Google Cloud Speech-to-Text API (Chirp) + Gemini 2.5 Flash Non-Thinking. Treat it as a searchable index of what was broadcast, not a quotation record.
00:00:00a patriotic
00:00:01car rally took place in the country.
00:00:11Belarus - on the world
00:00:13stage,
00:00:16hospitable and
00:00:17friendly.
00:00:22Initiative and
00:00:24creative.
00:00:28Business and industrial.
00:00:33Intellectual and
00:00:35technological,
00:00:39picturesque,
00:00:40monumental,
00:00:45sports and
00:00:46festival.
00:00:50We show Belarus daily,
00:00:5424/7, with open access worldwide.
00:00:57Russian
00:01:01Federation. CIS countries, Baltic states and
00:01:05Europe. Central Asia,
00:01:08Transcaucasia, Middle East. Countries of
00:01:11Latin America and the USA.
00:01:15Southeast Asia and Australia.
00:01:18Countries of the African continent.
00:01:22Satellite broadcasting.
00:01:25Cable networks,
00:01:27video services. Mobile applications,
00:01:31online streaming, instructions and setup parameters
00:01:35are available on the
00:01:37TV channel's website. Belarus
00:01:4024, bringing Belarus closer.
00:02:09By 2040, global energy will change
00:02:12as profoundly as during the post-war restructuring of the
00:02:15mid-20th century, warns leading research
00:02:19fellow of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Shamil Yanikeev, who points to the
00:02:22destruction of the unipolar energy order
00:02:25of 1991-2014. It began with the use
00:02:30of the dollar system for foreign policy pressure and
00:02:33technological competition, the Ukrainian conflict made these
00:02:37contradictions public, the crisis in the Strait of Hormuz and
00:02:40the escalation of confrontation between the US and Israel with Iran
00:02:44accelerated these processes. Based on reports and statements
00:02:47from IMF representatives, the final configuration of the world economy
00:02:51is moving towards a three-block structure. The block of the US
00:02:55and its allies, the block of China and its allies, and the third -
00:02:58a non-Western contour. Intermediary countries maintaining
00:03:02inter-block ties, energy ceases to be a
00:03:05neutral commodity, turning into a battlefield, a weapon
00:03:09and a prize. The first process of global energy
00:03:12restructuring is the transition to a low-carbon economy,
00:03:16proceeding unevenly, accompanied by
00:03:18setbacks, a slowdown in moving away from coal, and a renaissance of nuclear
00:03:22generation. The situation with nuclear energy, unfortunately,
00:03:26is sad: in 1990, a third of energy...
00:03:41And looking back, we can say that it was a mistake: we gave up a reliable and affordable energy source
00:03:44that also guarantees low emissions. It's time to change
00:03:48the situation. The full tragedy was revealed in the summer
00:03:50of 2026. The anomalous drying up of Europe's main waterways
00:03:54paralyzed the delivery of coal to German power plants in the required volumes, due to a lack
00:03:57of precipitation. The water level in reservoirs dropped, power generation at hydroelectric power plants
00:04:00in the Alpine region and Scandinavia, which feed the
00:04:04pan-European network, decreased to critical
00:04:06minimums. Paradoxically, extreme heat reduced
00:04:10the efficiency of solar panels. At temperatures above
00:04:1325°, their efficiency drops by
00:04:165% for every degree. The situation
00:04:19was exacerbated by periods of dark calm, when solar and
00:04:22wind generation simultaneously dropped to almost
00:04:25zero. Yes, nuclear power plants also have to
00:04:29reduce power or even shut down during
00:04:32extreme heat, this was observed in Europe in France, Switzerland,
00:04:36Romania and Hungary, however, if we compare
00:04:39the scale, the consequences of the weather for nuclear power plants
00:04:43are incomparably smaller, their reliability for the power system is
00:04:46many times higher than that of thermal power plants,
00:04:49hydroelectric power plants or renewable energy
00:04:52sources. 30 heads of state, including
00:04:55the United States, China, Japan, France, Great Britain, who
00:04:59pledged to triple nuclear capacity by
00:05:012050, this was an important statement and promise
00:05:05from heads of state, plus many statements, especially in
00:05:08Europe, that countries are announcing new nuclear
00:05:11programs or changing their minds. We think, for example, of
00:05:15Belgium. It changed its law. They had a law on phasing out
00:05:18nuclear energy and now the Belgian government is investing
00:05:22funds to buy out all nuclear power plants from
00:05:25ENGIE. We also see signs in Italy, where there was a referendum
00:05:29against nuclear energy, and now the government is announcing a
00:05:33new law to return to nuclear energy.
00:05:36So, the second process is the securitization of energy
00:05:40flows. Due to wars and trade conflicts. Supplies of raw materials become
00:05:43an instrument of strategic coercion, and the price factor
00:05:47fades into the background. We see this happening
00:05:50differently. Europe, trying to pressure Russia by refusing its
00:05:54energy resources, harms itself, buying them
00:05:57more expensively, despite all the disadvantages, it buys,
00:06:00because such is the agenda. Price is no longer the main factor
00:06:04in decision-making. The third process of global order
00:06:07transformation is the fragmentation of the international monetary and financial
00:06:11architecture, as a result of which settlements for energy carriers
00:06:14for the first time in half a century go beyond the dollar
00:06:18contour. China consistently uses its status as the largest
00:06:21importer of hydrocarbons for the internationalization of its
00:06:25currency in energy deals. According to official
00:06:28reports from the People's Bank of China, the share of the yuan in trade
00:06:31financing has more than doubled. I think that
00:06:35the dominance of the dollar actually began to gradually decline back
00:06:39in 2015, when China realized that it
00:06:43could not peg its currency to the dollar as rigidly as before, they
00:06:46had problems with attacks on exchange rates then they had to spend
00:06:50a trillion dollars from their reserves. The Asian bloc
00:06:53accounts for half of the entire dollar bloc, so as China
00:06:57separates, the entire Asian region will follow,
00:07:01and China is actively working in this direction. Returning to
00:07:04the issue of sanctions against Russia, they understand that
00:07:07if it hasn't come yet, it will soon come to their
00:07:10stage. India, seeking to protect its economy
00:07:14from price volatility and sanctions pressure,
00:07:17has set precedents for settlements in alternative currencies,
00:07:20an oil pact with the UAE, supplies from Russia, to all
00:07:24this, the expansion of BRICS accelerated the creation of independent
00:07:27cross-border payment gateways and platforms for settlements
00:07:31in national currencies. The fourth process is the so-called
00:07:34last wave of decolonization, countries of
00:07:37the global South are going on the offensive, demanding
00:07:40reparations, revision of rights to... resources and redistribution
00:07:44of climate finance, the Caribbean Community's plan for compensation
00:07:48payments, the nationalization of lithium deposits in Chile and
00:07:51Bolivia, as well as attempts by African and Latin American countries
00:07:55to coordinate prices and quotas for the extraction of cobalt, copper and
00:07:58lithium form a single trend, former peripheries
00:08:01strive to dictate terms to the developed economies
00:08:05of the West themselves. The last wave of decolonization acts as
00:08:09a powerful brake on the global energy transition, but... temporarily
00:08:12is the main accelerator of world restructuring, it deprives
00:08:16Western economies of a cheap resource base, making
00:08:19energy security a matter of harsh
00:08:22political bargaining, forcing the world to seek
00:08:26a new balance of power. At the same time, sea straits have once again
00:08:29become an instrument of strategic coercion. Through
00:08:32Hormuz passes 20% of the world's oil
00:08:36traffic, through Malacca up to 80% of China's
00:08:39oil imports. Control over these narrow
00:08:43passages allows for managing the political loyalty of importers, imposing
00:08:46restrictions comparable to a physical blockade.
00:08:50The escalation of the US-Iranian confrontation and the de facto
00:08:53closure of the Strait of Hormuz surpassed the oil shocks
00:08:56of the seventies of the last century in terms of the scale of supply
00:09:00disruptions. The response to the southern vulnerability was
00:09:03a reorientation to the northern sea route as a hedging
00:09:06tool. For China, it solves the Malacca dilemma, and for
00:09:10Japan and South Korea, it gives access to.
00:09:22China is betting on this route, hoping to build international
00:09:26trade with access to Europe and Russia, thereby reducing
00:09:29the importance of traditional routes through the Middle East and the Panama
00:09:32Canal. Here's what's really important: the Suez
00:09:36Canal and the Strait of Hormuz will not disappear, but they will lose some of their
00:09:39importance, as will the Panama Canal. For both Russia
00:09:43and China, the Northern Sea Route has turned the Arctic into an arena
00:09:46of competition, where icebreaker technologies and
00:09:49ports, not just the navy, are decisive. Joint
00:09:52projects for gas extraction and liquefaction in the Arctic
00:09:55zone, the construction of a complex for processing
00:09:59ethane-containing gas in the Baltics, the development
00:10:02of the Zashuland coal deposit in the Zabaykalsky
00:10:05Krai, are also developing. Russia also remains one of
00:10:08the leading coal suppliers to the Chinese market.
00:10:12interested in stable, economically sound supplies and
00:10:16the development of transport infrastructure,
00:10:19ready for cooperation in the electric power industry in terms of
00:10:22mutual supplies, cross-border.
00:10:55the reality of consumers, that is, based on the example of Hormuz and
00:10:58the Arctic, major players decide which of the small ones can
00:11:02pass, and for whom the path is closed, and woe to him who
00:11:05is not friends with the master of the mountain. The true reason lies in the
00:11:09long-term strategic understanding of what is now
00:11:12little talked about: global oil demand, after decades
00:11:15of continuous growth, will likely reach its peak and plateau,
00:11:19and at least, will no longer grow as fast as
00:11:23before, and if that's the case, world oil production
00:11:26will indeed peak due to maximum demand, then such
00:11:30a cartel as OPEC will be in huge trouble, because
00:11:33the only way to keep export volumes constant in a
00:11:37shrinking market is by definition to increase
00:11:40its share, increasing market share requires competition
00:11:44with neighbors, and the best positions for fighting for market share in
00:11:48the global oil market are held precisely by producers in the Persian
00:11:52Gulf, because they have the lowest production costs,
00:11:55and this is precisely the moment when you don't want to bind yourself
00:11:59with the restrictions of such an organization as OPEC. In
00:12:02my opinion, the current decision of the UAE only anticipated
00:12:06what would have happened anyway, perhaps in 5 or
00:12:1010 years. Traditional international energy institutions
00:12:13are losing their ability to regulate the global market. Western structures,
00:12:17such as the International Energy Agency, are losing
00:12:20legitimacy due to ignoring the interests of growing economies, such as
00:12:24China and. classic oil cartels are collapsing
00:12:28due to internal division. Producers in the Persian Gulf with
00:12:31low production costs no longer want to limit
00:12:34production to support countries with high
00:12:37costs. The demonstrative withdrawal of the UAE from
00:12:40OPEC Plus for the sake of increasing its own
00:12:43oil sales, undermines the very mechanism of collective price
00:12:46management, creating risks of price wars and reduced
00:12:50revenues for traditional exporters. The merger
00:12:53of artificial intelligence and... energy accelerates the transition from the petrodollar
00:12:57era to the electrodollar, in which the main
00:13:00measure of a state's economic and political power
00:13:03becomes accessible electricity. The growth
00:13:06in energy consumption of digital infrastructure outpaces
00:13:09global rates and forces technological
00:13:12companies to seek guaranteed sources of continuous
00:13:15power, since renewable energy does not
00:13:19provide a stable base load, and gas resources
00:13:22are limited by export competition, the key
00:13:25solution becomes nuclear generation. At
00:13:28the moment, the consensus is that next year there will be a
00:13:32significant electricity deficit, that is, this is
00:13:35a question of the near future. If I'm not mistaken, the average estimate
00:13:39of analysts closely following the AI field is that in
00:13:422027, the power deficit for AI chips
00:13:46will be at least 15 GW. This is probably a quite
00:13:49obvious scenario, because the production rates of AI chips are growing
00:13:53incredibly fast, by about 40-50% per
00:13:57year. The return of atom transforms nuclear technologies into
00:14:00the main instrument of long-term geopolitical influence.
00:14:04The largest importers are developing internal nuclear generation
00:14:08to protect against possible blockades. A clear example is China,
00:14:11striving to reduce dependence on sea imports. Beijing approved
00:14:15the large-scale construction of dozens of new reactors,
00:14:18planning to double the share of nuclear generation in its
00:14:21energy balance to 10% by
00:14:252035. In turn, exporting countries
00:14:28through reactor supplies, specific fuel and
00:14:31long-term operation tie importers to themselves
00:14:35for decades to come, creating technological and
00:14:39political dependence. The undisputed
00:14:41leader of this nuclear diplomacy is the Russian state corporation
00:14:45Rosatom, whose portfolio of foreign orders exceeded
00:14:48200 billion dollars. Today, the company is building
00:14:52more than two dozen power units in nine countries
00:14:55around the world, including strategic facilities such as the
00:14:59Akkuyu NPP in Turkey, the El Dabaa NPP in Egypt and
00:15:02the Rooppur NPP in Bangladesh, which guarantees
00:15:05technological presence and influence on the economies of these
00:15:09states for 60-80 years
00:15:11ahead, but the new global energy order
00:15:14will not be predetermined by technologies, they
00:15:17are appearing before our eyes, it is unlikely that within the period
00:15:21under consideration they will be able to make a breakthrough or a leap that will change
00:15:25everything, the main question will be the quality of political
00:15:28decisions, how far in the desire to conquer or
00:15:32lead the new, brave world, the powerful of this world
00:15:36will be ready to go.
00:20:54In Spanish Ceuta, 42 makeshift migrant
00:20:58dwellings burned down, the European Commission.