{"cycle":2026,"election_day":"2026-11-03","as_of":"2026-11-04","generated_at":"2026-11-04T00:20:43.085Z","sources":{"polls":{"name":"PollResults.org (New York Times poll data)","url":"https://pollresults.org/","license":"CC BY 4.0","count":1579},"fec":{"name":"Federal Election Commission","url":"https://www.fec.gov/data/","count":1317,"key":"env","errors":[]},"adspend":{"name":"FEC bulk independent expenditures via Corvus Intel","url":"https://corvusintel.app/api/ad-spend"}},"stale":{},"skeleton":false,"disclosure":"Deterministic data from named public feeds (PollResults.org/NYT poll data CC BY 4.0, FEC). No model-generated figures, no prediction-market prices. Not a forecast.","race":{"slug":"governor-ks","chamber":"governor","state":"KS","state_name":"Kansas","district":null,"special":false,"title":"Kansas Governor","held":"D","incumbent":null,"open_seat":true,"battleground":true,"roster_source":"polls","candidates":[{"name":"Cindy Holscher","party":"D","incumbent":false,"poll_avg":48.3,"poll_n":8,"latest_pct":49.9,"fec":null},{"name":"Ty Masterson","party":"R","incumbent":false,"poll_avg":48.2,"poll_n":8,"latest_pct":45.6,"fec":null}],"leader":{"name":"Cindy Holscher","party":"D","pct":48.3,"lead":0.1},"money_leader":null,"flip_risk":null,"rating":"Toss-up","competitiveness":0.995,"poll_avg":{"candidates":[{"name":"Cindy Holscher","party":"D","pct":48.3,"polls":8},{"name":"Ty Masterson","party":"R","pct":48.2,"polls":8}],"margin":0.1,"lead":0.1,"leader":{"name":"Cindy Holscher","party":"D","pct":48.3},"n":8,"since":"2026-09-20","through":"2026-11-04","partisan":1,"method":"Unweighted mean of the latest general-election poll from each of 8 pollsters since 2026-09-20."},"polls":[{"id":"ee8d2d9a-9050-4dde-8ff3-225b1609c81e:ca256301-c175-4101-9828-7e2e99f2afd1","office":"governor","state":"KS","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"AtlasIntel","sponsor":"","partisan":null,"start":"2026-10-28","end":"2026-11-01","sample":2038,"population":"lv","url":"https://pollstergraph.com/poll/exclusive-atlas-us-ks-20261101-senate","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Ty Masterson","party":"R","pct":45.6},{"name":"Cindy Holscher","party":"D","pct":49.9}]},{"id":"e5e20345-3b79-49b1-bd66-d5e7bfda599d:b085481d-ea9b-4c3f-a975-4c8cd8550b4b","office":"governor","state":"KS","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"Survey 160","sponsor":"","partisan":null,"start":"2026-10-27","end":"2026-11-01","sample":1267,"population":"lv","url":"https://www.survey160.com/methodological-research-blog/survey-160-pre-election-surveys-in-four-states","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Ty Masterson","party":"R","pct":48},{"name":"Cindy Holscher","party":"D","pct":49}]},{"id":"e5e20345-3b79-49b1-bd66-d5e7bfda599d:74e65d57-da83-43b9-ab1e-77b4bafef2a3","office":"governor","state":"KS","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"Survey 160","sponsor":"","partisan":null,"start":"2026-10-27","end":"2026-11-01","sample":1339,"population":"rv","url":"https://www.survey160.com/methodological-research-blog/survey-160-pre-election-surveys-in-four-states","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Ty Masterson","party":"R","pct":47},{"name":"Cindy Holscher","party":"D","pct":49}]},{"id":"488d5c04-cc06-4cf9-a292-24dca14264b6:6c32ae9e-8421-43bd-adcc-747655461764","office":"governor","state":"KS","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"The New York Times/Siena University","sponsor":"","partisan":null,"start":"2026-10-27","end":"2026-11-01","sample":736,"population":"lv","url":"https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/11/01/polls/times-siena-poll-crosstabs.html","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Ty Masterson","party":"R","pct":47.4},{"name":"Cindy Holscher","party":"D","pct":47.8}]},{"id":"d12ca396-9967-4c5a-b3af-5754f8a2ff05:fd15ed80-b006-426e-86fa-ea587a56c929","office":"governor","state":"KS","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"YouGov","sponsor":"","partisan":null,"start":"2026-10-26","end":"2026-10-29","sample":2085,"population":"lv","url":"https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/ttw_ks_20261026_lv.pdf","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Ty Masterson","party":"R","pct":50},{"name":"Cindy Holscher","party":"D","pct":49}]},{"id":"03a5f4fe-8984-49ba-b8ce-2044bab54108:1f50cef6-e2d7-4471-a7c7-11b14e1f0eb0","office":"governor","state":"KS","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"Emerson College","sponsor":"","partisan":null,"start":"2026-10-26","end":"2026-10-28","sample":800,"population":"lv","url":"https://emersoncollegepolling.com/october-2026-kansas-poll-hamilton-maintains-edge-over-marshall/","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Ty Masterson","party":"R","pct":52.5},{"name":"Cindy Holscher","party":"D","pct":47.5}]},{"id":"57631c63-27a4-4cb7-adcb-99233e0056d8:dfc3041d-b936-4966-bf21-2ed4ba372bfb","office":"governor","state":"KS","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government","sponsor":"","partisan":null,"start":"2026-10-22","end":"2026-10-26","sample":801,"population":"lv","url":"https://www.washingtonpost.com/tablet/2026/10/30/oct-22-26-2026-washington-post-schar-school-kansas-poll/","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Ty Masterson","party":"R","pct":45},{"name":"Cindy Holscher","party":"D","pct":51}]},{"id":"cc6fe4a3-b999-4be6-9fd5-388faf9938b1:200c78ed-1353-4e27-b9ac-0c5092fb97b9","office":"governor","state":"KS","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"CNN/SSRS","sponsor":"","partisan":null,"start":"2026-10-20","end":"2026-10-26","sample":838,"population":"lv","url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2026/10/29/politics/cnn-polls-michigan-maine-texas-kansas-senate-races-midterms-vis","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Neither","party":null,"pct":4},{"name":"Ty Masterson","party":"R","pct":50},{"name":"Cindy Holscher","party":"D","pct":45}]},{"id":"2777acf5-a35a-4458-8ae6-2e94d67246c3:ed252ecd-d1e0-4188-891d-23a6acd4c7a4","office":"governor","state":"KS","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"Global Strategy Group","sponsor":"","partisan":"D","start":"2026-10-18","end":"2026-10-21","sample":600,"population":"lv","url":"https://globalstrategygroup.app.box.com/s/vwojuwfb4y52lmvw4r5c5b60svfyrmqc","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Ty Masterson","party":"R","pct":47},{"name":"Cindy Holscher","party":"D","pct":47}]},{"id":"d25ef4d2-1ed1-441e-9934-82e258d3931e:43d39b99-87e0-48de-a294-23601c20deb8","office":"governor","state":"KS","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"YouGov","sponsor":"","partisan":null,"start":"2026-09-24","end":"2026-10-04","sample":2252,"population":"lv","url":"https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/ttw_ks_20260921_lv.pdf","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Ty Masterson","party":"R","pct":47},{"name":"Cindy Holscher","party":"D","pct":44}]},{"id":"0f4d264a-5dc3-4a3c-b3ec-1dc55df13c4b:34472788-af1c-4bce-840b-313c206ef64e","office":"governor","state":"KS","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"The New York Times/Siena University","sponsor":"","partisan":null,"start":"2026-09-22","end":"2026-09-30","sample":605,"population":"lv","url":"https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/10/03/polls/times-siena-kansas-poll-crosstabs.html","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Ty Masterson","party":"R","pct":48.52},{"name":"Cindy Holscher","party":"D","pct":44.38}]},{"id":"7a2a5a88-c265-4ab1-a1b3-80926e34f23b:34f7e7bb-00b3-4255-bc8a-6952364e87dc","office":"governor","state":"KS","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"Global Strategy Group","sponsor":"Democratic Attorneys General Association","partisan":"D","start":"2026-09-13","end":"2026-09-16","sample":800,"population":"lv","url":"https://www.washingtonsun.com/newsletters/they-love-stonks","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Ty Masterson","party":"R","pct":46},{"name":"Cindy Holscher","party":"D","pct":49}]},{"id":"8b579ddd-2169-412e-8ce9-074cc2643108:b68a8b18-533a-4a5b-aba1-b1f7b3e0cf90","office":"governor","state":"KS","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"Emerson College","sponsor":"Nexstar","partisan":null,"start":"2026-09-15","end":"2026-09-16","sample":750,"population":"lv","url":"https://emersoncollegepolling.com/kansas-2026/","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Ty Masterson","party":"R","pct":50.82},{"name":"Cindy Holscher","party":"D","pct":43.48}]},{"id":"8f9d28d7-4b18-4a97-b827-bd29bb7d211a:d2d5de3d-c8f6-4644-acda-478cb227902b","office":"governor","state":"KS","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"co/efficient","sponsor":"","partisan":null,"start":"2026-09-08","end":"2026-09-10","sample":915,"population":"lv","url":"https://battlegrounds.coefficient.org/ks/","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Cindy Holscher","party":"D","pct":43},{"name":"Ty Masterson","party":"R","pct":51}]},{"id":"fcb4abeb-9b26-40d8-bf53-6b6806354c7c:d558def1-792e-4d23-983c-2556307ded1f","office":"governor","state":"KS","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"Global Strategy Group","sponsor":"","partisan":"D","start":"2026-08-13","end":"2026-08-16","sample":600,"population":"lv","url":"https://www.politico.com/newsletters/playbook/2026/08/28/nevada-dems-2028-reality-check-01053864","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Ty Masterson","party":"R","pct":46},{"name":"Cindy Holscher","party":"D","pct":47}]}],"poll_count":15,"money":{"total_raised":0,"outside_total":0,"source":null},"ad_spend":{"google":{"candidate_matches":[{"advertiser":"TY MASTERSON FOR GOVERNOR","spend_4w_usd":114900,"candidate":"Ty Masterson","party":"R"}],"candidate_4w_usd":114900,"state_lifetime_usd":28562200,"district_lifetime_usd":null,"week":"2026-10-25"},"snap":{"candidate_matches":[],"candidate_usd":0,"state_usd":598101,"district_usd":null,"year":2026},"meta":{"candidate_matches":[],"candidate_usd":0,"state_usd":1469839,"date_range":"Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026"}}},"history":[{"d":"2026-11-03","a":{"Cindy Holscher (D)":48.3,"Ty Masterson (R)":48.2},"m":0.1},{"d":"2026-11-04","a":{"Cindy Holscher (D)":48.3,"Ty Masterson (R)":48.2},"m":0.1}],"page":"https://apprised.news/races/governor-ks"}