NFL game

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills

New England Patriots · Buffalo Bills

Data: ESPN

Matchup details observed .

Final score

New England Patriots 29 — Buffalo Bills 26

Box-score leaders · plays of the day

  • Josh Allen · BUF: Passing Yards: 23/33, 253 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT · game
  • James Cook III · BUF: Rushing Yards: 12 CAR, 75 YDS, 1 TD · game
  • Keon Coleman · BUF: Receiving Yards: 6 REC, 116 YDS, 1 TD · game
  • Ed Oliver · BUF: Sacks: 0.5 · game
  • Dorian Williams · BUF: Tackles: 8 · game
  • Drake Maye · NE: Passing Yards: 22/37, 269 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT · game
  • Drake Maye · NE: Rushing Yards: 8 CAR, 54 YDS · game
  • Hunter Henry · NE: Receiving Yards: 5 REC, 62 YDS · game
  • Elijah Ponder · NE: Sacks: 1 · game
  • Robert Spillane · NE: Tackles: 8 · game

Source

Injury impact

New England Patriots

Availability-impact index: 6.5

  • Carlton Davis III (CB) · Questionable · Neck ·
  • Christian Elliss (LB) · Questionable · Chest ·
  • TreVeyon Henderson (RB) · Questionable · Illness ·
  • A.J. Brown (WR) · Questionable · Ankle ·
  • Alijah Vera-Tucker (G) · Injured Reserve · Hamstring ·

Buffalo Bills

Availability-impact index: 11

  • C.J. Gardner-Johnson (S) · Suspension · Suspension ·
  • Spencer Brown (OT) · Questionable · Back ·
  • Dee Alford (CB) · Questionable · Ankle ·
  • Greg Gaines (DT) · Questionable · Calf ·
  • Dalton Kincaid (TE) · Questionable · Chest ·
  • DJ Moore (WR) · Questionable · Shoulder - AC Joint ·
  • Tyrell Shavers (WR) · Out · Knee - ACL ·
  • TJ Parker (LB) · Questionable · Knee ·

The availability-impact index weights listed players by position and reported starter status when available. It is a relative report-weighting index, not a medical assessment or a point-spread adjustment. An empty report does not confirm availability.

Coaching Room

New England Patriots

Head coach: Mike Vrabel · Coach source

Sample: 4 games · season 2026.

Observed team tendencies · 2026
MetricValueLeague rankGames
Fourth-down attempts per game1.8rank 15 of 324
Fourth-down conversion rate71.4 %rank 9 of 314
Red-zone trips per game3.5rank 12 of 324
Pass attempt share (pass attempts + rushes)53 %rank 25 of 324
Rush share (pass attempts + rushes)47 %rank 8 of 324
Time of possession per game31.4 minrank 12 of 324
Turnovers per game1.5rank 8 of 324

Statistics sources: Box score 1 · Box score 2 · Box score 3 · Box score 4

Buffalo Bills

Head coach: Joe Brady · Coach source

Sample: 3 games · season 2026.

Observed team tendencies · 2026
MetricValueLeague rankGames
Fourth-down attempts per game0.3rank 30 of 323
Fourth-down conversion rate100 %rank 1 of 313
Red-zone trips per game4.7rank 2 of 323
Pass attempt share (pass attempts + rushes)49.7 %rank 29 of 323
Rush share (pass attempts + rushes)50.3 %rank 4 of 323
Time of possession per game29.4 minrank 19 of 323
Turnovers per game1.3rank 11 of 323

Statistics sources: Box score 1 · Box score 2 · Box score 3

Observed win probability

Buffalo Bills: latest 0.0% · ESPN estimates across observed plays.

Observed . Estimates can change; no probability is a promise.

Method

Only observed fields are shown. Team box scores do not isolate red-zone touchdowns or offense-only points per drive; current injury reports and outdoor forecasts cover only supported leagues and venues. Projections start with three current-season games or a prior-season rating; early-season estimates are excluded from picks.

All scores and matchups · Sports Desk brief