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20260917 063000 UTC
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[00:00:14] of of
[00:00:14] of
[00:00:18] a There has
[00:00:21] a been over this weekend a major exchange of missile fire by
[00:00:24] Iran in the US
[00:00:26] of targeting oil tankers and even a
[00:00:30] destroyer, the new
[00:00:33] secretary of
[00:00:35] in Iran's Supreme National Security Council, Mohen Razi said
[00:00:38] in a very recent interview that Iran didn't use
[00:00:42] ballistic missile for that attack on the
[00:00:45] destroyer,
[00:00:46] of but new weapon, but let's
[00:00:49] go to Iran's escalation ladder, which we've talked about before,
[00:00:53] this is
[00:00:53] of a country that takes its time to send messages and only does
[00:00:57] so when necessary and to... a strategic
[00:01:01] objective,
[00:01:03] of of unlike the Americans, what is Iran's intent in this new
[00:01:07] round? one seems obvious
[00:01:10] to me, which is to punch a hole in Trump's claims that
[00:01:13] tankers worth 9
[00:01:15] of billion dollars are getting through hormos
[00:01:17] daily, and two, it
[00:01:20] seems to me that Iran is now looking to force an end to the
[00:01:25] of US naval
[00:01:26] a blockade. Okay, start
[00:01:30] from the beginning, a bit of background is necessary to get to your
[00:01:34] point, the background is that all
[00:01:37] along, what the Iranians were doing
[00:01:41] in is since the war started on February 28th, the
[00:01:45] primacy was given to the diplomacy,
[00:01:48] a that was the key thing, and as far as the military was
[00:01:51] concerned, it was responding tit for that
[00:01:55] to whatever the Americans were doing in
[00:01:57] of the region, so it was a proportionate response. from the Iranian
[00:02:01] military (IRGC) now when we look at
[00:02:04] diplomacy, what they were trying
[00:02:06] of to accomplish is create
[00:02:09] a regional framework, what that
[00:02:13] means is when we say
[00:02:15] a regional security framework, it
[00:02:17] in means that all the issues concerning the region should
[00:02:21] be
[00:02:22] of resolved by the countries
[00:02:23] of the region itself without any interference from
[00:02:27] outside pass, that's
[00:02:29] a regional. work and this is something entirely
[00:02:32] new, just to put it
[00:02:34] in a context, this is the thinking
[00:02:36] of the new world order which has the
[00:02:39] of support of two great powers, russia in China in the
[00:02:42] multipolar world, so what we saw
[00:02:46] was that Iran's foreign minister Abbas
[00:02:49] Arakchi in the month of May and
[00:02:52] June, he traveled to Russia, he met up with
[00:02:56] President Putin for an hour and a half in
[00:02:58] of St.
[00:02:58] in of Petersburg, after that early June he
[00:03:02] traveled to
[00:03:04] of China met up with his counterpart Wonghi got the
[00:03:08] support for this framework from both the countries and after
[00:03:12] that when he came back the Iranian leadership would have
[00:03:16] discuss this that look we got the support and after that on the
[00:03:20] 30 23rd of June Iranian
[00:03:23] president he did a state visit to
[00:03:27] Pakistan to get Pakistan on board. The Pakistan
[00:03:30] leadership, because Pakistan is playing very important
[00:03:34] role in this re framework. The idea of
[00:03:38] which is about is coming
[00:03:41] of of from Iran, but this is one
[00:03:42] of the key fundamentals
[00:03:44] of the new world order, as I pointed out. As a
[00:03:47] consequence of that, what has happened is
[00:03:50] of that on the 31st of August, two big events
[00:03:54] happened simultaneously on the same
[00:03:57] of day. On 31st of August in Islamabad in
[00:04:01] sorry in Istanbul in Turkey there was a
[00:04:04] announcement
[00:04:06] of that of there will be a formalized arrangement was made
[00:04:10] to be
[00:04:11] of called Macca joint defense agreement where there are
[00:04:15] three countries which is Pakistan, Turkey
[00:04:19] and Saudi Arabia, the concept is of collective
[00:04:22] security which is what this new world order fundamental
[00:04:26] thinking is about, so on the same day
[00:04:31] of 31st of August the SEO summit also
[00:04:33] of happened in Kirgizstan and in Kirgistan when you
[00:04:37] look at the joint statement, there was total support given
[00:04:41] to Iran, support not only to Iran its
[00:04:45] territorial integrity and sovereinity to
[00:04:49] the fact that there was aggression on Iran by America and
[00:04:53] Israel and that Iran should have
[00:04:57] or can have peaceful uses. of nuclear energy
[00:05:01] under the NPT, so there was total support for
[00:05:05] Iran
[00:05:05] of and the Iran thinking of
[00:05:07] a regional framework. now once this was done on the
[00:05:10] 31st of August, This is when the Iranian
[00:05:14] leadership decided, now we need to give
[00:05:17] primacy to the military power, and
[00:05:21] that is when the lead was taken
[00:05:25] by the secretary the supreme National Security Council Major
[00:05:29] General Masin Rizai, now he is a
[00:05:33] extremely important man, so after that there
[00:05:36] were tanker to tanker hits, now you see a tanker does not
[00:05:40] have any defensive means. but the key thing
[00:05:44] was what resided, he fired
[00:05:48] something unusual that the Iranians had not done
[00:05:51] before, and first thing to note is that the firing
[00:05:55] was not done by the IRGC navy,
[00:05:59] it was done by the IRGC aerospace
[00:06:02] force and what was fired was a
[00:06:06] antiship ballistic missile with a
[00:06:09] suppressed trajectory or a depress
[00:06:12] trajectory and this missile is being called Kasim
[00:06:16] Baseir. Now this was basically
[00:06:20] fired
[00:06:20] as demonstration to tell the Americans that
[00:06:24] look all your fleet which is part the naval
[00:06:28] blockade that you have put there, naval
[00:06:31] blockade is an act of war. Until now the
[00:06:35] Iranians were quiet about it, so this was
[00:06:38] clear indication about the vulnerability that the... us
[00:06:42] military faces and sentcom acknowledged
[00:06:46] that yes this missile ballistic missile was fired
[00:06:50] but our aircraft carrier obviously it was George
[00:06:53] Washington now what happens is that whenever there is a
[00:06:57] aircraft carrier then there are lot of guided
[00:07:01] missile destroyers which provided
[00:07:04] basically the security which provide the defense
[00:07:08] and what these guided missile destroyers have what is
[00:07:12] called the ag system now in this
[00:07:16] edges combat system the interceptors are
[00:07:20] there and the interceptors or the american
[00:07:23] destroyers are of ratio company there are three types the
[00:07:27] sm2 which is standard missile two, standard missile
[00:07:31] three and standard missile six. the long and short the
[00:07:35] story is that the missile that was fired
[00:07:39] anti ship ballistic missile with depressed trajectory.
[00:07:42] "it basically means that it it did not leave the
[00:07:46] atmosphere, it stayed within the stratosphere
[00:07:50] on the higher reaches the atmosphere, so we are looking at
[00:07:54] altitude of about 60 to 80 or 90
[00:07:57] kilometers, it stayed there and it had
[00:08:01] a speed of close to 10 mac and mac is
[00:08:05] the speed of sound and it it
[00:08:09] fired at by the IRGC aerospace for.
[00:08:13] it was fired a distance of around 1000
[00:08:16] kilometers and with a warhead which has a
[00:08:20] weight of close to 1.3 ton.
[00:08:24] now this SM6, this is supposed to take
[00:08:28] a ballistic missile or hostile ballistic
[00:08:31] missile within the atmosphere when it is
[00:08:35] in the descent phase, it is coming down because ballistic
[00:08:38] missile
[00:08:39] for follows a parabolic path, it is very... clearly defined
[00:08:43] path, but the problem here is that this missile
[00:08:47] is coming at such a speed and the SM6
[00:08:51] interceptors the Americans, they have only been tested
[00:08:55] in a controlled environment, not in operational
[00:08:58] environment, and when you have this missile
[00:09:02] coming at such a speed, it does not give any
[00:09:06] reaction time to the SM6 and the radar the
[00:09:10] ages system, which is very good radar. to
[00:09:13] basically identify the that yes there is hostile
[00:09:17] missile coming and to kill that missile, so the
[00:09:21] point I'm making is as far
[00:09:23] as the Americans are concerned, they are totally defenseless
[00:09:27] against this missile and the Americans know it,
[00:09:30] and what
[00:09:30] this missile can do is because of its
[00:09:34] 1.3 or 1.2
[00:09:37] ton war head, it has explosive power and it has kinetic
[00:09:40] energy so... if it hits the
[00:09:43] ship, it can actually go through the deck the
[00:09:46] ship, that is what it can do, so the point
[00:09:50] here is mosin razai has made it clear
[00:09:54] that this is the capability we have, and what is being told
[00:09:58] to the Americans is on the one hand
[00:10:01] that look, you lift your naval blockade that
[00:10:05] you have put in place, it was put two times, once on the
[00:10:09] 13th of April and after that, Early
[00:10:13] July,
[00:10:14] you know, I think it was early July after they signed the mou
[00:10:17] on 17th of June, so the point being made
[00:10:21] is that this is your vulnerability and we'l hit it.
[00:10:25] and already now the reports are saying that
[00:10:28] sendcom they have moved their ship further
[00:10:31] back and what ri has further announced is that
[00:10:35] look wherever the line the blockade now is
[00:10:39] the blockade starting from there
[00:10:43] there will be restricted zone restricted
[00:10:47] zone that covers the gulf of Oman state of hermose and
[00:10:50] goes all along the Persian gulf to the north we are.
[00:10:55] talking about a length of 1500
[00:10:58] kilometers, this will all be restricted zone, so the
[00:11:02] log in short is enormous capabilities they have
[00:11:06] in state of hormos, not to go in the details right now, I'm
[00:11:10] just trying to give you a broad big of what's
[00:11:13] happening, so what they are basically saying
[00:11:17] Iranians is that on the one had, we are
[00:11:20] announcing very soon a restricted zone because
[00:11:24] re' has said that this is not state of hermose, this is
[00:11:28] state of Iran's dignity, that is what they are
[00:11:32] calling it now, on the other hand, they have made
[00:11:36] the conditions for assumption of talk with Trump
[00:11:40] extremely harsh and extremely difficult,
[00:11:44] and of all the conditions, if you ask me, I have to pick up a single
[00:11:48] one, I would say that they want the American
[00:11:51] forces out of West Asia, this is...
[00:11:55] very big thing in because you see what i earlier
[00:11:58] mentioned to you that they have created this
[00:12:02] regional framework, the physical manifestation of
[00:12:06] which is the macca joint defense agreement with
[00:12:09] headquarters in Saudi Arabia and the
[00:12:13] first secretary general to be from Pakistan, it's a
[00:12:16] very big thing and top of that already
[00:12:20] two countries Sergi Lavrov has said they are interested
[00:12:24] in joining this, you know, this Maka joint
[00:12:28] defense agreement and these countries are Egypt, that will
[00:12:32] be very big thing, because Egypt basically is a
[00:12:36] country which is transcontinental, the Sinai isn't
[00:12:40] part of west Asia, but all the Egypt is in North
[00:12:43] Africa, and then Algeria has been mentioned
[00:12:47] as another country, so this is what is being
[00:12:51] created is get the Americans out of West Asia.
[00:12:56] so let me just finish this broad overview by telling
[00:13:00] you that americans today have no military
[00:13:03] options at all given their vulnerability and what is their
[00:13:07] vulnerability? they have enormous military
[00:13:10] capabilities. they are one country which spend one
[00:13:14] trillion dollars on the pentagon on the defense
[00:13:18] budget, but unfortunately the capabilities
[00:13:22] they have, they are the 20th century war.
[00:13:26] big destroyer, big aircraft carrier or has
[00:13:29] changed, these are the vulnerabilities are now
[00:13:33] now, no longer the assets and I am not even talking
[00:13:37] about right now the enormous cyber
[00:13:40] capabilities that today the Iranians have, so
[00:13:44] Iranians are wise people who have gone step
[00:13:47] by step, there are far too many other vulnerability
[00:13:51] also which they can destroy and the Americans know it.
[00:13:55] so america, yeah, please, no, you've given us such a
[00:13:59] broad overview that you've almost hit my entire lot
[00:14:03] of questions, but so let's take deeper into some these
[00:14:06] points, moson riz of course announced
[00:14:10] that it said that Iran would announce
[00:14:12] shortly this new no go zone
[00:14:16] around hormos, which would extend to the US Navy's
[00:14:20] blockade line, we don't actually know where the
[00:14:23] blockade is, is um because
[00:14:27] the Americans don't announce where their their ships are
[00:14:31] based in in various waterways, but it sounds, you
[00:14:35] were talking about going to the north the Persian Gulf, it sounds that Iran is now
[00:14:38] expanding the military theater in
[00:14:41] waterways well into the Arabian sea and
[00:14:45] Indian ocean from where the US Navy
[00:14:49] ostensibly enforces its blockade, um,
[00:14:53] but here's the thing: "the US Navy
[00:14:57] is likely to strike Iranian ships in any waters,
[00:15:00] anywhere in the world, so it's not a blockade in the
[00:15:04] typical sense, where you prevent ships from moving within
[00:15:08] a defined -
[00:15:11] you know waterway geography, how do you see
[00:15:15] this develop? all right, first of all, first of
[00:15:18] all, there are reports and you have satellite
[00:15:22] pictures, because the..." Chinans are
[00:15:25] helped by the Chinese space capabilities which are way
[00:15:29] ahead that the Americans, which is why in
[00:15:32] 2019 President Trump in his first term in office
[00:15:36] he created the space force new surface.
[00:15:40] now the point here to understand is that reports
[00:15:44] clearly say that the blockade is 300
[00:15:48] kilometers away from the Gulf of Oman and
[00:15:51] the Sentcom reports now are coming and saying they pulled back
[00:15:55] now another 100 kilometers so we are talking about
[00:15:59] a 400 km present line. now talking
[00:16:03] theater what you said let's understand what is
[00:16:07] the war theater about for
[00:16:09] Iran? today the Iranians have
[00:16:13] the missiles and the drones. Iranians have drones
[00:16:17] which are jet part, which are long range,
[00:16:21] which can fire with precision because the space
[00:16:25] capabilities provided by the Chinese, their bedu three
[00:16:28] constellation as well as the yagon augumentation
[00:16:32] satellite systems which are there in the lower orbat
[00:16:36] which provide. you a persistent stare the
[00:16:40] theater, the theater today,
[00:16:43] when you look at the north, it goes to the entire Mediterranean
[00:16:47] sea, and now you look at south, in the Indian
[00:16:51] Ocean, we are talking about the
[00:16:54] capability of Iran to hit
[00:16:56] Digogasia, and digo ga today
[00:17:00] is one logistic base the Americans which is
[00:17:04] serving three commands, it is serving the africa
[00:17:08] command, it is serving sidcom and it is serving pacific
[00:17:11] command, and given the cyber capabilities that
[00:17:15] today the Iranians have, first of all,
[00:17:19] the cyber capabilities are such that they can
[00:17:23] anywhere in the state of hermose or around that,
[00:17:27] disturb or disrupt the
[00:17:31] communications, ship to ship communications
[00:17:34] the US navy and ship to show communication nations
[00:17:38] and as far as degogar is concerned, the
[00:17:42] entire logistic base the Americans, which is the
[00:17:45] huge base is automated, so it is all
[00:17:49] digitized. now when you have all digitalization, that
[00:17:53] means your missiles are a particular bunker, your fuel is
[00:17:57] somewhere else, then your loading sites are somewhere else, then
[00:18:01] they have massive runways for their stealth bombers,
[00:18:05] everything is there digitized and the brain of a
[00:18:08] digitalization is what is called the PLC,
[00:18:12] programmable logic controllers and today the
[00:18:16] Iranians have come very long way from
[00:18:19] 2010, please recall in
[00:18:22] 2010, the Americans and the
[00:18:25] Israelis, they had done their
[00:18:28] stuckness you
[00:18:30] know
[00:18:34] sabotage their centrifuges.
[00:18:37] where and what they did with that was that the
[00:18:40] centrifuks the naissan facility nuclear
[00:18:44] facilities they were disrupted so today
[00:18:48] the Iranians have come a long way and they can disrupt the
[00:18:52] PLCs which are there in degogarsia in other
[00:18:56] words create disturbance create complete chaos at
[00:19:00] digogarsia so what theater are we talking of what
[00:19:04] capabilities are we talking of so they come are
[00:19:07] everything, their drones and missile capabilities
[00:19:11] and everything what they have is underground, the
[00:19:15] Iranians, this is the work done over decades, what
[00:19:19] they have done, over decades they have studied the
[00:19:22] Americans, the military capabilities of Americas
[00:19:25] and the strategy the Israelis
[00:19:29] and of course the American, the
[00:19:33] US Navy has retreated to Diego Garcia because they've lost..."
[00:19:38] access to the fifth fleet headquarters in
[00:19:42] Bahrain,
[00:19:45] correct? for the ships it is
[00:19:48] coming from digo garsia and because p thecset
[00:19:52] kept this, he did not disclose this, perhaps even to his commander
[00:19:56] in chief, the destruction which was done so early
[00:20:00] by the Iranions in Bahrain to the logistics
[00:20:04] center that we we then now we have the
[00:20:07] reports the problems that Abraham
[00:20:11] lincoln the area faced, it was all
[00:20:14] because of not telling publicly as to
[00:20:18] what all has happened on Abraham Lincoln, so
[00:20:22] Abraham Lincoln now, I think is somewhere in Thailand, Thailand,
[00:20:26] yeah, why would they go all the way to Thailand and not to Diego
[00:20:29] Garcia? no, Diego Gasha basically is
[00:20:33] a port for the refilling, it is logistic.
[00:20:37] but for the repairs and everything they have to go to Thailand, because now
[00:20:41] east Asia they have basically three
[00:20:44] allies, Thailand is one allies, South Korea is
[00:20:48] another and Japan is another. and then of course they have
[00:20:51] Australia, this is what they have, now as far as pacific
[00:20:55] command is concerned, there they have massive shortages
[00:20:59] of interceptors and
[00:21:02] munitions, and all these interceptors they take
[00:21:06] years to build, not that, you
[00:21:09] see America's industrial, military industrial
[00:21:13] capabilities, they are very frugal right
[00:21:17] now, to build them up to a... or surge
[00:21:20] level that will take few years and nothing
[00:21:24] happen a hurry, so the point is that when you talk of a
[00:21:28] theater, the theater are under the command
[00:21:32] of and the not command really, they are under the
[00:21:35] observation, total observation, 24
[00:21:39] into 7, what is what we call persistent
[00:21:42] stare the Iranians? i also think the
[00:21:46] war with Iran is um offering
[00:21:50] opportunities to break all the US d
[00:21:54] targets on Iran's escalation ladder, if the US
[00:21:58] persists at this ridiculous war, but
[00:22:01] you you made a really important point about the US fighting a
[00:22:05] 20th century war in the 21st century,
[00:22:08] it is, it is outcassed as we
[00:22:12] have seen, but but
[00:22:16] so then are its allies because they...
[00:22:20] operate under those same paradigms right,
[00:22:23] militarily, um, and that means Israel
[00:22:27] is included in this. Israel will be outclassed
[00:22:31] a direct Iran Israel confrontation,
[00:22:34] but I want to ask you from where you sit, is
[00:22:38] return to direct war between Iran and Israel inevitable,
[00:22:42] is Iran waiting for the US to retreat entirely before that kicks
[00:22:45] off, as you know, I'm sitting in Beirot right now, the situation
[00:22:49] south. Lebanon has become untenable, Israel is blowing up
[00:22:53] entire villages and towns every single day in the south, and
[00:22:57] as we know, it was Iran's number one demand in the failed
[00:23:00] mou from last June, a withdrawal of all Israeli
[00:23:04] forces from Lebanon, all regional states. Does this war
[00:23:07] end, whether today or next year or three years down
[00:23:11] the road with an inevitable Iran,
[00:23:14] Israel final showdown? See, first of all,
[00:23:18] let me start by telling... you that
[00:23:21] Israel is not a military power,
[00:23:25] we Israel's military capabilities are
[00:23:28] overblowed, Israel basically is a state which
[00:23:32] does terrorism, israel's unique thing is
[00:23:36] Musad, that is what they do, now as
[00:23:40] far as lebanon, southern Lebanon is concerned, you now
[00:23:44] it's a story zone that they have captured in southern
[00:23:46] Lebanon, and any case Beirot is their... is their red
[00:23:50] line where you are sitting, you see now, but
[00:23:54] coming back to Israel, please remember when this war started
[00:23:58] in just a couple of weeks, the
[00:24:01] Israeli chief of army, he publicly made the
[00:24:05] statement that the IDF is over
[00:24:08] stretched because they are
[00:24:11] everywhere, they are fighting war with, they are with
[00:24:15] southern southern Lebanon, they are in Syria, they
[00:24:19] are with Yemenis, so they are all over and they are
[00:24:23] fatigued, so the point I'm making is a
[00:24:27] showdown that you are talking about between Iran
[00:24:31] and Israel after the American leaves, I
[00:24:34] don't think it makes any sense, because yes
[00:24:38] of course Israel will have the capabilities of sent
[00:24:42] com, there is once the American forces
[00:24:46] leave and in that time frame even the...
[00:24:50] Makka joint agreement would also have further
[00:24:53] expanded and one the things the Maka difference
[00:24:57] agreement is the concept of collective
[00:25:00] deterrence. there are two key concepts, one
[00:25:04] is collective security, the other is collective detaire, so
[00:25:08] even today if the Israelis have to attack
[00:25:12] turkey, if they have to fight with Turkey, Turkey has no interest in
[00:25:15] fighting with these Israelies, but if they
[00:25:19] fight, then they have to dftail this in their
[00:25:23] war scheming that there are three
[00:25:26] countries, now whether one will fight or
[00:25:30] how many will fight, what sort of capabilities will be provided by the other two
[00:25:34] countries to turkey, israelis have to keep that in
[00:25:37] mind, and as this agreement
[00:25:41] you know more and more countries joined, Iran, Iran's
[00:25:45] hand will be strengthened, not weakened, we are
[00:25:49] looking a situation, perhaps even, you
[00:25:52] know, by next year, the entire situation
[00:25:54] will change,
[00:25:58] and change to the decrement of Israel, not to
[00:26:01] the
[00:26:02] benefit of Israel.
[00:26:33] Social media platforms are vyeing to get the attention of more and more
[00:26:36] users because it means more money for
[00:26:39] them. But it isn't a new
[00:26:42] phenomenon. It has roots in the past
[00:26:46] decades since newspapers were the only mass
[00:26:49] media. Today the old tactics have
[00:26:53] become more complicated and of course
[00:26:55] scarier. They're everywhere
[00:26:59] with you.
[00:27:03] They even offer you free services to get your attention, but don't be
[00:27:07] duped. The old
[00:27:11] saying goes, if you are not paying for the product, then you are
[00:27:15] the
[00:27:15] product.
[00:27:30] Saudi Arabia thought it could bypass. asked hormos, it thought its
[00:27:34] pipelines, its American weapons and its strategic partnerships could keep
[00:27:38] the oil flowing and the kingdom insulated from the consequences of
[00:27:42] regional war, but that carefully constructed illusion is now
[00:27:46] cracking. this week we examine how strikes have forced the shutdown
[00:27:50] of riyadh's crucial east-west pipeline while Yemen's armed
[00:27:53] forces and nasarulah are rapidly reshaping the strategic
[00:27:57] equation around Babel Mandib. KSA's oil
[00:28:01] bypass backfire. This week on the media
[00:28:04] stream.
[00:29:33] Headlines on Press TV, the Palestinian journalist syndicate condemns
[00:29:37] Israel's abduction of Press TV's reporter named
[00:29:41] warning about health condition in the regime's
[00:29:43] presence. The United States
[00:29:47] Federal Reserve is raised interest rates for the first time in three years in
[00:29:51] beat to cub inflation driven by soring fuel prices a mid
[00:29:55] US war on Iran.
[00:29:59] Russia carries out first strikes across Ukraine including the... capital
[00:30:02] Kiev, killing one person and injuring over dozen
[00:30:06] others.