TELEARUBA — broadcast 20261004 133000 UTC 374 transcript segments Google Cloud Speech-to-Text API (Chirp) + Gemini 2.5 Flash Non-Thinking Data courtesy of The GDELT Project (https://www.gdeltproject.org/), from the Internet Archive TV News Archive. Machine transcription. Treat it as a searchable index of what was broadcast, not a verbatim quotation record. [00:00:00] category five and to [00:00:00] of the tension and we no longer understand what is [00:00:02] happening, let's go with my colleague Ione Molinarés to [00:00:06] Washington. [00:00:08] The explosion, well, we can see the dimension it had to take away the entire [00:00:12] facade. We hear the protagonists, they [00:00:16] mocked us as mothers and fathers of the 43. Where [00:00:19] she lived, a bomb fell. We are about to board this [00:00:23] Mexican Air Force plane heading to Romania to [00:00:26] have a complete view. We are here as immigrants [00:00:30] to progress, to make this country grow. There are great stories to [00:00:33] discover and many perspectives to analyze. Perspectives [00:00:37] with Mario González, Monday to Friday on CNN. [00:01:02] Democrats win in the [00:01:13] Republican friends are listening to me now and are going to [00:01:47] Juan Carlos, when one looks at what happened in Iran, one has [00:01:51] to review, President Trump shows what happened in Venezuela and [00:01:55] says I solved this in less than an hour, as the [00:01:58] model that apparently he thought was going to work in Iran. This [00:02:01] week, a book came out that tells how [00:02:04] Netanyahu, the Prime Minister of Israel, tried to convince Biden with the same arguments [00:02:08] to go to war, and Biden did not accept, and other leaders did not [00:02:12] do it. Trump did, and he went to a war where now many [00:02:16] believe he has no way out. Iran controls [00:02:19] although the flow is almost what it [00:02:22] was before the war, the flow of the Strait of Hormuz. Now through [00:02:26] the Houthis in Yemen, it controls the strait [00:02:30] of Bab al-Mandab, [00:02:32] and therefore that will which is another [00:02:35] key body of water for the world economy. It controls it, it has not [00:02:38] closed it. It has paralyzed Saudi Arabian industry [00:02:42] through the use of drones. The United States underestimated a rival like [00:02:47] comes to the elections in Iran, which now has very high fuel prices, and Trump has [00:02:49] said that after the elections, there would be a [00:02:53] new offensive against that [00:02:56] country, but the truth is that this is a war [00:03:00] that has no clear solution and the impact for the world remains [00:03:04] clear. Indeed, [00:03:06] it has no clear solution and the question is what will happen after the [00:03:10] mid-term elections, because President Trump himself has said that this will [00:03:14] be resolved after the mid-term elections, [00:03:17] practically sending the message that we should not expect any [00:03:20] solution, any [00:03:23] event that will lower the cost of [00:03:27] fuels, the cost of oil before [00:03:30] November. So the question is what will happen next, right? [00:03:34] One theory is that the Iranians are deliberately [00:03:37] applying a policy [00:03:40] everything has been based on of maximum pressure and intransigence in negotiations hoping that Trump will pay the [00:03:44] consequences in November. That is one scenario, but that once November [00:03:48] has passed, there could be a quick solution to this crisis, [00:03:52] because it is not convenient for the Iranians either, let's remember that [00:03:55] there is also a US blockade on Iran's crude oil exports [00:03:59] and... at one point Iran's economy was also under very strong pressure. Now, [00:04:03] being a dictatorship [00:04:06] again here on Choque de and a dictatorship that has repressed its people for many [00:04:09] years, the regime's capacity for endurance is much greater than [00:04:13] a democracy that has elections in a few weeks. But there [00:04:17] is also the other scenario, which is that Trump will intensify the [00:04:20] attacks against Iran, resume them, [00:04:24] and that scenarios that had not been contemplated until [00:04:28] recently will be on the table again, such as putting troops [00:04:31] on the ground in Iran, attacks [00:04:34] on civilian [00:04:37] to modify their maps to cut short what infrastructure, among other situations that were discussed and contemplated at the beginning of the conflict, but that have [00:04:41] dissipated in the conversation. So that is one of the big questions [00:04:45] we have after the election, what will happen with Iran, [00:04:48] a quick settlement after the election or rather an [00:04:52] escalation of the war. Rocío, but let's go back to Trump's same [00:04:56] strategy, because he has already won the war with Iran. [00:05:00] He has declared many times that the war has already ended, he says it is not a [00:05:03] war, the next day he says it is. The elections are coming [00:05:07] and he is the one who has launched this argument. He says that what the Iranians want is [00:05:11] to harm him so that the Democrats weaken him in the conflict [00:05:15] and we know this week that there is a new military mobilization, [00:05:19] that they are sending a third aircraft carrier to the region, which would increase the [00:05:22] number of soldiers. The impact of this is that the price of [00:05:26] oil rises, which continues to be very high. There is no [00:05:29] solution here and again one would see a Trump disconnected from reality [00:05:33] when he sees the conflict in a way [00:05:37] in which they did not advise him, he did not listen, or in this second government [00:05:41] he surrounded himself only with people who agree with him to result in a [00:05:45] situation that has the United States, the world economy in [00:05:47] check. Yes, but the truth is that we are already in [00:05:51] this, right? And obviously it has happened and I also disagree with this, that [00:05:55] they spend, right, more than 10, 15 times where they say, we have [00:05:59] finished, we have won, because that doesn't serve anyone. [00:06:02] But what happens? You also have on the other side the [00:06:06] same radicals from Iran writing, saying that please [00:06:09] let the Democrats win and we are going to use that. [00:06:12] The Republicans will also use it, right? Let the [00:06:15] mid-term elections now in a month, because that [00:06:19] will facilitate aid to Iran, obviously so that [00:06:23] they win in some way or another. That is something that the Republicans will use [00:06:26] in all these local contests, they will use it and [00:06:30] in Michigan, whether it is in Maine or in New Hampshire, that [00:06:34] the Democrats want to win in the Senate, that can really [00:06:38] be the difference, right? [00:06:41] In one thing. In all these situations, yes, I [00:06:44] think we are talking a lot about Trump, but we have to see the coin of the [00:06:48] Democrats too, they have a problem with a Hassan Piker with that [00:06:52] black cloud they have within the Democratic party that says at one [00:06:55] point, oh well, if Talarico wins in Texas [00:06:59] in some way or another, we, but speaking like the mafia, we are going to [00:07:03] see if the gas is really a Democrat, [00:07:06] that is, where are we, where today you have [00:07:09] that other alternative that those voters have, right, both [00:07:13] independents who you have a socialist movement [00:07:17] that obviously we are talking about populism, that [00:07:20] Donald Trump promised $5, blessed, what the other [00:07:24] side of the Democratic party also promises are almost trillions, [00:07:27] 200, 160 trillion dollars in handouts. This [00:07:31] is not the way to win, but I understand now that this is where everyone [00:07:35] wants to make a promise to see how they win. Donald Trump didn't [00:07:39] do well with that either, it was not part of what the conservative [00:07:42] movement is, and that's why I agree with César on that, it doesn't look good [00:07:46] on either party, but if we see where it is, that's why it's [00:07:50] so important and everyone is talking about the blue wave, look, the [00:07:54] blue wave is not so marked because if what you have are [00:07:57] to win 12 congressional seats, the House [00:08:01] and we are talking about three to four in the Senate that can [00:08:04] be disputed and I think that Minnesota is in play, I think that [00:08:08] Michigan is definitely in play for the Republicans, which are [00:08:11] bastions of the Democrats at this moment, listen, you know, [00:08:15] anything can happen here, anything can happen, Juan Carlos, I'm going to give [00:08:18] you the opportunity after the break to highlight who Hassan Piker is, Rocío [00:08:22] cited him, he is an activist, [00:08:25] streamer, these influencers is the [00:08:28] word, a Democrat who has generated a lot of controversy, but he is not [00:08:32] a candidate for any type of elected office, there was [00:08:36] controversy because he supported the candidacy of Doctor Sayed [00:08:40] in Michigan, who is a favorite for... we'll see if it happens or not, but that [00:08:44] is that debate that there is between if there [00:08:47] are socialists or not. What I don't know, Rocío, [00:08:50] and we'll talk about that later, is if the US Constitution prohibits [00:08:54] socialists or communists or other types [00:09:02] Every night there is the possibility of an [00:09:05] unfiltered bombing. [00:09:08] Our young people should not be treated like that anywhere. [00:09:11] The question is, is there freedom of belief in the country [00:09:14] in Spain? You hear this type of [00:09:17] phenomenon is not that they are the generators of change, they are the expression of a [00:09:21] change and it is debated. Its foreign policy will be [00:09:24] like this, without setting positions, conclusions with [00:09:28] Fernando del Rincón, Monday to Friday on CNN. [00:12:12] I am Darío Claim in Montevideo, we are [00:12:15] CNN. [00:12:27] César and Rocío talk about the mid-term elections [00:12:30] disadvantaging the ruling party, but [00:12:33] the projected loss of seats for these elections is much [00:12:36] lower than what we saw, for example, in 2010 with Obama and then with [00:12:40] Clinton in 94, and that's true, but we also have to take into account that for [00:12:43] this election there was a very important gerrymandering in the [00:12:47] definition of how the electoral [00:12:51] districts were determined, and this was done to favor the Republicans. It was done [00:12:55] in Texas, it was done in other states, [00:12:57] significantly reduce Republican [00:13:00] losses. It is not because the voters are more generous [00:13:04] with the Republicans in this election, but because the Republicans [00:13:07] chose their voters especially when it [00:13:12] the House of [00:13:22] interesting because some of the districts that my dear Juan [00:13:25] Carlos mentions are indeed in play, look [00:13:29] that even some Democrats can win there, I don't understand if [00:13:32] that win, if a Democrat were to win [00:13:36] there, they would reject it, and second [00:13:39] there is a mechanism, for example in the case of Texas that went through very different [00:13:43] legislation than in California, precisely the [00:13:47] commission that was in charge of approving the [00:13:49] redistricting that Gavin Newsom proposed, in fact he [00:13:53] eliminated that and practically he decided that electoral map [00:13:57] which is much more tyrannical and much more [00:14:00] different from what the Republicans have done this year, I think [00:14:05] the rules of the game that have allowed it beyond whether [00:14:09] we agree or not on deciding those new [00:14:13] electoral maps, but I don't think that the decisions or whether [00:14:16] the Republicans will win or lose more seats or fewer [00:14:19] this year is precisely because of that change in the congressional [00:14:23] seats. Rather, it is an economic issue and it must be [00:14:27] noted that California changed its electoral map after Texas changed its [00:14:43] do it? The group that approved that electoral map and he approved it, [00:14:47] while in Texas it was approved through legislation, which is the legal process. [00:14:50] But the California Supreme Court validated that electoral [00:14:53] map. within this system in which [00:14:56] let's put things in context, President Trump asked Republican states [00:15:02] he anticipated would be a defeat. California responded in the [00:15:06] same way, if it works for one or it works for the other. [00:15:10] And one thing, this redefinition of electoral maps has to happen [00:15:13] after each census, every 10 years, at the beginning of the decade, [00:15:17] it is totally unusual for a [00:15:20] state to redefine its electoral maps in the middle [00:15:23] of a decade without an intervening census, [00:15:26] so it was a deliberate act by the Republicans [00:15:30] initially to choose their own voters instead of the [00:15:33] opposite. In the case of Texas, there was an order, in fact, to make [00:15:37] the map again. I think there is a nuance that is very interesting, which is that in [00:15:41] the case of Texas, the redistribution, the new electoral [00:15:45] map, may end up favoring Democrats, but of course that was not [00:15:49] the intention, and that redistribution, especially in southern [00:15:52] Texas, will generate that Latino vote that Trump managed to [00:15:56] obtain with 48%, he is the only [00:15:59] modern Republican who has managed to obtain such a significant vote from [00:16:03] the Latino vote, well now Trump's policies are [00:16:06] migrating towards voting for much more [00:16:09] Democratic options, so it seems that Texas's strategy, sorry, [00:16:13] it seems that Texas's strategy, which sought to benefit Republicans, [00:16:16] will end up in a certain way or may end up [00:16:19] affecting them. I reiterate quickly, Texas had [00:16:23] an order that they had to make a change and the governor did it, but do you know what the mistake is, and I'm going [00:16:27] to tell you something, Tatiana, if they lose the Senate [00:16:31] seat in Texas, I don't think it's because of the [00:16:33] redistricting, I think it's because the president, in my opinion, [00:16:37] made a mistake supporting Mr. Ken Paxton, I think Senator [00:16:41] Cornyn is much better, in fact I [00:16:44] know him, I think he's a great guy, and it's a political [00:16:47] mistake by the president and surely many [00:16:51] crucify me, but I am sure that is the biggest mistake, not the [00:16:55] change in the electoral map because it was an order that Governor [00:16:58] Greg Abbott had to complete [00:17:02] and that order came [00:17:11] act, said that no one could stand [00:17:15] him, he has said that he dresses very badly, that he is unbearable, but that he is [00:17:19] his candidate. His campaign has been very bad, [00:17:23] and besides that, now statements came out where he said that the Democratic [00:17:26] convention and the Republican convention that Trump held in Dallas had [00:17:30] been a failure and that his numbers had gone down, but Tatiana touched on a fundamental [00:17:34] point, Latinos in Texas supported [00:17:38] and that support has gone down by half. There is discontent about the [00:17:41] economy, there is discontent about the immigration strategy, because many [00:17:44] were promised that criminals and people with criminal records would be [00:17:48] deported, and that is not what is happening. The border is [00:17:51] closed, but the economy is also affected, and Texas [00:17:55] is something we have always said, well, when Beto and Ted [00:17:58] Cruz were there and everyone thought that Beto was coming and was going to win [00:18:02] from nowhere, in this case Trump, when you see Donald Trump [00:18:06] saying, "Well, he's very good, but in reality he dresses terribly and is already criticizing him," it [00:18:10] means they are already seeing the numbers. Ken Paxton was not the [00:18:13] candidate, and I completely agree with César on that. John Cornyn was [00:18:17] the candidate, but in many things one does not want to recognize, [00:18:21] especially for these egocentric men, what you wanted [00:18:24] was another person, just like what will happen in South Carolina with Senator [00:18:27] Graham's sister, because you also have to listen [00:18:31] to the voices in the field and in politics, as we started [00:18:34] our program here, it is local, you have to listen to the voices of your [00:18:38] people and say that you have to allow, as happened to the Democrats who did not [00:18:42] listen to Joe Biden and Kamala Harris and removed Joe before [00:18:45] his time, you have to listen to your people because if not, you pay the price, and [00:18:49] Texas, I think, will definitely be one of those surprises because Ken [00:18:53] Paxton is not good, not [00:18:56] good since, it's been like three decades that there hasn't been a Democrat, since Lloyd [00:19:00] Bentsen there hasn't been a Democrat in the Senate [00:19:14] opinions. [00:19:17] quieren que las contemos. [00:19:21] We want to have great minds talking about the [00:19:24] most important issues that affect our countries and [00:19:28] us as people. [00:19:31] I have a responsibility to tell the truth, to be truthful, not to be [00:19:35] neutral. Those are very different things. [00:19:37] Oppenheimer presents on Sunday on [00:19:40] CNN, you have 5 minutes, [00:19:44] we have five things for you, a podcast with the five [00:19:47] most important topics of the day, just ask your smart [00:19:51] device, give me the latest CNN news. Next, [00:19:55] I'm going to tell you the five things you need to know at this time, [00:19:58] updated every hour, no cost or commitment, [00:20:02] stay informed from anywhere and at any [00:20:05] time, subscribe to our [00:20:07] newsletter, listen to the five things you need to know [00:20:10] throughout the day. [00:20:21] In that setting of objectives and [00:20:24] relationships, we must maintain [00:20:28] all the progress that has been made. We are not talking about other chapters such as [00:20:31] equality between men and women, such as [00:20:35] working conditions, such as the distribution of wealth, which is [00:20:38] one of the problems that globalization has had, that is, well, [00:20:42] you have to be thinking about a distribution of wealth that [00:20:45] works and that does not create tensions, that the part [00:20:50] have time for that, of the recent times is very [00:20:54] much based on that tension produced by the global economy. [00:20:58] the need to migrate does not [00:21:13] know ages. [00:21:17] Many assure they want to reach Mexico City, but others seek [00:21:20] to go further [00:21:21] north. [00:21:25] The Mexican army's anti-drone battalion consists of these [00:21:29] types of elements of inhibitors to take down drones [00:21:32] that have become a threat. The [00:21:35] Chiapas authorities have detected a cattle smuggling [00:21:38] point. This is one of the illegal [00:21:42] crossing points for cattle going from Central America to [00:21:45] Mexico. Thousands of demonstrators, workers from this [00:21:49] country, came out. [00:21:50] It's from 9:30 in the morning at the Angel of Independence. I am in the municipality of Teuchitlán, [00:21:56] in the Mexican state of Jalisco. Here the discovery was [00:21:59] macabre by groups of people searching [00:22:03] for disappeared persons. What made you come here with the [00:22:06] suspicion that your son could be on this ranch? [00:23:20] of [00:23:20] opinions. [00:23:26] The news doesn't stop and CNN is always [00:23:30] there to bring you the most relevant [00:23:32] information. Now, on weekends, Cilla Rey [00:23:36] Rodríguez, who leads the World Lookout team, your reference [00:23:39] point to find out what is happening in your city, in your [00:23:43] country and in the world, stay with CNN to [00:23:47] get accurate and timely information. The stories of the [00:23:50] moment, World Lookout on Saturdays and [00:23:53] Sundays on CNN. [00:25:43] good, even if you run from behind, and I think that in this case, [00:25:46] the Republicans have an opportunity. I think that... yes, [00:25:50] the House will be in play and that the Republicans may lose it. [00:25:53] I will be very sorry for us, for all the American [00:25:56] people, because we will be in the same situation, in a stalemate, [00:26:00] even though the Republicans have had a majority, they have not [00:26:03] taken advantage, and that is due to the terrible situation we have [00:26:07] in our Congress, but I do think that there is a great [00:26:10] opportunity also for later, even if President [00:26:14] Trump does not have a majority. The only thing that will make me sad is that then the Democrats will [00:26:18] get the impeachment line, impeach, impeach, [00:26:21] impeach. So none of us win, so I hope [00:26:25] that in these next few weeks, the Republicans, the Democrats, at least [00:26:29] come up with proposals that are real for all of us. And let's see [00:26:32] what happens on November 3rd, Juan Carlos [00:26:35] Vidal. It is interesting because the polls indicate that [00:26:39] if this were a referendum on Democrats, Democrats would [00:26:42] lose by a landslide. Democrats are tremendously unpopular at this [00:26:46] moment, there is a highly negative opinion about the Democratic [00:26:49] party. Even so, everything indicates that [00:26:53] they will win the House of Representatives and they have a huge opportunity to [00:26:57] gain control of the Senate. Why? Because the economic [00:27:00] situation in the pockets of Americans has deteriorated due [00:27:04] to policies very clearly identifiable with the Trump [00:27:07] administration, one the war in Iran and two the trade war, the high tariffs he has [00:27:11] imposed on a large number of countries, so [00:27:14] we are on the verge of Democrats taking control of Congress [00:27:18] and then we will see exactly what type of political [00:27:22] control they will make of the Trump administration from [00:27:33] issue is that Democrats have an immense opportunity to [00:27:36] capitalize on those very low approval ratings that [00:27:40] the Trump government has, and if they lose that opportunity, it will be [00:27:44] a political and historical blunder. [00:27:47] Additionally, Republicans will also have the opportunity to [00:27:51] distance themselves from Trump so that they can strategically obtain [00:27:55] those votes they need, especially in states where the elections [00:27:58] will be much more competitive or contested. And [00:28:02] I close with this, finally, the Republican [00:28:05] party has the immense challenge of determining whether the [00:28:09] Trump brand favors them in these elections or, on the [00:28:13] contrary, distances them very much from a [00:28:24] decisions of a political leader always have a cost at the polls [00:28:28] and in the case of President Trump, [00:28:32] the decision on the Iran issue has had a cost, [00:28:35] especially on the cost of living, which does not mean, [00:28:38] in my opinion, that it was incorrect. From [00:28:42] 2021 to 2024, China bought [00:28:45] a large amount of discounted oil from Iran, money that [00:28:49] strengthened the Houthis in Yemen, [00:28:52] Hamas, in, sorry, [00:28:55] Hezbollah, in Hezbollah, who was not only in the Middle East, but [00:28:58] involved in Venezuela and Hamas, who committed this [00:29:02] terrorist act where more than 100 people died, including [00:29:06] Americans in 2023, on October [00:29:08] 7th. So I think the decision was necessary, but I think the [00:29:12] timing, the moment perhaps was not right, and [00:29:16] today it has a political cost and a cost in the elections for President [00:29:19] Donald Trump. And you gave an example that seems perfect to me, [00:29:23] beyond the political analysis, and that is the people who come to fill [00:29:27] the fuel tank of their vehicle and are paying [00:29:30] considerably more. Not only that, but also the [00:29:34] high price of diesel in the United States at a historical level, which [00:29:37] also translates into increases for basic basket products [00:30:39] Hello, good evening, welcome to conclusions, Mario González greets you, [00:30:42] this time for my colleague Fernando del rincón and we begin in [00:30:46] the midst of judicial controversies over the presidential election.