Google Speech-to-Text API Automatic Transcription (Chirp). Treat it as a searchable index of what was broadcast, not a quotation record.
00:00:17of of
00:00:17of
00:00:23There has a been over this weekend a major exchange of missile
00:00:27fire by Iran and the US
00:00:29of targeting. oil tankers and even a
00:00:33U.S. destroyer. Uh, the new
00:00:36secretary of Iran's supreme National Security
00:00:40Council Mohsen Razay said
00:00:41in a very recent interview that Iran didn't use
00:00:45ballistic missile for that attack on the
00:00:48in destroyer.
00:00:50of But a new weapon. But let's go to Iran's escalation
00:00:53latter, which we've talked about before. This is a country
00:00:57that takes its time to send messages and only does so when
00:01:01necessary and to serve a strategic objective,
00:01:05of unlike the
00:01:07of Americans. um, what is Iran's intent in this new round? you
00:01:11know, one seems obvious to me, which is to punch a hole in
00:01:14Trump's claims that
00:01:16of tankers worth 9
00:01:18of billion dollars are getting through hormos daily.
00:01:22um, and two, it seems to me that Iran is
00:01:25now looking to force an end to the
00:01:28of US naval
00:01:29a blockade. Okay, let's
00:01:33start from the beginning, a bit of background is necessary to get to
00:01:37your point, the background is that all
00:01:40along, what the Iranians were doing is
00:01:44since the war started on February 28, the
00:01:48primacy was given to the diplomacy, that was the key
00:01:52thing, and as far as the military was concerned, it
00:01:56was responding it for that to whatever the Americans were.
00:02:00in the region, so it was a proportionate response from the
00:02:04in Iranian military (IRGC). now when we look at
00:02:07diplomacy, what they were
00:02:11a of trying to accomplish is create
00:02:12a regional framework, what that means
00:02:16is when we say
00:02:18a regional security framework, it
00:02:20in means that all the issues concerning the region should
00:02:24be
00:02:25of resolved by the countries
00:02:26of the region itself without any inter. from
00:02:30outside pass, that's
00:02:32a regional framework and this is something entirely new,
00:02:36just to put it
00:02:37in a context, this is the thinking
00:02:39of the new world order which has the
00:02:42of support of two great powers, russia in China in the
00:02:46multipolar world, so what we saw
00:02:49was that Iran's foreign minister Abbas
00:02:52Arakshi in the month of May and
00:02:55June, he traveled to Russia, he met up with
00:02:59President Putin. for an hour and a half in Saint
00:03:01of Petersburg, after that early June he
00:03:05traveled
00:03:07of to China, met up with his counterpart Wonghi, got the
00:03:11support for this framework from both the countries, and after
00:03:15that when he came back, the Iranian leadership would have
00:03:19discussed this that look, we got the support, and after that on the
00:03:2330, 23rd of June, Iranian
00:03:26president, he did a state visit to
00:03:30Pakistan to get
00:03:31in Pakistan on board, the Pakistan leadership, because Pakistan
00:03:35is playing very important role in this re
00:03:39framework, the idea of which is about is coming
00:03:43of from
00:03:44of Iran, but this is one
00:03:45of the key fundamentals
00:03:47of the new world order, as I pointed out. As a
00:03:51consequence of that, what has happened
00:03:53of is that on that what has happened is that on the 31st of
00:03:57August two big events happened.
00:04:00of On 31st of August in Islamabad in
00:04:04sorry in Istanbul in Turkey there was a
00:04:08announcement that there will be a
00:04:11formalized arrangement was made to be
00:04:14of called Macca joint defense agreement where there are
00:04:18three countries which is Pakistan, Turkey
00:04:22and Saudi Arabia. The concept is of collective
00:04:25security, which is what this new world order
00:04:29of fundamental thinking. is
00:04:31of about, so on the same day, 31st
00:04:34of of August, the SEO summit also
00:04:37of happened in Kirgistan, and in Kirgistan, when you
00:04:40look at the
00:04:41a joint statement, there was total
00:04:44of support given to Iran, support not only to
00:04:48Iran its
00:04:49of territorial
00:04:49of integrity and sovereinity, to the fact that there
00:04:53was aggression on Iran by America and
00:04:56Israel and that Iran should... have
00:05:00or can have peaceful uses of nuclear energy
00:05:04under the NPT, so there was total support for
00:05:08Iran
00:05:08of and the Iran thinking of
00:05:10a regional framework. now Once this was done on the
00:05:1331st of August, this is when the Iranian
00:05:17leadership decided, now we need to give
00:05:20privacy to the military power,
00:05:24and that is when the lead was
00:05:27taken by the secretary the supreme National Security
00:05:31Council, Major General Marsin Rizai,
00:05:35now he is extremely important man, so after
00:05:39that there were tanker to tanker hits now, you see a
00:05:43tanker does not have any defensive means, but the
00:05:46key thing was what resided, he
00:05:50fired something unusual that the Iranians had not done
00:05:54before, and first thing to note is that the firing
00:05:58was not done by the IRGC navy,
00:06:02it was done by the IRGC aerospace
00:06:05force, and what was fired was a
00:06:09anti-hip ballistic missile with... a
00:06:13suppressed trajectory or depressed
00:06:16trajectory and this missile is being called Kasim
00:06:19Basir. Now this was basically fired
00:06:23as demonstration to tell the Americans that
00:06:27look all your fleet which is part the naval
00:06:31blockade that you have put there, naval blockade
00:06:35is an act of war. Until now the Iranians
00:06:39were quiet about it. So this was clear.
00:06:42indication about the vulnerability that the US military
00:06:46faces and sentcom acknowledged that yes
00:06:50this missile ballistic missile was fired but our
00:06:54aircraft carrier obviously it was George Washington now
00:06:58what happens is that whenever there is a aircraft
00:07:01carrier then there are lot of guided
00:07:04missile destroyers which provided
00:07:07basically the security which provide the defense
00:07:11and what these guided missile destroyers have what
00:07:15is called the ag system,
00:07:19now in this edges combat system, the interceptors
00:07:23are there and the interceptors or the American
00:07:27destroyers are of ratio company, there are three
00:07:30types, the SM2 which is standard missile 2,
00:07:33standard missile three and standard missile six. the long and
00:07:37short the story is that the missile that was
00:07:41fired and ballistic missile with depressed
00:07:44trajectory, it basically means that it it
00:07:48did not leave the atmosphere, it stayed within the
00:07:52stratosphere on the higher reaches the atmosphere, so we
00:07:56are looking at altitude of about 60 to 80
00:08:00or 90 kilometers, it stayed there and
00:08:04it had a speed of close to 10 mac
00:08:07and mac is the speed of sound and it
00:08:11it fire. at by the IRGC aerospace
00:08:15force, it was filed a distance of around
00:08:181000 kms and with a
00:08:21warhead which has a weight of close to
00:08:251.3 ton. now this
00:08:28SM6, this is supposed to take a ballistic
00:08:32missile or hostile ballistic missile within
00:08:36the atmosphere when it is in the descent phase, it is coming
00:08:40down because ballistic missile follows a
00:08:43parabolic path, it is very clearly defined path,
00:08:47but the problem here is that this missile is coming at
00:08:51such a speed and the SM6
00:08:54interceptors the Americans, they have only been
00:08:57tested in a controlled environment, not in a
00:09:01operational environment, and when you have
00:09:05this missile coming at such a speed, it does not
00:09:08give any reaction time to the SM6 and the...
00:09:12radar the ages system, which is very good
00:09:15radar to basically identify the that
00:09:19yes, there is hostile missile coming and to kill
00:09:22that missile, so the point i making
00:09:26is as far as the Americans are concerned, they are totally defenseless
00:09:29against this missile and the Americans
00:09:32know it, and what this missile
00:09:35can do is because of its 1.3 or 1.2 ton
00:09:39warhead, it has explosive power and it has kinetic
00:09:43energy, so if it hits a
00:09:46ship, it can actually go through the deck the
00:09:49ship, that is what it can do, so the point
00:09:53here is mosin razi has made it clear
00:09:57that this is the capability we have, and what is being told
00:10:01to the Americans is on the one hand
00:10:05that look, you lift your naval blockage that
00:10:09you have put in place, it was put two times, once on the
00:10:1313th of April and after that early
00:10:16July,
00:10:17you know, I think it was early July after they signed the mou
00:10:21on 17th of June, so the point being made is...
00:10:25that this is your vulnerability and wel hit it, and
00:10:28already now the reports are saying that sendcom,
00:10:32they have moved their ship further back, and what
00:10:36Ri has further announced is that look, wherever
00:10:40the line the blockade now is the
00:10:43blockade, starting from there, there will be
00:10:46restricted zone a restrictive zone that
00:10:50covers the gulf of Oman, state of hermos and goes all
00:10:54along along the persian gulf to the north we are talking
00:10:58about a length of 1500
00:11:02km, this will all be restricted zone, so the
00:11:05long and short is enormous capabilities they have in
00:11:09state of hormos, not to go in the details right now, i'm just
00:11:13trying to give you a broad big of what's
00:11:17happening, so what they are basically saying
00:11:20Iranians is that on the one hand we are
00:11:23announcing very soon a restricted zone because
00:11:27Razay has said that this is not state of Harmos, this is
00:11:31state of Iran's dignity. now on the
00:11:35other hand, now on the other hand, they have made
00:11:39the conditions for assumption of talk conditions for assumption
00:11:43of talk extremely harsh and extremely
00:11:46difficult, and of all the conditions, if you ask me, I have
00:11:50to pick up a single one, I would say that they want the
00:11:53American forces. out of West Asia,
00:11:57this is very big thing in because you see what I
00:12:01earlier mentioned to you that they have created
00:12:05this regional framework, the physical manifestation of
00:12:08which is the Makka joint defense agreement with headquarters
00:12:12in Saudi Arabia and the first
00:12:16secretary general to be from Pakistan, it's
00:12:19a very big thing and top of that
00:12:23already two countries. Sergi Labrov has said
00:12:27they are interested in joining this you know this
00:12:30Macca joint defense agreement and these countries are
00:12:34Egypt that will be very big thing because Egypt
00:12:37basically is a country which is
00:12:40transcontinental the Sinai is in part of west
00:12:44Asia but all the Egypt is in North Africa
00:12:48and then Algeria has been mentioned as another
00:12:51country so this is what is being created and
00:12:55get the Americans out of West Asia,
00:12:58so let me just finish this broad overview
00:13:02by telling you that Americans today have no
00:13:06military options at all given their vulnerability,
00:13:10and what is their vulnerability, they have enormous military
00:13:14capabilities, they are one country which spend one
00:13:17trillion dollars on the Pentagon on the defense
00:13:21budget, but unfortunately the... abilities
00:13:25they have, they are the 20th century warfare,
00:13:29big destroyers, big aircraft carrier or has
00:13:32changed, these are the vulnerabilities are now,
00:13:36now no longer the assets and I am not even talking
00:13:40about right now, the enormous cyber
00:13:43capabilities that today the Iranians have, so
00:13:47Iranians are wise people who have gone step
00:13:51by step, there are far too many other vulnerability also,
00:13:55which they can destroy and the Americans know it,
00:13:58so Americans, yeah, please, no, you've given us such a
00:14:02broad overview that you've almost hit my entire lot
00:14:06of questions, but so let's dig deeper into some these
00:14:09points, mosin ri of course announced
00:14:13that it said that Iran would announce
00:14:15shortly this new no go zone
00:14:19around hormos which would extend to the US Navy's
00:14:23blockade line. "We don't actually know where the
00:14:26bloccade is, um, because the
00:14:30Americans don't announce where their their ships are based
00:14:34in in various waterways, but it sounds, you were
00:14:38talking about going to the north the Persian Gulf, it sounds that Iran is now
00:14:41expanding the military theater in
00:14:44waterways, well into the Arabian sea
00:14:48and Indian Ocean, from where the US Navy
00:14:52ostensibly enforces its blockade." um,
00:14:55but
00:14:56you know, here's the thing, the US Navy is
00:15:00likely to strike Iranian ships in any waters, anywhere
00:15:04in the world, so it's not a blockade in the typical
00:15:08sense, where you prevent ships from moving within
00:15:11a defined uh,
00:15:14you know, waterway geography, how do you see
00:15:18this develop? all right, first of all, first of
00:15:21all, there are reports and you have satel
00:15:25pictures, because the Iranians are
00:15:29helped by the Chinese space capabilities which are way
00:15:32ahead that the Americans, which is why in
00:15:362019 President Trump in his first term in office,
00:15:39he created the space force new service.
00:15:43Now the point here to understand is that reports
00:15:47clearly say that the blockade is 300
00:15:51kilometers away from the Gulf of Forman and
00:15:55the Cyncom reports now are coming and saying they pulled back
00:15:59now another 100 kilometers, so we are talking about
00:16:02a 400 kilometer present line. Now talking
00:16:06the... there what you said, let's understand what
00:16:10is the war theater about for
00:16:13Iran, today the Iranians have
00:16:16the missiles and the drones, Iranians have
00:16:20drones which are jet part, which are long
00:16:24range, which can fire with precision because the
00:16:27space capabilities provided by the Chinese, their
00:16:31bedu three constellation as well as the Yagon
00:16:34augmentation satellite systems. which are there in the
00:16:38lower orbat which provide you a persistent
00:16:42stare the theater, the theatre
00:16:45today, when you look at the north, it goes to
00:16:49the entire Mediterranean sea, and now you look at
00:16:53south, in the Indian Ocean region, we are talking
00:16:57about the capability of Iran to hit
00:17:00digoghasya, and dig today
00:17:03is one logistic base the Americans which is
00:17:07serving three commands, it is serving the Africa
00:17:11command, it is serving sidcom and it is serving pacific
00:17:14command, and given the cyber capabilities that
00:17:18today the Iranians have, first of all
00:17:22cyber capabilities are such that they can
00:17:26anywhere in the state of hermose or around that
00:17:30disturb or disrupt,
00:17:33the communications, ship to ship communications.
00:17:37the US Navy and ship to show communications
00:17:41and as far as Digo Garcier is concerned,
00:17:45the entire logistic base the Americans which is
00:17:48huge base is automated, so it is
00:17:52all digitized. Now when you have all
00:17:55digitalization, that means your missiles are a particular
00:17:58bunker, your fuel is somewhere else, then your loading
00:18:02sites are somewhere else, then they have massive runways for
00:18:06their stealth bomb. everything is there
00:18:09digitized and the brain of a digitization is what
00:18:13is called the PLC, programmable logic
00:18:17controllers and today the Iranians have come
00:18:21very long way from 2010, please
00:18:24recall in 2010 the Americans and
00:18:28the Israelis they had done their
00:18:31stuckness you
00:18:33know.
00:18:38their centrifuges malware and what they
00:18:42did with that was that the centrifuges the
00:18:45nasan facility nuclear facilities they were
00:18:49disrupted so today the Iranians have come a
00:18:53long way and they can disrupt the PLCs which are
00:18:57there indigogartia in other words create
00:19:00disturbance create complete chaos at digo
00:19:03garsia so what theater are we talking of what?
00:19:07capabilities are we talking of, so they cover
00:19:10everything, their drones and missile capabilities
00:19:14and everything what they have is underground, the
00:19:18Iranians, this is the work done over decades, what
00:19:22they have done over decades, they have studied the
00:19:25Americans, the military capabilities of Americans
00:19:29and the strategy the
00:19:31Israelis and of course
00:19:35the American, the US Navy has... retreated to Diego Garcia
00:19:39because they've lost access to the fifth
00:19:43fleet headquarters in
00:19:45Bahrain, um,
00:19:48correct? That's right, so they have
00:19:51lost basically the fifth fleet in Bahrain, the
00:19:55infrastructure has been destroyed there, so now the
00:19:58logistics for their ships, it is
00:20:02coming from
00:20:03Digo Garcia, and because PET Hekset kept this, he did not...
00:20:07disclose this, perhaps even to his commandering chief, the
00:20:11destruction in chief, the destruction by the
00:20:14Iranians in Bahrain to the logistic
00:20:17center that we we then now we have the
00:20:21reports the problems that Abraham
00:20:24lincoln air faced, it was all
00:20:28because of not telling publically as
00:20:31to what all has happened on Abraham Lincoln, so
00:20:35Abraham Lincoln now I think is... somewhere in Thailand, Thailand,
00:20:39yeah, why would they go all the way to Thailand and not to Diego
00:20:43Garcia? No, Diego Garcia basically is
00:20:47a port for the refilling, it is logistic.
00:20:50but for the repairs and everything they have to go to Thailand, they
00:20:54have basically, they have basically three
00:20:58allies, Thailand is one allies, South Korea is
00:21:01another and Japan is another, and then of course they have
00:21:05Australia, this is what they have, now as far as Pacific
00:21:09Command is concerned, there they have massive shortages
00:21:13of interceptors and
00:21:15initions, and all these interceptors they
00:21:19take. to build, not that,
00:21:23you see America's industrial, military
00:21:26industrial capabilities, they are very
00:21:30frugal right now, to build them up to a war
00:21:33surge level that will take a few years,
00:21:37nothing happen a hurry, so the point is that when you
00:21:41talk of a theater, the theater are under the
00:21:45command of and the not command really, they are under the
00:21:49observation. total observation 24
00:21:52into 7, what is what we call persistent
00:21:56stair the Iranians? i also think the
00:21:59war with Iran is um
00:22:02offering opportunities to break
00:22:06all the US dominated global networks from
00:22:09insurance to shipping even you
00:22:13know AI data centers right, these are all
00:22:17potentially targets on Iran's escalation. ladder if
00:22:21the US persists at this ridiculous war, but you you
00:22:25made a really important point about the US um fighting a
00:22:2820th century war in the 21st century, it
00:22:32is, it is outcassed as we
00:22:36have seen, but but so
00:22:40then are its allies because they
00:22:43operate under those same paradigms right,
00:22:46militarily, and that means... Israel
00:22:50is included in this, Israel will be outclassed
00:22:54a direct Iran Israel
00:22:56confrontation, but I want to ask you from
00:23:00where you sit, is return to direct war between Iran and
00:23:03Israel inevitable, is Iran waiting for the US to retreat
00:23:07entirely before that kicks off, as you know, I'm sitting in
00:23:11Beirot right now, the situation southern Lebanon has become
00:23:14untenable, Israel is blowing up entire villages and towns
00:23:18every single day in the south. "and
00:23:20as we know, it was Iran's number one demand in the failed Mou
00:23:24from last June, a withdrawal of all Israeli forces from Leben on all
00:23:28regional states, does this war end,
00:23:32whether today or next year or three years down the road within an
00:23:36evitable Iran, Israel final
00:23:39showdown? see, first of all, let me start by
00:23:43telling you that Israel is not a
00:23:46military power, we Israel" military
00:23:50capabilities are overblower. Israel basically is
00:23:54a state which does terrorism. israel's
00:23:58unique thing is Musad. that is what they
00:24:01do. now as far as lebanon southern Lebanon is
00:24:05concern. you know it's a story which we can discuss another time.
00:24:09you are sitting there, you know lot. the long and short is
00:24:13that the Iranians are very clear that they have to also
00:24:17clear the security zone that they have captured. southern
00:24:20Lebanon and any case Beirot is the is their red
00:24:24line where you are coming back to Israel, please, but coming
00:24:28back to Israel, please remember when this war started
00:24:31in just a couple of weeks, the Israeli
00:24:35chief of army he publically made the
00:24:38statement that the IDF is over
00:24:41stretched because
00:24:45they are everywhere, they are fighting a war with, they are
00:24:49with southern. southern Lebanon, in
00:24:52southern Lebanon, they are in Syria, they are with the
00:24:55Yemen, and they are fatigued, so the point I'm
00:24:59making talking about between talking about
00:25:03between Iran and Israel after the American
00:25:07leaves, I don't think it makes any
00:25:09sense, because yes of course
00:25:13Israel will have the capabilities of sent
00:25:15com, there is no doubt about it because the
00:25:19strong. lobby in Washington and in the US
00:25:22congress, but the point the matter is
00:25:25that once the once the American forces
00:25:29leave and in that time frame even this
00:25:33Macca joint agreement would also have further
00:25:37expanded and one the things the Makka difference
00:25:40agreement is the concept of collective
00:25:44deterrence, there are two key concepts, one
00:25:48is collective security, the other is collective deterence,
00:25:51so even today, if the Israelis have to attack
00:25:55Turkey, if they have to fight with Turkey, Turkey has no interest in
00:25:59fighting with the Israelies, but "if they
00:26:03fight, then they have to duftail this in their
00:26:06war scheming that there are three countries,
00:26:10now whether one will fight or how many will fight, what
00:26:14sort of capabilities will be provided by the other two countries to
00:26:18turkey, israelis have to keep that in mind, and
00:26:22as this agreement you know more and more
00:26:25countries joined, iran iran's hand will be
00:26:29strengthened, not weakened, we are. looking a
00:26:33situation, perhaps even
00:26:36you know by next year the entire situation will change
00:26:39and change to the detriment of Israel, not
00:26:43to the benefit of
00:26:44israel.
00:27:19Saudi Arabia thought it could bypass hormos. It thought its
00:27:22pipelines, its American weapons and its strategic partnerships could keep
00:27:26the oil flowing and the kingdom insulated from the consequences of
00:27:30regional war, but that... carefully constructed illusion is now
00:27:34cracking, this week we examine how strikes have forced the shutdown
00:27:38of riyadh's crucial east-west pipeline while Yemen's armed
00:27:42forces and nasarulah are rapidly reshaping the strategic
00:27:46equation around Babel Mandib. KSA's oil
00:27:49bypass backfires this week on the mediast
00:27:53stream.
00:30:17Your headlines on first TV Iran's parliament speaker says despite his
00:30:21apparent hegemony the US is vulnerable to the hormones straight
00:30:24closure and cannot suffocate Iran economically without any
00:30:28blowback. Yemen's top military officials warn of devastating
00:30:32response to Saudi blockade the country that will target the
00:30:36regime's strategic depth and interests
00:30:39and the death doll from Ukraine's drone attacks on Russia's main oil
00:30:43refinery and residential building rises to three with nearly
00:30:4620 others
00:30:47injured.