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20261012 153000 UTC
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[00:00:00] This includes not only the attacking forces but everything that
[00:00:04] supports, maintains, or controls those
[00:00:06] forces.
[00:00:09] The European Union has approved the largest and latest list of sanctioned Russian
[00:00:12] companies and individuals, with 1500 names on it.
[00:00:16] The sanctions list, which is related
[00:00:19] to the Russian military industry, as
[00:00:23] well as to fictitious Russian elections in the occupied Ukrainian
[00:00:26] territories.
[00:00:30] Severe floods struck again, overflowing rivers
[00:00:33] swept away homes and bridges, and damaged part of a hydroelectric power plant.
[00:00:48] The NATO force commander announced that if necessary, they would not only
[00:00:51] fight on Russian territory but also destroy its command
[00:00:55] and control. General Alexus Grinkevičius did not mention
[00:00:58] Russia once. But the long-prepared speech was intended
[00:01:02] to signal its exact alliance position, that NATO
[00:01:05] does not intend to seek a strategic Russian defeat, but only to defend
[00:01:09] its allies. The General, who also commands American forces in Europe,
[00:01:13] America, well, stated that he does not see an immediate and inevitable
[00:01:16] conflict, but he would make any enemy attack
[00:01:20] meaningless.
[00:01:22] So that a NATO-Russia war does not break out due to miscalculation. This
[00:01:25] speech, long prepared and carefully coordinated within the alliance, is intended not
[00:01:29] so much for an audience in Warsaw as for everyone in the Kremlin.
[00:01:33] The NATO force commander does not name a plan, he says he has no plans to fight
[00:01:36] Russia, but he has a theory
[00:01:39] only becomes even more emboldened, he understands that of how the alliance will make the attack completely meaningless.
[00:01:43] My theory of victory is simple: we will block the initial
[00:01:46] attack. If the attack continues, we will stop it and prevent
[00:01:50] the enemy from moving forward, and if necessary, we will break his forces
[00:01:54] and the system of war operations lined up against
[00:01:57] us. Western intelligence warns that Russia,
[00:02:00] currently incapable of a large-scale war, could seize a small area of NATO
[00:02:03] and expect the alliance to be reluctant to retaliate, but the force commander
[00:02:07] insists he will not allow even the slightest attempt. When Moscow
[00:02:10] justifies its nuclear threats to NATO with the Estonian doctrine
[00:02:14] of fighting on Russian territory, Grinkevičius himself sends a message
[00:02:17] that, if necessary, he would even instruct the command. If
[00:02:20] the enemy decides to continue the attack and deploy
[00:02:23] reserves, we would break the very system
[00:02:26] of warfare directed against us. This includes not only attacking.
[00:02:37] "He hopes to never order it, but the only important thing is that
[00:02:41] the enemy's conclusion is that today is not that day.
[00:02:45] In my assessment, the conflict is neither delayed nor
[00:02:48] inevitable, it is not Senate is leading,
[00:02:51] conflict is helped by the fact that we have clearly stated our
[00:02:54] defensive intentions and maintain open lines of communication
[00:02:58] for misunderstandings to be resolved and transparency
[00:03:01] to be promoted, but deterring conflict also requires preparedness
[00:03:05] for war, and preparedness requires planning
[00:03:08] not only for what is likely, but also for what is
[00:03:11] possible. The General, who also commands all
[00:03:14] American forces in Europe, denies the old Kremlin thesis
[00:03:17] that his wars sought a strategic defeat for Russia. According to him,
[00:03:21] there are no plans, intentions, or ambitions to attack. The alliance
[00:03:24] will defend its allies. In addition, NATO is ready to respond to
[00:03:28] every step of escalation. Even when the US
[00:03:31] diplomacy chief warned last week that only Russia can
[00:03:35] dangerously escalate. This is very dangerous in the context of the Russia-Ukraine
[00:03:39] war, as escalation can turn into a campaign
[00:03:42] of sabotage in neighboring countries that
[00:03:45] are NATO members. The Polish Prime Minister, who speaks most loudly about possible Russian escalation,
[00:03:49] says it is not because he seeks conflict, but to stop Russia from seeking
[00:03:53] domination.
[00:03:55] In
[00:03:57] Poland, with our history, geography, and common
[00:04:00] sense, nobody, absolutely nobody, wants escalation
[00:04:04] and war, we all dream of peace,
[00:04:07] the path to that leads not through weakness, the path to that leads
[00:04:11] through stopping the aggressor by all available means and
[00:04:14] forces. When the Ukrainian president stated at the Warsaw
[00:04:18] forum that after the strikes on Yandex data centers, it suddenly
[00:04:22] became easier to breathe on social networks. The Lithuanian
[00:04:25] Prime Minister proposes a concrete way to stop the aggressor.
[00:04:29] We should ask Mr. Zelensky to
[00:04:32] attack more data centers in Russia, that could
[00:04:36] Berlin and Paris are so far only calling for tougher
[00:04:38] sanctions. Russia will negotiate in good faith only
[00:04:42] under pressure, which is why we maintain our sanctions
[00:04:44] on Russia. German intelligence today stated that the goal of hybrid warfare
[00:04:48] is a new map of Europe and a new role for Russia
[00:04:51] in Europe.
[00:04:54] The goal of the shadow war being fought now far surpasses anything
[00:04:57] we saw during the Cold War. It is clear. Its goal, ultimately,
[00:05:01] is to destabilize us, to destabilize us to the core,
[00:05:04] let's put it this way, the goal is not to defeat us in war, but to defeat us politically and
[00:05:08] socially. When today even Czech intelligence
[00:05:11] warned that... it is leaning towards more dangerous operations within
[00:05:14] NATO. The alliance's force commander says allies must unanimously
[00:05:18] tell Russia where the fatal line is. It is important
[00:05:22] that allies continue to consult, think about how
[00:05:25] to respond, and ensure that our message to Russia is clear
[00:05:28] and concise, where our red
[00:05:31] lines are. He says there are no things that keep him awake,
[00:05:34] it's his job to keep others from sleeping
[00:05:37] peacefully.
[00:05:40] Less than a month before the midterm elections, Donald Trump repeats that
[00:05:44] in the agreement on Russian diesel, what matters most to him are American
[00:05:48] farmers and truck drivers, but polls show that voters tend
[00:05:51] to directly blame the president's policies for the rising cost
[00:05:55] of living. We are discussing this and other topics with our correspondent in Washington,
[00:05:58] Augustinas Šemelis. Hello Augustinas, I want to
[00:06:01] ask you, we heard that a few, but only a few
[00:06:04] Republicans publicly say the president is wrong, the president may
[00:06:08] even be breaking the law. Why only a few?
[00:06:14] "Hello Guoda, I greet you from the White House, where we await President
[00:06:18] Donald Trump's latest statements, and speaking of Republican criticism
[00:06:21] of Donald Trump's diesel deal with Vladimir Putin, yes,
[00:06:25] you are absolutely right, there are only a few of those Republicans,
[00:06:28] only a few have dared to publicly criticize Donald
[00:06:31] Trump, not publicly, Donald Trump is criticized
[00:06:34] much more often among Republicans, but here it is also very
[00:06:38] important what argument those critics of Donald Trump
[00:06:41] use. It is very important that they
[00:06:44] use not some value argument, which
[00:06:48] would be very easy for this administration and the White House to dismiss, but they use a very
[00:06:52] concrete legal argument, so yesterday the Senate Foreign Affairs
[00:06:55] Committee,
[00:06:58] both Democrats and Republicans, issued a statement in which they very
[00:07:01] simply call Donald Trump's agreement on Russian
[00:07:05] diesel simply illegal, and they call it illegal because
[00:07:09] in the spring of 2022, after a full-scale
[00:07:13] Russian invasion of Ukraine, Congress passed a law
[00:07:16] that explicitly prohibited the United States
[00:07:20] from importing any Russian energy, and that law leaves
[00:07:24] only one exception: if the president wanted to stop such a ban
[00:07:27] and still wanted to start importing Russian
[00:07:31] energy into the United States, then the president must submit
[00:07:35] an official certificate to Congress, in which the president
[00:07:39] determines that Russia has ended
[00:07:42] its aggression against Ukraine and the war is over on terms
[00:07:46] acceptable to Ukraine. In that certificate
[00:07:49] to Congress, the president must also state that
[00:07:52] Ukraine, that Russia no longer poses any
[00:07:55] threat to Ukraine's independence and no longer threatens NATO.
[00:07:58] Obviously, these conditions are not met, and even if they
[00:08:02] were met, after such a certificate was submitted,
[00:08:06] it would still be necessary to wait 90 days until
[00:08:10] the ban on Russian energy imports
[00:08:13] could be lifted. It is obvious that these conditions are not
[00:08:15] met, the argument that is on the White
[00:08:19] House's side, their lawyers can try to argue that
[00:08:23] the Treasury's announced weekend
[00:08:26] exemption for Russian diesel until
[00:08:29] April takes precedence over this
[00:08:32] law, all these legal ambiguities
[00:08:35] can be resolved by another Republican member of the House
[00:08:39] of Representatives, Congressman Brayan Fitzpatrick, he promised
[00:08:42] another bill that would completely, without any
[00:08:46] legal ambiguities, once again prohibit any
[00:08:49] import of Russian energy into the United
[00:08:53] States. Brian Fitzpatrick, a Republican congressman, promises that such
[00:08:56] a bill would be passed by an overwhelming
[00:08:59] majority in the House of Representatives. Donald Trump, by the way, could
[00:09:03] veto such a bill. Well, generally, we are now awaiting
[00:09:06] Donald Trump's latest statements here in the White House. In a few hours, he should leave the White
[00:09:10] House. and will have the opportunity to speak
[00:09:13] to the cameras again, and it will also be very interesting to hear
[00:09:17] what Donald Trump will say about his announcement regarding those so-called
[00:09:21] energy truces in Ukraine,
[00:09:23] Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has already announced that Russia is not abiding
[00:09:27] by those truces, after Donald Trump's announcement attacked
[00:09:30] a power plant in Kharkiv, and Axios reported over the weekend
[00:09:34] that Donald Trump's interpretation of those truces is simply that
[00:09:37] those truces are an energy
[00:09:41] oil refinery for an oil refinery,
[00:09:45] Ukraine would commit not to attack
[00:09:48] Russian oil refineries if Russia
[00:09:51] committed to doing the same, but the obvious problem here is that
[00:09:55] Russia has a huge network of oil refineries, and
[00:09:58] Ukraine does not have a single operational
[00:10:02] oil refinery at the moment, so it is simply very difficult
[00:10:05] to imagine what Ukraine could gain from such an agreement, Guoda.
[00:10:09] Augustinas, this move by Trump and this agreement is seen as
[00:10:12] pre-election, as truly aimed at the domestic audience and the domestic
[00:10:16] market. On the other hand, the latest polls show that
[00:10:19] residents see that the cost of living is rising and directly attribute
[00:10:23] this to Donald Trump's policies. What are the moods of Republicans and
[00:10:27] the polls for them before the November third
[00:10:30] elections?
[00:10:33] Indeed, this is a huge problem for Donald Trump and the main motivation
[00:10:37] for Donald Trump, why Donald Trump is now looking for those additional
[00:10:40] diesel sources, your mentioned polls show that even
[00:10:44] 78% of United States voters currently
[00:10:47] blame the White House for prices rising
[00:10:51] faster than residents' incomes, and for Donald Trump, well, a very
[00:10:55] disturbing statistic should be that
[00:10:58] 57% of Republican voters say that currently
[00:11:02] prices in the United States are rising faster than
[00:11:05] incomes, and the situation before the congressional elections is
[00:11:09] such that even in such states as
[00:11:12] Iowa, where President Donald Trump's voters dominate,
[00:11:16] where Democrats have not won since Barack Obama's time,
[00:11:19] there Donald Trump's voters, farmers, suffer from
[00:11:22] high diesel prices, and currently in polls in such
[00:11:25] Republican states as Iowa, even the Democratic
[00:11:29] candidate for
[00:11:32] Trump is now resorting to such measures, looking for additional diesel
[00:11:36] sources, but the obvious problem is that the diesel promised by Donald
[00:11:40] Trump from Russia, the first batch
[00:11:43] of 3,000 tons of diesel, later half a million, half a million tons
[00:11:47] of diesel, these are small quantities, these are not such quantities
[00:11:51] that can reduce diesel prices in the United States.
[00:11:55] And Donald Trump, in exchange for that small quantity of diesel, gives Russia
[00:11:59] something potentially much larger, which is the easing of United States sanctions.
[00:12:03] Thank you, Augustinas Šemelis, live from
[00:12:06] Washington, we leave you to await new statements from Donald Trump, and we
[00:12:10] continue the topic with diplomat Viktoras Sidabraitis in the studio and
[00:12:13] public relations expert and business consultant Arūnas Pemkus. Hello. Hello.
[00:12:17] Mr. Pemkus, from previous conversations you have said many times:
[00:12:21] "I do not necessarily agree with Trump's actions, his
[00:12:23] statements." but you would see their logic,
[00:12:27] do you see the logic of this Russian
[00:12:30] diesel this time as well? Yes, this is a typical
[00:12:34] Trump move, to create chaos
[00:12:38] in communication, in order
[00:12:41] to achieve some other goal, my colleague, friend
[00:12:45] Viktor, who will probably
[00:12:49] disagree with my opinion,
[00:12:51] will say that everything should be read
[00:12:56] as it is said, I, on the contrary, say
[00:12:59] that something is hidden behind all
[00:13:02] that chaos, but not necessarily good hidden, not necessarily good
[00:13:06] for Ukraine and so on, it seems that generally Ukrainians have
[00:13:09] said both unofficially and officially
[00:13:13] that if there were some agreement
[00:13:17] that the Russians would no longer bomb energy
[00:13:21] installations, energy
[00:13:25] facilities, then Ukrainians would do
[00:13:28] the same, so this small step,
[00:13:32] in fact, it is a small step, here the media has inflated
[00:13:35] this bubble endlessly, that small
[00:13:38] step should have been like a litmus
[00:13:42] test for the Russians, whether they would really pass that
[00:13:45] test. On the same day when
[00:13:49] it was announced that Americans would somewhat
[00:13:52] soften sanctions, a power plant in
[00:13:56] Kharkiv was hit by missiles, so
[00:14:00] the question is whether the Russians
[00:14:03] will abide by that verbal,
[00:14:06] let's say, currently verbal agreement, but it's not the first time
[00:14:10] they have not kept Donald Trump's agreements. Mr. Sidabras,
[00:14:13] how do you assess, if we look from within, that
[00:14:17] this is a decision for the domestic market, this is for Americans, this is for voters
[00:14:20] they are still trying to retain, do you see that it can be
[00:14:24] effective? In my opinion, this is
[00:14:27] an expression of Trump's desperation,
[00:14:30] he is very, very unpopular, according to all polls,
[00:14:34] he is supported by perhaps 30% of voters, while
[00:14:38] two-thirds assess his presidency
[00:14:41] as bad or even, well, as a bad
[00:14:45] presidency. Diesel
[00:14:49] prices in America are now over six dollars a
[00:14:52] gallon, which is about four liters. They are almost
[00:14:56] seven dollars and they have doubled since last October,
[00:15:00] yes, yes, the cost
[00:15:03] of living in America is high and
[00:15:06] rising, the war in Iran is very unpopular, and
[00:15:10] I think Trump is trying, I agree that this
[00:15:13] is both an expression of chaos and an expression
[00:15:16] of desperation, mhm, Mr. Pemkus,
[00:15:19] the Republican position, in your opinion, we talked with Augustinas,
[00:15:23] only a few, only isolated ones. On the other hand, what also seems
[00:15:26] to be shown by polls and trends is that
[00:15:30] voters see that Republicans would support
[00:15:33] Trump's decisions on Iran, on domestic policy,
[00:15:37] for example. on reducing federal funds for healthcare, which also costs them dearly,
[00:15:40] isn't this one of the last attempts,
[00:15:44] perhaps, for Republicans before November to resist
[00:15:47] a little more sharply, perhaps to show a difference from
[00:15:51] the president? Well, there are several layers
[00:15:53] through which such a question should be answered,
[00:15:57] it is quite complex, if we are talking only about
[00:16:00] the elections, that is all Republican
[00:16:03] representatives and a third of the senators who are running.
[00:16:07] who will be elected on November third, some
[00:16:11] are actually trying to distance themselves from
[00:16:14] Trump in order to maintain their position, the Republican
[00:16:18] position in their state, similarly
[00:16:22] from the other side, if looking from a diplomatic point, from a negotiating point
[00:16:25] of view, the
[00:16:28] statement of several Republican senators
[00:16:31] and their so-called disagreement with Trump
[00:16:34] unties Trump's hand somewhat.
[00:16:38] There is a saying, if you want
[00:16:41] a donkey to move forward, you can either use a stick or
[00:16:44] a carrot, so at the same time Trump cannot
[00:16:48] move Russia forward, so
[00:16:51] in this way senators say,
[00:16:54] we will introduce even stricter
[00:16:56] laws, and Trump, meanwhile, can
[00:17:00] go to Putin and say, listen, I can't do anything,
[00:17:04] Congress is cornering me, well, somewhere,
[00:17:07] we need to find a common language, because otherwise
[00:17:11] it will be even worse. And the third thing is
[00:17:14] that, as I mentioned earlier, such a small
[00:17:17] step in a way corners
[00:17:21] Putin, well, let's remember when yesterday
[00:17:24] or the day before yesterday
[00:17:27] the Deputy Prime Minister of Poland, Sikorski, perhaps
[00:17:31] somewhat jokingly, said, I wonder if the Russians will even
[00:17:35] have that much.
[00:17:46] Is it true or is this not a verbal push into a corner? Mr. Sidabras,
[00:17:49] how would you assess the possibility of institutionally stopping
[00:17:53] and resisting Donald Trump in the United States, or
[00:17:57] in a certain sense, are not cornered,
[00:18:00] in a way, both politicians and institutions in the United
[00:18:03] States. Well, according to all polls, Democrats have.
[00:18:07] should win the House and there is a very good
[00:18:10] chance that they can win the Senate, and here
[00:18:14] Trump is very afraid of this, because
[00:18:17] he could be impeached again, there will be corruption investigations
[00:18:21] into his corruption, into his family's corruption and
[00:18:24] into the corruption of the Republican
[00:18:27] Party, which is now his party. I want to ask both of you very briefly,
[00:18:31] speaking internationally, there are
[00:18:35] indications that Trump is angry, and indeed some political scientists
[00:18:38] say we are returning to those times when Ukraine is pressured and
[00:18:41] Ukraine is accused, and Ukraine has to make
[00:18:45] concessions. Mr. Pemkus, would you agree that
[00:18:48] well, Zelensky's rhetoric is indeed now again somewhat
[00:18:52] ungrateful, too harsh, and some even say
[00:18:55] interfering in American internal elections? I
[00:18:58] don't look at what the media, with all due
[00:19:01] respect, says about those negotiations. I believe that from the very
[00:19:05] beginning, the Ukrainian
[00:19:09] government coordinated its steps with Trump, I have said this many
[00:19:12] times, and even in this case
[00:19:16] Ukrainians have stated that regarding a truce, we would agree
[00:19:20] to have sanctions reduced. It is necessary
[00:19:23] to remember that
[00:19:25] that message also goes to Europe,
[00:19:29] why to Europe? That amount, if you calculate
[00:19:33] how much Trump supposedly agrees
[00:19:36] with Putin
[00:19:38] to buy that diesel fuel,
[00:19:42] is two-thirds of the amount
[00:19:44] that Europe spent buying
[00:19:48] liquefied natural gas, ordinary natural gas from the same
[00:19:51] Russia, so if there are sanctions,
[00:19:55] then what Trump implicitly says is, well, dear
[00:19:58] Europeans, please, if
[00:20:01] we impose sanctions, then you also abide by them, but he
[00:20:05] said, well, all of America said, with the Lindsey Graham
[00:20:09] sanctions package, that we will punish
[00:20:11] buyers of Russian energy, but we ourselves are now
[00:20:15] buying, but going back to that relationship between Zelensky and
[00:20:19] Trump, would you really see that, well, perhaps
[00:20:22] the line has been crossed by Volodymyr Zelensky and
[00:20:26] when I say, some say that this is already tending to interfere in internal
[00:20:30] elections? Yes, I would agree, when
[00:20:33] Zelensky criticized Trump on Saturday, Trump said that
[00:20:37] Ukrainians must elect a new president. Also,
[00:20:41] when the truce, the energy truce was announced
[00:20:44] on Sunday, there are two months
[00:20:47] of aid with good. As
[00:20:51] the president himself has said, Putin is my friend, Canadians
[00:20:55] are nasty, so after two, after a few hours, after the truce
[00:20:58] was announced, the Russians attacked,
[00:21:01] as we discussed, the Kharkiv
[00:21:04] power plant, so I think
[00:21:08] Zelensky knows what he is doing. Thank you very, very
[00:21:11] much for your insights, Arūnas Pemkus and Viktoras Sidabras, who were pondering in Valando,
[00:21:14] and earlier, the head of research at the Defense and Security Center in Tallinn, Tomas
[00:21:18] Jarmalavičius, believes that such an agreement between Washington and Moscow seriously
[00:21:22] harms allied relations and
[00:21:24] trust. With this deal,
[00:21:28] an attempt is being made, perhaps,
[00:21:30] to start a certain renewal or warming
[00:21:34] of economic relations, because, well, the main, the main
[00:21:37] goal of the administration after all is to do business with
[00:21:41] Russia, and the war
[00:21:44] between Ukraine and Russia is simply an obstacle to that, and
[00:21:48] if it is necessary to press the weaker side, at least as
[00:21:51] they imagine it, they will do it.
[00:21:55] Diplomatically, politically, this undoubtedly sends a very bad
[00:21:59] signal, that after all
[00:22:03] is circling back, returning to the beginning of the 25-year
[00:22:07] period and the autumn of the 25-year
[00:22:10] period, when there was again
[00:22:14] the main pressure exerted in the direction
[00:22:17] of Ukraine, and every such signal
[00:22:20] has consequences not only for Russia's
[00:22:24] behavior, for Russia, the Russian regime, Putin
[00:22:29] the United States is the weak link, and
[00:22:33] that pursuit of business, pursuit of profit is a weak
[00:22:37] point through which one can put pressure with various promises,
[00:22:40] which ultimately will probably not be fulfilled, but
[00:22:44] every such, every such episode also
[00:22:48] has the potential, and it used to be that it causes
[00:22:51] a crisis in transatlantic relations
[00:22:54] between Europeans and Americans, so I think that in diplomatic and political
[00:22:58] terms, this is indeed a very damaging step, and
[00:23:01] now a lot depends on how
[00:23:05] Ukraine will behave, the midterm elections at the beginning of November,
[00:23:09] well, and the political situation in which
[00:23:12] Donald Trump and the administration, the Republican Party, are also one of
[00:23:15] the main factors in taking these
[00:23:18] steps. Mr. Ermalavičius, as you mentioned, pressure on Ukraine reminiscent
[00:23:22] of the 25th, and indeed in March of 2025,
[00:23:26] the promise to stop sharing intelligence with
[00:23:30] Ukraine was implemented, these threats are being returned to, has
[00:23:34] the situation changed at all in those practically a year and a half, and
[00:23:37] is the world, in this case Ukraine, less dependent on such information
[00:23:41] from Americans?
[00:23:44] A little less, both Europeans and Ukraine itself
[00:23:47] understood that
[00:23:50] vulnerability and took steps to reduce
[00:23:53] such dependence, but it still has not achieved
[00:23:57] 100% success, and
[00:24:00] Ukraine is still quite seriously dependent on
[00:24:04] satellite intelligence information, here European capabilities
[00:24:07] are significantly weaker than American ones,
[00:24:10] perhaps Europe has perhaps a quarter of what
[00:24:14] the United States can offer, Americans
[00:24:17] also, their support is essential.
[00:24:20] In the early warning
[00:24:23] system for Russian missile strikes,
[00:24:27] and here again it is also people's lives
[00:24:31] preserving capacity, because
[00:24:34] the public can be warned in a timely manner about
[00:24:38] a new attack
[00:24:41] that has started finally for the protection of critical infrastructure
[00:24:45] and also
[00:24:48] that intelligence" of America is very
[00:24:51] important when it comes to carrying out strikes
[00:24:54] that are, let's say, time-sensitive,
[00:24:58] when targets can change positions,
[00:25:01] when the situation is truly dynamic,
[00:25:05] and here American intelligence again has an advantage
[00:25:08] and greater capabilities than European, but that is
[00:25:12] again and not only not only technical, technical
[00:25:16] let's say aspect, but also political intelligence.
[00:25:20] information, the exchange of it is probably one of the main
[00:25:23] indicators of mutual trust, it is one of the most sensitive
[00:25:27] information, one of the most important currencies
[00:25:30] in international relations, and here the
[00:25:33] decrease in information exchange would indeed
[00:25:37] indicate that the bilateral relations have really
[00:25:39] deteriorated. Mr. Hermalavičius, briefly, do you see
[00:25:43] such cognitive dissonance when Donald Trump tries to renew
[00:25:47] economic relations with Russia, and on the other hand, the supreme commander
[00:25:51] of American forces in Europe, General Grinkevicius, today very
[00:25:54] clearly warned Russia that NATO
[00:25:57] shows the inconsistency of American would regret it if
[00:26:01] they tried to test that unity.
[00:26:04] "Well, sometimes it really seems that there are some
[00:26:07] two Americas, one such
[00:26:10] traditional
[00:26:14] bureaucratic, administrative, military apparatus, intelligence
[00:26:17] apparatus, here we can include the head of the central intelligence
[00:26:21] agency and so on, where
[00:26:25] well, let's say the threat assessment is
[00:26:28] adequate and the understanding of what needs
[00:26:31] to be done is also..." adequate, where allies
[00:26:34] are respected, where the importance of allies
[00:26:38] is understood both for America's power and and freedom of action,
[00:26:41] well, and then there's that other America of Trump, where
[00:26:45] business,
[00:26:47] money,
[00:26:49] the enrichment of families
[00:26:51] or related technology oligarchs,
[00:26:54] political, ideological nuances are
[00:26:58] significantly more important, well, and those two Americas sometimes
[00:27:01] do not really create an impression
[00:27:04] of, let's say, integrity, so I think that this
[00:27:08] only strengthens a certain uncertainty or
[00:27:10] a
[00:27:13] lack of knowledge of how one would truly act during
[00:27:16] a crisis, which instincts, which America in this
[00:27:20] dynamic would, let's say, be superior and
[00:27:24] would make the main
[00:27:25] decisions.
[00:27:28] As Donald Trump announced, Putin agreed to immediate American and.
[00:27:36] That is approximately half the amount consumed daily in the United States.
[00:27:40] In November, the Russians promised another half a million tons from Trump,
[00:27:43] and then another million. Until 2025,
[00:27:47] Russia exported an average of about
[00:27:50] 35 million tons of diesel per month by sea. If Ukrainian
[00:27:54] attacks on oil refineries continue at similar
[00:27:57] rates as now,
[00:27:59] exports of such magnitude
[00:28:01] will become impossible without harming the Russian market.
[00:28:05] Alexander Koliandr, Europe Director of political risk consulting firm
[00:28:08] Eurasia Group, told the Financial Times that if Russia
[00:28:12] transported 3 million tons per month, exporters would earn
[00:28:16] about 1.2 billion dollars more in six months
[00:28:19] than if the SMI restrictions were in force. And the
[00:28:22] federal budget, from which the war is financed, would receive
[00:28:26] only up to 100 million dollars in additional
[00:28:28] revenue.
[00:28:32] According to Ukrainian media, the first tanker carrying diesel has already
[00:28:36] reached the eastern coast of the United States today. The international
[00:28:40] shipping route portal confirms that the tanker Minerva
[00:28:43] Zen departed from St. Petersburg on September 22. And
[00:28:47] yesterday evening, American time, it reached the port of Wilmington
[00:28:51] in North Carolina. Žygimantas Mauricas, chief economist at Luminor Bank,
[00:28:54] says that it seems the agreement reached some time ago
[00:28:57] policy, but
[00:29:01] it will not bring significant financial relief to American
[00:29:04] consumers. Well, this really demonstrates
[00:29:07] a very specific policy of the United States of America, because
[00:29:11] one day it says that we are the most powerful, we have the most
[00:29:15] of our own energy resources, we will supply the whole world
[00:29:18] with gas, oil, oil
[00:29:21] products, then the next day it is said that we will impose
[00:29:25] sanctions and huge tariffs on all other countries that buy
[00:29:28] from Russia, and at the same time, it seems that...
[00:29:32] "it was agreed in advance, possibly with Russia
[00:29:36] regarding the import of certain oil products into the United States of America,
[00:29:39] the quantity of which will essentially change nothing, because
[00:29:43] that quantity is very small, the United States of America will consume it in less than
[00:29:47] one day, and essentially the market will not
[00:29:51] move at all, it even moved in the opposite
[00:29:54] direction today, both oil and diesel became more expensive, so
[00:29:57] it's a very strange decision,
[00:30:00] economically, let's say, difficult to explain, politically, as
[00:30:04] I understand, also difficult to explain, so perhaps there are some
[00:30:08] strange things happening after the climb,
[00:30:11] let's talk about those practical aspects, there are
[00:30:14] those who think that Russia is not at all capable of supplying
[00:30:17] such quantities of diesel to the United States of America,
[00:30:21] as I understand it, there is a bigger problem with gasoline, they supposedly
[00:30:24] still have diesel reserves, but that doesn't mean that after such political
[00:30:27] decisions Russia's production capacities
[00:30:31] would increase, right? "Russia does not have, and even
[00:30:34] does not promise, large quantities, there the quantities are stated in
[00:30:38] thousands, millions, there, it seems, perhaps."