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00:00:00You can receive instant the carelessness and rudeness after it was delivered regarding that matter. notifications to us. I had mentioned
00:00:02about power outages.
00:00:11Turkey's energy warehouse. Orbus.
00:00:27Dear viewers, our clock shows 5 PM. We continue
00:00:30where we left off, and we will start with the agenda of politics
00:00:34again. The deputies who left the Republican People's Party,
00:00:37the process of establishing the new party. In fact, the wave of resignations
00:00:41continues on the CHP side, and participation in the new party
00:00:45continues to come. In Izmir, there was almost a show of force
00:00:49in this regard. Aziz Kocaoğlu, who served as Metropolitan
00:00:52Municipality Mayor for 15 years, joined the new party,
00:00:56but he also had two other important names with him.
00:01:00One of them was the former CHP General Secretary Kamil Okyay
00:01:04Sındır, and the other was the former Bornova Municipality Mayor
00:01:08Olgun
00:01:08Atilla.
00:01:16The experienced name of Izmir politics.
00:01:19He served as Metropolitan Municipality Mayor for 15 years in the city.
00:01:23Since the March 19th process, he had not
00:01:26left his party CHP alone.
00:01:30"He is also a new party member. Turkey is going through
00:01:33a very big bottleneck, we will overcome
00:01:37this. Those who believe in Atatürk's principles
00:01:41and revolutions, those who prioritize
00:01:44their country and nation above their own personal
00:01:47interests." After the Absolute Nullity decision in CHP,
00:01:51participations in the new party founded by Özgür Özel continue.
00:01:54In Izmir, there was almost a show of force. Former Izmir
00:01:58Metropolitan Municipality Mayor'.
00:02:30We must thank both of them on behalf of Izmir and our
00:02:33country. Three names signed the membership form for the New
00:02:37Party at the ceremony in Bornova. Many party members were also
00:02:40there. A message of unity, struggle,
00:02:43and power was given. The new party was established
00:02:47by the nation. We were part of
00:02:50a political formation that came
00:02:52together with the will of the nation
00:02:56and the demand of the nation, very soon.
00:03:0828 of the 30 districts in Izmir
00:03:10were CHP members. 20 district municipality mayors
00:03:14had announced that they would join the new party. Karabağlar
00:03:17Municipality Mayor Helil Kınay was also one of the mayors
00:03:21who wore the new party badge.
00:03:28Now, we had a somewhat interesting Tuesday this week. As you know, the New Party
00:03:32held its first public group meeting, Özgür Özel spoke,
00:03:35and at 1:30 PM, Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu was
00:03:38at the rostrum of the CHP. He held his first group meeting
00:03:42after a long break, but after that speech,
00:03:46it seems that the flags of rebellion have been
00:03:49fully raised in the CHP, because there are some deputies
00:03:53who remained in the CHP, but among them, a large majority
00:03:56actually remained to quickly take the CHP
00:04:00to the congress, according to the allegations.
00:04:03There are also some statements, as you know,
00:04:07the group meeting held, the speech made there, and the fact
00:04:10that the congress process was not mentioned
00:04:12at all, this raised the flag of rebellion
00:04:16among the CHP deputies.
00:04:19So far, we have not made any calls
00:04:22for resignation, but we are aware of more than
00:04:26700,000 resignations. Now.
00:04:30"It's time, to all my friends
00:04:33with whom I had the honor and pride
00:04:36of being a member in the past, I am calling out
00:04:40to this new generation of politics, to the new party,
00:04:43with the invitation we made, get rid
00:04:47of the coup plotters, the nullifiers,
00:04:50the junta members, welcome
00:04:52to our new party." Özgür Özel invited the deputies
00:04:56who remained in the CHP to the new party with these words.
00:05:14This party is, of course,
00:05:17of course, the new party
00:05:19of the Republican People's Party members
00:05:23from whom we separated with tears.
00:05:25Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu, who was appointed as the CHP general chairman with
00:05:29the nullity decision, did not mention the congress issue at all
00:05:32in his 40-minute speech at the parliamentary group meeting
00:05:36after 1009 days. This situation allegedly disturbed some deputies
00:05:39who remained in the CHP on the condition
00:05:42that the party be taken to the congress as soon as possible
00:05:45and described themselves as the 3rd way. "I invite
00:05:49everyone who says 'I will be in the future
00:05:52of the country,' all democrats of Turkey,
00:05:56to the new politics of the new party." A deputy
00:05:59who stated that the current Nullity administration of the CHP
00:06:02presented an image of avoiding the congress, expressed
00:06:06his reaction with the words, "CHP is playing the role assigned
00:06:08by the Palace. You cannot escape the label of acting
00:06:12with the Palace in this way." And the party needs to be taken
00:06:15to the congress as soon as possible. He stated that the court brought
00:06:18this administration to power
00:06:21to take the party to the congress. Another deputy, recalling
00:06:25Kılıçdaroğlu's words, who came to the CHP by court
00:06:28decision, "We have nothing to do with money, land, we challenge
00:06:32the Palace entourage everywhere," said that it was learned that
00:06:35he commented, "If you throw your friend, with whom you walked
00:06:39together, before the government's judiciary, the public will take
00:06:46note of this and declare you untrustworthy." Dear viewers, in Tuzla,
00:06:49in Tuzla, Istanbul, the reaction to Eren Ali Bingöl
00:06:52continues. He himself had said, "Support me," if you remember.
00:06:56AKP members had said, "You are our leader's trust,"
00:06:59and they had supported him. But there were events
00:07:03in Tuzla and a reaction to Eren Ali Bingöl
00:07:05at the New Party Istanbul Provincial
00:07:08Presidency.
00:07:19AKP's fresh transfer, Eren Ali Bingöl, was protested
00:07:22in Tuzla. IBB does not stand behind
00:07:25thieves, corrupt people, and villains, brother.
00:07:29The will of the nation was usurped,
00:07:32bought in Tuzla.
00:07:36He is trying to involve
00:07:38citizens in the transfer and treason.
00:08:12I say we will solve the problems together, God willing. I don't
00:08:16like to talk too much, I will just say this much: I'm coming
00:08:20from the other neighborhood. Why did you, the mayor of Tuzla,
00:08:23try to legalize these 154 illegal villas,
00:08:27why did you try to legitimize your 4 commercial
00:08:30vehicles? What is the share of these 154 villas
00:08:34in your transfer? Explain this to the public,
00:08:37I will support you. He walked
00:08:40with slogans.
00:09:12with slogans.
00:09:13he walked.
00:09:21So, what's happening in the Middle East? We will see if the knot in the
00:09:24Strait of Hormuz is really being untied.
00:09:28Statements from Iran indicate that the final details
00:09:31of the agreement reached with Oman are being worked on.
00:09:35So, it seems like it's just around the corner.
00:09:38The United States, especially Donald Trump,
00:09:42when we look at it from Trump's perspective,
00:09:44we see a more silent attitude and stance compared
00:09:48to previous processes. Let's watch the latest developments
00:09:51in the Middle East, then we'll discuss.
00:09:54Iran announced that they have reached the end of their talks
00:09:58with Oman to regulate the passage through
00:10:00the Strait of Hormuz.
00:10:03Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Ismail Bekaii stated
00:10:07that they agreed on a traffic route
00:10:10that will ensure safe passage for commercial ships through
00:10:14Hormuz. He stated that a joint statement, whose final
00:10:18reviews are currently being made, will be published
00:10:21if third parties do not interfere.
00:10:23Bekaii's seemingly optimistic words do not indicate
00:10:27that the problem has been completely resolved,
00:10:30as Behnam Saidi, a member of the Iranian Parliament's
00:10:33National Security Commission, stated that the agreement with
00:10:37Oman does not mean the opening of the Strait of Hormuz.
00:10:40He threw the ball to Washington by arguing that Hormuz
00:10:44would definitely not be opened without the lifting
00:10:47of the American threat
00:10:50and blockade against Iran. Donald Trump, President of the United
00:10:53States, who had previously stated that if Hormuz
00:10:57was not opened as soon as possible, they would hit Iran
00:11:00very hard, reiterated his words, where optimism and threat
00:11:04intertwined regarding Iran. He stated that he preferred
00:11:07to make an agreement with Tehran, but if diplomacy failed,
00:11:10the use of force was an option.
00:11:13In a social media message he shared, Trump denied
00:11:17the allegations that the American army was experiencing
00:11:20serious ammunition shortages. He wrote that they had
00:11:24a very large amount of ammunition, especially in certain
00:11:27types. Trump also threatened to prosecute those who made
00:11:31these allegations.
00:11:34The American press had previously claimed that Trump had strongly
00:11:37criticized Defense Secretary Pete Hexet for allegedly
00:11:40being misled about America's dwindling ammunition.
00:11:44It was also claimed that the President's trust
00:11:47in the Defense Secretary had been shaken due to the prolonged
00:11:50war and high costs.
00:11:52The White House,
00:11:55making a statement about the news, rejected the allegations
00:11:59as fictional and "100%
00:12:25I want to ask, this is a topic we've talked about a lot,
00:12:28have we finally reached the end? With great hope, like the whole
00:12:32world, is Hormuz really opening? Oman and
00:12:34Iran are on the verge of an agreement, but where does
00:12:38America stand in this? Before we get to America, there are conditions
00:12:42for this agreement. Iran still says that for America to be able
00:12:45to come, my condition must be met. Let me elaborate
00:12:48on that. Trump started an endless war, he came saying
00:12:51he wouldn't do it, but it seems to me it will last much
00:12:55longer. Now, what did Iran and Oman agree on? They agreed
00:12:58on a mechanism to control
00:13:01the traffic from the Gulf,
00:13:05because Iran says we will definitely not return
00:13:08to February 28th, before America's attacks on Israel.
00:13:12This traffic needs to be controlled and it wants to have some control.
00:13:15Since it's not left to it alone, they say they agreed with Oman
00:13:19on the other shore. So, this is
00:13:22a development that is reaching its culmination.
00:13:33Iran will control, and Oman will control what comes out
00:13:36of the Gulf, as far as we can hear, and it is said
00:13:39that for it to reach its culmination, the coordinates must be determined
00:13:42geographically, and these lines must be established.
00:13:46However, other things are also coming, for example, there will be
00:13:50a mine clearance process between them. Iran wants
00:13:54to charge a service fee for mine clearance,
00:13:57not a transit fee as before, but America was strongly
00:14:01opposed to this. It is said that there are still
00:14:04some issues regarding this, and they will be resolved,
00:14:07if the information we have is correct. But Iran's
00:14:11main condition is this: After these news came out,
00:14:15it was said in Iran, "Don't conclude
00:14:18from this that we agreed with Oman
00:14:21that the Gulf will open, because the blockade applied
00:14:25by the United States to our ports
00:14:28must also be lifted." Now, what does this refer
00:14:31to? In mid-June, there was an agreement
00:14:35that there would be no free passage for 60 days,
00:14:38and everything would go well in the Gulf. This is a reference
00:14:42to that non-existent memorandum of understanding,
00:14:45because there were mutual steps required there.
00:14:48The ball is in the United
00:14:51States' court, if you want me to leave it there,
00:14:55but there is no sound from there yet. There are about 90 days,
00:14:593 months, until the November elections.
00:15:01I saw one thing, Işın, the US Treasury Secretary said
00:15:05that an agreement for Hormuz could be reached today or tomorrow.
00:15:09Yes, there is such an expectation. Of course, the markets are
00:15:13also heavily affected. When Trump says he will hit,
00:15:16cut, hang, it jumps, as you know, they want
00:15:20to keep this somewhat balanced. Let me share a poll. I referred
00:15:24to the November elections, I said there are 90 days.
00:15:27Of course, polls are being conducted on how the public feels
00:15:31about this process. First of all, 58-60% of the public
00:15:34says that this will increase prices, there will be no
00:15:38decrease. This is not true, saying "I will end the war,
00:15:41prices will get better," these are not true. And half of the public
00:15:45says that this will drag on, meaning this instability
00:15:48will not improve for at least a year. These are, of course,
00:15:51expectations that affect the entire market
00:15:54logic. Now let's quickly turn to Europe, because actually,
00:15:58since the beginning of the war, we have seen a European
00:16:01community that has opposed the war. At the same time,
00:16:05this was also brought up at the NATO summit. And their most
00:16:08important complaint is actually this Hormuz knot. Of course,
00:16:12they also want this to be resolved. From time to time, some actors
00:16:16had also expressed their desire to play a role. How is this
00:16:19stage evaluated in Europe, Hüseyin?
00:16:22Europe does not find this stage acceptable, Gizem,
00:16:26because the problem still exists. Ship passage
00:16:29through the Strait of Hormuz is still not
00:16:32smooth. What they say is very true,
00:16:35there is a problem. The parties that
00:16:38created the problem still have no solution.
00:16:41Because there is no solution, neither the United States
00:16:45nor Iran can come together at the point where they say,
00:16:49"If we do this, we will solve this knot."
00:16:51Europeans want the Strait of Hormuz to be opened as soon
00:16:55as possible, because yes, we are at the beginning
00:16:58of August, but after September-October, Europe's energy needs will increase.
00:17:01This increase in need means the danger
00:17:04of energy flow to Europe stopping
00:17:08due to Hormuz. Therefore, from Europe's perspective,
00:17:11if the Hormuz knot drags on for a long
00:17:15time, as Işın said, it will really be a very
00:17:18bad winter. Energy prices are already at astronomical
00:17:21levels, and there is already a very serious decrease in the
00:17:24number of ships that can reach Europe from China.
00:17:28Many products are now impossible to find in Europe
00:17:31if they are of Chinese origin. This means that if this
00:17:34peace agreement, consensus, or mutual
00:17:38"being on the same page" does not happen, very serious
00:17:42alarm bells will ring for Europe. So what is Europe
00:17:45doing to avert this danger? Nothing. It has
00:17:49no trump card
00:17:52that can force the parties to agree. Or
00:17:55there is no power that can convince Donald Trump,
00:17:59or there is no leverage
00:18:02that can keep Iran at the table. Because Europe is probably
00:18:06experiencing its most stagnant and ineffective
00:18:09periods in its history. So much so that it has difficulty
00:18:13solving its own internal problems. But we need to talk a little
00:18:17bit about the issue between America and Iran. Now,
00:18:20US Vice President JD Vance has recently started to speak
00:18:23differently from the administration regarding Iran. That's
00:18:27why what he says makes more sense to me. He says
00:18:31that they will use diplomacy to agree with Iran,
00:18:34and they will also use war. They will also use the military
00:18:38option. But when journalists ask
00:18:42him what he prefers, he mostly talks
00:18:45about dialogue and diplomacy. Donald Trump, on the other
00:18:48hand, claims that they will use military methods if necessary.
00:18:52Every Friday, Donald Trump enters the weekend saying,
00:18:55"I will hit Iran, destroy it, tear it apart."
00:18:58On Monday, we see a calm weekend. On Monday,
00:19:02Donald Trump tells a new lie and says that Qatar has reached,
00:19:06Saudi Arabia has reached. Or
00:19:09other people have contacted me, we are on the verge
00:19:13of an agreement. Donald Trump's credibility is also seriously
00:19:17questioned by Americans at this point. I will not
00:19:20go into the agreement between Iran and Oman,
00:19:24because Işın said what needed to be said. The agreement
00:19:27does not include the expectations of the Americans.
00:19:31We also have to say this now. I'm sure you'll agree.
00:19:34Even if there were an agreement, there is no guarantee
00:19:37how long it would last. So, Donald Trump started
00:19:41a war that he can no longer end,
00:19:44and what Iran will do is no longer predictable.
00:19:48How long can the whole region and the whole world
00:19:52bear this economic pressure
00:19:55and crisis? I don't have the answer to that. But for
00:19:59the world, if it continues in autumn, it will be a serious
00:20:01problem. But the Republicans want it
00:20:05to end as soon as possible, because there are midterm
00:20:09elections. The ineffectiveness and bad economy that brought
00:20:12down Biden, now Donald Trump
00:20:49The progressive wing of the Democratic Party in Michigan
00:20:53showed its strength. While candidates supported
00:20:56by the party leadership lost, three progressive candidates
00:20:59won the primary. Climate activist Will Lawrence and
00:21:02Detroit labor rights advocate Donovan Mackin were selected
00:21:06as candidates for the House of Representatives. Both advocate
00:21:09for universal healthcare, strong unions, higher
00:21:12wealth taxes, and an end to military aid to Israel
00:21:16due to the Gaza war. They defend.
00:21:25but the biggest victory of the night was won by 41-year-old
00:21:28doctor Abdul Elsayed, who won the Senate primary.
00:21:32He is
00:21:34the US-born son of an Egyptian immigrant family and
00:21:38former Detroit health director. If he wins in November,
00:21:41he will be the first Muslim senator
00:21:45in US history.
00:21:47will be.
00:22:23Progressive figures of the Democratic Party such as Bernie Sanders,
00:22:26Alexandra Ocasio-Cortez, and Elizabeth Warren
00:22:30supported his campaign.
00:22:32While
00:22:37pro-Israel lobby groups spent tens of millions
00:22:39of dollars to support his rival, Elsayed won the primary
00:22:43with the support of tens of thousands of small donors
00:22:47and thousands of volunteers.
00:22:54Republicans are disturbed by this rise. US President
00:22:57Donald Trump described Elsayed as a threat
00:23:00to the American way of life.
00:23:02Vice President
00:23:07JD Vance, on the other hand, targeted
00:23:11Elsayed's name, which reveals his Arab and Muslim identity,
00:23:14saying, "God forbid, we don't want to see a president
00:23:18Elsayed in 3 years." i think that you want to use my whole name
00:23:21against me, mike, listen man, if you can't say the name, it'sman, keep the name out your
00:23:25damn
00:23:26mouth,
00:23:40development, and there are important statements from Özgür Özel.
00:23:43He said, "We have no effort to sign the proposal."
00:23:46Why did he say this? As you know, the framework law
00:23:50was submitted to the Grand National Assembly of Turkey yesterday,
00:23:53and the new party had not signed it. So, there are statements
00:23:57he made regarding this issue. As you know, the bill reached
00:24:00the Grand National Assembly of Turkey with the signatures
00:24:04of nearly 360 deputies. After the proposal reached
00:24:07us, it was submitted to the Parliament Speaker's
00:24:11Office. We had already explained the carelessness and rudeness.
00:24:14Yesterday, they held a large meeting in three sessions.
00:24:18It is necessary to see that acting carelessly and
00:24:21keeping it hidden from the public.
00:24:25We held a meeting with our friends who served in the commission.
00:24:28We will state our evaluations regarding the proposal.
00:24:31In general, we are faced with a careless,
00:24:33poorly prepared, and open to technical
00:24:37criticism proposal, he says. Actually, for the framework
00:24:41law presented. We made technical
00:24:44and political evaluations. In the process, our friends
00:24:47in the commission will provide the necessary contributions.
00:24:51When it comes to the General Assembly, we will continue in accordance
00:24:53with the attitude we have adopted since day one, but he said
00:24:57we have no effort to sign it. There is also
00:25:01a statement he made regarding the memorandums. We had also
00:25:05broadcast it in our news today. Now, finally,
00:25:07another memorandum had come to the parliament for Özgür Özel
00:25:11and Veli Ağababa to lift their immunity.
00:25:15This is the 61st memorandum and he mentioned the 62nd.
00:25:19What has not been done in the history of the parliament is being done,
00:25:23in a way that has not happened in the history of the parliament,
00:25:26so there is an emphasis on secrecy. As you know, there were discussions on this issue in the Parliament
00:25:30and in the General Assembly today. He also emphasized this.
00:25:34The Parliament Speaker also says that he stated this
00:25:37in his meeting with Tekim Bingöl and says that a reputational
00:25:41assassination is being carried out to provide a political
00:26:04you made a long evaluation. What will be the new party's
00:26:08stance during the General Assembly and commission stages?
00:26:11Friends, as I explained
00:26:14yesterday, this bill,
00:26:18which was signed by almost
00:26:20360 deputies, was submitted
00:26:24to the Parliament Speaker's Office approximately
00:26:2820-25 minutes after it was delivered to us. On that matter.
00:26:46in the presence of the academician,
00:26:50they held a large three-session meeting all day long,
00:26:53ending in the evening. This sensitive issue
00:26:57being handled in this manner, being handled
00:27:00carelessly by the party group for a long time,
00:27:03the text being kept from party
00:27:06groups, parliamentary correspondents, and therefore
00:27:09from the knowledge of the public,
00:27:12must be seen. Firstly, this. Then today,
00:27:15we held a meeting with our friends who served
00:27:19in the commission, as well as the esteemed members
00:27:21of the Constitutional and Justice commissions. Our friends will
00:27:25tomorrow, at the commission stage,
00:27:28state their evaluations, criticisms,
00:27:31and suggestions regarding the draft
00:27:35and the proposal. In general,
00:27:38as all professors
00:27:42and academics have also evaluated,
00:27:45it must be said that we are faced
00:27:49with a careless, poorly prepared proposal
00:27:53that is open to many technical
00:27:56criticisms. In general, as the Republican People's
00:28:00Party, we naturally handle the issue technically.
00:28:04Thank you as the new party. As the new party,
00:28:08we made the technical evaluation and
00:28:11the political evaluation consecutively
00:28:14and intertwined. In the next process,
00:28:18our friends in the commission will provide
00:28:21the necessary criticisms, suggestions,
00:28:24and contributions. Then, when it comes to the General
00:28:27As a new party, we will act
00:28:30in accordance with our general attitude
00:28:33that we have adopted since the first day,
00:28:36in accordance with our principled stance, but from now on, we have no intention
00:28:40or effort to go and sign the bill. In the commission,
00:28:43we will say our word as a new party before the records
00:28:47and before history. Will it be on Monday,
00:28:50will it be on Sunday, will it be on Tuesday,
00:28:54we will also participate in the General Assembly stage
00:28:57when it comes, and may we ask the color of your vote,
00:29:01sir? Yes, will the new party say no?
00:29:05The new party will contribute to the legislation
00:29:08of this article more accurately,
00:29:10especially in accordance
00:29:13with Article 6 of the commission report.
00:29:15The 7th part
00:29:18so basically, if you are going to solve
00:29:22such a permanent and important problem in a country, you need to take steps
00:29:26to eliminate the causes that create the problem.
00:29:29In this regard, there will be necessary efforts
00:29:33for the new warnings, suggestions, reminders,
00:29:37proposals, and offers to express the attitudes of other
00:29:39parties on this issue clearly once again for the future,
00:29:42but this issue has been approached
00:29:44from the past to resolve it
00:29:48in the parliament. Now, before this hot development,
00:29:51I want to go back to where we left off. Hüseyin Günay is also with us
00:29:54from London with Işın. Let's remind you again that the Democratic
00:29:58Party in the US
00:30:01changed the balance of power
00:30:16what does it tell Trump? It tells Trump a lot.
00:30:19That's my opinion, but I might have gotten a little too excited.
00:30:22Michigan is important. In Michigan,
00:30:26actually, it's a swing state, meaning its preferences
00:30:29can change. In the last elections,
00:30:33Trump got the majority, but for example,
00:30:36he always elected senators from the Democrats.
00:30:39Now, the Democratic Party held a primary here,
00:30:43one for the House of Representatives and one for the Senate.
00:30:46The candidates supported by the Democratic Party
00:30:50leadership, who we know practice more centrist politics,
00:30:54meaning traditional Democratic politics,
00:30:57lost. Who won? The progressive
00:31:00group, or those close to the Democratic
00:31:04Socialists. Candidates who articulated
00:31:08the same demands as them won. This is important.
00:31:11Especially, there is one among them, if he enters the Senate,
00:31:15he will be the first Muslim senator of the United States.
00:31:18We are talking about a man who was born in the United States
00:31:22to an Egyptian immigrant family and became a doctor.
00:31:25Abdel El-Sayed, to be exact,
00:31:28Abdurrahman el, even Muhammad Abdurrahman El-Sayed.
00:31:32Now, this, of course, if you look at his name,
00:31:35it's a very important thing for America.
00:31:39For example, America, when John F.
00:31:42Kennedy's presidency was being discussed
00:31:45because of his devout Catholicism, people were asking if a Catholic
00:31:49could be president. Now, they might send
00:31:52a Muslim to the Senate for the first time.
00:31:55And we had a report that J.D.
00:31:59Vance didn't even want to think about someone
00:32:01like that becoming president because the constitution
00:32:05allows it. This is, of course,
00:32:08due to fear politics, like "oh no, the Muslims are coming."
00:32:12Trump was also worried, but they are also using this
00:32:15as campaign material. Throughout Abdul El-Sayed's campaign,
00:32:19they used his name and origin against him,
00:32:23but he didn't care. When they attacked him
00:32:26for being an immigrant, he said that's what the United
00:32:30States is all about. He actually highlighted
00:32:33his immigrant status, but he didn't do it
00:32:36as identity politics. What do all these candidates
00:32:39propose? In the United States,
00:32:43what they call "socialism and communism are coming"
00:32:46is what we used to know in Turkey as a social welfare
00:32:50state, a social state. So they want what European-style
00:32:53social democratic or rather,
00:32:56social democratic parties want. What are these?
00:33:00Workers' rights, union rights, health insurance for everyone,
00:33:04more taxes, especially wealth tax proposals,
00:33:07and a very clear foreign policy that says "let's not give
00:33:11our money to Israel."
00:33:15in this sense. This is an indicator
00:33:19because actually, there have been democratic socialists
00:33:23for a long time, and they are expanding.
00:33:26If we remember Zohran Mamdani in New York,
00:33:30the mayor of New York is on the same line. They already support each other.
00:33:33From this perspective,
00:33:53Donald Trump in a very difficult situation, because Donald Trump
00:33:57won Michigan in the previous elections, he took it from the Democrats.
00:34:00He took it by saying, "I will end the wars in the Middle East.
00:34:04Biden is not doing anything about Israel and Gaza.
00:34:08I will create a humanitarian situation there."
00:34:11He made this claim. He even went to Michigan
00:34:13and held a rally with the Muslim mayor there.
00:34:17The Muslims there believed that Donald Trump
00:34:21would stop Israel and voted for Trump.
00:34:24Of course, at this point, we saw that none
00:34:28of these were valid. Therefore, Donald Trump
00:34:32losing Michigan will also show everyone
00:34:36that he did not keep his promises.
00:34:40Secondly, Abdurrahman Muhammad
00:34:42Saet came out with a promise.
00:34:46He said things that Americans were not very accustomed to hearing
00:34:50until today. Zohran Mamdani also said
00:34:53similar things, but he was able to express
00:34:56them in a much simpler language. He said workers should earn
00:35:00better wages. Michigan is a working-class city,
00:35:04a city with a very dense Muslim population,
00:35:07and at the same time, it's a state that borders
00:35:11the four Great Lakes of the United States. In this sense,
00:35:14it's a state that can accommodate many non-American,
00:35:17meaning non-white American, immigrants, Middle Easterners,
00:35:21Europeans, and an Arab population. It has a large population of 10 million.
00:35:24Donald Trump losing such a large place,
00:35:27meaning someone from Donald Trump's party losing,
00:35:30will point to this: firstly,
00:35:34Democrats are reaching the point where they can elect
00:35:37a state senator with their progressive rhetoric
00:35:41within themselves. The fact that a Muslim senator
00:35:44will join the Senate for the first time
00:35:48is also meaningful, and for Donald Trump,
00:35:51if El-Sayed is elected, it will show that the fear
00:35:54psychology he created did not find a response.
00:35:58Donald Trump uses the word "communist"
00:36:01as an insult. He used it the same way
00:36:04for this person. J.D. Vance even held
00:36:08a special press conference to explain how dangerous
00:36:12El-Sayed was, but he couldn't
00:36:15pronounce his name properly, so El-Sayed later
00:36:18came out and said, "They should first learn
00:36:22how to pronounce my name. They have no right
00:36:24to criticize me when they can't
00:36:28even pronounce someone else's name." In other words,
00:36:31the representatives of White America
00:36:34are encountering a political understanding
00:36:38they haven't seen before. They are seeing people who criticize Israel
00:36:42going to the Senate. They are witnessing
00:36:46the relationship of young people with a society that marginalizes them.
00:36:49Therefore, it poses a serious threat to the traditional
00:36:52American political understanding. But it should also
00:36:55be noted that
00:36:58the most powerful figure representing the progressive wing
00:37:01within the Democratic Party right now,
00:37:04but other progressives in other states have not been elected.
00:37:08When we look at it from this side, it's too early
00:37:12to say anything. By the way, Abdurrahman Muhammed
00:37:16El-Sayed won the election by only 1%.
00:37:20So it's not certain whether he will go to the Senate
00:37:23in November. But they are very important
00:37:28because they enabled fair discourses to be expressed
00:37:31in America before. Michigan
00:37:34was very much mentioned with Gaza
00:37:38and the Israel genocide in the last one and a half
00:37:41to two years. It seems that Michigan
00:37:44is a swing state, a state where both Republicans
00:37:48and Democrats vote. With this,
00:37:52it doesn't seem possible for Donald Trump
00:37:55to win a senator and the state assembly from there.
00:37:58The polls also indicate this. Thank you very much, Hüseyin.
00:38:02May I add a small note because I got excited?
00:38:05But here, whether this team wins or not, this team is growing,
00:38:09these discourses are mainstreaming, which is very new for America,
00:38:12and this discourse has a young base.
00:38:16There was another very interesting break.
00:38:19Trump came with the promise of ending the war in the Middle East,
00:38:23but he dragged it into an endless war. We call his base "MAGA."
00:38:26A serious break had started within that base,
00:38:30sometimes we reported it. Now, one of their prominent figures is still Tucker Carlson,
00:38:34but beside him, Marjorie Taylor Greene,
00:38:37Hüseyin will probably say, was in the House of Representatives,
00:38:41right? She resigned.
00:38:44That team is now forming
00:38:47a new movement with a new discourse,
00:38:50and believe it or not, just like democratic socialists
00:38:53use rhetoric similar to European social
00:38:57democratic parties, they also resemble the rhetoric
00:39:00of Christian Democrats in Europe. And actually,
00:39:03both of them, for example, have the same rhetoric:
00:39:07"Our children... don't spend that money there,
00:39:10let it go to our children. We must guarantee
00:39:13our children's future." A very interesting
00:39:16undercurrent is coming. I think thank you very much
00:39:20to our foreign news editor Işın El, who was with us,
00:39:23and also our representative from Europe, Hüseyin Günay.
00:39:40continues to rise. Both "is the war ending?"
00:39:42and "will Hormuz open?" These positive expectations
00:39:46benefited gold this week.
00:39:49Today, the stock market also recovered to 13,773 levels.
00:39:52We also said yesterday that it's progressing step by step,
00:39:56but the rise in gold seems to have suppressed
00:39:59its rise a bit. We will ask the expert
00:40:03in a moment. The Euro is above 55.
00:40:06Gold in grams rose to 6,534.
00:40:09Yesterday, we were talking about 6,400.
00:40:12We are seeing a rapid climb and rise
00:40:15in the gold front. And in terms of ounces,
00:40:185,000 dollars has started to be mentioned again.
00:40:22Let's also say this. And oil,
00:40:26there is a slight increase in oil today,
00:40:29we see 80 dollars. Even if the war
00:40:33is said to be over now, experts were saying
00:40:36that the rapid withdrawal in oil would not happen
00:40:39and would take time.
00:40:55because gold was the star of this week again.
00:40:59After a long time, we started to see a rapid rise.
00:41:03I am curious about your expectations, and of course, let's talk
00:41:07about the effects of the war, the interest rate decision
00:41:10from the United States, and the $5,000 levels
00:41:13have started to be mentioned again in terms of ounces.
00:41:17Do you agree? Well,
00:41:20gold is an interesting investment instrument.
00:41:24It is simultaneously preferred as a safe haven
00:41:27in times of market turmoil, fear, and anxiety,
00:41:30but on the other hand, it can also be preferred
00:41:34in periods when risk appetite increases,
00:41:38and people turn to more speculative assets,
00:41:41like cryptocurrencies or, more commonly,
00:41:45silver. It is not easy for market
00:41:48professionals to determine which of these two
00:41:51predominates at any given time, but sometimes you can see it more
00:41:54easily when you compare it with other market data
00:41:57from the results. Our guests were talking about
00:42:01geopolitical developments earlier, and gold has a serious
00:42:05relationship with them recently. Secondly,
00:42:08as you mentioned, the developments of the American
00:42:12Central Bank in the last week. I will make an assessment
00:42:15by combining these two. The risks regarding the Gulf region
00:42:19have decreased. The decreasing risks
00:42:22have caused a shift towards assets other than the dollar,
00:42:25which is the safest haven, in all other American stocks,
00:42:29silver, and many other places. So the value of the American
00:42:33dollar fell, but starting from the euro,
00:42:36including gold, American stocks, European stocks,
00:42:40created a general optimism. We see the effect of this
00:42:43on gold prices in terms of ounces.
00:42:47Secondly, there were some concerns
00:42:50regarding America's own monetary policy.
00:42:54It was related to the attitude of the newly elected
00:42:57Central Bank president, but he emphasized more decisively
00:43:01that this will not cause a worrying situation
00:43:05in the upcoming period. This stability
00:43:08was a good development for gold. If I come to your question,
00:43:12I do not expect 5,000-plus levels for gold
00:43:16in the foreseeable future, unless a big shock occurs. I would like to emphasize,
00:43:20as always, that gold is an investment
00:43:23tool that generates returns in the long term.
00:43:27So, I would not advise buying it this week and selling
00:43:30it for profit next week, or if you cannot get a loan
00:43:34from the bank, borrowing in gold from your neighbors
00:43:37or friends, or saying, "I will buy a car next month,
00:43:41but I don't want the money to be idle, so I will park it
00:43:44in gold for a while." We especially request
00:43:47that you do not do this, and those who did
00:43:51suffered significant financial damages in the last few months.
00:43:54But although it is not negative, I think the current prices
00:43:58for gold are not places where those who hold it
00:44:02for the long term should use it for buying or selling.
00:44:05But I openly say that I do not expect
00:44:09a price like $5,000 under normal circumstances
00:44:13in the short term. Okay,
00:44:15if we talk about it in terms of grams,
00:44:19because you said that there are already
00:44:23those who have losses in the recent period,
00:44:25investors are anxious,
00:44:27because it rose a lot, and there are those who bought
00:44:30above the current level during that rise.
00:44:33So, at least, what is your expectation
00:44:36for the gram in terms of grams until the end of the year,
00:44:40if no extraordinary conditions occur in the coming period?
00:44:43Here, too, since I do not expect
00:44:47an explosion in the price of gold in terms of ounces
00:44:51under normal circumstances, the only reason for the increase
00:44:54in the value of gram gold will be the depreciation
00:44:58of the Turkish Lira. So,
00:45:00the Turkish Lira is constantly losing value. In the recent period,
00:45:03the pressure on the exchange rate has increased a little more,
00:45:05but it continues to be maintained in a controlled
00:45:08manner. I expect the dollar
00:45:12rate to go up by roughly 10%
00:45:15against the Turkish Lira in the remaining 5 months
00:45:19of the year. I think a similar 10%
00:45:22return will also be reflected in the gram price of gold
00:45:25under normal conditions. Okay, let me ask about silver too,
00:45:28because the movement in silver is faster than gold.
00:45:32We talked about the same thing when it was rising
00:45:34in recent months. And today,
00:45:38for example, if we look at it as a percentage,
00:45:42the movement and value gain in silver also increased today.
00:45:45What is your expectation for silver? It's very important
00:45:49that you emphasize the difference between the two,
00:45:52because if gold is a bicycle, silver is a bicycle
00:45:55going downhill. So when it gains a lot of momentum,
00:45:59it goes very well, but if it encounters
00:46:02an obstacle, it can't brake, and unpleasant situations
00:46:06occur. We saw it drop from $125
00:46:10to $55. I think it's in a similar
00:46:13movement. I think $60
00:46:16per ounce for silver is a reasonable value.
00:46:20There were more frightening scenarios about it going
00:46:23below $50, which I didn't expect.
00:46:26And the prices above $70 reached in the previous rally
00:46:30are not realistic for silver in my opinion.
00:46:33So, if you ask me, I think the market
00:46:36has reached where it should be after the big movement
00:46:40of the last year. These are not points
00:46:44where we can say "it's cheap, buy it"
00:46:47or "it's expensive, sell it immediately."
00:46:51For people who don't want to invest in interest
00:46:55in the long term, or don't want to get involved
00:46:58in more complex areas like American stocks,
00:47:01they are good instruments to hold
00:47:04for the long term. But we never recommend
00:47:08buying them and selling them for profit
00:47:11next week, and I would like to make it clear
00:47:14that I do not recommend it at these prices.
00:47:18You briefly drew attention to it,
00:47:22I would like to ask about dollar and euro,
00:47:26both as a parity and the dollar and euro themselves.
00:47:29Here, we see that the euro attracts more attention.
00:47:32Yes, there is a dollar that is suppressed,
00:47:36and it continues its rise step by step.
00:47:40Year-end dollar expectations have also started to be discussed,
00:47:43and it is being talked about more that it cannot
00:47:47and should not be kept at these levels.
00:47:50What do you say? That's right,
00:47:54the Turkish Lira will continue to depreciate steadily.
00:47:57The important thing here is whether there will be an exchange
00:48:00rate shock, whether the dollar
00:48:03rate will explode. When we look at it,
00:48:07on the one hand, we have a foreign trade deficit.
00:48:10This year, the very optimistic atmosphere
00:48:13in tourism also ended,
00:48:17and it was reflected in the data for the first time
00:48:21due to Turkey becoming
00:48:23more expensive, and some geopolitical
00:48:26risks should be added to this. Therefore, there is a need for foreign
00:48:30currency, and the exchange rate needs to go up a little faster, but the Central Bank
00:48:34does not allow this within the framework
00:48:38of fighting inflation. So then we ask,
00:48:41does it have the power not to allow this? Yes, it does.
00:48:45The current Central Bank reserves are sufficient
00:48:48to do this. But in the coming months,
00:48:51I think they can loosen the valve a little more there too.
00:48:55But loosening it is also something like
00:48:58not being perceived as a big shock.
00:49:02For example, if the Turkish Lira depreciates by roughly
00:49:051.5% each month, this could approach 2%,
00:49:08but we do not expect a big change here.
00:49:21because the rise in the Euro
00:49:23is quite remarkable today. We are above 55.
00:49:27That's right. As I mentioned earlier,
00:49:30when the dollar depreciated in global markets
00:49:34due to the factors I mentioned,
00:49:37the euro gained value,
00:54:56against inflation entered its 8th month. According
00:54:59to Discar's calculations, the 7-month erosion in the
00:55:03minimum wage reached 5,576 liras. The pension of
00:55:07retirees, who received a raise in July at the inflation difference
00:55:10rate, which was 23,552 liras, eroded by 419
00:55:14liras in the very first month. So, what do citizens
00:55:17feel the most erosion in their pockets? We asked
00:55:21the public. There is no area where we don't feel the erosion
00:55:24in our pockets. From the water we just drank
00:55:26to the bus we took, our salary has eroded by approximately
00:55:3030-40% with real numbers since January. The minimum
00:55:33wage and pension are not enough, including rent. Rents
00:55:37in Istanbul average 50,000. I'm thinking about buying this,
00:55:40even thinking five times to buy it. It's very difficult.
00:55:44You have to cut down on all areas except for the
00:55:47necessity of continuing to eat and drink. Salaries have
00:55:51eroded quite a bit against inflation, and we are also
00:55:54watching. Oh, look, I'm walking
00:55:56home from the road. There's no money. I've given
00:56:00up on food, for example. I've given up on the meat
00:56:03aisle because meat is too expensive. We're more for
00:56:07chicken, but these days, we're going to skip chicken.
00:56:10We used to eat three meals a day, but now we've reduced
00:56:14it to two, by necessity. People walk around hungry.
00:56:17Those who are full live with their debts. We live
00:56:21with these cards, look. There's no product we don't
00:56:24struggle with against inflation because your salaries don't
00:56:28rise at that rate, and all products are highly
00:56:30priced. How will these people make ends meet? Rent, bills,
00:56:34food, clothing. Buying a house has become a dream.
00:56:37Buying a car has become a dream. People can't even
00:56:40dream of buying a house or a car anymore. I'm
00:56:44a very old AK Party member. Since the presidential
00:56:48system came, and all power was gathered in one person,
00:56:51the dollar started to rise, the euro started to rise,
00:56:55gold started to rise. The euro has exceeded 50. There's
00:56:58a country called Papua New Guinea, a tribal country.
00:57:02People live in the forests, they don't have clothes,
00:57:06they walk around with spears. Their currency is 10 times
00:57:09ours, you know? Do I have to give money to my child?
00:57:13The child will start working at 18. For example, I need
00:57:16to give money to my wife, I need to pay my rent.
00:57:20If one of these is missing, then there's trouble at
00:57:24home. People need to live well. I don't want to eat
00:57:27onion and bread, brother. I want to eat meat, I want
00:57:30to be able to buy a car.
00:57:57Halktv.com has been renewed. The Halk news
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00:58:27Many things will happen, it will be a hopeful beginning for Hakan,
00:58:31the biggest dreams will come true,
00:58:35who knows, maybe someone
00:58:38will become the star of the national team,
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00:59:00little, donate to Darüşşafaka so our children can have a bright future with education.
00:59:18Efforts for a full consensus between the parties
00:59:21on the Framework Law in Parliament continue.
00:59:25The stance the New Party would take on this was
00:59:28being discussed since yesterday. The statement
00:59:31came from the most authorized source, General President
00:59:35Özgür Özel. He said, "We have no effort
00:59:38to sign this proposal." The citizen's
00:59:41priority, however, is the struggle for survival. The
00:59:44citizen is striving to stay on their feet and
00:59:48alive. Today, we say
01:00:06effort and begin. The historic bill came to
01:00:10parliament, 360 deputies signed it. Since yesterday,
01:00:13it was wondered what the New Party's
01:00:18attitude and stance would be. So,
01:00:22the statement regarding that came from New Party
01:00:25General President Özgür Özel. He said
01:00:28there are some technical
01:00:31points to criticize. He said this
01:00:33is a very open proposal
01:00:37to criticism, and he added
01:00:41by saying that
01:00:44they have no effort to sign this
01:00:48bill. What is the New Party's
01:00:52stance in the General Assembly and committee
01:00:55stage? The bill was submitted to the
01:00:58Parliament Speaker's Office approximately 20-25 minutes