College football game

Missouri State Bears at Florida International Panthers

· 11/7 - 4:00 PM EST

Missouri State Bears · Florida International Panthers

Data: ESPN · observed Source

Matchup

Missouri State Bears

Record: 3-5

Florida International Panthers

Record: 3-4

Players to watch

  • Henry Belin IV · MOST: Passing Yards: 12/18, 184 YDS, 2 TD · recent game
  • Connor Lair · MOST: Rushing Yards: 19 CAR, 75 YDS, 1 TD · recent game
  • Jmariyae Robinson · MOST: Receiving Yards: 7 REC, 102 YDS, 1 TD · recent game
  • Josh Lukusa · MOST: Sacks: 1 · recent game

Source

Pick or pass

Model: home spread -8 · total 48.1.

pass.

Model candidate; no claim of a proven betting edge.

Coaching Room

Missouri State Bears

Head coach: Casey Woods · Coach source

Sample: 8 games · season 2026.

Observed team tendencies · 2026
MetricValueLeague rankGames
Fourth-down attempts per game2.1rank 69 of 2218
Fourth-down conversion rate41.2 %rank 146 of 2038
Pass attempt share (pass attempts + rushes)47.2 %rank 104 of 2218
Rush share (pass attempts + rushes)52.8 %rank 118 of 2218
Time of possession per game27.5 minrank 173 of 2218
Turnovers per game1.1rank 130 of 2218

Statistics sources: Box score 1 · Box score 2 · Box score 3 · Box score 4 · Box score 5

Florida International Panthers

Head coach: Willie Simmons · Coach source

Sample: 7 games · season 2026.

Observed team tendencies · 2026
MetricValueLeague rankGames
Fourth-down attempts per game2.7rank 29 of 2217
Fourth-down conversion rate42.1 %rank 141 of 2037
Pass attempt share (pass attempts + rushes)50 %rank 71 of 2217
Rush share (pass attempts + rushes)50 %rank 149 of 2217
Time of possession per game32.6 minrank 36 of 2217
Turnovers per game1.4rank 83 of 2217

Statistics sources: Box score 1 · Box score 2 · Box score 3 · Box score 4 · Box score 5

Method

Only observed fields are shown. Team box scores do not isolate red-zone touchdowns or offense-only points per drive; current injury reports and outdoor forecasts cover only supported leagues and venues. Projections start with three current-season games or a prior-season rating; early-season estimates are excluded from picks.

All scores and matchups · Sports Desk brief