{"cycle":2026,"election_day":"2026-11-03","as_of":"2026-11-04","generated_at":"2026-11-04T00:20:43.085Z","sources":{"polls":{"name":"PollResults.org (New York Times poll data)","url":"https://pollresults.org/","license":"CC BY 4.0","count":1579},"fec":{"name":"Federal Election Commission","url":"https://www.fec.gov/data/","count":1317,"key":"env","errors":[]},"adspend":{"name":"FEC bulk independent expenditures via Corvus Intel","url":"https://corvusintel.app/api/ad-spend"}},"stale":{},"skeleton":false,"disclosure":"Deterministic data from named public feeds (PollResults.org/NYT poll data CC BY 4.0, FEC). No model-generated figures, no prediction-market prices. Not a forecast.","race":{"slug":"governor-ne","chamber":"governor","state":"NE","state_name":"Nebraska","district":null,"special":false,"title":"Nebraska Governor","held":"R","incumbent":null,"open_seat":true,"battleground":true,"roster_source":"polls","candidates":[{"name":"Jim Pillen","party":"R","incumbent":false,"poll_avg":45.9,"poll_n":8,"latest_pct":50,"fec":null},{"name":"Lynne Walz","party":"D","incumbent":false,"poll_avg":41.7,"poll_n":8,"latest_pct":47,"fec":null},{"name":"Brett Lindstrom","party":null,"incumbent":false,"poll_avg":5,"poll_n":4,"latest_pct":null,"fec":null},{"name":"Rick Beard","party":null,"incumbent":false,"poll_avg":4.8,"poll_n":4,"latest_pct":null,"fec":null}],"leader":{"name":"Jim Pillen","party":"R","pct":45.9,"lead":4.2},"money_leader":null,"flip_risk":null,"rating":"Lean","competitiveness":0.79,"poll_avg":{"candidates":[{"name":"Jim Pillen","party":"R","pct":45.9,"polls":8},{"name":"Lynne Walz","party":"D","pct":41.7,"polls":8},{"name":"Brett Lindstrom","party":null,"pct":5,"polls":4},{"name":"Rick Beard","party":null,"pct":4.8,"polls":4}],"margin":-4.2,"lead":4.2,"leader":{"name":"Jim Pillen","party":"R","pct":45.9},"n":8,"since":"2026-09-20","through":"2026-11-04","partisan":4,"method":"Unweighted mean of the latest general-election poll from each of 8 pollsters since 2026-09-20."},"polls":[{"id":"261adc4a-cfbe-4fe7-9455-24765fbcea0c:99bf24a7-8124-47bf-9c3f-a6079e3c37bc","office":"governor","state":"NE","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"YouGov","sponsor":"","partisan":null,"start":"2026-10-26","end":"2026-10-29","sample":1974,"population":"lv","url":"https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/ttw_ne_20261026_lv.pdf","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Jim Pillen","party":"R","pct":50},{"name":"Lynne Walz","party":"D","pct":47}]},{"id":"96d6e3cb-710e-4140-86b4-4f4f2545b2bd:574a0713-6f56-4e79-9a38-5aef1ac1a75e","office":"governor","state":"NE","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"The New York Times/Siena University","sponsor":"","partisan":null,"start":"2026-10-23","end":"2026-10-29","sample":809,"population":"lv","url":"https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/10/31/polls/times-siena-ne-poll-toplines.html","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Jim Pillen","party":"R","pct":53.09},{"name":"Lynne Walz","party":"D","pct":39.57}]},{"id":"fb010920-9374-48f4-8c80-c2ca49ce24d7:c383538d-1048-4d74-a446-6b19f4849da7","office":"governor","state":"NE","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"Echelon Insights","sponsor":"NetChoice","partisan":null,"start":"2026-10-16","end":"2026-10-23","sample":407,"population":"lv","url":"https://netchoice.org/netchoice-echelon-insights-poll-voters-rank-ai-regulation-far-behind-cost-of-living-want-one-national-ai-standard/","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Rick Beard","party":null,"pct":7},{"name":"Brett Lindstrom","party":null,"pct":4},{"name":"Lynne Walz","party":"D","pct":40},{"name":"Jim Pillen","party":"R","pct":47}]},{"id":"2ecb9952-292c-4d6d-9c7c-c5a75219c5b3:76b2a066-9a9d-4f1b-ac33-7da8030b9972","office":"governor","state":"NE","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"Concord Public Opinion Partners","sponsor":"Education Reform Now Advocacy","partisan":"D","start":"2026-10-15","end":"2026-10-18","sample":500,"population":"lv","url":"https://concordpublicopinionpartners.org/polls/nebraska-ge-2026","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Jim Pillen","party":"R","pct":40},{"name":"Lynne Walz","party":"D","pct":43}]},{"id":"561c2f6a-2f4e-426e-97cc-43a23bfc6f6c:241fec48-f7d7-4b62-b6eb-288149ae0058","office":"governor","state":"NE","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"Global Strategy Group","sponsor":"","partisan":"D","start":"2026-10-13","end":"2026-10-18","sample":800,"population":"lv","url":"https://drive.google.com/file/d/1g4TU7GCq4qgQVhD3aLRfT430gg401LYo/view","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Rick Beard","party":null,"pct":5},{"name":"Brett Lindstrom","party":null,"pct":5},{"name":"Jim Pillen","party":"R","pct":40},{"name":"Lynne Walz","party":"D","pct":39}]},{"id":"185e2532-edd0-4c81-9527-3a3dcf8f228c:ae5404bb-58c6-43c8-a0fa-2096f23ea5d9","office":"governor","state":"NE","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"National Public Affairs","sponsor":"God, Family, & Country PAC","partisan":"R","start":"2026-10-15","end":"2026-10-18","sample":598,"population":"lv","url":"https://backend.natpublicaffairs.com/media/NE_Tracker_R2_Trend_Memo_102226.7.pdf","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Rick Beard","party":null,"pct":3},{"name":"Brett Lindstrom","party":null,"pct":5},{"name":"Lynne Walz","party":"D","pct":41},{"name":"Jim Pillen","party":"R","pct":47}]},{"id":"49d85399-2bba-43ca-9da0-9b79b368270c:b1be188a-ffc2-4b15-85eb-80a8261d4762","office":"governor","state":"NE","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"Public Policy Polling","sponsor":"","partisan":"D","start":"2026-10-13","end":"2026-10-14","sample":571,"population":"lv","url":"https://omaha.com/news/state-regional/government-politics/elections/article_5a5e86fc-da5f-4953-89f7-7e199e7c607e.html","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Lynne Walz","party":"D","pct":46},{"name":"Jim Pillen","party":"R","pct":48}]},{"id":"49d85399-2bba-43ca-9da0-9b79b368270c:fc90c944-300b-4341-9404-68a53bd6ce5d","office":"governor","state":"NE","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"Public Policy Polling","sponsor":"","partisan":"D","start":"2026-10-13","end":"2026-10-14","sample":571,"population":"lv","url":"https://omaha.com/news/state-regional/government-politics/elections/article_5a5e86fc-da5f-4953-89f7-7e199e7c607e.html","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Rick Beard","party":null,"pct":3},{"name":"Brett Lindstrom","party":null,"pct":5},{"name":"Jim Pillen","party":"R","pct":44},{"name":"Lynne Walz","party":"D","pct":43}]},{"id":"85cb655e-59af-411e-8b66-96853337a024:8dd18b37-de56-46cc-aea1-20284043aeaa","office":"governor","state":"NE","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"National Public Affairs","sponsor":"God, Family, & Country PAC","partisan":"R","start":"2026-10-02","end":"2026-10-05","sample":800,"population":"lv","url":"https://backend.natpublicaffairs.com/media/Nebraska_General_Election_Memo_100926.pdf","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Rick Beard","party":null,"pct":5},{"name":"Brett Lindstrom","party":null,"pct":7},{"name":"Lynne Walz","party":"D","pct":40},{"name":"Jim Pillen","party":"R","pct":44}]},{"id":"3b9ac4c6-eb6c-4323-b9c1-aa2e503ac01a:15d717ab-c9e6-49ba-b2a8-f8a088fca546","office":"governor","state":"NE","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"YouGov","sponsor":"","partisan":null,"start":"2026-09-24","end":"2026-10-03","sample":1808,"population":"lv","url":"https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/ttw_ne_20260921_lv.pdf","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Jim Pillen","party":"R","pct":44},{"name":"Lynne Walz","party":"D","pct":43}]},{"id":"c15969eb-0f9d-4487-8425-7fca11a9da78:460f26b4-d862-4ca6-a694-a7c06b269758","office":"governor","state":"NE","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"co/efficient","sponsor":"","partisan":null,"start":"2026-09-28","end":"2026-09-30","sample":1113,"population":"lv","url":"https://battlegrounds.coefficient.org/ne/","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Rick Beard","party":null,"pct":4},{"name":"Brett Lindstrom","party":null,"pct":6},{"name":"Lynne Walz","party":"D","pct":38},{"name":"Jim Pillen","party":"R","pct":42}]},{"id":"47c9df43-f53e-4b0a-8ae0-de2cf200507d:a3d94b9f-3576-4ce3-8813-0001da44f49e","office":"governor","state":"NE","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"Lake Research Partners","sponsor":"","partisan":"D","start":"2026-09-08","end":"2026-09-14","sample":900,"population":"lv","url":"https://omaha.com/news/state-regional/government-politics/elections/article_7261e7ba-664d-4d70-8e0e-5655e663f593.html","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Rick Beard","party":null,"pct":4},{"name":"Brett Lindstrom","party":null,"pct":9},{"name":"Jim Pillen","party":"R","pct":40},{"name":"Lynne Walz","party":"D","pct":40}]},{"id":"bb94417f-3a6e-4bd8-9e2d-29ba8c451b23:830a7292-2fda-4915-ab3a-f74071e598c6","office":"governor","state":"NE","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"SurveyUSA","sponsor":"Grant Forbes, LLC","partisan":null,"start":"2026-09-08","end":"2026-09-13","sample":503,"population":"lv","url":"https://results.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=d94236a7-5861-4b7f-9d81-d5a81ab786cc","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Lynne Walz","party":"D","pct":35},{"name":"Jim Pillen","party":"R","pct":43}]},{"id":"d6e1af5b-ae7c-4270-ad00-3bd021a5ba93:fcc24ec1-2ebc-4d4f-a767-b228cf040a0f","office":"governor","state":"NE","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"Public Policy Polling","sponsor":"DGA","partisan":"D","start":"2026-09-01","end":"2026-09-02","sample":559,"population":"rv","url":"https://democraticgovernors.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/PPP-Sept-2026-Poll-Memo.docx.pdf","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Rick Beard","party":null,"pct":7},{"name":"Brett Lindstrom","party":null,"pct":10},{"name":"Lynne Walz","party":"D","pct":31},{"name":"Jim Pillen","party":"R","pct":32}]}],"poll_count":14,"money":{"total_raised":0,"outside_total":0,"source":null},"ad_spend":{"google":{"candidate_matches":[{"advertiser":"JIM PILLEN FOR GOVERNOR","spend_4w_usd":259300,"candidate":"Jim Pillen","party":"R"},{"advertiser":"Lynne Walz for Nebraska","spend_4w_usd":133300,"candidate":"Lynne Walz","party":"D"}],"candidate_4w_usd":392600,"state_lifetime_usd":24710900,"district_lifetime_usd":null,"week":"2026-10-25"},"snap":{"candidate_matches":[],"candidate_usd":0,"state_usd":57064,"district_usd":null,"year":2026},"meta":{"candidate_matches":[],"candidate_usd":0,"state_usd":741882,"date_range":"Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026"}}},"history":[{"d":"2026-11-03","a":{"Jim Pillen (R)":45.9,"Lynne Walz (D)":41.7,"Brett Lindstrom":5,"Rick Beard":4.8},"m":-4.2},{"d":"2026-11-04","a":{"Jim Pillen (R)":45.9,"Lynne Walz (D)":41.7,"Brett Lindstrom":5,"Rick Beard":4.8},"m":-4.2}],"page":"https://apprised.news/races/governor-ne"}