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00:00:00of political analysis by those who study eh
00:00:03elections, especially in the United States, on how the
00:00:07average voter is being reconfigured and preferences in
00:00:11terms of voting, despite having chosen even
00:00:14candidates who represent certain eh population
00:00:17groups, as happened in
00:00:20Florida, the first governor
00:00:23of eh dark that he has, has
00:00:27been elected, but I don't know to what extent. It has also served the
00:00:30Republican wing with this type of strategy. I would like to add
00:00:34more results regarding this election, Virginia
00:00:38is also another of the states that consolidates the quorum in the
00:00:42Senate in favor of the Democrats, Mark Warner with
00:00:4659.7%,
00:00:48versus Bert Mitsusawa with 40%.
00:00:50This also helps us to
00:00:54understand how the movement of a broad campaign has been
00:00:59party pushes in the and what will come from now on, Mariana. because if President
00:01:02Trump really maintains his narrative or
00:01:05that will be relevant in the future, because what discursive line on the reality of his actions, he
00:01:08has openly asked the Democratic wing to sign an
00:01:12agreement, otherwise he will
00:01:15take action, as he said
00:01:18recently, no eh, hours prior to the
00:01:21development of these elections on November 3rd,
00:01:24he wrote through his account on Truth Social that if there was no
00:01:28agreement, no consensus, they would not sign
00:01:32remains eh to clear the then he would push harder
00:01:35for the displacement of ICE against
00:01:39immigrants, that is, it seems to be like a narrative of
00:01:42punishment, like a
00:01:44Conley, who currently retaliation to these results and to what extent
00:01:47these policies can somehow harden even
00:01:51more. Well, we are in campaign, or well, the campaign is
00:01:54closing and what happens in campaign would have to
00:01:58be identified later. if it translates into policy,
00:02:02eh part is important when you are in
00:02:05campaign is
00:02:07problems from early hours of that the electorate listens to those issues that seem
00:02:10important and sensitive to them and that can be a potential
00:02:14a policy was applied in answer to their biggest concerns, I wouldn't be so
00:02:18sure, Paola, that President Trump doesn't want
00:02:21to negotiate formation of Congress, especially
00:02:25if
00:02:28message, he was not on he has a large majority, it's still not clear... and of course, up
00:02:30to now, the results we have available, we cannot assure
00:02:34that the Democratic party will win both chambers,
00:02:38but without a doubt, eh it's not the same to be
00:02:41in campaign as to be governing. What I do think will be
00:02:462026, 23 interesting to
00:02:48analyze later is what is the figure of the
00:02:52Republican party that will emerge as a viable
00:02:55option for the presidential candidacy. I think it's something
00:03:00three states are important to that will have to be studied with these results show
00:03:04us what are the trends of
00:03:07concerns on the part of the US
00:03:10electorate, what is the
00:03:13percentage of this hard vote and what are the issues
00:03:17that should be reconsidered as much as
00:03:20possible, eh put aside,
00:03:24eh well, the effects that many for example, we haven't talked about agriculture, food security and
00:03:27climate change, it seems that in terms of the campaign in
00:03:31the United States, these issues are blurring, but that
00:03:35very attentive to what Florida itself was
00:03:37to justify, do you think in some way having eh problems in terms
00:03:40eh eh of there are issues that are not
00:03:44so evident and that can be
00:03:48eh with other issues that seem
00:03:50priorities but these next 2 years they will
00:03:54be relevant for
00:03:57the campaigns themselves, I think I am almost convinced that
00:04:01voting is closed and we have
00:04:04a clear political panorama, the campaign
00:04:08for the presidency will
00:04:0943.5% of begin and we will have to identify if
00:04:12that political decision is made to
00:04:16create legislative paralysis and Trump will not negotiate
00:04:20under any circumstances and veto and with that
00:04:23give the possibility for 2 years of his government not to
00:04:27move and therefore that will be poorly evaluated anyway.
00:04:31We are seeing an executive who loves
00:04:34to have a historical prominence and in case
00:04:37nothing happens, the next 2 years will be to the detriment of the
00:04:41figure of the President of the United States. The truth is that today he will make
00:04:4550%. Let's not in a setback of losing seats and quite
00:04:48overwhelming, I would say within the party itself,
00:04:51this will also have to do with this
00:04:54reconfiguration, in the Senate North Carolina, in
00:04:58results, Roy Cooper. 58.3%
00:05:01in favor of the Democrats against his opponent
00:05:05Michael Waltley with 39.6%.
00:05:09We have him there and Cooper, who also spoke hours
00:05:12before, after learning of this result, his victory,
00:05:16he spoke of foreign policy, once again, it is the Senate
00:05:19who makes this decision, this could also
00:05:22put pressure on the Trump administration, if
00:05:26it doesn't follow this path, of course, of vetoing regulations,
00:05:29of creating legislative paralysis,
00:05:33of governing through decrees and practically
00:05:36violating US institutions, but every
00:05:39scenario can be possible, because also... Cooper
00:05:43said the war unleashed in Iran must
00:05:46determine, here there is a clear position, which
00:05:49means that this surely
00:05:52converges with a very marked position of the Democratic wing that throughout
00:05:56all these months after the aggressions that
00:05:59the United States undertook together with Israel, they have asked him to
00:06:03stop, several commissions have even joined
00:06:06Republicans to curb Trump's powers
00:06:09in the midst of this conflict that has dragged
00:06:12Americans, yes, and in fact we will also have
00:06:15to very clearly observe what will be the Democratic party's strategy
00:06:19on this particular issue, it will be decided
00:06:23to seek an impeachment
00:06:25of the US president, or failing that,
00:06:29to point to secretaries of state who, from their
00:06:33perspective, are not fulfilling the objectives of keeping
00:06:37the United States safe and the national interest
00:06:40above any private interests or
00:06:44other states, I think that
00:06:48we will also see novel strategies
00:06:51regarding other decisions that were made
00:06:55at another time and I think this issue, Paola, about the
00:06:58war in Iran, the Senate will have a lot to say
00:07:02about the proposal on how to modify
00:07:05a policy where clearly
00:07:08eh the Democratic party, the vast majority of them are not in favor of this
00:07:12war that has started, that two countries have started
00:07:16and that it does not have a near solution, look, and in the midst
00:07:19of all this, there are several reactions that are being added from the Democratic wing that
00:07:23write to Donald Trump and tell him to get a lawyer,
00:07:27eh, it seems that the figure of a possible impeachment is
00:07:30gaining ground, it is gaining strength, and this could be
00:07:34an unthinkable scenario, perhaps several months ago, yes, it was
00:07:37unthinkable, but again eh I think we have
00:07:41to identify what the Democratic Party's strategy will
00:07:45be if the seats are consolidated, we still
00:07:48have two missing that are crucial for them
00:07:52eh, but we are still in campaign,
00:07:55still eh we have many
00:07:59votes to consolidate, but in case the Democratic
00:08:02party decided to impeach President Trump, then
00:08:06a political calculation would also have to be made if
00:08:09eh they don't also help him to have a little
00:08:13better eh, better political
00:08:16I think it will be those two options, although there could be
00:08:20different alternatives, a direct impeachment of the president or
00:08:23pressuring the president to modify a significant part of his
00:08:27cabinet and with that also his strategy, what effect
00:08:30or damage or secondary damage would also
00:08:34imply his figure, something that seems
00:08:37eh we are facing two positions that
00:08:40seem almost irreconcilable, but again, in
00:08:43the next few days we will have more clarity, that for
00:08:47the Senate, but also the House of Representatives will have a
00:08:51fundamental aspect that has to do with resources, no,
00:08:55eh, the budget has to be passed
00:08:58also in the House of Representatives
00:09:01makes the decision regarding debt, how much is spent
00:09:04in the government, important issues that will have to
00:09:07be determined for at least until now
00:09:11eh, in these hours of the night. We do not know a
00:09:13complete definition, many
00:09:17places are still to be decided,
00:09:20the count, but
00:09:23so far it seems that the Democrats have it almost
00:09:27secure, although this is not over, as they say in my country until it
00:09:30is over, yes, without a doubt, out of responsibility also to know the official
00:09:34results amidst the trends that have somehow
00:09:38been consolidating in favor of one and also ratifying
00:09:41the victory of another. It is precisely Washington's policy towards
00:09:45Israel, another of the key axes that have not
00:09:49allowed Republicans to advance in this mid-term election
00:09:52added to the humanitarian crisis caused in the Gaza
00:09:55Strip, the use of public funds that are
00:09:58also part of this political dispute that
00:10:02undoubtedly marks what
00:10:05has been reported Mariana regarding
00:10:08what could also influence the
00:10:11electorate, not to distance themselves from conflicts that have
00:10:14impacted the internal economy, distance themselves from conflicts that are
00:10:17generating a shortage of fertilizers,
00:10:21food shortages that we were saying, the impact of a climate
00:10:25crisis with a government that abruptly withdrew twice from the Paris
00:10:28agreement, not recognizing the historical debt they have with less
00:10:32developed countries, but others make
00:10:35a comparison to this Republican defeat, what happened
00:10:39in 1974, not
00:10:41in Watergate, that scandal that also led to Nixon's
00:10:44resignation in the United States when not only
00:10:48seats were lost but the credibility of an entire
00:10:51party, yes, it's good that you mention it, Paola, because
00:10:55although we have heard the word impeachment many times, in reality
00:10:58no US president has had to suffer
00:11:01it eh, what has
00:11:05happened is that it is the executive who resigns
00:11:08before having a final result, given that this
00:11:12were a viable option, then we would also
00:11:15have to closely follow the
00:11:18decision of the US executive, if he decides
00:11:21in case the Democratic
00:11:24chamber and the executive
00:11:28remains, well, if we are facing the possibility of
00:11:31a first president eh who leaves
00:11:35the government in impeachment, we are anticipating too much,
00:11:38but eh something that
00:11:42is important is sometimes to understand
00:11:45these types of results, history helps
00:11:48us a lot, but also reality and something else we haven't talked about,
00:11:52Paola, has to do with the issue
00:11:55that President Trump maintained for several
00:11:59months when the campaigns began, which is the
00:12:03influence of other countries in the US elections,
00:12:06he said it in the previous elections
00:12:10eh, now he also positioned it and
00:12:13at least so far, we have no message that
00:12:16suggests that other countries have
00:12:20influenced the decision of eh eh US
00:12:23citizens. I want to share with you what US President
00:12:27Donald Trump has just posted, it is his first
00:12:30reaction after the results of these mid-term elections, what he is
00:12:34also sharing through his account on Truth Social and which is reposted,
00:12:37you know through the X account.
00:12:40This is what Trump writes at
00:12:44this hour when it is 11:42 PM local time
00:12:47in Caracas, Venezuela and he says precisely in his
00:12:53the ballot, that's what he writes.
00:13:03He writes, thank you for your attention to this matter, President
00:13:05Donald Trump, November 3,
00:13:11PM 40
00:13:14minutes, we have no surprises, no surprises, no
00:13:17surprises, it was a possibility to attribute the
00:13:21loss to the candidates. and not
00:13:25necessarily in an evaluation of his own
00:13:28mandate, he is convinced that he is doing an excellent job, at least
00:13:31he didn't use the word stolen elections or
00:13:35fraud, so far, so far, let's hope it continues,
00:13:39well, that's the first reaction, we have shared it in real time
00:13:42through our screen, through our multiplatform, it is the first
00:13:45official impression, this type of message had already
00:13:49transcended, we were discussing it previously with Mariana, because several
00:13:52officials, even from the White House itself, had stated that
00:13:56this was an election where Trump was not on the ballot, but they try
00:14:02also what he said, voting in these elections for the party is voting for
00:14:05me, do it as if you were voting for me, but it was not like that, yes,
00:14:09because there was a growing concern
00:14:13eh regarding the possibility of what we were talking about a few minutes
00:14:16ago of an impeachment, so that's when Trump comes out
00:14:20to campaign for those
00:14:23candidates who also wish to, because there was also a process of
00:14:26disengagement with several Republican party
00:14:29candidates who considered that
00:14:33the poor rating that President Trump's work was
00:14:36receiving could directly affect their ability to keep their
00:14:40seat, no,
00:14:43eh, I don't think there are any surprises so far,
00:14:47Henry Camelo is with us at this time to add
00:14:50more information, he joins us live
00:14:53from New York, welcome.
00:14:58What's up, Paola? I greet you again. From cold
00:15:01New York, the temperature does not stop
00:15:04falling, but the electoral atmosphere and the
00:15:07atmosphere here continues to be heated.
00:15:11At this moment, the elected
00:15:14governor Katy Hokul is giving her
00:15:17victory speech. She is thanking
00:15:21all her constituents, she is thanking
00:15:25those women who supported her, those immigrants who
00:15:29supported her, she says that she will continue her
00:15:32work in favor of the immigrant
00:15:35community, that the state of... New York
00:15:38will continue to be a sanctuary state where
00:15:42immigrants are protected, where ICE
00:15:45does not have the collaboration of the police,
00:15:49that this state has been formed by
00:15:52immigrants and will continue to support both
00:15:55small workers and those people
00:15:59who are looking for their documents and who have
00:16:03no criminal record, she is currently
00:16:06giving her speech and the
00:16:09hope is
00:16:12that she will continue to
00:16:15support all these immigrant communities that have been so
00:16:18harassed by ICE authorities
00:16:22and that President Donald Trump has promised
00:16:25to intensify operations in this
00:16:29city, precisely that was the point at
00:16:33which there was so much rejection by her
00:16:36opponent Bruce. Blakeman who said
00:16:39that if he had won, he would remove the
00:16:42sanctuary city status of New York City
00:16:46from the state of New York and
00:16:50precisely today Governor Kathy Hokul is
00:16:53reaffirming that this sanctuary city
00:16:56status will be maintained for the state of New
00:17:00York. We must also say
00:17:03that in the 17th district, the
00:17:06race
00:17:09very close, so far
00:17:13eh the Republican candidate Mike Lawler has a
00:17:16slight advantage over Kate
00:17:21has 49%
00:17:24compared to 50%
00:17:28for the Republican candidate, this is a
00:17:31key district and it is the district that has
00:17:35caused discord in these
00:17:38mid-term elections here in New York, where the
00:17:41machines presented
00:17:45the morning by not allowing the forms to be
00:17:49scanned correctly, at this moment the
00:17:52counting is still underway, there are no
00:17:55final results, but
00:17:59eh the Republican candidate has a slight advantage
00:18:03over the Democratic candidate and
00:18:06we hope that these
00:18:10results will somehow favor the
00:18:13Democratic candidate according to the projections
00:18:16that were already being given, there is still
00:18:20a count of votes and we will bring you the latest
00:18:22of what happens especially in
00:18:26that 17th district, the other districts have mostly
00:18:29been controlled by the Democrats,
00:18:33again the representative to the
00:18:35chamber is re-elected and
00:18:38very well-known, not only nationally,
00:18:42but also internationally, Alexandria
00:18:44Ocasio-Cortez, who has been a fierce
00:18:48defender of immigrants along with Senator Bernie
00:18:51Sanders and she has also
00:18:54promised that she will continue her fight for the migrant
00:18:58community and that she will not
00:19:02allow immigration raids to affect
00:19:05migrant communities. the city and state of New
00:19:09York, we will be
00:19:13continues the results of these
00:19:16mid-term elections and we will bring you the latest
00:19:20of what comes out of here.
00:19:23Henry Camelo live with us from New York, we will
00:19:27continue to update, I say with certainty the
00:19:29results. New Mexico already has
00:19:33a defined governor, in this case a governor who falls to
00:19:37the Democrats of Haaland with
00:19:4056.5% versus Grall and the
00:19:43Republicans
00:19:47the vote. This, Mariana, is an interesting
00:19:50result because also Haaland, who was
00:19:53a former congresswoman, also becomes the first
00:19:56Native American woman to be
00:19:59elected governor of this state. Yes, again
00:20:03we are seeing the
00:20:06agenda. counter to what President Trump has developed
00:20:10in these last two years, everything that smells progressive
00:20:13or woke, well, many of the
00:20:16winners in this race
00:20:20represent this anti-politics, there is a
00:20:23clear message from some
00:20:26sectors
00:20:28eh from the states that we do not agree on how
00:20:32politics is developing and in some way Paola, it seems that
00:20:35it gives us
00:20:38eh some hope and a breath of fresh
00:20:41air that not everything is conservative and not everything is
00:20:45reversal, look, for that we will also add the victory of Doctor
00:20:49and Andrews, this
00:20:52has achieved the defeat of Republican Lindsey Graham in this
00:20:56Senate race in South Carolina, this is not a minor fact
00:21:00eh also for our team, we will pass this information
00:21:03to be able to reflect it also on our Telesur
00:21:07screen and we will explain to you why
00:21:11eh it also denotes a relevance in terms
00:21:14of this panorama, it is that precisely Andrews becomes the first
00:21:17Democrat in almost 30 years to win a seat
00:21:21in the Senate for this state of South Carolina, this is the congratulation that the
00:21:24Democratic Party makes precisely in this mid-term election
00:21:28this November 3, we also share it with
00:21:32you through our Telesur information
00:21:35multiplatform, historical victory, this is how the
00:21:38Democratic party describes it, Doctor Annie Andrews has defeated
00:21:42Republican Lindsey Graham in this Senate race in the United
00:21:46States in South Carolina, with this victory the
00:21:50pastor Andrew becomes the first Democrat in almost
00:21:5330 years to win a seat in the Senate in South Carolina.
00:21:57Share the image and the Democrats are consolidating
00:22:00spaces within the Senate, which
00:22:04is another of the key axes at this moment. Yes, the second
00:22:08seat that they manage to snatch from the Republican
00:22:11party and we are missing two, Paola. Two are missing, two are missing for
00:22:14the Democrats to consolidate this
00:22:17majority in the Senate, what is known so far is that
00:22:21there is already a very interesting rebound, a comeback in the
00:22:25House of Representatives, everything points to the control being
00:22:28decisive for the Democratic party, something that
00:22:32we had already seen the first reaction of Donald Trump, that he was not
00:22:36on the ballot, if it had been so, he says that he would have
00:22:39swept these mid-term elections, no, yes,
00:22:43the truth is that Republicans and Trump have found
00:22:46themselves in a different reality
00:22:50tonight and I don't know if
00:22:53I'm wrong, if the term is valid, it's
00:22:57that the Latino vote has a lot to do with it, a family
00:23:00issue, especially how
00:23:04the first administration also to separate parents from children, it has not
00:23:08been different in this second administration,
00:23:12where even parents were deported
00:23:15mothers to third countries, the
00:23:18case of El Salvador was one of the most
00:23:22serious cases, speaking in terms of human rights
00:23:26defense and not only
00:23:29has he deported migrants but also US citizens
00:23:32who from ICE's perspective had all
00:23:36the elements to be deported eh immigration
00:23:40policy is one of the issues
00:23:43eh for which many voters have voted
00:23:46against it, eh but it is a
00:23:50complex policy because as we said
00:23:54eh at the beginning of this special program, well, the
00:23:57capacity or the margin of maneuver
00:24:00eh in terms of execution will be very complex to modify
00:24:04directly, but as we saw in the
00:24:07past, it is the forms that can
00:24:10help to
00:24:14of the population have had, an important point and I think that
00:24:18eh each
00:24:20the percentage of the Latino vote is heard
00:24:23more and the candidates who
00:24:27want to win elections will have to
00:24:30listen, turn to look at the needs and
00:24:34interests of this group that, while
00:24:38it is not decisive for now,
00:24:41it is growing exponentially and
00:24:44as a US political scientist said several
00:24:47years ago in the orders.
00:24:50Ivas that positioned themselves less than a month ago in trying to
00:24:53eliminate nationality
00:24:56by birth within the United States, which are
00:25:00another of the strategies that have been carried out to
00:25:03precisely prevent this percentage from becoming
00:25:07larger.
00:25:09Yes, this also has to do with the results that mark
00:25:13this election. We are also going to share what is being registered at this
00:25:17moment in the results of Arc. This is what
00:25:21we have at this moment for governor. In this case, the panorama
00:25:24is different from what we have been reflecting in recent
00:25:27hours. The candidate for governor, today
00:25:31elected by this state of Arkansas, falls to the Republicans
00:25:34in Sarah Huckabee with 54% against her
00:25:38opponent Fred Club of the Democrats with barely
00:25:4138.5%. Here there is a different
00:25:45panorama that is not reflected in the 50
00:25:48states, well. In this case, in the 36 that were disputing the
00:25:52governorships, to clarify, of the 50 states, 36 are electing
00:25:56a governor today, but
00:25:59this map also has a red tint. It has
00:26:02a red tint, although
00:26:05we don't have definitive results
00:26:09yet, so far three have been
00:26:12won by the Republican
00:26:14party. There has been a net
00:26:18gain by the Democratic party, but I think
00:26:22it is also relevant to point out that in the United
00:26:25States, each state has its own logic,
00:26:29its own voting trends, and what
00:26:32is done in domestic politics,
00:26:36especially as we were talking about
00:26:39earlier, sanctuary states, how they are
00:26:42defending that positioning to
00:26:45maintain, in the case of the Republican
00:26:48party, there is also the
00:26:52hard vote but also a cultural tendency
00:26:55that those are the ones that must be defended. There
00:26:59are states that after this election will have to be
00:27:02pointed out as potential swing states
00:27:07this midterm election
00:27:11result has left us is that things are no longer
00:27:14as they were before and that
00:27:18the modification of the
00:27:21voting percentage
00:27:25to the American electorate are reconfiguring.
00:27:28Yes, undoubtedly, we continue to add results, we continue to analyze this
00:27:31panorama to know in detail what is
00:27:35happening at this hour with the results in
00:27:39these midterm elections that have practically
00:27:41become a thermometer, a referendum
00:27:45for the administration of the president of the United States Donald
00:27:48Trump. We have it there in
00:27:51the House of Representatives, 130 for
00:27:55the Republicans, we see it there, 74 for the Democrats
00:27:59and zero for the independents. This
00:28:02adds to the official results, once again we say
00:28:05that this is changing the panorama, it is
00:28:09setting trends and of course we are waiting for the
00:28:12consolidation of 100%, there is still a lot to go, we still have
00:28:16quite a bit, as you said, in the case of the
00:28:20governors, there are certain key states for the Democratic
00:28:23party that, although the voting is advancing,
00:28:27it can still be modified. The case of
00:28:31Arizona with 76% of votes
00:28:34counted, well, the candidate Hobbs of the Democratic
00:28:37party is winning with a significant margin,
00:28:4158.5, but again we are at
00:28:4466% of the count, the one, the one that
00:28:48is almost very close, as you well said Paola,
00:28:51Kansas, Holzer, 51.9 with
00:28:5584% of votes counted, and well,
00:28:59very close Wisconsin, these
00:29:03keep the Democratic party, Crowley has
00:29:06a vote of
00:29:0853.8 at 11,
00:29:1111:58
00:29:14local time in Caracas, we are seeing these
00:29:17results, what are other states that are important
00:29:21to keep for the Republican party, well,
00:29:24Florida that we already mentioned with 99%,
00:29:28Foley has maintained,
00:29:31pardon, Donalds has maintained the state in favor of
00:29:34the Republican party with
00:29:3688% counted,
00:29:40Botams is having a
00:29:43significant gain, there is still 12% to
00:29:46finish the
00:29:48voting, and Iowa
00:29:52is also at 62% turning blue, we still have
00:29:56a long way to go, but these are three important states
00:30:00for the Republican party, at least one is maintained. One and there
00:30:03are two others that can be a change
00:30:07in terms of the party, we are in
00:30:11some we have not started
00:30:13yet, we have not
00:30:15started the counts, there is still
00:30:19some time, there are some that are already quite advanced, others halfway,
00:30:23I think tomorrow we will probably have
00:30:26a much clearer picture of what the governorships will be
00:30:30and also the composition of the chambers, this is very important because sometimes
00:30:32confusion is generated with the trends that the big pollsters and the media themselves
00:30:36have released, with the official results that are consolidating little by little, there are
00:30:40states, as Mariana well says, that have not even started the count,
00:30:44in other cases they are between 25 and review the