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00:00:08Please tune in to "Watching the World Together" at 10 PM on Sunday evening. Hello everyone. You are currently watching Taishi News Channel.
00:00:27Hello everyone, welcome to "Watching the World Together". I am Lin Yingru. The AI technology race in the United States
00:00:31is in full swing, but just as OpenAI and
00:00:34Anthropic successively launched their advanced models , a doomsday panic suddenly
00:00:38emerged in the AI technology world . Cockson, a former employee
00:00:42of Anthropic, posted a critical message on X on the 9th
00:00:45, stating that the OpenAI and Anthropic he knew before were
00:00:49gambling with human lives, and his former colleague Hu Bingge
00:00:53also tweeted that the probability of AI destroying humanity within 10 years
00:00:56has exceeded 10%.
00:01:00In 6 to 12 months, AI might be able to control the entire internet.
00:01:08Anthropic
00:01:08is considering introducing a third party for security, and
00:01:12SpaceX CEO Musk is right.
00:01:17OpenAI CEO Altman also took responsibility, saying that
00:01:20OpenAI will not go public this year.
00:01:23However, US President Trump expressed great dissatisfaction, stating that AI is a scam and
00:01:31the only solution for AI is a highly intelligent president. Trump
00:01:35was still not satisfied, even directly calling the Grey Cloud Executive
00:01:39Director Huang Renxun at a conference , asking Huang Renxun to turn
00:01:43on the speaker. He directly told the audience that robots and AI
00:01:47will not take over the world. Huang Renxun also
00:01:50of the technology industry, but there is no scientific basis
00:01:54for AI doomsday. As the three major AI giants
00:01:58successively expressed their positions, it also attracted attention from all walks of life.
00:02:13However, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Guo Jia expressed that the United States is spreading the theory of AI risk, which
00:02:16is a Cold War mentality, and will only interfere with the global
00:02:20process of artificial intelligence governance . It seems that China
00:02:24does not intend to slow down . Artificial intelligence researcher
00:02:27stated that Anthropic AI
00:03:30"I still believe that the wrong people will be in charge of the
00:03:33technology, and and and you that again will
00:03:36bring the probability of things going wrong, very high.
00:03:39Anthropic CEO, on the 13th,
00:03:43companies that develop
00:03:43AI technology must first establish that AI technology is lost, and no one can handle it.
00:03:51If at every step we stop, and we say,
00:03:55let's fix the problems with these models, let's understand them, let's fix
00:03:59the problems with. these models and and then only
00:04:02slowly, carefully can we move to the same to the next
00:04:06step, then I think the probability of something going wrong is very, very
00:04:09low. The nightmare scenario for six to 12 months would be that you
00:04:13have a swarm of these agents that for that, that forms
00:04:17some kind of botnet collective and could could take
00:04:20down large segments of the internet, no one could look at that and say
00:04:24this isn't a potential concern, right, that economic disruption isn't a
00:04:28potential concern when safety
00:04:30capabilities. the hugging face incident triggered a real reset.
00:04:55and monitoring are always ahead of
00:05:14When Trump attended a tech summit with Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang , he joined the discussion through a speakerphone
00:05:18, criticizing the AI doomsday theory as a market
00:05:22scam, and implicitly accusing China of foul play behind the scenes.
00:05:37Trump broadly criticized the current discussion as a deliberate hype by interested parties
00:05:41, and a hypothetical situation that will never happen. The Chinese Foreign Ministry
00:05:45responded that the world should collectively promote open, inclusive
00:05:48, universal, and benevolent AI, abandoning malicious competition. Spreading
00:05:52various threats, creating confrontation and malicious competition
00:05:56will only interfere with the global governance process of artificial intelligence
00:06:00, and is not in the interest of any
00:06:04party. US Vice President Pence even questioned whether AI leaders
00:06:08were trying to hit the brakes at this time with ulterior motives, possibly
00:06:11to raise entry barriers and stifle competition.
00:07:36If you can't control it then don't do it would be my my view
00:07:40or step aside.
00:07:51It's hard to imagine how the relationship between humans and AI will change in the future, as AI takes over in a few hours.
00:07:59The recent debate is an important reminder to think about the consequences.
00:08:07Since US oil prices have not cooled down, the Federal Reserve Chairman
00:08:47in the meeting just concluded, the FOMC decided to raise
00:08:51the target range for the federal funds rate by a quarter of a
00:08:55percentage quarters to 4%. In other words, the US increased rates by 0.25% for the third time.
00:09:09The key problem is really the inflation is about.
00:09:12100 basis points to 120 basis points too
00:09:16high, and you'd like to see that come down to the
00:09:192% target in the future, and so that's
00:09:23why the open market committee has to be weighing whether to make
00:09:27move or not. The Fed unanimously approved the rate hike with a 12:00 vote, and China's three major stock markets quickly reacted to the decision, with data personnel and lower-level employees receiving high salaries.
00:09:41.
00:10:15Since taking office in May, Hua has for the first time led the Fed to raise interest rates. Compared to the past three chairmen, and even all
00:10:19previous Fed chairmen, his stance may be more hawkish
00:10:22, clearly at odds with Trump's stance . "I mean, I'm relying on
00:10:26Kevin, but he's got you, very tough board, and I told, I talked
00:10:30to Kevin, and I said, you might as well vote with the board, buse it's not going to
00:10:34matter, the board is very hostile, they're very
00:10:37political, they're doing the wrong thing. Although Trump has strongly reversed course, it shows that he is trying to balance the trust of his nominees with high interest rates.
00:10:50President Trump, you run to cut off trade with the nation, running a
00:10:53trade deficit."
00:12:25with now a hawkish
00:12:27fed um and a and a
00:12:30just a hiking global yields, it's not just the
00:12:34US right, it's Japan, it's France, it's England, it's happening
00:12:37around the world, that could be enough to give
00:12:40us at least decent
00:12:43correction. The Fed has raised interest rates for three consecutive years, plus the taste of a rollback
00:12:51relief.
00:12:55that we're seeing here is that the fed is finally waking up and
00:12:59they're on the job, but whether that's going to have any
00:13:02dorable impact on actual inflation and longer
00:13:06term interest rates is still very much an open
00:13:09question. The first shot fired in 2020. The latest dot plot shows that the Fed may raise rates at least twice more by the end of the year.
00:13:18few things push rates higher, the primary one being oil prices. over the
00:13:22last few weeks oil prices have spiked again. geopolitical
00:13:25tensions and then we also had the August job report come out
00:13:29where jobs came out at roughly three times what economs
00:13:33expected. Before that, the Fed would raise rates three more times.
00:13:40when the US interest rate rise money often flows towards
00:13:44the dollar and away from riskier markets um
00:13:48such as emerging markets in Asia and
00:13:51in in Asia export um oriented
00:14:25The Fed's next monetary policy meeting is scheduled for late October, just
00:14:29days before the midterm elections . If inflation indicators remain
00:14:33high, the Fed will be forced to raise interest rates again before voting day
00:14:36, and the interaction between the White House and the Fed will likely face more
00:14:40violent political impact .
00:14:43The Yemeni Houthi rebels launched a lightning attack, even
00:14:47supplying the Red Sea strategic port of Mocha and the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait
00:14:50leadership. The war even spread to Arabia
00:14:54. It changed the key east-west oil pipeline. Not only
00:14:58did it push international oil prices back above the $100 mark, it also
00:15:01triggered a refugee crisis in Yemen . It is rumored that King Salman
00:15:05of Saudi Arabia, Mohammed, twice called US President Trump, asking
00:15:09the US military to attack the Houthis . However, the US currently does not want
00:15:13to intervene, only providing military intelligence assistance
00:15:15.
00:15:18Gunshots rang out, and thick smoke billowed from the horizon, raising a large amount of
00:15:22dust. Several cars were burned black and continued to smoke.
00:16:09Satellite imagery shows that Saudi Arabia invested hundreds of billions to build a 1200-kilometer
00:16:13east-west oil pipeline across the country , which was also attacked
00:16:17. If war really breaks out, global energy will be blocked at the Strait of Hormuz
00:16:21. The only lifeline for Saudi Arabia is this east-west oil pipeline, transporting
00:16:24Persian Gulf crude oil to Red Sea coastal ports every day, and then through the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait
00:16:28to India and the Asia-Pacific region. However, after the Houthi attack
00:16:32, they not only controlled the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait but also threatened the east-west oil pipeline, almost
00:16:36locking down Middle Eastern crude oil.
00:18:42One of the officials familiar with the matter said it was drones launched from Iraq that hit the pipeline itself, and
00:18:45although we haven't seen any group
00:18:48claim responsibility for this drone attack, we do know and we
00:18:52have seen Iranian backed militas operating in Iraq that have in
00:18:55the past and for years. Iran has been accused of backing them since they entered Iraq.
00:19:07they decided to somehow
00:19:10rise up to claim
00:19:13their rights. Close the negotiations?
00:19:18the options open to the hoothies are mixture of
00:19:22trying to reach some kind of
00:19:26accommodation with the hoothies. you can't change
00:19:29geography after all, but
00:19:32without making it look like violence pace, that's going to have to
00:19:35involve Iran.
00:21:00Now that the defense line has collapsed, the future may repeat the pattern of the Yemeni civil war
00:21:04.
00:21:13There has been no effective strike against the Houthis , which has led to the loss of key ports
00:21:17in the Red Sea, and the oil shipping lanes in the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait have been affected. See you at the Golden Horse on the 12th, at 6:30 PM.
00:26:26Welcome back to "Watching the World Together". Since August this year, Japan has been hit by multiple typhoons, coupled with a frontal system , and various places have reported continuous heavy rain and
00:26:29flood disasters, especially the heavy rain in Chiba on August 13. The disaster
00:26:33was the most severe, resulting in 13 deaths and more than 7,000 damaged houses. More
00:26:37than a month after the disaster, many businesses are still unable to operate, and economic
00:26:40losses exceed 2.6 billion Japanese yen , which is about 530
00:26:44million Taiwan dollars. Experts remind that hidden dangers may lurk in the dark ditches
00:26:48and retaining walls in the city. With the continuous heavy rain, waterproof products
00:26:52developed by Japanese manufacturers have gradually attracted attention
00:26:56. The sudden heavy rain turned urban roads into
00:26:59a vast expanse of water, and cars on the road seemed to be swimming against the current
00:27:32More than 7,000 houses were damaged by flooding, causing 13 deaths
00:27:36.
00:27:41The short-term heavy rainfall overwhelmed the urban drainage system, revealing the hidden
00:27:45dangers of modern cities. After the heavy rain , many sidewalks collapsed
00:27:49, and huge holes appeared underneath . It turned out that these were dark
00:27:53ditches, formerly rivers or drainage canals
00:27:57. Until the period
00:28:01of rapid economic growth in the 1960s.
00:28:03Due to population and urban expansion, river pollution was severe, and coupled with insufficient
00:28:07urban land, open watercourses were covered and buried underground
00:28:11. In September last year, Tokyo also experienced flooding due to heavy rain, with the underground
00:28:15Kawagoe Station and Seibu-Shinjuku Station areas being heavily flooded. It turned
00:28:18out to be a hidden
00:28:20river
00:28:23. The Kawagoe River is 7.4 kilometers long, of which 6.6 kilometers are covered
00:28:26and become a dark ditch, with the surface becoming a pedestrian
00:28:29path.
00:29:32. On the side of the entrance road. After the heavy rain, the roads were flooded, and many vehicles
00:29:36broke down midway. Some cars were even completely submerged, and trapped residents
00:29:40were unable to escape, leading to tragedy
00:29:41.
00:29:48Among them, underpasses are high-risk areas. Because drivers cannot see
00:29:51the water from the ground, by the time they drive in and find the water, it's too late. So some
00:29:55businesses have developed a special
00:29:57tool
00:30:52It can prevent cars from floating away. The installation is simple and quick, and can be installed in less than 5 minutes .
00:30:54。