Google Cloud Speech-to-Text API (Chirp) + Gemini 2.5 Flash Non-Thinking. Treat it as a searchable index of what was broadcast, not a quotation record.
00:00:38A winter military campaign. This will probably be the harshest
00:00:41winter ever for these, I don't know, 30 million
00:00:45Ukrainians who are still on the territory of
00:00:48Ukraine. Senseless and ruthless.
00:00:51Stop shaking the country for 6 months, every
00:00:556 years, hairdressers, models,
00:00:57loggers are running for elections.
00:01:01lies, because he loves. The master
00:01:03says something to the serfs, the serfs have
00:01:07no way to hold him accountable for his
00:01:11words. Program of the Time. This week's results with Mumin Shakirov. We are starting.
00:02:30there is hope in God, accordingly, it gives them strength to move
00:02:33forward, with each step further and further, to bring
00:02:36victory closer. On the front in recent months, there has been a difficult positional
00:02:40war, local battles, where the advance of both armies
00:02:44was measured by reports of capturing one or two little-known villages.
00:02:47But in recent weeks, the situation around Lyman in
00:02:51Donbas has changed significantly. The Armed Forces are conducting counterattacks
00:02:55north of the city. Russian units were forced
00:02:58to withdraw from separate areas.
00:03:17Therefore, one of the first tasks of the Third Army Corps was its
00:03:20destruction. In open sources, there is now a lot of
00:03:24information that the ultimate goal of the operation is to reach the bank of
00:03:27the Black Stallion River. But our operation
00:03:30is called Vivaldi, and in Vivaldi, as you know, there are four seasons,
00:03:33and this is only the first of them, so follow our official
00:03:37announcements, and don't rush with spoilers, good news
00:03:41will come, but now our actions need
00:03:43silence, sounds
00:03:46promising, can we believe the Brigadier General of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
00:03:50against the background of the fierce information war from
00:03:53both sides? Biletsky himself did not say
00:03:55how far Ukrainian troops advanced. He described
00:03:59all this quite carefully, but if
00:04:02we take other unofficial descriptions from the Ukrainian
00:04:05side, these claims are not yet fully confirmed, that is, there is
00:04:09an advance, an advance by the Armed Forces of Ukraine, there is an obvious
00:04:12crisis of Russian defense in the area of the city of
00:04:15Lyman, and this is a quarter of the front,
00:04:19a quarter of the arc, along which Russian troops are trying to advance on
00:04:22the Kramatorsk and Sloviansk agglomeration, in fact,
00:04:25this is the main goal of the entire Russian war plan at this
00:04:28stage, a quarter, a quarter of this
00:04:31front, not the most important, since it is separated from Sloviansk
00:04:35by the Siversky Donets River, which is quite difficult to force,
00:04:38but nevertheless, this part of the front of the Russian
00:04:42army, one can say, failed, at least
00:04:45the Russian army will not be able to launch an offensive in the near future there,
00:04:48Russian troops left more than 200 km in
00:04:52one of the key directions in Donetsk region, the bridgehead north of
00:04:56Lyman was lost, it was from there that the Russian forces...
00:05:12the four-month study of the war
00:05:14counteroffensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine negated Russia's territorial gains since
00:05:18March, thwarting plans to encircle Sloviansk and
00:05:22Kramatorsk. Even Z-channels recognize the worsening
00:05:26situation, explaining it by systemic lies in reports to the top.
00:05:29A striking example is Sviatohirsk. Putin
00:05:32reported its capture. In the last month, 14
00:05:36settlements came under the control of Russian troops, including the liberation of
00:05:39Kozacha. Yesterday the city of
00:05:43Sviatohirsk. Front-line reports increasingly
00:05:46diverge from what is seen on the ground. On staff maps
00:05:49- one thing, satellite images and videos from the front -
00:05:53another. The Russian army is trying to maintain
00:05:56the initiative, but the bet seems to be no longer on a quick breakthrough,
00:06:00but on a war of attrition, again on
00:06:03frosts. Last winter, Russian strikes
00:06:06systematically hit Ukrainian energy and
00:06:09heat supply. People were left without electricity, hundreds
00:06:12of thousands without heating and hot water. On the coldest
00:06:16days, the temperature dropped below -20. Now
00:06:20Russia is approaching a new winter campaign with new
00:06:24weapons. Meduza military observer Dmitry Kuznets notes:
00:06:27Russian engineers have equipped new versions of
00:06:30Geraniums with turbojet
00:06:34engines. We are talking about Geranium-4 and Geranium
00:06:385. Russia was able to quickly not only
00:06:41develop, but also begin mass production of jet
00:06:45drones, which are armed with a turbojet engine of
00:06:48Chinese production,
00:06:50a small one, their speed is two or three times greater
00:06:54than that of piston drones, which allows them to almost completely
00:06:58avoid being hit by interceptor drones, which
00:07:00have an electric engine and a speed comparable to
00:07:04the speed of Geranium 2, that is, much less than that of
00:07:07Russian jet drones, so naturally, all
00:07:11this... is not given to the Russian
00:07:14army for free, but there are compromises, well, firstly, the
00:07:18range and the weight of the payload that these
00:07:22drones carry is less than that of Geranium 2, but the most important thing, of course, is the
00:07:25price. And you can see, since the engines
00:07:29for Geranium 2 and for - these new
00:07:32jet Geraniums 4 and 5, uh, they are
00:07:35quite civilian and Chinese-made, you can look at
00:07:39Chinese marketplaces for the price history of these
00:07:43engines, jet engines cost approximately 10 times more, an order of magnitude more
00:07:47than piston engines, accordingly, the same
00:07:50result that the Russian army achieved a year ago, now
00:07:53costs significantly more, I won't pretend to say exactly how much, of course,
00:07:57the engine is not the only component, but
00:08:00possibly even the most expensive, so it all becomes more expensive, we see this
00:08:04from the state of the Russian budget, from military spending that Russia
00:08:07was going to cut this year, instead
00:08:10they grew quite sharply, reaching 10. 10%
00:08:13of GDP, but Ukraine also has something to answer with, after
00:08:16drone attacks, Russian companies literally have to
00:08:20close themselves off from the sky. Wildberries decided to spend,
00:08:23almost half a million square meters of galvanized mesh for
00:08:27eight regions, this is an area of about 67
00:08:30football fields. According to the calculations of The Bell publication, the costs
00:08:33will range from 74 to 227 million
00:08:37rubles. And it seems this is just the beginning, if the warehouses
00:08:41of the marketplace can be covered with a net, then with
00:08:43oil refineries everything is much more complicated, here
00:08:47it is necessary to protect tanks, installations,
00:08:50pipelines, that is, objects where a drone
00:08:53hit can turn into a fire and a production
00:08:56shutdown. Russian refineries are already using
00:08:59metal frames, nets, protective mats and other
00:09:03structures, but how effective such a web is truly
00:09:06capable of stopping a drone, the most
00:09:09effective method of passive defense, that is, active defense. All kinds
00:09:13of air defense systems, and there is passive defense, that is,
00:09:16physical, physical shelter, into which this
00:09:19equipment is tried to be hidden, drones
00:09:23indeed have a big drawback, they have a small warhead,
00:09:27low speed, so due to kinetic energy they also cannot penetrate
00:09:30all kinds of obstacles unlike missiles, and these
00:09:33nets, especially grids, are quite effective
00:09:37against these drones, at least they can make these attacks more expensive in
00:09:41order to hit -
00:10:14a wave of strikes on energy, and Kyiv's main deficit today is not launchers or radars, but
00:10:18interceptor missiles, especially for Patriot,
00:10:21this is one of the few systems capable of dealing with...
00:10:55Russia can launch missiles and drones in waves, Ukraine is forced
00:10:59to respond with expensive interceptors, so the main
00:11:02question this winter is whether Ukraine will have enough missiles to
00:11:05withstand the Russian air campaign, and whether Europe
00:11:09can replenish supplies faster than Moscow depletes them. We discussed
00:11:12this with military analyst
00:11:16Julian Röpcke from BILD systems. Julian,
00:11:18hello.
00:12:29Yes, absolutely. Recently, we witnessed how classic
00:12:32interceptor drones, mainly P-1 San and
00:12:36Stink from two Ukrainian companies, provided about
00:12:3990% of intercepts over Ukraine. They are no longer
00:12:43effective, they no longer work, because the maximum
00:12:46flight altitude of the Geran V missile, which you
00:12:49mentioned, as well as Bandera's, is about
00:12:526 km, and 6 km... is approximately
00:12:562 km more than interceptor missiles can
00:12:58overcome. For this reason, Ukraine
00:13:02now has a big problem. President Zelensky just
00:13:05announced that funds have been allocated for the production of new
00:13:09jet interceptor drones, but the work is not yet
00:13:12completed. And, as I recently saw, Ukraine now
00:13:16has to wait until the very last minute until the drone descends,
00:13:20say, to an altitude of 2-3 km, and
00:13:23then use it.
00:14:25Of course, there are also different levels of countermeasures. We have
00:14:28mobile groups with Browning machine guns and other
00:14:31machine guns. An intercept group, portable anti-aircraft
00:14:34missile systems, and also several remaining
00:14:37interceptors, mainly German IRIS-T. All
00:14:41these echelons work together, but now their
00:14:44effectiveness, as I said, has decreased from
00:14:4690% to significantly below
00:14:4950%.
00:14:56will we see strikes with long-range weapons, the same Flamingo missiles,
00:14:59on military targets deep in Russia, right up to
00:15:03Moscow, in the near future?
00:15:04Москвы.
00:15:08It's important to note that Flamingo is not a missile, it's a cruise missile,
00:15:11so it's very large, very slow, and we've already seen that
00:15:15it can be intercepted, and some missiles don't even reach
00:15:18their target. That is, if the Ukrainians launch two such
00:15:21missiles, one hits the factory, and the other only 500
00:15:25meters from it, so it's not an optimal solution. It should also
00:15:29be remembered that we are at a very early stage of Flamingo's
00:15:32development, this is FP-5, but now,
00:15:35as far as I understand, Ukraine is developing.
00:15:47As far as I've heard, I just learned about this at a weapons exhibition in
00:15:50Denmark, where the company Firepoint was present, they
00:15:53believe that it will only be a couple of months until these
00:15:56missiles are deployed, that is, 3 to 6 months, when they will be deployed, they will certainly
00:16:00be used, and it will be much more difficult for Russia to
00:16:04intercept them, because ... will be deployed not far from Moscow and other major cities, but
00:16:25there are many other military targets, for example,
00:16:29Millerovo airbase and many other airbases that
00:16:32will then be within reach of Ukrainian.
00:16:36украинских.
00:17:07500 km per month, meaning every 2
00:17:10months Russia captured the territory of Berlin in
00:17:14Ukraine, now this figure has dropped to less than
00:17:1830%. So, now we see that Russia
00:17:22sometimes captures 200 km per month, sometimes only
00:17:2590. And I think that this month we will see zero
00:17:29square kilometers captured, which means that
00:17:33Russia is advancing in some areas, but Ukraine, as you
00:17:36said, about Operation Vivaldi, is advancing in
00:17:39others. This means that now it's a zero-sum
00:17:43game. And this really shows
00:17:46the dilemma Putin is in. He has air
00:17:49superiority to terrorize the Ukrainian population, but he
00:17:53does not have the military power, human resources, or
00:17:56weapons to advance on the front line. So I'm
00:17:59still quite optimistic about the current
00:18:03situation. If Russia mobilizes another, say,
00:18:07600.
00:20:07there will be no electricity or heating in all of Kherson,
00:20:11not only in the city, but also in the entire region, which means that they
00:20:14are strongly urging more than 60,000 people to
00:20:18evacuate and move to central Ukraine, but,
00:20:22as far as I know, Mr. Zelensky also said that
00:20:25next winter in Ukraine will be very cold. Russia
00:20:29now has a big advantage, it's not a military
00:20:32advantage, but an advantage against the civilian population
00:20:35of Ukraine. they will cut off most of
00:20:39the railway communication in Ukraine next winter, they
00:20:42will cut off most of the energy and heat supply next
00:20:46winter, because they have been doing this for the whole year, probably this...
00:20:59And we'll see if Ukraine can handle it. In the past,
00:21:02they were very strong. People did not threaten the government or put
00:21:06pressure on it to end the war. And this
00:21:10is Russia's goal, but there is a slow shift, more and
00:21:13more people are positive about negotiations on Russia's terms,
00:21:17of course. And I'm afraid that this dynamic will continue.
00:21:50Nothing essentially changed. I mean,
00:21:53Mr. Kushner stated very clearly in an interview: everything is
00:21:56ready, the deal is ready. Ukraine just needs to
00:21:59surrender. That is, they need to withdraw troops, they
00:22:03need to withdraw troops from the territory of more than 5.2
00:22:06kilometers of Donbas. And everyone in Moscow, at least,
00:22:10knows, although I think the Trump administration apparently doesn't know, that
00:22:13this will be the end for Ukraine. If the Ukrainian army leaves the
00:22:17territory it has been defending for 12 years.
00:22:50build its so-called buffer zone, that is, a zone of
00:22:53control 30 km deep into Ukraine,
00:22:56which stretches from Kharkiv through Sumy to Chernihiv and
00:23:00the Belarusian border. At the same time, we see that Zaporizhzhia
00:23:03is under strong military pressure. We see how
00:23:06Russia is attacking civilians around the clock in the city of
00:23:10Zaporizhzhia itself, where 600,000 people live. I
00:23:13mean, who is so naive as to believe Moscow that it only needs
00:23:17Donbas, then there will be peace. No, everyone knows that
00:23:21if they capture the rest of Donetsk and Luhansk
00:23:24regions, they will use these new positions to launch
00:23:28new attacks to then capture even more Ukrainian
00:23:31territory.
00:23:38My guest was German military
00:23:41analyst Julian
00:23:42Röpcke.
00:23:47Trade unions, autumn elections. Spring elections, what's
00:23:51the difference, these elections are not needed at all, who will choose whom, how do you know what kind
00:23:53of people they are, we choose blindly, do we know who we are choosing,
00:23:57we need a black, yellow and white flag of the Russian Empire, we need a different
00:24:01name for the state, a different name for your position, supreme
00:24:04ruler, if you don't want emperor, let's have supreme
00:24:08ruler, although Emperor Vladimir I
00:24:11would sound good, this is
00:24:14Vladimir Zhirinovsky, August 2014,
00:24:17after the annexation of
00:24:20Crimea, he proposed banning political parties and switching to
00:24:24an elected monarchy, according to his idea, several
00:24:27thousand best people should choose the head of state.
00:24:30Stop shaking the country for 6 months, every
00:24:346 years, hairdressers, models,
00:24:37loggers, are going to the elections, we have
00:24:40a constitutional body, the State Council, this is the State
00:24:44Council, gather the best people of the country there, the best scientists,
00:24:48deputies, ministers, governors. Let them decide who
00:24:52will be the head of state, this can
00:24:54be done in 15 minutes, 20 minutes, an hour, two hours, but
00:24:58in one day. Zhirinovsky is no longer here, but the voting
00:25:02remains. On September 20, Russia will get a new composition of the
00:25:05State Duma. These are the first parliamentary elections after the start
00:25:09of the full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Systemic parties
00:25:12are participating in the election campaign, the real anti-war
00:25:16opposition is not allowed to participate in the elections. One can call this
00:25:19elections. One can call it an electoral procedure or a special operation of
00:25:23the Kremlin with a very predictable result, at
00:25:26least, artificial intelligence has already counted the votes and
00:25:29knows who won. Alice, how did
00:25:33the elections go in September 2026?
00:25:35United Russia received
00:25:39a constitutional majority in the State Duma, 324
00:25:42seats. In the regions, the incumbent governors won, for example,
00:25:46Kondratyev in Krasnodar Krai, Minnikhanov in Tatarstan.
00:25:50Alice, when are the elections in 2026?
00:25:53года?
00:25:56The State Duma elections will be held from September 18 to 20,
00:25:59unified voting day on the 20th.
00:26:25But a simple question arises: why does the Kremlin even need this ritual, especially since the electoral procedure is not cheap, about 27 billion rubles or 33 million US dollars have been allocated from the treasury for the preparation and conduct of elections for deputies of the ninth convocation of the State Duma.
00:26:29You could ask, if everything is already predictable, why spend
00:26:33such money? Why not direct it to the war? But
00:26:37the Kremlin is not abandoning elections. Moreover, Vladimir
00:26:40Putin delivered a video address 2 days before
00:26:43the start of voting in the State Duma elections. He linked them to
00:26:46the support of Russian military personnel participating in
00:26:49the war against Ukraine. I am sure that our
00:26:53soldiers, officers will also take
00:26:56the most active part in the voting.
00:27:00и наши солдаты, офицеры.
00:27:33this is also a responsibility, a contribution to strengthening the country.
00:27:37Why did Putin decide to include the topic of a war unpopular among the population
00:27:40in his address to voters. There is at
00:27:43least one version: the special military operation gave rise to a new
00:27:47political category: combat
00:27:50veterans. As early as February 2024, Putin
00:27:53declared them the true elite
00:27:56and said it was time for them to move into power, into
00:27:59public administration, business and state companies. At the same time,
00:28:03the "Time of Heroes" program was launched.
00:28:07Now these heroes, some of whom are awaiting trial in
00:28:10The Hague, are gradually moving from the front to
00:28:13Okhotny Ryad. Yesterday they were fighting, today they are in the team
00:28:17of the party in power, tomorrow the parliamentary tribune. Alexey
00:28:20Alexandrov tells about a war participant and
00:28:23a candidate on the federal list of United Russia. He is only
00:28:2729, and he has already managed, it turns out, at 24,
00:28:31to participate in the occupation.
00:28:51use of chemical weapons in Ukraine. But let's return to
00:28:55Golovin. It is known that he lost a leg in the battles for
00:28:59Mariupol. Already in October of that year, he was awarded the title of Hero of Russia. The fact is
00:29:02that Golovin became one of the most favorite heroes of Russian propaganda
00:29:06among military personnel. He was remembered, among other things, thanks to a red backpack
00:29:10that stood out from the military camouflage. In an interview, Golovin
00:29:13later said that his fellow soldiers simply
00:29:17stole this backpack from one of the destroyed Ukrainian houses in the fighting.
00:29:21Why was the backpack red? Guys, well, my fighters,
00:29:24comrades in arms, found it,
00:29:27well, somewhere in one of the residential premises and
00:29:29accordingly, handed it to me, Vladislav. The press
00:29:33calls Golovin Putin's favorite, We wish you health, Comrade Supreme
00:29:37Commander, they met several times,
00:29:40thank you, Golovin is literally the new Russian
00:29:44military-political elite, these are people who acquired their
00:29:47status solely thanks to the war against
00:29:50Ukraine. The United Russia party nominates
00:29:5376 participants in the invasion of
00:29:56Ukraine to the State Duma. War participants appear on the lists of
00:30:00other factions, for example, the LDPR. In 2026,
00:30:03it announced a mass nomination of candidates with
00:30:06special military operation status. The authorities need elections, but do
00:30:10the voters themselves need them? This is a report by a correspondent from Radio
00:30:14Liberty.
00:30:20Every 5 years in Russia there are parliamentary elections and
00:30:23the results are always the same. This is already a custom.
00:30:27A tradition, I would say,
00:30:29a ritual. It seems that Russians
00:30:33are already tired of this movie. In 2026, half of those surveyed by VCIOM
00:30:37don't even know when they will go to the polls. At the same time, the outcome of these
00:30:40elections is already known to almost everyone. 75%
00:30:44in the same VCIOM poll expect United Russia to
00:30:47win, although the sentiment in banned social networks
00:30:51towards current and future leaders
00:30:53is unequivocal. Look what they
00:30:56are doing, my hands are itching to...