NFL team

Buffalo Bills

Data: ESPN · observed Oct 30, 11:50 PM ET

Coach and tendencies

Head coach: Joe Brady · 0 seasons as a head coach · Coach source

Sample: 5 games · season 2026.

Observed team tendencies · 2026
Metric	Value	League rank	Games
Fourth-down attempts per game	0.6	rank 31 of 32	5
Fourth-down conversion rate	100 %	rank 1 of 32	5
Red-zone trips per game	4.6	rank 1 of 32	5
Pass attempt share (pass attempts + rushes)	47.8 %	rank 30 of 32	5
Rush share (pass attempts + rushes)	52.2 %	rank 3 of 32	5
Time of possession per game	30.1 min	rank 15 of 32	5
Turnovers per game	1.8	rank 4 of 32	5

Statistics sources: Box score 1 · Box score 2 · Box score 3 · Box score 4 · Box score 5

Model rating

2.6 · 6 games observed. Season scoring-margin rating, pulled toward the league average; no injury adjustment.

Schedule and results

Download stored schedule (.ics)

Stored season results and upcoming games in the rolling collection window.

Sep 13 · at Houston Texans · W 36–31
Sep 17 · vs Detroit Lions · W 41–31
Sep 27 · vs Los Angeles Chargers · W 24–16
Oct 4 · vs New England Patriots · L 26–29
Oct 12 · at Los Angeles Rams · W 37–34
Oct 18 · at Las Vegas Raiders · W 33–30
Nov 1 · vs Baltimore Ravens · 11/1 - 1:00 PM EST

Fantasy outlook · Week 8

PPR projections · observed Oct 31, 1:54 AM ET. Rankings and other scoring formats.

Josh Allen

BUF · QB · Rank 3 · Tier 1

24.7 PPR points · floor 11.1 · ceiling 38.3

Why

Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the QB average · Buffalo Bills expected to score 28.75 (ESPN line) · Baltimore Ravens allow 16.9 QB fantasy points a game (6.6% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 4 observed weeks · QB
Week	Comp	Att	Pass yds	Pass TD	INT	Rush	Rush yds	Red-zone touches
6	23	33	255	2	0	5	1	1
5	12	19	210	1	1	10	121	3
4	23	33	253	1	1	5	4	2
3	16	26	204	0	2	8	22	3

James Cook

BUF · RB · Rank 2 · Tier 1

17.4 PPR points · floor 11.4 · ceiling 23.4

Why

Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the RB average · Buffalo Bills expected to score 28.75 (ESPN line) · Baltimore Ravens allow 18.5 RB fantasy points a game (8.2% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 4 observed weeks · RB
Week	Rush	Rush yds	Rush TD	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Red-zone touches
6	22	95	1	3	3	58	4
5	25	111	2	1	1	7	5
4	12	75	1	2	2	8	4
3	24	154	1	1	0	0	3

Ty Johnson

BUF · RB · Rank 44 · Tier 5

7.1 PPR points · floor 2.8 · ceiling 11.4

Why

Last 4 observed weeks · RB
Week	Rush	Rush yds	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Red-zone touches
6	1	3	2	2	24	0
5	0	0	4	4	72	0
4	1	3	2	2	9	2
3	0	0	4	4	50	0

Ray Davis

BUF · RB · Rank 63 · Tier 6

4.9 PPR points · floor 2.9 · ceiling 6.9

Why

Last 4 observed weeks · RB
Week	Rush	Rush yds	Targets	Rec	Rec yds
6	1	4	1	1	5
5	2	2	1	1	31
4	1	3	1	1	4
2	0	0	0	0	0

Frank Gore Jr.

BUF · RB · Rank 111 · Tier 8

0 PPR points · floor 0 · ceiling 0

Not on active roster

Why

Not on active roster · projection zero · Last 1 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the RB average · Buffalo Bills expected to score 28.75 (ESPN line) · Baltimore Ravens allow 18.5 RB fantasy points a game (8.2% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 1 observed week · RB
Week	Rush	Rush yds	Rush TD	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Red-zone touches
1	1	3	0	0	0	0	0

Keon Coleman

BUF · WR · Rank 10 · Tier 2

13.7 PPR points · floor 2.9 · ceiling 24.5

Why

Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the WR average · Buffalo Bills expected to score 28.75 (ESPN line) · Baltimore Ravens allow 35.8 WR fantasy points a game (5.9% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 4 observed weeks · WR
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Air yds	Target share	Red-zone touches
6	6	4	59	1	88	20%	1
5	2	1	7	1	50	11.1%	1
4	7	6	116	1	90	23.3%	0
3	2	1	37	0	63	7.7%	0

Khalil Shakir

BUF · WR · Rank 17 · Tier 3

12.4 PPR points · floor 6.5 · ceiling 18.3

Why

Last 4 observed weeks · WR
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Air yds	Target share	Red-zone touches
6	6	4	34	1	27	20%	1
5	3	3	80	0	17	16.7%	0
4	8	7	82	0	29	26.7%	1
3	3	1	6	0	11	11.5%	0

DJ Moore

BUF · WR · Rank 30 · Tier 5

9 PPR points · floor 0 · ceiling 21.8

Why

Last 4 observed weeks · WR
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Air yds	Target share	Red-zone touches
4	2	1	11	0	18	6.7%	0
3	10	6	67	0	127	38.5%	1
2	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0
1	8	5	100	1	158	28.6%	0

Josh Palmer

BUF · WR · Rank 34 · Tier 5

8.6 PPR points · floor 2.3 · ceiling 14.9

Why

Last 4 observed weeks · WR
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Air yds	Target share
6	2	1	37	0	47	6.7%
4	4	1	3	0	110	13.3%
2	3	1	43	1	39	10.7%
1	2	1	34	1	62	7.1%

Skyler Bell

BUF · WR · Rank 107 · Tier 7

4 PPR points · floor 4 · ceiling 4

Why

Last 2 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the WR average · Buffalo Bills expected to score 28.75 (ESPN line) · Baltimore Ravens allow 35.8 WR fantasy points a game (5.9% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 2 observed weeks · WR
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Air yds	Target share	Red-zone touches
6	1	0	0	0	16	3.3%	0
5	2	0	0	0	33	11.1%	0

Greg Dortch

BUF · WR · Rank 113 · Tier 7

3.8 PPR points · floor 3.8 · ceiling 3.8

Why

Last 4 observed weeks · WR
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Air yds	Target share	Red-zone touches
6	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0
5	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0
4	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0
3	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0

Trent Sherfield

BUF · WR · Rank 210 · Tier 9

0 PPR points · floor 0 · ceiling 0

Not on active roster

Why

Not on active roster · projection zero · Last 1 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the WR average · Buffalo Bills expected to score 28.75 (ESPN line) · Baltimore Ravens allow 35.8 WR fantasy points a game (5.9% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 1 observed week · WR
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Air yds	Target share	Red-zone touches
5	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0

Dalton Kincaid

BUF · TE · Rank 20 · Tier 4

7.2 PPR points · floor 0 · ceiling 17.9

Why

Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the TE average · Buffalo Bills expected to score 28.75 (ESPN line) · Baltimore Ravens allow 12.3 TE fantasy points a game (0.1% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 4 observed weeks · TE
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Air yds	Target share	Red-zone touches
6	8	7	38	15	26.7%	3
5	2	1	7	17	11.1%	0
4	2	1	7	21	6.7%	0
3	3	2	38	36	11.5%	0

Dawson Knox

BUF · TE · Rank 57 · Tier 6

3.8 PPR points · floor 0.3 · ceiling 7.3

Why

Last 4 observed weeks · TE
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Air yds	Target share	Red-zone touches
6	1	1	0	-5	3.3%	0
5	3	1	6	34	16.7%	0
4	2	2	13	3	6.7%	1
3	1	1	5	3	3.8%	0

Keleki Latu

BUF · TE · Rank 75 · Tier 6

2.9 PPR points · floor 2.9 · ceiling 2.9

Why

Last 4 observed weeks · TE
Week	Targets	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD	Air yds	Target share	Red-zone touches
6	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0
5	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0
4	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0
2	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0

Jackson Hawes

BUF · TE · Rank 88 · Tier 7

1.8 PPR points · floor 1.8 · ceiling 1.8

Why

Last 3 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the TE average · Buffalo Bills expected to score 28.75 (ESPN line) · Baltimore Ravens allow 12.3 TE fantasy points a game (0.1% above average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 3 observed weeks · TE
Week	Targets	Air yds	Target share
6	0	0	0%
5	0	0	0%
3	1	36	3.8%

Tyler Bass

BUF · K · Rank 1 · Tier 1

13.2 PPR points · floor 7.2 · ceiling 19.2

Why

Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the K average · Buffalo Bills expected to score 28.75 (ESPN line) · Baltimore Ravens allow 8.1 K fantasy points a game (1.7% below average, adjusted for opponents faced)

Last 4 observed weeks · K
Week	FG made	FG att	XP made
6	4	4	3
5	3	3	2
4	2	2	2
3	1	1	3

BUF defense / special teams

BUF · DST · Rank 23 · Tier 4

2.8 PPR points · floor 1.2 · ceiling 4.4

Why

Last 4 games, weighted to recent; balanced with the DST average · Baltimore Ravens allow 5.6 DST fantasy points a game (0.9% above average, adjusted for opponents faced) · Baltimore Ravens expected to score 25.75 (ESPN line)

Last 4 observed weeks · DST
Week	Pts allowed	Sacks	Takeaways
6	30	0	1
5	34	1	0
4	29	1	2
3	16	2	1

Weekly data: nflverse contributors · CC BY 4.0. Weekly statistics normalized and transformed into projections.

Current injuries

C.J. Gardner-Johnson (S) · Suspension · Suspension · Oct 31
Spencer Brown (OT) · Questionable · Back · Oct 30
Dee Alford (CB) · Questionable · Ankle · Oct 30
Greg Gaines (DT) · Questionable · Calf · Oct 30
Dalton Kincaid (TE) · Questionable · Chest · Oct 30
DJ Moore (WR) · Questionable · Shoulder - AC Joint · Oct 30
Tyrell Shavers (WR) · Out · Knee - ACL · Oct 28
TJ Parker (LB) · Questionable · Knee · Oct 28

Injury report observed Oct 31, 3:30 AM ET.

Players to watch

Josh Allen · BUF: Passing Yards: 114/171, 1,504 YDS, 9 TD, 4 INT · season
James Cook III · BUF: Rushing Yards: 117 CAR, 627 YDS, 6 TD · season
Dalton Kincaid · BUF: Receiving Yards: 23 REC, 315 YDS, 1 TD · season
Greg Rousseau · BUF: Sacks: 6 · season
Dorian Williams · BUF: Tackles: 46 · season

Source

Method

Only observed fields are shown. Team box scores do not isolate red-zone touchdowns or offense-only points per drive; current injury reports and outdoor forecasts cover only supported leagues and venues.

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