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20260920 140000 UTC
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[00:00:08] Please tune in to "Watching the World Together" at 10 PM on Sunday evening. Hello everyone. You are currently watching Taishi News Channel.
[00:00:27] Hello everyone, welcome to "Watching the World Together". I am Lin Yingru. The AI technology race in the United States
[00:00:31] is in full swing, but just as OpenAI and
[00:00:34] Anthropic successively launched their advanced models , a doomsday panic suddenly
[00:00:38] emerged in the AI technology world . Cockson, a former employee
[00:00:42] of Anthropic, posted a critical message on X on the 9th
[00:00:45] , stating that the OpenAI and Anthropic he knew before were
[00:00:49] gambling with human lives, and his former colleague Hu Bingge
[00:00:53] also tweeted that the probability of AI destroying humanity within 10 years
[00:00:56] has exceeded 10%.
[00:01:00] In 6 to 12 months, AI might be able to control the entire internet.
[00:01:08] Anthropic
[00:01:08] is considering introducing a third party for security, and
[00:01:12] SpaceX CEO Musk is right.
[00:01:17] OpenAI CEO Altman also took responsibility, saying that
[00:01:20] OpenAI will not go public this year.
[00:01:23] However, US President Trump expressed great dissatisfaction, stating that AI is a scam and
[00:01:31] the only solution for AI is a highly intelligent president. Trump
[00:01:35] was still not satisfied, even directly calling the Grey Cloud Executive
[00:01:39] Director Huang Renxun at a conference , asking Huang Renxun to turn
[00:01:43] on the speaker. He directly told the audience that robots and AI
[00:01:47] will not take over the world. Huang Renxun also
[00:01:50] of the technology industry, but there is no scientific basis
[00:01:54] for AI doomsday. As the three major AI giants
[00:01:58] successively expressed their positions, it also attracted attention from all walks of life.
[00:02:13] However, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Guo Jia expressed that the United States is spreading the theory of AI risk, which
[00:02:16] is a Cold War mentality, and will only interfere with the global
[00:02:20] process of artificial intelligence governance . It seems that China
[00:02:24] does not intend to slow down . Artificial intelligence researcher
[00:02:27] stated that Anthropic AI
[00:03:30] "I still believe that the wrong people will be in charge of the
[00:03:33] technology, and and and you that again will
[00:03:36] bring the probability of things going wrong, very high.
[00:03:39] Anthropic CEO, on the 13th,
[00:03:43] companies that develop
[00:03:43] AI technology must first establish that AI technology is lost, and no one can handle it.
[00:03:51] If at every step we stop, and we say,
[00:03:55] let's fix the problems with these models, let's understand them, let's fix
[00:03:59] the problems with. these models and and then only
[00:04:02] slowly, carefully can we move to the same to the next
[00:04:06] step, then I think the probability of something going wrong is very, very
[00:04:09] low. The nightmare scenario for six to 12 months would be that you
[00:04:13] have a swarm of these agents that for that, that forms
[00:04:17] some kind of botnet collective and could could take
[00:04:20] down large segments of the internet, no one could look at that and say
[00:04:24] this isn't a potential concern, right, that economic disruption isn't a
[00:04:28] potential concern when safety
[00:04:30] capabilities. the hugging face incident triggered a real reset.
[00:04:55] and monitoring are always ahead of
[00:05:14] When Trump attended a tech summit with Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang , he joined the discussion through a speakerphone
[00:05:18] , criticizing the AI doomsday theory as a market
[00:05:22] scam, and implicitly accusing China of foul play behind the scenes.
[00:05:37] Trump broadly criticized the current discussion as a deliberate hype by interested parties
[00:05:41] , and a hypothetical situation that will never happen. The Chinese Foreign Ministry
[00:05:45] responded that the world should collectively promote open, inclusive
[00:05:48] , universal, and benevolent AI, abandoning malicious competition. Spreading
[00:05:52] various threats, creating confrontation and malicious competition
[00:05:56] will only interfere with the global governance process of artificial intelligence
[00:06:00] , and is not in the interest of any
[00:06:04] party. US Vice President Pence even questioned whether AI leaders
[00:06:08] were trying to hit the brakes at this time with ulterior motives, possibly
[00:06:11] to raise entry barriers and stifle competition.
[00:07:36] If you can't control it then don't do it would be my my view
[00:07:40] or step aside.
[00:07:51] It's hard to imagine how the relationship between humans and AI will change in the future, as AI takes over in a few hours.
[00:07:59] The recent debate is an important reminder to think about the consequences.
[00:08:07] Since US oil prices have not cooled down, the Federal Reserve Chairman
[00:08:47] in the meeting just concluded, the FOMC decided to raise
[00:08:51] the target range for the federal funds rate by a quarter of a
[00:08:55] percentage quarters to 4%. In other words, the US increased rates by 0.25% for the third time.
[00:09:09] The key problem is really the inflation is about.
[00:09:12] 100 basis points to 120 basis points too
[00:09:16] high, and you'd like to see that come down to the
[00:09:19] 2% target in the future, and so that's
[00:09:23] why the open market committee has to be weighing whether to make
[00:09:27] move or not. The Fed unanimously approved the rate hike with a 12:00 vote, and China's three major stock markets quickly reacted to the decision, with data personnel and lower-level employees receiving high salaries.
[00:09:41] .
[00:10:15] Since taking office in May, Hua has for the first time led the Fed to raise interest rates. Compared to the past three chairmen, and even all
[00:10:19] previous Fed chairmen, his stance may be more hawkish
[00:10:22] , clearly at odds with Trump's stance . "I mean, I'm relying on
[00:10:26] Kevin, but he's got you, very tough board, and I told, I talked
[00:10:30] to Kevin, and I said, you might as well vote with the board, buse it's not going to
[00:10:34] matter, the board is very hostile, they're very
[00:10:37] political, they're doing the wrong thing. Although Trump has strongly reversed course, it shows that he is trying to balance the trust of his nominees with high interest rates.
[00:10:50] President Trump, you run to cut off trade with the nation, running a
[00:10:53] trade deficit."
[00:12:25] with now a hawkish
[00:12:27] fed um and a and a
[00:12:30] just a hiking global yields, it's not just the
[00:12:34] US right, it's Japan, it's France, it's England, it's happening
[00:12:37] around the world, that could be enough to give
[00:12:40] us at least decent
[00:12:43] correction. The Fed has raised interest rates for three consecutive years, plus the taste of a rollback
[00:12:51] relief.
[00:12:55] that we're seeing here is that the fed is finally waking up and
[00:12:59] they're on the job, but whether that's going to have any
[00:13:02] dorable impact on actual inflation and longer
[00:13:06] term interest rates is still very much an open
[00:13:09] question. The first shot fired in 2020. The latest dot plot shows that the Fed may raise rates at least twice more by the end of the year.
[00:13:18] few things push rates higher, the primary one being oil prices. over the
[00:13:22] last few weeks oil prices have spiked again. geopolitical
[00:13:25] tensions and then we also had the August job report come out
[00:13:29] where jobs came out at roughly three times what economs
[00:13:33] expected. Before that, the Fed would raise rates three more times.
[00:13:40] when the US interest rate rise money often flows towards
[00:13:44] the dollar and away from riskier markets um
[00:13:48] such as emerging markets in Asia and
[00:13:51] in in Asia export um oriented
[00:14:25] The Fed's next monetary policy meeting is scheduled for late October, just
[00:14:29] days before the midterm elections . If inflation indicators remain
[00:14:33] high, the Fed will be forced to raise interest rates again before voting day
[00:14:36] , and the interaction between the White House and the Fed will likely face more
[00:14:40] violent political impact .
[00:14:43] The Yemeni Houthi rebels launched a lightning attack, even
[00:14:47] supplying the Red Sea strategic port of Mocha and the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait
[00:14:50] leadership. The war even spread to Arabia
[00:14:54] . It changed the key east-west oil pipeline. Not only
[00:14:58] did it push international oil prices back above the $100 mark, it also
[00:15:01] triggered a refugee crisis in Yemen . It is rumored that King Salman
[00:15:05] of Saudi Arabia, Mohammed, twice called US President Trump, asking
[00:15:09] the US military to attack the Houthis . However, the US currently does not want
[00:15:13] to intervene, only providing military intelligence assistance
[00:15:15] .
[00:15:18] Gunshots rang out, and thick smoke billowed from the horizon, raising a large amount of
[00:15:22] dust. Several cars were burned black and continued to smoke.
[00:16:09] Satellite imagery shows that Saudi Arabia invested hundreds of billions to build a 1200-kilometer
[00:16:13] east-west oil pipeline across the country , which was also attacked
[00:16:17] . If war really breaks out, global energy will be blocked at the Strait of Hormuz
[00:16:21] . The only lifeline for Saudi Arabia is this east-west oil pipeline, transporting
[00:16:24] Persian Gulf crude oil to Red Sea coastal ports every day, and then through the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait
[00:16:28] to India and the Asia-Pacific region. However, after the Houthi attack
[00:16:32] , they not only controlled the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait but also threatened the east-west oil pipeline, almost
[00:16:36] locking down Middle Eastern crude oil.
[00:18:42] One of the officials familiar with the matter said it was drones launched from Iraq that hit the pipeline itself, and
[00:18:45] although we haven't seen any group
[00:18:48] claim responsibility for this drone attack, we do know and we
[00:18:52] have seen Iranian backed militas operating in Iraq that have in
[00:18:55] the past and for years. Iran has been accused of backing them since they entered Iraq.
[00:19:07] they decided to somehow
[00:19:10] rise up to claim
[00:19:13] their rights. Close the negotiations?
[00:19:18] the options open to the hoothies are mixture of
[00:19:22] trying to reach some kind of
[00:19:26] accommodation with the hoothies. you can't change
[00:19:29] geography after all, but
[00:19:32] without making it look like violence pace, that's going to have to
[00:19:35] involve Iran.
[00:21:00] Now that the defense line has collapsed, the future may repeat the pattern of the Yemeni civil war
[00:21:04] .
[00:21:13] There has been no effective strike against the Houthis , which has led to the loss of key ports
[00:21:17] in the Red Sea, and the oil shipping lanes in the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait have been affected. See you at the Golden Horse on the 12th, at 6:30 PM.
[00:26:26] Welcome back to "Watching the World Together". Since August this year, Japan has been hit by multiple typhoons, coupled with a frontal system , and various places have reported continuous heavy rain and
[00:26:29] flood disasters, especially the heavy rain in Chiba on August 13. The disaster
[00:26:33] was the most severe, resulting in 13 deaths and more than 7,000 damaged houses. More
[00:26:37] than a month after the disaster, many businesses are still unable to operate, and economic
[00:26:40] losses exceed 2.6 billion Japanese yen , which is about 530
[00:26:44] million Taiwan dollars. Experts remind that hidden dangers may lurk in the dark ditches
[00:26:48] and retaining walls in the city. With the continuous heavy rain, waterproof products
[00:26:52] developed by Japanese manufacturers have gradually attracted attention
[00:26:56] . The sudden heavy rain turned urban roads into
[00:26:59] a vast expanse of water, and cars on the road seemed to be swimming against the current
[00:27:32] More than 7,000 houses were damaged by flooding, causing 13 deaths
[00:27:36] .
[00:27:41] The short-term heavy rainfall overwhelmed the urban drainage system, revealing the hidden
[00:27:45] dangers of modern cities. After the heavy rain , many sidewalks collapsed
[00:27:49] , and huge holes appeared underneath . It turned out that these were dark
[00:27:53] ditches, formerly rivers or drainage canals
[00:27:57] . Until the period
[00:28:01] of rapid economic growth in the 1960s.
[00:28:03] Due to population and urban expansion, river pollution was severe, and coupled with insufficient
[00:28:07] urban land, open watercourses were covered and buried underground
[00:28:11] . In September last year, Tokyo also experienced flooding due to heavy rain, with the underground
[00:28:15] Kawagoe Station and Seibu-Shinjuku Station areas being heavily flooded. It turned
[00:28:18] out to be a hidden
[00:28:20] river
[00:28:23] . The Kawagoe River is 7.4 kilometers long, of which 6.6 kilometers are covered
[00:28:26] and become a dark ditch, with the surface becoming a pedestrian
[00:28:29] path.
[00:29:32] . On the side of the entrance road. After the heavy rain, the roads were flooded, and many vehicles
[00:29:36] broke down midway. Some cars were even completely submerged, and trapped residents
[00:29:40] were unable to escape, leading to tragedy
[00:29:41] .
[00:29:48] Among them, underpasses are high-risk areas. Because drivers cannot see
[00:29:51] the water from the ground, by the time they drive in and find the water, it's too late. So some
[00:29:55] businesses have developed a special
[00:29:57] tool
[00:30:52] It can prevent cars from floating away. The installation is simple and quick, and can be installed in less than 5 minutes .
[00:30:54] 。