Model · early-season estimate: home spread +0.3 · total 3.2.
Pass · picks require three current-season games per team. Line: DraftKings.
Model candidate; no claim of a proven betting edge.
Method
Only observed fields are shown. Team box scores do not isolate red-zone touchdowns or offense-only points per drive; current injury reports and outdoor forecasts cover only supported leagues and venues. Projections start with three current-season games or a prior-season rating; early-season estimates are excluded from picks.