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[00:04:40] Center. This Sunday, October 4,
[00:04:47] A supernatural experience is what
[00:16:20] Word of the day, Friday, September 101.
[00:18:55] The largest election in its history, more than 2,000 positions
[00:18:59] at stake, more than 100 million voters called to the polls
[00:19:02] next June 6,
[00:19:04] 2027.
[00:19:07] and preparations formally began this Thursday with the
[00:19:11] ceremony that marks the beginning of this process at the
[00:19:14] National Electoral Institute, the INE.
[00:19:18] Citizens called to the polls with whom we can talk, have
[00:19:22] said that for them it is important to
[00:19:25] vote in these midterm elections in Mexico, people
[00:19:29] have to vote, the more votes there are, the more
[00:19:32] credible it is. It is our right and our duty as
[00:19:35] Mexicans.
[00:19:37] is to exercise our right to vote, although the majority admitted not
[00:19:41] knowing what is at stake or what positions are being elected,
[00:19:45] I wasn't aware of what is being elected, but I do know that there are elections, to be honest,
[00:19:49] no, I'm not very aware of
[00:19:51] that, what's it called, for change
[00:19:55] in deputies and senators and a few governors,
[00:19:59] next year 500 federal deputies,
[00:20:02] 17 governorships, 1098 deputies
[00:20:06] will be renewed.
[00:20:11] 16 mayoralties, among other positions, according to the
[00:20:14] INE. As of today, the INE, Guadalupe
[00:20:17] Tady, president counselor of the INE, declared this process inaugurated,
[00:20:21] at a sensitive moment for the country's highest electoral body,
[00:20:25] after the resignation of the executive secretary Claudia
[00:20:28] Espino, citing health reasons.
[00:20:32] There are moments in the public life of a country
[00:20:35] that allow to mention with special
[00:20:40] institutions, this is one of those
[00:20:44] days, the results of this process
[00:20:47] will define a large part of the political map of... Mexico and the
[00:20:51] INE will play a paramount role as organizer
[00:20:54] of this electoral process. Today they look so fragmented. For Professor
[00:20:57] of Political Studies at the Center for Economic Research and Teaching,
[00:21:01] CIDE, Javier Aparicio, the challenge for President
[00:21:04] Claudia Sheinbaum's party, the National Regeneration Movement
[00:21:07] or Morena, will be to maintain its qualified majority in the
[00:21:11] Chamber of Deputies. This has allowed it to approve reforms
[00:21:14] without having to ally with the opposition. I believe that the
[00:21:18] most important result for Morena is
[00:21:21] to maintain the majorities in the Chamber of
[00:21:23] Deputies, in second place, in second
[00:21:27] place it would have the local and state governments, right? But I believe
[00:21:31] that the result that most interests it or that should worry Morena
[00:21:34] is whether it manages to maintain its qualified
[00:21:37] majority in the Chamber of Deputies. Representative of the
[00:21:40] political party "Somos", on the ballot two new parties will also
[00:21:43] appear, "Somos México" and "Paz" which must compete and
[00:21:47] reach a minimum of 3% of the votes to keep their
[00:21:51] registration.
[00:21:53] This election will also be an important test leading up to the 2030
[00:21:56] presidential elections, it will show how much ground Morena retains
[00:22:00] as the ruling party and how much the opposition
[00:22:05] is at stake, its planning began this
[00:22:08] week, nine months before voters go to the
[00:22:12] polls. Valeria León, CNN, Mexico
[00:22:15] City.
[00:22:20] Let's get down to business, Luis Carlos Hugalde, director of Integral a Consultores,
[00:22:24] former president of the Federal Electoral Institute of Mexico, Luis Carlos, thank you for
[00:22:27] being with us, if you had the opportunity to listen to Valeria's report,
[00:22:31] there are some citizens who are not very clear about what they are going to
[00:22:35] vote for, is that normal at this point in the election, right? Yes,
[00:22:39] it's perfectly normal, Gabi, because there are 9 months left,
[00:22:42] because it's a midterm election and because most people only start to
[00:22:46] find out two or three months before the election, I don't see that
[00:22:50] as a problem
[00:22:50] and
[00:22:56] its institutions to this new process,
[00:23:00] yes, there is an institutional problem, Gabi,
[00:23:03] clearly one of the biggest problems at the moment is that the INE
[00:23:06] and the Electoral Tribunal appear politically
[00:23:10] captured, appear to be less impartial, appear
[00:23:13] to be remiss, a central issue in Mexico in recent
[00:23:16] months has been the fact that the parties,
[00:23:20] especially the official party Morena, started 6
[00:23:23] months earlier than the beginning of the so-called pre-campaigns, and that
[00:23:26] issue, the fact that they can start playing soccer earlier,
[00:23:30] when neither the referee nor the fans have arrived, is
[00:23:34] an issue that is violating electoral legislation in
[00:23:37] Mexico, and in this issue there is a great omission by the
[00:23:41] authorities
[00:23:41] and
[00:23:45] you say the institutions are taken, what can be expected in the coming
[00:23:49] months then? In that sense, a
[00:23:51] risk, Gabriela, is the uneven playing field, that
[00:23:55] the referee doesn't blow the whistle, that he doesn't pull out the yellow
[00:23:59] and red cards, and that
[00:24:01] clearly invites more violation of the
[00:24:05] rules, I see a risk that in the coming
[00:24:09] months it could happen that, given the
[00:24:11] lack of firmness from the referee, the parties
[00:24:15] start doing whatever they want, they already started their pre-campaigns six
[00:24:19] months ago. What's coming could be that governments get involved in the
[00:24:23] elections, that there's clientelistic use of social programs
[00:24:26] and that everyone ends up doing what they want, that's the
[00:24:30] risk and I think that's an issue that needs to be given
[00:24:34] a lot of attention in the coming weeks and
[00:24:37] months.
[00:24:40] And I also want to ask you, since you are talking about this environment in which these elections
[00:24:44] will be generated, the issue of security, the issue of
[00:24:48] possible pressures from
[00:24:50] organized crime in this process in the coming months, what
[00:24:54] are you anticipating and how protected is the process from this
[00:24:57] type of pressure, and especially the candidates, Luis Carlos, I believe this is the greatest
[00:25:00] risk of next year's election,
[00:25:04] Gabriela, because organized crime for about
[00:25:07] 10 or 15 years has been gradually penetrating elections,
[00:25:10] why? To induce that the candidates preferred by
[00:25:14] crime win the elections or to eliminate those who represent a
[00:25:18] risk to the territorial control of criminal groups,
[00:25:22] clearly more and more this starts to have an inhibitory
[00:25:25] effect, so the candidates already peacefully
[00:25:28] submit to the interests
[00:25:32] of organized crime, this capture eventually the
[00:25:36] violence they exert when someone does not submit, I think that is the greatest
[00:25:39] risk. This partly results from the fact that the Mexican
[00:25:43] state has not done anything profound, nothing
[00:25:47] serious to contain this penetration.
[00:25:50] and that, of course, what it portends is that this
[00:25:54] penetration will happen
[00:25:55] again.
[00:25:58] Not even based on past lessons, also on this same topic.
[00:26:02] And and and the incidents we've had, Luis Carlos, look Gabriela,
[00:26:06] something so superficial and so trivial was done, which was that
[00:26:10] the president proposed that a committee of
[00:26:13] counselors from the Electoral Institute be formed to review
[00:26:17] the criminal records of the candidates,
[00:26:21] clearly this is also optional, do you think
[00:26:24] that there are databases to
[00:26:28] know who has dealt with organized
[00:26:31] crime? The database that the government has is
[00:26:34] very limited and two, many times what happens is that even if you
[00:26:38] or I want to be candidates, we have no
[00:26:41] record, we are decent and honest
[00:26:45] people, once you are on the playing field is when
[00:26:49] they capture you, bribe you, threaten you and there often
[00:26:53] the link occurs, so apart from
[00:26:56] this investigative committee of your past, nothing else has been
[00:27:00] done, this is the great problem that makes it seem
[00:27:03] that again surely organized crime
[00:27:07] will penetrate, will be there and from time to time there will be a little
[00:27:10] violence, that's what will
[00:27:13] pasar,
[00:27:16] Finally, electoral observation, Luis Carlos, international
[00:27:19] observation in this case for this type of elections, do you expect it and
[00:27:23] where is it most important to put the magnifying glass? It is very important that
[00:27:27] there is robust electoral observation, Mexico always welcomes
[00:27:30] international and national observers, for a long time observation
[00:27:34] lost interest because the INE
[00:27:38] was the guarantee of this, now that there are doubts I think it should be promoted,
[00:27:42] now I must say something, despite all these problems that I just
[00:27:45] mentioned, the INE, despite its political capture in its
[00:27:49] governing body, still has a professional
[00:27:51] structure that guarantees that elections
[00:27:55] in Mexico continue to be organized with great professionalism, so
[00:27:59] that if people go out to vote and there is electoral observation,
[00:28:02] I believe that the will of Mexicans will be transferred into
[00:28:06] votes and into the person, the people who are elected in next
[00:28:10] year's election.
[00:28:14] Well, we are attentive and we will be calling in the coming months, as always
[00:28:18] Luis Carlos, as always I also thank you, good night, until another time,
[00:28:22] good
[00:28:23] night.
[00:28:30] The full story with Anderson Cooper.
[00:29:02] and CNN is always present to bring you the most
[00:29:05] relevant information, now on weekends,
[00:29:08] follow Rey Rodríguez, who leads the Mirador Mundial
[00:29:11] team, your point of reference to find out what is
[00:29:15] happening in your city, in your country and in the world,
[00:29:19] stay with CNN for accurate and timely
[00:29:23] information on the stories of the moment, world
[00:29:26] viewpoint, Saturdays and Sundays on
[00:29:29] CNN, live from Mexico
[00:29:32] City. A story can
[00:29:36] change everything, a look at the reconstruction efforts of a
[00:29:40] city and the hope of a people determined to rise up, it evolved
[00:29:44] very quickly, and we never thought it would become a Category
[00:29:47] 5, and to understand what is happening, let's go
[00:29:51] with my colleague Ione Molinare to Washington,
[00:29:55] the explosion, we can see the dimension it had to take down the entire
[00:29:59] facade, we listen to the protagonists. They
[00:30:03] mocked us as mothers and fathers of the 43,
[00:30:07] where she lived a bomb fell, we are about to board this
[00:30:10] Mexican Air Force plane heading to Romania,
[00:30:13] to have a complete vision, we are
[00:30:16] here as migrants to progress and help this country grow, there are
[00:30:20] great stories to learn and many perspectives to
[00:30:23] analyze. Perspectives with Mario
[00:30:25] González, Monday to Friday on
[00:30:28] CNN. Every night, there is the possibility
[00:30:33] of an unfiltered bombardment, they should not
[00:30:37] treat our young people like this anywhere,
[00:30:40] here it is asked, is there freedom of belief in the country, in
[00:30:43] Spain, it is heard, this type of phenomenon is not
[00:30:47] that they are the generators of change, they are the expression of a change, and it is
[00:30:50] debated, their foreign policy will be like this, timid without
[00:30:54] taking a stance, conclusions with Fernando del Rincón, Monday
[00:30:58] to Friday on CNN.