RECORDNEWS — broadcast
20261012 173000 UTC
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[00:00:00] not even below $4 a gallon, which is very
[00:00:03] difficult, extremely difficult at this moment, the
[00:00:07] accusations of erratic
[00:00:10] policies, without a strategy, regarding
[00:00:13] Iran, regarding Ukraine, and even
[00:00:16] now there are the Houthis, right, who are threatening the
[00:00:19] United States because of the pressure from Saudi
[00:00:23] Arabia, where Saudi Arabia wants assistance, Saudi
[00:00:26] Arabia is not managing to deal with the Houthis
[00:00:30] directly, so it wants American help and it's in this
[00:00:33] cauldron that Trump is getting into, right, that he got
[00:00:36] into without a clear strategy and
[00:00:40] this will reflect on the Republican party.
[00:00:44] I remember, normally whoever loses the midterm
[00:00:46] election is very disadvantaged in the
[00:00:49] general elections for president, uh-huh.
[00:00:53] Now, this Monday, the Kremlin,
[00:00:56] Cabral, rejected any plan for a
[00:01:00] 60-day ceasefire presented by Ukraine, according to the
[00:01:03] spokesperson, the Russian government prefers a
[00:01:07] definitive peace agreement. Dimitri Peskov also said that the Russian president is
[00:01:10] ready to order the military to stop the attacks,
[00:01:14] but only on the day of the Ukrainian presidential election. Russia
[00:01:17] has long pressured Ukraine to hold elections and
[00:01:21] claims that the refusal to hold the vote makes Zelensky an
[00:01:25] illegitimate leader. Elections in wartime are
[00:01:28] prohibited by Ukrainian law, while President
[00:01:32] Volodymyr Zelensky says that Ukraine will only hold new elections if
[00:01:36] Putin agrees to a ceasefire. It's a stalemate,
[00:01:39] not a new stalemate. Now, how does it stand, right,
[00:01:43] Trump announces a ceasefire that is effective immediately,
[00:01:47] then the two sides involved in the conflict directly, Russia and Ukraine,
[00:01:50] and they give these versions, right, what about the
[00:01:54] negotiating or mediating
[00:01:57] power in this conflict
[00:02:01] of Donald Trump, since he says one thing and the parties say
[00:02:04] others.
[00:02:07] Regarding Russia, he has very little influence, right, very
[00:02:10] little influence. Probably, that oil
[00:02:13] agreement was signed during that visit.
[00:02:17] Uh, you certainly remember that
[00:02:20] Steve Witkoff and Jared Cutler went there, stayed
[00:02:24] five days in Moscow, uh, they talked
[00:02:27] a lot with Kirill Dmitriev who is the... who is
[00:02:30] the president of the Russian sovereign fund and who has
[00:02:33] access to the British city,
[00:02:37] Wall Street, uh, uh, in New York and such, he is a very
[00:02:41] respected person, he managed to convince Trump
[00:02:44] to make this agreement. This agreement is not new, it was announced
[00:02:48] now but it's an agreement probably from
[00:02:51] September. This is a detail.
[00:02:54] How to pressure Ukraine. The American
[00:02:57] armaments, right, they are being supplied by the
[00:03:01] Europeans. If the Americans block their use,
[00:03:04] that's it, Ukraine can't use them, and the same
[00:03:08] thing, Ukrainian precision is due to
[00:03:11] American satellites, whether they are
[00:03:14] military satellites, or Elon Musk,
[00:03:18] allowing, right, that the guidance of the
[00:03:20] Ukrainian weapons be done by
[00:03:24] Starlink. That said, the pressure
[00:03:27] from the United States is much greater on Ukraine
[00:03:31] than on Russia. This is one point. And American
[00:03:34] intelligence indicates, let's be open about it,
[00:03:38] Americans don't participate in the war, companies participate,
[00:03:41] especially AI companies that
[00:03:45] supply weapons, they are supplying
[00:03:48] sophisticated equipment to Ukraine
[00:03:51] which is used as a testing ground. Ukraine is
[00:03:54] used as a testing ground for artificial
[00:03:57] intelligence technologies, for guidance
[00:04:01] equipment, for electronic warfare equipment. You see that when Ukraine uses electronic
[00:04:04] warfare, they divert the drone everywhere, it goes to
[00:04:08] Poland, it goes to Romania, Moldova, right, it just
[00:04:11] doesn't hit where the American equipment is
[00:04:15] being used. That said, the pressure is much
[00:04:18] stronger, but it seems here, and this is interesting,
[00:04:21] that Zelensky engaged
[00:04:24] in the Democratic campaign, because today he gave an
[00:04:28] interview to Fox where he pointed out: "There's a lack
[00:04:32] of strategy, uh, the oil problem is not because
[00:04:36] of the Ukraine war, it's because of the Strait
[00:04:39] of Hormuz. We are doing our part, we
[00:04:42] are defending ourselves." This is something that Americans are
[00:04:46] very sensitive to, right, the American public is
[00:04:50] anti-Russian. The average American, right, he is
[00:04:53] anti-Russian, he has that strong memory of the
[00:04:57] Cold War and sees a government
[00:05:00] in Trump's government that is on the wrong side because it is making deals with the
[00:05:03] Russians. In fact, in the American parliament, a number of
[00:05:07] representatives, right, are proposing a
[00:05:09] bipartisan bill that has a chance to
[00:05:13] pass that will suspend this
[00:05:16] temporary agreement between
[00:05:19] Russians and Americans. That's what's being
[00:05:22] put forward. The deeper issue,
[00:05:26] again, is elections and easing the American's
[00:05:30] pocket so that the Republican party can have
[00:05:33] a better performance. I don't know if Trump will
[00:05:37] succeed, especially because the elected officials who have a lot of support,
[00:05:40] right, including from the United States, exactly.
[00:05:44] Now, if you said just now, right, "Look, the
[00:05:47] North Americans still remember the Cold War, so they are
[00:05:51] hesitant about the Russians," but look at this news that's coming in: The
[00:05:55] United States has threatened to interrupt the acquisition system
[00:05:58] that supplies weapons to Ukraine. According to sources
[00:06:01] heard by the Financial Times, Washington is
[00:06:05] pressuring European capitals and Kiev to try to end the
[00:06:08] attacks on Russian oil refineries. The
[00:06:11] North American message includes threats to
[00:06:15] interrupt intelligence sharing, the mechanism for acquiring American
[00:06:18] weapons for Ukraine. Well, what would be
[00:06:22] stopping Trump from really interrupting this aid?
[00:06:25] Would it be at this moment the opinion of
[00:06:29] North Americans, that is, the domestic effect
[00:06:32] of this, or also commercial issues
[00:06:36] with European countries?
[00:06:38] Yes, because you saw a flamingo there, that missile is the...
[00:06:42] the Ukrainian one, it's the flamingo, the circuit
[00:06:45] board is American, several components are
[00:06:48] American. For example, they received Storm Shadow missiles,
[00:06:52] that one, Storm Shadow missiles,
[00:06:55] uh, uh, uh, English, but these missiles,
[00:06:59] the guidance system, the circuit board, several
[00:07:03] chips are American, so there is this
[00:07:06] issue that he can prevent the
[00:07:09] use, and as I said, intelligence... is what tells
[00:07:13] where it will be attacked, right, the
[00:07:16] Ukrainians are aware of this, but
[00:07:19] Zelensky goes on American television
[00:07:23] and he puts it very well, he speaks English,
[00:07:27] so he communicates directly, right, with the American
[00:07:30] public and he is good at communication. Trump
[00:07:34] is not managing to convince Americans
[00:07:37] that his policy for
[00:07:41] Russia, for... for Ukraine and even for the Middle East
[00:07:45] is the best, it's the one that will yield the greatest
[00:07:48] results for Americans,
[00:07:51] in practical terms, just remember that since Trump took office,
[00:07:54] the United States has not offered any type
[00:07:58] of weaponry, even those that have already been paid for,
[00:08:01] right, are delivered to. The
[00:08:04] Europeans bought 2.5
[00:08:07] billion dollars in missiles, in
[00:08:10] interceptors that still haven't been delivered, and the
[00:08:13] Americans said that they will only think about Ukraine
[00:08:17] from 2028. So this is an F16, this
[00:08:21] F16, the Americans can turn it off, right,
[00:08:24] they can simply turn it off, because it's an airplane, it
[00:08:27] was Danish or Dutch, it went to Ukraine,
[00:08:31] the Americans, right, made an
[00:08:35] update, but everything that
[00:08:38] works can be turned off, even remotely. So everything
[00:08:42] depends on the Americans. What's happening, what
[00:08:45] Zelensky is doing by speaking to the
[00:08:49] public, to the United States, is that he is garnering
[00:08:53] bipartisan support, because there are many
[00:08:56] Republicans who, in a very tough
[00:08:59] competition with the Democrats, are positioning
[00:09:03] themselves against Trump's policies,
[00:09:07] especially for Ukraine, right, so
[00:09:10] this gets votes, right, the... let's say, Russophobia
[00:09:14] gets votes and that's what they're doing,
[00:09:17] they're playing very hard. Zelensky
[00:09:20] knows this, he knows how to play with this, and American
[00:09:24] companies, and you touched on a very
[00:09:27] important point, Americans, companies want to sell to Ukraine,
[00:09:31] because who pays for this Ukrainian
[00:09:34] weaponry are the Europeans, and the Europeans
[00:09:37] have opened a budget of
[00:09:40] 800 billion dollars, and they are starting to
[00:09:43] condition the delivery, the orders to the
[00:09:47] United States to the supplies to Ukraine.
[00:09:50] Look how the issue, deep
[00:09:54] down, is economic, it's commercial, it's
[00:09:56] oil, it's armaments, it's arms sales, super art,
[00:10:00] it's all there, right? Well, it's all together and mixed. Well, the only
[00:10:04] thing not in that account is preserving the lives of people, right,
[00:10:08] of innocent civilians, unfortunately. Look, President
[00:10:11] Trump asked that... Ukraine replace Cabral, leader
[00:10:15] Volodymyr Zelensky, after announcing a deal for the release of Russian
[00:10:18] diesel and the end of some US sanctions against Moscow.
[00:10:22] Trump stated that Zelensky harmed
[00:10:25] the global diesel supply with attacks on Russian refineries. He just forgot
[00:10:29] about the Strait of Hormuz, right? According to him, Ukraine wants to create
[00:10:33] problems for American farmers and ranchers,
[00:10:36] since Russia supplies a large part of the diesel fuel
[00:10:40] consumed worldwide. Zelensky stated that the agreement
[00:10:43] between Trump and Putin is a gift to Russia and that the
[00:10:47] attitude will be an investment in a war that should be
[00:10:50] ended. The German Foreign Minister, look,
[00:10:53] he stated that Berlin continues to stand
[00:10:57] with Kiev, offering support to
[00:11:00] Zelensky. He also reaffirmed German sanctions against Russia
[00:11:04] and asked the United States to pressure Moscow for
[00:11:12] in this whole thing, right? Zelensky, he's right
[00:11:15] to demand, that's my opinion, my analysis is in that
[00:11:18] sense. He's the country that's being attacked, he was
[00:11:21] invaded, lost about 25 to 30%
[00:11:25] of his territory to the Russians. The Russian excuse that it's
[00:11:29] defending the Russophones, right,
[00:11:32] that it's defending greater strategic interests,
[00:11:36] doesn't justify the invasion of a country. Let's agree that the
[00:11:40] issue is this. Now, there are interests,
[00:11:43] including private ones, this is an accusation that is made
[00:11:46] recurrently against Trump, that his private
[00:11:50] interests mix with the interests of the states,
[00:11:54] of the United States. when formulating his policies.
[00:11:57] Well, that being said, what's happening? And
[00:12:00] Zelensky, as soon as he was, uh,
[00:12:04] pressured to withdraw, because here's the thing, his
[00:12:08] term ended in '24, as you mentioned, right,
[00:12:12] no, no elections are held while there's war. So Zelensky
[00:12:15] wants a ceasefire, the Russian says there won't
[00:12:19] be a ceasefire, but on election day they can vote without being
[00:12:22] attacked, in peace. As you said yourself,
[00:12:26] how does Europe stand, right?
[00:12:30] France supported Zelensky, the United Kingdom, Germany,
[00:12:33] the three main American partners and who
[00:12:37] are the three main suppliers of weapons
[00:12:41] and resources for the maintenance of the war
[00:12:44] against Russia. So the stalemate is
[00:12:47] in place, but look, Trump has no
[00:12:51] interest in pressuring the Russians, also because it's very difficult.
[00:12:55] right, very difficult, very right, and the
[00:12:59] hypocrisy is in the following, what's interesting now
[00:13:02] is that Europe broke a record in importing
[00:13:06] oil, gas, right, crude
[00:13:09] oil, gas, gasoline, diesel,
[00:13:12] fertilizer, and LNG, they broke a record in
[00:13:16] August, so, despite the sanctions,
[00:13:19] they buy a lot of these products from the Russians, in the
[00:13:23] case of fertilizer, which is...
[00:13:25] that's why Trump said it's because of diesel and
[00:13:29] fertilizer for farmers, which also affects us here in
[00:13:32] Brazil, Russia is a major producer and
[00:13:35] supplier of fertilizer to the world, especially with
[00:13:39] Iran out of the market, so Russia becomes
[00:13:42] fundamental. So economic interests
[00:13:45] are being put on the table. Now,
[00:13:48] strategically, uh, uh, it becomes
[00:13:52] complicated to understand the American game. Because what Russia
[00:13:56] wants to end the war, I don't know if the
[00:13:59] Americans will do it. The Americans have troops, they
[00:14:02] they Kelly, wants
[00:14:05] them to leave, right, leave Europe. The same thing Iran
[00:14:08] wants the Russians, the Americans to do in the Middle East.
[00:14:12] You see the Russian, you see the United States leaving
[00:14:16] Europe. It's complicated. In the midst of all this, Cabral, the
[00:14:20] German Interior Minister stated that the country must strengthen the
[00:14:23] internal intelligence agency of Germany. According to him, the country
[00:14:27] is facing a parallel war that goes beyond Cold
[00:14:31] War threats. Without directly naming Russia, the minister
[00:14:35] said that the clear objective is to destabilize Germany.
[00:14:38] The comments come after warnings from the external
[00:14:42] intelligence agency that Germany is at risk of entering
[00:14:46] a violent conflict with Moscow. The government's reform
[00:14:49] bill that would give intelligence services broader
[00:14:52] powers is still being examined
[00:14:55] by parliamentary committees. Cabral, what can we say about this,
[00:14:59] huh? The war, it can really
[00:15:02] go beyond the borders of Ukraine.
[00:15:06] Look, Alex, right, who is the head of the BND, I'm
[00:15:09] not going to say it, because it's Bundesnations Stein,
[00:15:13] it's a huge name, right, which is the German
[00:15:16] intelligence service, he made it very clear
[00:15:19] what's happening, we've returned to the Cold War, right,
[00:15:22] that's why he calls it Shadow War, right? Which are these attacks
[00:15:26] and uh, from hackers, the
[00:15:29] sabotages against means of transport, right,
[00:15:33] German logistics in general, they are attacking the
[00:15:36] defense industry, and they are
[00:15:40] assassinating, that's the term, there's no other, right, uh,
[00:15:43] great scientists, great directors
[00:15:46] responsible for the defense industry, who
[00:15:50] supply material to Ukraine, this is happening, this is
[00:15:53] undeniable. Russia, inclusive, many of these
[00:15:56] demonstrations are sponsored, are
[00:15:59] stimulated by Russians, they still have what we call cognitive
[00:16:03] warfare. Some time ago it was warfare, uh, psychological
[00:16:06] warfare. Which is what? The information
[00:16:09] warfare within society to create
[00:16:12] antagonisms. This is one point. The second point
[00:16:16] that is viewed with concern by the rest
[00:16:19] of Europe, is what you just said. Uh, there are
[00:16:22] two points, I would say. The first point is, uh,
[00:16:26] about the Bundeswehr, right? Authorizing Germany,
[00:16:30] authorizing the German parliament,
[00:16:32] authorizing offensive operations outside
[00:16:36] of Germany. All right. The moment is interesting, but
[00:16:40] Lithuania, Poland, uh, and
[00:16:44] other states view with great suspicion having a
[00:16:47] rearmed Germany, whose goal is to
[00:16:51] transform Germany into the main state in
[00:16:54] military terms in Europe. It's already the main economic power, but not
[00:16:58] the main military power. And there
[00:17:01] are talks to build nuclear weapons. The Russian said that
[00:17:05] that's a red line, that won't happen. The same thing is
[00:17:09] the intelligence service. The German intelligence
[00:17:12] service, German, it is restricted to Germany, it is
[00:17:15] almost a counterintelligence,
[00:17:18] it very specifically with
[00:17:21] partnerships, certain issues, for example, there was German
[00:17:25] intelligence in Afghanistan, operating with the Americans, in
[00:17:28] Iraq, operating always with the Americans, with the English, but
[00:17:32] very restricted. The project in parliament
[00:17:35] is to have an intelligence, truly outward-looking
[00:17:38] and then again the memories of World
[00:17:42] War II come into play, and that's what's there, right?
[00:17:46] Europe needs a strong Germany,
[00:17:49] it needs it, but the
[00:17:52] memory of the Second World War is very present, and we
[00:17:56] don't have support among the German population. The
[00:17:59] victories, right, of the extremist parties,
[00:18:03] right, of the AfD, which is
[00:18:05] right-wing, of the... Alliance and Liz Vernek,
[00:18:09] left-wing, don't want to know about it, they are pacifists,
[00:18:13] right, so look at the mess the Mest is
[00:18:16] getting into. Yes, and look, still in Europe, Cabral, the British
[00:18:20] Prime Minister said that the United Kingdom should
[00:18:23] consider a new close relationship with the
[00:18:27] European Union. Andy Burnham, who advocated for the
[00:18:30] country's permanence in the European Bloc in 2016, stated
[00:18:34] that a new post-Brexit agreement could
[00:18:37] foster growth and help control immigration. He
[00:18:41] also said that the United Kingdom did not benefit from leaving the
[00:18:44] European Union and should re-evaluate its relations with
[00:18:54] controversy in the United
[00:18:57] Party was against, right, Brexit,
[00:19:01] it was absolutely against Brexit and Brexit
[00:19:04] passed, right, by, if I'm not mistaken, 50.2 to
[00:19:08] 48. I saw a poll today in The
[00:19:11] Telegraph where, incredibly, despite
[00:19:14] all the bad things that happened to the British
[00:19:18] economy after Brexit, Brexit has the support of
[00:19:22] only 19% of the population, but I tell you, part
[00:19:25] of this secessionist
[00:19:28] movement that exists in Wales, in Northern
[00:19:32] Ireland, in Scotland, is due to the relative
[00:19:34] economic decline
[00:19:38] that occurred because of Brexit. What is sought now is not
[00:19:42] a return to the European Union, but a grand
[00:19:45] free trade agreement, especially because the European Union
[00:19:48] also suffered from the departure
[00:19:51] of the United Kingdom. So they will make a very
[00:19:54] broad free trade agreement, right, one of the
[00:19:57] restrictions that the English had, which was the Schengen
[00:20:01] area, they will do something
[00:20:04] similar, but with a way to...
[00:20:07] charm the British again, they will allow
[00:20:11] greater industrial and commercial exchange,
[00:20:14] uh, that is, I see Burnham's strategy as a
[00:20:18] strategy similar to Keir Starmer's,
[00:20:21] right, to gradually convince,
[00:20:24] right, to reintegrate the United
[00:20:28] Kingdom into the European Union. Look, the
[00:20:31] conservatives' bet
[00:20:34] was that, "Look, we're going to distance ourselves
[00:20:38] from the European Union to connect even more with
[00:20:41] the United States." It backfired, Obama didn't give
[00:20:45] much attention to it, Trump didn't want to know,
[00:20:48] Trump, uh... he couldn't negotiate an agreement that would be
[00:20:52] extremely damaging to British industry and
[00:20:55] now this year, right, he tried
[00:20:59] again for an agreement that is a difficult agreement for the
[00:21:02] British, uh, they would be
[00:21:05] the 51st state because the trade conditions
[00:21:09] he proposes would be extremely
[00:21:12] harsh, and I remind you that the United Kingdom has
[00:21:15] a deficit with the, the, the, the
[00:21:18] Americans, right, it's not...
[00:21:20] So it's those agreements that Trump loves to make, right,
[00:21:24] agreements like he made with Venezuela, that he
[00:21:27] made with Colombia, those agreements where the Americans win
[00:21:31] a lot and the others,
[00:21:34] exactly, and it's important for you to bring this up,
[00:21:37] right, because we as Brazilians must realize that each country
[00:21:41] primarily seeks its own interests, right, there's no point
[00:21:44] in us believing that a third country, whether it's the United States or
[00:21:48] not, will solve our situation. Right, because each country first thinks
[00:21:51] of its own population, and that's how the United States historically,
[00:21:55] since you mentioned that country, right? Now, let's go, let's talk about the
[00:21:59] situation in the Middle East a bit more, Cabral, because a missile
[00:22:03] attack hit the international airport of Saudi Arabia, a projectile
[00:22:06] hit the passenger terminal of the busiest airport in the
[00:22:09] country, including security cameras recorded the panic of travelers
[00:22:13] at the moment of the strong explosion. The official count records 13
[00:22:17] dead and more than 300 injured. The attack
[00:22:21] was claimed by the Houthis of Yemen, supported by the current regime of Iran. The
[00:22:24] offensive is part of a military escalation in the
[00:22:27] region. The Saudi government stated that the response must be
[00:22:31] equally harsh against the terrorists. How do
[00:22:34] you evaluate, right, these actions by the Houthis, which have been
[00:22:37] growing not just for 15 days, but for several
[00:22:41] months in the region?
[00:22:44] Look, the Houthis, they follow a strategy formulated
[00:22:48] by Iran, by the... uh, ultimately, who directs
[00:22:51] the Houthis is the Iranian Quds
[00:22:55] Force that is there. Uh, Saudi Arabia is
[00:22:58] paying the price for its sins, first in its
[00:23:01] own relationship with the Houthis, right? There's almost a consensus
[00:23:05] in the region that Saudi
[00:23:08] Arabia was especially very harsh
[00:23:11] and the Houthis are taking advantage of this
[00:23:14] opportunity to make the Saudis pay. That
[00:23:18] said... Strategically
[00:23:21] it's not a good business, Saudi Arabia suffers
[00:23:25] so much, it's the largest individual producer of, the second largest
[00:23:28] individual producer of oil in the world, the
[00:23:32] second largest exporter. This
[00:23:35] is a fundamental question. The Americans removed
[00:23:38] several interceptors and sent them to Saudi
[00:23:41] Arabia, but uh the efficiency
[00:23:45] of these systems, right, has been inferior
[00:23:48] even to... just like it was in the Gulf War, that's
[00:23:51] why the Houthis have had uh great
[00:23:55] success, they attacked the airports of Jeddah,
[00:23:58] Mecca, uh uh Riyadh, right,
[00:24:00] they attacked a terminal that is very well defended, which is
[00:24:04] Yanbu, they attacked a a a an oil
[00:24:08] production center in the middle of Saudi Arabia,
[00:24:11] so what is this, uh, there is a
[00:24:14] intelligence report that says it's the Chinese and
[00:24:17] Russians supporting Iran and the Houthis
[00:24:21] to pressure Saudi Arabia to detach from the United
[00:24:25] States. What happened? Why are the
[00:24:28] United States getting into this conversation? The Bin
[00:24:31] Salman asked MBS asked Trump for help to
[00:24:35] bomb the Houthis. The Americans had made
[00:24:39] a deal, right? Jaid Vez made a deal with the
[00:24:42] Houthis. Look, if you don't attack the
[00:24:45] commercial navigation in the
[00:24:48] Red Sea, we won't.
[00:24:50] We will intervene and warned Saudi Arabia about this,
[00:24:54] no, arrogant Saudi Arabia, said: no, I'll deal with it, I
[00:24:58] can deal with it, give me the missiles and I'll do the
[00:25:01] rest, she's not being able to deal with it, she asked for Italy's
[00:25:05] support, Italy won't help, the United
[00:25:08] Kingdom and France sent eh
[00:25:11] interceptors, they sent interceptor batteries that
[00:25:15] are not being able to deal with the Houthis, because the Houthis attack
[00:25:18] in large numbers. with those missiles and drones
[00:25:21] supplied by Iran with
[00:25:24] Russian technology and/or Chinese,
[00:25:27] okay? That said, Saudi Arabia is
[00:25:30] pressured, so where did she go? She went to
[00:25:33] Israel. Israel has already said that it also can't
[00:25:37] help until the 27th. And the
[00:25:39] Americans, right? You can be sure
[00:25:43] that they will exact a price. Everything will revolve around
[00:25:46] oil. How much
[00:25:50] Saudi Arabia will pay Trump,
[00:25:53] Trump's language is how much
[00:25:56] you pay me for me to drop bombs
[00:26:06] these commercial connections, then, right, a conflict always
[00:26:09] starts, we always know how it starts, we don't know how it ends
[00:26:13] and in the middle it involves other countries, including
[00:26:16] commercially pressuring, now in Iran, the Ministry of Foreign
[00:26:20] Affairs stated that it is still analyzing the United States' response
[00:26:24] to the proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, according to the
[00:26:27] government spokesman, Tehran continues to exchange messages through
[00:26:31] intermediaries and will give a definitive answer when it completes
[00:26:34] the analysis. Iran presented a proposal to the United States in
[00:26:38] mid-September. However, the process has been
[00:26:41] stalled since receiving the response. The
[00:26:44] Iranian security chief states that Washington has not sufficiently
[00:26:48] addressed Tehran's seven conditions for reopening the Strait of
[00:26:52] Hormuz. A central point of disagreement has been Washington's
[00:26:55] insistence on addressing the Iranian
[00:26:58] nuclear program from the beginning. Tehran argues that the
[00:27:01] negotiations should focus on reopening the maritime
[00:27:09] what is almost a consensus among
[00:27:12] American analysts is that Trump
[00:27:15] is pushing this decision, he will not
[00:27:19] concede the seven points, which would be a surrender, he will not concede
[00:27:23] because it is impossible, so he will push, he is letting,
[00:27:26] Iran has already attacked more than 20 ships in the
[00:27:29] last 8 days more or less. He has already attacked 20
[00:27:33] ships, the Americans have fewer aircraft carriers
[00:27:37] there in the Middle East, the Theodore Roosevelt should
[00:27:40] arrive this week, eh, then it might be that
[00:27:44] they establish with
[00:27:46] more rigor the naval blockade of
[00:27:50] merchant ship escorts through Hormuz,
[00:27:54] eh, that said, eh, it is expected that the Americans
[00:27:58] are also accumulating many missiles, right, for a large
[00:28:01] attack from November 4th, to which
[00:28:05] Iran has already said that if this
[00:28:08] scenario materializes, it will launch a preventive
[00:28:12] attack, right, all American interests
[00:28:15] and will count on the support of the so-called axis of
[00:28:19] resistance, right, it's Kata'ib Hezbollah there in Iraq,
[00:28:23] Hezbollah in Lebanon, the
[00:28:26] Houthis there in Yemen and it would be Hamas
[00:28:30] there eh there in Gaza and... and besides other
[00:28:33] attacks that could occur in Europe, terrorist attacks
[00:28:36] and the Iranians threatened the Ramstein
[00:28:39] base in Germany, they have a missile
[00:28:43] probably within range there, at the moment I don't
[00:28:46] believe in an agreement, but look, in practice, the Americans will
[00:28:49] withdraw from the Middle East due to the inability to
[00:28:53] defend those bases there within the
[00:28:57] Strait, within the Persian Gulf, right, so they will probably
[00:29:00] withdraw, now... now the other conditions that
[00:29:04] Iran wants eh eh eh eh to release
[00:29:08] all the money, 300 billion for the
[00:29:11] reconstruction of Iran, release all the frozen assets and
[00:29:14] maintain the nuclear program, I believe that
[00:29:17] no American president, nor a
[00:29:21] completely unfavorable Congress to
[00:29:24] Trump will accept this type of condition, so
[00:29:28] the impasse is set, the impasse will last until
[00:29:31] November 4th. Right, on the third there's a vote, from
[00:29:35] the 4th a new world
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