Google Cloud Speech-to-Text API (Chirp) + Gemini 2.5 Flash Non-Thinking. Treat it as a searchable index of what was broadcast, not a quotation record.
00:00:01want it to end with Russia's victory, but one way or another, as
00:00:05quickly as possible, no, so, as soon as
00:00:08this meager population sees this opportunity, it will immediately go to this
00:00:11point, as it was with Yabloko, whose rating began to grow rapidly,
00:00:15even among those who had never even heard of the name of this
00:00:18young people, party among
00:00:21accordingly, this is what we need to fight for, for this anti-war message
00:00:25to survive somehow,
00:00:28probably create.
00:01:00gives for themselves big political repressive risks, which is also
00:01:03very important, why did Yabloko's support grow so sharply? Because people
00:01:07believed that they would not be punished for it, this was not true,
00:01:10in fact, it should have been honestly said, I think they will be punished
00:01:14gradually, after the elections conclusions will be drawn, the one who
00:01:18stuck out, I would like to talk about the topic of what
00:01:21will happen after the elections, in your opinion, September 20th is coming, the CEC
00:01:25announces preliminary, still preliminary results
00:01:28of the voting, well, it's clear.
00:02:00control KGB the degree
00:02:02of omnipotence of repressive bodies in Russia will sharply
00:02:05increase, with all the ensuing consequences,
00:02:08as we observe the process
00:02:12of Chechenization of Russia, that is, we expect repressions first of all, we expect
00:02:16first of all an intensification of repressions, inevitable, you
00:02:19are absolutely right, we expect a struggle for the interpretation of the results.
00:02:23Putin has already said how we should interpret these results,
00:02:26having arrived at the congress of United Russia, pre-election.
00:02:31this is mobilization victory military
00:02:33mobilization question, I believe that
00:02:37they do not yet have a decision on military
00:02:39mobilization. And what do you expect after September 20th, in
00:02:43what country will Russians wake up? Well, you
00:02:45know, it seems to me that
00:02:49September 20th in this sense
00:02:53is a very conditional threshold, because
00:02:55before it the government, by the way,
00:02:58means that...
00:05:01to see how the party that managed to pass
00:05:04registration and get a number on the
00:05:06ballot disappeared from it.
00:05:11What happened? In April of this year, the leader of the Irkutsk branch
00:05:15of the Yabloko party, Grigory
00:05:18Gribenko, was detained. His home was searched in a case involving the storage
00:05:21of narcotic substances. As a result, Gribenko spent almost a month
00:05:25in custody under various pretexts. The party
00:05:28stated that the politician was pressured due to an attempt to hold a rally
00:05:32for free internet in Irkutsk, and to prevent
00:05:35him from participating in the elections. Two deputy chairmen of the party
00:05:39have already received many years in prison. Maxim.
00:06:00in cases of repeated discrediting and fakes about the army. Shlosberg is one of the most
00:06:03recognizable members of the party. I can judge more by
00:06:06the Pskov region, where we
00:06:09crossed paths with him and I don't know.
00:06:32Yabloko Chairman Nikolai Robakov lost the opportunity to participate in
00:06:36elections to the State Duma due to a fine, the court considered
00:06:39the demonstration of extremist symbols, his post on Vkontakte.
00:06:42with a portrait of opposition leader Alexei Navalny. The presidential administration
00:06:46last year directly stated that they were dissatisfied
00:06:49with the Yabloko party. Recently, Yabloko has become very
00:06:53radicalized, because of this, a number of Yabloko leaders
00:06:56were included in the lists of foreign agents.
00:07:00The Yabloko party has existed since 1993.
00:07:03In recent years, it has been operating under the slogan "For
00:07:07Peace". In the last elections to the State Duma, according to the Central
00:07:10Election Commission, the party gained.
00:07:42winding up new people, but few people know new people and few people understand
00:07:46who they are, but the Yabloko party, everyone
00:07:50has known since the early nineties. According to Yabloko itself,
00:07:5312 party members became defendants in criminal
00:07:56cases, eight of them are in prison, 11
00:08:00activists served administrative arrests, members
00:08:03of the party had 44 searches
00:08:06in their party offices. 12 members of Yabloko were included in the register
00:08:10of foreign agents by the Ministry of Justice. I
00:08:14see the main and, probably, the only goal
00:08:17is to force Yabloko not to run in the
00:08:21elections,
00:08:24that is, so that the party itself does not get involved
00:08:27in them, so hostages are taken,
00:08:30so throughout the country
00:08:32cases are initiated against more or less prominent people from
00:08:36Yabloko, Yabloko remained such an island that allowed
00:08:39one to stay in the country, to stay...
00:08:59Yabloko approaches the elections already without a federal list, the Supreme
00:09:03Court canceled its registration, the party lists
00:09:05of Yabloko were not admitted to some regional
00:09:09elections, in particular in St. Petersburg and Karelia.
00:09:43list, but retains the opportunity to fight for individual mandates in
00:09:46constituencies,
00:09:49while, as was said in the report, Yabloko does not completely refuse
00:09:53to participate in the campaign, the party still has candidates in
00:09:57single-mandate constituencies, the party leadership announced a so-called
00:10:00plan B, what to do for its
00:10:02supporters, how to act so that
00:10:05the next day, looking in the mirror, not
00:10:08to feel disgust,
00:10:11how to act? In order
00:10:15to be able to answer the question of your
00:10:18children with dignity and honestly: Mom,
00:10:21Dad, what did you try to do then, so that... The State
00:10:34Duma. Second, be sure to
00:10:36vote for our candidates on the lists in
00:10:40the constituencies in the regional elections. And
00:10:43third, under no circumstances
00:10:46vote for other political parties, for
00:10:50their candidates. We present you with proof
00:10:54that... that all these parties in the State Duma
00:10:58vote absolutely
00:11:00identically, there is no difference from United Russia in their
00:11:04voting on all key
00:11:07laws.
00:11:15Federal and regional companies diverged in this story. For the State Duma
00:11:18elections, the authorities cleared the space as much as possible so that they
00:11:22would pass as calmly as possible for the Kremlin. At the same time as
00:11:25the federal voting, legislative assemblies are being elected in the regions,
00:11:28there is a different scale of companies, different barriers,
00:11:31sometimes different space for political competition. The topic
00:11:35will be continued by the host of the program "Face to Event", Artem
00:11:38Radygin.
00:11:43It seems that this year it died, all
00:11:46the intrigue in the elections, parties spend many times less on campaigning,
00:11:49candidates do not come to debates, and if they do,
00:11:53besides a memorized phrase - they can say nothing,
00:11:57the state will support them,
00:12:00support for large families begins with supporting one
00:12:17calculated that out of a hundred candidates not from parliamentary
00:12:21parties, the CEC registered only about a dozen.
00:14:25the leader of Yabloko in the city duma of Yekaterinburg, the police detained on
00:14:28the way to the debates. At the police station, he was charged with an administrative
00:14:32article on displaying extremist symbols.
00:14:35His colleagues in the Sverdlovsk region were accused of the same thing.
00:14:39The risk of continued pressure on the party certainly
00:14:43exists. Of course, it exists, we see this, among other things, by the pressure on
00:14:47our candidates daily. But,
00:14:50dear friends, I want to say again that our position is
00:14:53known, it is unchanged. "we will do everything possible
00:14:57to, to bring back peace, so that
00:15:00people stop dying. although the fine for so-called
00:15:04extremist symbols is only 2,000 rubles.
00:15:07for a politician, it means that for another year he will
00:15:11not participate in elections. if in 2026
00:15:14Yabloko members are not elected to the Duma or
00:15:17legislative assemblies, then in the next elections they will no longer
00:15:21be able to register politicians without collecting
00:15:24signatures. most likely Yabloko will lose
00:15:27its exemption from collecting signatures for the State Duma after
00:15:31this campaign, yes, they will have to collect
00:15:35if, of course, they survive another 5 years until the next
00:15:39campaign, but it will be much easier to reject them. According
00:15:42to Verstka, almost 40 regional candidates for the
00:15:46State Duma have already dropped out of the race due to Facebook
00:15:49logos, ownership of foreign shares,
00:15:52and posts about Navalny. The latter just takes away the right
00:15:55to run for a whole year, so in these elections, with
00:15:59rare, of course, exceptions, there are no well-known
00:16:02opposition figures. Elections are not about, well, in Russia in 206
00:16:06year, yes, it's not about achieving some numbers and results, but about
00:16:10causing the greatest damage to the ruling party, creating points of some
00:16:13social and political tension, in this sense, it seems
00:16:16to me, yes, many really understand it this way and
00:16:19do it exactly like that, in this sense, probably, the Yabloko party can also
00:16:22be singled out, because well,
00:16:25there are indeed top party members, the most media-visible ones, they are simply
00:16:29imprisoned, this is like the strongest Moscow,
00:16:33so Comrade Kruglov, the second strongest
00:16:36is Shlosberg, yes, Emiliya Slabunova in
00:16:40Karelia is also under pressure, there are also constant some
00:16:42showdowns,
00:16:45so I understand that some other VIPs,
00:16:49some also chose not to go to
00:16:53the elections. Social tension is expected by researcher
00:16:56at Carnegie Berlin, Andrey Pertsev. According to him, the Kremlin
00:16:59has never had such difficulty drawing a confident majority
00:17:03for United Russia. To ensure more than
00:17:06half of the seats in the Duma, the presidential administration even
00:17:09lowered the unofficial quota for opposition single-mandate candidates
00:17:13from 16 to 10, the core
00:17:16rating is falling, that is, it's around 32
00:17:20I think now, yes, if it drops another couple
00:17:24of times by a couple of percent by election day, it will be below
00:17:27thirty, well, and they will make it
00:17:31there, and this means that, well, special selections
00:17:35there are FOMA, how they calculate there.
00:18:37anti-war sentiment is growing in the country, but if
00:18:40you let some of these
00:18:43fronding regional KPRF members in, but
00:18:47that's a bad decision, that is, naturally, the KPRF is a party
00:18:50controlled to a certain extent, like all parties in Russia, but I would
00:18:54say that along with Yabloko it is one of the most uncontrolled
00:18:58controlled parties. Moscow, Komi, Irkutsk,
00:19:01Krasnodar, Perm, Altai Krai, Khakassia and
00:19:04Buryatia. In these regions, says the political scientist. there are still
00:19:08candidates who do not openly support the war,
00:19:11yes, they go to the Duma from the Assembly with
00:19:14the pro-war KPRF campaign, but they try
00:19:17not to talk about the war, that is, in the so-called
00:19:20victory program it is written about victory over fascists in
00:19:24Europe, but to the voters they talk about victory
00:19:28over poverty, now, in principle, it seems
00:19:31interesting to follow candidates who start flirting with
00:19:35an anti-war agenda.
00:19:38well, flirting on their own, yes, from
00:19:41the KPRF, from those I listed, that's actually Tsyrenov,
00:19:45Bondarenko, in Chuvashia there is also
00:19:49a candidate who also advocates for peace,
00:19:52yes, and in Kamchatka it's also good,
00:19:55in Kamchatka you can also watch, there's a strong
00:19:58branch, they were dispersed for several years, dispersed, but not
00:20:02completely dispersed, in Buryatia, a region that is a leader in losses from
00:20:06mobilization, the KPRF nominated a candidate with the
00:20:08slogan "Peace to the World." Bair
00:20:12Tsyrenov's campaign video even begins with the words: "When will
00:20:15the special military operation end?" The politician actively criticizes United
00:20:19Russia, but Tsyrenov himself
00:20:22explains why he criticizes the ruling
00:20:25party? To defend the honor of United Russia, which does not need to be defended,
00:20:29which has already failed in everything it possibly could in this country. I urge
00:20:33Doshibal to still come to the next debates, to participate in them together
00:20:36honestly. to judge the problems of our republic, otherwise we will not
00:20:40be able to get out of this quagmire, otherwise we will not be able to help our thousands
00:20:44of soldiers who are on the front lines, and their families, even though fully
00:20:48anti-war registered. it is difficult to call candidates, politician
00:20:51Mikhail Lobanov sees in regional campaigns a chance for
00:20:55anti-war, or at least simply opposition
00:20:58sentiments, to be somehow represented in
00:21:02the Duma or in legislative assemblies, this generally became possible
00:21:06in Buryatia, possibly characterizing the entire regional organization, in
00:21:10general, because this is once he was nominated, understanding
00:21:13what he is capable of, there is still
00:21:15Markhaev as a leader, yes, so in principle,
00:21:19let's say, on average... across the region, this
00:21:22is rather an anti-war sentiment, that is, I won't vouch for
00:21:25everyone, and accordingly, it is possible that it makes sense to support
00:21:29the KPRF in order to increase the chances that someone from this regional group
00:21:33will go and that this person
00:21:36will represent both the republic and
00:21:40its interests at the federal level, and accordingly, somehow,
00:21:43well, not to condone the war, political scientist
00:21:47Levin agrees with Lobanov, he explains, these bold
00:21:51decisions of the KPRF by the fact that the party leadership does not always
00:21:54know the details of regional campaigns, but if problems
00:21:58arise for the leadership due to regional politicians, then
00:22:01the party itself will remove undesirable candidates from
00:22:05the elections.
00:22:08Simultaneously with the elections to the State Duma, dozens of regional campaigns are also taking place,
00:22:12where voting also becomes a test for governors, local elites,
00:22:16their ability to fulfill the task set by Moscow. We will talk about this and
00:22:19more with political scientist Ruslan, who has been studying the politics
00:22:31in fact, start the conversation with all our
00:22:34guests with one very important question, why are these elections
00:22:38really important and for whom are they important first
00:22:41of all?
00:22:43In general, elections are probably a stress test, you could
00:22:47say, for the entire system, for...
00:22:50the nomenclature, for the political class, it is obvious that the
00:22:53authorities, of course, have all the opportunities to falsify
00:22:57the elections, to draw the desired
00:23:00result, but it is smooth on paper, but
00:23:03they often forget about the enemies, because in this
00:23:07case, the authorities may face strong
00:23:10social protest, as was, for example, in 2011-2012,
00:23:14when dissatisfaction
00:23:17with the elections...
00:23:50it's impossible to stop it, it's impossible just to
00:23:53tighten everything up and not have any
00:23:56consequences.
00:23:58In fact, the authorities are now trying
00:24:01to play it safe, removing undesirable candidates, like the
00:24:05Yabloko party,
00:24:08which they didn't even consider before, well, what is Yabloko,
00:24:11it will get some statistical error,
00:24:15they said, but now even this Yabloko party, which, it must
00:24:18be said, was still pushed to the sidelines
00:24:22of mainstream political life, started
00:24:25gaining votes, well, not because it is so good and wonderful, but
00:24:29because people want to vote protestingly, people
00:24:32want to express their disagreement with what is happening in the country, and the Yabloko
00:24:36party, well, generally accumulates these votes, because
00:24:40the other parties somehow either are integrated into
00:24:43the Kremlin's agenda or they agree with it, like the KBR,
00:24:47now if a person doesn't see this choice, what should he do?
00:26:03that is, Moscow says: decide for yourselves, but how can you decide if you have no
00:26:06powers, neither political nor administrative, and at the same time
00:26:09they force you to draw the result the authorities want in the
00:26:13elections, that is, the Moscow
00:26:16authorities step aside and say, you yourselves oppress,
00:26:19draw,
00:26:21regional authorities, of course, go along and
00:26:25draw fire on themselves, that is, in fact,
00:26:28all the hatred, let's say, aggression
00:26:31of the local population.
00:27:02dirty political technologies, but at the same time we will not
00:27:06insure you, because in the last
00:27:09few years, we know that both vice-governors are being jailed,
00:27:13and governors are being jailed, that is, no one is untouchable,
00:27:16then the question arises, why should we break our backs,
00:27:20our fifth point, for what,
00:27:23so that we are jailed, so that we are made scapegoats,
00:27:26and this causes
00:27:29this break in this...
00:27:32political matrix, how many
00:27:36war participants will we actually see, because these are
00:27:39the first elections that are held after the full-scale invasion of Russia into
00:27:43Ukraine?
00:27:46I saw statistics, most of them, I think, are in
00:27:49United Russia in the electoral lists,
00:27:52either 12 or 15%. We
00:27:55know that before that there were instructions
00:27:59that representatives of the special military operation
00:28:03should also be incorporated
00:28:07into the regional parliaments, whether they fought or not,
00:28:09that's another matter,
00:28:13they must be represented, well, I think that it's naturally United Russia,
00:28:17KPRF, because this is their rhetoric,
00:28:20LDPR,
00:28:23yes, naturally, but even
00:28:26for example, such systemic parties as Fair Russia, as we
00:28:29see, face problems, well. Mironov, this
00:28:33active defender of Russian desmans and everything
00:28:37else that is interesting, he also
00:28:40threatened with papers, waved something, said that our
00:28:44patriots are being removed from the elections, that is, even within this
00:28:47power conglomerate or pro-government conglomerate, there is
00:28:51some kind of competition, we also understand this perfectly,
00:28:55this is connected with the fact that regional lobbying groups promote someone,
00:28:58law enforcement, by the way, corporations promote someone, yes.
00:29:02their armies promote FSB officers, for example,
00:29:05the Ministry of Internal Affairs, the investigative committee,
00:29:08some large oil corporations, like the
00:29:11Sechenskaya group, so the struggle between them will probably be more
00:29:15fierce, between a conditional pro-government
00:29:19opposition group, well, and all the more it is worth asking whether
00:29:23these participants of the so-called special military operation
00:29:26will be elected to the State Duma, can they, it is clear that probably no one
00:29:30will allow them to.
00:30:32here they are, yes, or we know that there is
00:30:36such a movement as NOD, which
00:30:38says that Putin is surrounded by traitors,
00:30:42that the White House is in charge, and
00:30:46Putin should be given more power, that the boyars
00:30:49are bad, the tsar is being deceived, I think that their
00:30:52rhetoric will be similar, this will greatly hinder the authorities, because
00:30:56well, in general, it will be, as I already said,