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[00:00:00] high since the database began in
[00:00:02] 1998. The increase, they say,
[00:00:06] coincides with the White House's strategy to accelerate migrant
[00:00:09] expulsions. President Trump has set a target of 1
[00:00:13] million deportations
[00:00:16] per year. Currently, under pressure from the upcoming
[00:00:20] elections, the Immigration and Customs Enforcement,
[00:00:24] ICE, has intensified detentions nationwide
[00:00:27] with an average of 1400 per day.
[00:00:35] With this we end this broadcast of Telesur Noticias. Thank you always for
[00:00:39] joining us, until next time.
[00:00:55] analysis when we return from the
[00:01:11] Hello, how are you? Ukraine, despite having the support of European
[00:01:15] factories and NATO software, which are also
[00:01:18] widely integrated into Kiev's
[00:01:21] war effort, are losing ground against Russia
[00:01:25] how they were going to be able and on top of that they decide to attack an Iranian vessel in the Caspian
[00:01:28] Sea. presents this movement to
[00:01:31] try to amplify the conflict. Today we will analyze
[00:01:34] these scenarios on the Telesur map, make yourselves comfortable, so
[00:01:38] let's begin.
[00:01:45] and what
[00:01:48] For this reason, we propose to display our map and review key
[00:01:51] data. What exactly happened with the attack on this Iranian
[00:01:55] merchant vessel? Let's
[00:01:58] tougher stance at this moment deploy our world map and identify with the colors of their flag, on one side Ukraine, but on
[00:02:02] the other side the Islamic Republic of
[00:02:05] dialoguing, dialogue is Iran. We focus on a date, July 25. Kiev
[00:02:07] attacked on that date the Iranian merchant ship Ana, anchored about 5
[00:02:11] km from the mouth of the Volga
[00:02:14] The Iranian government made it clear River in the Caspian Sea. The impact caused a strong explosion on
[00:02:17] no less board, causing severe damage to the ship's structure
[00:02:20] and the death of one sailor and another person who was
[00:02:23] injured. Ukrainian authorities have claimed
[00:02:26] that these routes transported military supplies for Russia. However,
[00:02:30] in a direct call with his Iranian counterpart, Ukraine's foreign
[00:02:34] minister argued that the specific damage to the
[00:02:37] commercial vessel was unintentional and the result of an operational
[00:02:40] error and that Ukraine was not seeking to open a new formal
[00:02:44] front of war against Iran. Iran's Foreign Minister
[00:02:48] Abasarachi described this aggression as a criminal and
[00:02:51] provocative act, as well as a blatant violation of the United
[00:02:55] Nations Charter, assuring that the vessel was on a purely
[00:02:59] commercial route, transporting iron and steel,
[00:03:03] army killed with the although he suspended plans to bomb Ukrainian targets to receive explanations from Iran,
[00:03:07] he insists, however, on absolute reparations for material
[00:03:11] and human damages, warning that he will not allow such
[00:03:14] acts to go unpunished that the government of Tehran
[00:03:18] maintains its neutrality in the conflict with the Ukrainian
[00:03:22] crisis, what is behind these movements,
[00:03:25] will they be casual, today we will
[00:03:27] analyze it with our guest.
[00:03:34] We are joined for the analysis from Argentina by Sebastián Salgado,
[00:03:37] geopolitical analyst. It's a pleasure to have you with us
[00:03:40] Sebastián, thank you for your time for the Telesur map, how are you?
[00:03:43] Hello Paola, a pleasure to greet you again
[00:03:47] and be here on the map. What is behind this
[00:03:51] attempt to expand a conflict while losing
[00:03:55] another front to Russia? Does Ukraine's involvement
[00:03:58] under the conditions of make sense in this war unleashed by the United States and
[00:04:02] Israel against Iran?
[00:04:05] Zelensky tries to be, perhaps, to put his
[00:04:09] government in the place of the country
[00:04:12] that obeys the mandates
[00:04:14] elections, not only the and wishes of Donald Trump's government
[00:04:18] and also the Zionist agenda, that must be taken
[00:04:22] into account, and they have tried with this attack that
[00:04:25] puts for the first time in the Caspian Sea
[00:04:28] the area of influence
[00:04:31] linking two major conflicts, for the first time, on
[00:04:35] one hand what is the NATO conflict
[00:04:39] against the Russian Federation that until now
[00:04:42] at sea has taken place in the Black Sea, in the Sea of
[00:04:46] Azov, with that other great conflict
[00:04:49] where Anglo-Zionism has been attacking the
[00:04:52] Islamic Republic since last year
[00:04:56] with different allies on the part of Iran such as the
[00:05:02] among them, the way in resistance movement entrenched in Yemen and so on, and which involved other maritime
[00:05:06] spaces such as the Red Sea, the Persian
[00:05:09] Gulf, but until now the Caspian Sea had
[00:05:12] nothing to do with all this. Some consider it an inland sea. It
[00:05:16] is a maritime space that involves
[00:05:19] the borders of five countries and
[00:05:23] evidently the government of Ukraine has
[00:05:26] tried to measure the strengths of the alliances and the
[00:05:30] response of the Islamic Republic was forceful, they
[00:05:33] did not accept any type of aggression, much less
[00:05:37] unilateral, much less without Ukraine taking
[00:05:41] responsibility until the moment that Iran detected
[00:05:44] where those aggressions had come from,
[00:05:47] and the interesting thing is that Ukraine had to come out
[00:05:51] and apologize, as if it had been some kind
[00:05:55] of military miscalculation
[00:05:57] to attack this commercial
[00:06:00] vessel, to which the Iranian response a few
[00:06:04] hours ago was that if they had not apologized,
[00:06:07] the Islamic Republic had already
[00:06:10] identified three different targets
[00:06:14] in Ukrainian territory to
[00:06:16] attack, which would end,
[00:06:20] I think once and for all, this conflict
[00:06:23] zone that is increasingly wider. When
[00:06:27] you say that they had already identified some targets in Ukraine under the principle of
[00:06:31] legitimate defense, also backed by the United Nations Charter, what would be
[00:06:35] the impact if it really is about dragging or unifying or
[00:06:38] merging, so to speak, these two conflicts, the one that breaks out in
[00:06:42] Eastern Europe and what could impact these regions, not only
[00:06:46] Eurasia, but also Asia Pacific and the rest of the planet,
[00:06:50] because the economic impact would be one of the first, perhaps and the
[00:06:53] most evident.
[00:06:56] Yes, the feeling is that alliances are still trying
[00:07:00] to reconfigure and at the same
[00:07:03] time try to see to what extent the
[00:07:06] reliability of political structures is
[00:07:10] working, and in that sense,
[00:07:14] in the last few hours or days we have seen,
[00:07:17] for example, for the first time a joint
[00:07:20] attack with F-35 planes
[00:07:23] by the United States and Saudi Arabia
[00:07:26] against Iraqi territory,
[00:07:30] than in the context of the great Arba'een procession
[00:07:33] where millions of people walk, especially Shiite
[00:07:37] Muslims, to what is the city
[00:07:40] of Karbala where
[00:07:43] the remains of the Imam lie. This is no small matter, it is a great provocation, like the attacks that
[00:07:47] the United States made during the funerals of Ayatollah Khomeini
[00:07:51] and which shows a
[00:07:54] desperation to try to block this
[00:07:58] level of alliances that is growing in Western
[00:08:01] Asia, and the great surprise in this sense, Paula, is
[00:08:05] that a NATO country like Turkey
[00:08:09] is strengthening,
[00:08:12] I would say, at a very fast
[00:08:15] pace, diplomatic relations with the
[00:08:19] Islamic Republic of Iran, something that until relatively recently,
[00:08:22] two years ago, seemed impossible, because
[00:08:26] Iran and Turkey were clashing in the territory of the Syrian
[00:08:29] Arab Republic. Turkey, as the country
[00:08:33] that, at least from its borders,
[00:08:37] these terrorist groups entered seeking to destabilize
[00:08:40] the government of Bashar al-Assad, we are talking about ISIS, al-Nusra
[00:08:44] Front, Daesh or whatever you want to call it, and on the other
[00:08:48] side Iran supporting the government of Bashar al-Assad, even with a great
[00:08:52] work by the martyr Qassem Soleimani
[00:08:55] confronting these groups. After
[00:08:58] that conflict ended, beyond the political results where
[00:09:02] there are winners and losers, Iran and
[00:09:05] Turkey are talking again, just as they were able
[00:09:08] to establish in the Treaty of Erzurum of
[00:09:11] 1823, defined borders
[00:09:14] between the two countries that it is important to remember, Iran and
[00:09:17] Turkey have more than 500 km of border, they are
[00:09:21] countries that deserve an alliance, but at the same time they are
[00:09:24] brotherly countries, Turkey is not Arab,
[00:09:28] Iran is not Arab, they are Persian, but they
[00:09:31] share a religion and they share an identity. For
[00:09:35] the first time, Paola, the Iranian
[00:09:38] government proposes to
[00:09:40] Turkey that it is time
[00:09:42] to start thinking about a military block for regional
[00:09:46] defense and in this way do without those
[00:09:49] other two great allies they have, which are
[00:09:52] Russia and China, to make any type of
[00:09:56] defense. This is no small matter because Turkey itself
[00:10:00] was the one that passed very important
[00:10:03] information about the Kurdish uprisings
[00:10:06] in Iraq that were trying to destabilize
[00:10:10] the government of Iran. It is important to remember that the Barzani
[00:10:14] clan in Iraq, which are the families that
[00:10:16] dominate Iraqi Kurdistan,
[00:10:20] are openly financed by Israel and the United
[00:10:24] States. So we have for the first time a NATO
[00:10:27] country like Turkey, giving
[00:10:30] very important information to Iran, perhaps its new
[00:10:34] ally, that they are beginning to form a block in which
[00:10:37] Turkey until now, had always been
[00:10:40] a kind of great mediator, let's remember that it was Turkey
[00:10:44] that facilitated the first advances
[00:10:47] in what would be the negotiations between the Russian
[00:10:51] Federation and Ukraine, the ones that allowed the passage
[00:10:55] of ships through the Bosphorus with Ukrainian cereals,
[00:10:58] but at the same time they are part of NATO, in fact in
[00:11:02] July the last NATO summit was held
[00:11:04] in Ankara, so well,
[00:11:08] obviously new alliances are still being forged, but the
[00:11:11] conflict goes beyond Western Asia, this has
[00:11:15] a lot to do with those interests that are also looming, we will deepen the
[00:11:20] break, because this also has an impact within the domestic
[00:11:23] policy of the United States and also the role that
[00:11:27] NATO will play later, it is about promoting this
[00:11:30] organization despite the discontent that
[00:11:33] the White House itself makes clear in the media. What
[00:11:37] is behind all these movements? I ask Sebastián Salgado to stay on the line
[00:11:41] as well as our viewers, let's take a short break, not
[00:11:44] without first sharing our
[00:11:46] scale.
[00:11:59] Through the Telesur map scale, we want to share this
[00:12:02] cartoon from our Telesur multiplatform information
[00:12:06] platform, which I invite you to visit, share, and like.
[00:12:09] This is a sample of the growing scarcity of weaponry in the
[00:12:13] US Armed Forces, a reality where the country's
[00:12:17] military reserves are reaching a limit. The
[00:12:20] Ukrainian government maintains its urgent call to the West. From Kiev
[00:12:24] it insists on urgently receiving more air
[00:12:27] defense material to face the intensity of the
[00:12:31] conflict. There we see a marine, a military man who
[00:12:35] says: Sir, we understand the shortage of weapons, but
[00:12:38] understand our shame before
[00:12:42] the Iranians, and this same panorama is currently reflected in
[00:12:45] Ukraine, they no longer have Patriot missiles
[00:12:48] in their favor, there is no authorization or license from the United States
[00:12:52] for them to be manufactured within Ukrainian territory.
[00:14:42] Let's add another element to the analysis through the photograph. The one
[00:14:45] you see in the background is the President of the United States, Donald
[00:14:49] Trump. Recently, a
[00:14:51] survey was released, a survey was issued
[00:14:55] that reflects an unfavorable trend for his
[00:14:58] administration, with a general approval rating of only
[00:15:02] 35%. Disapproval already
[00:15:05] exceeds 60%. A
[00:15:09] marked partisan polarization where he retains majority
[00:15:13] support among Republicans, but registers sharp drops among
[00:15:17] independents, but also among Democrats, driven mainly
[00:15:20] by citizen dissatisfaction with the cost of
[00:15:23] living, inflation, conflicts
[00:15:27] which the attacks against the Islamic
[00:15:30] Republic of Iran were restarted. Added
[00:15:33] to this is the discontent with continuing to support Israel's Prime
[00:15:37] Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, more than 24% who were
[00:15:41] added to the idea that he should pay for war
[00:15:44] crimes, a complex panorama for the Republican
[00:15:47] administration that will also face mid-term
[00:15:50] elections in November.
[00:15:52] término.
[00:15:58] Sebastian, this is a seemingly disheartening,
[00:16:01] desolate panorama for the Republican wing, which seems unable
[00:16:05] to emerge from internal criticism of a
[00:16:08] country that is unable to resolve its
[00:16:11] situations, but is very focused on continuing to draw
[00:16:14] narratives around Iran, alleged
[00:16:18] agreements, alleged negotiations that are not advancing, but
[00:16:21] also in a war that has not ended and that had been a promise of
[00:16:25] Trump before assuming his second term, which was
[00:16:29] to end the conflict in Eastern Europe with the Ukrainian
[00:16:32] crisis. What scenario
[00:16:34] are we facing? Well,
[00:16:38] there are several scenarios at the same time, and Trump's
[00:16:42] own contradictions, as you have been pointing out,
[00:16:45] show a panorama in which the United
[00:16:49] States has made quite shameful decisions in the military
[00:16:52] field, first moving its large aircraft carriers that
[00:16:56] then had to turn around and
[00:16:59] return because they didn't know
[00:17:02] to keep them afloat against
[00:17:05] the missile responses, both hypersonic
[00:17:09] and ballistic, of the Islamic Republic, and they had to
[00:17:13] remove them from the conflict zone. That is a quite
[00:17:17] shameful action that has just
[00:17:20] happened recently,
[00:17:22] came after is
[00:17:25] evidently a non-compliance with the
[00:17:28] agreements that had been progressing,
[00:17:32] and a much
[00:17:36] on the part of the Islamic Republic. They say:
[00:17:39] We are no longer
[00:17:42] over. We will respond to the aggressions we suffer.
[00:17:46] Based on that, we will be responding.
[00:17:52] in the last few hours that they will
[00:17:54] simply be talking with Oman, and from then
[00:17:58] on, navigability
[00:18:01] through the Strait of Hormuz is a reality that they will
[00:18:05] agree on between these two countries. Let's think
[00:18:09] that before this, which they call the 40-day war,
[00:18:13] the West navigated through the Strait of Hormuz
[00:18:16] as they pleased, and many of those ships were linked to the very
[00:18:20] Zionist interests. That's over, that's not going to
[00:18:24] go back, and just as there was a recovery of the
[00:18:27] territories by the Russian Federation that historically belonged to
[00:18:31] them and that were attacked by that neo-fascist
[00:18:35] regime in Kiev,
[00:18:38] and that both Luhansk and Donetsk, Kherson,
[00:18:41] Zaporizhzhia and Crimea are
[00:18:44] previously living a new reality, that reality
[00:18:47] also in the Strait of Hormuz will not go back,
[00:18:51] and in that sense, evidently
[00:18:54] the military Keynesianism of the United States that helps to keep
[00:18:58] its economy afloat, which
[00:19:01] practically forces NATO countries to spend
[00:19:05] 5% of their GDP to buy
[00:19:08] all the weaponry from them that keeps them afloat, does not mean
[00:19:11] that they have created strategies to win a
[00:19:14] war in Western Asia, and that is becoming
[00:19:17] more and more evident, it is
[00:19:21] clear that
[00:19:24] the actions of the Iranian government have not been able
[00:19:28] to find a response from the United States government that
[00:19:32] has attacked
[00:19:36] declassification the archives to change the
[00:19:39] agenda at that time, and today it is responding
[00:19:43] practically with the timing of what was the
[00:19:46] soccer world cup also with the timing of the
[00:19:51] mid-term elections as you mentioned, but also the
[00:19:55] elections in occupied Palestine,
[00:19:58] that is, the elections in Israel during the month
[00:20:01] of October, and in that context, although they do not
[00:20:04] acknowledge it, they are dismantling
[00:20:08] some of their military bases, especially in Bahrain,
[00:20:12] which it is important to remember was also an
[00:20:15] island, but was part of the territory
[00:20:18] of Iran until what was the monarchy of Shah
[00:20:22] Reza Pahlavi, which they handed over. It remains to be seen
[00:20:25] if at some point Iran
[00:20:29] does not propose to recover that territory, just as the Russian Federation has
[00:20:33] recovered the Donbas and also the dismantling
[00:20:36] of the base of Kuwait, which
[00:20:39] historically had been a kind of
[00:20:42] bunker for the United States Army. It
[00:20:45] costs them politically very dearly for
[00:20:49] US soldiers to return to their country
[00:20:52] in coffins. This is a matter that
[00:20:55] evidently Donald Trump did not calculate in
[00:20:59] political timing, but it is part of the reality
[00:21:02] they are experiencing, and all of this also converges amidst
[00:21:06] the involvement of this transatlantic
[00:21:09] organization of the north, Sebastian already told us something in the first
[00:21:13] block of the map, but why such
[00:21:16] insistence on its active participation, ultimately who makes the
[00:21:21] decisions regarding these attacks that today more than ever have
[00:21:24] civilians as targets? Ukraine does it, the United
[00:21:27] States does it, Israel does it, let's analyze
[00:21:31] why. For this, I propose Sebastian, that we review our legend together.
[00:21:50] referring to this transatlantic organization,
[00:21:54] if Russia had only done 10% of what Israel is
[00:21:57] doing in Gaza, NATO would now be at the gates of
[00:22:00] Moscow. The West has taught us that human rights
[00:22:04] begin and end at the limits of Israel's interests.
[00:22:08] Israel.
[00:22:16] And to put it in context, Sebastian, just yesterday
[00:22:20] and no less, the recovery of 112 bodies was achieved,
[00:22:23] 44 of them belonging to children, all
[00:22:26] under 16 years old, after more than a thousand days trapped in the
[00:22:30] rubble due to Israel's bombing on September 22,
[00:22:33] 2023. Their families would only now be able
[00:22:37] to give them a Christian burial or make the offerings that their
[00:22:41] religion allows, in this case in Gaza to say their last goodbyes,
[00:22:44] all of them martyred. That is what President Vladimir
[00:22:48] Putin is referring to, but also
[00:22:50] we are interested in knowing what is behind all this
[00:22:53] involvement, NATO is providing software, it is providing
[00:22:57] information practically commanding operations against
[00:23:01] Russia and Russia knows it, but why
[00:23:04] insist on this transatlantic
[00:23:06] organization, or in reality, what is the
[00:23:09] ultimate goal?
[00:23:13] Well, first, yes, keep in mind Paola, that
[00:23:16] infanticides
[00:23:20] are part of the military projects of Anglo-Zionism,
[00:23:24] let's remember that in that
[00:23:26] way on February 28,
[00:23:29] they entered Iran
[00:23:32] causing the martyrdom of 168
[00:23:35] girls. Yes, in Donbas,
[00:23:38] they have
[00:23:41] for some years now erected
[00:23:44] a monument called The Angels in the city
[00:23:48] of Donetsk because of the number of children that the Ukrainian
[00:23:53] support of NATO. They have as a
[00:23:57] strategy to try to
[00:23:59] demoralize civilian society with direct attacks
[00:24:03] on children, and what you are
[00:24:06] naming about Palestine is no small matter, it is the
[00:24:10] way they have of acting and
[00:24:14] that evidently shows an antagonistic
[00:24:18] vision to the most basic defense of human
[00:24:22] rights that must, of course, prioritize
[00:24:25] children, and in that sense,
[00:24:29] I perceive a very important
[00:24:31] breakdown, first because some
[00:24:35] European countries that are suffering in their economies no longer
[00:24:39] know how to justify to their
[00:24:41] populations
[00:24:44] the level of sanctions they have imposed, for example, on the Russian
[00:24:47] Federation, by stopping buying
[00:24:51] cheap energy, such as the gas that was going to enter through the North Stream
[00:24:54] 2 pipeline through Germany, and that now it is the
[00:24:58] populations themselves who have to assume those
[00:25:01] situations. When Donald Trump
[00:25:04] tried to impose an agenda on them to join
[00:25:08] the attacks on the Islamic Republic unanimously, they told him
[00:25:11] no. So there it starts to become
[00:25:15] perhaps a little clearer that that agenda of the
[00:25:19] Zionist Israeli lobby that they impose on
[00:25:22] the United States army, Europe can also
[00:25:25] perceive it, and given the discontent generated
[00:25:28] by the actions of governments in the rear of NATO, well,
[00:25:32] many governments are
[00:25:35] trying to distance themselves from all that,
[00:25:39] because ultimately,
[00:25:42] the Palestinian cause has generated, I believe, a
[00:25:46] level of solidarity never before seen and that today
[00:25:49] can be seen. That is why many
[00:25:52] leaders, even those created by Western interests, such
[00:25:56] as the monarchies of the
[00:25:59] Gulf, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar,
[00:26:02] try to send different messages from those they
[00:26:06] have been managing until now. But there are some, like
[00:26:09] Morocco and the United Arab Emirates, who already have it
[00:26:13] explicitly through the Abraham Accords
[00:26:17] with, let's say, levels of understanding, even military
[00:26:20] level with the Israeli axis, so
[00:26:24] evidently the leaders want to send signals of
[00:26:27] governability to the peoples who sympathize with the Palestinian
[00:26:31] cause, but at the same time, the hypocrisy of many of them
[00:26:35] shows a continuation of
[00:26:38] these attacks that
[00:26:42] put children at risk.
[00:26:44] permanent, this also helps us understand this whole
[00:26:48] range not only of interests but also what is
[00:26:52] at stake amidst these movements that continue to enrich the military
[00:26:55] industrial complex, but not even the European but the
[00:26:58] American one. Thanks to Sebastián Salgado for his time and valuable insights
[00:27:02] that he has shared with our viewers of the map, the program ends and we
[00:27:06] do it by reviewing our vectors,
[00:27:19] our radar on the map today reflects the three keys on this topic: Ukraine
[00:27:23] escalating the war, let's talk about fusion,
[00:27:26] it seems to be Israel's strategy, but also the United States',
[00:27:29] since if the conflicts in Ukraine and Iran were to merge more directly, the
[00:27:33] result could be devastating, there are already several governments in the world that
[00:27:37] are getting involved and an open war in those
[00:27:40] terms would not only implode Eurasia, but also
[00:27:44] West Asia and the rest of the world, because its main impact would be
[00:27:47] economic, two, objective: to strengthen
[00:27:51] its commitments with Ukraine and Israel to confront the leader of the axis of
[00:27:54] resistance, Iran, with greater firmness, what they
[00:27:58] seek is to expand an American coalition under the subservience of the
[00:28:01] European Union to achieve its central objective, which is
[00:28:05] China. Three. NATO: Western governments
[00:28:08] continue to describe their main role in
[00:28:12] terms of military assistance and we will put it in quotes towards Ukraine. However,
[00:28:15] the previous examples suggest that this
[00:28:19] relationship is becoming considerably more
[00:28:22] complex. European companies participate in the development and manufacture of
[00:28:26] weaponry, production is moving outside the
[00:28:30] borders of Ukraine and communication standards. NATO
[00:28:33] is increasingly incorporated into Ukrainian command systems, despite this, the
[00:28:37] loss of ground in Ukraine is a sign of a
[00:28:40] weakening of this transatlantic organization and
[00:28:44] that is causing despair to the occupant of the White
[00:28:47] House. I'm Paola Pérez and we'll see you in another edition of the map.