College football game

Air Force Falcons at Army Black Knights

· 11/7 - 7:30 PM EST

Air Force Falcons · Army Black Knights

Data: ESPN · observed Source

Matchup

Air Force Falcons

Record: 5-2

Army Black Knights

Record: 5-2

ESPN home spread -5.5 · ESPN total 51.5.

DraftKings

Players to watch

  • Howard Fisher IV · AFA: Passing Yards: 3/7, 36 YDS · recent game
  • Evan Medders · AFA: Rushing Yards: 21 CAR, 115 YDS · recent game
  • Matt Long · AFA: Receiving Yards: 2 REC, 30 YDS · recent game
  • Max Mustell · AFA: Sacks: 1 · recent game

Source

Pick or pass

Model: home spread -4.1 · total 52.9.

pass · model-to-line gap -1.4 points. Line: DraftKings.

Model candidate; no claim of a proven betting edge.

Coaching Room

Air Force Falcons

Head coach: Troy Calhoun · 8 seasons as a head coach · Coach source

Sample: 6 games · season 2026.

Observed team tendencies · 2026
MetricValueLeague rankGames
Fourth-down attempts per game2.7rank 33 of 2216
Fourth-down conversion rate81.3 %rank 13 of 2036
Pass attempt share (pass attempts + rushes)13.7 %rank 221 of 2216
Rush share (pass attempts + rushes)86.3 %rank 1 of 2216
Time of possession per game35.9 minrank 4 of 2216
Turnovers per game1.2rank 116 of 2216

Statistics sources: Box score 1 · Box score 2 · Box score 3 · Box score 4 · Box score 5

Army Black Knights

Head coach: Jeff Monken · 1 season as a head coach · Coach source

Sample: 6 games · season 2026.

Observed team tendencies · 2026
MetricValueLeague rankGames
Fourth-down attempts per game2.5rank 37 of 2216
Fourth-down conversion rate80 %rank 15 of 2036
Pass attempt share (pass attempts + rushes)16.1 %rank 220 of 2216
Rush share (pass attempts + rushes)83.9 %rank 2 of 2216
Time of possession per game34.6 minrank 10 of 2216
Turnovers per game0.3rank 201 of 2216

Statistics sources: Box score 1 · Box score 2 · Box score 3 · Box score 4 · Box score 5

Game-day weather

Temperature 56 °F · Cloudy

Observed · Weather source

Method

Only observed fields are shown. Team box scores do not isolate red-zone touchdowns or offense-only points per drive; current injury reports and outdoor forecasts cover only supported leagues and venues. Projections start with three current-season games or a prior-season rating; early-season estimates are excluded from picks.

All scores and matchups · Sports Desk brief