{"cycle":2026,"election_day":"2026-11-03","as_of":"2026-11-04","generated_at":"2026-11-04T00:20:43.085Z","sources":{"polls":{"name":"PollResults.org (New York Times poll data)","url":"https://pollresults.org/","license":"CC BY 4.0","count":1579},"fec":{"name":"Federal Election Commission","url":"https://www.fec.gov/data/","count":1317,"key":"env","errors":[]},"adspend":{"name":"FEC bulk independent expenditures via Corvus Intel","url":"https://corvusintel.app/api/ad-spend"}},"stale":{},"skeleton":false,"disclosure":"Deterministic data from named public feeds (PollResults.org/NYT poll data CC BY 4.0, FEC). No model-generated figures, no prediction-market prices. Not a forecast.","race":{"slug":"senate-ne","chamber":"senate","state":"NE","state_name":"Nebraska","district":null,"special":false,"title":"Nebraska Senate","held":"R","incumbent":{"name":"Pete Ricketts","party":"R"},"open_seat":false,"battleground":true,"roster_source":"polls","candidates":[{"name":"Pete Ricketts","party":"R","incumbent":true,"poll_avg":47.5,"poll_n":8,"latest_pct":50,"fec":{"id":"S6NE00129","receipts":14546959,"disbursements":13815790,"cash":1218139,"through":"2026-10-14","url":"https://www.fec.gov/data/candidate/S6NE00129/?cycle=2026","ie_support":1567830,"ie_oppose":1442}},{"name":"Dan Osborn","party":"I","incumbent":false,"poll_avg":46.8,"poll_n":8,"latest_pct":46,"fec":{"id":"S4NE00207","receipts":11029845,"disbursements":9139828,"cash":1953183,"through":"2026-10-14","url":"https://www.fec.gov/data/candidate/S4NE00207/?cycle=2026","ie_support":141606,"ie_oppose":4339255}}],"leader":{"name":"Pete Ricketts","party":"R","pct":47.5,"lead":0.7},"money_leader":{"name":"Pete Ricketts","party":"R","receipts":14546959},"flip_risk":null,"rating":"Toss-up","competitiveness":0.965,"poll_avg":{"candidates":[{"name":"Pete Ricketts","party":"R","pct":47.5,"polls":8},{"name":"Dan Osborn","party":"I","pct":46.8,"polls":8}],"margin":null,"lead":0.7,"leader":{"name":"Pete Ricketts","party":"R","pct":47.5},"n":8,"since":"2026-09-20","through":"2026-11-04","partisan":4,"method":"Unweighted mean of the latest general-election poll from each of 8 pollsters since 2026-09-20."},"polls":[{"id":"abc2a463-cbe3-4da8-8494-b10266a5ca04:a30a4103-a656-4bc9-86c1-6f5483fc6a70","office":"senate","state":"NE","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"GrayHouse","sponsor":"","partisan":null,"start":"2026-10-29","end":"2026-11-01","sample":534,"population":"lv","url":"https://www.grayhouse.com/post/grayhouse-poll-ricketts-leads-in-nebraska-by-4","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Chuck Conboy","party":null,"pct":1},{"name":"Robin Richards","party":null,"pct":1},{"name":"Mike Marvin","party":null,"pct":1},{"name":"Dan Osborn","party":"I","pct":46},{"name":"Pete Ricketts","party":"R","pct":50}]},{"id":"4413d374-c87c-4b80-861f-b5716eee7311:b9cc31b8-fbe9-4f9f-a129-a2e6c05e6015","office":"senate","state":"NE","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"National Public Affairs","sponsor":"God, Family, & Country PAC","partisan":"R","start":"2026-10-25","end":"2026-10-29","sample":800,"population":"lv","url":"https://backend.natpublicaffairs.com/media/Nebraska_General_Election_Memo_103126.2.pdf","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Dan Osborn","party":"I","pct":48},{"name":"Pete Ricketts","party":"R","pct":49}]},{"id":"4413d374-c87c-4b80-861f-b5716eee7311:1e27076b-8f95-40df-9e92-5ccf44651bbf","office":"senate","state":"NE","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"National Public Affairs","sponsor":"God, Family, & Country PAC","partisan":"R","start":"2026-10-25","end":"2026-10-29","sample":800,"population":"lv","url":"https://backend.natpublicaffairs.com/media/Nebraska_General_Election_Memo_103126.2.pdf","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Chuck Conboy","party":null,"pct":1},{"name":"Robin Richards","party":null,"pct":1},{"name":"Mike Marvin","party":null,"pct":2},{"name":"Dan Osborn","party":"I","pct":45},{"name":"Pete Ricketts","party":"R","pct":48}]},{"id":"261adc4a-cfbe-4fe7-9455-24765fbcea0c:408bdfa1-e329-4aa3-8e01-7e77dfc2b40f","office":"senate","state":"NE","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"YouGov","sponsor":"","partisan":null,"start":"2026-10-26","end":"2026-10-29","sample":1974,"population":"lv","url":"https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/ttw_ne_20261026_lv.pdf","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Dan Osborn","party":"I","pct":49},{"name":"Pete Ricketts","party":"R","pct":49}]},{"id":"96d6e3cb-710e-4140-86b4-4f4f2545b2bd:78584ab5-d30e-42b1-8fc7-64832f1db9c2","office":"senate","state":"NE","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"The New York Times/Siena University","sponsor":"","partisan":null,"start":"2026-10-23","end":"2026-10-29","sample":809,"population":"lv","url":"https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/10/31/polls/times-siena-ne-poll-toplines.html","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Pete Ricketts","party":"R","pct":48.7},{"name":"Dan Osborn","party":"I","pct":43.01}]},{"id":"fb010920-9374-48f4-8c80-c2ca49ce24d7:52c772f8-8b10-4210-b307-dac506b8ba99","office":"senate","state":"NE","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"Echelon Insights","sponsor":"NetChoice","partisan":null,"start":"2026-10-16","end":"2026-10-23","sample":407,"population":"lv","url":"https://netchoice.org/netchoice-echelon-insights-poll-voters-rank-ai-regulation-far-behind-cost-of-living-want-one-national-ai-standard/","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Robin Richards","party":null,"pct":2},{"name":"Chuck Conboy","party":null,"pct":1},{"name":"Dan Osborn","party":"I","pct":46},{"name":"Pete Ricketts","party":"R","pct":47}]},{"id":"f79f220c-b0e7-41a2-b25d-a3ed6c29705a:bfb5db95-f785-46de-8a75-e58628c6d0d7","office":"senate","state":"NE","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"GBAO","sponsor":"Working Class Majority PAC","partisan":"I","start":"2026-10-18","end":"2026-10-22","sample":800,"population":"lv","url":"https://docsend.com/view/hhiqc5yfcc548rdz","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Pete Ricketts","party":"R","pct":45},{"name":"Dan Osborn","party":"I","pct":46}]},{"id":"7eceef25-8055-4ff6-966d-1b3bf5508d9c:f85fcfc3-f556-486a-af7a-b3d2068f0ed1","office":"senate","state":"NE","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"Impact Research","sponsor":"","partisan":"D","start":"2026-10-14","end":"2026-10-20","sample":600,"population":"lv","url":"https://www.the-downballot.com/p/morning-digest-keisha-lance-bottoms","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Pete Ricketts","party":"R","pct":50},{"name":"Dan Osborn","party":"I","pct":48}]},{"id":"7eceef25-8055-4ff6-966d-1b3bf5508d9c:44a5fab9-2835-4c3f-a582-91b712745333","office":"senate","state":"NE","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"Impact Research","sponsor":"","partisan":"D","start":"2026-10-14","end":"2026-10-20","sample":600,"population":"lv","url":"https://www.the-downballot.com/p/morning-digest-keisha-lance-bottoms","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Pete Ricketts","party":"R","pct":49},{"name":"Dan Osborn","party":"I","pct":47}]},{"id":"2ecb9952-292c-4d6d-9c7c-c5a75219c5b3:4ca88fbc-daee-451d-9cf9-aa5a9bed3f61","office":"senate","state":"NE","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"Concord Public Opinion Partners","sponsor":"Education Reform Now Advocacy","partisan":"D","start":"2026-10-15","end":"2026-10-18","sample":500,"population":"lv","url":"https://concordpublicopinionpartners.org/polls/nebraska-ge-2026","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Pete Ricketts","party":"R","pct":41},{"name":"Dan Osborn","party":"I","pct":48}]},{"id":"185e2532-edd0-4c81-9527-3a3dcf8f228c:2a2eac2e-b9cf-4e5a-9776-3945c3a3582d","office":"senate","state":"NE","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"National Public Affairs","sponsor":"God, Family, & Country PAC","partisan":"R","start":"2026-10-15","end":"2026-10-18","sample":598,"population":"lv","url":"https://backend.natpublicaffairs.com/media/NE_Tracker_R2_Trend_Memo_102226.7.pdf","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Dan Osborn","party":"I","pct":47},{"name":"Pete Ricketts","party":"R","pct":50}]},{"id":"185e2532-edd0-4c81-9527-3a3dcf8f228c:88ebd656-01e9-41e5-b177-15c72dc9b862","office":"senate","state":"NE","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"National Public Affairs","sponsor":"God, Family, & Country PAC","partisan":"R","start":"2026-10-15","end":"2026-10-18","sample":598,"population":"lv","url":"https://backend.natpublicaffairs.com/media/NE_Tracker_R2_Trend_Memo_102226.7.pdf","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Chuck Conboy","party":null,"pct":2},{"name":"Robin Richards","party":null,"pct":1},{"name":"Mike Marvin","party":null,"pct":2},{"name":"Dan Osborn","party":"I","pct":43},{"name":"Pete Ricketts","party":"R","pct":46}]},{"id":"85cb655e-59af-411e-8b66-96853337a024:0d2d175c-daa1-4b52-9e5c-65365ada3085","office":"senate","state":"NE","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"National Public Affairs","sponsor":"God, Family, & Country PAC","partisan":"R","start":"2026-10-02","end":"2026-10-05","sample":800,"population":"lv","url":"https://backend.natpublicaffairs.com/media/Nebraska_General_Election_Memo_100926.pdf","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Dan Osborn","party":"I","pct":46},{"name":"Pete Ricketts","party":"R","pct":49}]},{"id":"85cb655e-59af-411e-8b66-96853337a024:622c9a09-59fa-44ab-8b7a-0ce9dcb9f929","office":"senate","state":"NE","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"National Public Affairs","sponsor":"God, Family, & Country PAC","partisan":"R","start":"2026-10-02","end":"2026-10-05","sample":800,"population":"lv","url":"https://backend.natpublicaffairs.com/media/Nebraska_General_Election_Memo_100926.pdf","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Chuck Conboy","party":null,"pct":2},{"name":"Robin Richards","party":null,"pct":2},{"name":"Mike Marvin","party":null,"pct":2},{"name":"Dan Osborn","party":"I","pct":43},{"name":"Pete Ricketts","party":"R","pct":46}]},{"id":"3b9ac4c6-eb6c-4323-b9c1-aa2e503ac01a:73f526cc-f258-4095-84f3-5366ada6c7db","office":"senate","state":"NE","district":null,"stage":"general","pollster":"YouGov","sponsor":"","partisan":null,"start":"2026-09-24","end":"2026-10-03","sample":1808,"population":"lv","url":"https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/ttw_ne_20260921_lv.pdf","hypothetical":false,"answers":[{"name":"Dan Osborn","party":"I","pct":48},{"name":"Pete Ricketts","party":"R","pct":47}]}],"poll_count":22,"money":{"total_raised":25576804,"outside_total":6050133,"source":"fec"},"ad_spend":{"google":{"candidate_matches":[],"candidate_4w_usd":0,"state_lifetime_usd":24710900,"district_lifetime_usd":null,"week":"2026-10-25"},"snap":{"candidate_matches":[],"candidate_usd":0,"state_usd":57064,"district_usd":null,"year":2026},"meta":{"candidate_matches":[{"page":"Democrat Dan Osborn","disclaimer":"SLF PAC","spend_usd":85597,"ads":12,"candidate":"Dan Osborn","party":"I"}],"candidate_usd":85597,"state_usd":741882,"date_range":"Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026"}}},"history":[{"d":"2026-11-03","a":{"Pete Ricketts (R)":47.5,"Dan Osborn (I)":46.8}},{"d":"2026-11-04","a":{"Pete Ricketts (R)":47.5,"Dan Osborn (I)":46.8}}],"page":"https://apprised.news/races/senate-ne"}