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[00:01:14] issues, what happens [00:01:23] The midterm elections in the United States start with Donald [00:01:27] Trump at his historic low, barely [00:01:30] 33% national approval and 58% of [00:01:34] voters demanding a Democratic Congress to [00:01:37] counterbalance his [00:01:39] with that we have made our point. administration, although the president is not on the [00:01:42] ballot, the race for the House of [00:01:44] Representatives gives the opposition a [00:01:48] 52% advantage against 44% among [00:01:51] likely voters, the cost of living crisis defines [00:01:55] the discontent, inflation rose to 3.7%, energy [00:01:59] soared more than 20% and gasoline averages [00:02:02] $4.41 per gallon due to the impact of the conflict with [00:02:05] Iran and tensions in the Strait of Hormuz. Faced with [00:02:09] citizen discontent, Trump has counterattacked, [00:02:12] calling the cost of living debate a [00:02:16] Democratic scam that means nothing, he says. [00:02:20] Well, at the same time, the president claims that fuel [00:02:24] prices [00:02:26] reflect an eight-point will fall as soon as the war confrontation ends after the elections, and [00:02:30] openly accuses Tehran of causing [00:02:33] turbulence in crude oil to benefit [00:02:37] the Democratic opposition in the American [00:02:39] polls. Well, with early voting polls [00:02:43] already open across the country, millions of Americans [00:02:46] are voting in key cities such as Atlanta, [00:02:49] Phoenix, Houston, Dallas, Chicago, Denver, [00:02:53] Little Rock, Wilmington and Dover. And the long lines [00:02:56] reflect an electorate determined to punish immediately. the [00:03:00] ballots, the blow to their family [00:03:02] finances, it is a crossroads in the Capitol, [00:03:06] the protest vote and the economic crisis corner Donald [00:03:09] Trump, and with that, let's put the point of law. [00:03:37] Early voting in the United States began with the opening of [00:03:40] hundreds of polling stations in Texas and most of the counties [00:03:44] of Florida, metropolitan centers such as Houston, [00:03:48] Dallas, Austin and San Antonio in Texas, along [00:03:52] with Miami, Orlando, Tampa and Fort Lauderdale in [00:03:56] Florida, registered a massive turnout on their first [00:03:59] day. Adding to already operating centers in [00:04:02] cities like Atlanta in Georgia, Phoenix in [00:04:05] Arizona, Detroit in Michigan and Charlotte in North Carolina. [00:04:47] when your own party subjects you to an impeachment process, it's a red flag. I've been a Republican all my life, okay, I defend [00:04:51] states' rights, I share the general lines of the [00:04:54] Republican program, but this shift towards the far right I can't [00:04:58] follow. [00:05:01] The Hispanic electorate defines the race in both states, [00:05:04] due to its demographic magnitude, in Florida it represents [00:05:08] 28.7% of the total population, while in [00:05:11] Texas. It exceeds 40.2%, [00:05:14] consolidated as the majority demographic group, compared to [00:05:18] 39.8% of non-Hispanic whites, in [00:05:21] Texas, where Democrats have not won a seat in the Federal [00:05:25] Senate since 1988, the [00:05:27] dispute between Democrat James Talarico and Republican Attorney [00:05:31] General Ken Paxton turned the state into a high-priority [00:05:35] battleground, given the Democratic advance in metropolitan [00:05:38] areas and suburban counties, the Republican [00:05:41] Party. allocated unforeseen sums of millions of dollars [00:05:45] to advertising and grassroots mobilization to [00:05:48] avoid a defeat in a historical [00:05:50] stronghold. [00:05:53] Both parties have made the decision [00:05:57] to make a structural [00:06:00] investment to mobilize the Latino-Hispanic [00:06:03] vote in their favor. It is [00:06:06] true that the Republicans [00:06:10] have political control [00:06:13] of both Texas and Florida, and [00:06:17] therefore have all the capacity of the State to [00:06:20] guarantee that mobilization and [00:06:23] even impact the needs [00:06:26] of that electorate at the [00:06:29] time of when elections arrive [00:06:32] and the vote has to be cast, [00:06:36] the simultaneous voting in high-density cities such as El [00:06:40] Paso, Fort Worth, Jacksonville. and [00:06:42] Minneapolis activates the early capture of ballots in districts [00:06:46] with victory margins of less than three percentage points, this [00:06:50] early phase measures the direct impact of the Hispanic and [00:06:53] independent vote in the polls before election day, [00:06:57] a determining factor in defining the majority in the Senate and the House of [00:07:01] Representatives. On the other [00:07:05] hand, the Democratic Party [00:07:09] has substantially improved its electoral offer, [00:07:13] because the presence of Sanders, the presence of [00:07:17] Osorio Cortés, the presence of [00:07:20] all the political leaders of Latino [00:07:24] origin in the Democratic party means that the Democratic [00:07:27] party has the ability to impact [00:07:31] positively and [00:07:34] motivating the possibility that this [00:07:37] Latino electorate seriously considers voting [00:07:40] for Democrats. The United States enters a decisive [00:07:44] legislative crossroads with the midterm elections, notice [00:07:48] that in this race 435 [00:07:51] seats in the House of Representatives and one [00:07:54] third of the Senate are contested under national [00:07:57] polls that mark 52% Democratic support against [00:08:01] 44% Republican. The [00:08:04] weight of the precedents is implacable. In nine out of every [00:08:07] 10 midterm elections, the ruling [00:08:10] party in the White House loses. [00:08:15] The American electorate goes to the polls in elections [00:08:18] that function as a direct plebiscite on presidential [00:08:21] management, the vote threatens to snatch the parliamentary [00:08:25] majority from the ruling party, halt [00:08:27] key reforms and leave the executive facing a divided [00:08:31] Congress under opposition control. [00:08:34] Midterm elections are important because they usually mark the [00:08:37] decline of presidential power halfway through the term, that [00:08:41] is, in the United States. Naturally, the most [00:08:44] far-reaching, in-depth measures are the laws that Congress has to approve, if the [00:08:48] president lacks a majority, if his party [00:08:51] loses the majority in Congress, he is unable to approve [00:08:55] major reforms and has to basically govern by decree or [00:08:58] negotiate laws ad infinitum until the opposition [00:09:02] approves them, so the president usually becomes what they [00:09:06] call a lame duck in presidential jargon, that is, [00:09:09] not a useless president but with a diminishing [00:09:13] power. The United States celebrates the intermediary legislative elections, [00:09:17] a direct examination of presidential management, the vote [00:09:20] will define the control of Congress, a Republican [00:09:23] defeat would snatch the official majority and block [00:09:26] the reforms of the White House, they are held [00:09:29] halfway through President Donald Trump's 4-year term. The [00:09:33] constitutional date is set for next November 3. The [00:09:37] vote takes place in all 50 states of the union, but the [00:09:40] central impact falls on Washington. [00:09:51] the House of Representatives [00:09:54] passes into Democratic hands is important because the House [00:09:58] controls federal funds, that is, it is the one who [00:10:01] provides money for any type of policy initiative, [00:10:05] it is also important that it has the capacity to [00:10:09] create all kinds of investigation committees and that is what the [00:10:12] Democrats are fighting for, that is one of the great objectives, that is, to open [00:10:16] investigation committees, well, [00:10:18] for the enrichment of Chuam's circle, [00:10:22] for the issue of the [00:10:25] use of military abuse, it is a way to stir [00:10:28] up and bring to light a lot of [00:10:32] important information for the electorate, especially for the 2028 [00:10:35] elections. The dispute pits the Republican [00:10:38] and Democratic parties, led by the aspirants to the [00:10:42] House and the senators who defend or seek to snatch [00:10:46] key seats. In the Upper House, the margin is so [00:10:49] narrow that a possible tie would leave the balance in the hands of the decisive [00:10:53] vote of the vice presidency. The 435 [00:10:56] representatives of the House and 35 [00:10:59] senators are at stake, in case of a tie in the [00:11:02] Upper House, the deciding vote would fall to the [00:11:06] American Vice President JD [00:11:08] Vance. It is not so easy [00:11:12] to affirm that the Democratic Party will have [00:11:16] this, it will achieve a [00:11:19] resounding election and decisively [00:11:22] defeat the Republicans. Therefore, [00:11:25] when viewed from the point of view of needs, [00:11:28] and we know that today within the United States [00:11:32] the needs of daily life weigh more [00:11:36] than ideological [00:11:39] is that on the other hand, the [00:11:42] defeat of the Democratic party in the various [00:11:45] war scenarios, the globalist Democrats in the various [00:11:49] war scenarios such as Ukraine and Iran [00:11:53] have structurally weakened [00:11:55] the power of the Democratic Party in the United States, something [00:11:59] from which the Republican Party will [00:12:02] try to make a strategic advantage, that [00:12:06] is, to position that international situation as a [00:12:09] strategic advantage for the [00:12:12] hardline Republicans, that is, and the Republican party [00:12:15] knows that this is the moment where it must [00:12:18] guarantee to win no matter what in these [00:12:22] midterm elections in the state. [00:12:26] The electoral clock in the United States is already [00:12:29] running and the battle does not wait for the central day of the [00:12:32] elections. More than 40 states and hundreds of cities [00:12:36] across the country already have their early voting centers [00:12:39] and mail-in ballot drop boxes open. All this [00:12:42] is working with millions of votes that are beginning to be [00:12:46] processed beforehand and also polls that [00:12:51] lead for the opposition. The margin of reaction [00:12:55] for President Donald Trump's administration is drastically [00:12:59] reduced while the future of [00:13:02] power in Washington is defined. [00:16:10] An internal split runs through the Republican machine [00:16:14] while Donald Trump monopolizes the spotlight of the national [00:16:17] campaign, transforming every electoral act [00:16:21] into a referendum on his own figure. With [00:16:25] disapproval levels ranging between 60 and [00:16:28] 68% in national polls, the president's support [00:16:31] has become a double-edged sword that tests [00:16:35] the survival of the conservative bloc in the legislative [00:16:38] elections. Now, far from projecting a [00:16:42] solid party discipline, his personalist [00:16:45] strategy unleashes underlying tensions [00:16:48] between party loyalty and the indispensable tactical [00:16:51] calculation to retain Congress. [00:16:55] Now, the economic promises, especially the [00:16:58] radical ones and the legal challenges regarding public [00:17:01] resources mark a high-voltage race [00:17:05] that redefines the balances of political power in [00:17:08] Washington. [00:17:11] Despite being at his lowest popularity ratings, US [00:17:15] President Donald Trump fights to win the [00:17:18] midterm elections by any means necessary. His most [00:17:22] recent strategy, to order the largest deployment [00:17:25] of ICE agents in California for [00:17:28] 45 days, something that for analysts goes [00:17:32] beyond just an operation against undocumented [00:17:35] immigrants. For months, President [00:17:38] Trump has been running a campaign to try [00:17:42] to manipulate the midterm elections, [00:17:46] it is no secret, this he has done [00:17:49] openly and shamelessly, and he has [00:17:52] tried from every possible angle, [00:17:56] all illegal, among which stand out [00:17:59] random redistribution of [00:18:02] electoral districts, attempt to suppress the [00:18:05] vote. by mail, making [00:18:09] each voter show their [00:18:12] passport at the time of voting, [00:18:15] all failed, he [00:18:18] only has the last one left and this [00:18:21] is to try to persuade, especially in states [00:18:25] that we consider flexible or swing states, to [00:18:29] manipulate the vote there with intimidation, number [00:18:33] one and two, without a doubt he will [00:18:36] try to seize the ballot [00:18:39] boxes afterwards, although the absolute [00:18:43] power that Donald Trump has had has allowed him to take [00:18:46] constitutionally illegal measures, attacking the [00:18:50] electoral system could finally put him [00:18:54] before justice. Apart from the efforts that the [00:18:58] Trump regime is making to [00:19:00] intimidate voters, it is to interfere in the [00:19:04] midterm elections, there are laws. [00:19:07] the United States that explicitly prohibit [00:19:11] that, there are many state laws, [00:19:14] but there are two federal laws that [00:19:17] prohibit federal officials [00:19:19] or military personnel from being [00:19:23] stationed where elections are taking place, the [00:19:25] penalty, if you violate that law, is a fine or [00:19:29] 5 years in prison, another federal [00:19:33] law also establishes the illegality of [00:19:36] trying to intimidate voters. According to the [00:19:39] latest polls, the indignation of Americans [00:19:42] over the high cost of living, high gasoline [00:19:46] prices and the war against Iran has been much [00:19:50] stronger than Trump's strategies to prevent the Democratic [00:19:53] vote. Donald Trump, his [00:19:56] MAGA, in [00:19:59] November is out, we have a dignified people here, the [00:20:03] people of the United States who are already tired [00:20:06] of so many injustices, so much harassment and [00:20:10] so many violations of their human rights, and we [00:20:13] believe that the American people will [00:20:16] vote against these fascist policies, [00:20:20] social organizations are already taking security measures to [00:20:24] prevent a possible electoral fraud this [00:20:27] November 3, [00:20:30] Pablo and Henry Camelo, [00:20:33] Telesur New [00:20:34] York. [00:20:40] The electoral board in the United States registers a decisive [00:20:43] turn as the elections approach, while national [00:20:47] polls and surveys in swing states [00:20:51] place Democrats with a lead of between three and [00:20:55] five points, the approval ratings of the Republican [00:20:59] administration fall below 40%, [00:21:02] evidencing an insurmountable gap between the optimism of the [00:21:04] official discourse and the daily reality of the [00:21:08] electorate. This loss of traction does [00:21:11] not respond to cyclical fluctuations, but to [00:21:14] deep structural cracks. [00:21:18] Fractures and the fracture of the key alliance in working-class [00:21:21] districts, discontent of key minorities and wear and [00:21:25] tear due to an increasingly aggressive institutional [00:21:28] rhetoric, configure a high-tension scenario that [00:21:32] redefines voting behavior at the [00:21:35] polls. The cost of living fractured the working-class [00:21:39] vote, with accumulated inflation of 21% in basic [00:21:42] foods and gasoline exceeding $4.80 [00:21:46] at its peaks. According to the [00:21:49] Department of Labor, industrial districts such as Erie, [00:21:53] Pennsylvania and Macomb, Michigan, [00:21:56] abandoned the ruling party, 64% of the working [00:21:59] class states that their economy worsened compared [00:22:02] to 2021. [00:22:04] Employment says one thing [00:22:08] and another, businesses [00:22:12] are closing [00:22:14] due to high prices of fuels [00:22:17] and everything in general. [00:22:20] food. In foreign policy, direct [00:22:24] military operations in Western Asia undermined the [00:22:27] promise of non-intervention in endless wars. This shift [00:22:31] broke the trust of isolationist bases and of [00:22:34] 58% of independent voters who reject [00:22:38] new multimillion-dollar arms budgets approved by the White [00:22:42] House. [00:22:44] He has absolutely nothing to sell to the electorate about [00:22:48] what was a good decision to have [00:22:51] gotten involved in the war in Iran, which is [00:22:54] unsellable [00:22:56] in terms of benefits for the United States for having gotten involved in this [00:23:00] war that he, in February, let's remember, [00:23:03] promised to liquidate in four [00:23:05] weeks. [00:23:08] On the migratory front, federal raids and the [00:23:11] suspension of asylum routes provoked an exodus of the Hispanic [00:23:15] vote. Pew Research data reflects a drop [00:23:18] in Latino support from [00:23:20] 8% to 25% in swing states such [00:23:24] as Arizona, Nevada and Florida, where urban [00:23:27] communities in Phoenix and Las Vegas went from supporting the [00:23:30] ruling party to actively mobilizing against it. Finally, [00:23:34] the institutional questioning divides the country [00:23:37] before the recount, with more than 120 legal [00:23:40] appeals filed against mail-in voting electoral machines [00:23:44] in critical counties such as Maricopa, Arizona [00:23:47] and Fulton, Georgia. The discourse [00:23:50] of anticipated fraud seeks to protect a base that is around 35% of the [00:23:54] electorate, raising the risk of challenges [00:23:58] and a post-electoral [00:23:59] legitimacy crisis. [00:24:03] The Republican party and in this case expressed by Donald Trump, [00:24:07] when he makes the decision to [00:24:10] hinder any instrument or [00:24:13] way that makes it possible for the [00:24:16] vote historically closer to the [00:24:19] Democrats. to express itself, [00:24:22] manifests the deep structural decision of the Republican [00:24:25] Party to guarantee victory in the [00:24:28] midterm elections in the United States in any [00:24:32] way, in any form, at any cost, [00:24:36] because the Republican party does not have margins [00:24:39] not to win the midterm elections and, therefore, [00:24:43] this is a situation that shows it very [00:24:46] aggressive, very determined [00:24:49] to invest. in electoral issues and in electoral [00:24:52] mobilization to guarantee its victory in the [00:24:56] midterm elections, something that on the other hand [00:24:59] exposes it negatively to the general American [00:25:02] public because it sees that there is a deployment of spending [00:25:06] capacities that are directly oriented to [00:25:10] electoral objectives and not to socio-economic [00:25:13] objectives, the Republican party considers that this was [00:25:17] a cost that it had to pay to not only [00:25:21] guarantee at this moment [00:25:24] to be able to reach with the [00:25:28] control of the different variables that would [00:25:30] allow it to win the elections, but that [00:25:33] it also has a priority objective, which [00:25:36] is that the internal situation within the [00:25:40] United States, and [00:25:43] not only between Republicans and Democrats, but between the great, [00:25:47] the great popular masses in the United States. and the [00:25:50] great and the great oligarchs [00:25:53] that produce in the United States but do business in the [00:25:56] world, this, Trump [00:26:00] and Vance have a mission to [00:26:03] prioritize everything that is done and [00:26:07] consolidates the possibility of success in the [00:26:10] elections, which have to do with the deep structural [00:26:13] fracture in the United States, a fracture that [00:26:17] divides the United States into two great [00:26:20] sides, two great sides that clash and [00:26:23] confront in an increasingly [00:26:26] acute way. The United States arrives at these midterm [00:26:29] elections fractured by a [00:26:32] side that transfers the blow of inflation, cost of living [00:26:36] and war crisis directly to the [00:26:39] polls. The massive early participation [00:26:41] confirms that the citizenry turned this process [00:26:45] into an authentic plebiscite against the [00:26:48] Donald Trump administration, threatening to snatch [00:26:51] total control of Congress. [00:26:55] With an opposition that capitalizes on social unrest and a [00:26:59] ruling party that resorts to borderline [00:27:02] acrobatics fearing a historic defeat, then [00:27:06] the room for maneuver in Washington is [00:27:09] running out. So, the endless [00:27:12] lines of voters across the country reflect that the balance [00:27:16] of legislative power is about to be defined from the grassroots. [00:27:20] That said, next November 3 will not only [00:27:23] define 435 seats in the lower house and the [00:27:27] direction of the Senate. The Nation faces a test of [00:27:31] fire for its own democratic institutionalism [00:27:34] where the final verdict of the ballots will have the last [00:27:38] word and [00:28:06] 21 years of uninterrupted [00:28:08] information, [00:28:12] Telesur, [00:28:13] resilience, [00:28:16] constancy, [00:28:20] solidarity, [00:28:23] identity, dedication, [00:28:26] vocation, [00:28:29] Telesur 21st anniversary. [00:28:34] We are a more human vision of the news. [00:28:37] Telesur, the voice of the [00:28:38] peoples. [00:28:41] How our reality connects with what we call [00:28:44] fiction. Very [00:28:47] soon. [00:28:54] Hyperconnectivity is changing at a dizzying pace. Social [00:28:58] platforms and digital ecosystems [00:29:01] are gaining ground [00:29:03] in our lives. 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