{"cycle":2026,"election_day":"2026-11-03","as_of":"2026-11-04","generated_at":"2026-11-04T00:20:43.085Z","sources":{"polls":{"name":"PollResults.org (New York Times poll data)","url":"https://pollresults.org/","license":"CC BY 4.0","count":1579},"fec":{"name":"Federal Election Commission","url":"https://www.fec.gov/data/","count":1317,"key":"env","errors":[]},"adspend":{"name":"FEC bulk independent expenditures via Corvus Intel","url":"https://corvusintel.app/api/ad-spend"}},"stale":{},"skeleton":false,"disclosure":"Deterministic data from named public feeds (PollResults.org/NYT poll data CC BY 4.0, FEC). No model-generated figures, no prediction-market prices. Not a forecast.","race":{"slug":"house-nc-01","chamber":"house","state":"NC","state_name":"North Carolina","district":1,"special":false,"title":"North Carolina 1st District","held":"D","incumbent":{"name":"Don Davis","party":"D"},"open_seat":false,"battleground":true,"roster_source":"polls","candidates":[{"name":"Don Davis","party":"D","incumbent":true,"poll_avg":46.7,"poll_n":3,"latest_pct":42,"fec":{"id":"H2NC02287","receipts":5805482,"disbursements":5250506,"cash":825818,"through":"2026-10-14","url":"https://www.fec.gov/data/candidate/H2NC02287/?cycle=2026","ie_support":855118,"ie_oppose":7811428}},{"name":"Laurie Buckhout","party":"R","incumbent":false,"poll_avg":41,"poll_n":3,"latest_pct":43,"fec":{"id":"H4NC01137","receipts":4787737,"disbursements":3376140,"cash":1437901,"through":"2026-10-14","url":"https://www.fec.gov/data/candidate/H4NC01137/?cycle=2026","ie_support":1658007,"ie_oppose":5614958}}],"leader":{"name":"Don Davis","party":"D","pct":46.7,"lead":5.7},"money_leader":{"name":"Don Davis","party":"D","receipts":5805482},"flip_risk":null,"rating":"Lean","competitiveness":0.715,"poll_avg":{"candidates":[{"name":"Don Davis","party":"D","pct":46.7,"polls":3},{"name":"Laurie Buckhout","party":"R","pct":41,"polls":3}],"margin":5.7,"lead":5.7,"leader":{"name":"Don Davis","party":"D","pct":46.7},"n":3,"since":"2026-09-20","through":"2026-11-04","partisan":2,"method":"Unweighted mean of the latest general-election poll from each of 3 pollsters since 2026-09-20."},"polls":[{"id":"dd868875-dbac-40ed-9868-28a6ac89deca:f956449b-7004-472e-ba17-01a8d71f03b6","office":"house","state":"NC","district":1,"stage":"general","pollster":"co/efficient","sponsor":"","partisan":"R","start":"2026-10-06","end":"2026-10-08","sample":623,"population":"lv","url":"https://www.politico.com/newsletters/playbook-pm/2026/10/09/trumps-real-prize-01114521","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Thomas Aaron Bailey","party":"L","pct":2},{"name":"Don Davis","party":"D","pct":42},{"name":"Laurie Buckhout","party":"R","pct":43}]},{"id":"dd868875-dbac-40ed-9868-28a6ac89deca:80364f7c-dbc6-481e-8153-e52e43462dde","office":"house","state":"NC","district":1,"stage":"general","pollster":"co/efficient","sponsor":"","partisan":"R","start":"2026-10-06","end":"2026-10-08","sample":623,"population":"lv","url":"https://www.politico.com/newsletters/playbook-pm/2026/10/09/trumps-real-prize-01114521","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Generic Candidate","party":"O","pct":1}]},{"id":"2949eb66-3630-401b-9325-7955092f5566:103e738f-9620-45cc-9442-80c720137c94","office":"house","state":"NC","district":1,"stage":"general","pollster":"Neighborhood Research Corporation","sponsor":"","partisan":null,"start":"2026-10-01","end":"2026-10-06","sample":303,"population":"lv","url":"https://x.com/Shaftan/status/2107772933322277266","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Laurie Buckhout","party":"R","pct":41},{"name":"Don Davis","party":"D","pct":51}]},{"id":"2c450d69-587b-428d-9cc6-6484b91b7234:a538ac92-ac7c-4307-a77f-8edac49d5b29","office":"house","state":"NC","district":1,"stage":"general","pollster":"GQR","sponsor":"","partisan":"D","start":"2026-09-29","end":"2026-10-04","sample":500,"population":"lv","url":"https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Yt-bOVqBFd9cPU3A2R1_MuOpnluJwmJM/view","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Laurie Buckhout","party":"R","pct":39},{"name":"Don Davis","party":"D","pct":47}]},{"id":"390834ab-5513-4fd4-a244-040049c809f9:dc689ef2-d91c-4ca9-a357-cfc9e829aabf","office":"house","state":"NC","district":1,"stage":"general","pollster":"GBAO","sponsor":"House Majority PAC","partisan":"D","start":"2026-09-08","end":"2026-09-11","sample":500,"population":"lv","url":"https://x.com/cjwarnke/status/2099621466887041405","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Laurie Buckhout","party":"R","pct":43},{"name":"Don Davis","party":"D","pct":50}]}],"poll_count":5,"money":{"total_raised":10593219,"outside_total":15939511,"source":"fec"},"ad_spend":{"google":{"candidate_matches":[{"advertiser":"LAURIE BUCKHOUT FOR CONGRESS","spend_4w_usd":141000,"candidate":"Laurie Buckhout","party":"R"}],"candidate_4w_usd":141000,"state_lifetime_usd":133953800,"district_lifetime_usd":4140000,"week":"2026-10-25"},"snap":{"candidate_matches":[],"candidate_usd":0,"state_usd":219318,"district_usd":397,"year":2026},"meta":{"candidate_matches":[],"candidate_usd":0,"state_usd":2167981,"date_range":"Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026"}}},"history":[{"d":"2026-11-03","a":{"Don Davis (D)":46.7,"Laurie Buckhout (R)":41},"m":5.7},{"d":"2026-11-04","a":{"Don Davis (D)":46.7,"Laurie Buckhout (R)":41},"m":5.7}],"page":"https://apprised.news/races/house-nc-01"}