NFL game
Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
· 11/1 - 1:00 PM EST
Atlanta Falcons · Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Matchup
Atlanta Falcons
Record: 3-4
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Record: 2-5
ESPN home spread -2.5 · ESPN total 43.5.
Players to watch
- Baker Mayfield · TB: Passing Yards: 68/107, 679 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT · season
- Bucky Irving · TB: Rushing Yards: 120 CAR, 558 YDS, 4 TD · season
- Chris Godwin Jr. · TB: Receiving Yards: 27 REC, 243 YDS · season
- David Walker · TB: Sacks: 4 · season
- Josiah Trotter · TB: Tackles: 62 · season
- Michael Penix Jr. · ATL: Passing Yards: 96/144, 1,157 YDS, 9 TD, 1 INT · season
- Bijan Robinson · ATL: Rushing Yards: 131 CAR, 704 YDS, 4 TD · season
- Drake London · ATL: Receiving Yards: 38 REC, 616 YDS, 1 TD · season
- Za'Darius Smith · ATL: Sacks: 4.5 · season
- Xavier Watts · ATL: Tackles: 44 · season
Fantasy outlook · Week 8
Michael Penix Jr.
13.3 PPR points · floor 9.8 · ceiling 16.8
Why: Michael Penix Jr.
Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the QB average · Atlanta Falcons expected to score 20.5 (ESPN line) · Tampa Bay Buccaneers allow 13.5 QB fantasy points a game (15% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)
| Week | Comp | Att | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush | Rush yds | Red-zone touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 25 | 34 | 213 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 0 |
| 6 | 19 | 33 | 225 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | 19 | 32 | 240 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| 4 | 15 | 20 | 223 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Baker Mayfield
11.6 PPR points · floor 9.1 · ceiling 14.1
Why: Baker Mayfield
Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the QB average · Tampa Bay Buccaneers expected to score 23 (ESPN line) · Atlanta Falcons allow 17.6 QB fantasy points a game (3.5% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)
| Week | Comp | Att | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush | Rush yds | Red-zone touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | 11 | 64 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 3 | 17 | 34 | 217 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 2 | 21 | 34 | 182 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 2 |
| 1 | 23 | 28 | 216 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 3 |
Jalon Daniels
9.9 PPR points · floor 2.9 · ceiling 16.9
Why: Jalon Daniels
Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the QB average · Tampa Bay Buccaneers expected to score 23 (ESPN line) · Atlanta Falcons allow 17.6 QB fantasy points a game (3.5% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)
| Week | Comp | Att | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush | Rush yds | Red-zone touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 6 | 22 | 43 | 164 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 39 | 0 |
| 5 | 19 | 25 | 189 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 1 |
| 4 | 19 | 27 | 148 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 55 | 1 |
Jack Strand
7.8 PPR points
Why: Jack Strand
Last 1 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the QB average · Atlanta Falcons expected to score 20.5 (ESPN line) · Tampa Bay Buccaneers allow 13.5 QB fantasy points a game (15% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)
| Week | Comp | Att | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush | Rush yds | Red-zone touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 8 | 15 | 59 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 0 |
Tua Tagovailoa
6 PPR points
Why: Tua Tagovailoa
Last 1 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the QB average · Atlanta Falcons expected to score 20.5 (ESPN line) · Tampa Bay Buccaneers allow 13.5 QB fantasy points a game (15% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)
| Week | Comp | Att | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush | Rush yds | Red-zone touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Andy Dalton
0 PPR points
Why: Andy Dalton
Last 1 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the QB average · Atlanta Falcons expected to score 20.5 (ESPN line) · Tampa Bay Buccaneers allow 13.5 QB fantasy points a game (15% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)
| Week | Comp | Att | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush | Rush yds | Red-zone touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Cooper Rush
0 PPR points · floor 0 · ceiling 0
Why: Cooper Rush
Not on active roster · projection zero · Last 2 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the QB average · Atlanta Falcons expected to score 20.5 (ESPN line) · Tampa Bay Buccaneers allow 13.5 QB fantasy points a game (15% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)
| Week | Comp | Att | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush | Rush yds | Red-zone touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 10 | 17 | 86 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 0 |
| 1 | 12 | 22 | 143 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Bucky Irving
14.4 PPR points · floor 3.9 · ceiling 24.9
Why: Bucky Irving
Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the RB average · Tampa Bay Buccaneers expected to score 23 (ESPN line) · Atlanta Falcons allow 24.5 RB fantasy points a game (4.7% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)
| Week | Rush | Rush yds | Rush TD | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Red-zone touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 24 | 106 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | 19 | 46 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 5 | 21 | 165 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 |
| 4 | 16 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Bijan Robinson
10.2 PPR points · floor 1 · ceiling 19.4
Why: Bijan Robinson
Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the RB average · Atlanta Falcons expected to score 20.5 (ESPN line) · Tampa Bay Buccaneers allow 17.9 RB fantasy points a game (5.1% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)
| Week | Rush | Rush yds | Rush TD | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Red-zone touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 20 | 63 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 59 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | 61 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -8 | 0 |
| 5 | 17 | 86 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 32 | 4 |
| 4 | 19 | 145 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
Sean Tucker
8.3 PPR points · floor 3.3 · ceiling 13.3
Why: Sean Tucker
Last 3 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the RB average · Tampa Bay Buccaneers expected to score 23 (ESPN line) · Atlanta Falcons allow 24.5 RB fantasy points a game (4.7% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)
| Week | Rush | Rush yds | Rush TD | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Red-zone touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | 52 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Kenny Gainwell
7.9 PPR points · floor 4.6 · ceiling 11.2
Why: Kenny Gainwell
Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the RB average · Tampa Bay Buccaneers expected to score 23 (ESPN line) · Atlanta Falcons allow 24.5 RB fantasy points a game (4.7% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)
| Week | Rush | Rush yds | Rush TD | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Red-zone touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 14 | 88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 5 | 4 | 18 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
| 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 1 |
Brian Robinson
6.7 PPR points · floor 0 · ceiling 14.5
Why: Brian Robinson
Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the RB average · Atlanta Falcons expected to score 20.5 (ESPN line) · Tampa Bay Buccaneers allow 17.9 RB fantasy points a game (5.1% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)
| Week | Rush | Rush yds | Rush TD | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Red-zone touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 14 | 62 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 |
| 3 | 10 | 50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Josh Williams
0 PPR points · floor 0 · ceiling 0
Why: Josh Williams
Not on active roster · projection zero · Last 1 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the RB average · Tampa Bay Buccaneers expected to score 23 (ESPN line) · Atlanta Falcons allow 24.5 RB fantasy points a game (4.7% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)
| Week | Rush | Rush yds | Rush TD | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Red-zone touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Khalil Herbert
0 PPR points · floor 0 · ceiling 0
Why: Khalil Herbert
Not on active roster · projection zero · Last 1 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the RB average · Atlanta Falcons expected to score 20.5 (ESPN line) · Tampa Bay Buccaneers allow 17.9 RB fantasy points a game (5.1% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)
| Week | Rush | Rush yds | Rush TD | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Red-zone touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 2 |
Emeka Egbuka
12.5 PPR points · floor 7.1 · ceiling 17.9
Why: Emeka Egbuka
Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the WR average · Tampa Bay Buccaneers expected to score 23 (ESPN line) · Atlanta Falcons allow 34.4 WR fantasy points a game (0.5% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)
| Week | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Air yds | Target share | Red-zone touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 16 | 7 | 48 | 1 | 136 | 39% | 1 |
| 5 | 9 | 6 | 38 | 0 | 71 | 36% | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 18 | 15.4% | 0 |
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 62 | 0 | 91 | 25.7% | 0 |
Drake London
10.5 PPR points · floor 4.4 · ceiling 16.6
Why: Drake London
Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the WR average · Atlanta Falcons expected to score 20.5 (ESPN line) · Tampa Bay Buccaneers allow 29 WR fantasy points a game (12.2% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)
| Week | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Air yds | Target share | Red-zone touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 10 | 7 | 66 | 1 | 86 | 31.3% | 1 |
| 6 | 10 | 4 | 62 | 0 | 143 | 30.3% | 0 |
| 5 | 11 | 7 | 118 | 0 | 119 | 32.4% | 0 |
| 4 | 6 | 5 | 96 | 0 | 66 | 30% | 0 |
Tez Johnson
7.9 PPR points · floor 3.5 · ceiling 12.3
Why: Tez Johnson
Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the WR average · Tampa Bay Buccaneers expected to score 23 (ESPN line) · Atlanta Falcons allow 34.4 WR fantasy points a game (0.5% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)
| Week | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Air yds | Target share | Red-zone touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 2 | 2 | 33 | 1 | 30 | 18.2% | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 7.3% | 0 |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 64 | 0 | 33 | 4% | 0 |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 15 | 7.7% | 0 |
Chris Godwin Jr.
7.8 PPR points · floor 6.5 · ceiling 9.1
Why: Chris Godwin Jr.
Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the WR average · Tampa Bay Buccaneers expected to score 23 (ESPN line) · Atlanta Falcons allow 34.4 WR fantasy points a game (0.5% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)
| Week | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Air yds | Target share | Red-zone touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | 4 | 27 | 0 | -8 | 45.5% | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 37 | 0 | 54 | 19.5% | 0 |
| 5 | 3 | 3 | 37 | 0 | 5 | 12% | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 0 | 16 | 26.9% | 0 |
Jahan Dotson
6.4 PPR points · floor 1.3 · ceiling 11.5
Why: Jahan Dotson
Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the WR average · Atlanta Falcons expected to score 20.5 (ESPN line) · Tampa Bay Buccaneers allow 29 WR fantasy points a game (12.2% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)
| Week | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Air yds | Target share | Red-zone touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 57 | 9.4% | 0 |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 87 | 1 | 87 | 15.2% | 1 |
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 54 | 0 | 73 | 11.8% | 0 |
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 54 | 1 | 62 | 15% | 0 |
David Sills
5.2 PPR points
Why: David Sills
Last 1 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the WR average · Tampa Bay Buccaneers expected to score 23 (ESPN line) · Atlanta Falcons allow 34.4 WR fantasy points a game (0.5% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)
| Week | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Air yds | Target share | Red-zone touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 |
Ted Hurst III
5.1 PPR points · floor 1.4 · ceiling 8.8
Why: Ted Hurst III
Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the WR average · Tampa Bay Buccaneers expected to score 23 (ESPN line) · Atlanta Falcons allow 34.4 WR fantasy points a game (0.5% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)
| Week | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Air yds | Target share | Red-zone touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9.1% | 0 |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 78 | 14.6% | 0 |
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 27 | 11.5% | 0 |
| 3 | 3 | 1 | 40 | 1 | 71 | 8.6% | 0 |
Zachariah Branch
3.2 PPR points · floor 2.1 · ceiling 4.3
Why: Zachariah Branch
Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the WR average · Atlanta Falcons expected to score 20.5 (ESPN line) · Tampa Bay Buccaneers allow 29 WR fantasy points a game (12.2% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)
| Week | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Air yds | Target share | Red-zone touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 19 | 6.3% | 0 |
| 6 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 6.1% | 0 |
| 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 0 | -7 | 5.9% | 0 |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 10% | 0 |
Kameron Johnson
2 PPR points · floor 1.5 · ceiling 2.5
Why: Kameron Johnson
Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the WR average · Tampa Bay Buccaneers expected to score 23 (ESPN line) · Atlanta Falcons allow 34.4 WR fantasy points a game (0.5% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)
| Week | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Air yds | Target share | Red-zone touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 |
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 |
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7.7% | 0 |
Olamide Zaccheaus
2 PPR points · floor 1.1 · ceiling 2.9
Why: Olamide Zaccheaus
Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the WR average · Atlanta Falcons expected to score 20.5 (ESPN line) · Tampa Bay Buccaneers allow 29 WR fantasy points a game (12.2% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)
| Week | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Air yds | Target share | Red-zone touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 44 | 12.1% | 0 |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5% | 0 |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 8.7% | 0 |
Chris Blair
1.2 PPR points · floor 0.4 · ceiling 2
Why: Chris Blair
Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the WR average · Atlanta Falcons expected to score 20.5 (ESPN line) · Tampa Bay Buccaneers allow 29 WR fantasy points a game (12.2% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)
| Week | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Air yds | Target share | Red-zone touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 3.1% | 0 |
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 |
Jalen McMillan
0 PPR points · floor 0 · ceiling 0
Why: Jalen McMillan
Injured reserve · projection zero · Last 1 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the WR average · Tampa Bay Buccaneers expected to score 23 (ESPN line) · Atlanta Falcons allow 34.4 WR fantasy points a game (0.5% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)
| Week | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Air yds | Target share | Red-zone touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2.9% | 0 |
Kyle Pitts
11.2 PPR points · floor 2.9 · ceiling 19.5
Why: Kyle Pitts
Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the TE average · Atlanta Falcons expected to score 20.5 (ESPN line) · Tampa Bay Buccaneers allow 16.2 TE fantasy points a game (7.7% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)
| Week | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Air yds | Target share | Red-zone touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 15.6% | 1 |
| 6 | 7 | 5 | 60 | 2 | 39 | 21.2% | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | 5 | 42 | 1 | 26 | 17.6% | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 47 | 0 | 8 | 15% | 0 |
Nick Muse
5.3 PPR points · floor 1.7 · ceiling 8.9
Why: Nick Muse
Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the TE average · Atlanta Falcons expected to score 20.5 (ESPN line) · Tampa Bay Buccaneers allow 16.2 TE fantasy points a game (7.7% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)
| Week | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Air yds | Target share | Red-zone touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6.3% | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 |
Austin Hooper
4.4 PPR points · floor 1.5 · ceiling 7.3
Why: Austin Hooper
Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the TE average · Atlanta Falcons expected to score 20.5 (ESPN line) · Tampa Bay Buccaneers allow 16.2 TE fantasy points a game (7.7% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)
| Week | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Air yds | Target share | Red-zone touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 12 | 6.3% | 0 |
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 3% | 0 |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | -2 | 5% | 0 |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 8.7% | 1 |
Bauer Sharp
3.9 PPR points · floor 2.6 · ceiling 5.2
Why: Bauer Sharp
Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the TE average · Tampa Bay Buccaneers expected to score 23 (ESPN line) · Atlanta Falcons allow 15.8 TE fantasy points a game (2.2% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)
| Week | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Air yds | Target share | Red-zone touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 |
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 21 | 2.4% | 0 |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 |
Cade Otton
3.5 PPR points · floor 0 · ceiling 7.1
Why: Cade Otton
Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the TE average · Tampa Bay Buccaneers expected to score 23 (ESPN line) · Atlanta Falcons allow 15.8 TE fantasy points a game (2.2% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)
| Week | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Air yds | Target share | Red-zone touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9.1% | 0 |
| 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -4 | 4.9% | 0 |
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 0 | 24 | 16% | 0 |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 0 | 23 | 23.1% | 0 |
Payne Durham
3.3 PPR points · floor 2.2 · ceiling 4.4
Why: Payne Durham
Last 2 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the TE average · Tampa Bay Buccaneers expected to score 23 (ESPN line) · Atlanta Falcons allow 15.8 TE fantasy points a game (2.2% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)
| Week | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Air yds | Target share | Red-zone touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4% | 0 |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2.9% | 0 |
Charlie Woerner
3 PPR points · floor 1.7 · ceiling 4.3
Why: Charlie Woerner
Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the TE average · Atlanta Falcons expected to score 20.5 (ESPN line) · Tampa Bay Buccaneers allow 16.2 TE fantasy points a game (7.7% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)
| Week | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Air yds | Target share | Red-zone touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 3.1% | 0 |
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 5.9% | 0 |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5% | 0 |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3.2% | 0 |
Ko Kieft
2.9 PPR points · floor 2.9 · ceiling 2.9
Why: Ko Kieft
Last 3 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the TE average · Tampa Bay Buccaneers expected to score 23 (ESPN line) · Atlanta Falcons allow 15.8 TE fantasy points a game (2.2% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)
| Week | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Air yds | Target share | Red-zone touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 |
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 |
E.J. Jenkins
0 PPR points · floor 0 · ceiling 0
Why: E.J. Jenkins
Not on active roster · projection zero · Last 3 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the TE average · Atlanta Falcons expected to score 20.5 (ESPN line) · Tampa Bay Buccaneers allow 16.2 TE fantasy points a game (7.7% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)
| Week | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Air yds | Target share | Red-zone touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 |
Chase McLaughlin
9.7 PPR points · floor 4.8 · ceiling 14.6
Why: Chase McLaughlin
Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the K average · Tampa Bay Buccaneers expected to score 23 (ESPN line) · Atlanta Falcons allow 6.7 K fantasy points a game (6.3% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)
| Week | FG made | FG att | XP made |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Nick Folk
8.2 PPR points · floor 4 · ceiling 12.4
Why: Nick Folk
Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the K average · Atlanta Falcons expected to score 20.5 (ESPN line) · Tampa Bay Buccaneers allow 11 K fantasy points a game (14% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)
| Week | FG made | FG att | XP made |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
TB defense / special teams
13.9 PPR points · floor 4.3 · ceiling 23.5
Why: TB defense / special teams
Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the DST average · Atlanta Falcons allow 7.6 DST fantasy points a game (15% above average, adjusted for opponents faced) · Atlanta Falcons expected to score 20.5 (ESPN line)
| Week | Pts allowed | Sacks | Takeaways |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 13 | 5 | 4 |
| 6 | 26 | 5 | 1 |
| 5 | 16 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | 17 | 0 | 2 |
ATL defense / special teams
7.7 PPR points · floor 3.7 · ceiling 11.7
Why: ATL defense / special teams
Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the DST average · Tampa Bay Buccaneers allow 8 DST fantasy points a game (11.3% above average, adjusted for opponents faced) · Tampa Bay Buccaneers expected to score 23 (ESPN line)
| Week | Pts allowed | Sacks | Takeaways |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 20 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | 31 | 4 | 1 |
| 5 | 30 | 4 | 1 |
| 4 | 24 | 2 | 1 |
Pick or pass
Model: home spread -3.2 · total 45.9.
pass · model-to-line gap +0.7 points. Line: DraftKings.
Injury impact
Atlanta Falcons
Availability-impact index: 13.5
- Anterio Thompson (DT) · Out · Undisclosed ·
- Beaux Collins (WR) · Injured Reserve · Hip ·
- Divine Deablo (LB) · Questionable · Forearm ·
- Olamide Zaccheaus (WR) · Questionable · Shoulder ·
- Brian Robinson Jr. (RB) · Out · Hamstring ·
- Charles Snowden (LB) · Questionable · Back ·
- Samson Ebukam (DE) · Questionable · Hamstring ·
- Avieon Terrell (CB) · Questionable · Illness ·
- Billy Bowman Jr. (CB) · Questionable · Hamstring ·
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Availability-impact index: 9.5
- Luke Goedeke (OT) · Questionable · Calf ·
- Kenny Gainwell (RB) · Questionable · Hip ·
- Emeka Egbuka (WR) · Out · Foot ·
- Josh Hayes (CB) · Injured Reserve · Knee ·
- Christian Rozeboom (LB) · Injured Reserve · Finger ·
Coaching Room
Atlanta Falcons
Head coach: Kevin Stefanski · 6 seasons as a head coach · Coach source
| Metric | Value | League rank | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fourth-down attempts per game | 1 | rank 23 of 32 | 6 |
| Fourth-down conversion rate | 16.7 % | rank 31 of 32 | 6 |
| Red-zone trips per game | 3.5 | rank 12 of 32 | 6 |
| Pass attempt share (pass attempts + rushes) | 50.6 % | rank 27 of 32 | 6 |
| Rush share (pass attempts + rushes) | 49.4 % | rank 6 of 32 | 6 |
| Time of possession per game | 30.3 min | rank 13 of 32 | 6 |
| Turnovers per game | 1.7 | rank 5 of 32 | 6 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Head coach: Todd Bowles · 9 seasons as a head coach · Coach source
| Metric | Value | League rank | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fourth-down attempts per game | 1.4 | rank 15 of 32 | 7 |
| Fourth-down conversion rate | 30 % | rank 29 of 32 | 7 |
| Red-zone trips per game | 3.3 | rank 16 of 32 | 7 |
| Pass attempt share (pass attempts + rushes) | 49.4 % | rank 29 of 32 | 7 |
| Rush share (pass attempts + rushes) | 50.6 % | rank 4 of 32 | 7 |
| Time of possession per game | 32.4 min | rank 7 of 32 | 7 |
| Turnovers per game | 1.6 | rank 9 of 32 | 7 |
Game-day weather
Temperature 81 °F · Cloudy