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00:00:00some investigations,
00:00:01what the election surely, uh, actions
00:00:04and with are taken to stop
00:00:06of the victory of something like this, but in general, these
00:00:09lines will continue and this
00:00:13administration, as far as the president is concerned,
00:00:16can make decisions that from a
00:00:19realistic point of view, of sanity, of politics,
00:00:23of, uh, even within the parameters of
00:00:27the United States, could be considered
00:00:30truly disproportionate. It cannot
00:00:34be ruled out based on what
00:00:38uh he, as a person, interprets as
00:00:41going against the interests of uh the United States, which in
00:00:45reality he sees as his own interests, and he believes that
00:00:49he won when everyone knows he didn't win.
00:00:52So we would have to wait to see not
00:00:55only that an electoral
00:00:58result and all the
00:01:02opinions and criteria are consolidated,
00:01:05but also what reaction President
00:01:08Trump may have based on the results, how he interprets
00:01:12them, and what variations he plans to apply.
00:01:16I want to thank you
00:01:20for joining us on this special program, for sharing your valuable
00:01:23opinion and analysis, by the way, regarding foreign
00:01:27policy, regarding domestic policy, and above all, these scenarios that
00:01:30open up if the Democrats' victory is consolidated
00:01:34and a defeat that could be described as historical
00:01:37also for the Republican wing. What will
00:01:39happen in the midst of all this situation? Well, we will see in
00:01:43the coming hours when it is 100% consolidated, while
00:01:47the election of some governors in favor of
00:01:50the Democratic wing, including the Senate of the United
00:01:54States, is also ratified. Luis René Fernández
00:01:58Tavio is with us, and a researcher at the Center for Demographic Studies
00:02:02of the University of Havana. Thank you for joining us regarding these
00:02:06results. What is also being officially
00:02:08consolidated within the hemicycle, within
00:02:12the United States Congress, has to do with the Senate, one of the
00:02:16very disputed scenarios also this day. So far,
00:02:19nine for the Democrats and two for the Republicans, zero for the
00:02:23independents. Let's remember that there are 35 seats
00:02:26in dispute, but this marks
00:02:29increased the cost of something key. One of the seats has just
00:02:32been lost by
00:02:33lead in all three, in the Republicans, that is, today it falls into the hands of the Democrats, Mariana. This is not a
00:02:37minor detail, it is a minor detail and the winner is
00:02:41Roy Cooper, former governor of the state.
00:02:43And
00:02:46I'm saying it correctly, North Carolina,
00:02:49with a campaign message: we must
00:02:52recover the quality of life of the middle
00:02:56class, no, that is the campaign
00:02:59with which he wins this election. It is not a minor issue and
00:03:02clearly again it is the economy, the pockets
00:03:06and the cost of gasoline, part of his strategy to
00:03:09win this campaign. Now,
00:03:1274% of this seat that the
00:03:14to know, how the consolidation Democrats win, led by Senator Roy Cooper, who just
00:03:17moments ago spoke in front of his constituents and said another
00:03:20key issue, all related also to the economy, we have
00:03:24to work to end this war and stop the
00:03:27suffering at gas stations, one... once again, the impact on the
00:03:31consumer's pocket that has had to do with this
00:03:35war that has been strengthened on February 28th
00:03:38in an excessive attack that even attacked
00:03:41one of the schools in southern Iran, the
00:03:43and our Telesur viewers, Eminap school, killing more than 170 girls. This
00:03:47also impacts with this naval blockade in the strategic Strait
00:03:50of Hormuz and the impact that has been in the attack also of these ships
00:03:54and this whole scenario of conflict that
00:03:57has again tended to delay
00:04:01the level of tension yesterday when southern Iran was attacked. Yes,
00:04:04in fact, what Cooper shows us is how the average
00:04:08voter can be decisive in modifying
00:04:11a trend of a vote, and you rightly
00:04:15said, Paola, the effects that
00:04:19a very distant war has on the pockets of
00:04:21Americans are fundamental. Now we are not
00:04:25discussing human rights and all the deaths that have been generated
00:04:29by this war and that will be analyzed
00:04:33at another time, but undoubtedly how
00:04:41and we will bring you everything elections. The Hispanic community in cast this vote in conflicts far from US territory can negatively impact and how from a campaign
00:04:43appealing to what is studied as the median
00:04:47voter, that is, the average
00:04:50people in terms of voting, and
00:04:54a discourse in favor of improving
00:04:57the economic conditions and quality of life of voters,
00:05:01has been decisive for one of the seats that the Democratic
00:05:04Party needs to be winning now, and precisely in
00:05:08North Carolina, according to the latest trends and projections, including from
00:05:12continue to arrive regarding US media, they spoke of a
00:05:1457% disapproval of the policies implemented by the
00:05:18Republican Donald Trump's administration in the midst of a complex
00:05:22scenario that also indicates that the management
00:05:25has been 42% worse than 2
00:05:29years ago, that is, there is a very marked setback,
00:05:32a setback that widens a very
00:05:35complicated scenario tonight for the Republican Donald Trump, who is surely
00:05:39following it, as we know, from the Oval Office, from the White
00:05:42House, through his own media, another point we can add
00:05:46is the management of the media, an open
00:05:50confrontation against journalists who have even been banned from entering,
00:05:54from covering a presidential
00:05:57agenda, from being able to ask questions of the
00:06:00current President of the United States. Yes, where is freedom
00:06:04there, no? To be able to question
00:06:08the powers in the United States is
00:06:11an important issue. Very large networks within
00:06:15the United States that at times did
00:06:18not have the possibility to follow the coverage
00:06:21and that also shows President Trump's desire to maintain
00:06:25the agenda and the issues that are constituted
00:06:28from his own communication with citizens, I also
00:06:31think it is a trend that is happening in different parts of the
00:06:35world, trying to avoid
00:06:38what was previously considered as the fourth
00:06:41estate, which is the establishment. The executive's
00:06:44agenda with the electorate, well, everything seems to indicate
00:06:48that also in this monitoring
00:06:51of election results, well, Trump has decided, because
00:06:54various media outlets state that he is not following
00:06:58the elections but through his own channels.
00:07:01Chris Coons has also been elected senator for
00:07:05Delaware, a Democrat, is another
00:07:08of the consolidated results so far, another of the states
00:07:11that has also defined its senator, how
00:07:14it is generating and escalating seats in the Senate,
00:07:18we already saw that one seat has already
00:07:21gone to the Democrats, that is, the Republicans have lost
00:07:24this seat, still in contention, the Democrats
00:07:28must get three more to have
00:07:30an advantage over the Republicans, there
00:07:33we also see in our reality how
00:07:3711 seats in the Senate are in favor of the
00:07:41Democrats and three for the Republicans.
00:07:43This is what we are also seeing in part of the reactions
00:07:47from the Democrats' own account, this has to do
00:07:50with what we mentioned earlier, Democrat Chris Pappas has also
00:07:54won the race in New Hampshire, he is another
00:07:56member of the United States Senate, and
00:07:59it is precisely part of what we were reporting
00:08:03moments ago and also analyzing within this program, the
00:08:07Democrats are advancing in the race, Mariana.
00:08:10demócratas.
00:08:12We also have 11 to 3, zero for
00:08:16independents, they still need three, it's still missing in
00:08:19the upper house, in the Senate, also the
00:08:23results that are being
00:08:26published by different media, please follow
00:08:30the coverage and the Telesur map. 65
00:08:33seats for Democrats in the House of Representatives, 29
00:08:37Republicans. Some states still need to
00:08:40close the polls,
00:08:43but again, in the
00:08:46other chamber, the blues are winning.
00:08:50Yes, a situation that helps us understand how this map is taking shape,
00:08:54how it is turning red in favor of the Republicans and
00:08:58blue in favor of the Democrats. It does not seem to be a good night for the
00:09:02Donald Trump administration. Henry Camelo is with us from New
00:09:05York as well to give us more details, more information at
00:09:26have just closed in the state and city of New
00:09:30York and the expectation is maximum
00:09:33because now the counting of votes begins.
00:09:37More than 5 million people were
00:09:40eligible in the state
00:09:44of New York and in the city of New York to
00:09:49the midterm
00:09:53New York City, about
00:09:551,500,000
00:09:58eligible voters for these elections. Many of
00:10:02them went to the polls, a lot of turnout from
00:10:056 in the morning. The hours were open between 6 and
00:10:099 in the morning and many
00:10:12people were seen attending the polls despite it being
00:10:16a workday and that normality
00:10:19in daily work continued. However, the
00:10:23crowd throughout
00:10:27the city basically looked as if it were
00:10:30presidential elections, as the
00:10:33enthusiasm to go out and vote was seen from
00:10:37early hours of the morning. The
00:10:40projections that have been given by different media
00:10:43outlets and different news agencies
00:10:46are that the Democrats will
00:10:49keep the seats that are
00:10:52stipulated and that are expected to
00:10:56come out of here from the state of New York. District
00:10:5917 is a district that has
00:11:02presented problems, it is the Westchester district
00:11:06where the machines presented
00:11:09problems when scanning
00:11:11the voting forms. Many of
00:11:15them could not be scanned and had
00:11:19to be collected to be
00:11:22scanned. At this hour,
00:11:25it is expected that new machines, new
00:11:28scanners will be brought so that all
00:11:32these ballots are counted. We are talking
00:11:36about more than 300 polling stations
00:11:39having problems out of the 45 municipalities
00:11:42that make up
00:11:45Westchester, Westchester County, 44
00:11:49presented this type of problem. However, the
00:11:53electoral authorities and the prosecutor's office took
00:11:57immediate action, protecting
00:12:00these forms so that they could
00:12:03be counted once voting hours
00:12:06ended. So it is expected that in the
00:12:10coming minutes, the counting
00:12:13of these ballots will also begin. However,
00:12:16it must be said that this could delay
00:12:20the final results in that
00:12:23county, a county that is in dispute
00:12:27by the current representative in
00:12:30the House, Mike Lawler,
00:12:34and the aspirant to take
00:12:37this seat from
00:12:41the Democratic Party, Katin Collin.
00:12:44According to the projections,
00:12:48she would be above the Republican candidate
00:12:50with 53%
00:12:55of the electoral preference, and according to the
00:12:58projections, she would be the one to take the
00:13:01seat of this district
00:13:0517. We will be very attentive to what
00:13:08happens there. It must be said that in New
00:13:11Jersey, voting closed at 8 p.m.
00:13:14and the results are quite
00:13:18encouraging for the Democrats.
00:13:22District 1 was
00:13:25won by Donald
00:13:28Norcross, and he
00:13:31is the Democratic candidate who, with
00:13:37the vote,
00:13:41two in district three, and one of the
00:13:45most contested was
00:13:48district number
00:13:51seven where Rebecca
00:13:53Bennet beat
00:13:56Thomas Kean. This
00:13:59by an overwhelming majority with 64%
00:14:03against 34%.
00:14:06District number 7 where
00:14:09Rebecca Bennet defeated Thomas Kean
00:14:13Jr. This was by
00:14:17an overwhelming majority with 64%
00:14:20against 34.8%.
00:14:25that Tom Kean Jr. took,
00:14:29one of the favorites
00:14:32who was projected to be the one
00:14:35to win that district. However, once again,
00:14:38the Democrats prevailed in that district and New
00:14:42Jersey not only takes the Senate
00:14:45with Cory Booker, but also takes
00:14:49several Democratic districts
00:14:51in this state, in the Garden State.
00:14:55We are waiting for the vote
00:14:59count to advance here in New York
00:15:02City and in New York State
00:15:06that happens. The projections definitely, according to the
00:15:09news agencies, are that these seats will be for the
00:15:13Democrats. Let's remember that New
00:15:15York is a state that has traditionally
00:15:19been Democratic and is a state that in its
00:15:22projections has always had the
00:15:25Democratic Party candidates as
00:15:28winners. However, that district
00:15:3117 was very close and it is expected
00:15:34that it will also be won by
00:15:43the election of the governor in New York, Henry. There are already
00:15:47results that mark an irreversible trend,
00:15:50an election trend. This also marks a comeback
00:15:53practically for the
00:15:56Democratic wing
00:15:59within several key states that are
00:16:02also developing this day, no, we are
00:16:05seeing it, we are reviewing it
00:16:08at this time of night where the official count is
00:16:12also advancing, the consolidation of
00:16:15results is also advancing, including the congratulations that have been
00:16:19arriving from what is
00:16:23precisely the Democratic wing, the
00:16:25party's X account that is also disputing the governorships,
00:16:29the 435 seats in the House of
00:16:32Representatives where the Democrat
00:16:34Kari has been elected governor over
00:16:38her opponent Brooks Blackman, the
00:16:40Republican. What has Henry marked regarding this
00:16:43election for it to be defined in this way?
00:17:01Well, it has been
00:17:03a rather controversial election, if
00:17:07one could say it that way, because
00:17:10Governor Hochul
00:17:13has received many criticisms here in New
00:17:16York City and in the state due to certain policies
00:17:20she has been implementing, among them the collection
00:17:23of tolls, congestion charges.
00:17:26These are tolls that were installed throughout
00:17:30the city to cross into Manhattan. Let's remember
00:17:33that New York City
00:17:37is made up of five boroughs. Manhattan is
00:17:40an island and therefore, to access it,
00:17:43you have to enter either through tunnels
00:17:47or bridges. Before these fees,
00:17:51crossings were free for any vehicles.
00:17:54Nowadays, to enter Manhattan,
00:17:58each vehicle has to pay $9.
00:18:01This has
00:18:06living and of all
00:18:09the people who need to work in the
00:18:13city, uh, cars that make
00:18:16deliveries of goods, to
00:18:20taxi drivers themselves, and this has
00:18:23created discomfort among many, many people.
00:18:27Even business owners have been complaining
00:18:30about the lack of public
00:18:32influx. People who used to go to
00:18:36Manhattan on weekends stopped doing so due to
00:18:39these high costs,
00:18:42because between the high cost of gasoline and the tolls
00:18:46that were put in place as
00:18:49congestion fees, it has
00:18:52been very difficult for many people to access
00:18:55Manhattan. This has seriously
00:18:58impacted businesses. Many of these
00:19:01people demanded that Governor
00:19:05Kathy Hochul should remove
00:19:08those congestion tolls, however, she refused
00:19:12to do so. That has not brought many of the expected
00:19:15results. A
00:19:18decrease in
00:19:21city pollution was expected, something that,
00:19:24statistically, has not been able to be measured as having good
00:19:28results beyond raising much more
00:19:31money for the city and that in the end, people are not
00:19:35really seeing how that money is being invested. That
00:19:39point was quite controversial and was one
00:19:43of the points for which her
00:19:45opponent Bruce Blakeman
00:19:49was attacking Governor Kathy Hochul.
00:19:52However, as I was telling
00:19:55you before, New York is a Democratic state
00:19:59and beyond even what
00:20:02could be the vote in favor of Governor Kathy
00:20:06Hochul for her management, according to analysts, it is a vote
00:20:10that goes against
00:20:13the Republicans, against the policies they have been implementing
00:20:17during this second term of Donald
00:20:19Trump. We will see how Governor
00:20:23Hochul, from this new, this
00:20:27new mandate, will address all these complaints
00:20:31that have been presented by both merchants and
00:20:35residents regarding congestion charges
00:20:38and other issues in which
00:20:41she simply has not addressed
00:20:45those needs and those
00:20:48calls from New Yorkers. It is
00:20:52expected that this will somehow be addressed
00:20:55once she resumes activities. It is
00:20:599:20 and we are
00:21:03still receiving preliminary
00:21:06data. We are also waiting for what happens
00:21:10in Westchester County, which, as I told
00:21:13you, these results will take a little longer
00:21:17because they have to transport the scanners
00:21:20to the polling centers to be able
00:21:23to carry out the counting of the forms
00:21:27that could not be scanned due to machine failures.
00:21:31We are very attentive here to each
00:21:41election in New York has turned out. It has
00:21:45fallen into the hands of the Democrats.
00:21:48Kathy Hochul is the new governor with 75% over
00:21:52her opponent, the Republican who did not even reach
00:21:5630%. We review it, moreover, within this
00:22:00election, within this victory for the Democrats, it must be said that
00:22:03the cost and quality of life have also weighed, another
00:22:07of the axes that continues to revolve around the economic
00:22:11theme within the United States. The current governor also decides
00:22:15to implement policies different from those of the Republicans, she has said during
00:22:18her recent statements, among them a different
00:22:22migratory policy. I ask you, Mariana, how easy, how
00:22:25difficult will it be to change, to turn around
00:22:28this situation as it is currently being handled by the Donald
00:22:32Trump administration? Very complicated to modify immigration policy
00:22:35in general, uh, yes, it is relevant to consider
00:22:39that specific resources have been
00:22:42proposed until 2029, but again, I think
00:22:45what is relevant is the way,
00:22:48the way in which policy is applied, which can
00:22:52be decisive. In the following days and
00:22:55months we will be able to identify if it was just a campaign
00:22:59promise or a real policy of change in various
00:23:02states. This, without a doubt, still draws
00:23:05the internal map, the political map, but in some
00:23:09way it helps us to understand what factors, above
00:23:13all, are tilting this balance in favor of the Democrats
00:23:16at this moment over the Republicans. Yes, in fact, the
00:23:20three seats that the Democratic
00:23:23Party needs in the Senate to have a majority
00:23:26are precisely many of those states
00:23:30that we will have some news from last.
00:23:34Alaska, as you said, Paola,
00:23:37a very complex election in Iowa, Kansas, Maine,
00:23:41Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, which we
00:23:44are also following very closely in these states.
00:23:48The Democratic Party only needs three to have
00:23:51a majority in the upper house.
00:23:55And precisely in the midst of this whole panorama, we will continue
00:23:58to reflect the results, which is what people want
00:24:04of both the House of Representatives and the Senate is advancing,
00:24:08which, moreover, we reiterate the information, one
00:24:12of the seats is in favor of the Democrats, they still need
00:24:15three to have a majority. This also helps us to visualize
00:24:19precisely. Let's look at the House of Representatives
00:24:22at this moment to be able to graph, to be able to show
00:24:26you how this voting is developing, how it is also consolidating,
00:24:30Mariana, sharing with you
00:24:33so far 29 for the Republicans,
00:24:36let's update this data
00:24:40once more, 36 for the Republicans, 72 for
00:24:43the Democrats and zero for the independents. That is
00:24:47the result we share with you when it is 10:24
00:24:51p.m. We are seeing an interesting comeback for the
00:24:54Democratic wing, uh, this is exceeding expectations
00:24:58or is it what was already expected to happen? There is a trend
00:25:02and it seems to be consolidating,
00:25:06but again, I think there was an expectation regarding
00:25:09previous elections where opinion polls
00:25:13do not necessarily reflect in terms of voting and a little bit to
00:25:17that, uh, you understand uh, those of us who are... are
00:25:20observing and closely following this special
00:25:24program, uh, it has to do with the fact
00:25:28that many people, when they are interviewed after casting their
00:25:31vote, do not necessarily say, uh, the real
00:25:35vote they cast, but rather what others hear. And then,
00:25:38well, what has happened in various elections is that
00:25:42exit polls did not necessarily
00:25:44reflect the electoral results. Until
00:25:48now, everything seems to indicate that opinion polls are
00:25:52very close to the actual vote we are seeing in the
00:25:56electoral results. Now, amidst all this, congratulations
00:26:03is, what has defined the seats, that,
00:26:07also the results that mark
00:26:10this within the Democrats and the
00:26:14Republicans themselves. For example, let's
00:26:17share what the official account of the
00:26:20Democratic Party has,
00:26:23uh, Democrat John Ossoff has been re-elected to the
00:26:26Senate, United States.
00:26:29This is also what marks the seat for Georgia, meaning
00:26:33Democrats retain this seat in Georgia, another of the key
00:26:37axes also within this electoral process,
00:26:40Mariana. So far, Democrats have not lost any seats. Again,
00:26:44we have to wait for the next results, but
00:26:47Republicans have lost one, at least in the Senate
00:26:50and the lower
00:26:54chamber, the House of Representatives, 77
00:26:57seats go to the Democratic Party, 40 to
00:27:01the Republican Party. We still have 318
00:27:04seats to define, but it's the states
00:27:08that some of them have had complications in terms of counting, voting,
00:27:12and accusations that we are missing. Alaska will be the
00:27:15last, where there were more problems, where
00:27:18even the Department of Justice of the United States decides
00:27:22to get involved and assures that they could
00:27:24guarantee stolen elections, so they say,
00:27:27amidst a confusion that has been generated there, amidst the accusations.
00:27:31Which is very worrying, especially in
00:27:35democracies, even putting that in the atmosphere
00:27:38and in the collective imaginary, because that opens the
00:27:42possibility that the entire election is in question and that
00:27:45has a problem of, uh, conflicts, not in terms of
00:27:49policy positioning. It's not a minor detail, taking into account also the
00:27:53map and a complex night, we say once
00:27:56again, for the Republican, for the party and for the President of the United
00:27:59States Donald Trump. Let's add from Texas,
00:28:03our colleague José Leveña with the
00:28:14state of Texas. The polling stations closed
00:28:17and from the previous round now we see
00:28:20how Talarico has
00:28:23surpassed Ken Paxton,
00:28:26also Jine Hojosa, also in the House of
00:28:30Representatives, the Democrats
00:28:32would be in the
00:28:36both chambers and the election for governor they would be
00:28:39ahead of the Republicans. Only 5% of the votes
00:28:43have been counted, but if this very preliminary
00:28:47trend is confirmed, it would be a blue tsunami in the state of
00:28:50Texas.
00:28:54José, and amidst all this scenario, finally I want to
00:28:57ask you, uh, about any controversy
00:29:01that has arisen where you are. Peaceful elections, unlike what
00:29:04has been reported, for example, in complaints in Alaska or New York, how
00:29:08has it been, what has transpired in the state where
00:29:10you are? Here, the elections have been
00:29:14peaceful, as we have commented, most of the
00:29:17people have voted in early voting, the early
00:29:20vote that ended last Friday, and by mail.
00:29:24So most of the day we have seen the
00:29:28polling stations empty and now they are preparing to
00:29:31count votes to see if tonight
00:29:35we have the results. The Democratic Party's
00:29:38celebration centers are in Austin, the capital, while
00:29:42the Republicans moved theirs to
00:29:44Dallas.
00:29:46Thank you, José Leveña, we are very attentive to this panorama as the
00:29:50results continue to be consolidated. We also share with
00:29:53you in real time, this is registered in the election of
00:29:57governor in the state of Pennsylvania, one of the states that also
00:30:00closed quite quickly.
00:30:02Influx of people, what they were also telling us
00:30:06Josh Shapiro is consolidated as governor with that
00:30:0967.2% against his opponent Staisy
00:30:12Garrity who only obtained that
00:30:1531.7%,
00:30:17we have it there as an official result, this
00:30:21also consolidates a resounding victory of
00:30:24that 67.2 over only 31.7%
00:30:26of Republicans, Mariana,
00:30:30yes, we are seeing how the Democratic
00:30:33wing is occupying important spaces
00:30:37and someone was asking, will it be a wave or
00:30:40a blue tsunami, a wave
00:30:43or a blue tsunami, that's what our guest says at this hour, what
00:30:47is certain is that it could have gone against any
00:30:51Republican prediction, because the pollsters even spoke of a
00:30:5494% probability of controlling not
00:30:57only the US Congress but also the...