Google Cloud Speech-to-Text API (Chirp) + Gemini 2.5 Flash Non-Thinking. Treat it as a searchable index of what was broadcast, not a quotation record.
00:00:00I have a model like Saudi Arabia.
00:00:02I have an investment fund. I have collected
00:00:06oil money there, and through
00:00:11American troops out of this money, I finance myself. I finance projects
00:00:15that I think are good.
00:00:18Now, what kind of situation they are in, I don't care. UAE, Saudi Arabia,
00:00:22what kind of situation they are in now, I don't care. I am talking about that
00:00:25specific period. But if we want to be a model
00:00:29then. Our first decision must be to clarify
00:00:32this. We must clarify which model
00:00:36we think is the model. I tried
00:00:39very hard during my time at the Ministry of Economy
00:00:43to make everyone understand that this work
00:00:45has requirements.
00:01:20This is a huge strategic defeat for President Trump, and
00:01:24it's a strategic defeat even bigger than just simply losing a war,
00:01:28because it really reflects the massive decline of
00:01:31American military dominance that's occurring
00:01:35in the region that has the ripple effects around the
00:01:39world. This is the end of am so President
00:01:43Trump is ending, not just a concession
00:01:46for the war, but this would be the book
00:01:50end to America's unipolar moment.
00:01:53So in 1991, when the Cold War
00:01:56ended, we had the first Gulf War. That is the war that
00:02:00demonstrated beyond all doubt America's
00:02:03escalation dominance with the precision
00:02:05revolution. We took 10,000 body bags
00:02:09to that war, and only 147 American
00:02:12troops were killed where we kicked out Saddam Hussein from
00:02:16Kuwait with 30,000 plus
00:02:19troops, the fourth largest army in the world, and it was a
00:02:23splendid victory that had enormous ripple effects for
00:02:27decades and decades. And that is now
00:02:31all coming to an end. Now, you could say maybe it was already somewhat coming to an end with
00:02:34Iraq and Afghanistan, but this is a
00:02:38mega, mega legacy that
00:02:41now it is going to be President Trump who
00:02:44ended America's
00:02:46unipolar dominance. So when we have the history, the
00:02:50history books written, it'll be
00:02:521991 to 2026.
00:02:56And who's the president in 2026 of the United States?
00:03:00It is Donald J. Trump. So he will not be
00:03:04forgotten in the history books. He will go down as
00:03:07having the biggest strategic loss in pretty much
00:03:10America's history. I don't think you can even Vietnam, although
00:03:14there's more actual casualties in Vietnam. So
00:03:18this is what is the paralysis that's occurring,
00:03:21Mario, and this is not the end of the war. This is
00:03:25not, I know you want it to be, but this is going to go
00:03:29on. And it's going to go on for one
00:03:32really big reason, which is
00:03:36the world's economy is
00:03:39continuing as if on the Titanic
00:03:43into the iceberg. All of the oil inventories are
00:03:47still running down. China is still
00:03:50increasing its demand for oil.
00:03:54All of the Red Sea is still
00:03:58tankers are still, there were tankers that were turned around. You probably
00:04:02know this better name. Like, you track this so carefully, 10 tankers
00:04:05turned around at the Red Sea. So what you are seeing is the
00:04:09push pressure here for the escalation
00:04:13is not just Trump's ego, and
00:04:16it's not even just his legacy. The push
00:04:19pressure for the escalation is the world
00:04:22economy, and this is going to put more and more
00:04:25pressure on President Trump to do something.
00:04:29And is he going to actually accept
00:04:33the permanent legacy that he ended
00:04:36America's unipolar
00:04:39moment, or is he going to go for escalation? And I think
00:04:43you're going to see more and more pressure toward escalation. I
00:04:46think he will continue to oscillate. I don't
00:04:50think this will be like the light switch which would make it really
00:04:53convenient for us to either panic all the time or
00:04:56not. But at the same time, this is what's really occurring,
00:05:00Mario, is its oscillation.
00:05:03But the next final point I want to make is that even as
00:05:07America is oscillating, the other actors in the region are not
00:05:10oscillating. So, Iran has
00:05:14been steadily drip by drip by drip
00:05:17gaining power. Their goal, I think, is
00:05:20to get all
00:05:24the region, that's all 50,000, that is all
00:05:27the bases, that is all the naval forces.
00:05:30And I think they're going to see how far they can push
00:05:34that between now and the mid-terms and probably through January before they're
00:05:38going to reconsider any of this. So I think they're heading right along
00:05:42a certain trajectory. It's a power
00:05:44trajectory, and I think that Trump's strategic
00:05:48paralysis isn't stopping that. He may, he may, it
00:05:51may be that he won't do the escalation, but this isn't
00:05:55stopping Iran from becoming the rising
00:05:58hegemon in the region, and it
00:06:01is going to exert power more and more
00:06:05over other states in the
00:06:06region.
00:06:56you to watch the Lebanon Today program with the presence
00:06:59of program experts, Dr. Mohammad Shams,
00:07:03university professor, and my colleague Seyyed Mohammad Hassan
00:07:06Hosseini. Dr. from the second round
00:07:09of negotiations in the seventh round of negotiations.
00:07:13Let's talk about the fact that simultaneously with these negotiations in Rome,
00:07:17we see that the Zionist regime, under the pretext of a ship and the injury
00:07:20of a number of its forces in an occupied
00:07:24area, bombed
00:07:26Tanbinin and, more importantly, issued
00:07:30an evacuation warning for the residents of the
00:07:34Mansouri area, and in the late night hours, even targeted the areas
00:07:37around Tyre, Burj al-Shamali, and Hawsh.
00:07:40Isn't this truly an excuse-making by the
00:07:44Israeli Bani and that a booby trap was placed
00:07:48there by Hezbollah during the war for whatever
00:07:51reason, and this is used to accuse
00:07:55Hezbollah of violating the ceasefire, especially
00:08:04of the seventh round of negotiations
00:08:07between the Lebanese delegation and the Zionist regime
00:08:09ended in failure. Today is the third day,
00:08:13but the news we have received
00:08:17is that the goals of these negotiations
00:08:20have not been met by cooperation from the US and Israel.
00:08:23Lebanon's request was for a real ceasefire
00:08:27and a test area of
00:08:30​​two. They proposed Khiam or Bint Jbeil, and Israel and the US
00:08:34strongly rejected this and
00:08:37said that the main goal of the negotiations from the US and
00:08:40Israel is for this evaluation committee
00:08:44of the Lebanese army to be formed. Again, they did not reach
00:08:47a conclusion. They are stuck with that evaluation committee. Yes,
00:08:50the evaluation committee or the US and Israeli side. The third
00:08:53side, France or Italy, was proposed. Again, Israel did not
00:08:57accept Italy. So this committee has not yet been
00:09:00formed, and apparently, what
00:09:03Israel is after, what Netanyahu
00:09:07is after, is this reality that is now in Lebanon,
00:09:10the ceasefire. It is not a ceasefire. The violation of the ceasefire by Israel
00:09:14is always there, and there is also the possibility of escalating
00:09:17military operations that Netanyahu needs to use in the Knesset elections.
00:09:21This is the prevailing atmosphere over
00:09:24Lebanon's atmosphere and talks. The incident that
00:09:28happened yesterday was the explosion of a mine in one of the houses that
00:09:32the Israelis occupied in the village of Majdal Zoun,
00:09:35and this mine was there for a long time. Now
00:09:38there are two narratives from the Israeli media itself that this
00:09:42mine was accidentally placed there by the Israelis,
00:09:46and the mine exploded, and two people were killed and seven
00:09:50were injured from the Israeli soldiers. One of them was a high-ranking officer,
00:09:54or Hezbollah had placed
00:09:57it in one of these houses a long time ago and it exploded
00:10:01now. In any case, this was an excuse for the Israelis
00:10:04and the Americans to halt the meetings.
00:10:07After the meetings began in the afternoon, they halted the Rome negotiations.
00:10:11And they said that this situation, instead of the Lebanese government
00:10:15halting it because of Israel's bombing of
00:10:18villages like Burj
00:10:22al-Shamali, Mansouri, and
00:10:55The Israeli army wants to set an example for the Lebanese that
00:10:59you do not even have the right to have checkpoints in the occupied
00:11:02cities and villages there. This
00:11:06title does not have any other title. When they say
00:11:09you are violating agreements
00:11:11in the unoccupied village of Mansouri
00:11:15in the Tyre
00:11:18province, this is against the agreements. What does
00:11:20that mean? And a new issue was raised when
00:11:24they bombed the Mansouri area
00:11:27and issued an evacuation warning. These
00:11:30areas are also not occupied, and Israel wants to impose this reality
00:11:33that the discussion of Israeli military operations in the south
00:11:37of the Litani River is not limited. We can go north of the Litani
00:11:40River and villages that are not occupied. Wherever it is,
00:11:44we will issue an evacuation warning. In short, the negotiations have reached
00:11:48a stalemate. Of course, the Lebanese government and the governmental apparatus and the government
00:11:52media are promoting that there was progress
00:11:56in the negotiations because of the issue of border
00:11:59demarcation. Israel and the Lebanese government also
00:12:03presented a plan for border demarcation.
00:12:05The US, the government itself, says the US
00:12:09defined and encouraged this plan, and I don't know what
00:12:12good this will do. Now the discussion of the impact of this will continue
00:12:15in our discussions. Mr.
00:12:18Seyyed, anyway, after the evacuation warning was
00:12:22issued, it was said that this was a request from the regime's army.
00:12:25Later, the regime's politicians prevented its implementation. Some sources even said
00:12:29that Netanyahu stopped
00:12:32the attack on Mansouri out of consideration for the US. Of course, they compensated
00:12:36elsewhere. Some said that the Lebanese negotiating
00:12:40delegation from Rome requested a halt to this
00:12:43bombing. Anyway, there was a lot of talk. How did the situation
00:12:47progress, and what was the reality? These three points
00:12:50are very important. One,
00:12:53the heavy casualties that
00:13:13occurred, killed and injured. Whether this booby trap
00:13:16was already in the house
00:13:20or it was placed
00:13:23there recently.
00:13:59to establish itself and in negotiations with the Lebanese government,
00:14:03only manage this issue. The only thing that was not discussed
00:14:06in the Rome negotiations was the issue of withdrawal.
00:14:09That is, all other marginal issues were discussed, which
00:14:13have nothing to do with the main issue, including that
00:14:16the Lebanese government must report to the Zionist
00:14:20regime, and they do not
00:14:23accept good faith between quotation marks from
00:14:27the Lebanese government, and in practice, the Lebanese army must go north,
00:14:30not south, which is the border with occupied
00:14:34Palestine. It must go north to its own territory. Yes,
00:14:37inside. And inside Lebanese territory,
00:14:40it must take action to disarm and
00:14:43dismantle Hezbollah's
00:14:46weapons. And this is the meaning
00:14:49of the test areas that want to happen. The incident that happened
00:14:53yesterday is that
00:15:25it is forced to
00:15:28limit its presence and influence anyway. Now,
00:15:32I will not discuss the phrase "US withdrawal" or
00:15:35"US exit" for now.
00:15:38Some may say this is an exaggeration, but at least it is true
00:15:41that today's America is not the America of the past. Now
00:15:45the Zionists are very concerned about this issue,
00:15:48and this issue has also become a clear and hidden
00:15:51electoral issue within
00:15:55the regime in the Knesset elections or the parliament
00:15:58of this regime, where they criticize Netanyahu's policy
00:16:02towards America, and within this issue, there is also a debate in America that
00:16:06why should we put all of
00:16:09America at risk for
00:16:12Israel? Anyway, let's go back to southern Lebanon. The current
00:16:15situation in southern Lebanon will not be
00:16:19stable forever. This means that the Zionist regime and in fact
00:16:22the US itself, because the main party in the negotiations is the US,
00:16:25not Netanyahu. The US must decide
00:16:28whether it wants the southern Lebanese
00:16:32front to have stability in the overall
00:16:36US policy and to have peace,
00:16:40leading to the establishment of this peace in the border
00:16:43areas. The US is forced to decide to withdraw
00:16:47the occupying Zionist army from there. Whether
00:16:50Netanyahu wants it or not is a secondary issue. But
00:16:54as we said before, until the Knesset elections,
00:16:56until the midterm congressional elections in the
00:16:59US, we will not withdraw from southern Lebanon.
00:17:03The ceasefire period we are in will be extended
00:17:07until the Knesset elections, and all issues are now
00:17:10postponed until after the
00:17:13elections of the Zionist regime. Regarding
00:17:16Iran and the US, I think there is a possibility that
00:17:20a ceasefire period will be extended
00:17:23or the conflict will be suspended. Yes, a 60-day
00:17:26discussion is being raised that if something big is going
00:17:29to happen, it will be after the Knesset elections,
00:17:32the congressional elections. Yes, now, since
00:17:36Dr. Samad discussed border demarcation,
00:17:39I want to say that since they themselves are saying that in the area of border
00:17:43demarcation, your view is that this
00:17:47itself is a distraction and marginalization of the main talks
00:17:50in the negotiations between the two sides. It has been said that
00:17:54there has been progress, but the proposal of the Lebanese side,
00:17:57which it had advertised in the media space before the negotiations,
00:18:00to designate Khiam
00:18:04or Bint Jbeil as a test area, has remained fruitless. And
00:18:07the Zionists have objected. Your opinion, firstly,
00:18:11what does progress in drawing the border
00:18:14area mean, and was it really
00:18:17far-fetched for the Zionists not to accept
00:18:21the new test areas? Well, it is clear. We
00:18:24already said here in this program
00:18:27that Lebanon's proposal regarding the two test areas of
00:18:30Bint Jbeil and Khiam would be rejected, and the Israelis rejected
00:18:34it. In fact, I wanted to refer to
00:18:38Joseph Ann's speeches. He gave two speeches, one in
00:18:41Washington at the US Embassy in Washington, and one
00:18:45in a joint statement by Israel
00:18:47and Lebanon, which was issued by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs.
00:18:51Two very important sentences were said by Joseph Ann. One
00:18:54is that we pursue American interests,
00:18:58meaning he said we support American interests. This sentence is very important.
00:19:02That is, the President of the Lebanese government announces
00:19:05that we pursue
00:19:08the interests of the US government. And in the US
00:19:11Ministry of Foreign Affairs statement, which was written about
00:19:15Lebanon, I think during the second round of negotiations,
00:19:18he said "guaranteeing Israel's security forever."
00:19:21So these two missions or two
00:19:25commitments from the President of Lebanon, one is American interests
00:19:29and Israeli security. This was openly. I checked this
00:19:32yesterday. These two sentences are very dangerous and important. But excuse me,
00:19:35Sheikh Naim Qassem said
00:19:38that against Israel, the government's responsibility is clear. So far, it has failed.
00:19:42He even said that the government will also fail to achieve American interests
00:19:45in Lebanon. Yes, well, Sheikh Naim
00:19:48Qassem pointed out two important things. One is that
00:19:51the Lebanese government is giving
00:19:54free concessions to Israel instead of helping
00:19:58the Lebanese government. The second point is that he invited
00:20:02the Lebanese government to talk to its people and
00:20:05with the resistance. The issue of border demarcation.
00:20:50to the blue border there, and I said this is the border, excuse me, blue
00:20:53in terms of color, not a river. Now for the clarification of the viewers,
00:20:56I will say blue color. And the Lebanese government objected
00:20:59and said that the point of disagreement between the two sides
00:21:03and about 500,000 cubic meters here are still in the hands
00:21:07of Israel. So this blue line means temporary, not
00:21:10official. The Lebanese government came and said they want to propose
00:21:13a solution to this issue. The main question is now that Israel has occupied
00:21:17southern Lebanon, you want to demarcate the border. The blue
00:21:21line. First, the discussion of the withdrawal of Israelis from southern
00:21:23Lebanon. Then they say the border on that side wants to be examined
00:21:27and the demarcation of maritime borders, which
00:21:30is even more dangerous because there are
00:21:33gas and oil reserves there,
00:21:37and it is common between Lebanon and occupied
00:21:40Palestine. It is clear that here the Lebanese government, based on
00:21:44the request of the US, raises the issue of border
00:21:47demarcation. The maritime line, in fact.
00:22:21And this again, well, when they say "I don't accept it," then the Lebanese
00:22:24delegation says "I am ready to demarcate the borders," meaning there must have been
00:22:28a request from the US for the Lebanese government to go
00:22:31and make concessions on border demarcation to the Israelis,
00:22:35because now the balance of power is not in favor of Lebanon,
00:22:38but in favor of Israel and the US. So the discussion
00:22:41of this issue of border demarcation is being raised at a moment of weakness for Lebanon
00:22:45at the request of the US. Its meaning
00:22:48and result are clear. Concessions from Lebanon in favor
00:22:52of Israel. In general, which part do you see as more
00:22:55critical? The maritime blue line,
00:22:59territorial, or the land blue line,
00:23:02which is known as UNIFIL? Well,
00:23:05now, of those two lines, the more dangerous
00:23:09issue is above the yellow area or the
00:23:12yellow line. The Israelis intend to launch a wider operation
00:23:15and expand the yellow area, meaning no more border line.
00:23:32talks that the Israeli army has proposed to start extensive ground operations, but political officials have kept it on hold based
00:23:36on
00:23:36the request of
00:23:40the US. Yes, I want to ask Mr. Seyyed a supplementary point, and that is, in these circumstances, does the land
00:23:44blue line or the maritime
00:23:47blue line have importance that the Lebanese government
00:23:50is moving towards and raising in the negotiations? I want to say that this
00:23:54is a national issue, or is it a complete
00:23:58marginalization that the Zionist regime has created for the government?
00:24:01Look, the border between Lebanon and occupied
00:24:04Palestine, which the Americans and Zionists say
00:24:08is Israel, this border is
00:24:11clear. When the border is clear, it is not demarcated. Yes,
00:24:15what is clear must be established, and this will
00:24:18always be
00:24:50their lands across the border, except for some
00:24:54Lebanese village farms that are on this side of the border. These are located
00:24:57within occupied Palestine, meaning they became part of occupied Palestine. It is actually Lebanon
00:25:01there, meaning parts of what we ourselves are mistakenly
00:25:05calling parts of the lands north of occupied Palestine, which we say
00:25:09are actually lands of southern Lebanon. However, they are located
00:25:12south of the southern border. We are not concerned
00:25:16about that now. What happened in 2000, after
00:25:20the defeat and withdrawal of the Israeli army from southern Lebanon, was that
00:25:23the United Nations came to establish
00:25:27that border line, and along the border line,
00:25:31which was barbed wire, in places where the United Nations came
00:25:34and established it, they placed some barrels of
00:25:38blue color, and it became the blue line. In fact, in this
00:25:41demarcation and establishment of the border, excuse me, in the establishment
00:25:45of the border that took place, 13 points, as Dr.
00:25:49said, became points of disagreement which have not been resolved
00:25:52yet. Regarding the maritime border,
00:25:56the maritime border between Lebanon and occupied Palestine was established. The only
00:26:00remaining point is the Shebaa Farms. The Shebaa Farms
00:26:03at the far end of the Shebaa Farms is east-southeast. Yes, east-south.
00:26:07That is, at the far end of the eastern border of Lebanon
00:26:11in the foothills of the occupied Golan Heights. There is a dispute there because
00:26:14between the occupied territories of Syria and Lebanon. Yes,
00:26:18Syria there, in fact, this document
00:26:22of Lebanese identity there, which is Lebanese, was established,
00:26:25and the Zionist regime does not accept to recognize
00:26:29it as part of Lebanese
00:26:32territory. The demarcation
00:26:35and establishment of the border, in fact, the establishment of the border
00:26:39in southern Lebanon means the end of
00:26:42Israeli ambitions. This is an important issue. When the US ambassador
00:26:45to occupied Palestine says that the south of the Litani River, meaning southern
00:26:49Lebanon, yes, must be annexed to Israel
00:26:52because it is part of the biblical land of
00:26:56Judah, this is the official ambassador of the
00:26:59US government, and Washington did not
00:27:02actually deny these statements and did not
00:27:06silent, meaning it accepts this issue. Dan Shapiro,
00:27:09Trump's former envoy,
00:27:12when he says that northern Lebanon must be annexed to Syria, these people are advocating
00:27:16for division. What prevents division is the unity
00:27:20of the Lebanese nation. Here, the Lebanese government, which should be the symbol
00:27:23of this unity, is playing
00:27:26a reverse role. The fact that the resistance,
00:27:29in its speech yesterday,
00:28:02occupies some areas there,
00:30:35At 2 o'clock, the president, in a television interview, announced
00:30:38that power and gas outages would be minimized this winter.
00:30:42Mr. Pezeshkian said that the 14th government was trying
00:30:46to bring 30,000 megawatts of electricity into the grid through the development of solar
00:30:49panels to minimize energy
00:30:53imbalance. However, attacks by the US and the Zionist
00:30:57regime prevented this goal from being achieved, and electricity generation
00:31:00through solar panels