NFL game

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins

Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET · 11/1 - 4:25 PM EST

New England Patriots · Miami Dolphins

Data: ESPN · observed Oct 31, 3:30 AM ET Source

Matchup details observed Oct 31, 1:21 AM ET.

Matchup

Miami Dolphins

Record: 1-5

ESPN home spread +7 · ESPN total 43.5.

DraftKings

Players to watch

Malik Willis · MIA: Passing Yards: 87/151, 1,057 YDS, 4 TD, 4 INT · season
Ollie Gordon II · MIA: Rushing Yards: 72 CAR, 339 YDS, 4 TD · season
Malik Washington · MIA: Receiving Yards: 26 REC, 289 YDS · season
Zach Sieler · MIA: Sacks: 2 · season
Jacob Rodriguez · MIA: Tackles: 61 · season
Drake Maye · NE: Passing Yards: 141/214, 1,784 YDS, 13 TD, 8 INT · season
Rhamondre Stevenson · NE: Rushing Yards: 77 CAR, 285 YDS, 2 TD · season
Hunter Henry · NE: Receiving Yards: 26 REC, 296 YDS, 2 TD · season
Elijah Ponder · NE: Sacks: 5.5 · season
Christian Elliss · NE: Tackles: 51 · season

Source

Fantasy outlook · Week 8

PPR projections · observed Oct 31, 1:54 AM ET. Rankings and other scoring formats.

Drake Maye

NE · QB · Rank 1 · Tier 1

26.6 PPR points · floor 11.2 · ceiling 42

Why

Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the QB average · New England Patriots expected to score 25.25 (ESPN line) · Miami Dolphins allow 19.6 QB fantasy points a game (6.4% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 4 observed weeks · QB
Week	Comp	Att	Pass yds	Pass TD	INT	Rush	Rush yds	Red-zone touches
7	24	31	321	2	1	4	26	1
6	18	32	235	3	0	4	24	0
5	26	34	374	4	0	7	25	1
4	22	37	269	3	1	8	54	1

Tommy DeVito

NE · QB · Rank 25 · Tier 5

12.4 PPR points

Why

Last 1 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the QB average · New England Patriots expected to score 25.25 (ESPN line) · Miami Dolphins allow 19.6 QB fantasy points a game (6.4% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 1 observed week · QB
Week	Comp	Att	Pass yds	Pass TD	INT	Rush	Rush yds	Red-zone touches
3	3	5	30	0	0	1	2	0

Malik Willis

MIA · QB · Rank 29 · Tier 5

11.3 PPR points · floor 5.6 · ceiling 17

Why

Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the QB average · Miami Dolphins expected to score 18.25 (ESPN line) · New England Patriots allow 15.1 QB fantasy points a game (12.4% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 4 observed weeks · QB
Week	Comp	Att	Pass yds	Pass TD	INT	Rush	Rush yds	Red-zone touches
7	14	21	208	2	0	8	37	1
5	15	27	137	1	2	8	74	3
4	9	17	85	0	0	2	11	0
3	20	36	210	0	1	9	56	0

Rhamondre Stevenson

NE · RB · Rank 8 · Tier 2

14.3 PPR points · floor 4.7 · ceiling 23.9

Why

Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the RB average · New England Patriots expected to score 25.25 (ESPN line) · Miami Dolphins allow 26.4 RB fantasy points a game (11.2% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 4 observed weeks · RB
Week	Rush	Rush yds	Rush TD	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Red-zone touches
7	6	22	0	5	5	93	2
6	14	36	0	0	0	0	2
5	13	64	1	3	3	21	4
4	13	47	1	5	3	27	1

Ollie Gordon II

MIA · RB · Rank 30 · Tier 4

9.3 PPR points · floor 3.9 · ceiling 14.7

Why

Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the RB average · Miami Dolphins expected to score 18.25 (ESPN line) · New England Patriots allow 20.6 RB fantasy points a game (6.5% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 4 observed weeks · RB
Week	Rush	Rush yds	Rush TD	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Red-zone touches
7	25	103	1	3	1	0	5
5	18	88	1	0	0	0	9
4	9	100	1	2	2	0	2
3	17	41	1	3	3	14	3

TreVeyon Henderson

NE · RB · Rank 48 · Tier 5

6.7 PPR points · floor 1.8 · ceiling 11.6

Why

Last 4 observed weeks · RB
Week	Rush	Rush yds	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Red-zone touches
7	3	9	2	2	14	0
6	7	31	1	1	9	0
5	4	22	1	1	16	1
4	14	42	2	0	0	1

Corey Kiner

NE · RB · Rank 49 · Tier 5

6.6 PPR points · floor 3.7 · ceiling 9.5

Why

Last 4 observed weeks · RB
Week	Rush	Rush yds	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Red-zone touches
7	4	13	0	0	0	0
6	11	57	0	0	0	5
5	6	52	1	1	7	3
4	0	0	0	0	0	0

DJ Herman

MIA · RB · Rank 77 · Tier 6

3.8 PPR points · floor 2.3 · ceiling 5.3

Why

Last 2 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the RB average · Miami Dolphins expected to score 18.25 (ESPN line) · New England Patriots allow 20.6 RB fantasy points a game (6.5% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 2 observed weeks · RB
Week	Rush	Rush yds	Rush TD	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Red-zone touches
3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	0	0	0	3	1	18	0

Kaytron Allen

MIA · RB · Rank 86 · Tier 7

3.1 PPR points · floor 2.2 · ceiling 4

Why

Last 3 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the RB average · Miami Dolphins expected to score 18.25 (ESPN line) · New England Patriots allow 20.6 RB fantasy points a game (6.5% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 3 observed weeks · RB
Week	Rush	Rush yds	Red-zone touches
4	3	1	1
2	5	24	0
1	4	16	3

Jaylen Wright

MIA · RB · Rank 90 · Tier 7

2.3 PPR points · floor 1.9 · ceiling 2.7

Why

Last 4 observed weeks · RB
Week	Rush	Rush yds	Targets	Red-zone touches
7	6	8	1	2
5	6	11	0	0
4	5	7	0	0
2	2	11	0	2

De'Von Achane

MIA · RB · Rank 106 · Tier 8

0 PPR points · floor 0 · ceiling 0

Injured reserve

Why

Injured reserve · projection zero · Last 3 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the RB average · Miami Dolphins expected to score 18.25 (ESPN line) · New England Patriots allow 20.6 RB fantasy points a game (6.5% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 3 observed weeks · RB
Week	Rush	Rush yds	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Red-zone touches
3	3	17	1	0	0	0
2	20	74	6	3	19	4
1	11	36	5	4	30	3

Lan Larison

NE · RB · Rank 122 · Tier 8

0 PPR points · floor 0 · ceiling 0

Not on active roster

Why

Not on active roster · projection zero · Last 1 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the RB average · New England Patriots expected to score 25.25 (ESPN line) · Miami Dolphins allow 26.4 RB fantasy points a game (11.2% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 1 observed week · RB
Week	Rush	Rush yds	Rush TD	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Red-zone touches
1	0	0	0	2	2	9	0

Reggie Gilliam

NE · RB · Rank 126 · Tier 8

0 PPR points · floor 0 · ceiling 0

Injured reserve

Why

Injured reserve · projection zero · Last 1 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the RB average · New England Patriots expected to score 25.25 (ESPN line) · Miami Dolphins allow 26.4 RB fantasy points a game (11.2% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 1 observed week · RB
Week	Rush	Rush yds	Rush TD	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Red-zone touches
2	0	0	0	2	1	4	0

DeMario Douglas

NE · WR · Rank 28 · Tier 4

9.8 PPR points · floor 1.5 · ceiling 18.1

Why

Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the WR average · New England Patriots expected to score 25.25 (ESPN line) · Miami Dolphins allow 23.8 WR fantasy points a game (10.3% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 4 observed weeks · WR
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Air yds	Target share	Red-zone touches
7	4	3	23	0	23	13.3%	0
6	8	7	86	1	71	26.7%	1
5	5	4	65	2	77	16.1%	1
4	3	2	15	0	32	8.3%	0

Caleb Douglas

MIA · WR · Rank 41 · Tier 5

7.9 PPR points · floor 1 · ceiling 14.8

Why

Last 3 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the WR average · Miami Dolphins expected to score 18.25 (ESPN line) · New England Patriots allow 32.1 WR fantasy points a game (0.7% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 3 observed weeks · WR
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Air yds	Target share	Red-zone touches
7	3	2	70	2	23	14.3%	1
2	3	2	19	0	17	13%	1
1	7	5	94	0	97	25.9%	0

A.J. Brown

NE · WR · Rank 48 · Tier 5

7.6 PPR points · floor 6.3 · ceiling 8.9

Why

Last 3 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the WR average · New England Patriots expected to score 25.25 (ESPN line) · Miami Dolphins allow 23.8 WR fantasy points a game (10.3% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 3 observed weeks · WR
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Air yds	Target share	Red-zone touches
7	6	3	48	149	20%	0
6	10	3	27	99	33.3%	1
1	4	3	26	19	12.9%	0

Malik Washington

MIA · WR · Rank 55 · Tier 6

6.8 PPR points · floor 4.7 · ceiling 8.9

Why

Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the WR average · Miami Dolphins expected to score 18.25 (ESPN line) · New England Patriots allow 32.1 WR fantasy points a game (0.7% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 4 observed weeks · WR
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Air yds	Target share	Red-zone touches
7	3	3	27	14	14.3%	1
5	8	6	43	112	30.8%	1
4	5	5	67	37	29.4%	1
3	10	5	56	113	28.6%	1

Kyle Williams

NE · WR · Rank 71 · Tier 6

5.8 PPR points · floor 0 · ceiling 12.3

Why

Last 4 observed weeks · WR
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Air yds	Target share
7	1	0	0	0	6	3.3%
6	1	1	12	0	12	3.3%
5	3	3	91	1	78	9.7%
4	2	0	0	0	18	5.6%

Efton Chism III

NE · WR · Rank 79 · Tier 6

5.3 PPR points · floor 0 · ceiling 10.7

Why

Last 4 observed weeks · WR
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Air yds	Target share
7	1	1	16	0	3	3.3%
6	1	0	0	0	5	3.3%
5	6	5	57	0	64	19.4%
4	4	2	42	1	47	11.1%

Kevin Coleman Jr.

MIA · WR · Rank 106 · Tier 7

4 PPR points · floor 0 · ceiling 8.1

Why

Last 4 observed weeks · WR
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Air yds	Target share	Red-zone touches
7	1	0	0	0	10	4.8%	0
5	7	3	30	1	94	26.9%	1
4	4	1	3	0	43	23.5%	0
3	4	1	3	0	75	11.4%	0

Chris Bell

MIA · WR · Rank 108 · Tier 7

3.9 PPR points · floor 0.7 · ceiling 7.1

Why

Last 4 observed weeks · WR
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Air yds	Target share
7	4	3	25	18	19%
5	2	0	0	43	7.7%
4	3	0	0	70	17.6%
3	7	4	67	126	20%

Jalen Tolbert

MIA · WR · Rank 118 · Tier 7

3.6 PPR points · floor 1.8 · ceiling 5.4

Why

Last 2 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the WR average · Miami Dolphins expected to score 18.25 (ESPN line) · New England Patriots allow 32.1 WR fantasy points a game (0.7% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 2 observed weeks · WR
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Air yds	Target share	Red-zone touches
5	2	1	22	0	31	7.7%	0
4	1	0	0	0	-2	5.9%	0

Jared Wayne

MIA · WR · Rank 129 · Tier 7

3 PPR points · floor 1.2 · ceiling 4.8

Why

Last 4 observed weeks · WR
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Air yds	Target share	Red-zone touches
5	0	0	0	0	0%	0
3	4	1	20	69	16%	0
2	7	2	33	104	14%	0
1	1	1	12	12	2.7%	1

Mack Hollins

NE · WR · Rank 190 · Tier 9

0 PPR points · floor 0 · ceiling 0

Injured reserve

Why

Injured reserve · projection zero · Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the WR average · New England Patriots expected to score 25.25 (ESPN line) · Miami Dolphins allow 23.8 WR fantasy points a game (10.3% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 4 observed weeks · WR
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Air yds	Target share	Red-zone touches
4	4	3	53	103	11.1%	0
3	9	6	87	120	30%	1
2	2	2	18	12	9.5%	0
1	5	4	51	62	16.1%	0

Romeo Doubs

NE · WR · Rank 203 · Tier 9

0 PPR points · floor 0 · ceiling 0

Injured reserve

Why

Last 4 observed weeks · WR
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Air yds	Target share	Red-zone touches
6	1	1	42	1	42	3.3%	0
5	3	1	16	0	59	9.7%	0
4	9	6	58	2	120	25%	3
3	4	3	49	0	51	13.3%	0

Ryan Miller

NE · WR · Rank 204 · Tier 9

0 PPR points · floor 0 · ceiling 0

Not on active roster

Why

Not on active roster · projection zero · Last 3 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the WR average · New England Patriots expected to score 25.25 (ESPN line) · Miami Dolphins allow 23.8 WR fantasy points a game (10.3% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 3 observed weeks · WR
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Air yds	Target share
4	0	0	0	0	0	0%
3	3	2	15	0	2	8.6%
2	1	1	77	1	41	4.3%

Hunter Henry

NE · TE · Rank 3 · Tier 2

12.3 PPR points · floor 5.8 · ceiling 18.8

Why

Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the TE average · New England Patriots expected to score 25.25 (ESPN line) · Miami Dolphins allow 21.1 TE fantasy points a game (15% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 4 observed weeks · TE
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Air yds	Target share	Red-zone touches
7	7	7	71	0	37	23.3%	0
6	5	4	48	1	13	16.7%	1
5	4	3	44	1	18	12.9%	2
4	5	5	62	0	35	13.9%	0

Eli Raridon

NE · TE · Rank 10 · Tier 3

9.4 PPR points · floor 2.9 · ceiling 15.9

Why

Last 4 observed weeks · TE
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Air yds	Target share	Red-zone touches
7	4	3	56	1	40	13.3%	0
6	3	1	11	0	20	10%	0
5	5	5	57	0	32	16.1%	1
4	2	1	12	0	14	5.6%	0

Greg Dulcich

MIA · TE · Rank 32 · Tier 4

6.1 PPR points · floor 3 · ceiling 9.2

Why

Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the TE average · Miami Dolphins expected to score 18.25 (ESPN line) · New England Patriots allow 12.4 TE fantasy points a game (12.5% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 4 observed weeks · TE
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Air yds	Target share	Red-zone touches
7	5	5	86	35	23.8%	1
5	5	4	37	38	19.2%	0
3	7	5	55	57	20%	1
2	3	2	17	10	13%	0

Tanner Arkin

NE · TE · Rank 41 · Tier 5

5.3 PPR points

Why

Last 1 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the TE average · New England Patriots expected to score 25.25 (ESPN line) · Miami Dolphins allow 21.1 TE fantasy points a game (15% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 1 observed week · TE
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Air yds	Target share	Red-zone touches
5	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0

Cameron Latu

NE · TE · Rank 70 · Tier 6

3 PPR points · floor 3 · ceiling 3

Why

Last 4 observed weeks · TE
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Air yds	Target share	Red-zone touches
6	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0
5	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0
4	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0
3	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0

Will Kacmarek

MIA · TE · Rank 83 · Tier 6

2.2 PPR points · floor 1.4 · ceiling 3

Why

Last 4 observed weeks · TE
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Air yds	Target share
5	2	1	5	-1	7.7%
4	2	1	15	19	11.8%
3	0	0	0	0	0%
2	1	1	4	2	4.3%

Seydou Traore

MIA · TE · Rank 89 · Tier 7

1.6 PPR points · floor 1.6 · ceiling 1.6

Why

Last 2 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the TE average · Miami Dolphins expected to score 18.25 (ESPN line) · New England Patriots allow 12.4 TE fantasy points a game (12.5% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 2 observed weeks · TE
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Air yds	Target share	Red-zone touches
7	1	0	0	0	15	4.8%	0
5	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0

Andy Borregales

NE · K · Rank 18 · Tier 3

8 PPR points · floor 6 · ceiling 10

Why

Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the K average · New England Patriots expected to score 25.25 (ESPN line) · Miami Dolphins allow 8.3 K fantasy points a game (5.2% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 4 observed weeks · K
Week	FG made	FG att	XP made
7	1	1	3
6	2	2	2
5	1	1	6
4	0	0	3

Riley Patterson

MIA · K · Rank 34 · Tier 5

0 PPR points · floor 0 · ceiling 0

Not on active roster

Why

Not on active roster · projection zero · Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the K average · Miami Dolphins expected to score 18.25 (ESPN line) · New England Patriots allow 8.1 K fantasy points a game (8.6% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 4 observed weeks · K
Week	FG made	FG att	XP made
5	1	1	1
4	1	1	1
3	1	1	1
2	2	3	1

Zane Gonzalez

MIA · K · Rank 35 · Tier 5

0 PPR points · floor 0 · ceiling 0

Not on active roster

Why

Not on active roster · projection zero · Last 1 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the K average · Miami Dolphins expected to score 18.25 (ESPN line) · New England Patriots allow 8.1 K fantasy points a game (8.6% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 1 observed week · K
Week	FG made	FG att	XP made
7	0	0	4

NE defense / special teams

NE · DST · Rank 14 · Tier 3

6 PPR points · floor 0 · ceiling 14.8

Why

Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the DST average · Miami Dolphins allow 7.8 DST fantasy points a game (2.3% above average, adjusted for opponents faced) · Miami Dolphins expected to score 18.25 (ESPN line)

Last 4 observed weeks · DST
Week	Pts allowed	Sacks	Takeaways
7	30	3	0
6	19	3	1
5	17	3	1
4	26	1	2

MIA defense / special teams

MIA · DST · Rank 21 · Tier 4

3.7 PPR points · floor 0.6 · ceiling 6.8

Why

Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the DST average · New England Patriots allow 6.7 DST fantasy points a game (4.2% above average, adjusted for opponents faced) · New England Patriots expected to score 25.25 (ESPN line)

Last 4 observed weeks · DST
Week	Pts allowed	Sacks	Takeaways
7	25	2	1
5	31	0	1
4	15	4	0
3	24	0	1

Weekly data: nflverse contributors · CC BY 4.0. Weekly statistics normalized and transformed into projections.

Pick or pass

Model: home spread +5.4 · total 43.3.

pass · model-to-line gap +1.6 points. Line: DraftKings.

Model candidate; no claim of a proven betting edge.

Injury impact

New England Patriots

Availability-impact index: 6.5

Carlton Davis III (CB) · Questionable · Neck · Oct 30
Christian Elliss (LB) · Questionable · Chest · Oct 30
TreVeyon Henderson (RB) · Questionable · Illness · Oct 30
A.J. Brown (WR) · Questionable · Ankle · Oct 30
Alijah Vera-Tucker (G) · Injured Reserve · Hamstring · Oct 22

Miami Dolphins

Availability-impact index: 6

Reese Taylor (CB) · Questionable · Quadriceps · Oct 30
Kadyn Proctor (OT) · Out · Concussion · Oct 30
JuJu Brents (CB) · Questionable · Neck · Oct 30

The availability-impact index weights listed players by position and reported starter status when available. It is a relative report-weighting index, not a medical assessment or a point-spread adjustment. An empty report does not confirm availability.

Coaching Room

New England Patriots

Head coach: Mike Vrabel · 7 seasons as a head coach · Coach source

Sample: 6 games · season 2026.

Observed team tendencies · 2026
Metric	Value	League rank	Games
Fourth-down attempts per game	1.5	rank 14 of 32	6
Fourth-down conversion rate	66.7 %	rank 10 of 32	6
Red-zone trips per game	3	rank 19 of 32	6
Pass attempt share (pass attempts + rushes)	51.9 %	rank 24 of 32	6
Rush share (pass attempts + rushes)	48.1 %	rank 9 of 32	6
Time of possession per game	30.2 min	rank 14 of 32	6
Turnovers per game	1.8	rank 3 of 32	6

Statistics sources: Box score 1 · Box score 2 · Box score 3 · Box score 4 · Box score 5

Miami Dolphins

Head coach: Jeff Hafley · 0 seasons as a head coach · Coach source

Sample: 6 games · season 2026.

Observed team tendencies · 2026
Metric	Value	League rank	Games
Fourth-down attempts per game	1.7	rank 11 of 32	6
Fourth-down conversion rate	50 %	rank 18 of 32	6
Red-zone trips per game	2.7	rank 28 of 32	6
Pass attempt share (pass attempts + rushes)	46.9 %	rank 32 of 32	6
Rush share (pass attempts + rushes)	53.1 %	rank 1 of 32	6
Time of possession per game	28.9 min	rank 23 of 32	6
Turnovers per game	1.3	rank 15 of 32	6

Statistics sources: Box score 1 · Box score 2 · Box score 3 · Box score 4 · Box score 5

Game-day weather

Temperature 80 °F · Intermittent clouds

Observed Oct 31, 1:21 AM ET · Weather source

Method

Only observed fields are shown. Team box scores do not isolate red-zone touchdowns or offense-only points per drive; current injury reports and outdoor forecasts cover only supported leagues and venues. Projections start with three current-season games or a prior-season rating; early-season estimates are excluded from picks.

All scores and matchups · Sports Desk brief