{"cycle":2026,"election_day":"2026-11-03","as_of":"2026-11-04","generated_at":"2026-11-04T00:20:43.085Z","sources":{"polls":{"name":"PollResults.org (New York Times poll data)","url":"https://pollresults.org/","license":"CC BY 4.0","count":1579},"fec":{"name":"Federal Election Commission","url":"https://www.fec.gov/data/","count":1317,"key":"env","errors":[]},"adspend":{"name":"FEC bulk independent expenditures via Corvus Intel","url":"https://corvusintel.app/api/ad-spend"}},"stale":{},"skeleton":false,"disclosure":"Deterministic data from named public feeds (PollResults.org/NYT poll data CC BY 4.0, FEC). No model-generated figures, no prediction-market prices. Not a forecast.","race":{"slug":"house-va-01","chamber":"house","state":"VA","state_name":"Virginia","district":1,"special":false,"title":"Virginia 1st District","held":"R","incumbent":{"name":"Robert Wittman","party":"R"},"open_seat":false,"battleground":true,"roster_source":"polls","candidates":[{"name":"Shannon Taylor","party":"D","incumbent":false,"poll_avg":48.3,"poll_n":3,"latest_pct":48,"fec":{"id":"H6VA01299","receipts":4607379,"disbursements":4008645,"cash":598734,"through":"2026-10-14","url":"https://www.fec.gov/data/candidate/H6VA01299/?cycle=2026","ie_support":843758,"ie_oppose":0}},{"name":"Robert Wittman","party":"R","incumbent":true,"poll_avg":46.3,"poll_n":3,"latest_pct":47,"fec":{"id":"H8VA01147","receipts":5432689,"disbursements":6011223,"cash":797346,"through":"2026-10-14","url":"https://www.fec.gov/data/candidate/H8VA01147/?cycle=2026","ie_support":0,"ie_oppose":5103441}}],"leader":{"name":"Shannon Taylor","party":"D","pct":48.3,"lead":2},"money_leader":{"name":"Robert Wittman","party":"R","receipts":5432689},"flip_risk":"R","rating":"Toss-up","competitiveness":0.9,"poll_avg":{"candidates":[{"name":"Shannon Taylor","party":"D","pct":48.3,"polls":3},{"name":"Robert Wittman","party":"R","pct":46.3,"polls":3}],"margin":2,"lead":2,"leader":{"name":"Shannon Taylor","party":"D","pct":48.3},"n":3,"since":"2026-09-20","through":"2026-11-04","partisan":2,"method":"Unweighted mean of the latest general-election poll from each of 3 pollsters since 2026-09-20."},"polls":[{"id":"e19f48ac-ff0c-4991-b355-e4e80fb22aa3:256db771-c443-4eb2-952a-df6149668aae","office":"house","state":"VA","district":1,"stage":"general","pollster":"DCCC Targeting Team","sponsor":"","partisan":"D","start":"2026-10-24","end":"2026-10-25","sample":478,"population":"lv","url":"https://www.virginiascope.com/latest-internal-poll-from-democrats-shows-a-1-point-race-in-va-01/","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Robert Wittman","party":"R","pct":47},{"name":"Shannon Taylor","party":"D","pct":48}]},{"id":"d41c2427-de22-4052-9258-67baf169072d:fe5bd793-1173-4f78-8825-dc45514b44bb","office":"house","state":"VA","district":1,"stage":"general","pollster":"Public Policy Polling","sponsor":"House Majority PAC","partisan":"D","start":"2026-10-21","end":"2026-10-22","sample":570,"population":"lv","url":"https://x.com/cjwarnke/status/2113633843999605102","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Robert Wittman","party":"R","pct":46},{"name":"Shannon Taylor","party":"D","pct":47}]},{"id":"6f5b45c3-2c2f-4b63-98c1-69a481550549:e8a45430-ab4d-45b5-b96d-b258c527d160","office":"house","state":"VA","district":1,"stage":"general","pollster":"The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government","sponsor":"","partisan":null,"start":"2026-09-23","end":"2026-09-28","sample":609,"population":"lv","url":"https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2026/10/01/shannon-taylor-has-edge-over-rob-wittman-virginia-house-district-post-poll-finds/","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Shannon Taylor","party":"D","pct":50},{"name":"Robert Wittman","party":"R","pct":46}]},{"id":"ed869046-fc8d-4365-98b2-373d6cc882ba:36970122-c545-4d6f-bfa8-c7eb074c70f4","office":"house","state":"VA","district":1,"stage":"general","pollster":"DCCC Targeting Team","sponsor":"","partisan":"D","start":"2026-09-15","end":"2026-09-17","sample":519,"population":"lv","url":"https://www.virginiascope.com/internal-poll-shows-a-tight-race-between-wittman-and-taylor/","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Shannon Taylor","party":"D","pct":46},{"name":"Robert Wittman","party":"R","pct":47}]}],"poll_count":4,"money":{"total_raised":10040068,"outside_total":5947199,"source":"fec"},"ad_spend":{"google":{"candidate_matches":[{"advertiser":"ROB WITTMAN FOR CONGRESS","spend_4w_usd":152200,"candidate":"Robert Wittman","party":"R"}],"candidate_4w_usd":152200,"state_lifetime_usd":97499500,"district_lifetime_usd":8258300,"week":"2026-10-25"},"snap":{"candidate_matches":[],"candidate_usd":0,"state_usd":99673,"district_usd":null,"year":2026},"meta":{"candidate_matches":[],"candidate_usd":0,"state_usd":1570653,"date_range":"Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026"}}},"history":[{"d":"2026-11-03","a":{"Shannon Taylor (D)":48.3,"Robert Wittman (R)":46.3},"m":2},{"d":"2026-11-04","a":{"Shannon Taylor (D)":48.3,"Robert Wittman (R)":46.3},"m":2}],"page":"https://apprised.news/races/house-va-01"}