Google Cloud Speech-to-Text API (Chirp) + Gemini 2.5 Flash Non-Thinking. Treat it as a searchable index of what was broadcast, not a quotation record.
00:00:00and in the future, these will increase. In fact,
00:00:03most of the senators will be Muslims, like Sayyid, holding congregational prayers.
00:00:06They will even close for Adhan. We don't care about the prayer itself, but Sayyid,
00:00:10whom you follow, says when
00:00:14we have such a problem, why should we do such a thing?
00:00:18Externally, it's correct, but Sayyid, since he was elected without the support of a
00:00:21lobby, naturally has no affiliations.
00:00:24He has a freedom in giving opinions, a human nature that condemns
00:00:28not only because of costs,
00:00:31but because of
00:00:34crimes. Several people wrote a letter in the early days to the American Congress, from these progressives,
00:00:37officially stating that Israel is committing genocide. They used the word
00:00:41"genocide." The nature of their opposition to the nature of Obama's opposition
00:00:45is very different. You had heard that members of Congress
00:00:48would gather in front of the Congress building, put backpacks
00:00:52and children's shoes, and talk about
00:00:55the war crimes in Minab, because the President
00:00:58is a Republican.
00:03:00You have three politicians in America. One out of ten units, ten units, is
00:03:03against you. One out of ten units, six units, is against you. One out of ten
00:03:07units, three units. Let's understand this difference, and these are those three units.
00:03:11Those three units. Alright, do you have a point about this?
00:03:15Again, alright, let's move on. I wanted to
00:03:18ask something else that got lost in these discussions. An
00:03:21Iranian politician was saying at the beginning of the war, he said, "I will
00:03:25win this war, I will drag it out, I will
00:03:28turn it into a cost
00:03:30in the internal political structure
00:03:33of America to serve as a lesson,
00:03:37like what happened in the early 80s,
00:03:40to be a lesson." Now, if these
00:03:43predictions by Vahid are realized, both Mr. Hooshmand and Mr.
00:03:47Aghame Abbasi should answer if it's their intention, can
00:03:50we say that we have been successful and victorious
00:03:53in dragging this war into the politics of the United States of America? Now, you said Iranian politicians were saying this, we
00:03:57should say a group of politicians
00:04:01were saying this, another group wasn't saying this and still isn't.
00:04:04That's in its place. Second point, but I think, based on the speeches of the great people and
00:04:08the examples they mentioned, the Iran war was dragged
00:04:12there, meaning it's clear it was dragged. Now, how much
00:04:15it will impact the result, these things need to be seen
00:04:19at least in the medium term, meaning, for example, after four or five years,
00:04:22a look can be made. It can be seen in the medium term. Let's ask Mr. Abbasi and Mr. Hooshmand,
00:04:26do we have any other examples of
00:04:30events in other geopolitics
00:04:33beyond the borders of the United States that have had such an effect
00:04:36on the economy and politics of America? An example that has been much talked about is the
00:04:40Vietnam War. Lyndon Johnson enters
00:04:44the White House in 1965 with a popularity of, for example, 567.
00:04:48Three years later, with the Vietnam War, his popularity reaches 323, and
00:04:51it reaches a point where he goes to the preliminary elections in New Hampshire, one of the American states,
00:04:55participates, sees that his popularity is low, and withdraws.
00:04:58The reason was the Vietnam War, meaning student protests,
00:05:02for example, in that famous university massacre, where 500,000
00:05:05people gathered in Washington D.C. because, as mentioned then,
00:05:09there were human casualties. 58,000 American soldiers were killed in Vietnam.
00:05:12Because of these costs, Nixon, the next president,
00:05:15actually enters the White House with the promise of ending the war.
00:05:19So the clear example is the Vietnam War. And I think we are still
00:05:23far from this level of cost, and the
00:05:26costs of the Iran war in the next two years could reach a point for the United States of
00:05:29America where the next candidate
00:05:33enters the White House with the promise of ending the war and ending military conflict
00:05:37with Iran. Now, for example, at the level of electoral debates, at the level of midterm elections,
00:05:40this could be at the level of presidential elections. That is, the next presidential candidate
00:05:44wouldn't dare to talk about the idea of war
00:05:47with Iran, an event that happened in the Vietnam War, and Nixon actually
00:05:51entered the White House with this promise and won. Yes, certainly after
00:05:54the Iraq and Afghanistan wars, the American
00:05:58people's approach to wars became critical, and they also had the historical precedent of the
00:06:01Vietnam War. Now, the Iran war has shown
00:06:04them that this war has serious economic consequences,
00:06:08and after the Gaza war, we can say that they are seeing
00:06:11these war crimes by their own government, which has had a great impact.
00:06:15Let me tell Mr. Nima this point, the difference that
00:06:19has emerged compared to Vietnam
00:06:21is the issue of social networks and the internet.
00:06:24That is, the extent of opposition to the Iran war from
00:06:28the beginning of the war was so unpopular and hated. We cannot
00:06:32ignore the role of social networks. This young generation
00:06:35that is now coming and supporting these politicians,
00:06:39this is really because of the emergence of social networks.
00:06:43A war crime happens in one place, and immediately people
00:06:47become aware of it. Politicians come and talk about it.
00:06:50These have caused it to not be like the Vietnam War era anymore,
00:06:54where a government, for example, Lyndon Johnson, could deny a war crime, for example, the My Lai
00:06:57massacre, and not publish it at all,
00:07:01and later we saw that the documents were published, the Pentagon documents were published, and
00:07:04a crisis arose there. But now, an hour after that war crime,
00:07:08the American people understand this, and this also really plays a role
00:07:12in making war-mongering politicians
00:07:15go on the defensive and not be able to defend the war.
00:07:19The extent of opposition to the Iraq war in 2006
00:07:22in America greatly increased in the third and fourth year of the war. Now,
00:07:26right now, for example, in the eighth month of the war, the extent of opposition to the Iran war
00:07:30is greater than to the Iraq and Vietnam wars. So, let's play a video of Trump.
00:07:33Let's play it so that Trump's
00:07:36guard is getting ahead of himself. Let's put this up, let's watch this together,
00:07:40and then we'll be back to you.
00:08:12I will veto it, meaning he's also taking a stance that he won't allow it,
00:08:16meaning, given the powers he has, how real is this? That is, in case
00:08:19of losing and failing in the upcoming elections,
00:08:23how open will Trump be? Well, this itself is a
00:08:27tacit admission that the situation is bad and that the Republicans
00:08:30might lose the Senate. This points to one thing. Another issue that exists is that, yes, according to the law, the President can
00:08:34veto congressional legislation,
00:08:38and for a bill in
00:08:42Congress to be "veto-proofed," as it's called, and for them to be able to
00:08:45overturn the President's veto, it must have a two-thirds vote.
00:08:49So if Trump vetoes a bill, it then returns
00:08:53to both houses, and then it must have the affirmative vote of two-thirds of the members
00:08:57so that the President can no longer veto it, and it then becomes
00:09:00law. So Trump has this ability, but the important point
00:09:04is that in an issue like the issue of
00:09:08the government budget, it requires the cooperation
00:09:11of even the minority, at a time when they didn't have the House or
00:09:15the Senate. Now, if they have one of the two houses or both,
00:09:18the situation becomes much worse for Trump, as he needs the Democrats
00:09:22for the budget to be approved. This "shutdown" that happens
00:09:26and the government closes is precisely this: Democrats and Republicans cannot compromise,
00:09:30the government has no budget, emergency budget, and only manages
00:09:33some affairs, some are closed. So the government needs
00:09:37the Democrats and their support, so he can't veto everything, he needs
00:09:41their vote, that's it.
00:09:45In his recent speech, he said, "If we
00:09:48win the Senate, we will cut the
00:09:51Pentagon budget until Trump's government ends the Iran war."
00:09:54So Democrats in the new Senate can have this
00:09:58tool in the new Congress to pressure
00:10:01the government through the budget. There is an image, image number four,
00:10:05showing the extent of Democrats' opposition to what is called "denial."
00:10:09Turn it on, kids. If you look, you'll see that from
00:10:132017, in 82%
00:10:16of cases, the Democratic House has opposed Trump. In 2018,
00:10:1966%. In 2019, this is his first administration, 95%.
00:10:23In
00:10:30cases, the Democratic House of Representatives, which was a majority in some places and not in others,
00:10:34for example, the last two years of his first administration it was a majority,
00:10:36opposed Trump, and well, effectively with a Democratic
00:10:40Congress in the last two years of Trump's term, such an event is more
00:10:43likely to be witnessed, because now those differences have increased, the atmosphere, so to speak,
00:10:47both sides have moved to the far right and far left, and this left current
00:10:51in the Democratic Party has fewer considerations towards Trump compared to centrist Democrats,
00:10:55and naturally we can expect that with the discussion
00:10:58of the Democrats' veto, they can gain the majority in the Senate and House,
00:11:01this opposition will increase even more, and a triangular pressure will form
00:11:05against Trump. The issue that arises is what they call a
00:11:09"lame duck," or a crippled duck. In the last two years
00:11:12of Trump's administration, if both houses are controlled by Democrats,
00:11:16he effectively cannot pass any bill in Congress. Then
00:11:19he will be forced to resort to executive orders,
00:11:23of course, we must also know that in relation to the issue of war, the President still
00:11:26has the authority to take actions, but Democrats
00:11:30will enter a process of pressure, and one of those instances is that
00:11:34there will be debates from investigative committees
00:11:37and impeachment hearings. The first thing that will happen
00:11:40and what they are pursuing, and it has been publicized, are the investigative
00:11:44hearings about the performance of Pitt,
00:11:48in relation to the war crimes in Minab, and they are
00:11:51pursuing impeachment and pressuring him to even resign. So with these actions,
00:11:55Democrats can increase pressure on Trump's government,
00:11:58meaning some limitations will be created for Trump that he didn't have in the first two years.
00:12:02He had a supportive Congress. Now, the Republican Party
00:12:05has truly been divided. There was a statistic that 90-some percent of the time,
00:12:09Republicans voted in line with Trump. The exact opposite of this statistic, because it's divided,
00:12:13his hands were open, but in the last two years, Trump's options are limited,
00:12:16both because of the budget levers and because of the various
00:12:20officials they can summon to answer about the economic vision, for example, whether it has answered
00:12:23or not. For example, the issue of impeachment becomes serious,
00:12:27and naturally, some Republicans may, due to concerns about
00:12:30the 2028 elections, gradually join the Democrats. This is more
00:12:34likely in an environment where the Democrats have the majority. Now, you mentioned the 2028 election,
00:12:37is it fundamentally important for Trump? Because he himself won't
00:12:41run again. Is it important to him? If
00:12:44you think it's important, how will the war story play out? Does he say, "Well, this story
00:12:48is over. It has no effect now. Whatever happened has had its effect."
00:12:52Tomorrow and in the coming days, we will see the result of the American elections.
00:12:56What will it be? In these circumstances, does he still think about attacking Iran?
00:12:59If an attack on Iran, just as it has had economic effects until now, can
00:13:03have more extensive economic effects, it is important for Trump
00:13:07that in these circumstances, he still thinks about
00:13:112028 or not. Because Trump is a narcissistic
00:13:14and self-centered personality, he really doesn't think about anyone else,
00:13:17and his own person is really important to him. Naturally, he doesn't care
00:13:21what happens to the victory of Rubio or Vance in 2028, but we can expect
00:13:25that the Republicans themselves will gradually, due to electoral concerns
00:13:28in 2028, move towards increasing their opposition
00:13:31to the Iran war, especially the closer we get to the elections, the more
00:13:35the cost of living in America increases. Now, 70% of American society
00:13:39is opposed. For example, if this becomes 80, becomes 90, or we witness street
00:13:42protests similar to the Vietnam War, naturally, in such an environment, gradually
00:13:46those who are Republican candidates in 2028 will move
00:13:50towards opposing the war with Iran, and in the cabinet, they will naturally limit Trump. Well,
00:13:54against it.
00:14:11Iran's war. In that famous briefing session, it was announced that I am against the war. Why is Vance writing a letter now?
00:14:15Why did we have the issue of the Islamabad agreement? Now it's his own name
00:14:19for his own political future, meaning because he wants to run in 2028, he knows this
00:14:23war is unpopular, he wants. Republicans
00:14:55will gradually increase this opposition. Why? Because costs
00:14:59will go up. But Trump doesn't necessarily think about costs. This is a very important point
00:15:02about the person. Now, we can only talk about Trump's person, who will probably
00:15:06disrupt everything. He practically doesn't worry about a third term. Perhaps
00:15:10if Trump were in 2018, we would say he's worried about
00:15:13the election and acts cautiously. But J.D. Vance and Marco
00:15:16Rubio, many other Republican candidates, are concerned about
00:15:202028, and the important condition is that there must be serious resistance
00:15:24and cost. increase in American society. That is, truly this $4.30
00:15:28average price per gallon of gasoline, for a month now it's been $4.30. These numbers
00:15:31are not enough for the pressure I'm talking about that Republicans want to create
00:15:35and, for example, join the Democrats. These energy costs,
00:15:39living costs must also increase in America. Now, do you know what the danger here is? Trump himself says that his legacy is important to him.
00:15:42He doesn't care what will happen to Rubio and Vance's
00:15:46political career, and 2028 is not important to him.
00:15:49But there is one point, he is also unpredictable,
00:15:53and he is not like other American
00:15:56politicians at all. And one important element
00:15:59in him is the issue of revenge, meaning out of
00:16:03resentment, he can even take revenge, even if it's a big blow.
00:16:06And he's looking for symbolic actions and shows. So we can consider this
00:16:10as a factor that Trump would go in this direction, but he knows, and his team
00:16:13around him knows, except for Heks, who thinks like him, they know
00:16:17that economically it's not in their best interest to continue this war, but there is also this
00:16:21possibility that what he is always promising is to end the war
00:16:25with a big showy and Hollywood-like action,
00:16:29and then interpret it as a victory. That is, Trump can also pursue
00:16:32this. Now, if you look at the other side, if he ends it
00:16:35with this big showy action and the elections, as the
00:16:39predictions are saying, are in favor of the Democrats, they will still
00:16:43give him hell, meaning they will still not let him go.
00:16:46He knows that he has
00:16:49to bring this work to a conclusion, and
00:16:53with this Congress he is losing,
00:16:56he will not be in a good situation. Our discussions are from January 3rd onwards,
00:17:00so that 60-day period will naturally be used as a lame-duck period
00:17:04by Trump, most likely. November 3rd to January 3rd.
00:17:09This is what makes him a little more scared. See, everyone thinks that if he loses the election,
00:17:12until the new parliament convenes, it's a lame-duck period,
00:17:16and he'll do whatever he wants. But he also thinks that if I
00:17:20can't conclude this in these 60 days, they will give me double and triple hell,
00:17:23and the Democrats will, in fact,
00:17:26have a forward-looking view. That is, they would love for this
00:17:30to get deeper and for them to be able to torment
00:17:33him more for the 2028 elections. They are also thinking
00:17:36the same way Vance is thinking. The opposing team
00:17:40also doesn't mind that every day
00:17:44the Republicans' record in the Iran war
00:17:46gets worse and worse, because this will be the factor
00:17:50for the Democrats themselves to win in 2028.
00:17:54The elections will most likely continue
00:17:58this way, as the polls show. American elections
00:18:00are fundamentally, they say, when a phenomenon becomes much
00:18:04older, it's more predictable. And America,
00:18:08because of these mail-in votes, really, the accuracy of its polls
00:18:11is different from the accuracy of Israel's polls, I don't know, or any
00:18:15other country, even our own country, no offense,
00:18:19because a very serious portion of voters
00:18:22have already cast their votes, and the sample
00:18:25is no longer, excuse me, there's no sample anymore that might change its mind later.
00:18:29They have already voted, it's called an exit poll,
00:18:33meaning as soon as they leave the polling station, they are asked who they voted for,
00:18:37and this becomes an example for a more accurate example
00:18:40compared to other countries. The divine
00:18:42watcher of the war. Because right now there is a possibility that
00:18:46at these final moments there might be news of an agreement or not.
00:18:50Does Trump, in these circumstances, go for
00:18:54wanting to make an agreement with Iran? Look, my assumption
00:18:57that Trump needs an agreement is still there,
00:19:01and that he would want to end the war with a showy act, is something I
00:19:05cannot imagine at all. Why? Because in the 12-day war, he said he hit Fardou,
00:19:08Iran said it's over, and it could have ended at that moment.
00:19:11Now, let's assume he attacks Qulalang and says it's over.
00:19:15What about the brakes? Now, the most important issue is that now Iran won't strike in the Strait of Hormuz
00:19:19from tomorrow, or it has given up and says it's in Iran's hands, or
00:19:22it strikes again and doesn't let them pass through the south. So the war hasn't ended.
00:19:26That's why a showy act like the 12-day war scenario
00:19:30is not possible. It has to reach a conclusion, and that conclusion
00:19:34must either be through war, which it won't reach, or it must be through
00:19:37an agreement, and Iran is not willing to make concessions now.
00:19:41So the result is that what I understand
00:19:44is that Trump must understand this. It's very important that the message
00:19:48is conveyed to him, publicly,
00:19:52officially, secretly, to everyone, that if you strike this time,
00:19:56Iran will strike in a way that will really make your next two years,
00:19:59and America's future, especially in terms of recession, problematic.
00:20:03This will cause him, regardless of electoral votes, for his legacy,
00:20:06to take
00:20:37In many parts of the world and in our country, it is a strategic
00:20:41force. From the perspective of a strategic force, the
00:20:44naval force
00:20:47must answer.
00:21:50Take control of the Strait. Consider it your
00:21:53undeniable right. Take the Strait as your servant.
00:21:56The deserts are in our hands. Our hands
00:22:00are God's hands. Our enemy is
00:22:03shameless. Don't underestimate your enemy.
00:23:22exposing new dimensions of extensive damage and destruction
00:23:25of US bases in the region. The Associated Press and
00:23:29The Wall Street Journal revealed in two special reports that
00:23:33the number of US military bases that were destroyed
00:23:36and rendered unusable by Iran's precise missile and drone attacks
00:23:39is 26 bases, and for example, in just one
00:23:43US military base in Jordan, Iran destroyed
00:23:46at least 19 dormitory buildings
00:23:50for American soldiers. Iran has inflicted
00:23:53heavy blows on US facilities. Now, while
00:23:57Trump is considering a new wave of attacks against Iran,
00:24:00the US military has withdrawn some of its forces from several of these locations.
00:24:04However, Pentagon officials are still concerned that
00:24:08Iran may have preserved some of its most advanced missiles for later stages of
00:24:12the war and this time be able to carry out more effective
00:24:15attacks. The Associated Press announced that Iran, by destroying
00:24:19aircraft, air defense and communication systems,
00:24:23and other vital equipment for operations at 26 US
00:24:27military bases, has significantly weakened America's foothold
00:24:30in the region. Iran responded
00:24:33to the war with precise attacks on systems designed
00:24:37to identify and neutralize potential attacks.
00:24:41Then it expanded its targets to buildings and
00:24:44equipment that made US bases useful and capable
00:24:48of troop deployment. He said:
00:25:20To continue widespread attacks on major US military facilities
00:25:24in Arab countries has created significant challenges for us.
00:25:27Put yourselves in the place of those Arab countries, our allies,
00:25:31when America has failed to stop Iran and is forced
00:25:34to withdraw from the region. They will tell America, "You started
00:25:38this matter and dragged us into this quagmire, and now
00:25:41you are only thinking about saving yourselves." In my opinion, if the
00:25:45war resumes, this time the situation for America and its allies will be much
00:25:48worse than before. At the same time, many American media outlets report
00:25:52severe concern from America's regional allies and that
00:25:56they believe, especially considering the new order from the Supreme Leader,
00:25:59this new phase of the war will be much more dangerous
00:26:03and destructive for them than before. Ali Rajabi,
00:26:06IRIB News Agency, New York.
00:26:09November 4th, although it is the intersection
00:26:13of several events. The event of the exile of the great
00:26:17Imam, the event of the massacre of students
00:26:20in the streets of Tehran, however, what
00:26:24has highlighted this day
00:26:27is the event of the capture
00:26:30and occupation of the US embassy. Or, more precisely,
00:26:33the US den of espionage.
00:26:36Therefore, November 4th, on which
00:26:40day the country named the Day of Arrogance,
00:26:43in my opinion, while that name is the
00:26:47correct name, it is the Day of Youth,
00:26:50of faithful youth, revolutionary youth,
00:26:53brave youth, valorous youth,
00:26:57innovative youth, who undertake something
00:27:00that prevents the enemy from initiative and movement.
00:27:23Street, street, street,
00:27:26street, come to the square, people, come to the
00:27:29square. Tabada did.
00:27:32May the milk be empty. May that flower be
00:27:36in vain. Take the pain
00:27:40in your hand, take the flag in your hand.
00:27:44Our eyes are on you. The enemy is lurking
00:27:47in every street and alley, that they may
00:27:51see your gathering. Disturbed bows
00:27:54and quivers bring forth, O people,
00:27:56bring forth from love and
00:27:59faith. Street, street,
00:28:03street, street,
00:28:06come to the square, people,
00:28:10come to the epic square,
00:28:14people, come, epic reciters,
00:28:16come,
00:28:18people, reciters.
00:28:28You are the strength of a port from servants like us.
00:28:32Sajir and Fattah's life is like a throat.
00:28:36It is Iran that will be destroyed and
00:28:39it is a shame to be out.
00:28:43It is a shame to be out.
00:28:46You are again in tears and
00:28:49through your means, what do you have from Qasr-e Banou?
00:28:52Come, I
00:28:55trust
00:28:57that you will be aided by God.
00:29:01The Quran will be established. We are in your
00:29:03presence. Come to the
00:29:06field. People, come to the
00:29:09field.
00:29:10To Manyaban.
00:29:14Street, street, street,
00:29:17street, come to the square, people, come to the
00:29:20epic square, people, come, epic reciters,
00:29:24come, people, reciters.
00:29:28People, reciters.
00:30:32Greetings to you. The most important news at 9 PM
00:30:35tonight.
00:30:38The President's directive to governors to increase the
00:30:42resilience of the people. Mr. Pezeshkian said that the income and resources
00:30:45of the provinces must be spent on the balanced development
00:30:48of those same provinces.
00:30:50You spend money wherever you want. I spend the
00:30:53money here in circulation in Tehran. I give loans
00:30:57in Tehran. I give loans.