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00:00:008:49 for diesel and California. Join us in this
00:00:04edition of
00:00:05of program where we have a special guest
00:00:07of with us, Paulinera batista Jr., former executive director at international
00:00:11monetary fund or the IMF. What's what's
00:00:15going on in my opinion is the lack of trust
00:00:17increasingly
00:00:20of fragile confidence in the public finances
00:00:24and death of united
00:00:26of states. Do join us in this edition
00:00:27of the program of economic
00:00:29of divide.
00:00:34of
00:00:38Panic in the White House. Mr. Trump is so desperate that he is
00:00:42offering voters $5,000, so strap
00:00:46in as we start today's
00:00:49of Gringo. The secretary of state saying that we're very close to deal in the middle
00:00:54in east. We've been talking about this uh department of so we won the first world
00:00:58war, we won the second world.
00:01:01of
00:01:15a doubt that the elections on November the 3rd known as the
00:01:19midterms in the United States are hugely significant.
00:01:23control of both chambers of congress is at stake, but
00:01:26beyond being issue of interest and debate within... United
00:01:30States, what does it mean for us? What does it mean for the
00:01:34rest
00:01:34of the
00:01:35world?
00:01:40The midterm elections are closing in, and Trump doesn't know how to stop the
00:01:44avalanch he created with his war against Iran.
00:01:47me More and more images are emerging showing the massive destruction
00:01:50caused by Iran's response at US bases around the Persian
00:01:54Gulf. This is being reported by US military officials
00:01:58themselves and american media. We have an exclusive look at
00:02:02damage to US military sites in the middle east from Iranian drone and missile
00:02:05strikes. Active service members sent these photos to CBS News in his
00:02:09defeat against Iran, Trump has officially spent
00:02:12$44 billion so far. The American
00:02:16people are not happy about that at all. It is coming out
00:02:19of their pockets and they have to pay even
00:02:22in more. As
00:02:23a result
00:02:23of the same war, gasoline prices have approached $6 a
00:02:27gallon, while diesel, essential for transportation. has reached
00:02:31a historic
00:02:31of $6.39 a gallon, before the war, it
00:02:35was $3.70. the president is being
00:02:39crushed by the facts and is falling in the polls. only
00:02:4338% approve of him. trump sees his party's elections
00:02:46slipping away, and
00:02:48in a desperate move, is offering $500 per
00:02:52person to get them to go out and vote. if
00:02:56the republicans win the house of representatives and the United States
00:03:00"I will issue a dividend to every adult citizen in the
00:03:04United States of America for
00:03:07$5,
00:03:14tengo dos invitados, I have two guests with
00:03:18me, I'll go first to Los Angeles,
00:03:20in California, where we have Juan Jose Gutierrez, leader
00:03:24of the Full Rights for immigrants coalition, we also have
00:03:28professor Eduardo Rosales'.
00:03:50of
00:04:00maintain control of both chambers of congress does not constitute a
00:04:03criminal act, because the president did not explicitly say that
00:04:07if people voted Republican, he would pay them that
00:04:10$500. He described it as
00:04:14a dividend. He said that,
00:04:16of regardless of how people vote, as long as Republicans
00:04:20maintain control of both chambers of congress everyone's
00:04:23in the United States, that would come to around 1.225
00:04:27trillion dollars in other words, nearly 1.3
00:04:31trillion dollars. Now, the president has no
00:04:34institutional authority to order that this
00:04:37of money be paid, hypothetically
00:04:39of of speaking, if Republicans won and maintained control of
00:04:42Congress. So I think that deep down, what's
00:04:46behind all of this is that the president really is, as the quote you
00:04:50just mentioned, indicates, panicking. Republicans are
00:04:54afraid
00:04:54of of losing their majority in Congress,
00:04:57of because that would put them
00:04:58in a position that I would say, is not only
00:05:02of uncomfortable, but politically dangerous. The majority in both chambers
00:05:05of Congress determines who chairs each
00:05:09of
00:05:11of of the committees that already exist, as well as any future committees. established for a specific purpose, and the
00:05:15president is very afraid that they could impeach him. On
00:05:19top of that, the congressional majority has the power to call
00:05:23all kinds of hearings to conduct investigations, and demand
00:05:27that all sorts of documents be handed over, including
00:05:30classified material, and obviously that is what has
00:05:34the president terrified as well as powerful members the
00:05:38Republican Party.
00:05:40That is why he is making this promise. to prevent Republican
00:05:43voters, who typically turn out in lower numbers in mid-term
00:05:47elections than they do in presidential elections, from staying
00:05:51home this time around. On top of that, many are
00:05:54disappointed that the president has failed to keep promises he made,
00:05:58such as keeping us out of war, lowering the cost of living and so
00:06:02on. Everything has gone in the opposite
00:06:05direction. As the Uruguayan writer Gillana once put
00:06:09it, the United States is upside down. and large
00:06:13parts the world are two, so I think what the president has
00:06:17done with this promise is almost, almost a
00:06:20bribe, but he wanted to make this election personal for
00:06:24voters. In other words, you have
00:06:27$5,000 at stake if republicans win, I'll
00:06:31pay you, or at least there's a possibility that you'll get paid.
00:06:35If you don't vote, you won't get anything if we lose, so the
00:06:38average person starts thinking, 5,000 for me.
00:06:42another $5,00 for my wife, that's $10,000 on
00:06:46the line, maybe I'd better get motivated and go
00:06:50vote,
00:06:51and the reason is that there is lot of panic over everything that could
00:06:55come crashing down politically, not only on the
00:06:58president,
00:07:05oye pues como dice aquel dicho, well as the saying goes, a
00:07:09bird in the hand is worth two in the boy, so
00:07:12even some democrats, I presume, might vote for Republicans to get
00:07:16that money. That kind of money would
00:07:19be huge relief for many American
00:07:21families.
00:07:28Well, I'd like to put two things in the table as background
00:07:32and context. First, we have to point out that Trump's
00:07:36approval ratings are very, very low, but that's not so to
00:07:40speak the main problem, rather
00:07:42it is. has taken for granted that if the elections were held right now,
00:07:46the Republican Party would lose its majority in the house of
00:07:49representatives, but what has raised the red flags is
00:07:53the possibility that they could also lose their majority in the
00:07:57senate, and that would be particularly serious. in Georgia,
00:08:01Maine, Ohio, and Texas, there is a strong
00:08:04possibility that democrats could win. Texas has been
00:08:08Republican for many years, but today there is a possibility that democrat.
00:08:12could win there, so Trump could lose control of Congress all
00:08:16together. My colleague, Juan already mentioned what that would
00:08:19mean, second, we should also point out that this has driven
00:08:23President Trump to come up with series of wild
00:08:27ideas, not just the 5,000 payment with a colossal
00:08:30budget deficit of nearly two
00:08:33trillion
00:08:39dollars.
00:08:40Juan says it's not illegal, are you saying? it is
00:08:43illegal,
00:08:47i believe
00:08:48it is, because while it's true that he says everyone would receive
00:08:51it, regardless of how they vote, he's obviously tipping the
00:08:55scales toward the republican vote, so there's something improper about
00:08:59that, and besides, he wouldn't be giving people the
00:09:02$5,000 out of his own pocket, it would come from
00:09:06public funds through indirect taxes which would further increase
00:09:10the enormous us debt and huge budget deficit,
00:09:14which is nearly two trillion dollars. In other words, it would be
00:09:17disastrous, but anyway, let me move to some of his other
00:09:21wild ideas, like putting his image on the currency,
00:09:25changing the name of lake Ontario, that famous map the
00:09:29United States that includes Canada, Mexico and Cuba
00:09:33and some islands in and Greenland, and Greenland,
00:09:36exactly. At one point he even included Venezuela, so
00:09:40this is all part of this series of... desperate measures,
00:09:44sometimes they sound ridiculous, but they are also sad,
00:09:47embarrassing and outrageous, all an attempt to
00:09:50maintain control the legislative branch. We should all and what
00:09:54Kininton said back in the and what killinton said back in the
00:09:58day, it's the economy, and economically speaking, things are
00:10:02frankly very bad, why? because inflation is above
00:10:053%, almost 3.5%. gas
00:10:09prices have gone up more than ever since the beginning of War between the
00:10:13United States and Israel on one side and Iran on the
00:10:16other, gas prices have increased by 60%,
00:10:20and by the way, despite the enormous military superiority the United
00:10:24States. "the issue with Iran has not been resolved, the Iranian
00:10:28government continues to maintain control the country and
00:10:32control the straight of hormos, so this is an entire adverse
00:10:36context for President Trump and it is pushing him toward these kinds of
00:10:39statements even irresponsible ones in attempt,
00:10:43I repeat to maintain control the legislative branch,
00:10:47despite his very low popularity and his
00:10:50obvious failures both domestically and
00:10:53abroad."
00:11:55so giving away $1.3 trillion dollars would still be
00:11:58something we would have to wait and see before criminal charges could
00:12:02theoretically be brought against him as provided by
00:12:05law. Juan
00:12:09jose, before i go back to Eduardo, let ask you
00:12:12this: in the US, there's something known as the October
00:12:16surprise in the period leading up to the elections, in this case
00:12:20the mid terms, what could the elements of a possible
00:12:24october?
00:13:33That way, any legal, political, or other actions that might be taken in the
00:13:37event of democratic victory could be portrayed as
00:13:40illegitimate. Through all these maneuvers,
00:13:44mainly legal and political, he could refuse to recognize
00:13:47democratic victory, and claim that the democrats did not
00:13:51actually win majority in the November elections.
00:13:54people
00:14:03normally
00:14:07speculate for example about what would be better for us, whether
00:14:11democrats or republicans are in power, and outside
00:14:14Mexico, in other parts the world, in this particular case, the
00:14:18United States under Donald Trump, has very clearly
00:14:21cided with Israel in this war against Iran. along with
00:14:25series of policies you've already mentioned, the straight of hormos, and
00:14:29so on. Is there something that would be better for the world, for
00:14:33Mexico, for Latin America, for democrats to win, or
00:14:36does it ultimately make little difference since US foreign
00:14:40policy in many aspects, since US foreign policy in many
00:14:44respects is quite similar under Democrats and Republicans? Se
00:14:48parece mucho diría yo entre demócratas y republicanos,
00:14:52bueno, yo creo que por totalmente de acuerdo con.
00:14:56Well, I completely agree with you, my dear Ruben, frankly, one or the
00:15:00other is practically the same, two sides the same coin. However, in
00:15:04this particular situation, in the circumstances we are living through,
00:15:07I think that not only for Mexico, but for the world,
00:15:11democratic victory would be more favorable. I believe there are
00:15:15some positions that are little more accommodating, more willing
00:15:19to negotiate, engage in dialogue and seek consensus, and those
00:15:22do contrast with the positions currently. being taken by the
00:15:26occupant the white house, going back a little to the question you
00:15:30asked, about the october surprise, i think
00:15:33it could be that the republican party manages to maintain control of... both
00:15:37chambers, which looks particularly difficult. now, on the other
00:15:41hand, we should also point out that it's not just about Trump's low
00:15:45popularity, meaning how the public perceives its president,
00:15:49which frankly has been quite negative. i also think there
00:15:52is a fracture within the republican party between the moderates so to
00:15:56speak, and the maga supporters. the famous make america
00:16:00great again movement. we can see this in two very recent
00:16:04developments, my colleague Juan mentioned one them. namely
00:16:08that the Supreme Court, to put it very subtly, did not approve the
00:16:11restrictions Trump wanted to impose and it also goes against
00:16:15Trump's openly stated wishes, so to recap: a country
00:16:19deeply in debt, a country with a budget deficit, a country
00:16:23with a trade deficit, a country where 15% the
00:16:26population lives in poverty, a country with enormous
00:16:30concentrations of wealth a country facing all these problems,
00:16:34and Trump himself said, "I'm going to end all..." wars, yet he
00:16:38hasn't ended the main one he's involved in right now, then there are
00:16:42the trade disputes with Canada, just look at all the disagreements
00:16:46his had with them, the European Union is even considering making
00:16:50Canada associate member, there are disputes with
00:16:54Mexico, rising food prices, rising, yet his speaches like
00:16:58the one about the $500 are classic examples of
00:17:01right-wing clásicos populism, de
00:17:05pues los populistas de derecha,
00:17:07mi querido Rubén.
00:17:37secretary of defense, now also referred to as the Secretary of
00:17:41War, Pete Hegsith, over all the strategic
00:17:45operational and other mistakes in the war against the Islamic Republic
00:17:48of Iran. That caused a political
00:17:51earthquake, and I think it is a loose thread that is still
00:17:55hanging there, a political thread that many other members of
00:17:59Congress could pick up a hypothetical future congress in which
00:18:02democrats controlled either one or both
00:18:05chambers. In that sense, regardless
00:18:09the fact that
00:18:10we understand that the American political system, although largely
00:18:14divided between Republicans and Democrats, ultimately
00:18:18represents the same interests. I would agree with Professor
00:18:21Eduardo that it will matter a great deal which party wins the
00:18:25legislative elections. There are very significant
00:18:29issues at stake, not only within the United States
00:18:32but around the world. He has already mentioned them all, but above
00:18:36all, I would point.
00:19:07'if i were living in the US right now and could vote, might
00:19:11say, well, maybe i'll go with the democrats, right?
00:19:15unless this financial offer comes into play, and people
00:19:18say, well, for $5, we'll sell our souls to the
00:19:22devil, right, nos vendemos al demonio, no,
00:19:26bueno, mira, para que el
00:19:28público, vote in
00:19:32concrete terms for the audience watching this program, we're
00:19:35talking about those of us who are US citizens and will be able to vote on
00:19:39November 3 and more importantly, those
00:19:43who based on how we voted in
00:19:45the last three elections are statistically expected to turn out.
00:19:48half of all those voters are naturalized
00:19:52latino citizens. In other words, the Latino
00:19:56vote, the citizen vote, but from an immigrant Latino
00:20:00background is going to be decisive in determining which
00:20:04way the balance tips in favor of one party or the other.
00:20:08Right now, I think there is a widespread conviction within the Latino
00:20:12community that a strategic mistake was already made when
00:20:1652% the Latino vote went to Donald Trump two years
00:20:19ago. That support has now collapsed, and at this
00:20:23point, among the electoral preferences of Latino
00:20:27voters, less than 30% say they intend to vote for
00:20:31Trump. That means he has lost almost 30%
00:20:34the support he received two years ago.
00:21:20What about Mexico, a military intervention in Mexico against the
00:21:24drug
00:21:24cartels?
00:21:28I think people don't change, and neither does Trump. For example,
00:21:32in foreign policy, he has now literally taken control of Venezuelan
00:21:36oil, and following that logic, his political and military
00:21:39actions against Iran will probably intensify, but we can
00:21:43also expect his actions and especially his statements against
00:21:47certain European countries to intensify as... well as against
00:21:51canada and he will certainly not lot up on greenland, that
00:21:55much needs to be very clear, but what concerns me more about the
00:21:59United States is whether the election results will actually be
00:22:02respected in terms of global democracy indicators, the
00:22:06United States is at one of its lowest points with red
00:22:10flags over what is happening in what is also known as the
00:22:13union, me
00:22:16recuerda que ofreció. that he offered
00:22:20a lot of oil at the G20 meeting, it brings to mind the
00:22:24energy issue, and you already mentioned that famous line from
00:22:28Clinton's campaign, it's the
00:22:30economy,
00:22:32entonces,
00:22:37thank you very much, Juan José, thank you very
00:22:40much, a big hug to both of you, and from my point of view,
00:22:44frankly, this business of offering should have joined me again a
00:22:48future edition of Gring.
00:22:59When Iraq invaded Iran in 1980, Said Ali
00:23:02Khamani went to the frontlines, but as the war
00:23:06entered its second year, his role
00:23:08changed, from battlefield visits to the
00:23:12presidency, from military coordination to international
00:23:16diplomacy, he became part of Iran's wartime leadership.
00:23:22This is the story of his eight-year journey through the Iran-Iraq
00:23:26war.
00:23:45For more than three decades, Iran's military
00:23:48doctrine rested on
00:23:50on one simple principle: strategic patience and retaliatory
00:23:54deterrence, nation still bearing the scars of eight-year
00:23:57imposed war, preferred to deter aggression through a
00:24:01network of defensive capability rather than direct
00:24:05confrontation, but today the page has
00:24:07turned. i'm and this is a
00:24:10nutshell.
00:24:37To understand this shift, we have to go back to the roots of Iran's
00:24:41defensive doctrine: the eight-year war that Iraq backed
00:24:44by western powers imposed on Iran left a deep
00:24:48imprint on the nation's military. be thinking, from that
00:24:52point on, Iran adopted a policy of passive defense, and later
00:24:55mosaic defense, an approach built on dispersing
00:24:59military of this defensive doctrine was Iran's missile program. The
00:25:03experience of Iraqi missile strikes on Iranian cities convinced Tehran
00:25:07that missile capability had to sit at the heart of its deterrant
00:25:10strategy. Alongside that, combat drones, asymmetrical naval
00:25:14assets latitively costly without direct engagement. This
00:25:17approach relied on deterrance through the threat. of retaliation, not
00:25:21preemption, and the 40-day war that began in February, and the
00:25:2540-day war that began in February of 2026, permanently
00:25:28changed that equation. Iranian commanders have
00:25:32explicitly stated
00:25:33that the country's doctrine is shifting from defensive to
00:25:37offensive. army spokesman, brigadier general Muhammad Akraminia made
00:25:41clear that this shift has occurred gradually over the course these two
00:25:45most recent wars. muhammad, advisor to the IRG commander and
00:25:49chief, also... emphasized that Iranian forces must be ready to take
00:25:52operations into enemy territory whenever conditions demanded, rather than
00:25:56simply waiting to absorb a strike. The leader the Islamic Revolution,
00:26:00Ayatollah Mujtaba Khamenei, institution. this transformation by
00:26:04appointing experienced commanders such as brigadier general Ahmad Wahidi
00:26:08to lead the IRGC, tasking them with strengthening deterrents
00:26:11through powerful offensive operations. The difference
00:26:15between these two doctrines lies exactly here:
00:26:19defensive doctrine waits to absorb a blow before
00:26:22retaliating, while an offensive doctrine allows Iran
00:26:26to neutralize a threat before it ever reaches execution.
00:26:30Under this new doctrine, Iran response to any aggression will not
00:26:34only be faster, but will exceed the scale the original attack. a
00:26:37practical example of this approach was Iran's strike on the US base in
00:26:41Jordan carried out before Washington formally joined Israel's assault,
00:26:45action Iranian commanders cite as a model of preemptive operations. This
00:26:49approach has pulled the axis of resistance out of purely reactive
00:26:52posture and turn it into actor capable of shaping the battlefield in
00:26:56advance. What we are witnessing here is not merely a change in
00:27:00weaponry,
00:27:00it is a complete redefinition. of Iran's position in the
00:27:04balance of power across West Asia, the era when Iran
00:27:08simply held its borders is over. Today, any act of
00:27:11aggression against Iranian sovereignty will draw a response
00:27:15that extends well beyond those borders, clear message to
00:27:19Washington and Tel Aviv that the age of hit and run is
00:27:23not
00:27:23returning.