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Read twice and referred to the Committee on Small Business and Entrepreneurship.

2025-01-23

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Cosponsors (showing 1 of 1)

Whip Count (Pressure Desk)

Only H.Con.Res. 75 has a procedural path to floor vote; all other Iran war powers measures are committee-bound without discharge.

The war powers math is brutal and deliberate. Gottheimer's H.Con.Res. 75 has a UC agreement in place from April 27, which means it can be called up by Foreign Affairs chair Mast or his designee with one hour of debate. That's your only procedural path to a recorded vote. The other eight Iran resolutions—including Moulton's with 11 cosponsors—are standard referrals with no discharge mechanism visible in the corpus. The 212-206 failure on H.J.Res. 1 is instructive: suspension requires two-thirds, so 212 yeas means they were four votes short of a bare majority, let alone the 290 needed. Biggs only had two cosponsors. That tells me leadership didn't whip it, or whipped against. The real signal is that 206 members were willing to go on record against a nine-justice lock—a number that will be remembered in future judicial politics. On the FEC side, $975K against Paxton from LONE STAR RISING PAC in a single media buy suggests Republican internal warfare in Texas that could affect Senate margin calculations if it generalizes. But that's 2026 cycle, not this quarter's floor action. Confidence interval on any Iran war powers vote before October recess: 15-25%, contingent entirely on whether Mast exercises his UC call-up authority.

2026-09-11