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20260808 133000 UTC
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[00:00:00] so so basically if you assume for
[00:00:03] of example that it's one
[00:00:03] in a hundred um the the
[00:00:07] possibility of
[00:00:10] impacting the of hitting a
[00:00:14] warhead which is pretty much close to what we're
[00:00:18] seeing then um since they're five
[00:00:21] it's it's the chances that they would have hit all
[00:00:24] five is roughly one and 10 billion
[00:00:28] given what we know. so uh if if he's saying that a
[00:00:32] one and 10 billion event
[00:00:35] a uh probability of one and 10 billion event occurred then I
[00:00:39] guess I don't know we can take it at
[00:00:43] face value but it's it really doesn't make much
[00:00:46] of doesn't seem highly probable yeah yeah wel we'll
[00:00:50] call that one in the questionable category until we can get some proof one way or the
[00:00:54] other uh one
[00:00:55] of the things I really was eager to have you on the show here today we saw
[00:00:59] and I don't have the that full screen uh video here
[00:01:03] uh handy,
[00:01:04] of but there was
[00:01:05] a claim made by
[00:01:06] of some Americans that were on the ground in uh and I think it was actually in
[00:01:09] Jordan where
[00:01:11] of we of suffered some casualties recently, both killed and wounded in action, and
[00:01:15] they say one
[00:01:15] of the big problems that they had is that our radar that we
[00:01:19] had showed incoming and then it tells you where the thing is supposed to
[00:01:23] land and so that
[00:01:24] of allows people to get ready and all of sudden the missiles start maneuvering which was
[00:01:27] capability we didn't know Iran had. that was causing real problems for the
[00:01:31] humaners even respond to them. can you tell us anything about what kind of
[00:01:35] missiles he's talking about and should we be worried? oh
[00:01:39] we definitely should be very
[00:01:40] of worried. i'm surprised these guys have only figured this out
[00:01:44] now.
[00:01:44] of mean, i've been
[00:01:46] of talking about this for
[00:01:50] a of months.
[00:01:54] of of even, i'm not prepared for this at the moment, but next of time of i'm on, it only take 20 seconds of video. i have
[00:01:57] of video showing showing these warheads man.
[00:02:01] so in fact i'll be talking about you, we'll
[00:02:04] have few
[00:02:06] of minutes for
[00:02:08] of of slides, i know you want to limit that, but i'll just show you
[00:02:12] with some slides, one
[00:02:13] of their maneuvering warheads and it does
[00:02:16] maneuver and it's it's
[00:02:19] unstoppable and to me it's extraordinary
[00:02:23] that these people would first be talking about it now, it shows that
[00:02:27] the the last people to know about
[00:02:30] in things that are known in the open are people who supposedly have
[00:02:34] access to all this classified information and and I mean we can
[00:02:38] just look here th these are some
[00:02:40] of the uh satellite imagery the US has been
[00:02:42] of trying to block this stuff but uh there's still some satellite companies that are putting this
[00:02:46] stuff out there these are evidences
[00:02:48] of the specific targets that the Iranian side has been
[00:02:51] having this is these are all American uh bases that you see
[00:02:55] in on the screen here that have pinpoint targets so there every time they shooted
[00:02:59] something. hit it? oh yeah, i think
[00:03:02] what we now know about the
[00:03:05] Iranian
[00:03:07] a missiles is is that first of all they're using
[00:03:10] the chinese
[00:03:14] bedo
[00:03:17] of navigation system, it's it's sort of a version
[00:03:21] of the American GPS system, but it
[00:03:24] can't be jamned in other words, there's no way to
[00:03:28] of stop them from getting... the navigation signals
[00:03:31] and they can also get
[00:03:35] precise information on their
[00:03:38] locations while they're traveling through
[00:03:41] space, so they're a
[00:03:45] early in their trajectory, they're on what's called a
[00:03:47] of ballistic trajectory, the it's governed essentially
[00:03:51] of by the grav gravitational field
[00:03:53] of the earth and momentum
[00:03:54] of the object, and
[00:03:58] they
[00:03:58] of can get absolute.
[00:04:11] of
[00:04:27] of say it's 100 kilometers
[00:04:31] and they know
[00:04:35] their their position to about one
[00:04:39] meter of accuracy in three dimensions, one one
[00:04:43] in meter in three dimensions or less and they
[00:04:47] have they have
[00:04:50] accelerometers on on these devices
[00:04:53] that can measure the acceleration that
[00:04:57] is not do. that is due to atmospheric
[00:05:01] reentry and also due
[00:05:04] of to the
[00:05:05] of rocket motor that
[00:05:05] of they turn on on the vehicle so so
[00:05:09] the the precision i
[00:05:11] was just this up last week, because they're commercially
[00:05:15] available, they call mems,
[00:05:18] microelectronic, mechanical
[00:05:21] sensors, and they're tiny things, they're what when
[00:05:25] the drones are flying, they have them on them, and they're
[00:05:29] ubiquitus, they're all over the place, so you just buy
[00:05:32] them, highly
[00:05:33] precise, and very,
[00:05:37] very, very conservative estimate is
[00:05:41] they... "the inaccuracies from
[00:05:45] these mems introduced during
[00:05:48] reentry process is maybe few meters, wow,
[00:05:52] few meters. now there's what's called the control
[00:05:56] problem, you're trying to control the orientation the
[00:05:59] warhead, and every small movement out of
[00:06:03] what you really would
[00:06:04] like to get causes
[00:06:05] you to maneuver, and so I would
[00:06:09] say that they probably have few tens of..."
[00:06:12] meters of accuracy at the target, which
[00:06:15] is very good, especially when you're delivering a
[00:06:19] warhead, the warhead, I'll show
[00:06:23] you, yeah, delivers the equivalent of about a
[00:06:26] 4,000 or 500 pound explosive at the
[00:06:30] target, that's an enormous explosive
[00:06:33] charge, and most the power of that
[00:06:37] explosive, of that explosion comes from the kinetic
[00:06:41] energy of impact. other words, this thing hits the ground so
[00:06:44] fast that it just
[00:06:47] vaporizes, it's
[00:06:50] much, it's well
[00:06:52] beyond, for example, it's traveling a speed well
[00:06:56] beyond that the oreshnic munitions,
[00:06:59] wow are hitting the ground at maybe three kilometers per
[00:07:03] second, this thing is hitting the ground at over four kilometers per
[00:07:07] second, now 3 kilometers per
[00:07:10] second gives you the... equivalent kinetic
[00:07:13] energy of gives you the equivalent
[00:07:17] explosive energy the weight the
[00:07:20] munition in TNT, in other
[00:07:23] words, all of this, this is not explosion, explosion
[00:07:27] from explosive materials, it's an
[00:07:31] explosion from all of this kinetic energy
[00:07:34] being nearly instantaneously converted
[00:07:38] to kinetic energy
[00:07:39] from,
[00:07:44] the
[00:07:44] the the piece of material that hits the ground gets compressed so fast by
[00:07:48] the interaction with the ground that it superheats to 500
[00:07:52] 6000 degrees kelvin temperature the sun
[00:07:55] surface and that expands violently
[00:07:58] outward like an explosion, it is an explosion.
[00:08:02] now when it hits at four kilometers per
[00:08:05] second, that's four kilometers
[00:08:08] divid
[00:08:09] by 3 kilometers per second, so it's maybe say it's one and... half or
[00:08:13] 1.6 - you square that and that
[00:08:17] gives you the rough equivalent energy and tnt of
[00:08:20] hitting the ground a little bit over 4 kilometers per second, which is
[00:08:24] about two and a half when you do the arithmetic carefully,
[00:08:28] so the weight the warhead is a
[00:08:31] thousand kilogram, so it's say it's 2
[00:08:35] pounds, you get factor so
[00:08:38] 2 pounds of just non
[00:08:42] explosive material compressed, turned
[00:08:46] into kinetic energy into an explosion by kinetic energy
[00:08:50] impact, so that brings you up to 5,000 pounds of
[00:08:54] explosive power, plus you have a couple of
[00:08:58] thousand pounds of explosive material in the warhead, so this
[00:09:01] thing has the power of a 500 or 6000
[00:09:05] pound explosive when it hits the ground, and it does
[00:09:09] tremendous damage, and I can show you some the evidence. for
[00:09:12] this and let's just look at
[00:09:16] slide um two, this is the missile itself,
[00:09:20] it's the alphata, and if you look to the right the missile
[00:09:24] where you can see the warhead itself, you see a
[00:09:27] winged vehicle that has
[00:09:30] very, very low drag, so it comes into the
[00:09:33] atmosphere, it experiences
[00:09:36] very minimal aerodynamic drag, and
[00:09:40] if we look at ' slide
[00:09:43] four, let's just go, there we go, you can see
[00:09:47] that in the back of this warhead it has rocket motor, see the
[00:09:51] rocket motor is in the forefront, and that rocket
[00:09:54] motor is able to generate a
[00:09:58] couple of thous pounds of thrust over time
[00:10:02] intervals of 30 seconds, 40 seconds,
[00:10:06] no problem at all, so so that's during
[00:10:10] the entire time of reentry. Now if we go to
[00:10:13] slide six, we can actually
[00:10:17] see this is one these warheads arriving in
[00:10:19] Israel, that long bright
[00:10:23] plum
[00:10:24] the front.
[00:10:55] high temperatures in the generated by the kinetic energy
[00:10:59] and the explosion, that's like four
[00:11:02] or 500 pounds of explosion, explosive energy being
[00:11:05] instantaneously released, and if you look in
[00:11:08] the next slide we can even see powerful shock
[00:11:11] wave,
[00:11:14] seense
[00:11:17] shock wave, this is really intense explosion to have a
[00:11:20] visible shock wave generated by the
[00:11:24] explosion. so if you just wanted to get a sense of
[00:11:28] how much damage uh one these
[00:11:31] explosions can do, why don't we just go to slide
[00:11:35] 13?
[00:11:41] there you go, now in in the lower right of
[00:11:45] 13, i have put in blast contours, this
[00:11:49] is Washington DC, the
[00:11:52] building in the middle is... is the
[00:11:56] library of congress, that's a big massive concrete and steel
[00:11:59] building, and to the right is a
[00:12:03] neighborhood that's immediately adjacent, just regular
[00:12:06] buildings. now the inner circle,
[00:12:10] innermost the four circles
[00:12:14] shows you the 40 pound per square
[00:12:16] inch blast
[00:12:19] range, the limit of it, all those
[00:12:23] buildings in that circle will just..."
[00:12:55] inch one at the outer circle would would would knock
[00:12:58] in the interior walls, might not
[00:13:02] knock down the buildings at the two pound per square inch point, but
[00:13:06] the interior walls of all inside the
[00:13:09] buildings will be knocked out by the blast wave that's propagating
[00:13:13] through the building, so this one warhead would
[00:13:17] essentially eliminate this block of
[00:13:21] buildings, remember the term blockbuster, from
[00:13:25] World War II, this is a blockbuster, now
[00:13:29] if we go to the next slide just to make
[00:13:32] clear what the effects of multiple warheads would
[00:13:35] be, all this shows
[00:13:38] is, I've just amplified the first slide by
[00:13:42] putting three detonation areas
[00:13:46] down, and the one to the
[00:13:50] left, which I assume goes through the roof
[00:13:53] the... uh library of congress
[00:13:57] will essentially destroy the whole library of congress,
[00:14:01] because if it penetrates into the building, the shock wave will tend
[00:14:05] to be contained, and the blast wave will be so
[00:14:08] intense around that 40 pound per square inch point that all
[00:14:12] the internal structure will be destroyed at that point, other areas
[00:14:16] the structure farther away will be severely damaged,
[00:14:20] so it'll look, it it'll look like the
[00:14:23] building ' the uh the mirror building in
[00:14:27] Oklahoma City, if if the warhead went through the
[00:14:31] roof, it would look like uh, the damage that was
[00:14:35] done to the building in in in in in Oklahoma City by
[00:14:39] the 10,00 pound bomb or 15 thousand pound
[00:14:43] bomb that was detonated in the terrorist attack in
[00:14:46] Oklahoma City, this building would be gone for all
[00:14:50] purposes, the uh uh the
[00:14:54] third uh detonation point which is shown on on the
[00:14:57] upper right, would destroy that other block, so you'd have
[00:15:01] two blocks of regularly
[00:15:05] constructed housing destroyed, plus the entire
[00:15:08] library of congress by this, these
[00:15:12] three postulated warheads hitting at those aim points,
[00:15:16] now think of Tel Aviv being subjected to
[00:15:20] this, can you imagine the damage in Tel Aviv, because this has been going
[00:15:24] a... while not every warhead
[00:15:27] hitting is one these, there you
[00:15:31] go, you're really quick, but
[00:15:35] this is the kind
[00:15:35] of damage that would be into the
[00:15:38] in the interior the library of congress
[00:15:42] from this warhead that i postulated hitting the library of
[00:15:46] congress, so these are very
[00:15:50] severe levels of damage, and this is what's been
[00:15:53] going
[00:15:54] on in Tel Aviv, and the Israelis have
[00:15:57] been censoring
[00:16:00] the information from these
[00:16:04] attacks, but I can see why...
[00:16:07] Netanyahu was telling Trump at one point that he's more
[00:16:11] worried about the missiles than he is about
[00:16:15] nuclear weapon about the Iranian nuclear weapons, which
[00:16:19] which he's on record saying at various points, so so this
[00:16:22] is the kind of damage you would see, the
[00:16:26] shock wave would propagate into the building further,
[00:16:30] of course where the damage is done it would have would have
[00:16:34] destroyed and collapsed all the floors. "and this
[00:16:38] building, there's nothing
[00:16:40] you can do with this building except tear it down, it's
[00:16:43] done, so this is the kind of
[00:16:46] damage we can expect as the war
[00:16:50] goes on in Tel Aviv and Haifa, if the
[00:16:54] Iranians start attacking with Tel Aviv and Ha
[00:16:58] with Alfat missiles, they will do severe levels
[00:17:01] of damage, but a lower level per missile if they don't use
[00:17:05] these rocket. accelerated warheads,
[00:17:09] but we're talking about serious damage,
[00:17:12] and this can go on for very long time,
[00:17:15] because do you have any sense for how many these missiles that we
[00:17:19] think Iran has? uh, we we really don't
[00:17:23] know, but hundreds them, almost
[00:17:26] surely, thousands them, quite
[00:17:29] possibly, so hundreds these things would do
[00:17:33] tremendous damage, but if the thousands them, which we can't rule
[00:17:36] out, "uh, you know, we're talking about
[00:17:39] real levels of damage that's uh, you know,
[00:17:43] to Tel Aviv and Ha, you, you could, you could
[00:17:47] end
[00:17:48] the economic viability of
[00:17:51] Israel, you know, by destroying, there are only
[00:17:55] few big cities where almost all the economic activity in
[00:17:59] Israel is is going on, so is
[00:18:03] there anything in the cumulative integrated air defense
[00:18:06] system of?
[00:18:08] for for Israel, you're talking about the iron dome, david sling, all the
[00:18:12] different kinds of facilities i have, thads, factories
[00:18:15] etc. is
[00:18:17] there anything that can defeat those missiles? no, no, i
[00:18:20] think the maneuvering these people, for
[00:18:24] example, if it had a high capability to hit
[00:18:28] targets and doubt that, but let's assume
[00:18:32] it does, it
[00:18:33] requires 30 or 40'.
[00:19:08] take many many tens of seconds to reach the locations where
[00:19:12] they're going to attempt to hit the incoming missile and you
[00:19:16] can't predict where that be if
[00:19:17] location the missile is
[00:19:20] to is going able to maneuver, you can predict where it's going to be if it's a ballistic
[00:19:24] trajectory and you know how to predict the
[00:19:28] location because the trajectory is determined by
[00:19:31] gravitation and momentum, but you
[00:19:35] don't have that in the case of
[00:19:37] a power.
[00:20:07] here, there was some claims when when the president Trump is claiming
[00:20:11] that we knock down all eight of those missiles, there was additional
[00:20:15] reporting prior to him making that, what's that?
[00:20:18] sorry, go ahead uh, there was some claims before
[00:20:21] that that there were some on the United States that said, hey, we
[00:20:25] only had minutes of warning before these things get, we barely even had time to
[00:20:29] to go into uh, to go into shelters, etc., that is
[00:20:33] lot less than what we had been in the past, and I wonder if you can just kind of... talk a little
[00:20:37] bit about uh the presumed damage that has been done because
[00:20:41] the radars that Iran has been hitting over the last couple of months
[00:20:45] especially uh and and what whether we're hit anything
[00:20:49] or not. "it's reducing our warning time before missils
[00:20:53] even hit, well the thad radar does have a
[00:20:57] long-range capability, and
[00:21:00] our satellites in space can see the launch and we
[00:21:04] can see the first 60 or 70 seconds of
[00:21:08] powered flight, we can see the rocket plum, the exhaust plome
[00:21:12] once the rocket exhaust plom stops, the
[00:21:15] satellites cannot track, so the but they can do they can get
[00:21:19] a..."
[00:21:50] I don't know if there is a thad radar yet working,
[00:21:54] all five the thad radars were destroyed
[00:21:57] early in the war, the first few day two days the war or one day the
[00:22:01] war by the Iranians, but they have taken a fad
[00:22:04] radar out of South Korea, and I don't know if it's
[00:22:08] yet operating, and the right place to put
[00:22:12] it so that the it can give warning to the
[00:22:15] Israeli population is is is in
[00:22:19] Israel. "also it may be the best place to put it because
[00:22:23] it's far enough away that there's some chance they can
[00:22:27] keep its location difficult to find, although I think
[00:22:30] that's doubtful, but I think that that radar will be
[00:22:34] destroyed sooner or later because they will locate it, and once
[00:22:38] they locate it they can go after it as they did in the first day the
[00:22:42] war. so what is absence
[00:22:42] what the the thad radars is supposed to any and are there any
[00:22:46] other uh similar categories of radars that?" can bring
[00:22:50] in that's going to give us enough knowledge about incoming missiles throughout the
[00:22:54] region, well the arrow radars uh
[00:22:58] have some capability, they can probably see objects a couple
[00:23:02] of hundred kilometers range, which would be
[00:23:06] 30, you couple of minutes
[00:23:08] warning, that's helpful, any warning is
[00:23:12] helpful, right now without the
[00:23:14] radars, what the Israelis
[00:23:18] know is that there's going... to be attack few minutes before
[00:23:21] it happens, because
[00:23:24] they they the
[00:23:27] satellites in space can tell them there's been a
[00:23:31] launch against Israel, it can't tell them
[00:23:34] where the impacts are going to be, so if you're in tel
[00:23:38] aviv
[00:23:39] you don't know it's tel aviv
[00:23:41] and if you're in h you don't know it's hyfa, but you know
[00:23:45] a couple of minutes something could happen, so
[00:23:48] that's what the... israelis are probably complaining about
[00:23:52] now when they had the radars they could
[00:23:55] know that yes h is about to be
[00:23:59] hit and you might have two or three
[00:24:03] minutes of of warning from the
[00:24:06] radar buse you could see it far enough away to know to take
[00:24:10] shelter so so you know it's it's in your
[00:24:14] city h let's say and you know you have two or three minutes to get
[00:24:18] to a shelter which is... not a lot of time, but is
[00:24:21] adequate, so um, so that's
[00:24:25] a much better situation than
[00:24:28] knowing there was a launch
[00:24:31] and sometime in the next 10 minutes or so
[00:24:34] uh,
[00:24:36] you know, um, there's
[00:24:40] a warhead that might explode in your city,
[00:24:44] near you, or maybe in Haifa, or maybe beer Shiva, you
[00:24:47] don't, so everyone has to take shelter. all across the country,
[00:24:51] so that's much more disruptive than when you
[00:24:55] know it's coming two or three minutes from now in your
[00:24:59] area, so that's the situation you have without the
[00:25:02] radars. apparently the commander of central
[00:25:06] command, admiral Cooper, is suggesting that President
[00:25:10] Trump try and change the war one more time, but this
[00:25:13] time with another two-week campaign, but just heavier bombs,
[00:25:17] one the things that really stood out to me and I really... like your view on this
[00:25:21] is the
[00:25:22] uh Cooper argued in favor of stepping up tacks to completely diminish
[00:25:26] Iran's missile capabilities uh according to
[00:25:29] NBC, the uh go big approach he said would
[00:25:33] diminish would minimize the US's need for the use of defensive
[00:25:36] munition since there would be less incoming fire uh from
[00:25:40] Iran but I still keep going back to
[00:25:43] uh this um because look
[00:25:46] i heavier bombing do do we have any? thing that's going
[00:25:50] to get through this stuff that's going to knock
[00:25:52] that out that we didn't in the first 40 days or the second 13, well i
[00:25:56] don't know what he's talking about, mean uh, and i
[00:26:00] think he doesn't know what he's talking about too.
[00:26:03] because what kinds of bombs is he talking about? mean it's
[00:26:07] ridiculous, the bombs that uh that we
[00:26:11] have cannot penetrate close to the depths that you need
[00:26:15] in order to get at these under under mountain
[00:26:19] targets, the um uh we do have
[00:26:22] penetrating bombs that may be able to get at
[00:26:26] tunnels because the're tunnels that are just built in the desert
[00:26:30] open desert areas. uh, but uh,
[00:26:33] you don't know where the tunnels are. if you know where a tunnel entrance is, you don't
[00:26:37] know where the tunnel goes behind, so I
[00:26:40] mean, so I know where the tunnel entrance is, here it
[00:26:44] is, and the tunnel, the tunnel
[00:26:48] goes somewhere, and the tunnel goes and it takes a turn, and it takes another
[00:26:52] turn, and it takes another turn, and the their other tunnels
[00:26:56] off it, I have no way of knowing where those tunnels
[00:26:59] are, so
[00:27:01] the the only way, 'if I happen to have a warhead that might reach
[00:27:05] deep enough to go through the top of a
[00:27:08] tunnel, I need to know where those tunnels are, and
[00:27:12] I have no way
[00:27:12] of knowing that, so I don't know what Cooper's talking about, who is this
[00:27:16] guy? I i, I'm sorry, I have to show my
[00:27:20] ignorance, who's cooper? oh, he's the commander of central command,
[00:27:24] well that explains why, yeah,
[00:27:27] problem, so I mean, if that be the case,
[00:27:31] then I mean, I'm asking what probably an obvious question here, but
[00:27:35] it's still one that needs to be asked, if 40 days and 40 nights of bombing
[00:27:39] did not penetrate all these mountains, these uh missile cities that are
[00:27:43] scattered throughout the country, and then the 13-day bombing campaign
[00:27:46] didn't, um, I don't know how another 14-day campaign
[00:27:50] with heavier bombs is going to have different outcome than the previous one, so
[00:27:54] where is that going to leave us if we use up yet more of our offensive
[00:27:58] capacity on an unattainable objective? I don't know where we're
[00:28:02] getting. these three star and four star generals from at this time, I
[00:28:05] mean uh, I think there was a
[00:28:08] time where
[00:28:08] a three and four star general had some knowledge the weapon systems they were supposed to be
[00:28:12] dealing with, but this is ridiculous, this guy doesn't know what he's
[00:28:16] talking
[00:28:16] about.
[00:28:51] انتم لستم
[00:28:51] وحدكم
[00:28:57] هذا نوع من نوع الجهاده في سبيل
[00:29:00] الله.
[00:29:05] ليوم القدس فهو يعني مناسبه جميله وايجابيه
[00:29:09] من اجل استذكار هذه
[00:29:12] المناسبه واعاده احياء الشعور
[00:29:16] بالانتماء لهذه القضيه اذا نحن معنيون شرعا ودينا
[00:29:20] واخلاقا بان يكون لنا موقف مساند موقف عسكري موقف سياسي
[00:29:24] موقف اخلاقي موقف ديني موقف شعبي من قضيه
[00:29:27] فلسطين.
[00:30:21] The Islamic Revolution Guard course says the imposed wars on Iran have revealed
[00:30:25] a strategic deadlock of US and Israel adding world media admits Trump's
[00:30:29] failure IRGC spokesman. It says reopening
[00:30:33] of Stratohormose hinges on Washington's acceptance of Iran's
[00:30:36] conditions
[00:30:42] and Spain's announce a border controls against Italy a titf tap
[00:30:46] move as Raw over Sueta migrant Rush
[00:30:49] intensifies.