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00:00:06Tuesday, election night in the United States, what is at
00:00:10stake is very important, will the Democrats win or
00:00:14will the Republicans maintain control of Congress, while voters
00:00:17decide, CNN analyzes the most important issues, the
00:00:21key races, the voting data and what all this
00:00:24means for the country. Join our journalists on a day with
00:00:28live reports, results. in real-time in-depth analysis.
00:00:32Election night in the United
00:00:359:30 in the morning from the Angel of States, Tuesday on time in the Senate in CNN. CNN
00:00:37America with Rebeca Kelly, from Monday to Friday on
00:00:40CNN.
00:00:46We are CNN, the World Leader in News.
00:01:09race in the United States, with a lot
00:01:12of activity, of course, from the campaigns, with Donald
00:01:15Trump who is still campaigning, the former president Barack Obama has also
00:01:19jumped in and is campaigning, who is also doing his part to
00:01:23also has a factor because much of what try to call on the Democratic electorate in a race
00:01:26where there is uncertainty, there is reserved prognosis, of course, in many states.
00:01:30Where should we pay attention? We are going to talk about this, how the
00:01:33race has been presented, we are going to talk about all of this on this occasion in México Opina, practically
00:02:08How have you seen the performance of President Donald Trump? Let's see, in
00:02:11general terms, at first glance, let's say, at first glance, well,
00:02:15first of all, it looks like, it's anticipated as what they
00:02:19call the blue wave. We don't know, because also 4 years ago there was
00:02:23an expectation of a red wave and there wasn't, it was the other way around,
00:02:26no. However, if the polls seem to be
00:02:30benefiting the Democrats, but again, we don't
00:02:33know. What happens is that I think the president
00:02:37of the United States sees the polls, he is very aware
00:02:41and therefore he has been, even before
00:02:44the race began, when they were redistricting,
00:02:48he imposed redistricting half of the
00:02:51decade to win
00:02:55counts, and that's what sometimes happens with districts on the Republican side, but well, it hasn't worked because now we are seeing that
00:02:58many of the districts that were purely
00:03:02Republican, today have become Democratic or are going to become
00:03:06Democratic, but this is part of what Trump
00:03:10is doing and that also when he sees that he is going to
00:03:13lose this race, he was even seen
00:03:17a couple of months ago even in a
00:03:20closed session with Hakeem Jeffries who in any
00:03:24case would be the
00:03:26McAllen and I can see Speaker of the House, that is, the head of the house, but of the
00:03:29House of Representatives, I think he is seeing this art of the
00:03:33deal beforehand, no, but in any case he is saying
00:03:37that if the Republicans do not win at least one of the
00:03:40two chambers, it means there is fraud, no, because it is easier to anticipate,
00:03:44as Bolsonaro also did in Brazil,
00:03:47to anticipate that if he loses, it is because there is fraud, if he wins, there
00:03:51is no fraud, in fact he said
00:03:53no issue, no. What is it last weekend, this is what we have
00:03:57seen, no, we see a President Trump
00:04:00a little desperate due to a low approval rating, not very high,
00:04:04and presenting himself at different rallies
00:04:06and even pulling in people
00:04:10who have nothing to do with it and with a very
00:04:14strange discourse, he
00:04:21the senators who are in contention because he sees them as very
00:04:25handsome and that's what he thinks will help him win his
00:04:28seat. Suddenly butts but
00:04:32well,
00:04:34well, there are cases where we know they have, but let's see, is Donald Trump on the
00:04:38ballot? He has been campaigning, but he is on the ballot, is this part of it? Well, look,
00:04:42Mario, I think so, definitely, I just returned from Washington
00:04:45and what we see, not only in Washington but in
00:04:49the United States, is that Donald Trump has placed himself on the
00:04:53it has been one ballot, he knows that the data, ready for whatever among the Republican electorate,
00:04:56particularly, he has a lot of strength, right? And even more so the Republican
00:05:00who is going to vote in the race because what he is looking for is for
00:05:04them to go vote, that is one of the first factors, right? It's that the Republican
00:05:07who is not disheartened
00:05:10and wants to vote in this election. The midterms are not
00:05:13as enthusiastic in general for the American citizen as
00:05:17the presidential elections are, so that has an important
00:05:21factor, and without a doubt something that cannot be measured as
00:05:24such is the factor that President Donald Trump offered at the
00:05:28Republican Convention in Dallas of $5,000 per person per
00:05:32adult, right? If he wins both chambers, then how much of a factor will that have
00:05:36in this election? Well, we will know until the election. What is very certain, as Raquel says,
00:05:39is that the polls do not give an adequate measurement
00:05:43because sometimes they tell you that almost always they have said that Donald Trump will lose,
00:05:47right? And he ends up winning, so it is difficult
00:05:51to be able to measure the polls
00:05:54without being directly in each of the districts. It happened in the recent past,
00:05:58right? With the Hispanic vote, for example, which
00:06:02went very low because it seemed to be a hidden vote that they didn't want to say and finally
00:06:05many voted for Donald Trump and more in South Texas, right? Texas played a
00:06:09central role here because you have a Senate
00:06:12race, right? Which is a key
00:06:16heart of the Republican party and here you have
00:06:19Paxton fighting against the candidate O'Rourke, right? From the
00:06:23Democratic party. The polls
00:06:26go up and down but they have placed Paxton closer. Probably
00:06:30the injection of $150 million from Elon Musk
00:06:36happens in the United States also depends on how much money they have in the
00:06:40race, right? And we see the races are expensive races. Very expensive,
00:06:49$5,000 like that, increases the cost, now imagine it's
00:06:54what it would cost with all the debate, Larry and Mark, also
00:06:58Raquel, if this action is legal in
00:07:01this regard, if it is legal to offer this as a
00:07:05or a vote purchase, well, look, the
00:07:08issue and why why it won't be, in my
00:07:11opinion, it won't be a legal problem for President Trump
00:07:15is because he offers it to all Americans, no, it doesn't matter if you vote
00:07:18Democrat, conditional adults, exactly,
00:07:21so, well, one could say it's ethical, that would be another
00:07:25word, legally I think he will get away with it, ethically, well,
00:07:29it depends on everyone's opinion, no, and also on the
00:07:32electorate, how much that will play in the voting,
00:07:36well, I can imagine that for a couple who are neither
00:07:39Democrat nor Republican, well, the doubt comes in, no, hey, if you and
00:07:43I vote $10,000, wow, what would we do, no, so I think it will
00:07:47play an important role in this race, although always the
00:07:50midterms do not favor the incumbent president, no,
00:07:53so I think that will also play a role. The
00:07:57difficult thing here and as you asked from the beginning is
00:08:01how much is Donald Trump on the ballot, what is
00:08:04ah, for example, in Texas he has had eight rallies
00:08:08and President Trump spends his time from rally to rally,
00:08:11right? Despite having been there four times, yes, yes, yes, it's a
00:08:14huge number and and obviously
00:08:18inciting and and enthusing
00:08:21the base to go vote, particularly in South
00:08:24Texas which is where it is considered there is more risk and who voted for
00:08:28him in the first race, no, so he is trying to see if they will vote
00:08:32for him again. That's where the doubt is, he is also
00:08:35betting on the Senate, right? Because undoubtedly the Senate is one of
00:08:39the factors that he sees as potential. I
00:08:42particularly believe that because there are so many seats in the Senate
00:08:46that the Republican party would have to lose, he will be able
00:08:48to keep the upper house. The big question
00:08:52is the lower house. If the Democrats don't win in the Senate, it's a
00:08:56failure. I have a lot of hope in this case,
00:08:59but obviously it's doubtful and there are
00:09:02three scenarios, let's see, one is that they win
00:09:06only the House of Representatives, the second
00:09:09is they win the House of Representatives and the
00:09:13Senate, but with a majority of one or
00:09:17two, and the third is that they win both
00:09:21chambers and the Senate with a majority
00:09:24that facilitates actions
00:09:27without always having fears
00:09:31of losing by one defection or another. Those
00:09:34would be the three scenarios, the three. Now, in
00:09:38any case, it would not be good
00:09:41to lose control in both chambers for President Donald Trump. The rest of his
00:09:45term would be, yes, it would be a big problem,
00:09:49no, yes, yes, definitely, yes, yes,
00:09:52obviously if the Democrats did not win the House of
00:09:56Representatives, it would be a
00:10:07States.
00:10:21The need to migrate knows no age. Some
00:10:25say they want to reach Mexico City, but others seek
00:10:28to go further
00:10:29north.
00:10:33The Mexican army's anti-drone battalion consists of
00:10:36these types of elements of inhibitors to bring down drones
00:10:40that have become a threat. The
00:10:43Chiapas authorities have detected a cattle smuggling
00:10:46point. This is one of the illegal crossing
00:10:50points for cattle going from Central America to
00:10:53Mexico. Thousands of protesters, workers from this
00:10:57country, left at
00:11:00Independence. I am in the municipality of Teuchitlán in
00:11:03the Mexican state of Jalisco. Here the discovery was
00:11:07macabre by collectives
00:11:11disappeared persons. What made you come here with the suspicion
00:11:14that your son could be on this
00:11:16ranch?
00:11:21I am Mexican-British, I have been practicing
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00:13:53We continue in México Opina talking about the midterm elections in the United States and what is
00:13:57at stake. Let's see, Mark, you were telling us that if
00:14:00the Democrats lose the House of Representatives, it would be a
00:14:04real nightmare. The Senate is yet to be seen, but they already have
00:14:07it practically secured. So the House of Representatives, 90%
00:14:11is to win the lower house. Now, where are the
00:14:15states? Larry was talking about Texas, which is one of the toughest disputed states.
00:14:19In what other state do you see? Ah, well, it seems
00:14:22that North Carolina is secure for the Democrat because
00:14:26the Republican National Committee
00:14:30funds to support its candidate, so
00:14:33it's a, well, it's one more
00:14:36addition. Ah, we also have
00:14:39Ohio which is is close, the
00:14:43well, the competition but
00:14:45it looks good because Sherrod Brown is a
00:14:48politician with a lot of experience, a lot of
00:14:51credibility and lives for more. And
00:14:55he has several problems.
00:14:58He's also, we're talking
00:15:01about Alaska, aha, which is
00:15:04a big surprise, right? Because Alaska is super Republican. Yes, it has
00:15:08been Republican, yes, no, there is competition
00:15:12in Nebraska,
00:15:15in Iowa, Iowa even in
00:15:17Kansas.
00:15:20Uh, well, I vote in
00:15:22Kansas and
00:15:26well, it's not probable,
00:15:29but it's it wouldn't be
00:15:32a miracle, it's
00:15:3510% 20% chance
00:15:39because Kansas is super Republican
00:15:41too. But well,
00:15:44we're also talking about Maine, which is a
00:15:48state, well,
00:15:50purple, ah, that has
00:15:53the sixth, the
00:15:57sixth election for Susan
00:16:00Collins, the sixth is the sixth, yes, it's
00:16:04the, it's the Republican senator
00:16:07now, Republican with the most history,
00:16:11yes, how interesting. Hey, but Raquel said
00:16:15a moment ago off microphone that the issue is winning, but
00:16:19also the stance that Donald Trump might take on those victories
00:16:22by arguing fraud. Now, it's one thing to denounce it, there's fraud here, and another
00:16:25thing is to take it to have repercussions in the courts, that's
00:16:29even more difficult. Well, I don't see it as difficult, and I'll tell you
00:16:33why, because when he came to power in 2024,
00:16:37he made sure to have many assets, many,
00:16:40many things that would help during his
00:16:44mandate, from having the judges on his
00:16:47side, from even having the private lawyers on his
00:16:50side, with whom he could work in case he had to make
00:16:54any complaint, etc., or even
00:16:58having the media and the media that were not
00:17:01with him were fake news,
00:17:05right? We know all this, he already has a lot
00:17:08set up to be able to fight,
00:17:11uh, let's remember that he is a natural pugilist,
00:17:15he is a fighter, but also
00:17:18he has been in this issue of, uh,
00:17:21the deal, right? The deal for him, that is, making a
00:17:25deal with the other, so that's why we are seeing right now
00:17:28maneuvering in terms of the internal political
00:17:32situation, but we even saw it not very
00:17:35long ago, but a couple of weeks ago when he goes
00:17:39and makes a deal with Putin for him to
00:17:42give him diesel because diesel is very expensive and
00:17:45that affects inflation in the United States and therefore
00:17:49the elections, so he is also making a turn on the
00:17:53international side to benefit him in return, so there are
00:17:57many issues there, but I do see that he is
00:18:00very, uh, clearly arranging how
00:18:04to fight back, no. Now I think the Democrats are
00:18:08too busy wanting to win, wanting to regain these seats
00:18:12and even win some they have never had or that the
00:18:15last time they had them was in the mid-20th century, as in the
00:18:19case perhaps of Alaska,
00:18:22I don't know, Iowa, no, Texas itself,
00:18:25yes, yes, those states, so well, now
00:18:28we'll see because he does want to fight, I see it.
00:18:32Now one part is the discourse, we have seen that post-election
00:18:36conflicts reach even what happened in Georgia, for example, to the ultimate consequences,
00:18:39but we have also seen a change in the discourse, for example, of the
00:18:43mail-in vote, which was very critical before, not so much now. The stance has
00:18:47changed a bit, it seems more like an electoral strategy
00:18:49or how do you see it? Well, partly
00:18:53that, no, and there are states that frankly, uh, well,
00:18:57he's going to question, like the state of Alaska that
00:19:00we were talking about off air, well, Alaska has a
00:19:03particular dynamic, no, because the Republican candidate is named
00:19:06the same as a candidate who appeared out of nowhere
00:19:09as an independent, so what Donald Trump says is that they planted
00:19:13him so he would have the same name and divide the Republican vote, so for confusion,
00:19:16for confusion, because since they have exactly the same name,
00:19:20there's no doubt, so yes, for some voter who doesn't
00:19:23pay attention, they could go for one or the other, no. If
00:19:27he wins by a large margin, well, there will be
00:19:31interesting about this race is
00:19:33particularly the states that, as Raquel well said,
00:19:37had been traditionally Republican, Mark didn't mention
00:19:41Alaska, or Texas itself, no. What will happen? Perhaps
00:19:44we won't see a big difference, perhaps Paxton, whom we don't anticipate,
00:19:48will win by a large majority, then you would say, well, the polls
00:19:52were wrong, no, Texas is a very Republican state, but what we are
00:19:55seeing in the trends would seem to suggest that
00:19:59the Republican party in Texas does not have the strength it had
00:20:03in the previous election. What is very important and
00:20:06also the profile of O'Rourke, no, which is clear. O'Rourke has been
00:20:09attractive because because he is not for the
00:20:12voter, he is very centrist, as Raquel
00:20:15says, very Texan, no.
00:20:19The most Republican Democrat and it could be, no, obviously
00:20:23Paxton has looked for some areas where he could
00:20:27attack O'Rourke, but
00:20:30of the, uh, well, of the
00:20:33most followed and most expensive races. However,
00:20:37I think O'Rourke has a chance, I do think
00:20:41he has a chance to enter, but well, Texans
00:20:44are very Texan, and what happens
00:20:46particularly is that, for example,
00:20:50the religious issue is very important, and what they have
00:20:53told O'Rourke is that he has publicly stated
00:20:56that, for example, God is binary,
00:21:00so he has some issues there that evidently for a
00:21:03religious, conservative Texan make a lot of noise.
00:21:07Paxton, uh, has been the attorney general, the reality is that
00:21:10Texans adore Paxton, that's why he has had the numbers he
00:21:14has had, no, the particularly Republican, obviously, no,
00:21:17but it's a state where the majority
00:21:21has been conservative. What has happened interestingly in Texas
00:21:24is that it has been a state that has been changing its demography, because
00:21:28cities like Austin and other cities have brought industries from
00:21:32California, they have brought from New York, that is, it is one of the states that has had the most
00:21:35internal migration, so those who come from California, those who come from New
00:21:39York are no longer those conservatives who used to vote in the
00:21:42state, no, so the demography has changed, that's why you see
00:21:45cities that are now Democratic, no, the city of Houston, for example,
00:21:49is Democratic, San Antonio, Austin,
00:21:53no, uh, uh, and this has changed the demography
00:21:56particularly in the cities, but here what counts is the vote outside the
00:22:00cities, that's why what Trump has done, if we analyze it in
00:22:04detail, is he has sought the voter who is in the countryside,
00:22:07no, because those are his loyal followers, but, uh,
00:22:11but he has to motivate them to go, because precisely what Raquel said, when
00:22:15it changes from Cornyn to Paxton, there are those who are for Cornyn, they don't
00:22:18like that change. There is no, and that, well,
00:22:22evidently can make them not want to go out and vote, and if they don't
00:22:26vote, well, that is evidently a political
00:22:28cost
00:22:30for the Republican party, no, but this is particularly important because
00:22:34Texas is the Republican stronghold, just as California is the
00:22:37Democratic stronghold, no. So hitting the Republican
00:22:41stronghold, and that's why they spend so much on campaigns, both O'Rourke
00:22:44and Paxton, part of the campaign is to throw dirt at
00:22:47the other. That's normal in a race like this, so the important thing we'll have to note is
00:22:57how this race ends and how close the margins are,
00:23:01no, that is, if the Republican party manages to keep Texas,
00:23:04it's how close those margins are and if they have
00:23:08narrowed for the Republican
00:23:10party and if the Democrats have grown,
00:23:14yes, no, also for a possible post-election
00:23:17conflict, the ideal would be large distances.
00:23:50everything, a look at the reconstruction efforts of a city and the
00:23:54hope of a people determined to rise, it evolved very
00:23:57quickly and we never thought it would become a Category
00:24:005 and to understand what is happening, let's
00:24:04go with my colleague Ione Molinares to Washington.
00:24:08The explosion, well, we can see the dimension
00:24:10it had to take away the entire facade.
00:24:13We hear the protagonists, they mocked us as mothers and
00:24:17fathers. Since the 43, where she lived, a
00:24:21bomb fell, we are about to board this Mexican Air Force
00:24:25plane bound for Romania to have a complete
00:24:28vision, we are here as migrants to progress, to
00:24:31make this country grow, there are great stories to know and many
00:24:35perspectives to analyze. Perspectives with Mario
00:24:38González, Monday to Friday on
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00:26:15Tuesday, election night in the United States, what is at
00:26:18stake is very important, will the Democrats prevail or
00:26:22will the Republicans maintain control of Congress? As voters
00:26:25decide, CNN analyzes the most important issues, the
00:26:29key races, the voting data and what it all
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00:26:40election night in the United States, on Tuesday on CNN.
00:27:48We continue in Mexico, Mark says, let's see, you also wanted to make a point about the
00:27:52state of Texas, yes, it's good, the vote of
00:27:55Latinos in Texas is quite
00:27:57important and the position of Latinos
00:28:01in the entire nation, even in Texas, has changed a lot
00:28:05in relation to Trump, it's that, ah,
00:28:08well, two years ago many, many
00:28:12said that, ah, yes, yes, yes, yes, already, the
00:28:16Republicans are competitive in in relation to the
00:28:19Latino bloc, but not
00:28:22anymore, it has, it has gone back,
00:28:25it has returned, it has returned to to
00:28:29normal percentages or maybe more.
00:28:34And well, and partly, as Mark says, the Hispanic vote in Texas
00:28:37is very important because it is practically a third of the
00:28:40population, a topic that, that, that frustrates me with
00:28:44Hispanics, being Mexican-American and and and also living in
00:28:48Houston is that they don't go out to vote, no, that is, vote
00:28:51Democrat, vote Republican, but go out to vote so that your vote, so that your voice
00:28:57the Hispanic vote, particularly the Mexican-American, which is the largest, not the
00:29:01Mexican-American. In the United States, there are almost 40 million
00:29:04citizens, if they went out to vote, obviously the
00:29:08politicians of both parties would pay a lot of attention to them, now what will
00:29:11happen in South Texas is an important part because you have eh
00:29:15key congressional districts that can make a difference
00:29:18for either of the two parties, that's why President Trump just recently was in Corpus
00:29:22Christi a couple of days ago, I was in in the Valley, in what they call
00:29:26the Valley in Harlingen, Brownsville and
00:29:29what Mark was just saying, it's an eagerness of of. of
00:29:32wanting to be strong there, so we'll see how much
00:29:36he can dominate that part, we saw with
00:29:39Beto, El Paso for example is a eh is one
00:29:43that that Beto conquered, so that
00:29:46behavior of the Hispanic in the strip, let's say, in the border
00:29:49strip will be very interesting to follow because he did vote for
00:29:53Donald Trump, so if he doesn't vote it will be a significant protest vote for
00:29:57Donald Trump, now I think that there is something interesting
00:30:00why he lost.
00:30:51Welcome to our broadcast of Primera Plana with Alejandra
00:30:54Forero. Next, our
00:30:56headlines. Fines.