RECORDNEWS — broadcast
20260909 173000 UTC
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[00:02:28] The United States and Iran carried out the largest wave of attacks on
[00:02:31] navigation since the beginning of the war. Tehran claimed to have
[00:02:34] attacked 10 ships near the Strait of Hormuz, after Washington
[00:02:38] sank five Iranian oil tankers. The
[00:02:42] offensive caused oil prices to skyrocket with the price of a barrel
[00:02:45] exceeding $100 for the first time since
[00:02:49] July. Iran also claimed to have fired ballistic
[00:02:52] missiles at a base used by American forces in
[00:02:56] Jordan. Tehran also said it had captured an
[00:03:00] autonomous American submarine that can be
[00:03:03] used for surveillance mapping. The Revolutionary
[00:03:06] Guard said it would drastically intensify its
[00:03:09] response to any new attack. Joining us to analyze this and other
[00:03:13] international news is Vitélio Brustolin,
[00:03:17] a Harvard researcher and professor of international relations at the Fluminense Federal
[00:03:20] University. Hi Vitélio, good afternoon, thank you for being with
[00:03:24] us again. Good afternoon, Jonathan, thank you for the invitation.
[00:03:28] To everyone. Vitélio, yesterday and today
[00:03:30] we brought here on the connection the impacts that come
[00:03:33] directly from an economic point of view with the increase in oil prices, right? I think
[00:03:37] for those at home to better understand why we are now seeing this
[00:03:41] escalation of the conflict in the Middle East that led to
[00:03:44] these new, these new bombings, in short, to this
[00:03:48] increase in tension in the region?
[00:03:51] Well Jonathan, Iran
[00:03:54] in June began to attack
[00:03:58] oil tankers passing through the Strait of... Hormuz in June
[00:04:01] the Strait of Hormuz should theoretically have been open because
[00:04:05] there was a memorandum of understanding between the United States and
[00:04:09] Iran, that memorandum that foresaw that this war should be resolved
[00:04:12] in up to 60 days, the deadline was
[00:04:15] extendable, but the strait was open, including for Iranian
[00:04:18] vessels, but in June Iran attacked three
[00:04:22] oil tankers there and that's when the memorandum of understanding was
[00:04:25] violated, the Strait of Hormuz was closed again,
[00:04:29] including with... a naval blockade against Iranian vessels, what
[00:04:33] happens is that Iran is with a decentralized
[00:04:36] command, Moshitaba Kamenei
[00:04:39] hasn't appeared in public since he became
[00:04:41] Ayatollah, eh, the Revolutionary
[00:04:45] Guard has orders that were given before this
[00:04:49] war to make decisions
[00:04:51] in a decentralized manner precisely in case the United States
[00:04:55] attacks Iranian communications and these
[00:04:58] orders of... centralization cause the guard
[00:05:02] to make questionable decisions, such as attacking those three oil tankers in
[00:05:05] June. So what's happening now, the United
[00:05:09] States has been escorting vessels through the Strait of Hormuz. Iran
[00:05:12] began to attack
[00:05:15] US warships that were providing escorts, in
[00:05:19] response the United States began to attack Iranian
[00:05:22] oil tankers, so this
[00:05:26] is the scenario we have now, Iran attacks US warships
[00:05:30] and the United States sinks Iranian oil tankers.
[00:05:33] Iran also tried to target a US base
[00:05:37] in Jordan, launched 10 missiles, Jordan
[00:05:40] intercepted eight and two fell in
[00:05:43] uninhabited areas, so in the
[00:05:46] end this is a new escalation, at this moment, so
[00:05:50] the targets are Iranian oil tankers, US warships,
[00:05:54] Jonathan. Indeed, and the United States issued more than 30
[00:05:57] new sanctions related to Iran. The objective is to intensify
[00:06:01] economic pressure on Tehran. The US Treasury Department
[00:06:05] stated that the decision targets the aviation
[00:06:08] sector. The sanctions also affect shell
[00:06:11] companies, cargo operators, foreign
[00:06:14] intermediaries and transshipment routes that, according to
[00:06:18] Washington, Iran uses to obtain aircraft
[00:06:21] and sensitive technology of American origin.
[00:06:24] Some of the affected companies are from Turkey, United Arab
[00:06:28] Emirates, Malaysia and Kazakhstan. The decision
[00:06:31] also highlights that any foreign company or individual
[00:06:34] that assists Iranian airlines, through aircraft transfers,
[00:06:38] cargo services or sales agent
[00:06:41] support in general will face serious
[00:06:45] consequences. In addition to the sanctions, the United States also
[00:06:48] suspended overflight authorizations that allowed companies to operate
[00:06:52] commercial aircraft of American origin
[00:06:55] to Iran. Vitélio, yesterday we even reported here that
[00:06:59] the United Kingdom was also planning to impose
[00:07:02] sanctions against Iran.
[00:07:05] Does this actually work to end
[00:07:09] this war? That's
[00:07:12] an excellent question, because sanctions have been applied against Iran
[00:07:16] since 1979 the regime has not fallen, as we
[00:07:20] know, eh, Trump could have done
[00:07:23] this, right, these are secondary sanctions, now, these are countries
[00:07:27] that do business with Iran, so you mentioned some
[00:07:30] countries, Turkey, the United Arab Emirates,
[00:07:33] Malaysia, Kazakhstan, these countries
[00:07:37] collaborated with Iranian airlines, especially
[00:07:40] Mahan Air. eh, one of the main Iranian
[00:07:44] airlines for the acquisition of aircraft, especially
[00:07:47] aircraft from the United States, just look, Jonathan, a Boeing
[00:07:51] 777 that this company was buying, so
[00:07:55] the United States began to apply sanctions to third
[00:07:58] countries, countries that trade with Iran, that buy oil
[00:08:01] from Iran. So far, China has not been
[00:08:05] directly affected. Some Chinese companies, some Chinese banks are
[00:08:08] even targets of sanctions, but not China as a
[00:08:11] whole. Eh. and this has been the strategy, to target
[00:08:15] companies, there are 36 companies at this moment that have been affected in this
[00:08:18] round of sanctions, now look, the United States
[00:08:22] could have imposed these secondary sanctions before this
[00:08:25] war, it could have been an instrument of negotiation with the central
[00:08:29] command of Ali Khamenei and Iran, but that's not what
[00:08:32] happened, the sanctions until then were not secondary, they were applied directly to the
[00:08:36] regime, eh, the United States has been escalating
[00:08:40] in this economic area because... in the military area they don't want
[00:08:44] to undertake a ground incursion into Iran which would be
[00:08:47] necessary to resolve much of this situation,
[00:08:51] including incapacitating Iran from targeting vessels in the Strait
[00:08:55] of Hormuz, but Trump doesn't want to do that, he promised during his campaign that he would not
[00:08:59] put the United States in another unwinnable war with
[00:09:02] soldiers on the ground, eh, he would not have
[00:09:05] Congress's support to do that either, Trump doesn't have Congress's support,
[00:09:09] he didn't get authorization for this war and only 31 percent
[00:09:12] of the US population supports the war at this moment, so there would be no
[00:09:16] political support for a military incursion
[00:09:20] in Iran at this moment, Jonathan. And Iran
[00:09:23] announced today details about a new navigation exclusion
[00:09:27] zone near the Strait of Hormuz. According to the Revolutionary
[00:09:30] Guard, the exact coordinates will be released in the coming
[00:09:34] days. However, authorities informed that the zone will
[00:09:38] cover areas beyond the route. The Revolutionary
[00:09:41] Guard's statement points out that the area
[00:09:44] starts approximately in the direction of Chahbahar, covering
[00:09:48] part of the Oman Sea and another part of the Arabian Sea.
[00:09:51] According to authorities, any vessel entering the
[00:09:55] route without authorization will be subject to Iranian
[00:09:59] sanctions, right? How will
[00:10:02] this exclusion zone actually work? What is Iran's objective
[00:10:05] behind this? Vitélio?
[00:10:09] How it will work, nobody knows,
[00:10:12] vessels transiting through there would enter Iran's
[00:10:16] list, Iran does not have the capacity to target
[00:10:20] vessels there, the US anti-aircraft defense, there are US
[00:10:23] warships in the region that would intercept
[00:10:27] cruise missiles, for example, perhaps Iran could target
[00:10:30] some with drones that are harder to shoot down when launched in
[00:10:34] swarms, eh, anyway, why
[00:10:37] right, this is a response, Iran
[00:10:41] has already declared that it is a response to the naval blockade that the United
[00:10:44] States imposes on Iranian vessels.
[00:10:48] Now, this exclusion zone that Iran wants to
[00:10:51] block is not part of Iranian territory. It does not
[00:10:56] Hormuz, we are talking about the Sea of Oman, we are talking about the
[00:11:00] Arabian Sea, so it is already
[00:11:02] within the jurisdiction of the
[00:11:06] sovereignty of other nations, Iran is attacking,
[00:11:09] therefore, these regions, these
[00:11:13] nations, especially where there are US
[00:11:16] bases, and now threatens navigation in these
[00:11:19] countries, how it will be done in practice, what Iran
[00:11:23] will do, these vessels that... navigate we don't know because Iran also didn't
[00:11:27] make it very clear and also wouldn't have the
[00:11:30] immediate military capacity to target these
[00:11:33] vessels that are being protected by the United States,
[00:11:36] Jonathan. And another piece of news now is that the South Korean president, the French
[00:11:40] president, met yesterday in Paris and discussed cooperation on
[00:11:44] security in the Strait of Hormuz. According to Lee
[00:11:47] Jae-myung, South Korea and France agreed to maintain
[00:11:51] close coordination so that freedom of navigation,
[00:11:55] the stability of global supply chains can be
[00:11:59] quickly restored. The National Security Advisor of South
[00:12:02] Korea informed that the discussions focused on how
[00:12:04] the CU can contribute to international maritime security efforts,
[00:12:08] without sending troops. The Strait of
[00:12:11] Hormuz is a crucial energy transit route for
[00:12:14] South Korea, which depended on the route for
[00:12:18] 61% of its crude
[00:12:21] oil imports last year and it's
[00:12:25] interesting to analyze, Vitélio, how despite the conflict being directly
[00:12:28] related between Iran and the United States, the
[00:12:32] impact, especially economic, falls on
[00:12:36] practically the whole world.
[00:12:38] It falls
[00:12:41] on the whole world, this conversation between South Korea
[00:12:44] and France is still initial, it's
[00:12:48] a reconnaissance, they haven't promised anything, they made that clear
[00:12:51] even in the official announcement, it's
[00:12:55] a reconnaissance, no country wants to send troops to that region,
[00:12:58] the United States itself doesn't put troops on the ground and when
[00:13:02] they attack Iran they try to attack from a distance with
[00:13:06] cruise missiles or ballistic missiles or
[00:13:09] drones, when the United States overflew, Iran
[00:13:13] launched gravity bombs, a US fighter
[00:13:16] jet was targeted, so Trump tries not
[00:13:20] to put his pilots in danger at this
[00:13:23] moment, neither the United States puts soldiers
[00:13:26] there, nor would France
[00:13:29] or South Korea, but they seek ways to
[00:13:33] collaborate with the United States,
[00:13:36] by making a gesture to Trump, who has been demanding this support from his
[00:13:39] allies. In any case, we don't
[00:13:43] yet know what this help would entail, but we do know
[00:13:46] that there is indeed a dependency, especially from Asian
[00:13:49] countries, on the oil from Hormuz that
[00:13:53] passes through Hormuz. China, for example, a major importer of
[00:13:57] Iranian oil, 80, 90% of Iranian oil
[00:14:00] used to go to China, eh,
[00:14:04] European countries need natural gas
[00:14:07] from Qatar, because they largely cut
[00:14:11] Russian supply which has been reduced by around
[00:14:15] 90% at this moment for European countries, but Qatar
[00:14:18] has become a major natural gas supplier, what is
[00:14:21] being done, this gas would also pass through the Strait of... So
[00:14:25] France also has an interest, the United Kingdom
[00:14:28] and other countries too, but
[00:14:31] until this moment, right, no troops
[00:14:34] have been sent to the region, no mine-sweeping ships, nor
[00:14:38] additional military support to the United States for this to
[00:14:42] happen, Trump would need to change his stance, for example, regarding Ukraine, so
[00:14:45] he would make a gesture to the Europeans for them to
[00:14:49] reciprocate by
[00:14:52] helping in Hormuz, Jonathan. Now. "we know
[00:14:55] of course the complexity that it's not possible overnight to
[00:14:59] simply stop depending on oil and start using another
[00:15:03] energy source, right, that requires planning, but a
[00:15:06] conflict like this will certainly serve as a warning for
[00:15:10] many countries to rethink their strategies
[00:15:13] and this is one point, right, not to be so dependent on oil, because in a
[00:15:17] situation like this, see how the situation worsens, right, so many
[00:15:21] impacted countries, economies that this year will certainly
[00:15:25] suffer the impacts of this, so it's time to really
[00:15:28] review if we can't think of other energy sources that don't
[00:15:31] exclusively depend on oil,
[00:15:34] which has existed since the world began and we... depend on it
[00:15:38] and
[00:15:40] there are two sides to this issue, right, it's a very interesting
[00:15:43] provocation, and there is indeed the issue of changing
[00:15:47] the energy matrix which is part of the Paris climate
[00:15:50] change agreement,
[00:15:53] eh, but there's another side, right, when the supply of natural
[00:15:57] gas is greatly reduced, for example, which is used in
[00:16:00] Europe for heating
[00:16:03] homes, eh, countries
[00:16:06] use alternative sources and even more polluting
[00:16:10] than oil itself, such as coal, for example, burning
[00:16:13] coal, so eh,
[00:16:16] it would be, if humanity were more
[00:16:19] rational, it would be a moment to rethink exactly as
[00:16:23] you propose the issue of energy matrices, what the
[00:16:27] Gulf countries, however, do, they are dependent on the sale of oil and
[00:16:31] gas, right, they seek other routes
[00:16:34] to export their production, so countries that have...
[00:16:38] large deposits of
[00:16:41] oil, they want to continue selling this
[00:16:44] oil, because the economy depends on it, Saudi Arabia, for
[00:16:48] example, built an oil pipeline, the East-West pipeline,
[00:16:51] in its territory, which transports much of the production to the
[00:16:55] Red Sea, eh, and from there it can pass
[00:16:58] through the Suez Canal, for example, heading to Europe,
[00:17:02] but there is no solution for natural gas and what is being done at this moment
[00:17:06] would have to be adapted. Eh,
[00:17:09] channeled networks in Saudi Arabia, there is an
[00:17:12] intention of the countries in the region to support this type of
[00:17:15] project, right, from Qatar, from the United Arab Emirates, for example, to
[00:17:19] support oil pipelines and
[00:17:22] the territory of Saudi Arabia, but
[00:17:25] look, these countries are interested in continuing to sell oil and
[00:17:29] on the other hand, we have in the United States Trump who had
[00:17:33] as one of his campaign slogans "drill baby
[00:17:36] drill" right. continue drilling, right, in a literal
[00:17:39] translation, so the United States is currently
[00:17:43] the largest oil producer in the world from
[00:17:45] shale, and there are countries like Russia, for example, that depend
[00:17:49] heavily on oil and gas exports, which have fallen sharply due to
[00:17:53] the war, but also have no interest in changing
[00:17:57] their energy matrix, ironically the one who buys a lot of oil
[00:18:01] and is being harmed and invests a lot in
[00:18:04] electrification is China, Jonathan, and China
[00:18:07] in Europe is accused of subsidizing its
[00:18:11] vehicles, right, of making the government inject
[00:18:15] money into factories so they become cheaper and so there is
[00:18:18] an attempt to ban or set quotas
[00:18:21] for these vehicles within Europe because it would end up harming
[00:18:25] traditional car manufacturers in Germany, in Italy, in France and in other
[00:18:28] countries. It's a very complex discussion,
[00:18:32] eh, it makes us think about the energy matrix, but in
[00:18:35] desperation, at a time when winter arrives,
[00:18:38] eh, it pushes many countries to burn even more polluting
[00:18:41] matrices like coal, John, exactly, a really
[00:18:45] quite complex topic. Now let's talk about the situation in Europe, presidents
[00:18:49] Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump spoke by phone yesterday,
[00:18:52] according to the Kremlin, the leaders expressed a desire for a quick end to the war
[00:18:56] in Ukraine, allowing the full restoration of relations
[00:19:00] between the United States and Russia. The call lasted an hour
[00:19:03] and happened after the visit of American envoys to Moscow at the
[00:19:07] weekend, the representatives tried to reactivate,
[00:19:11] actually, they are trying to reactivate negotiations for an end to the conflict
[00:19:14] and the Kremlin said it expects US-mediated
[00:19:18] talks to resume soon. The last round of
[00:19:21] negotiations was held in February. However, according to
[00:19:24] sources close to the Kremlin, Putin remains
[00:19:27] determined to take full control of
[00:19:31] the rest of the Donetsk region, which Kyiv promised to continue to
[00:19:35] fight with all weapons at its
[00:19:37] disposal, that thing, right, Vitélio, in
[00:19:40] rhetoric, one thing and in practice it ends up being very
[00:19:44] different, we have witnessed this many
[00:19:47] times. Yes, Trump tries to signal to
[00:19:51] Russia about economic advantages that the United States
[00:19:54] and Russia would benefit from the resumption of
[00:19:57] trade. But that didn't work when Trump
[00:20:00] took office, it won't work now. If
[00:20:03] Putin had been concerned about Russia's economy,
[00:20:07] he wouldn't have started this war, the issue is
[00:20:10] another, it's a matter of projecting power, a
[00:20:13] matter of annexing territories of
[00:20:17] another country, of expanding the Russian
[00:20:20] border, of interfering with European
[00:20:23] security, so Trump sent Steve Witkoff who
[00:20:26] is a real estate merchant and not a
[00:20:30] diplomat, not a career civil servant and Jared
[00:20:33] Kushner who is Trump's son-in-law, neither of them have any
[00:20:37] experience in diplomacy, negotiation, they
[00:20:40] went eight, nine times to Russia to meet with Putin and
[00:20:44] now they went once to meet with Zelensky,
[00:20:46] no one has any illusion
[00:20:50] about the progress of these negotiations, especially since
[00:20:53] the Ukrainians have a full understanding of what Putin
[00:20:57] wants, if Putin were to stop, he would have stopped in 2014 in
[00:21:00] Crimea, he didn't stop in Crimea because he wants to annex all of
[00:21:04] Ukraine, as Putin himself has made clear in the articles he published
[00:21:08] on the Kremlin website, that he does not recognize Ukraine as a sovereign
[00:21:11] state, there is no doubt that if
[00:21:15] there is a possibility for the Russians to establish themselves in Donetsk,
[00:21:19] Luhansk in Donbas,
[00:21:21] this will serve as a bridgehead for a new invasion in
[00:21:25] the future, so no one here is naive, the Russians
[00:21:28] only want time to rearm and continue the
[00:21:31] offensive against Ukraine, as they did with Chechnya, after the first
[00:21:35] war between 1994 and 96,
[00:21:38] they returned with full force in 99, the second
[00:21:42] Russo-Chechen war lasted until 2009, massacred
[00:21:47] territory, so
[00:21:50] a matter of
[00:21:53] offering economic advantages to
[00:21:56] Putin, none of that will convince him, what Putin understands is the language
[00:22:00] of force? Jonathan. And Germany
[00:22:03] announced the sending of more air defense missiles to Ukraine, according to the
[00:22:07] defense minister, Patriot missiles are currently the only
[00:22:10] effective defense against Russian ballistic missile attacks in Ukraine.
[00:22:14] Authorities warned that Russia will likely intensify
[00:22:17] its air campaign against Ukrainian
[00:22:20] infrastructure with the arrival of winter. The minister did not
[00:22:23] give details on how many missiles Germany will provide,
[00:22:27] but stressed that Berlin will continue to provide drones and
[00:22:31] long-range ammunition to Kyiv. The NATO
[00:22:34] Secretary-General also pressured allies to increase support,
[00:22:38] stating that civilian casualties from the war are at their highest
[00:22:42] level since May 2022.
[00:22:44] This support from European countries is essential for Ukraine to have
[00:22:48] come this far, Vitélio,
[00:22:50] alone it would have been defeated a long
[00:22:53] time ago, it's
[00:22:56] essential, but Europe helps Ukraine,
[00:23:00] because in Europe there is an awareness that this war is not
[00:23:03] only against Ukraine, it is against all of Europe,
[00:23:07] Germany is doing this
[00:23:09] because it feels attacked by Russia, there was a recent
[00:23:13] attack on a German airport
[00:23:16] with a Russian drone. The
[00:23:20] investigations identified that
[00:23:22] it was a Russian drone, there is sabotage, cyber
[00:23:26] operations, cutting of maritime internet
[00:23:30] cables, so all of this is a Russian campaign
[00:23:34] against Europe, what Germany is doing is providing more Patriot
[00:23:37] missiles, France is trying to take over part of Ukraine's
[00:23:41] anti-aircraft defense, delivering other
[00:23:44] air defense systems, because
[00:23:46] the Patriot missiles are running low on
[00:23:50] stock, the United States used many of them
[00:23:53] against Iran to protect themselves from Iranian
[00:23:56] counterattacks, now the whole issue is
[00:24:00] that we are back to the initial point There is a
[00:24:03] mobilization in Europe right now, a European rearmament,
[00:24:07] the biggest arms race since World
[00:24:10] War II, because Europeans
[00:24:14] know their neighbors and they know
[00:24:18] that Putin's war will not only end in Ukraine,
[00:24:22] the other Baltic countries, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania have
[00:24:25] concerns as well, Germany itself, so what
[00:24:29] we are seeing is
[00:24:32] the prelude to a war that could be much
[00:24:35] bigger. There has already
[00:24:38] been a breakdown of some
[00:24:42] diplomatic ties, the closing of German consulates
[00:24:45] in Russia,
[00:24:48] eh, this... is the beginning of what could
[00:24:52] become the breakdown of diplomatic relations and
[00:24:55] could end up escalating to a point that
[00:24:58] will lead us once again to a bigger war, humanity does not
[00:25:02] learn from its mistakes, Jonathan, and is
[00:25:05] doomed to repeat them, Jonathan. Unfortunately,
[00:25:08] right? And the Russian Foreign Ministry announced the closure of
[00:25:12] the German Consulate in Saint Petersburg. Activities are to be
[00:25:16] terminated by September 18. In a statement, the ministry
[00:25:19] states that... it was the German authorities who once
[00:25:22] again provoked an escalation in bilateral
[00:25:25] relations. The ministry also added that Berlin takes
[00:25:29] full and complete responsibility for the
[00:25:32] consequences. Moscow ordered the closure of
[00:25:35] all branches of a center that promotes German
[00:25:39] language and culture, with staff having to leave the country by the
[00:25:42] 13th. The measure is a direct response to
[00:25:46] Germany's similar decision to close the Russian
[00:25:50] consulate in Bonn and a Russian cultural center in Berlin. Moscow
[00:25:54] classified the action as hostile. Well, I think
[00:25:58] by itself we understand that the relationship between Germany and Russia is not the best,
[00:26:02] right, Vit? It's interesting that this
[00:26:05] news connects to what we were talking about
[00:26:08] earlier, right, the two countries have been progressively cutting
[00:26:12] diplomatic ties, the consulates are not yet the
[00:26:16] embassies, the moment the embassy closes, it's a breakdown of
[00:26:19] diplomatic relations. Germany
[00:26:22] started doing this after there was a
[00:26:25] Russian drone attack on Leipzig
[00:26:28] airport. Russia
[00:26:32] has been... attacking without making it very clear, that's
[00:26:36] the point, Russia tries to create confusion within
[00:26:38] Europe with attacks that can be denied, that
[00:26:42] create doubts, was it really an attack, was
[00:26:46] it intentional, didn't the drone just fall there by
[00:26:49] accident, this
[00:26:51] weakens
[00:26:53] the fabric that unites NATO countries,
[00:26:57] so
[00:27:00] a NATO member by Article 5 of the NATO Statute is an attack
[00:27:04] on all, but when this attack is not clear, when a
[00:27:07] drone falls in some isolated place, as it has fallen several times
[00:27:11] in Poland, which is also a NATO member,
[00:27:15] eh, when it cannot be proven that there was
[00:27:17] intent for that act, it's still an attack, then
[00:27:21] Article 4 of NATO is triggered, which is the article for deliberation
[00:27:25] on what member countries should do, what Russia
[00:27:28] is trying to do then is to divide NATO countries, is to divide the United
[00:27:32] States from European countries, the European countries closer
[00:27:36] to the West, to the Western
[00:27:39] Hemisphere, from those closer to Eastern
[00:27:42] Europe, eh, the governments of the countries and their
[00:27:46] populations, this would be a strategic
[00:27:50] advantage for Putin if he could isolate
[00:27:53] countries that could not defend themselves without the help of
[00:27:57] others, so again, the Baltic countries, Estonia, Latvia,
[00:28:00] Lithuania, if he could... make this division
[00:28:04] within NATO, he would have a strategic advantage, for now,
[00:28:08] Germany is responding, Russia is
[00:28:11] retaliating and this is still in the diplomatic sphere, the
[00:28:14] supply of weapons from Germany to Ukraine is for
[00:28:18] Ukraine's use against Russia, but no
[00:28:21] direct confrontation between Germany and Russia has happened until
[00:28:25] now, Jonathan. Now, the last news to
[00:28:28] close our round-up is that the United States intensified the trade dispute with...
[00:28:32] with Canada, prohibiting the import of a wide
[00:28:35] range of Canadian products. As of
[00:28:39] September 29, alcoholic beverages, dairy products, and
[00:28:42] motorcycles will be affected by the ban. In addition, a
[00:28:46] set of decrees imposes new taxes on other
[00:28:49] products. Several types of cheeses, paper products,
[00:28:53] aluminum, wood, furniture, and lighting are subject to
[00:28:57] a 50% tariff. The retaliation was announced after
[00:29:00] Canada applied new... overtaxes on American
[00:29:03] imports in response to the tariffs adopted by
[00:29:07] Washington since August
[00:29:10] 22, we have in this situation two neighboring
[00:29:13] countries really dueling, right, then we have
[00:29:17] to remember that it all started with the United States in the western hemisphere with Donald
[00:29:20] Trump's provocations.
[00:29:23] Well, Trump started by electing Mark Kirney, right, who was
[00:29:26] 20 points behind in the polls, who replaced
[00:29:30] Trudeau. Eh, eh, but he, Trump
[00:29:33] was so incisive in criticizing Canada that he ended up electing
[00:29:37] an opponent who is Mark Carney. For Brazil, it is
[00:29:41] very important to observe this dispute, because
[00:29:44] Brazil has the law of reciprocity, which it threatens to use against the United
[00:29:48] States. And this escalation in these two countries that are
[00:29:52] neighbors and that depend on each other, eh, it
[00:29:55] can be very elucidating for our country. The
[00:29:59] response from Canada has made Trump double
[00:30:03] the tariffs every time, eh,
[00:30:06] evidently this is not good for the United States, for the diplomacy of the
[00:30:09] United States, for the trade of the United States, not even for
[00:30:12] security, because the United States would like to install
[00:30:15] part of its new air defense, the golden
[00:30:18] dome in Canadian territory as well,
[00:30:22] eh, but this is what Trump has been doing, he
[00:30:25] is not making America great this way, but rather a smaller
[00:30:29] America, fighting with its main neighbor who is... now looking for
[00:30:33] alternatives with the European Union and has been increasing
[00:30:36] negotiations with China, that is, Trump's strategy,
[00:30:39] besides everything, has the opposite effect, it does not bring Canada closer,
[00:30:43] it does not create empathy with the Canadian population who
[00:30:47] have been boycotting American products on their own
[00:30:50] and offends the head of government of Canada, Prime Minister Mark
[00:30:54] Carney, whom Trump calls governor, so he does
[00:30:57] not even treat him with due respect.