Bosnia and Herzegovina: N1 Bosnia and Herzegovina

20260807 08:00 UTC · 00:30:59 · 357 transcript segments · GDELT Visual Explorer · plain-text transcript · Event Map

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Transcript

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00:15:01We return to the show Novi dan. The sponsor of the show is the General
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00:15:18Welcome back. We know that Europe has been facing
00:15:21extreme heat for days again. We know that neither Bosnia and Herzegovina
00:15:25nor the region are any exception. Short-term
00:15:28refreshments do not mean the end of summer. New hot
00:15:32days are ahead, high temperatures, and with the drought, an increasing risk
00:15:36of fires. It's no longer a question of how many degrees it will be tomorrow or
00:15:39in the coming days, but how such
00:15:42extremes are changing our cities, agriculture,
00:15:45and daily life. What kind of summer continuation awaits us, what can
00:15:49we expect in autumn, and are we threatened by heavy rains and
00:15:52floods after the dry period? We will talk about all this in the next few minutes
00:15:56with meteorologist Nedim Sladić. Nedim, good
00:15:59morning and thank you very much for your time. Good morning, Melika, to you and your
00:16:03viewers. Our
00:16:06viewers heard a brief weather forecast at the very beginning
00:16:10of the show. We know that a slight cooling and
00:16:14refreshment awaits us this weekend, but after
00:16:17that we don't know much except that the heatwave
00:16:20is returning again. Does that mean that we will very
00:16:23soon have temperatures above
00:16:2740° across Bosnia and
00:16:29Herzegovina?
00:16:32After a passing, rather mild
00:16:35cooling, in the next two days, air temperatures
00:16:39will rise again from Sunday. So, in most areas of our
00:16:43country, and primarily in Herzegovina, daily
00:16:47air temperature values will again be around or slightly above
00:16:5040°C, while in the area of Bosnia, these
00:16:54values are again higher, closer to
00:16:5735 than below it. So,
00:17:00a continuation of very hot days,
00:17:04especially from Sunday, should be expected in most of
00:17:07our country, especially next week when
00:17:11we expect a further inflow of hot air
00:17:14masses from the north of the African continent towards our
00:17:17areas. Mhm,
00:17:19you spoke about this situation that awaits us in the coming
00:17:23days in the same thoughtful way you always do, in terms of
00:17:26warnings and perhaps
00:17:30preventive preparations. Here I am primarily talking about the fires
00:17:34that threaten us. Even as we speak, the situation in Konjic
00:17:37is still not completely stable. Several different fires have
00:17:41broken out along the area where the train passes. The explanation is that
00:17:44it was actually the friction or the passage of the train
00:17:48that may have caused the fire, which shows how much infrastructure
00:17:52is threatened in a way, and certainly
00:17:55nature, and how it reacts in such circumstances under such
00:17:58temperatures together. How seriously
00:18:01do we need to take this situation in terms of fires in Bosnia and Herzegovina, and what can
00:18:05we expect in the coming
00:18:10days? Definitely very seriously, considering that
00:18:14the data from the European Commission,
00:18:17or rather the material coming from
00:18:21Copernicus, indicates that in the period between
00:18:25August 6th and 12th, 2026,
00:18:28Bosnia and Herzegovina, as well as most of the Balkan
00:18:32Peninsula, is located in an extremely high
00:18:35risk of forest fires, which suggests
00:18:39that we, as a nation,
00:18:42must pay a little more attention to how we treat
00:18:47that the lack of precipitation over the past
00:18:50ten days is now more than evident. The soil
00:18:54in most of the country has dried out further, and even where there
00:18:58were short showers in the past
00:19:01period, the soil is now losing its reserves, which we see
00:19:04most in the relative humidity, that
00:19:08is, its behavior, so not even at night do we go above
00:19:1060%, which actually tells us how much the air
00:19:14has dried out at ground level, not to mention in this whole
00:19:18story that now whatever you throw into the environment,
00:19:22which we, of course, do not recommend at any
00:19:25price, will simply ignite by itself,
00:19:28a piece of glass in interaction with the sun, or a piece,
00:19:32that is, a cigarette butt, all that
00:19:36is very easily flammable." This is now truly,
00:19:39truly going to ignite in a very short period of time, and then unfortunately
00:19:43problems arise when a fire occurs, that the fire
00:19:47creates its own weather conditions
00:19:50that are often so unpredictable because
00:19:54you simply don't have a mechanism to
00:19:56precisely predict them, mhm.
00:20:00This is precisely what numerous firefighters witnessed,
00:20:03from the region who participated in extinguishing fires in Spain and
00:20:07France, they say that it's actually a different situation now,
00:20:11we saw that it burned for weeks without being able to be brought
00:20:14under control, that now it's a completely
00:20:17different terrain that
00:20:21is actually caused by climate change, that the problem
00:20:24in Spain and France was that heatwaves rapidly alternated
00:20:28with everything that happened in between them, which
00:20:32made the soil more conducive to the spread of fires. They talked
00:20:35a lot about the so-called fire tornado. It seems
00:20:39to me that we haven't heard so much about these
00:20:43terms in recent years, despite numerous problems. Can
00:20:46such fire infernos happen due to
00:20:50the alternation of heatwaves in Bosnia and Herzegovina
00:20:53in this region, and what is actually
00:20:56happening there?
00:20:58First, I will explain what is actually meant by
00:21:02the term Pyrocumulonimbus, which is actually
00:21:06a vertical cloud that forms by the rising
00:21:09due to buoyancy of large amounts
00:21:12of superheated air in relation to the surroundings. Given
00:21:15that within a fire, when you have the
00:21:20release of energy, you must release that thermal
00:21:23energy, its excess into the free atmosphere. With
00:21:26it, you release certain amounts of aerosols, that is,
00:21:30small fine particles which later, by cooling and
00:21:34spreading in the atmosphere, or rather with the process
00:21:37of condensation, lead to the vertical development
00:21:40of clouds, from which you can then get
00:21:44exactly a tower, or a towering
00:21:47cloud that can go up to 10, 15 kilometers in
00:21:50height, that is, to the level of the troposphere, or
00:21:54tropopause, not to mention then
00:21:57precisely because the ground is so
00:21:59hot and you don't have too much moisture,
00:22:03you then actually get material to
00:22:06have a cloud from which the phenomenon
00:22:09of so-called dry lightning comes, that is, from
00:22:12a cloud in which rain falls, it encounters a layer
00:22:16of dry air, precipitation evaporates, and
00:22:20actually as a process of that whole story in an unstable
00:22:24atmosphere above our areas, then
00:22:27you can definitely witness such circumstances and actually
00:22:30such, such phenomena can further,
00:22:34unfortunately, worsen the whole situation. We fortunately
00:22:37did not have such situations in Bosnia and Herzegovina, primarily because
00:22:41fires usually occurred when the atmosphere was
00:22:44stable, and the buoyancy was low enough
00:22:47not to allow
00:22:50air particles to rise too much into the atmosphere, and thus
00:22:54everything remained in the ground layer
00:22:57of the atmosphere, so we did not witness that. The French
00:23:01on the other hand did, as did most countries of Western
00:23:04Europe, partly because we had a somewhat more
00:23:08unstable atmosphere after the heatwaves,
00:23:10but again, in that whole story,
00:23:14dry lightning did its part, and as for heatwaves,
00:23:18generally they were
00:23:21just one in a series of numerous factors
00:23:24that actually determined the fate
00:23:27of this entire summer. Namely,
00:23:30the previously pronounced period of drought,
00:23:33or lack of precipitation, which began in the countries
00:23:37of Western and Northwestern Europe already in mid-April and
00:23:41continued through these next three to four
00:23:44months, only
00:23:47fire. Then came extremely high
00:23:51air temperatures, prolonged maintenance of a high
00:23:54air pressure field over an area that further
00:23:57contributed to the air
00:24:00compressing into lower layers of the atmosphere, drying
00:24:04out to the point where you no longer have anything to evaporate from the surface, and now any
00:24:08attempt to get precipitation as part of
00:24:11some smaller weakened
00:24:14frontal disturbances actually brings you
00:24:18nothing but small
00:24:20infusions that simply can last a few hours
00:24:23and they very quickly evaporate again. In other
00:24:26words, you can never feed that thirsty
00:24:30land, land that truly yearns
00:24:34for rainwater, since you have many parts now
00:24:38of Great Britain, the Netherlands, and
00:24:41France, which at the very least resemble
00:24:45a desert area in North Africa, because you simply
00:24:49no longer have anything to evaporate from that soil.
00:24:53In Bosnia and Herzegovina, the situation is still somewhat
00:24:56different, there is greenery, but we see
00:24:59it rapidly disappearing, considering
00:25:02that very high air temperatures have been
00:25:06present for days, precipitation, we have had almost none
00:25:09for the last 10 days, so if we haven't had precipitation for 15 days,
00:25:13we are talking about meteorological drought, not to mention that
00:25:17hydrological drought does not only come from precipitation that you get in the form
00:25:20of local showers, you will get something
00:25:23through local showers, but the
00:25:26fact is that we did not have sufficient amounts of
00:25:29snow cover in the mountains last winter,
00:25:32except for the January episode, which would primarily
00:25:36replenish groundwater reserves,
00:25:39and one winter after five or six others in which you don't
00:25:43have very large amounts of snow cannot
00:25:46simply replenish those shortages that you had in the
00:25:49previous period. So, it's no wonder
00:25:53that we are witnessing, unfortunately, scenarios of dried-up rivers
00:25:56in central Europe, but also
00:26:00increasingly in southeastern Europe, including the Balkan
00:26:03Peninsula. Mhm, and what would you recommend
00:26:06to the authorities in such a period as it is, in Bosnia and Herzegovina, regardless
00:26:10of the fact that the situation is a bit milder compared to the rest of Europe?
00:26:14What should be done? Just a few
00:26:17dana, are you one of the interesting examples that can be
00:26:20important, which is to pay attention to cleaning riverbeds,
00:26:24which is now a little simpler when water levels
00:26:27are somewhat lower, it can certainly prevent a lot
00:26:31of bad things that threaten us very soon, that is in
00:26:34autumn, the first lesson when
00:26:38I went to attend a flood preparedness
00:26:42course, so in my master's studies it was
00:26:45how to notice in time that
00:26:48you can simply use drought in the best possible way and
00:26:52prepare for the upcoming
00:26:55inevitably wetter period that will follow after the drought, so that is not
00:26:59anything new, we all know that after drought come
00:27:03periods with larger amounts of precipitation and what we can
00:27:06do is to clean our riverbeds as much
00:27:09as possible from any rubbish, primarily
00:27:13bulky waste, to expand their volume, so that
00:27:17we are simply somewhat more prepared
00:27:21so that our drains can receive a larger amount of rainwater in
00:27:24a very short period of time, because we
00:27:27are now, we are now facing
00:27:31very intense downpours, especially
00:27:34when we have a somewhat more unstable atmosphere, and
00:27:37thus our infrastructure, unfortunately, is not quite
00:27:41adjusted to be able to receive such a large amount of rainwater, now
00:27:45I'm not only talking about the area of Bosnia and Herzegovina, the whole
00:27:48of Europe has a chronic problem that simply our
00:27:52drainage systems cannot receive a greater intensity
00:27:55of precipitation than 8 mm per hour, i.e. 8
00:27:58l/m2 per hour, and now you have
00:28:01downpours that are five, six and more
00:28:04times greater intensity in a very short
00:28:08time interval, which is more like some tropical
00:28:11monsoon downpour, not some downpour that
00:28:15you see in temperate geographical latitudes, so that is
00:28:18the best indicator of how much we need to take care of drains,
00:28:22clean canals, clean our
00:28:25riverbeds, especially from all impurities
00:28:29that have accumulated, not only
00:28:31decades there, so
00:28:35if we do something, at least on that issue,
00:28:38then we can expect that the consequences, they won't
00:28:41be completely prevented, but
00:28:44they will, but they will at least be mitigated,
00:28:48yes, we will talk a little later about what extremes could
00:28:51await us later in the autumn, but I would
00:28:55like to first look at this end of August, maybe
00:28:59beginning of September, after
00:29:01that heat wave leaves us, i.e. the high
00:29:04temperatures that are expected at least until, as I understood,
00:29:08August 15th-20th, approximately, what comes next
00:29:11before real autumn?
00:29:15if we look at the short-term and medium-term
00:29:18material, the continuation of extremely high
00:29:21air temperatures, i.e. air temperatures that are
00:29:25higher than usual for the eighth month, would be the
00:29:29dominant topic for the next 10 to 15 days.
00:29:32So, we don't have any, any
00:29:35indications for a more serious drop in air
00:29:39temperature, but as we go towards the end of August,
00:29:43definitely on the forecast materials, a
00:29:46signal for somewhat larger amounts of precipitation is slowly appearing,
00:29:50which could more or less
00:29:53improve the hydrological situation.
00:29:55However, I still cannot accept it
00:29:59as it is, I need a more reliable signal. "This is
00:30:03just an indicator, and we still don't have reliable
00:30:06signals as to whether it will actually
00:30:09materialize, because sometimes you simply cannot
00:30:12trust the analysis of several models based
00:30:16on which you see completely different parameters,
00:30:19then you have actually, let's say, a
00:30:23conflict in that whole story, then you have to weigh what is actually to
00:30:26be expected, what is most likely, what is medium, what
00:30:30is the least likely scenario." For
00:30:33now, what we can conclude is that at least until
00:30:36August 18th or 19th, we have no indications
00:30:40of a drought easing, as we go into
00:30:43September, what the long-term forecasts now
00:30:47indicate is that we are not losing
00:30:50the signal for heat, its frequency would decrease, of course,
00:30:54heat waves would decrease
00:30:57and that is quite natural.
Data courtesy of The GDELT Project (gdeltproject.org), from the Internet Archive TV News Archive. Film strip and transcript are GDELT's, rehosted here under their terms of use, which permit it with this citation.