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[00:00:06] Tuesday, election night in the United States, what is at
[00:00:10] stake is very important, will the Democrats win or
[00:00:14] will the Republicans maintain control of Congress, while voters
[00:00:17] decide, CNN analyzes the most important issues, the
[00:00:21] key races, the voting data and what all this
[00:00:24] means for the country. Join our journalists on a day with
[00:00:28] live reports, results. in real-time in-depth analysis.
[00:00:32] Election night in the United
[00:00:35] 9:30 in the morning from the Angel of States, Tuesday on time in the Senate in CNN. CNN
[00:00:37] America with Rebeca Kelly, from Monday to Friday on
[00:00:40] CNN.
[00:00:46] We are CNN, the World Leader in News.
[00:01:09] race in the United States, with a lot
[00:01:12] of activity, of course, from the campaigns, with Donald
[00:01:15] Trump who is still campaigning, the former president Barack Obama has also
[00:01:19] jumped in and is campaigning, who is also doing his part to
[00:01:23] also has a factor because much of what try to call on the Democratic electorate in a race
[00:01:26] where there is uncertainty, there is reserved prognosis, of course, in many states.
[00:01:30] Where should we pay attention? We are going to talk about this, how the
[00:01:33] race has been presented, we are going to talk about all of this on this occasion in México Opina, practically
[00:02:08] How have you seen the performance of President Donald Trump? Let's see, in
[00:02:11] general terms, at first glance, let's say, at first glance, well,
[00:02:15] first of all, it looks like, it's anticipated as what they
[00:02:19] call the blue wave. We don't know, because also 4 years ago there was
[00:02:23] an expectation of a red wave and there wasn't, it was the other way around,
[00:02:26] no. However, if the polls seem to be
[00:02:30] benefiting the Democrats, but again, we don't
[00:02:33] know. What happens is that I think the president
[00:02:37] of the United States sees the polls, he is very aware
[00:02:41] and therefore he has been, even before
[00:02:44] the race began, when they were redistricting,
[00:02:48] he imposed redistricting half of the
[00:02:51] decade to win
[00:02:55] counts, and that's what sometimes happens with districts on the Republican side, but well, it hasn't worked because now we are seeing that
[00:02:58] many of the districts that were purely
[00:03:02] Republican, today have become Democratic or are going to become
[00:03:06] Democratic, but this is part of what Trump
[00:03:10] is doing and that also when he sees that he is going to
[00:03:13] lose this race, he was even seen
[00:03:17] a couple of months ago even in a
[00:03:20] closed session with Hakeem Jeffries who in any
[00:03:24] case would be the
[00:03:26] McAllen and I can see Speaker of the House, that is, the head of the house, but of the
[00:03:29] House of Representatives, I think he is seeing this art of the
[00:03:33] deal beforehand, no, but in any case he is saying
[00:03:37] that if the Republicans do not win at least one of the
[00:03:40] two chambers, it means there is fraud, no, because it is easier to anticipate,
[00:03:44] as Bolsonaro also did in Brazil,
[00:03:47] to anticipate that if he loses, it is because there is fraud, if he wins, there
[00:03:51] is no fraud, in fact he said
[00:03:53] no issue, no. What is it last weekend, this is what we have
[00:03:57] seen, no, we see a President Trump
[00:04:00] a little desperate due to a low approval rating, not very high,
[00:04:04] and presenting himself at different rallies
[00:04:06] and even pulling in people
[00:04:10] who have nothing to do with it and with a very
[00:04:14] strange discourse, he
[00:04:21] the senators who are in contention because he sees them as very
[00:04:25] handsome and that's what he thinks will help him win his
[00:04:28] seat. Suddenly butts but
[00:04:32] well,
[00:04:34] well, there are cases where we know they have, but let's see, is Donald Trump on the
[00:04:38] ballot? He has been campaigning, but he is on the ballot, is this part of it? Well, look,
[00:04:42] Mario, I think so, definitely, I just returned from Washington
[00:04:45] and what we see, not only in Washington but in
[00:04:49] the United States, is that Donald Trump has placed himself on the
[00:04:53] it has been one ballot, he knows that the data, ready for whatever among the Republican electorate,
[00:04:56] particularly, he has a lot of strength, right? And even more so the Republican
[00:05:00] who is going to vote in the race because what he is looking for is for
[00:05:04] them to go vote, that is one of the first factors, right? It's that the Republican
[00:05:07] who is not disheartened
[00:05:10] and wants to vote in this election. The midterms are not
[00:05:13] as enthusiastic in general for the American citizen as
[00:05:17] the presidential elections are, so that has an important
[00:05:21] factor, and without a doubt something that cannot be measured as
[00:05:24] such is the factor that President Donald Trump offered at the
[00:05:28] Republican Convention in Dallas of $5,000 per person per
[00:05:32] adult, right? If he wins both chambers, then how much of a factor will that have
[00:05:36] in this election? Well, we will know until the election. What is very certain, as Raquel says,
[00:05:39] is that the polls do not give an adequate measurement
[00:05:43] because sometimes they tell you that almost always they have said that Donald Trump will lose,
[00:05:47] right? And he ends up winning, so it is difficult
[00:05:51] to be able to measure the polls
[00:05:54] without being directly in each of the districts. It happened in the recent past,
[00:05:58] right? With the Hispanic vote, for example, which
[00:06:02] went very low because it seemed to be a hidden vote that they didn't want to say and finally
[00:06:05] many voted for Donald Trump and more in South Texas, right? Texas played a
[00:06:09] central role here because you have a Senate
[00:06:12] race, right? Which is a key
[00:06:16] heart of the Republican party and here you have
[00:06:19] Paxton fighting against the candidate O'Rourke, right? From the
[00:06:23] Democratic party. The polls
[00:06:26] go up and down but they have placed Paxton closer. Probably
[00:06:30] the injection of $150 million from Elon Musk
[00:06:36] happens in the United States also depends on how much money they have in the
[00:06:40] race, right? And we see the races are expensive races. Very expensive,
[00:06:49] $5,000 like that, increases the cost, now imagine it's
[00:06:54] what it would cost with all the debate, Larry and Mark, also
[00:06:58] Raquel, if this action is legal in
[00:07:01] this regard, if it is legal to offer this as a
[00:07:05] or a vote purchase, well, look, the
[00:07:08] issue and why why it won't be, in my
[00:07:11] opinion, it won't be a legal problem for President Trump
[00:07:15] is because he offers it to all Americans, no, it doesn't matter if you vote
[00:07:18] Democrat, conditional adults, exactly,
[00:07:21] so, well, one could say it's ethical, that would be another
[00:07:25] word, legally I think he will get away with it, ethically, well,
[00:07:29] it depends on everyone's opinion, no, and also on the
[00:07:32] electorate, how much that will play in the voting,
[00:07:36] well, I can imagine that for a couple who are neither
[00:07:39] Democrat nor Republican, well, the doubt comes in, no, hey, if you and
[00:07:43] I vote $10,000, wow, what would we do, no, so I think it will
[00:07:47] play an important role in this race, although always the
[00:07:50] midterms do not favor the incumbent president, no,
[00:07:53] so I think that will also play a role. The
[00:07:57] difficult thing here and as you asked from the beginning is
[00:08:01] how much is Donald Trump on the ballot, what is
[00:08:04] ah, for example, in Texas he has had eight rallies
[00:08:08] and President Trump spends his time from rally to rally,
[00:08:11] right? Despite having been there four times, yes, yes, yes, it's a
[00:08:14] huge number and and obviously
[00:08:18] inciting and and enthusing
[00:08:21] the base to go vote, particularly in South
[00:08:24] Texas which is where it is considered there is more risk and who voted for
[00:08:28] him in the first race, no, so he is trying to see if they will vote
[00:08:32] for him again. That's where the doubt is, he is also
[00:08:35] betting on the Senate, right? Because undoubtedly the Senate is one of
[00:08:39] the factors that he sees as potential. I
[00:08:42] particularly believe that because there are so many seats in the Senate
[00:08:46] that the Republican party would have to lose, he will be able
[00:08:48] to keep the upper house. The big question
[00:08:52] is the lower house. If the Democrats don't win in the Senate, it's a
[00:08:56] failure. I have a lot of hope in this case,
[00:08:59] but obviously it's doubtful and there are
[00:09:02] three scenarios, let's see, one is that they win
[00:09:06] only the House of Representatives, the second
[00:09:09] is they win the House of Representatives and the
[00:09:13] Senate, but with a majority of one or
[00:09:17] two, and the third is that they win both
[00:09:21] chambers and the Senate with a majority
[00:09:24] that facilitates actions
[00:09:27] without always having fears
[00:09:31] of losing by one defection or another. Those
[00:09:34] would be the three scenarios, the three. Now, in
[00:09:38] any case, it would not be good
[00:09:41] to lose control in both chambers for President Donald Trump. The rest of his
[00:09:45] term would be, yes, it would be a big problem,
[00:09:49] no, yes, yes, definitely, yes, yes,
[00:09:52] obviously if the Democrats did not win the House of
[00:09:56] Representatives, it would be a
[00:10:07] States.
[00:10:21] The need to migrate knows no age. Some
[00:10:25] say they want to reach Mexico City, but others seek
[00:10:28] to go further
[00:10:29] north.
[00:10:33] The Mexican army's anti-drone battalion consists of
[00:10:36] these types of elements of inhibitors to bring down drones
[00:10:40] that have become a threat. The
[00:10:43] Chiapas authorities have detected a cattle smuggling
[00:10:46] point. This is one of the illegal crossing
[00:10:50] points for cattle going from Central America to
[00:10:53] Mexico. Thousands of protesters, workers from this
[00:10:57] country, left at
[00:11:00] Independence. I am in the municipality of Teuchitlán in
[00:11:03] the Mexican state of Jalisco. Here the discovery was
[00:11:07] macabre by collectives
[00:11:11] disappeared persons. What made you come here with the suspicion
[00:11:14] that your son could be on this
[00:11:16] ranch?
[00:11:21] I am Mexican-British, I have been practicing
[00:11:25] journalism in Mexico City, in the United
[00:11:28] States and now in Miami for CNN. CNN
[00:11:32] América is a multiplatform program where you will
[00:11:35] have information from all fields that will allow you
[00:11:39] to understand the world from the angle you are seeing it. In
[00:11:43] those three hours you will not only have information from a
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[00:13:53] We continue in México Opina talking about the midterm elections in the United States and what is
[00:13:57] at stake. Let's see, Mark, you were telling us that if
[00:14:00] the Democrats lose the House of Representatives, it would be a
[00:14:04] real nightmare. The Senate is yet to be seen, but they already have
[00:14:07] it practically secured. So the House of Representatives, 90%
[00:14:11] is to win the lower house. Now, where are the
[00:14:15] states? Larry was talking about Texas, which is one of the toughest disputed states.
[00:14:19] In what other state do you see? Ah, well, it seems
[00:14:22] that North Carolina is secure for the Democrat because
[00:14:26] the Republican National Committee
[00:14:30] funds to support its candidate, so
[00:14:33] it's a, well, it's one more
[00:14:36] addition. Ah, we also have
[00:14:39] Ohio which is is close, the
[00:14:43] well, the competition but
[00:14:45] it looks good because Sherrod Brown is a
[00:14:48] politician with a lot of experience, a lot of
[00:14:51] credibility and lives for more. And
[00:14:55] he has several problems.
[00:14:58] He's also, we're talking
[00:15:01] about Alaska, aha, which is
[00:15:04] a big surprise, right? Because Alaska is super Republican. Yes, it has
[00:15:08] been Republican, yes, no, there is competition
[00:15:12] in Nebraska,
[00:15:15] in Iowa, Iowa even in
[00:15:17] Kansas.
[00:15:20] Uh, well, I vote in
[00:15:22] Kansas and
[00:15:26] well, it's not probable,
[00:15:29] but it's it wouldn't be
[00:15:32] a miracle, it's
[00:15:35] 10% 20% chance
[00:15:39] because Kansas is super Republican
[00:15:41] too. But well,
[00:15:44] we're also talking about Maine, which is a
[00:15:48] state, well,
[00:15:50] purple, ah, that has
[00:15:53] the sixth, the
[00:15:57] sixth election for Susan
[00:16:00] Collins, the sixth is the sixth, yes, it's
[00:16:04] the, it's the Republican senator
[00:16:07] now, Republican with the most history,
[00:16:11] yes, how interesting. Hey, but Raquel said
[00:16:15] a moment ago off microphone that the issue is winning, but
[00:16:19] also the stance that Donald Trump might take on those victories
[00:16:22] by arguing fraud. Now, it's one thing to denounce it, there's fraud here, and another
[00:16:25] thing is to take it to have repercussions in the courts, that's
[00:16:29] even more difficult. Well, I don't see it as difficult, and I'll tell you
[00:16:33] why, because when he came to power in 2024,
[00:16:37] he made sure to have many assets, many,
[00:16:40] many things that would help during his
[00:16:44] mandate, from having the judges on his
[00:16:47] side, from even having the private lawyers on his
[00:16:50] side, with whom he could work in case he had to make
[00:16:54] any complaint, etc., or even
[00:16:58] having the media and the media that were not
[00:17:01] with him were fake news,
[00:17:05] right? We know all this, he already has a lot
[00:17:08] set up to be able to fight,
[00:17:11] uh, let's remember that he is a natural pugilist,
[00:17:15] he is a fighter, but also
[00:17:18] he has been in this issue of, uh,
[00:17:21] the deal, right? The deal for him, that is, making a
[00:17:25] deal with the other, so that's why we are seeing right now
[00:17:28] maneuvering in terms of the internal political
[00:17:32] situation, but we even saw it not very
[00:17:35] long ago, but a couple of weeks ago when he goes
[00:17:39] and makes a deal with Putin for him to
[00:17:42] give him diesel because diesel is very expensive and
[00:17:45] that affects inflation in the United States and therefore
[00:17:49] the elections, so he is also making a turn on the
[00:17:53] international side to benefit him in return, so there are
[00:17:57] many issues there, but I do see that he is
[00:18:00] very, uh, clearly arranging how
[00:18:04] to fight back, no. Now I think the Democrats are
[00:18:08] too busy wanting to win, wanting to regain these seats
[00:18:12] and even win some they have never had or that the
[00:18:15] last time they had them was in the mid-20th century, as in the
[00:18:19] case perhaps of Alaska,
[00:18:22] I don't know, Iowa, no, Texas itself,
[00:18:25] yes, yes, those states, so well, now
[00:18:28] we'll see because he does want to fight, I see it.
[00:18:32] Now one part is the discourse, we have seen that post-election
[00:18:36] conflicts reach even what happened in Georgia, for example, to the ultimate consequences,
[00:18:39] but we have also seen a change in the discourse, for example, of the
[00:18:43] mail-in vote, which was very critical before, not so much now. The stance has
[00:18:47] changed a bit, it seems more like an electoral strategy
[00:18:49] or how do you see it? Well, partly
[00:18:53] that, no, and there are states that frankly, uh, well,
[00:18:57] he's going to question, like the state of Alaska that
[00:19:00] we were talking about off air, well, Alaska has a
[00:19:03] particular dynamic, no, because the Republican candidate is named
[00:19:06] the same as a candidate who appeared out of nowhere
[00:19:09] as an independent, so what Donald Trump says is that they planted
[00:19:13] him so he would have the same name and divide the Republican vote, so for confusion,
[00:19:16] for confusion, because since they have exactly the same name,
[00:19:20] there's no doubt, so yes, for some voter who doesn't
[00:19:23] pay attention, they could go for one or the other, no. If
[00:19:27] he wins by a large margin, well, there will be
[00:19:31] interesting about this race is
[00:19:33] particularly the states that, as Raquel well said,
[00:19:37] had been traditionally Republican, Mark didn't mention
[00:19:41] Alaska, or Texas itself, no. What will happen? Perhaps
[00:19:44] we won't see a big difference, perhaps Paxton, whom we don't anticipate,
[00:19:48] will win by a large majority, then you would say, well, the polls
[00:19:52] were wrong, no, Texas is a very Republican state, but what we are
[00:19:55] seeing in the trends would seem to suggest that
[00:19:59] the Republican party in Texas does not have the strength it had
[00:20:03] in the previous election. What is very important and
[00:20:06] also the profile of O'Rourke, no, which is clear. O'Rourke has been
[00:20:09] attractive because because he is not for the
[00:20:12] voter, he is very centrist, as Raquel
[00:20:15] says, very Texan, no.
[00:20:19] The most Republican Democrat and it could be, no, obviously
[00:20:23] Paxton has looked for some areas where he could
[00:20:27] attack O'Rourke, but
[00:20:30] of the, uh, well, of the
[00:20:33] most followed and most expensive races. However,
[00:20:37] I think O'Rourke has a chance, I do think
[00:20:41] he has a chance to enter, but well, Texans
[00:20:44] are very Texan, and what happens
[00:20:46] particularly is that, for example,
[00:20:50] the religious issue is very important, and what they have
[00:20:53] told O'Rourke is that he has publicly stated
[00:20:56] that, for example, God is binary,
[00:21:00] so he has some issues there that evidently for a
[00:21:03] religious, conservative Texan make a lot of noise.
[00:21:07] Paxton, uh, has been the attorney general, the reality is that
[00:21:10] Texans adore Paxton, that's why he has had the numbers he
[00:21:14] has had, no, the particularly Republican, obviously, no,
[00:21:17] but it's a state where the majority
[00:21:21] has been conservative. What has happened interestingly in Texas
[00:21:24] is that it has been a state that has been changing its demography, because
[00:21:28] cities like Austin and other cities have brought industries from
[00:21:32] California, they have brought from New York, that is, it is one of the states that has had the most
[00:21:35] internal migration, so those who come from California, those who come from New
[00:21:39] York are no longer those conservatives who used to vote in the
[00:21:42] state, no, so the demography has changed, that's why you see
[00:21:45] cities that are now Democratic, no, the city of Houston, for example,
[00:21:49] is Democratic, San Antonio, Austin,
[00:21:53] no, uh, uh, and this has changed the demography
[00:21:56] particularly in the cities, but here what counts is the vote outside the
[00:22:00] cities, that's why what Trump has done, if we analyze it in
[00:22:04] detail, is he has sought the voter who is in the countryside,
[00:22:07] no, because those are his loyal followers, but, uh,
[00:22:11] but he has to motivate them to go, because precisely what Raquel said, when
[00:22:15] it changes from Cornyn to Paxton, there are those who are for Cornyn, they don't
[00:22:18] like that change. There is no, and that, well,
[00:22:22] evidently can make them not want to go out and vote, and if they don't
[00:22:26] vote, well, that is evidently a political
[00:22:28] cost
[00:22:30] for the Republican party, no, but this is particularly important because
[00:22:34] Texas is the Republican stronghold, just as California is the
[00:22:37] Democratic stronghold, no. So hitting the Republican
[00:22:41] stronghold, and that's why they spend so much on campaigns, both O'Rourke
[00:22:44] and Paxton, part of the campaign is to throw dirt at
[00:22:47] the other. That's normal in a race like this, so the important thing we'll have to note is
[00:22:57] how this race ends and how close the margins are,
[00:23:01] no, that is, if the Republican party manages to keep Texas,
[00:23:04] it's how close those margins are and if they have
[00:23:08] narrowed for the Republican
[00:23:10] party and if the Democrats have grown,
[00:23:14] yes, no, also for a possible post-election
[00:23:17] conflict, the ideal would be large distances.
[00:23:50] everything, a look at the reconstruction efforts of a city and the
[00:23:54] hope of a people determined to rise, it evolved very
[00:23:57] quickly and we never thought it would become a Category
[00:24:00] 5 and to understand what is happening, let's
[00:24:04] go with my colleague Ione Molinares to Washington.
[00:24:08] The explosion, well, we can see the dimension
[00:24:10] it had to take away the entire facade.
[00:24:13] We hear the protagonists, they mocked us as mothers and
[00:24:17] fathers. Since the 43, where she lived, a
[00:24:21] bomb fell, we are about to board this Mexican Air Force
[00:24:25] plane bound for Romania to have a complete
[00:24:28] vision, we are here as migrants to progress, to
[00:24:31] make this country grow, there are great stories to know and many
[00:24:35] perspectives to analyze. Perspectives with Mario
[00:24:38] González, Monday to Friday on
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[00:27:48] We continue in Mexico, Mark says, let's see, you also wanted to make a point about the
[00:27:52] state of Texas, yes, it's good, the vote of
[00:27:55] Latinos in Texas is quite
[00:27:57] important and the position of Latinos
[00:28:01] in the entire nation, even in Texas, has changed a lot
[00:28:05] in relation to Trump, it's that, ah,
[00:28:08] well, two years ago many, many
[00:28:12] said that, ah, yes, yes, yes, yes, already, the
[00:28:16] Republicans are competitive in in relation to the
[00:28:19] Latino bloc, but not
[00:28:22] anymore, it has, it has gone back,
[00:28:25] it has returned, it has returned to to
[00:28:29] normal percentages or maybe more.
[00:28:34] And well, and partly, as Mark says, the Hispanic vote in Texas
[00:28:37] is very important because it is practically a third of the
[00:28:40] population, a topic that, that, that frustrates me with
[00:28:44] Hispanics, being Mexican-American and and and also living in
[00:28:48] Houston is that they don't go out to vote, no, that is, vote
[00:28:51] Democrat, vote Republican, but go out to vote so that your vote, so that your voice
[00:28:57] the Hispanic vote, particularly the Mexican-American, which is the largest, not the
[00:29:01] Mexican-American. In the United States, there are almost 40 million
[00:29:04] citizens, if they went out to vote, obviously the
[00:29:08] politicians of both parties would pay a lot of attention to them, now what will
[00:29:11] happen in South Texas is an important part because you have eh
[00:29:15] key congressional districts that can make a difference
[00:29:18] for either of the two parties, that's why President Trump just recently was in Corpus
[00:29:22] Christi a couple of days ago, I was in in the Valley, in what they call
[00:29:26] the Valley in Harlingen, Brownsville and
[00:29:29] what Mark was just saying, it's an eagerness of of. of
[00:29:32] wanting to be strong there, so we'll see how much
[00:29:36] he can dominate that part, we saw with
[00:29:39] Beto, El Paso for example is a eh is one
[00:29:43] that that Beto conquered, so that
[00:29:46] behavior of the Hispanic in the strip, let's say, in the border
[00:29:49] strip will be very interesting to follow because he did vote for
[00:29:53] Donald Trump, so if he doesn't vote it will be a significant protest vote for
[00:29:57] Donald Trump, now I think that there is something interesting
[00:30:00] why he lost.
[00:30:51] Welcome to our broadcast of Primera Plana with Alejandra
[00:30:54] Forero. Next, our
[00:30:56] headlines. Fines.