{"cycle":2026,"election_day":"2026-11-03","as_of":"2026-11-04","generated_at":"2026-11-04T00:20:43.085Z","sources":{"polls":{"name":"PollResults.org (New York Times poll data)","url":"https://pollresults.org/","license":"CC BY 4.0","count":1579},"fec":{"name":"Federal Election Commission","url":"https://www.fec.gov/data/","count":1317,"key":"env","errors":[]},"adspend":{"name":"FEC bulk independent expenditures via Corvus Intel","url":"https://corvusintel.app/api/ad-spend"}},"stale":{},"skeleton":false,"disclosure":"Deterministic data from named public feeds (PollResults.org/NYT poll data CC BY 4.0, FEC). No model-generated figures, no prediction-market prices. Not a forecast.","race":{"slug":"house-tx-09","chamber":"house","state":"TX","state_name":"Texas","district":9,"special":false,"title":"Texas 9th District","held":null,"incumbent":null,"open_seat":true,"battleground":true,"roster_source":"polls","candidates":[{"name":"Alex Mealer","party":"R","incumbent":false,"poll_avg":48,"poll_n":2,"latest_pct":48,"fec":{"id":"H6TX09140","receipts":2782240,"disbursements":2580968,"cash":201272,"through":"2026-10-14","url":"https://www.fec.gov/data/candidate/H6TX09140/?cycle=2026","ie_support":9696824,"ie_oppose":724252}},{"name":"Leticia Gutierrez","party":"D","incumbent":false,"poll_avg":44.5,"poll_n":2,"latest_pct":47,"fec":null}],"leader":{"name":"Alex Mealer","party":"R","pct":48,"lead":3.5},"money_leader":{"name":"Alex Mealer","party":"R","receipts":2782240},"flip_risk":null,"rating":"Toss-up","competitiveness":0.825,"poll_avg":{"candidates":[{"name":"Alex Mealer","party":"R","pct":48,"polls":2},{"name":"Leticia Gutierrez","party":"D","pct":44.5,"polls":2}],"margin":-3.5,"lead":3.5,"leader":{"name":"Alex Mealer","party":"R","pct":48},"n":2,"since":"2026-09-20","through":"2026-11-04","partisan":1,"method":"Unweighted mean of the latest general-election poll from each of 2 pollsters since 2026-09-20."},"polls":[{"id":"26e933a3-58dd-4b67-99a2-879b0bfb5e59:fab61292-3b90-4acb-9f37-ff285672c714","office":"house","state":"TX","district":9,"stage":"general","pollster":"DCCC Targeting Team","sponsor":"","partisan":"D","start":"2026-10-20","end":"2026-10-22","sample":490,"population":"lv","url":"https://x.com/AndrewSolender/status/2114146315550552223","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Leticia Gutierrez","party":"D","pct":47},{"name":"Alex Mealer","party":"R","pct":48}]},{"id":"343845a3-47ce-4535-80e9-ac63facd7150:6f62b0b1-3115-4357-a53e-b11b992d386a","office":"house","state":"TX","district":9,"stage":"general","pollster":"University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs","sponsor":"","partisan":null,"start":"2026-10-03","end":"2026-10-07","sample":677,"population":"lv","url":"https://www.uh.edu/hobby/congress2026/cd9.pdf","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Leticia Gutierrez","party":"D","pct":42},{"name":"Alex Mealer","party":"R","pct":48}]},{"id":"b1a0fb10-4dc1-4ea9-b62c-1ac2a9ee2724:566449a6-2935-44b4-9a7a-8a772d4265d5","office":"house","state":"TX","district":9,"stage":"general","pollster":"Public Policy Polling","sponsor":"","partisan":"D","start":"2026-09-18","end":"2026-09-19","sample":560,"population":"rv","url":"https://x.com/nicholaswu12/status/2105313931275481267","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Leticia Gutierrez","party":"D","pct":39},{"name":"Alex Mealer","party":"R","pct":45}]}],"poll_count":3,"money":{"total_raised":2782240,"outside_total":10421076,"source":"fec"},"ad_spend":{"google":{"candidate_matches":[],"candidate_4w_usd":0,"state_lifetime_usd":208101600,"district_lifetime_usd":null,"week":"2026-10-25"},"snap":{"candidate_matches":[],"candidate_usd":0,"state_usd":595329,"district_usd":null,"year":2026},"meta":{"candidate_matches":[],"candidate_usd":0,"state_usd":10067720,"date_range":"Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026"}}},"history":[{"d":"2026-11-03","a":{"Alex Mealer (R)":47,"Leticia Gutierrez (D)":42.7},"m":-4.3},{"d":"2026-11-04","a":{"Alex Mealer (R)":48,"Leticia Gutierrez (D)":44.5},"m":-3.5}],"page":"https://apprised.news/races/house-tx-09"}