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20261102 04:30 UTC · 00:29:27 · 466 transcript segments · GDELT Visual Explorer · plain-text transcript · Event Map

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Transcript

Google Cloud Speech-to-Text API (Chirp) + Gemini 2.5 Flash Non-Thinking. Treat it as a searchable index of what was broadcast, not a quotation record.

00:00:00Republicans will control the Congress, while voters
00:00:03decide, CNN analyzes the most important issues, the
00:00:07nice." Sheila Scarboro is a key races, the voting data, and what all this
00:00:10means for the country. Join our journalists for a day with
00:00:13live reports, real-time results, in-depth
00:00:17analysis. Election night in the United States, Tuesday on
00:00:21CNN. I'm Rafael Romo in Atlanta,
00:00:24we are
00:00:25CNN.
00:00:36but independently of that, the truth is that everything that happens in the world
00:00:39is somehow stirring, and that Latin America, with all
00:00:44take the time to give them to us. Um, one of the aspects that are there, as you said, elections of the
00:00:48treaty of Mexico with Canada and the United States
00:00:51will be in the spotlight, and it comes at a time when the markets, to
00:00:55continue a bit with our focus
00:00:58today on markets, in which... the markets have also been quite good,
00:01:01and
00:01:03country left at 9:30 in there are expectations that, to the extent
00:01:05is showing you a formula and a that they are difficult to anticipate
00:01:08certainly, but that are moving
00:01:12in a way that they haven't in
00:01:14and as a result, if you are a
00:01:28The need to emigrate knows no age. Many
00:01:32claim they want to reach Mexico City, but others seek
00:01:35to go further
00:01:36north.
00:01:40The Mexican army's anti-drone battalion consists of
00:01:43this type of element: inhibitors to bring down drones
00:01:47that have become a threat. The
00:01:50Chiapas authorities have detected a cattle smuggling
00:01:53point. This is one of the illegal crossing
00:01:57points for cattle going from Central America to
00:02:00Mexico. Thousands of demonstrators, workers from this
00:02:04country, left at 9:30 in the morning from the Angel of
00:02:07Independence. I am in the municipality of Teuchitlán, in the
00:02:11Mexican state of Jalisco. Here, the discovery was
00:02:14macabre by groups of people searching
00:02:18for the disappeared. What made you come here with the suspicion
00:02:22do to change the status of that your son might be on this
00:02:23ranch?
00:02:29Historic trends show midterm elections typically swing
00:02:32against the party in power, and with recent polling, there are some signs for
00:02:36Democrats that that could be the case, but it is cautious optimism.
00:02:39Joining us now is CNN senior political analyst and Bloomberg opinion
00:02:42columnist Ron Brownstein. Ron, always great to see you. You have a new
00:02:46piece out today on
00:02:48the data, ready for whatever cnn.com and you're talking about signs to
00:02:51watch for a potential blue wave and the first
00:02:54indications will be on the east coast because you know how
00:02:58our time is, how how how, uh? Time zones work. Uh, those
00:03:01close, those polls will close first. What are you
00:03:04watching?
00:03:07Well, look, I think, you know, what I tried to do in this piece was give people a uh a way to
00:03:11look at the results, basically on degree of difficulty uh,
00:03:14and uh, how the early, some of the early races that that uh will
00:03:18be uh decided and and polls where polls will close first, give you a
00:03:22sense of whether this is going to be a good night for Democrats, which seems to be a bare minimum
00:03:26a very good night or an historic night, like take Pennsylvania.
00:03:30Democrats win Pennsylvania 7 against Ryan McKensie and Pennsylvania
00:03:3310 against Scott Perry, they will be on track for a solid night
00:03:37doing what they have to do to win the majority. If they also win Pennsylvania
00:03:408 against Rob Bresnaham with Paige Cognetti in a district that
00:03:44Trump won by Moore, they'll be on track for a better night, and if they win
00:03:48Pennsylvania one, which is a suburban seat kind of has been a white
00:03:52whale where they have not been able to dislodge Brian Fitzpatrick since
00:03:552016, that will be a sign of an even bigger night. The same sort
00:03:59of. In the New York Metro area, uh, the seventh district in
00:04:03What excites New Jersey, Tom Kane Jr., beating him, which showed them on track for doing what they have
00:04:06to do. Beating Mike Lawler in New York 17th
00:04:10district in the Hudson Valley, a much more formidable
00:04:13incumbent, would be a sign of something bigger, above all in the east,
00:04:17Jessica, the marquee race in the East Coast time zone is the Maine Senate
00:04:21race. As we talked about before, Susan Collins during Trump's first
00:04:24term was the only Republican Senate incumbent or
00:04:28challenger who won in a section state where more voters disapproved
00:04:32than approved of his job performance. He's been an incredible survivor, but the
00:04:35headwinds are a lot stronger this time uh, and if she
00:04:39doesn't make it, I think it is going to be a sign that the high level of
00:04:43disapproval of Trump is just a force of gravity pulling down Republicans
00:04:47everywhere, yeah, and and that's such a great way to break it down, so you can
00:04:51kind of see, okay, if you know, you can take it state by state,
00:04:54obviously, we've said this until we're blue in the face, we don't know what's going to happen on Tuesday,
00:04:58we are all, you know, looking at at tea, reading tea leaves and
00:05:03WWE nature of data points and putting things together. Um, but at this point we're going to have to wait until the voters tell
00:05:06us. But, but, but in terms of early voting and the data that we're
00:05:10getting from that, um, what are those
00:05:13data points, what are what what can you glean from that at this
00:05:16point?
00:05:18Well, the early voting is very consistent with all the other data that we have,
00:05:22right? I mean, if you look at the special elections that have been held in
00:05:2625 and 26, generally speaking, Democrats are running
00:05:29about 10 or 11 points better in each of those
00:05:33jurisdictions than Kamala Harris did in 2024. If you
00:05:36look at the generic ballot polling that has been done, which is
00:05:39essentially testing the national House popular
00:05:43vote, nine points, maybe nine and a half,
00:05:46sometimes. Trump won the popular vote by a point and a half in
00:05:50'24. So again, you're seeing a shift of about 10 or 11
00:05:54points toward Democrats. That's basically very similar to
00:05:57what uh we are seeing modeled at least by Target Smart uh in the early
00:06:01vote uh this time where it looks to be about nine points
00:06:05more favorable to Democrats uh than the early vote in '24. And
00:06:09what that also, what what political strategists call this is the
00:06:12uniform swing, the uniform swing in the country, the
00:06:16waterline on which every other race floats,
00:06:19is about 10 points more democratic than it was in
00:06:232024. Um,
00:06:27Republican running in a jurisdiction, anything, House
00:06:30district or a state, a Senate a Senate race
00:06:33statewide, that Trump won by 10 or less, you are at high risk.
00:06:37It doesn't mean that all of those uh Republicans are
00:06:40going to lose, but history says that a lot of them are going to
00:06:43lose. It, in effect, the wave is just bigger than the
00:06:47defenses, bigger than the wall that they have available. All right,
00:06:51Ron Brownstein, great to see you, thanks so much.
00:06:54Thanks. Ahead, unable to afford a place to live,
00:06:58struggling to keep the lights on. CNN's Phil Maddingley is going to talk with some
00:07:01North Carolina voters who are struggling with the cost of living in
00:07:04different but very impactful ways, and our panel of
00:07:08experts also back to answer some of your questions. You're watching
00:07:11CNN's Ken.
00:07:23Diplomacy, they know well what is said in private is not what is said in public, well, here
00:07:27we know what is said in private. Clash
00:07:30of opinions this Sunday
00:07:33on CNN.
00:07:39Business is all about making connections.
00:07:46But some connections are easier to make than
00:07:48others.
00:07:53With a CNN partner hotel, the world is
00:07:56always at your fingertips.
00:07:59CNN Partner Hotels connected to your
00:08:02world. You have 5 minutes.
00:08:06We have five things for you, a podcast with the five
00:08:09most important topics of the day. Just ask your
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00:08:26Subscribe to our newsletter,
00:08:30listen to the five things you need to know throughout the
00:08:33day. I'm Mexican British,
00:08:36I've been a journalist for 20 years, eh, in Mexico
00:08:40City, in the United States, and now in Miami for
00:08:44CNN. CNN America is a multiplatform
00:08:47program where you'll have information from all
00:08:51areas that will allow you to understand the world from the angle you're
00:08:55seeing it from. In those three hours, you'll not only
00:08:58have information from a political
00:09:01economic perspective, but also health, from a women's
00:09:05perspective, but above all, it's a space where we can have
00:09:08conversations not to polarize, but to integrate
00:09:12society.
00:09:15me most is informing, investigating,
00:09:19researching the why of things, getting to the bottom of the facts.
00:09:23Here you'll see what makes news and everything that
00:09:25impacts your daily life. CNN America with Rebecca
00:09:29Kelly, Monday to Friday on
00:09:31CNN.
00:09:37To understand the world, you need to seek the
00:09:40truth. Let's go back to the time when...
00:10:12perspectives and new horizons, every
00:10:15day, no matter where life takes
00:10:18you, we follow what
00:10:21matters to you, we forge a path to
00:10:25truth and understanding of the
00:10:27world.
00:10:34I'm Rafael Romo in Atlanta, we are CNN.
00:10:50The need to migrate knows no age. Many
00:10:54claim they want to reach Mexico City, but others seek
00:10:57to go further
00:10:58north.
00:11:02The Mexican army's anti-drone battalion consists of
00:11:05this type of element: inhibitors to bring down drones
00:11:09that have become a threat. The
00:11:12Chiapas authorities have detected a cattle smuggling
00:11:15point. This is one of the illegal crossing
00:11:19points for cattle going from Central America to
00:11:22Mexico. Thousands of demonstrators. Workers from this
00:11:28the morning from the Angel of Independence. I am in the
00:11:31municipality of Teuchitlán in the Mexican state of
00:11:34Jalisco. Here, the discovery was macabre by
00:11:38groups of people searching for the disappeared.
00:11:41What made you come here with the suspicion that your son might be on this
00:11:45ranch?
00:11:49I'm Pau Mosquera in Madrid, Spain, we are
00:11:52CNN.
00:11:56"Affordability is a key issue on the ballot in this year's midterms, from
00:12:00gas prices to housing costs, everyday expenses. A lot
00:12:04of Americans say they are feeling the squeeze out there, and CNN's Phil Maddingley
00:12:08spoke with voters in North Carolina about the challenges they're
00:12:11facing.
00:12:15For a dozen years, the Outer Banks was the promise kept for Stew
00:12:18Layer, driving wild horse tours across the northern Outer
00:12:22Banks. When I first moved down here, I was pretty happy with my
00:12:26life." He says he made $50,000 when the house
00:12:29he'd rented for eight years went back on the vacation market. The money
00:12:33wasn't the problem. Now it's back to a weekly rental.
00:12:37Homeowners can make a lot more profit, oh yeah, renting
00:12:40to vacationers. Stew moved into employer housing, beds
00:12:44his employers needed back every spring for seasonal
00:12:47hires. At what point did you realize you were going to be living in your car
00:12:51for a period of time? When I moved out of the second
00:12:55uh employee housing, there was nowhere to go, so he
00:12:59lived in his truck, moving from parking lot to parking lot,
00:13:03then in January, it snowed. My battery had died
00:13:06in my truck, I couldn't start it and run the
00:13:09engine, and after a couple days of
00:13:12that, my feet felt pretty brittle. How much pain were you
00:13:16in? I'd say on a one to 10 scale,
00:13:19I was probably at nine. Frostbite, three
00:13:23hospital stays, a fall, and a broken
00:13:25hip. Now he's 65 and assisted living an hour and a half
00:13:29from the beach, waiting on his Social Security. "When I was living in
00:13:32my truck, that was a pretty dark
00:13:35time."
00:13:41So how does a place built on hospitality run out of room for the
00:13:45people who provide it? Nearly half
00:13:48the homes in Dare County are vacation homes. This June, short-term
00:13:52rentals here averaged about $617
00:13:55a night. At the same time, the wage it takes to rent a
00:13:59modest two-bedroom has jumped from $22 an
00:14:02hour to $27.50
00:14:05in just three years, and that's forced employers here to come up
00:14:09with their own solutions. Solutions like buying homes just to house their
00:14:12labor force in order to have a labor force.
00:14:16The break came with COVID. We saw real
00:14:20estate doubling, tripling. Chris Merrick
00:14:22runs Ocean Atlantic rentals. "The housing stuff came out of
00:14:26necessity, and uh we would not be in business today." For Matt
00:14:30Couri, the biggest worry used to be inventory. "I used to have
00:14:33shrimp dreams, now it's more so about the people, and I need to find a
00:14:37way to get housing for these people." Chris spent his first summer here
00:14:41living in a garage. Three decades later he has a business, a
00:14:44home, and three daughters. "My
00:14:47kids will probably never live here. I mean, where are they going to
00:14:51buy? What are they going to do? Live in my downstairs? Yeah, I mean, it's it's
00:14:55heartbreaking."
00:14:58So we're driving on US 64. We're driving west about
00:15:01150 miles. This one highway connects two
00:15:05very different economies in the same newly redrawn congressional district. It's
00:15:09a toss-up district at this point, but it's those two economies
00:15:12that really underpin the scale of the affordability
00:15:16crisis across the country. One highway
00:15:19connects two communities redrawn into a single
00:15:22House district, but tourism money flowing into one
00:15:26end hardly reaches the other. Tobacco fields and textile
00:15:29factories once supported a thriving local economy here in Rocky
00:15:33Mount. The industries hollowed out just like its
00:15:36population, and those left behind are still absorbing the
00:15:39financial aftershocks. "I'm Phil." "Very
00:15:45retired veteran living on the VA disability and Social Security
00:15:48she earned. She moved home from DC.
00:15:52"I wanted the good old days my grandmother had. That's why I moved
00:15:55back here because DC was getting too
00:15:59expensive." Rocky Mount's shaky finances fueled a crisis at
00:16:03its municipal power company. In April, the city raised utility
00:16:06rates about 15%. "It's
00:16:09not supposed to be hard. This is not what I worked all
00:16:13those years for." In June, she went to the utility office
00:16:17to set up a payment plan on her past due bill. "She tells
00:16:20me, if you don't have $1,100 right
00:16:23now, I'm going to cut you off Monday."
00:16:27$1,100 is more than a week's pay for the average private
00:16:31sector worker in Edgecombe County, and she needs
00:16:33insulin, which has to stay cold. Yet her power
00:16:37was off for nearly two months this summer. "I slept in my
00:16:41car. I can cut my air conditioner on in my car if I'm
00:16:44heading. I had to spend more in gas, but that's
00:16:48how I survived." Before she
00:16:51retired, Sheila's job was helping homeless veterans get the benefits
00:16:54they'd earned. Now she was the one sleeping in her
00:16:58car. "It can happen to anybody. Nobody's
00:17:02safe out here." Help finally came from Veteran's Charity
00:17:05Donor. Sheila kept her home. Many of her neighbors are not
00:17:09so lucky. Edgecombe County has the highest rate of eviction filings among
00:17:13renters in North Carolina. Two
00:17:16people, opposite ends of one congressional
00:17:19district. He needs first month's rent and
00:17:22deposit. She needed $1,100
00:17:25just to keep the lights on. Both worked hard, both did all the right
00:17:28things, both ended up in the same place. One priced
00:17:32out, one was pushed out. This is the affordability
00:17:35crisis.
00:17:40Stew knows exactly where he's going when his benefits
00:17:43come, bonding a room along the
00:17:47beach somewhere between Kitty Hawk and Nag's Head.
00:17:50"I made a pact with myself when I moved down here that I would go to the
00:17:54beach every day, and I did that up until this
00:17:57past winter. I missed the beach."
00:18:01"You don't feel like anybody's listening when they're not listening. Right
00:18:05now is not a good time to ask me to vote for anybody. My
00:18:09lights are off. Can you help me get them on? So until you
00:18:13help me get my lights off, don't ask me about voting for
00:18:16nobody."
00:18:19This is Phil Maddingley in North Carolina, thank you for that. Our panel is
00:18:22back, and I think we all really watched all of
00:18:26that, and it just drives home what is so real for so many Americans. It's
00:18:30like that woman said, "Don't ask me to vote for anybody, just help me get my lights back
00:18:33on." And I think that's that's the reality for so many Americans when we talk about polling
00:18:37numbers and and voting. What is that? Do
00:18:41politicians understand that? Because I think a lot of people, it just gets missed
00:18:45almost, right? It seems that way. I mean, that that was just disheartening. I mean,
00:18:48look, you know, we talk a lot about left and right, but you can't
00:18:52help but worry and feel sad about people who
00:18:55worked hard, they did everything right, uh, and this
00:18:59guy sleeping in his car, 65 years old, this
00:19:02lady served our country honorably, can't afford
00:19:05to turn her, keep her lights up
00:19:08on. Look, I get it. I, I get why people are so
00:19:11angry, and I, I have certainly done my part as a
00:19:15conservative to try to articulate to my party, we can't
00:19:18dismiss this stuff, and you shouldn't dismiss it,
00:19:22and it's easy to say, "The the other side is bad
00:19:25for this reason." It's easy to say, "Well, this just isn't the right uh
00:19:28conservative candidate." But even our own voters don't want to hear
00:19:32that. I mean, I, I was in Texas recently for two days, and I
00:19:35mentioned this on the earlier show. And a lot of the people that I talked
00:19:39to uh at something that my company put on,
00:19:43gun owners, low-propensity voters, hard-working people said, "Look, it's hard for me
00:19:46too." Now they still said they were going to vote for the
00:19:49Republican uh, but it wasn't lost upon me that these are people who are
00:19:53also struggling, and so it doesn't matter if it's a D behind the name or an R
00:19:56behind the name, most people are struggling, and what they want to know is what are you going to
00:20:00do to heal and resolve these problems? And if you don't have a solution
00:20:03for that, Jessica, then I think many people like that, like the veterans, they'll stay home. Stay
00:20:07home. And it's why I think we are seeing increasing swings
00:20:10in in who is in charge. It's it's it's
00:20:14the the White House is occupied by D then an R then D, you know,
00:20:18it used to we'd have two terms, two terms, that sort of thing. We just keep
00:20:22seeing it swing. I think that I think that there are a lot of
00:20:25people who have become disconnected and disassociated
00:20:29with what we see as a political reality, uh,
00:20:33and that's why I was saying that Haley Stevens
00:20:36earlier today... just kind of reinforced the
00:20:40the American body politic, right? And
00:20:44so when you see these things happen, it just makes you more
00:20:46disillusioned. Um, you go through different stages of... I mean, a lot of
00:20:50people are are really hopeful, um, and
00:20:53then they go from hopeful to the frustrated, um, and then
00:20:57they go from frustrated to kind of disillusioned, and then they go from
00:21:01disillusion to disassociated. And
00:21:04so that's why when you have
00:21:07instances that shock the shock the core culture of a
00:21:10community or a country like what happened today for us a Sunday that for
00:21:14us is reverberating, right? That's breaking news, that's wall-to-
00:21:18wall coverage, that's who is the main
00:21:20But I also want to hear from, it's no longer, character on Twitter today, but for these people that just reinforce
00:21:23reinforces their disassociation. Yeah, all right, I
00:21:27don't want to get, I want to get to some viewer questions just before we run out of
00:21:30time, um, because people did
00:21:34the one of our viewers asked, "Is South
00:21:36Carolina just a pipe dream for Democrats, or is it actually
00:21:40possible for Annie Andrews to win?" Bekari, I mean, I know you're
00:21:43South Carolina.
00:21:48it's no longer a pipe dream. It's extremely difficult to win in South Carolina, but
00:21:52it's no longer a pipe dream. I think Annie Andrews
00:21:55recipe. Of course, everything has to go well on Tuesday, it has to
00:21:59hit home. We run out of time, um, because people did take the time to give
00:22:03them to us. Um, one of the one of our viewers asked, "Is South
00:22:06Carolina just a pipe dream for Democrats, or is it actually
00:22:10possible for Annie Andrews to win?" Bukari, I mean, I know
00:22:13you're South Carolina.
00:22:16But I also want to hear from Lewis, it's no longer, it's no longer a pipe dream. It's
00:22:20extremely difficult to win in South Carolina, but it's no longer a pipe
00:22:23dream. I think Annie Andrews is showing you a formula and a recipe. Of course,
00:22:27everything has to go well on Tuesday, it has to hit home,
00:22:30possible for Annie Andrews to win? Bukari, I mean, I know
00:22:33you're South Carolina.
00:22:36I also want to hear from Lewis, it's no longer, it's no longer a pipe dream. It's
00:22:40extremely difficult to win in South Carolina, but it's no longer a pipe dream.
00:22:43I think Annie Andrews is showing you a formula and a recipe. Of course, everything
00:22:47has to go well on Tuesday, it has to hit on. Run, Darling
00:22:51Graham has to strike out. All those things have to happen, um, but it's
00:22:55no longer a pipe dream, and I think that people see the fundamentals in South Carolina, it played,
00:22:58yeah, no longer a pipe dream. I think it's a pipe
00:23:01dream. I, I, I do think it's a pipe dream, but I think it's, I
00:23:05agree with you. Um, the next question was, even if Democrats win the House and
00:23:09Senate, what are they to be able to
00:23:12the war? And this gets at what, the
00:23:15congressional, I think on both sides, congressional members have been saying, which is that they
00:23:19want more power when it comes to what the president is doing. I think
00:23:23the White House would fight it. I mean, and I think there's a legal case to make about
00:23:27executive authority as it relates to keeping the country safe. I think
00:23:30they'll say, "Well, look, what about Obama uh when he went to
00:23:34Gaddafi, for example, or maybe they'll point to Bush, or maybe
00:23:38they'll point to Biden." Certain limited strikes, and I think they'll try to make the argument,
00:23:41"This is a limited strike, not a prolonged conflict." And I think
00:23:45they would probably ultimately prevail before the Supreme Court based on some of, I mean, you're
00:23:49the attorney here, but based on out of the place for people who were in districts
00:23:53who thought that they were going to run in one place and then got moved to another, they know that there's
00:23:57some real real changes that are happening in in the states. I was on
00:24:00a call the other day with some Democratic leaders who have said they think
00:24:04that maybe the Republicans get a net three or four seats at the best out of
00:24:08this after we go through all of it. Here's the challenge though, going back to the
00:24:11earlier question, which is when this is all over after we get past
00:24:15Tuesday and we get into Wednesday for Democrats, um, are we just going
00:24:18to jump into an ideological fight between the kind of DSA
00:24:22progressive wing and the kind of more moderate centrist wing? Get married, have kids,
00:24:25all those things are slipping through. I think we're going to have quite a week. You've got two more hours,
00:24:29don't you? Yeah, keep going. Um, our
00:24:33thanks to all of you. These two gentlemen will be back with you at
00:24:368:30 in the morning, so get some rest. Um, thank you,
00:24:40thank you guys so much, and thank you for joining me this evening, i'm Jessica Dean, of
00:24:44course, stay with CNN on Tuesday for election night in
00:24:47America, I'm going to see you back here again. Next
00:24:50weekend, first I'll see you in North Carolina for election night, um, but
00:24:54have a great week everyone, have a great night.
00:25:32Every night there is the possibility of a
00:25:35bombing without filters, they should not
00:25:39treat our young people like that anywhere,
00:25:42here they ask, is there freedom of belief in the country, in
00:25:45Spain, you hear, these types of phenomena are not
00:25:49that they are. they are the generators of change, they are the expression of a change and it
00:25:52is debated whether their foreign policy will be so lukewarm without taking
00:25:56positions, conclusions with Fernando del Rincón from Monday to
00:26:00Friday on CNN.
00:26:04Here on CNN, the news comes first.
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00:28:17CNN America with Rebecca Kelly, Monday to Friday on
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00:28:27To understand the world, you need to seek
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00:28:51comes. Lorenzo was killed by an immigration
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00:28:57it legal for a three-year-old child to be very important, will they achieve it.
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