College football game

Mississippi State Bulldogs at Texas Longhorns

· 10/31 - 7:30 PM EDT

Mississippi State Bulldogs · Texas Longhorns

Data: ESPN · observed Source

Matchup details observed .

Matchup

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Record: 4-3

Texas Longhorns

Record: 5-2

consensus home spread -20 · consensus total 50.5.

Consensus: The Odds API · 9 books · . Spread movement 0 points since first observed.

Players to watch

  • Arch Manning · TEX: Passing Yards: 124/196, 1,507 YDS, 12 TD, 7 INT · season
  • Raleek Brown · TEX: Rushing Yards: 84 CAR, 422 YDS, 5 TD · season
  • Ryan Wingo · TEX: Receiving Yards: 33 REC, 456 YDS, 4 TD · season
  • Colin Simmons · TEX: Sacks: 10.5 · season
  • Jelani McDonald · TEX: Tackles: 54 · season
  • Kamario Taylor · MSST: Passing Yards: 104/159, 1,460 YDS, 17 TD, 4 INT · season
  • Fluff Bothwell · MSST: Rushing Yards: 91 CAR, 514 YDS, 3 TD · season
  • Anthony Evans III · MSST: Receiving Yards: 53 REC, 647 YDS, 5 TD · season
  • Jaray Bledsoe · MSST: Sacks: 2.5 · season
  • Tyler Lockhart · MSST: Tackles: 48 · season

Source

Pick or pass

Model: home spread -8.1 · total 53.1.

away · model-to-line gap -11.9 points. Line: The Odds API.

Recorded · original home spread -20.5.

Model candidate; no claim of a proven betting edge.

Coaching Room

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Head coach: Jeff Lebby · Coach source

Sample: 5 games · season 2026.

Observed team tendencies · 2026
MetricValueLeague rankGames
Fourth-down attempts per game2.8rank 27 of 1745
Fourth-down conversion rate35.7 %rank 136 of 1655
Pass attempt share (pass attempts + rushes)47.4 %rank 81 of 1745
Rush share (pass attempts + rushes)52.7 %rank 94 of 1745
Time of possession per game27.3 minrank 145 of 1745
Turnovers per game1.8rank 30 of 1745

Statistics sources: Box score 1 · Box score 2 · Box score 3 · Box score 4 · Box score 5

Texas Longhorns

Head coach: Steve Sarkisian · Coach source

Sample: 5 games · season 2026.

Observed team tendencies · 2026
MetricValueLeague rankGames
Fourth-down attempts per game1.4rank 121 of 1745
Fourth-down conversion rate42.9 %rank 115 of 1655
Pass attempt share (pass attempts + rushes)41.5 %rank 131 of 1745
Rush share (pass attempts + rushes)58.5 %rank 44 of 1745
Time of possession per game30.3 minrank 71 of 1745
Turnovers per game1.6rank 36 of 1745

Statistics sources: Box score 1 · Box score 2 · Box score 3 · Box score 4 · Box score 5

Game-day weather

Temperature 76 °F · Intermittent clouds

Observed · Weather source

Method

Only observed fields are shown. Team box scores do not isolate red-zone touchdowns or offense-only points per drive; current injury reports and outdoor forecasts cover only supported leagues and venues. Projections start with three current-season games or a prior-season rating; early-season estimates are excluded from picks.

All scores and matchups · Sports Desk brief