an independent in the state of Nebraska.
[00:27:16] Nebraska is a conservative and Republican state. There is a very high probability that
[00:27:20] Republicans will win. But if he wins, and he is a couple of percent
[00:27:23] behind, then this will become the first truly independent
[00:27:27] senator to win. Okay, let's go to the Senate
[00:27:31] and the swing states. Now, regarding the Senate, what
[00:27:34] do the polls say? What is the situation? Well, the states that are
[00:27:38] not decisive and are, after all, predictable and can be decided,
[00:27:42] and those states that are actually decisive and are swing states,
[00:27:45] so to speak. Yes. Our picture
[00:27:48] in the Senate is that out of the 35 seats that are up
[00:27:52] for election, we can practically say that we have 7
[00:27:55] important competitive seats where the difference and competition
[00:27:59] between the two candidates is very close.
[00:28:09] which are important and we should monitor them on election day to see
[00:28:13] which party will win these states and be able to gain the majority.
[00:28:17] We also had the two states of Georgia and North Carolina,
[00:28:20] but the Democrats have distanced themselves so much that they are practically
[00:28:24] not considered competitive states. The state of Kansas has also recently
[00:28:28] been added to these competitive states because
[00:28:31] the gap that the Democratic candidate there, Mr.
[00:28:35] Adam Hamilton, has opened up against the current senator of this state, Mr. Roger Marshall,
[00:28:39] has managed to get 2.5% ahead in the average of polls.
[00:28:43] The discussion about polls shows itself here.
[00:28:46] In the state of Kansas, we had a Washington Post poll
[00:28:50] that showed Mr. Hamilton 10% ahead in this state.
[00:28:53] The CNN poll was 3%. This shows us that the
[00:28:57] CNN poll is more accurate. That 3% is within the margin
[00:29:01] of error of the polls, but 10% is really
[00:29:04] unexpected. That is, if the Democrats are really 10% ahead
[00:29:07] in a conservative and Republican state like Kansas,
[00:29:11] it means that they are in a very good situation
[00:29:14] and should even get, for example, 54 or 55 seats.
[00:29:17] But probably the Washington Post poll
[00:29:20] has a high margin of error,
[00:29:24] and again, in the estimate and average
[00:29:27] of polls, the Democrat is currently ahead, but because it's 2.5%,
[00:29:31] there is a possibility that Republicans will win Kansas. This
[00:29:35] is the total of competitive Senate states. Each state has two
[00:29:38] Senate representatives, right? It has senators. According to its population,
[00:29:42] it has a number of representatives in the House of Representatives. The total number of representatives is 435.
[00:29:46] Senators are 50 states, each with two, exactly 100. This is another
[00:29:50] state regardless of the state's population, it has two Senate
[00:29:53] seats to send to the thing.
[00:29:56] And I want to say it this
[00:29:59] way, for example, it's possible that one Democrat goes and one
[00:30:03] Republican goes from the state, two of them like this. Well, in this
[00:30:06] year's elections, we don't have any state that has
[00:30:10] two simultaneous elections this year. These are their
[00:30:13] midterm elections. Yes, but we do have states where, yes, those
[00:30:17] states that have close competitions are usually swing states.
[00:30:21] They usually have both a Democratic and a Republican senator. For example,
[00:30:24] the state of Pennsylvania currently has one Democratic senator
[00:30:28] and one Republican senator. Well, so if I understood correctly, because now out of 100,
[00:30:32] 35 Senate seats are now up for election,
[00:30:36] and 6 states are swing states, then 12 out of 35 are still
[00:30:40] undecided. Am I right? These 12 out of 35 are decisive. Almost 10-11
[00:30:43] of these 35, we can say that their situation is not clear. They
[00:30:47] call it a toss-up in America. A toss-up is like
[00:30:50] flipping a coin, heads or tails. Meaning it's so fifty-fifty,
[00:30:53] the polls are so close that you can't say whether the Republican candidate
[00:30:57] or the Democrat will win. Now, almost 10-11 states are like this.