NFL game

Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos

Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET · 11/1 - 4:25 PM EST

Kansas City Chiefs · Denver Broncos

Data: ESPN · observed Oct 31, 3:30 AM ET Source

Matchup details observed Oct 31, 1:21 AM ET.

Matchup

Denver Broncos

Record: 5-2

ESPN home spread +1.5 · ESPN total 40.5.

DraftKings

Players to watch

Bo Nix · DEN: Passing Yards: 129/218, 1,271 YDS, 7 TD, 3 INT · season
J.K. Dobbins · DEN: Rushing Yards: 87 CAR, 293 YDS, 3 TD · season
Jaylen Waddle · DEN: Receiving Yards: 26 REC, 276 YDS, 1 TD · season
Zach Allen · DEN: Sacks: 4.5 · season
Alex Singleton · DEN: Tackles: 87 · season
Patrick Mahomes · KC: Passing Yards: 124/191, 1,474 YDS, 9 TD, 4 INT · season
Kenneth Walker III · KC: Rushing Yards: 120 CAR, 701 YDS, 6 TD · season
Travis Kelce · KC: Receiving Yards: 24 REC, 343 YDS, 2 TD · season
Chamarri Conner · KC: Sacks: 1 · season
Nick Bolton · KC: Tackles: 59 · season

Source

Fantasy outlook · Week 8

PPR projections · observed Oct 31, 1:54 AM ET. Rankings and other scoring formats.

Bo Nix

DEN · QB · Rank 27 · Tier 5

11.9 PPR points · floor 4.8 · ceiling 19

Why

Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the QB average · Denver Broncos expected to score 19.5 (ESPN line) · Kansas City Chiefs allow 12 QB fantasy points a game (6% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 4 observed weeks · QB
Week	Comp	Att	Pass yds	Pass TD	Rush	Rush yds	Red-zone touches
7	15	29	222	1	7	73	0
6	17	27	107	0	4	2	1
5	16	27	123	1	4	10	1
4	25	42	214	1	2	10	0

Patrick Mahomes

KC · QB · Rank 32 · Tier 5

10.9 PPR points · floor 3.7 · ceiling 18.1

Why

Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the QB average · Kansas City Chiefs expected to score 21 (ESPN line) · Denver Broncos allow 15.2 QB fantasy points a game (5.3% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 4 observed weeks · QB
Week	Comp	Att	Pass yds	Pass TD	INT	Rush	Rush yds
7	19	33	165	0	1	2	14
6	23	30	272	0	1	5	16
4	15	30	225	2	0	2	0
3	20	24	246	2	1	1	1

Kenneth Walker III

KC · RB · Rank 13 · Tier 2

13 PPR points · floor 5.1 · ceiling 20.9

Why

Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the RB average · Kansas City Chiefs expected to score 21 (ESPN line) · Denver Broncos allow 22.9 RB fantasy points a game (1.7% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 4 observed weeks · RB
Week	Rush	Rush yds	Rush TD	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Red-zone touches
7	14	36	0	5	4	21	0
6	19	128	2	3	2	11	9
4	22	177	2	1	1	2	4
3	18	70	1	2	2	3	9

RJ Harvey

DEN · RB · Rank 37 · Tier 4

8.2 PPR points · floor 2.9 · ceiling 13.5

Why

Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the RB average · Denver Broncos expected to score 19.5 (ESPN line) · Kansas City Chiefs allow 19.4 RB fantasy points a game (4.4% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 4 observed weeks · RB
Week	Rush	Rush yds	Rush TD	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Red-zone touches
7	3	6	0	2	2	54	0
6	6	25	1	4	3	31	2
5	3	7	0	1	0	0	0
4	7	25	0	10	10	68	0

J.K. Dobbins

DEN · RB · Rank 40 · Tier 5

7.8 PPR points · floor 4 · ceiling 11.6

Why

Last 4 observed weeks · RB
Week	Rush	Rush yds	Rush TD	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Red-zone touches
7	6	23	1	0	0	0	1
6	17	41	1	3	3	5	1
5	18	68	1	2	2	6	5
4	11	40	0	2	2	12	0

Jonah Coleman

DEN · RB · Rank 45 · Tier 5

6.9 PPR points · floor 0.7 · ceiling 13.1

Why

Last 3 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the RB average · Denver Broncos expected to score 19.5 (ESPN line) · Kansas City Chiefs allow 19.4 RB fantasy points a game (4.4% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 3 observed weeks · RB
Week	Rush	Rush yds	Rush TD	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Red-zone touches
7	9	54	0	2	2	15	0
2	10	39	1	3	3	19	3
1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Ben VanSumeren

KC · RB · Rank 67 · Tier 6

4.3 PPR points · floor 4.3 · ceiling 4.3

Why

Last 2 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the RB average · Kansas City Chiefs expected to score 21 (ESPN line) · Denver Broncos allow 22.9 RB fantasy points a game (1.7% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 2 observed weeks · RB
Week	Rush	Rush yds	Rush TD	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Red-zone touches
3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Emmett Johnson

KC · RB · Rank 68 · Tier 6

4.3 PPR points · floor 1.9 · ceiling 6.7

Why

Last 4 observed weeks · RB
Week	Rush	Rush yds	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Red-zone touches
7	0	0	3	2	17	0
6	3	6	3	2	18	1
4	0	0	1	1	10	0
3	6	17	0	0	0	0

Brashard Smith

KC · RB · Rank 95 · Tier 8

0 PPR points · floor 0 · ceiling 0

Injured reserve

Why

Injured reserve · projection zero · Last 2 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the RB average · Kansas City Chiefs expected to score 21 (ESPN line) · Denver Broncos allow 22.9 RB fantasy points a game (1.7% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 2 observed weeks · RB
Week	Rush	Rush yds	Rush TD	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Red-zone touches
3	0	0	0	1	1	4	1
2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Tyler Badie

DEN · RB · Rank 130 · Tier 8

0 PPR points · floor 0 · ceiling 0

Injured reserve

Why

Injured reserve · projection zero · Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the RB average · Denver Broncos expected to score 19.5 (ESPN line) · Kansas City Chiefs allow 19.4 RB fantasy points a game (4.4% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 4 observed weeks · RB
Week	Rush	Rush yds	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Red-zone touches
6	1	6	0	0	0	0
5	1	6	1	1	-5	0
4	2	7	2	2	32	0
3	1	2	1	1	12	1

Rashee Rice

KC · WR · Rank 31 · Tier 5

9 PPR points · floor 6.4 · ceiling 11.6

Why

Last 3 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the WR average · Kansas City Chiefs expected to score 21 (ESPN line) · Denver Broncos allow 27.4 WR fantasy points a game (6.8% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 3 observed weeks · WR
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Air yds	Target share	Red-zone touches
3	9	7	88	0	75	39.1%	2
2	6	4	83	0	45	14%	1
1	2	2	19	1	6	8%	1

Xavier Worthy

KC · WR · Rank 57 · Tier 6

6.6 PPR points · floor 2.4 · ceiling 10.8

Why

Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the WR average · Kansas City Chiefs expected to score 21 (ESPN line) · Denver Broncos allow 27.4 WR fantasy points a game (6.8% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 4 observed weeks · WR
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Air yds	Target share
7	6	3	11	65	18.8%
6	7	7	73	30	24.1%
4	7	4	70	115	25.9%
3	2	2	20	13	8.7%

Jaylen Waddle

DEN · WR · Rank 65 · Tier 6

6.2 PPR points · floor 0.6 · ceiling 11.8

Why

Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the WR average · Denver Broncos expected to score 19.5 (ESPN line) · Kansas City Chiefs allow 23.6 WR fantasy points a game (6.9% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 4 observed weeks · WR
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Air yds	Target share	Red-zone touches
7	7	4	48	0	104	28%	0
6	7	4	24	0	49	29.2%	0
5	5	2	19	0	23	22.7%	0
4	6	5	35	1	30	15.8%	1

Courtland Sutton

DEN · WR · Rank 85 · Tier 6

5 PPR points · floor 2.6 · ceiling 7.4

Why

Last 4 observed weeks · WR
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Air yds	Target share	Red-zone touches
7	5	3	45	0	59	20%	0
6	3	2	19	0	30	12.5%	0
5	3	2	18	1	24	13.6%	1
4	6	1	4	0	98	15.8%	0

Marvin Mims Jr.

DEN · WR · Rank 91 · Tier 7

4.7 PPR points · floor 2.2 · ceiling 7.2

Why

Last 4 observed weeks · WR
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Air yds	Target share
7	2	2	53	18	8%
6	4	2	13	39	16.7%
5	2	2	6	-6	9.1%
4	3	1	10	18	7.9%

Andrew Armstrong

KC · WR · Rank 111 · Tier 7

3.8 PPR points · floor 3.2 · ceiling 4.4

Why

Last 2 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the WR average · Kansas City Chiefs expected to score 21 (ESPN line) · Denver Broncos allow 27.4 WR fantasy points a game (6.8% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 2 observed weeks · WR
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Air yds	Target share	Red-zone touches
7	2	1	3	0	3	6.3%	0
6	2	1	13	0	14	6.9%	0

Cyrus Allen

KC · WR · Rank 115 · Tier 7

3.7 PPR points · floor 1.7 · ceiling 5.7

Why

Last 4 observed weeks · WR
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Air yds	Target share
7	2	1	18	8	6.3%
6	2	2	27	20	6.9%
4	1	0	0	22	3.7%
1	1	0	0	5	4%

Jalen Royals

KC · WR · Rank 128 · Tier 7

3.1 PPR points · floor 0.1 · ceiling 6.1

Why

Last 4 observed weeks · WR
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Air yds	Target share
7	2	0	0	16	6.3%
6	4	2	24	19	13.8%
4	2	0	0	26	7.4%
3	1	1	11	2	4.3%

Lil'Jordan Humphrey

DEN · WR · Rank 136 · Tier 8

2.7 PPR points · floor 1.9 · ceiling 3.5

Why

Last 3 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the WR average · Denver Broncos expected to score 19.5 (ESPN line) · Kansas City Chiefs allow 23.6 WR fantasy points a game (6.9% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 3 observed weeks · WR
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Air yds	Target share
7	1	1	5	3	4%
5	2	1	8	10	9.1%
2	1	0	0	14	3.4%

Troy Franklin

DEN · WR · Rank 137 · Tier 8

2.7 PPR points · floor 1.4 · ceiling 4

Why

Last 4 observed weeks · WR
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Air yds	Target share	Red-zone touches
7	2	0	0	64	8%	0
6	1	1	2	1	4.2%	1
5	2	2	16	12	9.1%	0
3	1	1	21	8	3.2%	0

Nikko Remigio

KC · WR · Rank 144 · Tier 8

2.2 PPR points · floor 1.5 · ceiling 2.9

Why

Last 4 observed weeks · WR
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Air yds	Target share	Red-zone touches
7	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0
6	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0
4	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0
3	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0

Justin Watson

KC · WR · Rank 182 · Tier 9

0 PPR points · floor 0 · ceiling 0

Not on active roster

Why

Not on active roster · projection zero · Last 1 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the WR average · Kansas City Chiefs expected to score 21 (ESPN line) · Denver Broncos allow 27.4 WR fantasy points a game (6.8% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 1 observed week · WR
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Air yds	Target share	Red-zone touches
7	1	1	7	0	3	3.1%	0

Kolbe Katsis

DEN · WR · Rank 188 · Tier 9

0 PPR points · floor 0 · ceiling 0

Not on active roster

Why

Not on active roster · projection zero · Last 1 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the WR average · Denver Broncos expected to score 19.5 (ESPN line) · Kansas City Chiefs allow 23.6 WR fantasy points a game (6.9% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 1 observed week · WR
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Air yds	Target share	Red-zone touches
3	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0

Pat Bryant

DEN · WR · Rank 201 · Tier 9

0 PPR points · floor 0 · ceiling 0

Injured reserve

Why

Injured reserve · projection zero · Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the WR average · Denver Broncos expected to score 19.5 (ESPN line) · Kansas City Chiefs allow 23.6 WR fantasy points a game (6.9% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 4 observed weeks · WR
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Air yds	Target share	Red-zone touches
4	3	3	47	0	31	7.9%	0
3	2	2	44	1	19	6.5%	1
2	1	0	0	0	5	3.4%	0
1	6	4	42	0	25	22.2%	0

Tyquan Thornton

KC · WR · Rank 211 · Tier 9

0 PPR points · floor 0 · ceiling 0

Injured reserve

Why

Injured reserve · projection zero · Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the WR average · Kansas City Chiefs expected to score 21 (ESPN line) · Denver Broncos allow 27.4 WR fantasy points a game (6.8% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 4 observed weeks · WR
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Air yds	Target share	Red-zone touches
4	8	5	111	2	140	29.6%	2
3	2	2	22	0	20	8.7%	0
2	4	4	86	0	85	9.3%	0
1	1	0	0	0	36	4%	0

Travis Kelce

KC · TE · Rank 24 · Tier 4

6.8 PPR points · floor 0 · ceiling 13.7

Why

Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the TE average · Kansas City Chiefs expected to score 21 (ESPN line) · Denver Broncos allow 15.8 TE fantasy points a game (0.5% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 4 observed weeks · TE
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Air yds	Target share	Red-zone touches
7	8	4	44	0	53	25%	0
6	5	4	53	0	36	17.2%	0
4	4	2	15	0	14	14.8%	0
3	2	2	59	1	33	8.7%	1

Nate Adkins

DEN · TE · Rank 33 · Tier 5

5.9 PPR points · floor 0 · ceiling 12.2

Why

Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the TE average · Denver Broncos expected to score 19.5 (ESPN line) · Kansas City Chiefs allow 18.5 TE fantasy points a game (15% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 4 observed weeks · TE
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Air yds	Target share	Red-zone touches
7	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0
3	2	1	8	1	6	6.5%	1
2	3	3	32	1	24	10.3%	1
1	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0

Noah Gray

KC · TE · Rank 34 · Tier 5

5.9 PPR points · floor 2.7 · ceiling 9.1

Why

Last 4 observed weeks · TE
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Air yds	Target share	Red-zone touches
7	3	3	44	29	9.4%	0
6	3	3	53	17	10.3%	0
4	3	2	17	13	11.1%	0
3	3	3	39	22	13%	1

Evan Engram

DEN · TE · Rank 53 · Tier 5

4.1 PPR points · floor 0 · ceiling 9.3

Why

Last 4 observed weeks · TE
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Air yds	Target share	Red-zone touches
7	3	1	2	23	12%	0
6	2	2	13	8	8.3%	0
5	4	4	55	32	18.2%	1
4	5	1	6	25	13.2%	0

Adam Trautman

DEN · TE · Rank 79 · Tier 6

2.5 PPR points · floor 0.8 · ceiling 4.2

Why

Last 3 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the TE average · Denver Broncos expected to score 19.5 (ESPN line) · Kansas City Chiefs allow 18.5 TE fantasy points a game (15% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 3 observed weeks · TE
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Air yds	Target share
7	1	0	0	13	4%
4	1	0	0	0	2.6%
1	3	2	10	-1	11.1%

Jake Briningstool

KC · TE · Rank 84 · Tier 6

2.1 PPR points · floor 1.1 · ceiling 3.1

Why

Last 3 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the TE average · Kansas City Chiefs expected to score 21 (ESPN line) · Denver Broncos allow 15.8 TE fantasy points a game (0.5% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 3 observed weeks · TE
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Air yds	Target share
4	0	0	0	0	0%
3	1	0	0	6	4.3%
1	1	1	9	4	4%

Wil Lutz

DEN · K · Rank 15 · Tier 3

8.5 PPR points · floor 4.8 · ceiling 12.2

Why

Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the K average · Denver Broncos expected to score 19.5 (ESPN line) · Kansas City Chiefs allow 8.7 K fantasy points a game (2.2% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 4 observed weeks · K
Week	FG made	FG att	XP made
7	3	3	3
6	1	1	2
5	3	4	2
4	2	3	0

Harrison Butker

KC · K · Rank 23 · Tier 3

7 PPR points · floor 2.3 · ceiling 11.7

Why

Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the K average · Kansas City Chiefs expected to score 21 (ESPN line) · Denver Broncos allow 8.4 K fantasy points a game (6.4% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 4 observed weeks · K
Week	FG made	FG att	XP made
7	1	3	0
6	3	4	1
4	1	1	3
3	1	2	3

KC defense / special teams

KC · DST · Rank 9 · Tier 3

7.5 PPR points · floor 2.3 · ceiling 12.7

Why

Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the DST average · Denver Broncos allow 3.6 DST fantasy points a game (15% below average, adjusted for opponents faced) · Denver Broncos expected to score 19.5 (ESPN line)

Last 4 observed weeks · DST
Week	Pts allowed	Sacks	Takeaways
7	20	0	1
6	6	4	2
4	27	0	2
3	10	0	2

DEN defense / special teams

DEN · DST · Rank 12 · Tier 3

6.4 PPR points · floor 1.9 · ceiling 10.9

Why

Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the DST average · Kansas City Chiefs allow 3.5 DST fantasy points a game (15% below average, adjusted for opponents faced) · Kansas City Chiefs expected to score 21 (ESPN line)

Last 4 observed weeks · DST
Week	Pts allowed	Sacks	Takeaways
7	16	3	0
6	14	5	3
5	17	5	3
4	24	0	0

Weekly data: nflverse contributors · CC BY 4.0. Weekly statistics normalized and transformed into projections.

Pick or pass

Model: home spread +1.7 · total 42.1.

pass · model-to-line gap -0.2 points. Line: DraftKings.

Model candidate; no claim of a proven betting edge.

Injury impact

Kansas City Chiefs

Availability-impact index: 8.5

L'Jarius Sneed (CB) · Questionable · Knee · Oct 30
Mansoor Delane (CB) · Questionable · Shoulder · Oct 30
R Mason Thomas (DE) · Questionable · Personal · Oct 30
Omarr Norman-Lott (DT) · Out · Knee - ACL · Oct 28
Brashard Smith (RB) · Injured Reserve · Hamstring · Oct 24

Denver Broncos

Availability-impact index: 13

Zach Allen (DE) · Questionable · Hamstring · Oct 30
Talanoa Hufanga (S) · Out · Ankle · Oct 30
Brandon Jones (S) · Questionable · Hamstring · Oct 30
RJ Harvey (RB) · Out · Knee · Oct 30
Jaylen Waddle (WR) · Questionable · Chest · Oct 30
Garett Bolles (OT) · Questionable · Hip · Oct 28
Tyler Badie (RB) · Injured Reserve · Thumb · Oct 24
Jonah Elliss (LB) · Injured Reserve · Ankle · Oct 24

The availability-impact index weights listed players by position and reported starter status when available. It is a relative report-weighting index, not a medical assessment or a point-spread adjustment. An empty report does not confirm availability.

Coaching Room

Kansas City Chiefs

Head coach: Andy Reid · 27 seasons as a head coach · Coach source

Sample: 6 games · season 2026.

Observed team tendencies · 2026
Metric	Value	League rank	Games
Fourth-down attempts per game	2	rank 6 of 32	6
Fourth-down conversion rate	58.3 %	rank 15 of 32	6
Red-zone trips per game	3.8	rank 8 of 32	6
Pass attempt share (pass attempts + rushes)	54.3 %	rank 19 of 32	6
Rush share (pass attempts + rushes)	45.7 %	rank 14 of 32	6
Time of possession per game	29.2 min	rank 21 of 32	6
Turnovers per game	0.8	rank 25 of 32	6

Statistics sources: Box score 1 · Box score 2 · Box score 3 · Box score 4 · Box score 5

Denver Broncos

Head coach: Sean Payton · 18 seasons as a head coach · Coach source

Sample: 7 games · season 2026.

Observed team tendencies · 2026
Metric	Value	League rank	Games
Fourth-down attempts per game	0.6	rank 32 of 32	7
Fourth-down conversion rate	75 %	rank 4 of 32	7
Red-zone trips per game	2.9	rank 22 of 32	7
Pass attempt share (pass attempts + rushes)	55.8 %	rank 14 of 32	7
Rush share (pass attempts + rushes)	44.3 %	rank 19 of 32	7
Time of possession per game	28.5 min	rank 27 of 32	7
Turnovers per game	0.9	rank 22 of 32	7

Statistics sources: Box score 1 · Box score 2 · Box score 3 · Box score 4 · Box score 5

Game-day weather

Temperature 64 °F · Intermittent clouds

Observed Oct 31, 1:21 AM ET · Weather source

Method

Only observed fields are shown. Team box scores do not isolate red-zone touchdowns or offense-only points per drive; current injury reports and outdoor forecasts cover only supported leagues and venues. Projections start with three current-season games or a prior-season rating; early-season estimates are excluded from picks.

All scores and matchups · Sports Desk brief